3-Step MLB Sports Betting Strategy Guaranteed To Win 70%+

Summary

This MLB strategy focuses on betting opportunities where batters face pitchers they struggle against, with the goal of betting on the batter to get under 1.5 hits. The strategy is broken down into three key steps: identifying poor matchups, analyzing the batter’s likelihood of underperforming in terms of hits, and understanding how to handle odds efficiently. By targeting high-probability bets, the strategy promises consistent long-term profits, not flashy wins. It's ideal for those looking for steady returns, though it requires using specific sportsbooks like ESPN Bet, Uni Bet, and STN Sports.

Takeaways

• 😀 Look for batters who struggle against a specific pitcher, ideally with at least 10 at-bats and a batting average below .200.
• 😀 Focus on finding batters who have a poor history against a pitcher, not their overall season performance.
• 😀 The ideal scenario for a batter is to have a low batting average (under .200) after at least 10 at-bats against the pitcher.
• 😀 When selecting a bet, focus on finding the probability that the batter will go under 1.5 hits, with a threshold of 70% or higher.
• 😀 To identify a good bet, ensure the batter's probability of going under 1.5 hits is consistently high over the season, like 72% in the example given.
• 😀 The strategy emphasizes the challenge of hitting multiple times against a pitcher the batter doesn't perform well against.
• 😀 For odds, single bets are best for odds below -330, whereas higher odds (e.g., -500 or -700) should be combined in a two-team bet.
• 😀 For a two-team bet, both legs need to have a probability of 80% or higher to ensure a favorable outcome.
• 😀 The betting strategy is designed for people looking for consistent profit, not for those seeking large, quick wins.
• 😀 Sportsbooks like ESPN Bet, Uni Bet, and STN Sports (in Vegas) are the primary platforms where this betting strategy can be used effectively.
• 😀 This strategy requires patience and discipline, and it is ideal for those who are serious about making consistent money, not for casual bettors.

Q & A

What is the first step in the MLB hits strategy?

The first step is to find batters who have a poor batting average (below .200) against a specific pitcher, with at least 10 at-bats. This helps to identify matchups where the batter is unlikely to perform well.

Why is it important to focus on batters with at least 10 at-bats against a pitcher?

Focusing on batters with at least 10 at-bats ensures there's enough data to analyze the batter's performance against the pitcher. This helps to identify a consistent trend rather than just a small sample size.

What does the second step in the strategy involve?

The second step is to find the probability of the hitter going under 1.5 hits for the season. The ideal probability should be 70% or higher, indicating that the hitter is less likely to get more than 1 hit in a game.

Why is the under 1.5 hits bet more significant than under 0.5 hits in this strategy?

The under 1.5 hits bet is more significant because getting a hit in baseball is challenging. Batters can get lucky with a single hit, but getting two hits is much less likely, especially against a pitcher they struggle with.

What is the role of probabilities in this strategy?

Probabilities are crucial as they determine the likelihood of a batter performing below 1.5 hits. The higher the probability, the more likely the bet will be successful. A 70% or higher probability is needed for the strategy to be effective.

How should bettors handle odds of -330 and lower?

If the odds are -330 or lower, bettors can place a single bet, as the probability of success is high enough to justify the risk.

What should bettors do if the odds are above -330?

For odds above -330 (e.g., -500, -700), bettors should combine these bets into a two-team parlay. However, both bets in the parlay need to have an 80% or higher probability to ensure the combined bet has a high chance of winning.

Why is it important to only combine bets with an 80% probability or higher in a parlay?

Combining bets with an 80% or higher probability ensures that the overall parlay has a high chance of success. Lower probabilities increase the risk of losing the combined bet, making it less effective.

What sportsbooks are recommended for using this MLB strategy?

The recommended sportsbooks for this strategy are ESPN Bet, Uni Bet, and STN Sports in Vegas. These platforms allow for the necessary betting options for this strategy.

What should bettors do if they cannot find these betting options in their sportsbook?

If the required betting options are not available in a sportsbook, bettors may not be able to use this strategy effectively. It's important to find sportsbooks that offer these specific betting types to maximize success.