Timing Market Reversals | Market Review Heading Into February

Summary

In this market review for January 31, 2026, the speaker provides an insightful analysis of key financial indices, focusing on the price movements of NASDAQ, ES, and the Dow. The speaker outlines how the markets have been reacting to key support and resistance levels, particularly the daily CB and BC levels. They also discuss market manipulation, the significance of specific price points, and the importance of being prepared for potential shifts due to global events. The analysis sets the stage for February, emphasizing careful observation of market behaviors to make informed trading decisions.

Takeaways

• 😀 The market analysis for January 2026 focuses on the movement of index futures, especially for USD and EUR/USD pairs.
• 😀 The speaker mentions that the past two weeks of livestreams were paused due to a lack of new market insights, but is preparing for more detailed streams in February.
• 😀 The analysis is based on key price levels and patterns, with an emphasis on the daily CB (Change in Behavior) and weekly market openings.
• 😀 The speaker draws attention to the significance of price manipulation around these levels, using terms like ‘sales equity’ and ‘smart money’ to describe market actions.
• 😀 The speaker predicts that the market will either continue moving lower or experience a retracement before making further decisions based on these key levels.
• 😀 The content focuses on maintaining a disciplined approach to trading, sticking to key levels and protocols, and avoiding constantly changing strategies or indicators.
• 😀 The market’s movement between two key levels, the ‘boob box’ and the ‘red box’, is a central theme of the analysis, showing how the market has been following a repetitive pattern.
• 😀 The speaker urges viewers to keep an open mind about the market, stressing that global events and news can cause sudden shifts in market behavior, requiring quick adjustments.
• 😀 The script stresses the importance of understanding global tensions, like in the Middle East and China, and how these may impact market pricing and provide ‘smoke screens’ for manipulation.
• 😀 The speaker emphasizes the importance of not relying on just one-sided bias, as markets are influenced by global events that can alter the market direction unpredictably.

Q & A

Why did the speaker pause the streams over the past two weeks?

The speaker paused the streams because the underlying analysis had not changed. Instead of providing updates, they chose to wait for the markets to reach specific levels and observe their reactions.

What key technical analysis concept is the speaker focusing on?

The speaker is focusing on price ranges, specifically daily and weekly price levels, and using these ranges to anticipate market movements. They reference 'daily BC' and 'daily CB' as key levels to monitor.

What does the speaker mean by 'price manipulation' in the context of the market?

The speaker uses 'price manipulation' to describe moments when the market moves outside of expected ranges, often driven by institutional or market maker actions, which are then followed by a reversal or redistribution of price.

What is the significance of the 'new week opening gap' mentioned by the speaker?

The 'new week opening gap' refers to price gaps that form at the beginning of the week, which the speaker uses as important indicators for monitoring market behavior and possible price action in the coming days.

How does the speaker handle the analysis of the NASDAQ and other indices?

The speaker uses a structured approach, focusing on key price levels such as the daily CB and BC, and monitoring the market’s reaction to these levels. They emphasize that price action, rather than arbitrary patterns or lines, dictates their analysis.

Why does the speaker avoid overcomplicating their charts with numerous indicators or lines?

The speaker prefers to keep their charts simple, using only the most relevant levels. This approach aims to avoid overcomplicating the analysis and to focus on a systematic, repeatable process.

What is the speaker’s general outlook for the markets heading into February?

The speaker believes that the market is in a clear phase and anticipates either a continued downside movement or a potential retracement higher, but they emphasize the importance of remaining open-minded due to external factors.

What is the role of the speaker's public Telegram channel in the analysis?

The public Telegram channel is used by the speaker to provide real-time updates and market insights to followers, including key moments like when to monitor for specific market patterns or price levels.

How does the speaker view the potential for global events affecting the market?

The speaker acknowledges that global events, such as tensions in various regions, may cause market volatility. They caution not to be fearful but to be prepared for potential smoke screens that could lead to heavy market repricing.

What is the importance of SMT (Structural Market Timing) in the speaker's analysis?

SMT is used to identify when a structural market imbalance or shift occurs, particularly when different indices (like NASDAQ and ES) move out of sync with each other. The speaker uses SMT to confirm market direction and anticipate potential price movements.