Ramaphosa taking South Africa 'in right direction', ANC making 'steady progress' with major reforms

Summary

南アフリカでは30年ぶりの重要な選挙が行われており、アフリカ国民大会（ANC）は初めて過半数を失う可能性がある。選挙は新しい議会を選ぶもので、その後大統領を選ぶ。経済成長の遅れ、高い失業率、犯罪率が問題となっており、多くの若者が仕事を見つけられないと懸念している。選挙結果は日曜日に発表される見込み。選挙は多党制への移行を意味するのか、または分断された政治的風景をもたらすのか、今後の南アフリカの方向性に注目が集まっている。

Takeaways

• 🗳️ 南アフリカでは重要な選挙が行われており、ANCが初めて過半数を失う可能性があるとされる。
• 📊 27百万人の登録選挙人による新しい議会の選出が行われ、その次に大統領が選ばれる。
• 🔍 ANCは1994年以来の政権維持に苦戦しており、選挙はその支持率の低下を反映している。
• 👥 選挙には若者にも注目が集まり、高い失業率と不平等が彼らにとって重要な問題となっている。
• 👨‍🎓 多くの若者は大学を卒業しても仕事が得られないという現実に直面している。
• 🏢 南アフリカは電力不足、貪汚、犯罪、そして約33％の失業率という多面的な問題に直面している。
• 👥 選挙は党による投票であり、その党が大統領を選ぶというシステムとなっている。
• 🕙 投票は午後9時に終了し、結果は日曜日に発表される予定である。
• 🤔 専門家はANCの支持率が50％を割に変わると、政権形成が複雑化する可能性があると指摘している。
• 🔄 選挙結果によっては、ANCは他の政党と協力して政権を維持する必要が生じる可能性がある。
• 📉 若年層の投票率が低いことから、政治への不満や関心の低下がうかがわれている。

Q & A

南アフリカで行われた選挙はどの年に起きたのですか？

南アフリカの最も重要な選挙は、アパルトヘイト制度の終結から30年後の1994年以来、2019年に起きました。

南アフリカの選挙で何が争われていますか？

南アフリカの選挙では新しい議会が選ばれ、その次に大統領を選ぶことが争われています。

アフリカ国民大会が絶対多数を失うリスクがあるのはなぜですか？

不平等と失業率の問題が選挙にかかっており、多くの投票者が変化を望んでいるためです。

南アフリカの投票者数はどれくらいありますか？

登録された投票者は2700万人あります。

南アフリカの平均年齢はどれくらいですか？

南アフリカの平均年齢は28歳です。

南アフリカの失業率はどのくらいですか？

南アフリカの失業率はほぼ33％に達しています。

選挙での投票はどのように行われますか？

南アフリカでは政党に投票し、その政党が大統領を選ぶという仕組みです。

現在の大統領であるシリル・ラポサは何期目の任期ですか？

シリル・ラポサは第2期目の任期を目指しています。

選挙結果はいつ発表される予定ですか？

投票は午後9時に締め切られ、結果は日曜日に発表される予定です。

南アフリカでの選挙において、最も重要な問題は何ですか？

最も重要な問題は仕事の創出と自宅での安全です。

若年層の投票者に対するアパシーはなぜ高いのですか？

20歳以下の南アフリカの投票者の半数未満が登録をせず、政治が彼らに魅力的でないと感じている可能性があります。

南アフリカでの選挙の結果が政党連立をもたらす可能性がある場合は、どのような影響があると予想されますか？

政党連立は政府の不安定さを招く可能性があり、民主主義の弱体化につながる可能性があります。

Outlines

00:00

🗳️ 南アフリカの重要な選挙

南アフリカでは、30年ぶりの重要な選挙が行われています。27百万人の登録選挙人たちが新しい議会を選ぶことになります。選挙はANC（アフリカ国民大会）が圧倒的多数派を失う可能性があるとされており、1994年以来初めて連立政権との交渉が必要になるかもしれません。選挙は不平等と失業率という問題が頭に浮かぶ多くの人々にとって、変化をもたらすものと期待されています。選挙には若者にも多くの注目が集まっており、多くの若者が教育を受けても仕事が見つからないという現実に抗議しています。選挙の結果は日曜日に発表される予定です。

05:02

🤔 南アフリカの政治的将来と懸念

南アフリカの政治情勢は、ANCの支持率の低下と多党制へのシフトが予想される中、不確実性が高まっています。もしANCが50％を下回った場合、彼らは連立政権を形成する必要があり、選定されたパートナーとの信頼性と安定性に課題があります。経済成長と犯罪率の高まりは選挙における重要な問題であり、特に若年層にとっては、政治への関心が低くなっていることが懸念されています。選挙の結果は南アフリカの政治的将来に大きな影響を与える可能性があり、多くの人々がより良い方向へ進むことを望んでいます。

Keywords

💡選挙

選挙とは、国民が政治的権限を持つ者を選ぶプロセスを指します。このビデオでは、南アフリカが最も重要な選挙を迎えており、国民は新しい議会を選出します。これは国の主題であり、国民の政治的参加を象徴します。

💡アフリカ国民大会（ANC）

ANCは南アフリカの政党で、かつてネルソン・マンデラによって指導され、 apartheid政権の終結と民主化に貢献しました。ビデオでは、ANCが初めて過半数を失うかもしれないと示唆されており、選挙結果に大きな影響を与える可能性があります。

💡過半数

過半数とは、選挙において総票数の半分以上を獲得することを指します。ビデオでは、ANCが過半数を失うかもしれないと述べており、これが選挙の重要なポイントです。

💡連立

連立とは、複数の政党が協力して政権を形成することを指します。ANCが過半数を失った場合、連立政権が形成される可能性について触れられています。

💡不平等と失業

不平等と失業は、南アフリカで投票者の心に重くのしかかる問題です。ビデオでは、不平等と高い失業率が選挙において重要な議題となっており、多くの若者が学歴を持っても仕事を見つけられないと述べています。

💡若者

若者は南アフリカの選挙において重要な層です。ビデオでは、若者が教育を受けても仕事を見つけられないという問題が強調されており、彼らの希望と期待が選挙にかかっています。

💡投票

投票は、国民が選挙に参加し、自分たちの意見を表現する手段です。ビデオでは、投票率や若者の投票への関心が議論されており、民主主義の健康さの指標となっています。

💡政党

政党とは、政治的理念や目標を掲げ、選挙に参加する政治組織のことです。ビデオでは、ANCをはじめとする複数の政党が紹介されており、彼らが選挙戦を繰り広げている様子が描かれています。

💡政治的安定

政治的安定とは、政府が一定期間継続し、政策を実行できる状況を指します。ビデオでは、連立政権が政治的安定に影響を与える可能性について触れられています。

💡経済成長

経済成長とは、国の経済が拡大し、生活水準が向上する状態です。ビデオでは、南アフリカの経済成長が停滞しており、それが選挙において重要な議題となっていると示されています。

💡犯罪

犯罪は、南アフリカの選挙において重要な問題の一つです。ビデオでは、犯罪率が高いことが選挙に影響を与えるとされており、投票者が安全保障を求めているとされています。

Highlights

South Africans are heading to the polls for the country's most crucial election since the end of apartheid 30 years ago.

27 million registered voters are set to elect a new Parliament, which then chooses a president.

The African National Congress (ANC) is at risk of losing its outright majority for the first time since 1994.

Inequality and unemployment are on voters' minds, with many hoping for change.

Long queues outside polling stations as Africa's largest economy heads to the polls.

Support for the ruling ANC has begun to wane according to projections.

The ANC may lose its majority for the first time since it came to power in 1994 under Nelson Mandela.

Many South Africans blame the ANC for numerous problems including power outages, corruption, crime, and an unemployment rate of nearly 33%.

South Africa has a population of 62 million with an average age of just 28, and many first-time voters only know the ANC.

President Cyril Ramaphosa is seeking a second term in office and defended his record during the campaign.

Polls are due to close at 9:00 p.m. local time with results due out on Sunday.

Richard Calland, a law professor at the University of Cape Town, discusses the potential end of ANC's majority.

A drop below 50% for the ANC would mark a watershed moment and a second transition for South Africa.

If the ANC's vote lands between 46% and 49%, a coalition may be formed with President Ramaphosa likely remaining in office.

Below 46%, South Africa enters a period of greater uncertainty and complexity for coalition building.

The Democratic Alliance has been the main opposition party, but the opposition landscape is becoming more competitive.

New populist parties like Action SA and the Patriotic Alliance are emerging as potential big winners.

The core issues for voters are jobs and security at home, with an unemployment rate of 35-50%.

Less than 50% of South Africans under the age of 20 registered to vote, indicating potential apathy or disinterest.

Richard Calland suggests that a few more years of President Ramaphosa may be better than a messy and uncertain coalition.

Transcripts

South Africans are heading to the polls

today and what's set to be the country's

most crucial election since the end of

apari 30 years ago 27 million registered

voters are set to elect a new Parliament

which then chooses a president and for

the first time since 1994 the African

National Congress is at risk of losing

its outright majority and could be

forced to negotiate a coalition thec was

once led by the late Nelson Mandela who

helped win freedom for black South

Africans after Decades of AP partha

but now with inequality and unemployment

on voters Minds many are hoping for

change danana dza

reports long Q's outside polling

stations as Africa's largest economy

heads to the

polls Wednesday's vote is seen as one of

South Africa's most pivotal as support

for the ruling African National Congress

has begun to

wne according to projections thec may

lose its majority for the first time

since it came to power in 1994 under

Nelson

Mandela I just wanted to be the first

one to take out

thec I'm sick and tired the youth don't

work they have at least three degrees

with no jobs if there are jobs they're

given to friends of

thec we're hoping that things will

change because our biggest problem our

children are not working 30 years old

I'm still maintaining a son of 30

something years is he went to University

but no job South Africa has a population

of 62 million and the average age is

just 28 many of the country's firsttime

voters grew up only knowing the ANC and

they blame the party for South Africa's

numerous problems including power

outages corruption crime and an

unemployment rate that stands at nearly

33% We Are Young And there's no job for

youth we have degrees we not getting job

this is definitely my first time voting

I'm excited and uh I hope to see I hope

to see something different in the future

I'm just really interested on where this

country is going to go now from this

election cuz it's really a critical

point right now voters in South Africa

vote for a party which in turn chooses

the president sirel Raposa is seeking a

second term in office and defended his

record during the

campaign polls are due to close at 900

p.m. local time with results due out on

Sunday

Richard kand is a law professor at the

University of Cape Town and he joins me

now live to talk a bit more about the

election in South Africa today Richard

thanks for joining us what are your

thoughts could this Mark the end of the

anc's majority there I think that's more

likely than not though I think all the

smart money is on thec dropping below

50% that's clearly a watershed moment

they've dominated the Electoral scene

for six national elections and 30 years

it's what uh I've been calling a second

transition obviously the first

transition 30 years ago was out of

apartheid as your package suggested now

the second transition is out of that

period of electoral dominance by thec so

we're going going to have to get used to

a more cluttered more competitive and

probably more complicated political

landscape indeed more complicated though

could mean looking at some kind of

Coalition building if thec loses below

50% what kind of post-election Coalition

could we be looking at uh it will hinder

very much on where exactly thec vote uh

lands if they are between say 46 and 49

thec will be able to put together

relatively uh easy and comfortable

Coalition president Raposa will probably

remain in office and life will continue

more or less as it is below 46 we enter

a period of far greater uncertainty and

complexity and it will be difficult then

for thec to make a choice about who

would be a reliable stable uh partner

our experience of coalition so far at

local government level has not been a

happy one a series of really unstable

coalitions have denuded uh citizens of

good governance in cities as important

as Johannesburg Petoria uh and Port

Elizabeth so that's the I think anxiety

or the concern here that in fact maybe

the devil you know is is better than an

alternative that is less stable well

talk us through thec Challengers what

are the other parties that could be the

big Winners

today well the interesting thing there

is is that for the last say 20 years the

Democratic Alliance has been the main

opposition party but as thec declines

it's not the da that is necessarily

going to benefit because the opposition

landscape has also become more com uh

competitive and more cluttered there are

new Runners and Riders like action SAA

and the Patriotic Alliance quite

populist parties and and one of the big

issues for the future Jenny is is this

going to be a switch now to more mature

multi-party democracy or are we going to

find a much more fractured and

splintered landscape where populist

parties can prosper and the void at the

middle that thec will in a sense create

as it weakens may become a a real

weakness for our democracy indeed

because it does seem like a coalition

could be a a risky gamble moving toward

a stable

government well that's right and I think

again for me 46 which I happen to think

is is certainly my prediction more or

less for the outcome if the goes below

46 as I say much more complicated they

may have to choose for example between a

coalition with the economic freedom

fighters which is a very kind of hard

nationalist uh populist party uh

inherently unstable and unreliable

partner probably or the Democratic

Alliance which is a Christian Democrat

right of Center party both thec and the

da will find it difficult to sell that

to their constituency but for both

parties it may well be the most stable

and the most consistent option were the

political leadership of those two

parties to be able to rise to the

occasion and they would probably in

those circumstances package it as a

government of national

Unity Richard what are for you the

biggest issues facing voters in South

Africa today well it's clear that jobs

uh we have a sort of 35 to 50% uh

unemployment rate which is of course uh

extremely problematic and challenging uh

we have a sluggish economy uh that isn't

driving growth and jobs uh and we have a

really difficult crime rate so I think

the the core issues for voters are jobs

and security at home what about for

young voters something like less than

50% of South Africans under the age of

20 even registered to vote today where

is all of that apathy coming from that's

a really important point and I'm glad

you raise it a third of our eligible

voters that's 13.7 million voters failed

to register for this election after 30

years they've effectively turned their

back on Democracy or elector democracy

and seven or 8 million of those are

under the age of 30 that's a real

concern it suggests either that there is

a sort of dry Tinder uh group of re

revolutionaries in Waiting or perhaps

simply that the current political

leadership and parties has been unable

to offer a value proposition that is

enticing enough for the those young

voters you know Richard I think everyone

agrees that perhaps 30 years in power is

too long for any party let's say that

South Africa does move some towards some

sort of Coalition with thec and with

other parties do you think things will

be better for the country that way are

you hopeful for what will come out of

this election well the the the

contradiction here is that whilst thec

is an organization is in Decline it's in

many ways broken there are large parts

of it that are corrupt it's highly

divided it lacks any new ideas or fresh

thinking but on the other hand thec in

government particularly around s Raposa

our president and the people he's

appointing into government in fact have

been introducing really important

reforms and although the pace of change

in the last few years has not been as as

sharp and as as bold as many would uh

say we need uh it is steady progress and

we are heading slowly in the right

direction an example of that is the

absence of load shedding now the fact

that electricity sector uh uh sector

reforms are beginning to to kick in and

work so I would argue that the best

thing for the country is a few more

years of Mr roposa as president rather

than turning to a kind of very messy and

uncertain Coalition Arrangement all

right Richard thanks for that Richard

Ken there speaking to me from Cape Town