China's EMERGENCY Bailout of Stocks and Real Estate EXPOSED!

Summary

The video discusses recent market movements, focusing on China's aggressive stimulus plan to revive its economy, its impact on global markets, and commodity prices. It also covers technical analysis of the Futures Market, including the significance of the recent high and the role of commodity trading advisers. The presenter anticipates potential inflationary pressures due to increased demand for commodities and discusses various stocks and sectors that could be affected, including tech news and economic data releases.

Takeaways

• 📈 The market experienced a recent high due to news from China and tech sector developments.
• 🇨🇳 China's stimulus measures are the most aggressive since the pandemic, aiming to boost the economy.
• 📊 Technical analysis highlighted the importance of specific price levels and resistance/support areas in market movements.
• 📉 Negative CPI data and CTA (Commodity Trading Advisors) selling had a significant impact on market trends.
• 📱 Tech news influenced market movements, with NASDAQ showing particular sensitivity to these developments.
• 📊 The script emphasized the importance of watching how the market acts at specific levels for trading insights.
• 🌐 China's economic performance and stimulus plans have global implications, affecting commodity prices and inflation.
• 📅 Upcoming economic data releases, like GDP and PCE, are closely watched but might be overshadowed by market stimulus.
• 📊 The script discussed various technical indicators like moving averages and RSI to gauge market sentiment and potential pullbacks.
• 🔍 The discussion pointed out the potential for increased demand for commodities like oil and copper due to China's economic policies.

Q & A

What is the significance of the recent high in the Futures Market mentioned in the script?

The recent high in the Futures Market is significant due to the news out of China and some tech news, which are factors that have influenced the market movement and are expected to impact future trends.

What economic data was mentioned as not great in the script?

The script refers to some economic data that came out as not great, specifically mentioning GDP and PCE, which are key indicators of economic health.

What is the importance of the technical level mentioned around the 16th in the script?

The technical level around the 16th is significant because it's where commodity trading advisers (CTAs) started selling, creating a high level of pressure on the market.

Why is the negative CPI mentioned in the script?

The negative CPI is mentioned because it represents a month-over-month decline for the first time, which is a rare economic event that can significantly influence market behavior.

What does the script suggest about the behavior of algorithms and high-frequency traders?

The script suggests that algorithms and high-frequency traders can be predicted to some extent because they operate based on specific levels and patterns, which can be used by others to their advantage.

What is the significance of the 'bull flag' mentioned in the script?

The 'bull flag' is a technical analysis pattern that suggests a potential continuation of an uptrend. Its mention in the script indicates a possible bullish sentiment in the market.

What is the role of the stimulus mentioned in the script in influencing market movements?

The stimulus mentioned in the script is significant because it can inject capital into the economy, potentially leading to increased consumer spending and business investment, which can positively affect market movements.

What is the significance of the NQ (Nasdaq 100) levels discussed in the script?

The NQ levels are significant as they represent key support and resistance levels that can influence the direction of the Nasdaq 100 index, which is a leading indicator of tech sector performance.

What does the script suggest about the consumer confidence index and its impact on the market?

The script suggests that a decline in the consumer confidence index can lead to a negative market reaction, as consumer confidence is a key driver of economic activity.

What is the significance of the China stimulus plan mentioned in the script?

The China stimulus plan is significant because it represents a major effort by the second-largest economy to stimulate growth, which can have global market implications, including potential increases in commodity prices and inflation.

What does the script suggest about the potential overbought conditions in the market?

The script suggests that the market might be overbought, particularly based on certain technical indicators and historical levels, which could预示着 a potential pullback or correction.

Outlines

00:00

📈 Market Reaction to Economic News and Technical Analysis

The paragraph discusses the market's reaction to recent economic news, particularly from China, and its impact on the futures market. The speaker highlights the significance of technical analysis, mentioning a 'bull flag' and the importance of understanding market mechanisms. They also discuss the influence of GDP and PCE data, as well as the reaction to economic data releases. The speaker emphasizes the role of commodity trading advisers (CTAs) in market movements and how they operate based on specific technical levels. The discussion also covers the importance of past market highs and support levels, the role of the Federal Reserve's actions, and the anticipation of further market stimulus.

05:00

📉 Analyzing Market Movements and China's Economic Stimulus

This section delves into the detailed analysis of market movements, focusing on resistance and support levels. The speaker discusses how these levels can flip from resistance to support and vice versa, using the NQ (Nasdaq 100) as an example. They also touch upon the impact of economic data, such as consumer confidence, and how it can lead to market reactions. The paragraph then shifts focus to China's economic stimulus package, which is described as the most aggressive since the pandemic. The speaker outlines the key components of China's stimulus, including interest rate cuts and the release of funds to banks, and discusses the potential global market implications of such measures.

10:01

🌐 Global Market Dynamics and Commodity Prices

The speaker explores the interconnectedness of global markets, particularly the relationship between China's economic policies and the US dollar. They discuss how China's decision to cut rates can influence the value of the yuan and the potential for overheating their economy. The paragraph also covers the impact of China's stimulus on commodity prices, such as oil, copper, and gold, and how these price movements can affect inflation. The speaker suggests that while the market may be overbought, there are signs of a potential pullback, and they highlight the importance of upcoming economic data releases, including GDP and PCE, as well as corporate earnings reports.

15:03

💻 Tech Stock Analysis and Market Expectations

In this paragraph, the focus is on the tech sector, particularly semiconductor stocks like Nvidia. The speaker discusses the potential reasons behind Nvidia's stock price movement, including the selling activities of company insiders and market reactions to news about semiconductor production expansions. They also touch upon the broader market sentiment, suggesting that there is a mix of optimism and caution. The speaker anticipates potential market movements based on upcoming earnings reports and the performance of tech stocks, emphasizing the importance of understanding market catalysts and the influence of individual company news on overall market trends.

Keywords

💡Futures Market

The Futures Market is a financial marketplace where contracts to buy or sell an asset at a predetermined price at a future time are traded. In the context of the video, it refers to the trading activity that occurs based on expectations of future economic conditions. The script mentions that movements in the Futures Market are not surprising considering the news out of China, indicating that global economic news significantly impacts this market.

💡Technicals

In finance, 'technicals' refers to the analysis of historical price patterns and trading volume to predict future market trends. The video script discusses starting with technicals to understand market movements, suggesting that the speaker will analyze price charts and patterns to forecast future behavior of financial instruments.

💡Macro

Macro refers to the broad economic factors that affect the overall economy, such as GDP, interest rates, and inflation. The script mentions getting into 'some of the macro' after technicals, implying that after analyzing specific financial instruments' price patterns, the speaker will discuss broader economic factors that could influence financial markets.

💡CTA

CTA stands for Commodity Trading Advisor, which are individuals or firms that manage funds through trading in the futures and options markets. In the script, CTA is mentioned in the context of selling activities that impact the market, indicating that their trading strategies based on systematic methods can exert significant pressure on market prices.

💡CPI

CPI stands for Consumer Price Index, a measure of the average change in prices over time that consumers pay for goods and services. The script refers to 'negative CPI', which is a situation where the CPI decreases month-over-month, indicating deflation. This economic indicator is crucial as it influences monetary policy and market expectations.

💡NASDAQ

NASDAQ is a major American stock exchange known for trading technology and biotechnology stocks. The video script discusses the NASDAQ in the context of market movements and the influence of CTA sell zones, suggesting that the performance of technology stocks is a significant factor in overall market trends.

💡Stimulus

Stimulus refers to government or central bank initiatives to boost economic activity, typically through spending increases or tax cuts. The script mentions stimulus in relation to market reactions, indicating that such measures can significantly affect investor sentiment and financial markets.

💡Bull Flag

A Bull Flag is a technical analysis chart pattern that signals a continuation of an existing trend, typically预示着 a pause in an uptrend before the continuation of the upward movement. The script mentions a 'small bull flag', suggesting that the speaker anticipates a temporary pause in the market's upward trajectory before further gains.

💡Resistance and Support Levels

In technical analysis, resistance levels are prices at which an asset's price has stopped rising in the past, while support levels are where the price has stopped falling. The script discusses how resistance becomes support, indicating that these levels are crucial for understanding potential future price movements and market sentiment.

💡Economic Data

Economic Data refers to statistical information on commercial activity, such as employment rates, inflation, and GDP. The script mentions economic data that 'wasn't great', suggesting that the speaker is factoring in recent economic indicators that may influence market behavior and investor decisions.

💡Inflation

Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services is increasing, and subsequently, purchasing power is eroding. The script discusses inflation in the context of market movements and central bank policies, indicating that inflation expectations can significantly impact investment decisions and market trends.

Highlights

Recent closing high on Futures Market

News from China impacting the market

Technical analysis of market movements

Importance of understanding market mechanisms

Economic data release and its market impact

Stimulus and its effect on market movement

Technical levels and their significance in trading

Commodity Trading Advisers (CTA) and their market influence

Negative CPI and its effect on market levels

Bull flag formation and its implications

Key support and resistance levels identified

Impact of algorithms and high-frequency traders

Economic news on the tech front influencing the rally

Consumer confidence fall and its market reaction

Importance of watching key levels for trading decisions

China's aggressive economic stimulus plan

China's Central Bank stimulus and its global impact

Comparison of China's and US's economic policies

Commodity prices and their relation to inflation

Market overbought conditions and potential pullbacks

Upcoming earnings reports that could move the market

Nvidia's breakout and its significance

Taiwan Semiconductor and its expansion plans

Transcripts

s with a recent closing high right here

on the Futures Market it's not overly

surprising considering the news out of

China today we also got some tech news

that's moving us a little bit and we'll

walk through what the mechanism is that

probably pushes us out of this it's

certainly something that a lot of people

didn't predict so we're going to spend

some time on it so that you can

understand the mechanisms that got us

here but you can see that right here one

two three and over what we're going to

do is just blow this up so you can say

it all of a sudden you have this small

bull flag right over us and of course we

have GDP that week n pce as well um you

do have some economic data that did come

out today that wasn't great we're going

to discuss that but I don't think it's

going to matter considering the stimulus

that the market just got so let's get

into it we're going to just start with

the technicals and then we'll get into

some of the macro so we know that this

band this has been the band that we've

been concerned about we'll start on the

hourly and then we'll go from there and

this band obviously is the high right

here on the 16th and this is right

around where CTA where there's commodity

trading advisers where they started

selling everything and it's a pretty

technical way that they do it they do it

off a system and it it does put a lot of

pressure on the market uh because

they're just very specific on certain

levels and we'll see this when we get to

the NASDAQ but getting through this is

critical but also remember in here this

is where you had the negative CPI so if

I'll leave these in for a second but

this is negative CPI right in here where

we had month over month was down for the

first time when we see the NASDAQ we'll

get right into that and you see our

level right here we're sitting and then

down here are some moving averages but

let's blow this up and as always the

devil's in the detail you can see how we

tried to rally and got completely

Matumbo again and again but what it did

was very different and I explained this

on yesterday you were getting Tighter

and Tighter and Tighter in here even

today look at this selloff down to this

level which is a critical level for us

and then you just bounce you bounc right

on it you can see that very very clearly

you that's one thing about putting these

levels in and then just zooming in on

them and just watching how you act at

very specific levels and you just sat

there and we all know what that level is

we've been going over it at nauseum this

is the movement at 2: p.m. Wednesday

with the fed and this was the high and

this is where you have resistance all of

a sudden becomes support it is that

exact area that is why I tell everybody

to Mark these places off see a lot of

people think that because you have

algorithms and high frequency Traders

how can you compete well they tell you

where they are so if you know where they

are you can use it to your advantage and

just watch how they act right off of

that you could see the bounce and then

we had some decent economic news on the

tech front we could see why we're

rallying here and we'll get into that

but if you take nothing else technically

from that video specifically the this

video Mark that off now let's get into

the NQ for a second we'll get into some

more of what's going on out there if we

start over here with the hourly and I

have this all marked off and if you're

in the community you know this um if

you're on the wait list I am going to

send out like a a blast for 24 48 hours

because a lot of people say that they

missed it because they were on vacation

uh so I will be sending that out so if

you are on there just be on the look for

an email in the next day or CTA cell

zone right here okay so this is that

commodity area that we were talking

about you can see the 17th 18th it

actually started up here this is where

it really kicked in for the NASDAQ and

that area from there it was on and again

here's the high on the market and that

is July 11th CPI month over month

negative this was monthly support you

tried to Rally you failed broke down

tried to get back through that CTA Zone

failed and you can see that we're making

these higher lows but the problem with

that is I don't have a month right I

need to trade so this is more of a major

trade and then go from there and if we

zoom into these levels this is where it

gets super interesting because here's

the moving averages sitting right here

and we're holding that area right a lot

of moving averages down here and here's

our Wick from Friday the 11th and then

you would just come right here and look

at where that Wick went on 2:00 on

Wednesday and then you would come

straight across look at our little area

which we could just obviously make a

little bit longer now and you didn't

really come all the way down to it this

way uh you kind of did but not really

when you start looking here on the nqs

if we drill into this you came close but

you didn't come to it exactly but there

it is again now we all know what

happened here with that consumer

confidence number but let's take a

second so consumer confidence tells you

how the consumer thinks they're doing

and this is just ripped from the

headlines of CNBC and they really just

say it best so we're going to use them

consumer confidence Falls the most in

three years so we're at 987 we were

looking for

1037 this is from 1056 in August this is

the biggest 1 month decline since August

2021 it's not good uh respondents

concerned about mostly jobs and

inflation so people are concerned and

this is what comes out and the market

drops at 10:00 now from here we actually

did Trad in here we actually shorted the

NASDAQ as soon as we saw this uh it was

actually a really simple trade but we

just shorted it worked out perfectly

tried to Rally failed back down and then

you get this reversal around 11:00 well

we start getting some news around 11:00

that's more micro than macro but I think

people started to actually understand

what was going on with China and why

this was so significant and we're going

to get into that in a second here but

tries to get over key level can't back

down finally gets over that rocket

science guys same stuff same sou

reheated right you're just watching

these key levels and watching how acting

at it if you're rejecting that becomes

resistance if you're over it becomes

support and you may look for tests and

you can see how we pushed so if we're

watching into this close now if we go to

this on the hourly and we watch this

band that we have up here which we can

all see this band and you come straight

across we can see where that is right

let me just pull that all the way over

now might as well just come keep all the

way over and what kept happening up here

was we kept trying to get in and failing

trying to get in and failing but towards

the end you can just see right here this

drop was not as precipitous as this one

this one was not as precipitous as that

one at the end of the day that's why

looking at longer time frame charts

sometimes could be so helpful and then

what they did was the old shake and bake

shaked you out then you higher high into

the close and now look where we are and

this coincides perfectly when you'll

hear everybody talking about this level

everyone's talking about 485 it's like

the cat's pajamas right now like

everybody's all over 485 especially for

the zero dated option crew they're all

watching that like Hawks and watch what

you did right here on that level so you

looked like you were going to break it

doy doe tells you what sign of

uncertainty whatever way the dogee

breaks is usually the way that you go

and that's what you did you broke down

and then you went from there dogee never

really broke this was the break bar and

then it played out perfectly actually we

were talking about this in the room

where I said looks like it's going to be

a perfect Rising Three which is actually

down you know up then down one two three

and then up this one stayed green it

wasn't red but you flipped it and it

does usually mean that you're going to

try to attempt these highs right here

and we'll see how that goes tomorrow now

you have some other data coming out

tomorrow with Micron and some things

that could really move the market but

one of the most important things we have

right now is what the heck's going on

with China because everybody kind of

whether or not you're living under Iraq

or not everybody saw this move on China

today and it's one of the strongest

moves that China has had uh in years and

the reason for that is this is the

strongest stimulus that they have done

in years it's not that they just cut

rates uh there was significantly more

than that so this was their most

aggressive plan stimulus plan since the

pandemic and obviously that's not me

saying it that is this is from Reuters

and obviously this is spreading out all

over the place I want to just give you

the highlights and what I think the

highlights are China's Central Bank

Tuesday unveiled its biggest stimulus

since the pandemic to pull the economy

out of its deflationary Funk there's a

couple Key Parts in here you might want

to listen to this a couple times the

broader than expected package package

offers more funding and interest rate

Cuts in the latest attempt by policy

makers to restore confidence in the

second largest economy you have to

understand something they are the second

largest economy if we lose them globally

the markets suffer if we don't have them

as consumers whether or not their

consumerism is where we want it to be or

not it doesn't matter but if you start

thinking about the air Maze of the world

the Louis Vuittons the Mercedes all of

it it's China just as much as it's the

US and there's a couple key things to

take away from this number one this is

about as significant as you can get more

I'll explain it but on its own it might

not be enough a lot of people are saying

they're going to have to do even more

that's interesting because what happened

to our economy when we stimulated it and

overstimulated it for 3 years well every

every body was a genius right everybody

was buying nfts they were jpegs they

were giving them fancy names they were

buying internet land you remember that

so can we overheat here yeah we can

overheat here are we at that spot where

we're overheated no no and they're

actually talking about more but let's

talk about what they're they're looking

at they're trying to inject funds into

the economy so this gentleman pan one of

the governors of the Central Bank cut

cash Banks must hold as reserves known

as reserve requirement ratios by 50

basis points this is going to free up

the equivalent of $142 billion that

these banks are going to have to lend

China is very different than the US and

in the US we suggest that they lend in

China they say lend they actually lend

so you have $142 billion that's going to

be flooded into their economy now not

only that the People's Bank of China cut

the 7-Day repo rate repo rate think

about when Banks easiest way to think

about a repo rate pict your Banks

lending to other Banks right so then if

you look at that they're cutting that by

20 and then they'll drop uh medium-term

lending Facility by 30 and Loan Prime

rates are going to come down by 20 to 25

basis points so their goal here is to

completely stimulate their economy and

if we look at this August economic

broadly missed all expectations their

data was disgusting it was really bad a

lot of their data was like really bad

and I think they you know I think they

finagle their data the same way the US

does but it was bad but the majority of

people think it might need more an

aggressive fiscal policy is required to

inject genuine economic demand bar and

this is far from being a bazooka

investment Banks including Goldman the

more UBS Bank America cut their growth

forecast this is always interesting to

me cuz we always suggest that we know

what's going to happen you know a year

ago it was predicted that China was

going to be the growth engine of the

world and right now they're having to

stimulate their economy by injecting

Capital into it China's latest measure

comes after US Federal Reserve last week

delivered a hefty rate cut now this is

important allowing them this is the Bank

of China to ease monetary conditions

without putting too much pressure on the

wand all right so remember everybody

will remember the Japanese trade the Yen

US dollar trade right let's clean this

off I'm not going to have time to edit

and what we have to think about is this

we know if you have a trade okay let's

just let me do it this way it'll be

easier if you have a trade where here's

the wand right and okay and that and

that is dropping okay and the US dollar

is going up you would sell the wand and

you would buy the dollar right but as

this spreads it puts pressure okay by by

them cutting so if they cut right where

Japan did what raised okay so if they

cut it actually widens the spread if

your the bank raises then it lessens the

spread to the US do you see see where

we're going with this so this would put

pressure on the wand if the US didn't

cut rates so let's walk through this

what is the current projection of the

United States and their cutting of rates

right now it's down they plan on cutting

rates so if they cut rates and China

wants to stimulate their economy along

with us and cut rates well they're not

going to put pressure on the wand this

is huge because as we cut they can cut

and still stimulate their economy they

are the second largest economy in the

world this is important to get you might

want to watch that part again but it's

very different than China raising

they're cutting okay we're cutting right

one's going in tandem the other's not

okay this is really important because

they can stimulate their economy through

cuts and they don't have to worry about

their currency exchange being out of

whack with us this is really an

important concept to get and I'll

explain why so if you look at fxi and

we're seeing this breakout and I'm not a

big person with Chinese name so I want

to just state that a matter of fact I

was pointing things out today and very

rarely do I take a look at wanting to

get involved with them but if I if I

look at something like this and the

break out of like PDD and how these are

rallying in Baba I get it and I see

these breakouts and they're stirring the

economy I think you need to look a

little further I think the way to do

this is twofold one if they stimulate

their economy then you're going to see

US Stocks go higher so I the fact that

XLE was actually down today is kind of

interesting to me because names like

Exxon benefit greatly from this but if

you go and take a look at things like

for example if I went to a look at crude

you see how crude is up today that's

because there's more demand now or going

to be more demand for oil based upon

what China just did if we take that into

account and just start looking at

everything else take a look at Copper

and what copper did today Copper's

breaking out because of what they did

and that's just starting that's a

perfect W down here and it's probably

one of the greatest moves copper ever

had take a look at FCX today we went

through these in the public premarket if

you don't watch that I suggest that you

watch them later we do it every single

morning we start between 8 815 I'm

shooting for eight we're getting there

uh but scco you can see this right here

and then they're always recorded as well

but look at these moves and these things

te c k these three names are just

getting started like it's not you're

just they're not going to come in and go

you know what we bought too much copper

it's that's not how this is going to

work that's not how any of this works so

once these things start commod like

Commodities start moving they start

moving so you're going to want to take a

look at that I'm going to take a look at

gold look at gold breaking out right go

take a look at Silver okay there all

these all of these Commodities are going

to start breaking out specifically the

metals and you can see how this is going

that's exactly what we can expect here I

don't think any there's any reason for

this to stop and I we all know that

uranium is probably going to continue to

move because now that's the new clean

energy and you can see the W here so we

have commodity prices moving now if you

think about this if commodity prices go

higher does that help or hurt inflation

it's going to hurt inflation and that's

what people are trying to figure out

like what is this going to do to

inflation and so some of these names

that were inflationary ba uh based like

xbi was moving based upon inflation labu

moving because inflation was going to

come down they were going to cut rates

we could start seeing some pressure on

some of these sectors now right because

all of a sudden like you're seeing this

with xbi right here all of a sudden you

you can even see like with the home

builders they're not moving as much why

well they're probably not going to be

able to cut rates as much if they keep

if China keeps cutting rates see we see

how we went through this if China keeps

cutting rates right so here's China

China's cutting R we're cutting rates

right if this keeps going then things

are going then the growth engine is

going to pick up if theow engine picks

up demand for Commodities picks up hence

the demand for infl inflation will pick

back up and we're not getting these you

know 200 basis point drops anymore so

there's a lot of moving parts to this

and that's why I suggested you might

want to watch that part again but you

are seeing a very healthy market now I

still think we're grossly overbought

from a couple different standpoints if

we go and take a look here for example

at uh let's go and take a look at this

layout for a second I'll show you this

one percentages above the the where you

are on the 5day the 20 the 50 and the

200 look you're at like some pretty Peak

levels you're not there on the 5day and

you're not really there on the 20 but

you're there on the 50 you're at you can

go higher they can always go higher but

when you get to these levels you're

usually due for some kind of pullback

and I'm not sure that we're just going

to it's just going to happen because

we're here but I it does make me

cautious now we did see signs of this

pullback earlier today and then it just

went away if we go and take a look here

in regards to to and I like using RSI

the most when I do this but if you go

here and take a look at like the spy for

example you're not overbought yet but

you're still up in that range and how

much higher is this thing just going to

decide to left you know we just don't

know yet without any kind of pullback

GDP pce coming in okay then you look at

the cu's you you're not there yet and

you just flipped you just made your

highest close that you've had since here

since July 15th so you're over on top of

that you're getting some really

interesting news tomorrow night good or

bad we're going to find out how bad

Micron is tomorrow night and when Micron

comes out with earnings tomorrow night

there are not a lot of people that are

expecting a big move here so if we get

this kind of move where it's hey maybe

it's not as bad as we think it is and

people say well how you know how do you

know I always look at it this way so you

had a 6% drop on earnings since earnings

we were down

33% quarter over quarter it's a big move

usually over 30 it's pretty staggering

so like here we did this with Tesla

before where we were measuring the moves

off these these drops so in other words

here's Tesla from this move down here we

actually went long into that but we were

down 30% in a quarter and it's just

that's an insane drop you know like if

you're down like four or 5% and then you

have another bad quarter you can get how

it can lead but there hits a point where

everything's baked in for example when

you had something like Airbnb here and

it dropped and then it kept going and

then drops again well by the time the

earnings came out and it dropped that

was it everyone's like you know what

that's enough but we don't care anymore

and then they started buying the stock

and if you look at where you're at

you're up about $20 from missing

earnings because it was so bad is is my

crime going to be that bad it could it

could be but you're starting to see

buying ahead of it now possibly that's

your covering but you're going to find

that out tomorrow on top of that we're

starting to see other names come to life

take a look at Nvidia today now Nvidia

after hours is breaking out this is a

flag we can say anything we want about

it but if we go and take a look here

you're back above the 55 I Ed a 12 a 22

and a 55 the 12's curling up you're

above the 22 you're above the 55 when

was the last time you were above all

these you you're coming back to that you

know August you haven't been here in all

of September so I think that that's

really important and there's a couple

driving forces why Nvidia move the way

that it did now one of the core things

out there is NVIDIA Shares are trading

higher because Jensen's done selling

stock I'm not really sure that that's

the case but that came out at one and

they were talking about it earlier out

there but the the baron report that's

out there is that he had to March 25 to

sell and that he's done um there's a

couple things about this one he can sell

stock whenever he wants he can just

start another you know file another form

for there's a lot of ways that this guy

could just sell stock so I don't know

that that's the the reason for the move

but let's just go on the and say that

maybe it is because he's out before

March 25 I would argue that does is that

good news that he's out because if if he

thought the stock was going higher

wouldn't he want to sell in March like

if he's getting out now is that really

good news now I I would think that he

that would be kind of telegraphing that

maybe he thinks it's not great now I am

long the video but I think it was this

at 11:05 Taiwan semc 7 and a half boost

Arizona expansion aims for for chips uh

production so they're ramping up faster

so this place in Arizona has been

lagging and they need financing and for

whatever reason the US government seems

to keep throwing money at Intel for some

godforsaken reason and not really help

the people that actually make the chips

uh or do the Fab work but B government's

approval for an additional 7 and a half

billion infused in the Taiwan

semiconductor okay taipe times called

Department of investment review

statement Capital injection 5 billion

investment Taiwan semiconductor and

Arizona approval in June chipmaker ji

reports claiming plans for new

Investments were backed by UAE now

capacity constraints have been an issue

and then you look at what happens right

around here at 11:05 when that hits the

tape and the stock just absolutely rips

and then if you come here at the same

time and you do something as simplistic

as just overlay Taiwan semi and go well

what did Taiwan semi do during this time

well Taiwan semi seemed to follow

exactly what this did during the same

period of time I don't think Taiwan semi

was going up because Jensen stopped

selling stock so I do think that it's

more tied to that than the Jensen report

and I think that this is very important

because one I don't view it if Jensen's

done selling as a positive um now

frankly the guy's got so much stock does

it really matter what he does yes and no

I mean if you thought your stock was

going higher would you really be in a

hurry to get out now you don't know his

capital structure or anything like that

but I I always am curious about that

kind of stuff I've been around a long

time to see that kind of stuff when

somebody wants out like when Bezos and

Elon wanted out like ASAP you knew there

was a problem uh and that's what they

did but what you're seeing here is you

have this Channel and we lifted and we

never gave any back what we're seeing

from it is I'm attributing it to

semiconductors and what I think our next

Catalyst might be and we don't know I

have no idea how it's going to go I have

my beliefs but like Micron tomorrow

night if micron's good and I'm above the

1222 and the 55 here you're going to

have a Litany of people that are going

to be looking at this name and going I

can't believe I had all these months to

build a position in Nidia and I didn't

do it now the flip side of that is you

probably have a bunch of people that are

going to be out there going oh it's

definitely not going to go in Micron

it's going to be a disaster and that's

what makes a market