How to Research Total Bases and HRRs using Propfinder!
Summary
TLDRIn this video, Jake from PropFinder explains how to bet on Total Bases and HRRS (Hits, Runs, and RBIs) using PropFinder’s platform. He highlights the key stats to focus on for each type of bet, such as WBA for HRRS and slugging for Total Bases. With PropFinder’s updated features, users can dive deeper into player splits, evaluate pitcher matchups, and consider metrics like ISO and exit velocity. Jake also walks through the importance of lineup positions and how teammate performance can impact betting outcomes, making it a valuable resource for both beginners and seasoned bettors.
Takeaways
- 😀 Betting on total bases and HRRS (Hits, Runs, and RBIs) are different metrics. Total bases are counted only for hits, while HRRS include hits, runs, and RBIs.
- 😀 A player's total bases do not include walks, being hit by a pitch, or other ways of reaching base, only hits count towards this metric.
- 😀 HRRS count hits, runs, and RBIs, which can happen in different ways, such as a player driving in a run without getting a hit.
- 😀 PropFinder now grades hitters based on both pitcher and hitter batting averages, as well as recent hit rates for the prop being researched.
- 😀 When researching bets, considering the handedness of the starting pitcher is more important than looking at bullpen statistics.
- 😀 WBA (Weighted Batting Average) is the most important metric for researching HRRS, as it combines a player’s ability to get hits, drive in runs, and score runs.
- 😀 A WBA above 370 is considered excellent, and Pete Alonzo’s near 400 WBA against right-handed pitchers suggests he’s a strong candidate for HRRS.
- 😀 The research tool allows users to filter based on splits such as game time, month, and pitcher type to further assess player performance.
- 😀 For total bases, slugging percentage is the key stat. Anything above 500 is good, and over 550 is exceptional for evaluating a player’s ability to hit for extra bases.
- 😀 ISO (Isolated Power) is another important stat for total bases research, showing how often a player hits for extra bases, with anything above 250 being exceptional.
- 😀 The lineup position of a player can also influence their chances of getting RBIs, with positions 2-5 often being the most favorable for hitters to score runs and drive them in.
Q & A
What is the difference between betting on Total Bases and HRRS (Hits, Runs, and RBIs)?
-Total Bases counts only the bases a player earns through hits, while HRRS tracks a player's hits, runs, and RBIs. A player can earn HRRS without even getting a hit.
What types of events are excluded from Total Bases calculation?
-Walks, being hit by a pitch, errors, interference, and other ways a player gets on base do not affect their Total Bases.
How is PF Rating calculated for hitters in PropFinder, and why is it important?
-PF Rating for hitters is calculated based on the pitcher and hitter's batting averages, as well as recent hit rates. This helps assess a player's performance and suitability for betting.
How does the bullpen data impact a batter’s performance analysis in PropFinder?
-Bullpen data shows how a batter performs against the opposing bullpen, but it should be considered secondary to the handedness of the starting pitcher. The small sample size of bullpen data is less reliable.
What is WBA (Weighted Batting Average) and why is it important when researching HRRS?
-WBA reflects a player's ability to get hits, drive in runs, and score. It's a crucial metric for researching HRRS because it directly correlates to a player’s potential to contribute to these stats.
What WBA is considered good for evaluating HRRS?
-A WBA over 370 is considered excellent when evaluating HRRS.
What is the key statistic to research when betting on Total Bases?
-The key statistic for researching Total Bases is **slugging**, which measures the total bases per at-bat.
How is slugging calculated, and what is considered a good slugging percentage?
-Slugging is calculated by dividing the total bases by the number of at-bats. A slugging percentage above .500 is good, and above .550 is considered excellent.
What other statistic, besides slugging, is important for Total Bases research, and why?
-ISO (Isolated Power) is another important statistic for Total Bases. It measures the frequency of extra-base hits by subtracting batting average from slugging. A good ISO is above .200, and above .250 is exceptional.
How does lineup position influence a player's chances of earning Total Bases or HRRS?
-Players batting in the 2-5 range are typically the best hitters, so their chances of earning Total Bases or HRRS are higher. Their teammates’ ability to get on base also impacts the player's opportunities for RBIs and runs.
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