Trump Gets RUDE AWAKENING as his ENTIRE LIFE COLLAPSES

Summary

El guion habla sobre la disminución de las posibilidades de Donald Trump de ganar las elecciones, con números de encuestas en descenso y comportamientos inestables. Mientras tanto, Kamala Harris lidera en encuestas nacionales e importantes estados clave. Trump se encuentra en Nueva York, a pesar de su falta de posibilidades de ganar allí, mientras Harris promueve políticas como la reducción de precios de medicamentos y la asistencia para comprar vivienda. El guion también menciona la reacción negativa de los seguidores de Trump a la reducción de tasas de interés por parte de la Reserva Federal y la situación complicada de la esposa de Trump, Melania, que promueve su libro y su pasado como modelo.

Takeaways

• 📊 La vicepresidenta Kamala Harris está favorita para ganar en 64 de 100 veces según el modelo de predicción de 538, una mejora en sus probabilidades.
• 🔍 En encuestas de estados clave como Michigan, Pensilvania y Wisconsin, Harris lleva la delantera con un margen de 51% a 46% en cada caso.
• 🚀 El sondeo de Fox News muestra a Harris con una ventaja del 50% al 48% sobre Donald Trump, la primera vez que Harris toma la delantera en este sondeo.
• 🌟 Harris está enfocándose en estados que tradicionalmente han sido de balanza como Florida, donde ha habido un aumento de apoyo y entusiasmo.
• 🗣️ Durante un evento, Harris habló sobre sus planes para reducir los costos de la vivienda y la importancia de la negociación de precios de medicamentos por parte de Medicare.
• 🤔 Trump, por otro lado, se encontraba en Nueva York, un estado donde no tiene posibilidades reales de ganar, y realizó comentarios sobre su popularidad y su capacidad para atraer a las multitudes.
• 📉 Trump se muestra crítico con la decisión de la Reserva Federal de reducir los tipos de interés, viéndolo como una señal de una economía en mal estado.
• 💸 La situación financiera de Trump y su empresa se describe como un desastre, con una pérdida de valor a pesar de su apoyo político.
• 🇺🇸 Trump ha estado presionando para incluir el Save Act en un acuerdo de financiamiento gubernamental, algo que tiene cero posibilidades de aprobación y podría afectar negativamente la vida de las personas.
• 📖 Melania Trump lanza un libro y un video relacionado con su trabajo de modelaje desnudo, lo que se considera extraño y poco relevante en el contexto de la campaña presidencial.

Q & A

¿Cuál es la situación actual de las encuestas para la elección presidencial de 2024 según el modelo de predicción de 538?

Según el modelo de predicción de 538, Kamala Harris tiene una probabilidad de ganar 64 veces sobre 100, mientras que Donald Trump tiene una probabilidad de 36 veces sobre 100.

¿En qué estados de batalla lidera Kamala Harris según las encuestas recientes?

Según las encuestas recientes, Kamala Harris lidera en Michigan, Pensilvania y Wisconsin, con un margen de 51% a 46% en Michigan y Pensilvania, y de 49% a 48% en Wisconsin.

¿Cuál fue el resultado de la encuesta de Fox News que impactó recientemente a Donald Trump?

La encuesta de Fox News mostró que Kamala Harris ha tomado la delantera con un 50%, frente al 48% de Donald Trump, siendo la primera vez que Harris lidera en esta encuesta.

¿Qué estado considera la campaña de Kamala Harris como un potencial objetivo en esta elección?

La campaña de Kamala Harris está considerando Florida como un estado potencial para competir, a pesar de que los democratas han tenido dificultades en los ciclos electorales recientes.

¿Qué reacciones tuvo el público en el evento de JD Vance sobre la decisión de la Reserva Federal de reducir las tasas de interés?

El público reaccionó con silbidos y boos cuando JD Vance anunció la decisión de la Reserva Federal de reducir las tasas de interés, lo que indica una percepción negativa de la noticia.

¿Qué dijo Donald Trump sobre la decisión de la Reserva Federal de reducir las tasas de interés?

Donald Trump expresó su desacuerdo con la decisión de la Reserva Federal, sugiriendo que un corte tan significativo indica que la economía está en mal estado o que están jugando políticamente.

¿Cuál es la postura de Donald Trump sobre el Continuing Resolution para financiar al gobierno si no incluye el SAVE Act?

Donald Trump ha instado a los republicanos a no aprobar el Continuing Resolution para financiar al gobierno si no incluye el SAVE Act, una medida que tiene cero posibilidades de pasar en el Senado.

¿Qué es el SAVE Act y por qué es controvertido?

El SAVE Act es una ley que busca hacer el voto más difícil y ha sido criticada por su tendencia a limitar el acceso al voto. Es visto como una medida partidista y ha sido rechazada incluso por algunos republicanos.

¿Qué ha estado haciendo Melania Trump en lugar de acompañar a su esposo en la campaña electoral?

Melania Trump ha estado promocionando su libro y ha lanzado un video sobre su trabajo de modelaje desnudo, lo que ha sido visto como inusual y poco relacionado con la campaña electoral.

¿Cómo se siente el narrador del video sobre la situación actual de la campaña presidencial y la actitud de los republicanos?

El narrador del video se muestra preocupado y crítico con la situación, especialmente con la actitud de los republicanos y la influencia de Donald Trump, y llama a la acción para proteger y mejorar la democracia.

Outlines

00:00

📉 'Donald Trump y la crisis electoral'

El párrafo 1 describe la situación desesperada de Donald Trump, cuyo apoyo en las encuestas se desploma con menos de 50 días para las elecciones presidenciales de 2024. Se menciona que Trump se encuentra en el estado de Nueva York, a pesar de que no tiene posibilidades de ganar allí. Además, se detalla un informe de 538 que da a Kamala Harris un 64% de posibilidades de ganar contra un 36% de Trump. Las encuestas en estados clave también muestran a Harris con una delantera. Trump se enfrenta a una serie de malas noticias, incluyendo una encuesta de Fox News que muestra a Harris por delante por primera vez.

05:01

💊 'Medicare y la lucha por la salud'

El párrafo 2 se enfoca en las políticas de salud y vivienda que Kamala Harris está promoviendo en su campaña. Harris ha logrado dar a Medicare el poder de negociar precios de medicamentos con las grandes farmacéuticas, un cambio que Trump intentó implementar pero no pudo. Además, se menciona el plan de Harris para reducir los costos del alojamiento y ayudar a los compradores de viviendas primeras con una ayuda de $25,000 para la entrada. Harris también advierte sobre los riesgos de que Trump elimine el Affordable Care Act y corte Medicare y Seguridad Social, lo que afectaría a más de 5 millones de latinos.

10:03

📉 'La reacción negativa al corte de tasas de interés'

El párrafo 3 explora la reacción de los seguidores de Trump y de Trump本人 ante el reciente corte de tasas de interés de la Reserva Federal, una medida que generalmente se considera positiva para la economía. Sin embargo, los seguidores de Trump y Trump本人 reaccionaron negativamente, lo que indica una actitud de desear el fracaso de América para poder presentarse como salvadores. También se menciona la situación financiera precaria de la empresa de Trump y cómo esto afecta no solo a él sino también al partido Republicano.

15:05

📖 'Melania Trump y la promoción de su libro'

El párrafo 4 aborda la actitud de Melania Trump hacia la campaña de su esposo, quien en lugar de unirse a él en el camino de la campaña, está promocionando su libro y hablando sobre su pasado como modelo. Se sugiere que este comportamiento es inusual y poco profesional para una esposa de candidato a la presidencia tan cerca de las elecciones. El vídeo que lanzó Melania sobre su trabajo de modelaje nude es destacado como un ejemplo de su enfoque en asuntos personales en lugar de la campaña.

Keywords

💡Elección presidencial

La 'Elección presidencial' se refiere al proceso democrático por el cual se elige al presidente de un país. En el guion, se menciona que hay menos de 50 días antes de la elección de 2024, lo que indica que es un tema central ya que afecta directamente a las acciones y estrategias de los personajes mencionados.

💡Donald Trump

Donald Trump es una figura política estadounidense prominente, mencionado en el guion como una de las figuras clave en la elección presidencial. Se discute su presencia en el estado de Nueva York y su comportamiento, lo que sugiere que su papel y acciones son relevantes para el tema y el mensaje del video.

💡Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris es la Vicepresidenta de los Estados Unidos y se la menciona en el guion como la favorita para ganar la elección presidencial. La mención de su liderazgo en las encuestas y su activismo político demuestra su relevancia en el contexto de la elección presidencial.

💡Encuestas

Las 'Encuestas' son métodos utilizados para medir la opinión pública o las preferencias de los votantes. En el guion, se mencionan varias encuestas que muestran a Harris en la delantera, lo que indica que las encuestas son un elemento clave en la narrativa del video sobre la elección presidencial.

💡Estados clave

Los 'Estados clave' son aquellos que son cruciales para determinar el resultado de una elección presidencial debido a su influencia en el colegio electoral. En el guion, se mencionan estados como Michigan, Pensilvania y Wisconsin, lo que subraya su importancia en la estrategia electoral.

💡Medicare

Medicare es un programa gubernamental de seguro médico para personas mayores en los Estados Unidos. En el guion, se discute la capacidad de Medicare para negociar precios de medicamentos, lo que muestra cómo los temas de políticas de salud son parte integral del debate político en la elección.

💡Affordable Care Act

La 'Affordable Care Act', también conocida como Obamacare, es una ley que busca mejorar el acceso a la atención médica en los Estados Unidos. En el guion, se menciona el plan de Trump para poner fin a esta ley, lo que demuestra cómo los temas de salud son un punto de discusión en la campaña presidencial.

💡Social Security

La 'Seguridad Social' es un programa de bienestar que proporciona beneficios a los jubilados y a personas con discapacidades en los Estados Unidos. El guion sugiere que hay planes para recortar el programa, lo que indica que es un tema de preocupación en la elección presidencial.

💡Maga

Maga es un acrónimo de 'Make America Great Again', el lema de la campaña presidencial de Trump. En el guion, se utiliza para describir un movimiento político que se opone a las noticias positivas para los estadounidenses, lo que muestra cómo este término se utiliza para caracterizar a un grupo específico de votantes.

💡Continuing resolution

Una 'continuing resolution' es un tipo de ley que mantiene el funcionamiento del gobierno durante un período limitado cuando no se ha aprobado un presupuesto completo. En el guion, se menciona el deseo de Trump de incluir el Save Act en tal resolución, lo que muestra cómo los temas de financiamiento y políticas son parte de las negociaciones políticas.

Highlights

Donald Trump's chances of winning the election are decreasing rapidly.

538's prediction model shows Vice President Kamala Harris is favored to win 64 times out of 100.

State polls from Quinnipiac show Harris leading in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

The Economist yugov poll has Harris leading with 49% to Trump's 45%.

Fox News poll shows Harris ahead for the first time, with 50% to Trump's 48%.

Harris campaign views Florida as a potential battleground state.

Donald Trump claims he will win New York, a state he has no chance of winning.

Trump's campaign is characterized by unhinged behavior and a lack of focus on winning strategies.

Trump compares himself to Elvis, claiming to be the greatest of all time.

Vice President Harris discusses policy plans to help the American people, including lowering drug prices and increasing housing affordability.

Harris warns of Trump's plans to end the Affordable Care Act and cut Social Security and Medicare.

JD Vance's reaction to the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates is met with boos from the crowd.

Trump expresses anger over the Fed's decision to cut interest rates, suggesting it indicates a bad economy.

Trump's influence is causing the Republican party's stock to crash.

Trump is pushing for a continuing resolution that includes the SAVE Act, which has no chance of passing.

Melania Trump releases a video about her nude modeling work, detracting from the election's seriousness.

Call to action for viewers to support a government that works for the people and to restore democracy.

Transcripts

so what do you do when your chances of

winning the election are decreasing by

the hour when your poll numbers are

crashing hard and your entire life is

falling apart with under 50 days before

the 2024 election well if you're Donald

Trump you're spending your time in the

swing state of New York for some reason

of course I say that sarcastically but

that's exactly what Donald Trump was

doing yesterday let me break down the

data and then I'm going to get into

Trump's deranged and unhinged Behavior

over the past 24 hours he received a

whole bunch of really bad news so 538

released their latest update on their

prediction model and it is very good

news for vice president kamla Harris

vice president kamla Harris is now

favored to win 64 times out of 100

compared to Donald Trump's 36 times out

of 100 now still that's no reason to

ever get complacent that is still a

solid chance for Trump right there but

this is Vice President kamla Harris's

biggest numbers in this prediction model

yet she is ahead by the most than she

has been all election cycle big big news

there now let's look at the state polls

Quinnipiac released a whole bunch of

polls in some of the Battleground States

in Michigan Harris leads 51 to 46 in

Pennsylvania Harris leads 51 to 46 as

well and in Wisconsin Harris is up 149

to 48% let's go to The Economist yugov

poll kamla Harris leads 49% to Donald

Trump's 45% there and this was a huge

bombshell in the past 24 hours the Fox

News news National poll which is an

a-rated poll by the way kamla Harris has

pulled ahead is now up 50% to Donald

Trump's 48% this is the first time that

vice president Harris has taken the lead

in this poll in the previous Fox News

poll Donald Trump was up one so expect

the catchup to be flying When Donald

Trump is back in Mara Lago and as we see

all these polls come in and kamla Harris

continue to rise in the Battleground

states in the National polling we see

vice president kamla Harris also

starting to rise in former kind of Swing

States like Florida that have slipped

away from the Democrats in recent

election Cycles D Doug mhof told the

room of donors in Manhattan on Wednesday

that the Harris campaign views Florida

as a potential background he was just

there he said the map is wide open and

we need money to compete in seven and

possibly eight states I was just in

Florida at The Villages and it was wild

it was way more people than we thought

and there was a lot of excitement and

we're going to see what we can do down

in Florida I love that vice president

Harris and the Democrats are paying

attention to Florida this cycle

meanwhile as I said Donald Trump is

spending this last important stretch of

the campaign now in a state that he has

no chance of winning and so he is in New

York he's on Long Island our hometown

actually and what does Donald Trump do

well he first says he's going to win New

York now play

it and the reason I'm here is because

hasn't been done in many

decades it hasn't been done for a long

time but we are going to win New

York Donald Trump now echoing the same

line that he's used in 2016 and in 2020

telling New Yorkers what the hell do you

have to lose vote for me check this out

vote for Donald Trump what the hell do

you have to lose what do you have to

lose well last time you were president

like over a million people died and now

there are the abortion Bans are causing

people to die across the country the

entire economy crashed so I think people

have quite a lot to lose actually if you

really want to know the answer to that

question but let's see what else Donald

Trump was saying at this event in New

York uh in all of his humility Donald

Trump said that he is the greatest all

time maybe even greater than Elvis check

it

out so I'd call up my wife and I'd say

baby who could draw crowds nobody can

draw crowd like me nobody not even close

I'm the greatest of all time may be

greater even than Elvis because Elvis

had a guitar I don't have a guitar Elvis

had a guitar I don't have the privilege

of a guitar then Donald Trump was saying

things that just made me super

uncomfortable honestly check this

out but I'd say baby who could do it

like me nobody can do it like me how

great am

I and she'd say

you know and she'd

say I'd say how great was the speech not

how good how great was it yeah I'm glad

I didn't eat yet uh after watching that

my God anyway uh vice president Harris

was actually hitting the campaign Trail

this was at the Hispanic caucus

Institute leadership event and KLA

Harris was actually speaking about her

policies what she wants to do to help

the American people and vice president

Harris was saying you know if Trump wins

his allies already intend to end

medicare's power to negotiate lower drug

prices this is true they are planning

this right now and one of the craziest

things about this is this was a policy

that Trump at first was trying to get

done Trump was trying to get Medicare to

be able to negotiate drug prices until

he spoke with the pharmaceutical

industry and they stepped in and a lot

of presidents have tried this and failed

but President Biden and vice president

Harris actually got it done here vice

president Harris's statements on this we

because of our work together have

finally given Medicare the power to

negotiate lower drug prices with big

Pharma and understand if my opponent

Donald Trump wins his allies in Congress

intend to end

Medicare and end medicare's negotiating

power as they remind us again this week

they are essentially saying check this

out because if because you know you have

to ask why

right so why would you want to end

medicare's negotiating power against big

Pharma and essentially they're saying

that it's not fair to Big

Pharma that's essentially what they're

saying but I'll tell you what's not fair

what's not fair is that our seniors for

too long have had to cut pills in half

because they cannot afford their full

medication that's not

fair it's not fair that our seniors have

had to choose CH between filling their

prescriptions and putting food in their

refrigerator or paying their rent that's

not

fair and that's why we will continue to

do our work together including fight

project 2025 an agenda that would cut

Medicare and increase the cost of

Healthcare in our

C vice president Harris also telling the

caucus about our plans to lower the cost

of housing we need to take that on we

need to lower the cost of housing we

don't have enough housing in our country

the supply is too low and it's too

expensive both for renters and for folks

who want to buy a home so we will get

Build Together millions of new homes and

give firsttime home buyers

$25,000 in down payment

assistance because look people just want

to get their foot in the door I my

mother worked hard she saved up it

wasn't until I was a teenager that she

was able to buy our first home and the

American dream is elusive for far too

many people increasingly and that's why

it is part of my perspective that let's

just do the work of giving firsttime

home buyers a

$25,000 down payment assistance let them

get their foot in the

door vice president Harris also telling

the crowd about Trump's plan to end the

Affordable Care Act and kick people off

their healthcare plans they would cut

Social Security and medic care they

intend to end the Affordable Care Act

and threaten the health care of more

than 5 million Latinos in our country

all based on I'm sure many of you saw

the debate

um so on that point about the Affordable

Care Act all based on concepts of a

plan

Concepts Concepts

their project 2025 agenda would pull our

nation

backward but we are not going back we

are not going back we are not going back

instead together we will chart a new way

forward because ours is a fight for the

future and now let's check in with JD

Vance who was speaking to a small crowd

and he was speaking about the fed's

decision yesterday this was very big

news the Federal Reserve decided to cut

the interest rates by 50 bases points

it's the first cut in over four years to

the interest rates it's going to be

great for Americans it's going to really

boost the economy allow for more

investment allow for folks to borrow

money for cheaper it's going to have a

huge Rippling effect so of course when

JD Vance announced this to the crowd

this was their reaction question is

really quickly just on the FED cutting

it's a very Wall Street Journal question

but the FED cut the interest rate today

by a half a percentage Point going to

alleviate inflation for a lot of people

and so if you have any reaction to that

we'd love well look my my reaction

is my my my my reaction is a a half a

point is nothing compared to what

American families have been dealing with

for the last three

years and this is one of the things

about Trump and Maga and JD Vance they

hate when America gets good news they

just want America to completely collapse

so that they could be the Savior so that

they could be the ones who come in and

say we are the ones who could fix it so

when good things happen for Americans

they boo and it's just so odd to see

that crowd of supporters there booing

for something that's going to help them

hey even if something good happened

while Trump was President I'd be happy

about it if it was going to help my life

but it shows you this kind of cult

mentality that exists within this magga

movement and something that we really

have to move Beyond this is not a

democratic issue or a republican issue

or an independent issue we should all be

happy about news that is going to help

us meanwhile Donald Trump went to this

New York City Bitcoin bar and you could

just tell that he was so incredibly

angry about the FED cutting

rates thank you everybody sir what's

your reaction to the FED cutting

interest rates

today I guess it shows the economy is

very bad to cut it by that much uh

assuming they're not just playing

politics the uh economy would be very

bad or they're playing politics one or

the other but it was a big cut Mr

President any all right now it's that

time of the show we get to check in with

Donald Trump's stock the Dow has reached

record highs the NASDAQ has reached

record highs the S&P 500 has reached

record high so let's check in and see

how Donald Trump stock is doing o and it

is a disaster it is crashing hard that's

right the billionaire so-called

businessman whose company has no

earnings and is losing money continues

to watch his stock sink despite

successfully conning cultist to put

their faith in him losing all their

money and so Donald Trump is not just

bringing his stock down with him he is

bringing down the entire Republican

party and he's trying to bring down the

entire country as we were saying before

Donald Trump loves when America fails he

roots for America's failure and Donald

Trump has been doing just that in the

past 24 hours Donald Trump said that

Republicans should not agree to A

continuing resolution to keep the

government funded if it does not include

the save act which is something that has

zero chance of passing whatsoever it

would never get out of this Senate it's

designed to make voting harder Donald

Trump is trying to put up these barriers

to help himself and he forced Mike

Johnson to jam in the save act to this

continuing resolution of course the vote

happened and it failed because

Republicans even refused to vote against

this cockamamy thing um Mike Johnson

getting another humiliation here from

Donald Trump and once again looks like

one of the worst speakers if not the

worst speaker in history though it's

hard to beat Kevin McCarthy uh let be

fair here here was speaker Johnson just

dead silent when he was asked if he was

able to pass the continuing resolution

plus the save act which at the floor

yesterday is this vote going to pass

speaker and so he clearly knew that it

was never going to pass more than a

dozen of his GOP members indicated that

they were going to oppose the measure

they successfully sunk it just another

line just another thing in a line of

Epic humiliations for speaker Mike

Johnson and what we realize here at the

m touch network is that Mike Johnson

would rather lose than stand up to

Donald Trump and it's like all these

Republicans like grow a spine do what is

best for the United States of America

people's lives are on the line this

isn't like a game right here that you

could play this these are people's

paychecks this is going to really affect

people's lives I know it doesn't affect

Donald Trump's lives or speaker Mike

Johnson's life but it's going to affect

all of our lives so can we put politics

aside and do the bare minimum and keep

the government open please that's all

we're asking here do the bare minimum so

less than 50 days before election day

what do you think Melania Trump is doing

she must be with her husband on the

campaign Trail showing how much she

supports him but no you may have guessed

wrong now I know you guys didn't guess

that but Melania Trump is uh moved on

from selling nfts and from her bracelets

and she's now trying to sell her book

and yesterday she released this very

strange video about her nude modeling

work and you could see the post here

where she was trying to explain to

people why do I stand proudly behind my

nude modeling work very strange stuff to

be posting you know 48 47 or so days

before election day when your husband is

running for president just the whole

thing is so weird you know at the event

yesterday Donald Trump was speaking

about Melania and he was saying you know

people love our first lady she just

wrote a book called Melania and when he

was talking about the book I don't know

about you but it felt to me like he

hasn't even redit check this

out go out and get a book she just wrote

a book I hope she said good things about

I don't know I didn't so busy she just

wrote a book called melan I go out and

buy it it's

great and if she says bad things about

me I'll call you all up and I'll say

don't buy it get rid

of no but yeah there's no chance that he

read it zero chance that he read it this

is all very strange stuff none of this

is normal folks don't accept this as

normal but at least use all the

craziness that I just showed you to

inspire you to want to defeat what we

just saw we could live in an America

where you actually have government that

works for you not a government that

works to that works against you and

wants America to fail and we need to

continue to work to restore our

democracy to continue to ensure that we

have a strong democracy and that these

Maga Republicans don't control Our Lives

enough is enough thank you so much for

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