Elliott wave analysis of Gold, Silver, Dow Jones, S&P 500 , Nasdaq 100 and Bitcoin | April 15 2024
Summary
TLDRIn this informative video, host Shaheen dives into the current state of the bull market, focusing on gold and silver, as well as the US Stock markets including the Dow Jones, NASDAQ, and S&P 500. Shaheen is particularly bullish on gold and silver, anticipating significant price increases in the coming months, with gold potentially reaching $3,600 and silver $40. He also discusses the importance of understanding wave patterns and the potential for extended waves in market movements. Shaheen provides insights into specific companies like Newmont Corporation and Matala, and offers a cautious but optimistic outlook for the crypto market, with a focus on Bitcoin and Ethereum. The video concludes with a bearish stance on the Dow Jones and a detailed analysis of various cryptocurrencies, suggesting a deep movement for coins that have created double tops.
Takeaways
- π The speaker is bullish on gold and silver, expecting significant price increases in the coming months.
- π The market analysis suggests that the price of gold may touch $3,000 per ounce, indicating a strong bullish trend.
- π Silver is also anticipated to reach $40, potentially surpassing several resistance zones, based on the extended wave pattern discussed.
- πΉ The speaker has made investments in specific companies within the gold sector, highlighting a personal bullish stance on these investments.
- π The US stock market, particularly the Dow Jones, is considered to be in a bearish trend, with a potential drop to around 29,000 points.
- π« The support line for Dow Jones has been broken, signaling a continued downward pressure on prices.
- π€ The S&P 500 is showing relative strength compared to Dow Jones, but the speaker remains bearish until a new corrective pattern emerges.
- π The NASDAQ is also in a bearish state, with a broken support line and a completed correctional pattern indicating further price declines.
- π The cryptocurrency market is viewed as bearish, with Bitcoin potentially targeting a price of $20,000 on the downside.
- β The speaker suggests that certain cryptocurrencies that formed double tops, like Ethereum, may experience deeper price corrections.
- π Solana is identified as a potentially good pick for the next bullish run in the crypto market, based on its distinct pattern and recent performance.
Q & A
What is the current market sentiment according to the host Shaheen?
-Shaheen is bullish on the gold and silver markets, expecting significant price increases in the coming months. However, he is bearish on the US Stock Market, particularly on the Dow Jones, expecting further price declines.
Why does Shaheen believe gold is in a bullish market?
-Shaheen cites the significant amount of money printed worldwide during the COVID-19 pandemic and the late reflection of these changes in gold prices as reasons for the bullish sentiment on gold.
What is the potential target price for gold that Shaheen is forecasting?
-Shaheen forecasts a potential target price of $3,600 for gold, expecting a price increase of about $600 per ounce in the next two to three months.
What is the significance of the wave pattern that Shaheen discusses in the context of market analysis?
-The wave pattern is a part of Elliott Wave Theory, which Shaheen uses to predict market trends. He discusses extended wave patterns, indicating a strong bullish or bearish sentiment depending on the market.
How does Shaheen analyze the potential for silver prices?
-Shaheen uses a similar wave analysis for silver, expecting it to touch $40 within a couple of months, indicating an extended wave pattern that suggests a bullish run.
What is Shaheen's stance on the US Stock Market, specifically the Dow Jones?
-Shaheen is bearish on the Dow Jones, expecting it to drop further after breaking a significant support line, with a potential target of around 29,000.
What is the potential target for the S&P 500 index according to Shaheen's analysis?
-Shaheen's analysis suggests a bearish trend for the S&P 500, with a potential target at the bottom of the previous structure, which is not explicitly stated but implied to be lower than the current levels.
What is Shaheen's outlook for Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market?
-Shaheen is bearish on Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market, expecting a significant drop in prices with Bitcoin potentially targeting $20,000 on the downside.
How does Shaheen suggest traders should approach setting stop losses when trading gold and silver?
-Shaheen advises traders to use the previous low as a reference point for setting stop losses, cautioning against setting stop losses too close to the current price to avoid being caught in a potential correction.
What is the importance of labeling waves in market analysis as discussed by Shaheen?
-Labeling waves is crucial as it provides an indication of the current market phase and helps in forecasting future price movements. It is a key aspect of Elliott Wave Theory, which Shaheen uses to predict market trends.
What are Shaheen's thoughts on investing in gold mining companies?
-Shaheen is bullish on certain gold mining companies, specifically mentioning Newmont Corporation and its recent acquisition. He believes that such companies are poised for higher prices in the near future.
What is Shaheen's strategy for trading in the stock and commodities market?
-Shaheen's strategy involves identifying wave patterns and support lines to predict market trends. He emphasizes the importance of being cautious, doing thorough research, and using proper risk management techniques such as setting appropriate stop losses.
Outlines
π Bull Market Analysis and Gold/Silver Market Outlook
Shaheen, the host of the YouTube channel Elliot Principal, discusses the current state of the bull market, addressing concerns about its longevity and the possibility of an all-time high. He emphasizes the bullish nature of the market and the expectation of sharp price movements. Shaheen also touches on geopolitical tensions, specifically between Iran and Israel, and their potential impact on the market. The fundamentals of the stock market are not looking high, and there is a general expectation of a significant correction. Shaheen highlights the importance of gold in the current market, noting its late response to economic changes during the COVID-19 pandemic and predicting a bullish trend for gold and silver. He also discusses the wave patterns in the market and provides specific price predictions for gold, expecting a price increase in the coming months.
π Stock Market Corrections and Silver's Bullish Run
The video script continues with Shaheen focusing on the US Stock markets, including the Dow Jones, NASDAQ, and S&P 500, and their potential for correction. He provides an analysis of the wave patterns, suggesting that the market is in an extended wave, which is a sign of a bullish trend. Shaheen advises viewers on the optimal levels to go long on gold, using specific price points as references. He also discusses the performance of silver, expecting it to reach $40 within a couple of months. Additionally, he mentions the importance of understanding wave patterns and the potential for further extensions in the market. Shaheen also shares his personal investment experiences, including his purchases in Newmont Corporation and his strategy for investing in gold and silver.
π Matala and Zak Silver Corp Investment Insights
Shaheen expresses his bullish stance on Matala, a royalty company that he believes is trading at a low price despite its potential. He discusses his investment strategy, highlighting his larger investments in Newmont and a smaller, riskier investment in Zak Silver Corp. Shaheen provides an update on Zak's performance, noting its significant increase from 10 cents to almost 27 cents, representing a substantial return on investment. He cautions viewers about the risks associated with newer mining companies and emphasizes the importance of conducting thorough research before investing.
π Bearish Outlook on US Stock Market and Cryptocurrencies
The script shifts to Shaheen's analysis of the US Stock Market, particularly the Dow Jones, and its bearish trend. He outlines the wave structure he expects to see and predicts a drop in the Dow Jones to around 29,000. Shaheen also discusses the S&P 500, noting its relative strength compared to the Dow Jones but still expecting a bearish trend. He then transitions to the cryptocurrency market, specifically Bitcoin, and provides an analysis of its wave patterns. Shaheen predicts a potential bearish target for Bitcoin and discusses the importance of support lines and their breaks as indicators of market direction. He also briefly touches on other cryptocurrencies like Matic and Solana, suggesting that some may be good picks for the next bullish run.
π Crypto Market Analysis and Target Predictions
Shaheen concludes the video script with an in-depth analysis of the cryptocurrency market, focusing on Ethereum and its potential target price of $480. He examines the swing structure in the market and suggests that cryptocurrencies that have created double tops may experience deep movements. Shaheen identifies Solana as a particularly good pick for the next bullish run and advises using a logarithmic chart for better analysis. He also discusses the lack of revival chances for certain cryptocurrencies like XRP and Dogecoin, suggesting that the bearish market has already begun. Shaheen ends with well wishes for the viewers' trading endeavors.
Mindmap
Keywords
π‘Bull Market
π‘Correction
π‘Gold
π‘Silver
π‘Wave Theory
π‘NASDAQ
π‘S&P 500
π‘Bear Market
π‘Bitcoin
π‘Double Top
π‘Stop Loss
Highlights
Elliot principal, hosted by Shaheen, discusses the future of the bull market and its potential extent.
Shaheen is particularly interested in the performance of gold and silver in the current market.
The stock market is at an all-time high, and many anticipate a significant correction.
Shaheen notes that gold is in a bullish market and does not expect prices to fall back.
An analysis of the wave patterns in gold pricing suggests a potential rise to $3,600.
Shaheen identifies an extended wave three in gold pricing, indicating significant price movements.
Silver is also in a bullish run, with Shaheen expecting it to easily touch $40 within a few months.
Shaheen discusses the importance of labeling waves in market analysis for trading decisions.
He provides a trading strategy for gold, suggesting using the previous low as a point to go long.
Shaheen shares his recent purchase in the stock of Newmont Corporation, a significant player in gold mining.
He expresses bullish sentiments on Matala, a royalty company trading at a low price.
Shaheen cautions about the risks involved in investing in newer mining companies.
The US Stock Market, including the Dow Jones, NASDAQ, and S&P 500, is analyzed for bearish trends.
Shaheen predicts a potential drop for the Dow Jones to around 29,000 based on wave structure analysis.
NASDAQ is also expected to see a larger swing pattern completion, indicating a bearish trend.
Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum are discussed, with Shaheen taking a bearish stance on Bitcoin.
Shaheen identifies potential targets for Ethereum and Solana, suggesting a deep correction for Ethereum.
He notes that some cryptocurrencies, like XRP and Dogecoin, show no chance of revival in the current market.
Transcripts
welcome back to my YouTube channel
Elliot principal I'm your host Shaheen
today we are trying to answer a very
important question and the question I'm
pretty sure a lot of people are thinking
that even after the reversal of Friday
what is expected to happen how far is
the bull market uh that we have already
seen going on how far it is left and are
we actually buying it alltime high and
how bad is it so we trying to go an
answer for that um for those questions
for gold and silver where we look at it
uh not only that we'll also look at the
US Stock markets that includes do Jones
and NASDAQ and S&P 500 so let's start
let me delete this thing so you can
actually get some idea what you're
looking
for the very important thing to
understand is that we are in a bullish
market so you do not when you get into
the purely bullish Market uh you do not
expect all sorts of Correction prices
moves sharply in a very small period of
time not only that along with that uh
today is also news coming that there's a
uh War probability going high between
Iran and um Israel's and its uh Partners
so that is one thing but we had already
seen the wave going on from the bottom
right over here so the fundamentals are
not looking High the stock market is at
alltime high and a lot of people are
expecting to be a huge correction um
including myself not a correction a bare
Market actually in stock market so if
you look gold in that and also you need
to see how much money has been printed
throughout the world uh during covid so
gold was pretty late very very late to
reflect on those changes in the our Eon
economies and I believe this is the time
that we are actually looking into it so
gold is absolutely in a stunning uh
bullish Market uh do not expect the
prices of gold to fall back somewhere
over here not going to happen rather we
will start from over here uh actually we
should start from over here for now just
ignore this because uh this has taken
months the correction has taken months
we're going to focus on this wave
pattern which is right over here wave
one and two and you can look at it that
wave three and four and five that's
where we expecting the potential to be
uh 3,600 and then we shall see some sort
of Correction and then go up further
there so within the five W structure
this round one we have also smaller
waves as well so we have wave one and
two and right now we are looking at an
extended wave hence the very long wave
of wave three we are actually looking
into an extended wave three and within
that extended wave three we're also
looking that even with that extended
wave has third wave extended in it so
it's a lot of um price movement that we
are seeing interesting price movement
I'm absolutely bullish on gold and
silver both of them here's the chart
that we are trying to bring focus on it
an important point I wanted to uh bring
your attention to it is that the
signature sign of an extended wave right
from the bottom the signator sign of the
extend wave here is that if you look at
the duration wave duration the price uh
of wave one is approximately equal to
right over here too and then we are not
going consider over there because we are
considering that a correction so this
top is uh this wavelength is almost
equal to this one and this is uh one of
the most common uh pattern that we can
see in wave extensions so from now this
on we can expect for uh prices of uh the
similar length going on uh we can have
an Exceptions there is a possibility
that we can see wave three which is
going to be w three of three of three is
going to be quite lengthier so we can
keep that in mind there's a possibility
we can actually um keep that in mind so
we need to bring that over here and
there is a possibility that by the time
uh this wave is over we are touching
somewhere around
2,900 just below 3,000 we can
potentially touch 3,000 and we talking
about this this is expected to happen
within next uh couple of months next two
to three months we're expecting almost
uh six to uh $600 $700 price increase
per ounce in the price of gold so this
is uh the reason labeling is very
crucial at this point is give you an
indication um that where we are right
now so I was expecting a pullback but I
did not forecast the pullback I was
waiting for a pullback to happen so I
can actually go uh with the wind right
over here so we are right now
considering it as wave a wave B and wave
C W2 is expected to be completing uh
anywhere soon in this price range and
then we can use the previous low which
is at
2271 to go long all right we do not want
to use any lows further than below that
so the nearest low that we have is 2275
or 2270 is the low to go long in gold
and I'm expecting the next uh next two
weeks are absolutely going to see be uh
bullish before we can actually see some
uh solid correction something like this
all right we have seen almost $100 drop
a lot of people are surprised that okay
what happened on Friday and I'm much
pretty much bought into the very bottom
of um the stocks that I'm interested in
it so it's very important coin we
bullish at this point and the important
point to keep in mind is that wavelength
of this wave and the wavelength of this
wave are almost equal which is a classic
signature for a clear wave three
extension and I'm expecting that we are
going to see even the third wave further
extended as
well being said that we are just about
to go into wave three of three of three
so we can actually see even larger wave
be really careful now silver when I
indicated in my last video that silver
expected to go to around $30 and I got a
comment that okay uh you know you uh
something like saying that you probably
uh moved your chart too quickly and you
were too probably something like on that
that I was probably too bullish on
Silver so once the start things starts
happening things move very sharply so we
need to bring in
an important point and that is that we
approaching an important resistance
right over here so we are approaching a
very important resistance and we have
seen a correction wave then I believe
that we will be able to clearly go
through this and not only this that this
is one and two and this length is almost
equal to the previous length right from
bottom over here once again indicating
there's a high possibility that we are
expect going through an extended wave
and hence the labeling right over here
so so this is wave one Green Wave 1 and
Green Wave two two and right now from
the bottom we are into the extended
third wave and within the third wave
extension we are looking that the third
wave is further seems extended so let's
and the potential Target I'm looking
there is a possibility that uh within
couple of months we are going to see um
silver touching $40 easily easily and if
that does that that will actually
surpass quite a lot of uh resistance
Zone as well so silver is definitely
into the bullish r run we got to keep an
eye on that let's have a look and uh on
4 hourly chart if you cannot see the
pattern let's have a good look on hourly
time frame and the important point I
wanted to make once again is that this
pattern that we considering is an A B
and C pattern all right is not something
that uh that we have not seen before in
the history and a lot of people are
going to scare it and before the next
move goes on um you can definitely use
the previous low to go long which is
2635 to go long we have almost dropped
$1 uh almost like $2 right so almost $2
drop which is amazing uh given the price
of silver we almost touch $30 so keep an
eye is uh it's a correct point you can
go along by using the previous stop loss
keeping at previous low do not put in
case if this is price reversal has
happened then it's not going to go good
putting your stop loss right over here
is not going to do any good be really
careful and we uh use fin IAL uh
intelligence in uh putting how much
money you want to put in gold and silver
couple of things I wanted to indicate um
believe me uh Euro was this is newon
Corporation and newon Corporation was
right over here at the bottom and I made
my purchase and with Lon Tong I made
some more purchase and I was waiting at
the top right over here I was waiting
for the pullback we got a pullback and
at the end of the day I did make another
purchase at the bottom uh um so that's a
very good move uh for newon we're
expecting further higher and high prices
uh new month is very um lacking quite a
bit so very interesting times for new
mon if you're looking for some strong
company that just made a purchase of
about 122 billion um gold mining company
in Australia so pretty amazing for that
and I believe that all of that is going
to come back and there's a possibility
that within next couple of months we can
see prices to back right over here
somewhere around 73 $74 $75 uh next
couple of months so do once prices gets
in there uh then you know it'll look a
little more expensive for people to buy
and I'll keep going buying up so I'm
absolutely bullish all this wave from
the bottom is wave one and we are
considering this as wave two and right
now we are in wave three so we are
definitely neartime Target is somewhere
75
this STP that we have right over here
which is $72
actually another uh thing that I am
bullish on is
matala so I'm bullish on matala given uh
the design of the company is a royalty
company uh so it's it's trading very low
uh the high that it made is
1687 I put a very small amount in it so
it's not a large portion that I put on
it my large portion went into newm
uh another thing this is both of these
are gold I risked a tiny bit of um my
own uh for Zak silver Corp just in case
so that I can have some exposures to Zak
as it's a it's a risky business because
it's a new business compared to to the
so it's I think right now it's uh the
whole companies worth somewhere around
30 million maybe or or maybe 40 million
I'm not exactly sure the figure about it
you can go and do your own research I am
bullish on Zak Tas it almost gave us
100% of the bottom it was 10 u 10 cents
right over here and I'll go on a daily
chart so I can show you uh how much it
has given
us I joined it on I took the St
on on Friday when Friday closed so I
bought it right at the top of this right
over here but you can give just a month
ago or or even less than that we were
trading right over here at 10 cents and
right now 27 cents almost 170% 75%
already uh from the bottom prices if
someone had bottom bottom bottom but
once again be really careful there's a
lot of risk involved in newer companies
uh newer mining companies as well so do
your own research in that and now the
important point that we want to see is
the US Stock stock market uh we have
seen quite a bit of bearish price action
in US Stock Market and we look into it
we'll also look into crypto but first of
all let's have a look at
the
stocks so dojon is doing pretty
interesting
thing this is
NASDAQ let's start from the Doone okay
and then we'll go down so Doone is not
even ready to go on the backside and my
previous analysis that I told you guys
uh which is right over here that this
wave that actually let me go back in
case someone missed
it so what I said is that I'm expecting
the larger pattern is right over here
wave a wave B and wave C and alternative
count is there's quite a possibility
that we have actually seen some other
sort of wave completing right over here
and and we will keep coming down but for
now the wave structure that we are
looking right now is wave a wave B and
wave C that's where we looking at right
now we have clearly seen uh in I
previous totally told that the support
line is very important and we have
clearly seen the break of that support
line so this is a swing that we are
waiting for in dojon at least if the
largest structure identification is
correct in that case we're waiting for
the prices to come further down back to
somewhere around 29,000 right now is at
close to 30 8,000 so we already broke on
the support line clearly giving us an
indication that the top has been made
right over here so this will keep on
pushing the prices lower I'm clearly
bearish on it so just um we not looking
at small time frame Corrections right
now the largest strend stays on bearish
on do Jones uh given this top right over
here I believe that the top has been
formed right over at this
point S&P 500 is showing some strength
it's not dropped as much but we have
clearly uh seen the drop of the uh sorry
we have clearly seen that the support
line support has been clearly uh Broken
Not only just broke it also rechecked as
well so we have this structure that
forming and I wanted to look at into uh
dojon do Jones even didn't complete that
structure it's so bearish so look at
this structure that we are looking at
right this is a definitely a
correctional structure and the
correctional structure is actually uh
retesting that support area so very very
positive sign to go on the bearish side
uh I'll stay bearish till we actually
see another uh corrective pattern and
then we'll give some wave labeling but
the potential Target for S&P 500 is once
again on the bottom of the previous
structure right over here so this is the
structure that we are looking into it
wave a wave B and wc and we look into
the larger patterns to find a
possibility there could could there be
continuation of the pattern there
definitely could be a continuation of
that so the next thing let's have a look
is NASDAQ right that's NASDAQ so let's
have a look on the hourly time frame
chart this is
hourly and I wanted to sorry I wanted to
show the support line
you can clearly see that the support has
been broken and we have also completed a
correctional pattern right over here too
once again giving us an indication that
we have most probably seen the top right
over here and we are looking for a
larger swing uh pattern to complete
which is right over
here this is the pattern that we looking
at right now for Nasdaq before we can go
further um we can actually look into
because before actually we can close
close it we need to look at uh Bitcoin
and see how Bitcoin is doing
so here's the in my previous analysis I
told you guys that we're looking for the
larger pattern to be exactly as we
looking at the market we're looking at
the larger pattern as wave W wave X and
wave Z right over here a lot of people
say are we going back to 10,000 15,000
let's say it doesn't go back to 10,000
the potential Target is 20,000 on the
bearish side for Bitcoin uh we can go on
a 4H hourly time frame and I in my
previous analysis I told you guys that
there's a possibility that we can
actually see truncation happening for
the wave five right over here so
something went wrong definitely either
we can see that we have completed
with five right over here double top and
clear
truncation because we
clearly uh have started the bearish move
already right here so there's a
possibility that we have already seen
the top right over here the prices needs
to break clearly 60,000 point which is
right now at 59,000 59,000 need to break
clearly to give us an indication that we
have seen the top so 15 159,000 breaks
uh that will be a clear uh an um you
know indication that we have seen the
swing top at right over here and we are
going further low so I'm bearish on
crypto uh let's have a look how Matic is
doing I have a quick look on the
chart oh my
God
I look
it dropped 50% of all it already 1.28
to2 so we definitely have seen a b a top
in crypto
okay um we can do it hch from
340 uh to 160 once again a 50% drop we
have seen the top right over here you
can clearly see um an a a b and V one a
two with three a four and a five
structure we looking for the prices to
come further down right over here back
in the same Zone it's coming into the
same zone right over here okay we had an
amazing run um but we're coming down and
it went sharply down my
God my God so maybe we'll see at the
bottom and we'll see some movement like
this all
right Matic we have already seen
so yeah we have seen the top right over
here okay
actually salana is more beautiful we can
clearly see wave a wave B Wave 1 two
wave three W four and wave five a
smaller wave on the downside a
correction deep correction and downside
so going from 210 to uh 120 is quite a
bit of move and I gave this call uh you
guys can go back to my channel when you
are top right over here and I was
criticized for that which is fine which
is fine so here is
go from 4,000 to 3,000 we have already
lost 25% of the Top Value and we can see
not only that we didn't even create a
new high in ethereum so there's a
possibility that we looking for this
swing that swing and another swing down
back around somewhere around
500ish uh Target let's have a quick look
we can actually bring this one step
further and that will be our Target
right over here for
ethereum our Target is
$480
so good
luck here we go now HRA look at the
swing the structure is completely
different all right while Bitcoin almost
created Double Do Double B Double top
with the previous top head and didn't
even go there all right completely
giberish I believe that the the cryptos
that actually created double top will
have some or actually a deep movement
just like ethereum did right almost uh
very second top very close to the top
previous top all right so this tells you
the strength of the crypto so I would
say Solium um you know Solana is pretty
good pick for the next bullish run and
uh we look at fetch which is pretty good
it made a new high as compared to the
previous one now for the crypto you need
to use a logarithmic chart that gives
you much better picture all right so now
this does not look that
absurd okay this gives you an idea how
how low we are
going anyway that's end uh
xrp no chance of
Revival let's have a
look no chance
to coin a lot of people were
yeah uh let me I'm looking
at no chance for Dogecoin there the
possibility maybe it'll pick up on the
next bullish run but for now we have
completed the bull market clear
indication ship
know no chance of reversal
because we have just started the bearish
market in um in the generic market and
look at how these coins already doing
this is already pump and
dump okay this is
horrible mic I loved it not really good
either
yeah madic is not doing really great as
well however madic is doing one thing
special it is looks like it's giving a
completely different
pattern anyway we'll further discuss
maybe a special video on bitcoin we you
good luck with your trading have a good
one and bye-bye
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