Does Bitcoin Have Intrinsic Value?
Summary
TLDRMatthew Cradder from Bitcoin University addresses the question of Bitcoin's intrinsic value, countering common criticisms and comparing it with gold and fiat currencies. He argues that Bitcoin's value lies in its robust global monetary network, verifiable scarcity, and utility as a digital bearer asset, despite lacking the traditional 'intrinsic value' seen in physical commodities or cash flows. The video challenges the notion of intrinsic value itself, suggesting it's a concept more applicable to human attributes than financial assets, and highlights Bitcoin's growing strength relative to gold over the past 14 years.
Takeaways
- π€ The debate on whether Bitcoin has intrinsic value is often raised by gold advocates, who themselves struggle to define gold's intrinsic value beyond its industrial use.
- π Gold's value is primarily a monetary premium, and if it were demonetized, its value could plummet to its industrial commodity value.
- π Bitcoin's value has been strengthening relative to gold over the past 14 years, indicating a shift in perception and utility.
- π΅ The intrinsic value of a currency like the US dollar is not in the physical cost of production but in its market value and purchasing power, which has been eroding over time.
- π¦ The value of assets like Bitcoin doesn't require government endorsement; they can serve as a store of value when traditional money fails.
- π¨ The intrinsic value of non-financial assets like art is also subjective and based on market perception rather than any inherent material worth.
- π In finance, intrinsic value is often a theoretical construct with varying interpretations, such as in the context of options or commodities production costs.
- 𧩠The concept of intrinsic value in stocks is elusive and can differ widely among investors, as seen with Warren Buffett's changing views on tech stocks.
- π‘ The speaker argues that there is no such thing as intrinsic value in a financial sense; market value is what dictates an asset's worth, which can fluctuate significantly.
- π Bitcoin's value comes from its robust global monetary network, verifiable scarcity, and utility as a permissionless digital asset.
- π Bitcoin's utility is particularly evident in countries with unstable currencies or banking systems, providing an alternative for storing and transferring value.
Q & A
What is the main argument of Matthew Cradder in the video?
-Matthew Cradder argues that Bitcoin does have value, contrary to common criticisms, and challenges the notion of intrinsic value in various asset classes, including gold and fiat currencies.
What is Cradder's view on the intrinsic value of gold?
-Cradder suggests that most of gold's value is attributed to its monetary premium rather than its industrial value, and that gold is in the process of being demonetized by Bitcoin.
How does Cradder address the scalability, energy usage, and transaction speed of Bitcoin?
-He mentions that these topics were addressed in a previous video, implying that common objections to Bitcoin's scalability, energy usage, and transaction speed have been refuted or contextualized there.
What is the significance of the chart Cradder refers to in the video?
-The chart shows the relative strength of Bitcoin to gold over time, indicating Bitcoin's increasing dominance and the potential for gold's value to decrease if it continues to be demonetized.
What does Cradder believe about the intrinsic value of fiat currencies?
-He argues that the intrinsic value of fiat currencies is not in the physical cost of production but in the market's valuation relative to other currencies and real goods and services.
How does Cradder define 'intrinsic value' in the context of financial assets?
-Cradder posits that there is no such thing as intrinsic value in the financial sense for assets; they only have market value, which can fluctuate significantly over time.
What is Cradder's stance on the value of digital assets like Bitcoin?
-He asserts that digital assets like Bitcoin can have value due to their utility, network effects, and the ability to store and transfer value without intermediaries.
Why does Cradder believe that some people dismiss Bitcoin without understanding it?
-He suggests that those who dismiss Bitcoin often do so out of ignorance or intellectual arrogance, without taking the time to understand its underlying technology and market dynamics.
How does Cradder respond to the criticism that Bitcoin has no cash flows?
-He points out that many valuable assets, such as gold, art, and even tech stocks like Amazon at one point, have value without generating cash flows, and that Bitcoin's value comes from its utility and network effects.
What is the importance of network effects in the context of Bitcoin, according to Cradder?
-Network effects are crucial for Bitcoin because they contribute to its value and utility. The more people who use and trust Bitcoin, the more valuable and useful it becomes, similar to social networks like Facebook.
What is Cradder's view on the role of central banks and their impact on financial stability?
-He criticizes central banks for their track record of financial instability, citing hyperinflation, stock market crashes, and the erosion of purchasing power, suggesting that Bitcoin offers an alternative to this system.
Outlines
π€ Intrinsic Value of Bitcoin vs. Gold and Fiat
Matthew Cradder from Bitcoin University addresses the question of whether Bitcoin has intrinsic value. He discusses common objections to Bitcoin, such as scalability, energy usage, transaction speed, and fees, and compares these to gold, which is often cited as having intrinsic value. Cradder challenges the notion that gold has a clear intrinsic value, arguing that much of its value comes from its function as money rather than its industrial uses. He suggests that if gold were to be demonetized, its value would plummet, and presents a chart showing Bitcoin's relative strength against gold over the past 14 years. He also touches on the intrinsic value of fiat currencies, suggesting that their value is largely based on their function as money and the trust in the issuing government.
π‘ Reevaluating Intrinsic Value in Various Asset Classes
The script delves into the concept of intrinsic value across different financial assets. It questions the intrinsic value of gold, commodities, and stocks, pointing out that these values are often subjective and can fluctuate significantly. For commodities, the script notes that production costs do not necessarily equate to intrinsic value, as seen in the historical valuation of crude oil. When it comes to stocks, the intrinsic value is often a matter of debate among investors, with Warren Buffett's changing stance on tech stocks as a case in point. The paragraph emphasizes that the term 'intrinsic value' is often misused and misunderstood, and that financial assets do not possess a fixed intrinsic value but rather a market value that is subject to change.
πΌ Bitcoin's Utility and Value Beyond Traditional Metrics
Cradder argues against the assertion that Bitcoin lacks value because it doesn't have 'intrinsic value' in the traditional sense. He points out that digital assets like Bitcoin can have value based on their utility and network effects, similar to social networks like Facebook and Instagram. Bitcoin, he explains, is a robust global monetary network with verifiable scarcity, which is enforced by its proof-of-work system. Its value comes from its ability to function as a unit of account and a bearer asset that can be transferred globally without the need for intermediaries. He criticizes those who dismiss Bitcoin due to a lack of understanding of its technological and economic underpinnings, and highlights the importance of Bitcoin in regions with unstable currencies or banking systems.
Mindmap
Keywords
π‘Intrinsic Value
π‘Bitcoin
π‘Gold Bugs
π‘Demonetization
π‘Fiat Currency
π‘Monetary Premium
π‘Proof of Work
π‘Network Effects
π‘Scarcity
π‘Utility Value
π‘Bearer Assets
Highlights
Matthew Cradder from Bitcoin University addresses the question of whether Bitcoin has intrinsic value.
Critiques of Bitcoin often come from gold bugs who argue for gold's intrinsic value without being able to define it.
Gold's value is largely attributed to its monetary premium rather than industrial use.
The process of gold being demonetized by Bitcoin is illustrated through a chart showing Bitcoin's strength relative to gold.
Intrinsic value of fiat currencies like the US dollar is not based on the cost of printing but on market value and purchasing power.
Central banks' issuance of money that loses value over time is a key driver of the US dollar's devaluation.
Assets like rare comic books and beanie babies can serve as monetary stores of value without government endorsement.
The intrinsic value of fine art investments is not measurable but is subject to market value fluctuations.
Options trading uses a different definition of intrinsic value related to how much in the money an option is.
Commodity intrinsic value is not fixed and can change with production costs and market demand.
The intrinsic value of stocks as discussed by value investors is often inconsistent and unreliable.
Critics of Bitcoin's lack of intrinsic value often fail to understand or define what intrinsic value means for other assets.
Bitcoin has had monetary value since its early days, as evidenced by the purchase of two pizzas for 10,000 Bitcoin.
Bitcoin's network effects, similar to social networks, contribute to its value.
Bearer assets like gold and art have value without cash flows, and Bitcoin is no different.
Bitcoin's utility value is evident in countries with unstable banking systems or fiat currency crises.
Central bankers' track record of financial stability is poor, highlighting the need for alternatives like Bitcoin.
Bitcoin's recognition as a global brand contributes to its value and appeal.
The video concludes by challenging the notion that Bitcoin has no value, arguing against intellectual arrogance and ignorance.
Transcripts
this is Matthew cradder from Bitcoin
University and today I wanted to answer
the question does Bitcoin have intrinsic
value this is a follow-up to yesterday's
video in which I addressed many of the
major objections or fud to bitcoin
including Bitcoin scalability it's
energy usage it's speed the price of
Bitcoin and the price of its transaction
fee so you can definitely watch that
video first if you want and I will link
to it in the description notes below you
hear it very commonly that Bitcoin has
no intrinsic value this is usually a
statement that's made by gold bugs in my
experience as an argument why you should
own gold instead of Bitcoin but there's
a problem with this because those same
gold bugs don't seem to be able to even
tell you the intrinsic value of gold
itself is the intrinsic value of gold
its industrial value for example demand
caused by Gold's use in electronics
Gold's use as a catalyst in various
industrial processes if so that's
actually a pretty poor argument for why
you should own gold instead of something
else because ninety percent of of Gold's
value can actually be attributed to its
monetary premium its usage as money
rather than as an industrial commodity
the only reason that gold trades above
its industrial commodity value these
days is because lots of people in the
world still treated as fulfilling some
of the functions of money like store
value and if gold is Ever demonetized by
Bitcoin or something else its price will
fall 90 percent all else being equal
down to its industrial value with
perhaps some small artistic or jewelry
premium thrown in and this is not just a
theoretical argument gold has been in
the process of being demonetized by
Bitcoin for the past 14 years if you
know gold bug you should show them this
chart and ask them if they feel lucky as
this chart goes down that means that
Bitcoin is strengthening relative to
Gold if the chart goes up that means
that gold as well is strengthening
relative to bitcoin and we can see that
it's been ugly
ugly
ugly ugly and this is one reason that
gold bugs really don't understand
Bitcoin and don't like Bitcoin because
they're in the process of being
demonetized so when you ask what's the
intrinsic value of Bitcoin or what's the
intrinsic value of gold it's interesting
to apply the same question to different
asset classes to currencies to Fiat
currencies what's the intrinsic value of
a US dollar for example printing a one
dollar bill costs about five cents
printing a hundred dollar bill costs
about 15 cents but knowing the intrinsic
value of the paper that these currencies
are printed on doesn't really tell you
much what matters is what the market
values it at relative to other Fiat
currencies in terms of currency exchange
rates and also most most importantly
relative to real goods and services so
when I was a kid a dollar used to buy
you two Big Macs today if you're lucky
it buys you a fifth of a Big Mac and
this is because Central Bankers are
really good at issuing money that loses
value over time the US dollar drives
much of its current value in other words
it's premium it's monetary premium over
the cost of the paper that it's printed
on or the electric City that's used to
transmit it digitally digitally the US
dollar drives much of its current value
above that its monetary premium from the
U.S war machine in other words proof of
War versus something that like bitcoin's
proof of work US dollar also drives much
of its current value from men with guns
who will put you into a metal box if you
don't pay your annual extortion money
also call taxes using U.S dollars if
you're enjoying this video so far I just
ask you to help to support this channel
by clicking the Subscribe button
clicking the like button and leaving a
comment here's another important point
you don't need the government's blessing
or endorsement for something to function
as a monetary store of value when the
money is bad lots of other things begin
to take on the functions of money as a
store of value some people like to store
their Savings in rare comic books some
people like to store their Savings in
beanie babies and we can't really argue
with these in the sense that they can be
fads but sometimes they do end up
storing and securing value much better
than Fiat currencies so let's ask this
question and what is the intrinsic value
of different investment classes because
this will help us to Circle back and
decide what the intrinsic value of
Bitcoin is so for example when it comes
to Fine Art Investments what's the
intrinsic value of a painting can you
crack it open or peel back the paint or
the canvas to see the intrinsic value of
course you can't paintings do not have
an intrinsic value rather they have a
market value that changes over time when
the family of Rudolph
purchased this Gogan painting or when he
purchased it it's very unlikely he paid
very much for it when he bought it from
Gogan but this turned out to be one of
the highest priced paintings I believe
the highest price painting ever sold of
210 million dollars in February of 2015.
so even the value of these things
paintings like this they obviously
display some beauty and truth but in
terms of intrinsic value some sort of
monetary value it's impossible to
measure or Define all you really have is
market value painters come and go
sometimes very famous painters are no
longer accepted a couple Generations
down the line and vice versa very
obscure paintings can become very
valuable now what are some other ways
that the term intrinsic value is used in
finance if you've studied options put
options and call options you know that
this is one definition intrinsic value
means how much in the money these
various options are that's really just a
definitional value Commodities sometimes
people refer to the production cost of a
commodity as its intrinsic value but I
don't think this makes much sense
because since producers sometimes need
to sell Commodities at a lower price
than it costs them to produce so there's
nothing really intrinsic or inside of
the commodity that gives it a certain
value for example crude oil had zero
value in the 18th century then beginning
in the late 19th century began to have
quite a bit of value as the internal
combustion engine was taking off so the
production cost and demand for
Commodities is also also constantly
moving around as well when it comes to
stocks and their intrinsic value you may
have heard Warren Buffett or other value
investors talk about the intrinsic value
of a stock but I found over the last two
decades that this is a pretty
meaningless concept for example you go
to Value investing
conference and they'll say stock XYZ
trades for twenty dollars a share but
these are all the reasons that it's
worth forty dollars a share in other
words it has an intrinsic value of forty
dollars and you can buy it for 50 cents
on the dollar as it turns out if you
follow these these sort of conferences
and these sort of predictions and models
for any length of time you begin to
realize that these investors however
smart or Rich they are may or may not
turn out to be right and different value
investors will come up with widely
different estimates of intrinsic value
for a given stock for example Warren
Buffett hated all tech stocks until
about 2015 when he came around and he
had basically missed out on most the
upside in tech stocks and so all of a
sudden something that he thought had
intrinsic value of zero he changed his
mind decided something like apple and
Amazon had an intrinsic value perhaps
higher than that the other thing that
can happen is changes in the real world
can instantly impact and change the
intrinsic value of a stock so for
example in the U.S band online poker
this really hurt a stock that was called
I believe was called Party Poker and
that stock basically went to zero as a
result of U.S regulatory pressures when
we examine these different definitions
of intrinsic value and finance and
otherwise we realized that people who
criticize Bitcoin for not having
intrinsic value usually have no idea
themselves how to define intrinsic value
and they cannot give you the intrinsic
value of any asset whenever a gold bug
on one of my comments says that Bitcoin
has no intrinsic value I always reply
what's the intrinsic value of gold they
usually reply with the industrial value
they have no no understanding of
monetary premiums or anything like this
so here's my take there's actually no
such thing as intrinsic value in the
financial sense in a very narrow
definitional sense like put options and
call options being in the money you can
call that intrinsic value that's a
little bit different than what we're
talking about here I think there's no
such thing as intrinsic value in markets
human beings can have intrinsic value by
contrast because they have very special
attributes they can create they can give
and receive love they can give thanks
they can perceive Beauty and truth and
this sort of puts them at a different
level but I don't think Financial assets
and other assets have intrinsic value
they can only have market value and that
market value can fluctuate a lot over
time when it comes to bitcoin people who
tell you that Bitcoin has no value in my
opinion are suffering from extreme
intellectual arrogance which becomes
functionally equivalent to extreme
ignorance Bitcoin has actually had
monetary value well north of zero since
at least May of 2010 when Laszlo bought
his famous two pizzas for ten thousand
Bitcoin and Bitcoin has now had a market
cap in the hundreds of billions of of
dollars for many years and so we stole
these people who want to tell you that
Bitcoin is worth zero and they seem to
think that they understand Bitcoin
better than the collective Judgment of
the global market which is usually quite
ironic because these same people usually
haven't spent more than an hour or two
studying Bitcoin and they can't tell you
a single thing about hashing or out
algorithms like shot 256 and proof of
work the difficulty adjustment how
public private key cryptography works
even the differences between a Bitcoin
miner and a Bitcoin node and so they
have these opinions that Bitcoin should
be worth zero they can't even tell you
what any of these things are saying that
Bitcoin has no intrinsic value is really
just an easy way for them to continue to
dismiss Bitcoin without having to do the
hard work of trying to understand it and
come to terms with what it might mean
for the world which actually takes some
proof of work in itself sometimes you'll
hear people say Bitcoin doesn't have any
value because it is just digital zeros
and ones they obviously don't understand
how Fiat Banks work either but by the
same logic Zuck shouldn't be a
billionaire because his products are
just zeros and ones too he basically
puts out software I hope at this point
in time most people can finally
understand that digital assets can have
value this was still debatable in the
early days of the internet the
commercial internet in the 1990s but
hopefully no longer and it's important
to understand that Facebook and
Instagram and other social networks have
value because their software allows
people to interact with each other
online in other words it has Network
effects that it benefits from I could
clone Facebook but I could not clone its
Network effects and this what is what
makes it very special and unique in the
same way that I could clone Bitcoin but
I could not recreate its own network
effects the more people who are active
on Facebook and Instagram the more
valuable those networks become likewise
Bitcoin is software but it's also a very
strong Global monetary network with
similar strong Network effects and
Bitcoin is the largest and most powerful
powerful proof of work digital asset
Bitcoin has more people running nodes
and mining Rigs and any other digital
asset ethereum gave up the race and
moved to proof of stake which basically
just recreates the Fiat system or those
who have the most money rule unlike
ethereum Bitcoin also has a global brand
that both eight-year-olds and 80 year
olds instantly recognize the response
that I usually get when I make these
points about Facebook or meta is that
their software has value because the
company has cash flows whereas Bitcoin
has no cash flows I think this is
another extreme misunderstanding for
example Amazon the company in the stock
had value for many years without
earnings or free cash flow gold has
value even without cash flows a Picasso
opinion has value even without cash
flows or paying interest or paying a
dividend the thing is Bearer assets like
physical gold and paintings never have
cash flows but you can create synthetic
cash flows by lending them out which
itself comes with its own long list of
risks but there are lots of examples of
assets with zero cash flow that still
have significant value like Bitcoin so
why exactly does Bitcoin have value if
it doesn't have intrinsic value why does
it have any value well as we said
Bitcoin is an extremely robust Global
monetary Network it's also a unit of
account a digital asset it's a digital
commodity without a corporate or
government issue which makes it very
very special it has verifiable scarcity
that is enforced the 21 million maximum
supply of Bitcoin this verifiable
scarcity is enforced by various
equilibria conditions that harness human
Greed for human good and also make sure
that people like me who run nodes are
not incentivized to upgrade to a
software that would hurt our own
Holdings of Bitcoin Bitcoin is also the
only Bearer asset in the world that can
be instantly Zapped anywhere in the
world Bitcoin allows human beings to
send value to each other digitally and
to store that value that economic value
without needing permission or help from
a gov government or from a bank or from
another financial services company and
if that's not intrinsic value it
certainly is something like utility
value Bitcoin is very useful and if you
don't think that Bitcoin has utility and
is useful it's probably because you're
already wealthy you live in a country
with a strong rule of law you have
lawyers you have accountants you've got
a private Banker you have strong
property rights and a relatively stable
banking system in other words you're
suffering from the worst kind of first
world privilege and myopia because even
very civilized places are usually only a
few steps away from Fiat breakdown and
total societal collapse we saw this
happen in Lebanon over the past few
decades and especially in the last year
or so where people were trying to rob
banks to get their own money out the
banks eventually ended up closing
permanently and then Lebanon devalued
its currency by 90 so if you live in a
place like Lebanon or Zimbabwe or turkey
or Venezuela or Argentina or Brazil you
understand why the world needs Bitcoin
if you don't think the world needs
Bitcoin not only are you probably
suffering from first world privilege
you're probably also suffering from
Stockholm syndrome and you've been
brainwashed into thinking that Central
Bankers are your friends and are there
to provide Financial stability to the
system their track record actually
Speaks For Itself by Meyer
hyperinflation the 1929 stock market
crash in the ensuing Great Depression
fed driven housing Bubbles and stock
market bubbles in the late 20th century
early 21st century constant erosion of
the US Dollars purchasing power this is
your money managed by Central bankers
and it's been a complete disaster so
when Warren Buffett says that Bitcoin is
rat poison I like to think that it is
but we know who the rats are if you
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