ANC expected to pronounce on Zuma

Summary

Political analyst Professor L discusses former South African president Jacob Zuma's controversial endorsement of a rival party to the ANC ahead of this year's elections. With Zuma still commanding immense influence and support, Professor L believes firing Zuma now could have dire consequences for the ANC. He argues the ANC should keep Zuma inside for now to minimize damage, rather than making him a martyr. Overall, Professor L provides insightful analysis into the complex dynamics at play as the ANC navigates its relationship with its estranged former leader Zuma.

Takeaways

• 😀 ANC considering whether to expel former president Zuma after he endorsed a rival party
• 😯 Zuma still commands significant influence and support despite controversies
• 🤔 Firing Zuma now could make him a martyr and hurt ANC electorally
• 😕 Keeping Zuma inside ANC for now could limit damage versus firing him
• 🤨 Zuma portraying new party as saving ANC rather than self-interest
• 😠 Zuma feels betrayed by those who supported him in ANC previously
• 😡 Zuma wants revenge against ANC for ditching him after he left power
• 👎 ANC in unenviable position due to own actions enabling Zuma historically
• 😰 Prospect of first ever expulsion of ex-ANC leader faces current leadership
• ⚖️ Zuma's priority seems to be reducing ANC below 51% support, not personal power

Q & A

Why is the ANC cautious about expelling former president Zuma?

The ANC is cautious because Zuma still has significant influence and support. Expelling him could have major consequences and backlash.

What are the risks if the ANC expels Zuma before the elections?

Some ANC members feel that expelling Zuma before the elections could make him into a martyr and rally more support behind him and his new party, causing more damage.

Is there a third option besides expelling or not expelling Zuma?

The ANC could try to condemn Zuma's actions without expelling him in an attempt to clarify things for confused supporters.

How does Zuma justify starting a rival party?

Zuma claims he is starting a new party to save the ANC and the country, which he devoted his life to. He feels betrayed by former allies.

What impact could Zuma have on the ANC in the election?

If Zuma's party can reduce the ANC's majority, such as getting them under 51% of the vote, it would be a significant blow.

Why does the analyst say the ground is ripe for Zuma's message?

After initial progress, the analyst feels the ANC has been in decline, creating dissatisfaction that Zuma can tap into.

Why is Zuma so bitter towards the ANC?

Zuma feels the ANC and his allies betrayed him by removing him as president despite his years of service.

Does Zuma care about being expelled from the ANC?

Likely not, as his goal seems to be reducing the ANC's power rather than retaining membership.

What was Zuma's past role and standing in the ANC?

He was president of South Africa while in the ANC, served the party for years, and was well respected and supported.

What position does this put the ANC leadership in?

In an difficult position with potentially damaging consequences no matter if they expel Zuma or not.