"BE READY! 5-Digit Gold Prices Are Near..." - Rafi Farber | Gold Silver Price
Summary
TLDRThe script discusses the intrinsic value of gold as a monetary standard, contrasting it with fiat currencies like the dollar. It explains the historical transition from silver to gold standards and the potential for a 'crack-up boom', a hyperinflation scenario where the value of money plummets. The speaker emphasizes the importance of holding physical gold and silver over paper assets or ETFs, predicting a future where trust in money substitutes is lost, and physical precious metals become the primary store of value.
Takeaways
- ๐ฐ Gold is considered the ultimate form of money, and the value of paper currency is derived from its historical equivalence to gold or silver.
- ๐ The Monetary Regression Principle states that the understanding of current prices is based on historical prices, which is crucial for the division of labor and the functioning of an economy.
- ๐ท The dollar originally started as a silver standard before transitioning to a gold standard, which was a method of wealth transfer from the middle class to the wealthy.
- ๐ The illusion of a stable gold value for the dollar can lead to economic depression, as seen when the gold price was adjusted from $21 to $35 in 1933.
- ๐ The true monetary value of gold could be significantly higher than its current market price if everyone attempted to exchange their dollars for gold simultaneously.
- ๐ธ The concept of a 'crack-up boom', as described by Austrian Economist Ludwig von Mises, refers to a hyperinflationary period where the value of money substitutes falls to zero.
- ๐ A global crack-up boom could result in a scenario similar to historical hyperinflationary events, affecting all countries and economies.
- ๐ In the event of a currency collapse, physical assets like gold and silver could become extremely valuable, allowing individuals to acquire significant resources.
- ๐ญ Gold and silver mining companies may be in a unique position to provide real dividends in gold and silver during a currency collapse, offering a form of tangible wealth.
- ๐ ETFs like GLD and physical gold are not equivalent; while ETFs are useful for speculation, they may not be reliable sources of physical gold in a crisis.
- โ๏ธ In the endgame scenario, the speaker advocates for a free market in money with competing currencies, where dishonest ones fail, and honest ones thrive.
Q & A
What is the monetary regression principle mentioned in the script?
-The monetary regression principle is the concept that the only reason we can determine current prices is because we have knowledge of past prices. Without this historical context, prices would be arbitrary, and the division of labor and the economy would break down.
Why is the dollar considered a gold substitute according to the script?
-The dollar is considered a gold substitute because when you exchange it for goods and services, you are essentially exchanging the gold or silver value that the dollar represents, not just a piece of paper.
How did the dollar's origin relate to the silver and gold standards?
-The dollar was born as a silver standard and later transitioned to a gold standard, which was a transfer of wealth from the middle class who owned silver to the wealthy who owned gold.
What is the significance of the gold to dollar exchange rate change in 1933?
-The change in the gold to dollar exchange rate from 21 to 35 in 1933 was an admission by the government that the previous exchange rate was not sustainable, leading to the Great Depression.
What is the difference between the industrial price and the monetary price of gold?
-The industrial price of gold is the price seen on the futures exchange, reflecting the demand for gold in industrial applications. The monetary price is the hypothetical price that would result if everyone tried to exchange their dollars for gold, which could be significantly higher.
What is the 'crack up boom' as described by Austrian Economist Ludwig von Mises?
-The 'crack up boom' is a term used to describe a situation where economic activity in fiat currency terms increases rapidly, leading to hyperinflation. It is characterized by people wanting to spend their money as quickly as possible to avoid holding onto rapidly depreciating currency.
How does the script relate the endgame scenario to historical hyperinflationary events?
-The script suggests that the endgame scenario will be similar to historical hyperinflationary events, such as those in Weimar Germany or Zimbabwe, where the value of currency collapsed and people sought alternative stores of value like gold.
Why might physical gold and silver be more valuable than ETFs in an endgame scenario?
-Physical gold and silver are more valuable in an endgame scenario because they are tangible assets that can be held and used for transactions when trust in currency substitutes is broken. ETFs, being financial instruments, may not be deliverable in such a scenario.
What is the role of gold mining stocks in the endgame scenario according to the script?
-Gold mining stocks are advocated as a way to potentially receive real dividends in the form of gold and silver certificates when the currency collapses. These companies may be able to provide tangible assets as dividends, unlike ETFs.
Why does the script suggest that a free market in money is necessary?
-A free market in money is suggested as necessary to allow for competing currencies, which would encourage trustworthiness and eliminate dishonest money substitutes. This would lead to a more stable and reliable monetary system.
What is the potential outcome for people holding physical gold and silver during the initial phase of the endgame scenario?
-The script suggests that people holding physical gold and silver could amass huge amounts of real resources as their purchasing power would increase significantly when the value of currency substitutes collapses.
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