ICT W.E.N.T. Series - Part 2 of 5
Summary
TLDR本视频讨论了如何通过每月6%的复合增长率实现账户翻倍,并以5000美元的账户为例,展示了在不同风险控制下,如何通过设定合理的止损点和目标盈利点来实现稳定的收益。视频中还强调了交易计划的重要性,通过实际案例分析,教授如何在不同的市场情况下寻找合适的交易机会,并坚持执行计划,即使在某些情况下可能会遭遇亏损。
Takeaways
- 📈 投资回报目标:假设每月6%的复合增长率,一年后5000美元的投资将翻倍至10000美元。
- 🚫 风险管理:使用30点止损策略,即使在追求6%的月回报率时,也只承担2%的资本风险。
- 📊 投资心态:投资不是赛跑,而是一个长期旅程,享受过程比急于求成更重要。
- 🔍 目标设定:如果目标是每月3500美元的收入,需要在账户中有足够的资金来支持这一目标。
- 📌 交易策略:通过减少止损点数(如从30点降至20点或15点),可以在不增加风险的情况下提高交易灵活性。
- 📈 增长潜力:通过提高交易的精确度和减少止损点数,可以在保持2%风险不变的情况下,实现更高的月回报率。
- 📊 风险与回报:在保持2%风险不变的情况下,通过调整止损点数,可以实现从6%到30%不等的月回报率。
- 📈 长期视角:长期来看,即使是小幅度的月回报(如6%)也能在三年内显著增长投资额。
- 📝 交易计划:通过专注于每周的交易计划,即使不是每天都交易,也能实现稳定的收益。
- 🔍 市场分析:利用每日和每周的高点和低点作为交易决策的依据,可以帮助交易者在市场中找到有利的交易机会。
- 📈 财富积累:通过寻找并执行具有高风险回报比(如4:1)的交易,可以有效地积累财富。
Q & A
视频中提到的6%的月复合增长率是如何计算的?
-如果从$5,000开始,每月持续获得6%的回报,一年后(即2015年1月)的资金将翻倍,达到$10,000。这是通过复利计算得出的,即初始金额乘以(1 + 月增长率)的12次方。
视频中提到的30 pip止损是什么意思?
-30 pip止损是指在交易中设置的一个风险管理参数,如果交易亏损达到30个价格点(pip),系统会自动关闭交易以避免进一步的损失。
为什么视频中建议新交易者使用30 pip止损?
-视频中提到,新交易者使用30 pip止损可以提供一定的灵活性,因为新交易者在开始时可能会急于交易或者犹豫不决,这可能导致他们错过最佳交易时机。
视频中提到的6%的月回报率在投资世界中是如何定位的?
-视频中强调,6%的月回报率在投资世界中是一个显著的回报,对于不熟悉投资世界的人来说,这可能听起来难以置信,但实际上这是一个非常了不起的回报。
视频中提到的10%的月回报率需要多少pip?
-为了实现10%的月回报率,需要净赚38个pip,同时保持2%的风险比例不变。
视频中提到的减少止损到20 pip意味着什么?
-减少止损到20 pip意味着交易者在每笔交易中愿意承担更小的风险,这通常需要更精确的入场点和更好的风险管理策略。
视频中提到的4到1的风险回报比是什么意思?
-4到1的风险回报比意味着交易者愿意承担1个单位的风险(如20 pip),以期望获得4个单位的回报(如80 pip)。这有助于提高交易的整体盈利潜力。
视频中提到的30%的月回报率需要多少pip?
-为了实现30%的月回报率,需要在一周内赚取113个pip,或者一个月内赚取450个pip。
视频中提到的15 pip止损如何影响交易策略?
-使用15 pip止损意味着交易者在每笔交易中承担更小的风险,这通常需要更精确的交易策略和更好的市场分析能力。
视频中提到的交易练习的目的是什么?
-交易练习的目的是帮助交易者发展一致性,学习如何遵循交易计划,无论交易是否每次都盈利,都能保持一致的交易行为。
Outlines
📈 投资回报与风险管理
本段落讨论了如何通过每月6%的复合增长实现投资账户的翻倍。以5000美元起始资金为例,展示了一年后的预期收益,并强调了使用30个点止损的重要性。同时,提出了对于新手交易者来说,可以通过调整止损来减少风险,从而在保持2%风险的同时,实现更高的回报。
💰 月收入目标与账户资金
这一段解释了为了达到每月3500美元的生活费用,交易者需要在账户中拥有多少资金。建议交易者在达到一定资金水平前,不要依赖交易账户的资金生活。强调了通过储蓄账户或银行账户来维持生活,同时让交易资金在一年内增长的重要性。
📊 提高交易效率
本段落讨论了如何通过提高交易的精确度来减少初始止损,从而在保持相同风险水平的情况下,实现更高的月回报。通过减少止损到20个点,交易者可以在每周只需赚取75个点,而不是之前的150个点,来达到10%的月回报。
🚀 实现更高回报
这一段提出了如何通过调整交易策略来实现更高的月回报,例如20%或30%。通过使用更小的止损和更高的回报目标,交易者可以在不增加每笔交易风险的情况下,实现更高的收益。同时,强调了一致性和风险管理在交易成功中的重要性。
📉 交易策略与心理
本段落讨论了交易者在追求每日或每周固定点数收益时可能遇到的问题,如过度交易。提供了不同交易风格的示例,包括日内交易、摇摆交易和头寸交易,并强调了选择适合自己的交易风格的重要性。
📝 交易计划与执行
这一段详细介绍了如何通过使用每日和每周的高点和低点来制定交易计划。通过在特定价格水平买入或卖出,并设置适当的止损和止盈,交易者可以控制风险并寻找有利可图的交易机会。同时,强调了坚持交易计划和纪律的重要性。
📈 交易实践与学习
最后一段通过实际的交易例子,展示了如何应用前述的交易策略。通过在特定价格水平进行买卖,并设置止损和止盈,交易者可以在一周内实现目标收益。同时,强调了在交易过程中遇到亏损是正常的,重要的是从亏损中恢复并保持整体盈利。
Mindmap
Keywords
💡复利
💡止损
💡点差
💡风险回报比
💡交易策略
💡支持和阻力水平
💡交易心理
💡市场波动性
💡交易日志
💡资金管理
Highlights
6%的复合年增长率可以使投资账户翻倍。
使用30个点的止损可以为新手交易者提供灵活性。
假设每月6%的回报率,每周需要净赚423个点。
为了实现每月3500美元的收入,需要在账户中有足够的资金。
10%的月回报率需要每周净赚38个点。
通过提高交易精度,可以减少初始止损点数。
20%的月回报率在减少止损到20个点后,每周需要净赚50个点。
30%的月回报率在减少止损到15个点后,每周需要净赚56个点。
通过控制风险和提高回报率,可以在不增加总风险的情况下提高月回报。
在交易中,重要的是遵循一致的计划,而不是每天都交易。
使用日图和周图的高点和低点来确定交易水平。
在交易中,要学会接受亏损并从中恢复。
通过专注于每周和每日的高点和低点,可以提高交易的一致性和执行能力。
在交易中,目标是寻找4:1的回报风险比。
通过练习和经验,可以提高在图表中识别交易机会的能力。
交易不仅仅是关于盈利,而是关于遵循一致的交易计划。
Transcripts
okay in the previous video we discussed
how 6% compounded over a year would more
than double your account and you can see
that depicted here if one hypothetically
started with $5,000 and you were in fact
consistently returning 6% per month
after one full year January of the
following year 2015 you would have just
a little bit over doubling your money at
five thousand would be ten thousand
again you can see just a little bit
$60.00 a ninety-eight cents and again as
I promised it's less than 25 pips per
week now I know it sounds a little too
good to be true being able to make just
a little bit of pips like because for
over a period of a week and still doing
such a dramatic increase in your equity
and again if you guys aren't excited
about 6% per month and you don't think
that is dramatic return stand you know
you obviously aren't really aware of
what goes on in the investment world
because this is a phenomenal return okay
but that's assuming you're using a 30
pip stop which is essentially what I
like to see new traders do because it
gives you a little bit of a flexibility
for you know allowing in their price
actually because most of us when we
first start doing things we're in a rush
to do things or we are a little
lethargic or apprehensive so we may get
in at most of opportune time we'll
probably end up missing that as we
develop as new traders so I allow a 30
pip stop and I actually encouraged
traders to use the 30 pip stop as an
initial if you're really really green to
trading you could use a 40 pip stop and
then we'll give you a lot more cushion
as well now don't be discouraged because
it will be considered a large stop in
some people's eyes it's it's all
relative really but we're going to
assume that 6% is understood here as a
relatively achievable goal okay and
we're going to give you a case study to
think about I'm going to assume
that the average person out there would
require about $3,500 per month it's US
currency okay and let me give you a
hypothetical scenario if one would have
to require a income of $3,500 per month
my question to you is if you're trading
with just this goal in mind 6% per month
in aiming 423 pips for the week as a net
it's less than a hundred pips per month
allowing you a 30 pip stop you're only
risking 2% of your equity okay looking
at that as it relates to trading with a
$5,000 account even after three years
you still haven't reached that goal okay
now I'm doing this to show you
realistically how you may encounter
now you may encounter some lag time in
your goals that's fine as long as you're
moving ahead in the direction of your
larger longer-term goal every small
incremental movement towards that goal
it's a positive okay again it's not a
race it's not a sprint this is a journey
you need to be enjoying it as you go
through it otherwise you're gonna make
it an argue Astacio trying to escape now
that J OB so now let's look at what I
promised you know going forward that we
would look at ways to make exponentially
larger returns on our equity and let's
assume for a moment that you wanted to
make a very respectable ten percent per
month and we're not changing the amount
of risk percentage-wise we're going to
keep it at 2% suddenly just by expecting
a larger 10% return we would need to net
38 pips now again this is rather
reasonable there's nothing significantly
you know you're shocking about the level
of pips that would be required to earn
that okay you're only risking 3 dollars
and 33 cents
PIPP okay that's the that's the gearing
using the 30 pip stop over the course of
one year okay your $5,000 would return a
net balance of fifteen thousand six
hundred and ninety two dollars now
looking at that same model that we would
assume that thirty five hundred hours
would be ones expected you return per
month to live okay you'd have to have
about thirty seven thousand dollars in
your account to draw that out okay or at
least to make that over the over the
course of a year not my advice is not to
think that once you get to these levels
you can start living off the account and
start drawing out funds in the the
amount that's shown here what I'm
suggesting to you really is that is if
that's what you're aiming for for a
monthly income you have to have some
money in your account
okay I'm gonna refer to your savings
account or your bank account to survive
for the year and allow your money to
build over the course of the twelve
months and then as long as you a virgin
this same amount obviously you know you
would be able to meet that annual salary
requirement to live as a as a full-time
trader that's the way I teach it that's
the way I tried to groom traders to
leave the retail world of trading and
just speculating for extra money then
moving into full-time trading the 10%
return is it's a pretty solid return
there's nothing you know I could say bad
about it it does get you rich over a
period of time it doesn't do it quickly
but it does significantly you know
increase over a period of time if you
look at what transpires over the course
of three years your $5,000 obviously
would grow to about a hundred and
seventy thousand dollars now again this
is assuming that you're not paying any
taxes on it and you are in fact hitting
10% return consistently every single
month now as you start obviously you may
not hit 10% and there may be other
well you do better than 10% okay but
overall you should average out if you're
doing things consistently it should do
staying around that 10% if you're
looking at these returns here less than
40 pips per week and again we haven't
done anything to the 30 pips top now a
question is this assume for a moment
that you can fine tune your entries a
little bit more precise and over the
course of this presentation in series
with every new and/or aspiring for our
share wants to know we're going to teach
specific applications concepts and skill
sets that will enable you to reduce the
amount of initial stop loss that's
required we're going to assume for a
moment that we can now reduce our stop
loss initially to 20 pips okay if we can
take these same trades 2% per risk per
trade rather now we're trading with $5
per pip notice it's still 2% 100 hours
of our 5,000 equity we're aiming to make
500 hours worth 10% for the month notice
the contrast here we had moved from
needing to require making 150 pips now
only down to a hundred pips remember it
was 90 pips before trying to make 6%
return with 2% risk on 30 pips stops now
watch what happens when we change it to
15 pips now no many are thinking whoa 15
pips that's a really small stop well
there's ways to do that and we're going
to teach you that in this course but now
look what happens we're under 20 pips
for the week under 20 pips only needing
to make 75 pips for the entirety of the
month notice we didn't increase our risk
it's still 2% the risk would be a loss
of $100 still 2% of our Nick equity a
$5,000 bidding the beginning balance
again aiming for 10% return
now this is where it gets interesting
notice that these numbers and figures
are not changing over here the only
thing I'm changing is the amount of
initial stop-loss that's required okay
we cut the total monthly pip expectancy
from 150 in half down to 75 only by
adjusting and spending more time on
accuracy and reducing our amount of pip
on the stop so in other words we cut our
30 pip stop-loss in half to 15 pips now
you're probably wondering is it really
possible to do that yes it absolutely is
and we're going to give examples of that
in this video but for now understand
that it's going to take you a little bit
of time to get there so again it's all
about not rushing initially you need to
go to this model
first if you can't do this model 23:23
pips per week 90 pips for the month
using a 30 pip stop don't think for a
moment you're going to be able to do 15
pip stop-loss treats okay you got to be
able to grow into it and it doesn't take
long to do that it only takes a couple
months we're talking about six months
this is the amount of time that he would
require this whole six month bracket up
here if you can do six percent
consistently over six months the only
thing you're changing is the initial
stop-loss amount because if you can
prove to yourself and be consistent
about the way you apply the concepts
that we're sharing the only thing you're
changing is the math okay you're
reducing the initial risk in half from
30 to 15 pips nothing changes in your
percent risk nothing changes in the
dollar amounts over here okay but your
work that's required to do the trades
and returns drop rather exponentially
but you actually build a lot more
flexibility over here on this end okay
in terms of monthly returns and still
never changing the total risk per trade
now let's go back and assume for a
moment that you want to make a 20
percent return now we're entering levels
that are very very phenomenal again with
a 30 pips top loss you would need to
make 75 pips now if you've been a
follower of mine for any number of years
in 2010 I came out with you know the
idea that if we're aiming for 50 to 75
pips this was the model I was teaching
okay but now we're going through the
entire ICT library again now we're going
to give you the amplified view to make
20 percent return okay we're going to
use the same model here assume for a
moment we could go down to reducing our
initial stop loss to 20 pips we moved
from needing to make 75 pips a week to
50 pips per week notice we have not
it increased our risk per trade at all
20% is still the expected goal and using
$5,000 as an equity base example after
one year it's forty four thousand five
hundred and eighty dollars in two years
it's three hundred ninety seven thousand
dollars now at month seven you're
already at the level where you're making
that hypothetical thirty five hundred
hours to sustain yourself on a monthly
basis and again I'm not arguing the fact
that everyone can live on thirty five
hundred hours I'm just using as a case
study so please don't send me emails
saying well I really can't afford to
live on thirty five hundred hours I'm
just using an example guys so don't no
don't make more of it than it really is
now for a moment let's assume that we
are able to again trim our stop loss
order initial entries and reducing the
overall risk to 15 pips now again we're
gonna be using a day traders model for
entry okay but still using a thirty pip
stop it was still respectable when you
can do 70 five pips but for now assuming
that we can get very very close to the
market place and allow a fifteen pip
stop-loss what will happen is you reduce
your total monthly pip expectancy to
half again so now we need to only make
150 pips and we only need to make
thirty-eight pips for the week 38 pips
for the week with an initial stop loss
of 15 pips that's less than three to one
think about it's less than three to one
one trade with a setup of less than
three to one would accomplish more than
this okay so now let's assume for a
moment going back to our original
settings we want to make thirty percent
return now we're absolutely in our areas
where it's just unheard of folks to make
this again looking at this we would need
to make a hundred and thirteen pips for
the week or four hundred and fifty pips
per month
now I know most of you are saying well I
can't make 450 pips per month well
you're probably right right now as a new
trading or developing trip you probably
can't do that but using 2% risk and a 30
pips top you would need to make a
hundred and thirteen pips per week now
looking at our example of trimming 20
pips stop-loss we would need to only
make 75 pips for the week or 300 pips
for the month now this is doable you can
still do 75 pips over we even with the
low volatility we have right now
currently in 2014 at the time of this
recording this is still doable it's
going to require some work but still yet
it can be done if you go back over to
our example again assume for a moment
that we could reduce our risk to again
15 pips we only need to make 56 pips for
the week or 225 pips for the month
notice that we're not increasing the 2%
risk per trade it still stays at locked
to 2% but it's allowing us a larger
dollar per pip risk and still maintain
the 2% total risk per trade on the
$5,000 again these numbers are not
changing as we adjust the pip amount in
terms of the initial stop-loss it just
changes the expectancy on what you need
to make to acquire 30% per month now
it's 30% in fir'aun's your $5000 will
grow to one hundred and sixteen thousand
dollars now again going back to our
$3500 example of you know case study
needing to make $35 to sustain oneself
you get into that region around the
fourth month if you're able to do 30
percent return now again this is a
assuming that one can consistently month
over month over month
do 30% returns my question to you is
this if you can make fifty
six pips for the entire week okay you'll
hit this number every single month
you'll do it
the only things gonna change is your
dollar for risk you know initially owns
on your your trades now let's go and
look at assuming that we had a 20 pips
top okay 20 pips top and you run this
across the entire 36 month example okay
you would need five dollars per pip
which is two percent one hundred hours
of the total equity used for that month
returning with 30 percent it's $1,500
you only need to make 75 pips
here's a question we have a 20 pip stop
loss again don't be confused but this is
a notation if you look at what we have
here this is did denoting the stop-loss
will be requiring 20 pips okay so now 20
pip stop loss if one were to make a
trade with one to one reward risk ratio
that means you would expect to make what
you're risking 20 you're hoping to make
what 20 pip gain okay so now what if you
were looking for a two to one trade
that's too rewarded for one risk you
would need to make a 40 pip net gain on
that trade you're risking 20 pips you're
hoping to make 40 now watch this if you
were doing a three to one trade risking
20 pips you would expect to make what 60
pips risking 20 a me for 60
it's a 301 trade now here's another
example if you're trying to make a
four-to-one trade you're risking 20 pips
to make ad pips 80 pips made on a trade
that's only risking 20 pips is
absolutely doable it's gonna take some
time and study to find them okay but
they're there they're there every single
month there every single week and
sometimes okay you can catch them simply
in a day trading scenario many times
you'll have to require your your trade
to hold on to it for a few days to do
that but you can still do it okay but my
question is this if you're focused on
doing these types of trades here where
I'm trying to make my 20 pips per day or
I'm trying to make my 15 pips per day
okay this right here gets most people in
trouble because they're trying to get in
there every single day and try to make
those trades to make these pips okay I
give these examples here as models to
choose from because there's several
scenarios that specific traders will
find themselves comfortable in position
trading swing trading or day trading or
scalping and that's what this is
designed for this is the scalpers
mentality here or day traders column
this is what you would need to make as a
short-term trader okay or a swing trader
here twice a week and then for the
weekly is like a position trigger you
hold for the weekly range and an
obviously a long-term trader would be
looking for the monthly moves okay so
this is all broken down with that
mindset you choose where you're going to
be most appropriate in terms of what
you're allowing your your your psyche to
absorb most traders can't do day trading
most traders you can't get in front of
that the charts because of jobs because
of other things that you are an obstacle
for them but there's other ways to do
this okay and let's use the example that
you know if you're looking for the
scenario right here okay we have a the
gearing is a 20 pip stop that's what
we're gonna use
and we're only risking 2% and we're
aiming for 30% return for the month that
means we have to do essentially what we
have to find a trade that's four to one
reward the risk good that will give us
better than this
okay I'm just gonna move this a little
bit just to show you something cuz right
now it's saying we need to make 75 pips
per week to get 30% return if my uh yeah
would be a wonderful return women to get
32 percent return you got 80 pips and
that would be that four to one scenario
where you're risking 20 pips okay let me
just change this right nice we're
talking about to make you know a 20 pip
stop-loss you're risking five dollars
for a point or pip
2% risk total is 100 dollars you're
aiming for 32% that would equate to that
for one scenario okay so if you do four
to one reward the risk setups every
single time you do a trade you will be
in the realm that's required okay to do
one shot one kill setups per week and he
would hit 32 percent return okay so now
let's look at a chart and see what that
looks like and how those types of trades
set up and how we can find for two one
three two one reward risk scenarios and
keep our our stop loss is really in
relatively tight but before we do let me
go let me do this let's go back and do
our gearing for a 15 pip stop and we'll
use the same scenario of breaking it
down what it's what's required
okay so we're using a 15 pip stop you
would need to make 56 tips for the week
okay so 15 pips reward the risk of 1 to
1 you would need to make 15 pips net and
2 to 1 reward the risk would be 30 pips
for 15 pips risk 3-1 would be a 45 pip
to 15 pip ratio in other words you're
looking to make forty five pips gain for
45 I'm sorry for 15 pips risk you're
trying to aim and make 45 pips for two
one would give you 60 pips okay you
would need to make 60 pips for the 15
pips risk to make four to one and again
that will be better than this so that's
probably very close to this and s that
we have here so yeah you would need to
make 60 pips per week risking 15
initially with a four to one ratio
reward the risk and you would hit 32%
now again this is all we're dealing with
just ma this is just math okay and this
is how easy it is it's not hard to come
up with a strategy to get these
ridiculous amounts of return what makes
it difficult is you got to be able to
see how to do that in the charts so
let's go over to the market and take a
look at how that's done all right we're
looking at the British Pound USD pair
okay and I have some lines on here that
we're gonna utilize and I want to show
you what we have we're gonna assume for
a moment that you thought that this
17060 level down here would be an
important support level now I know
you're probably thinking all right
Michael you're already starting off with
cherry-picking scenario trust me I am
NOT let's go out to a daily chart and
I'll show you where that 17060 comes
from okay we are looking at the levels
on a daily chart and you see this old
high back here the high on this day
comes in at 170 63 my concepts
each that we like to round our numbers
to whole numbers or if it's very very
very tight volatility you know it's the
rains are very tight that you're looking
at in current price action
we'll use the five numbers in other
words we'll go between twenty and thirty
we may use twenty-five okay between
thirty and forty with me use thirty five
so we like to round to round numbers or
round to fives
okay so if you're looking at a a high on
this day if I can get that the areas the
high of one seventy sixty three that's
essentially one seventy sixty or one
seventy sixty five I elected to go with
160 simply because that's one of the go
what I wanted to go with if you wanted
to use one sixty seventy five is a
support level it would be nothing wrong
with that at all okay but that's where
the 17060 comes from and simple support
resistance teaches us that once this
resistance level is broken to the upside
once price comes back down to it we
would reasonably expect a bounce or
reaction at that price point and it just
so happens that we happen to get that
today on Tuesday and let's go back down
to a fifteen minute time frame
okay and what we're looking at is the
start of a new day here this is where
Tuesday began okay we had some some
consolidation and the market drifted
lower and traded right into that level
right there bang right into it the low
one just this candle here if I can get
things to work with me okay we got the
low of 17060 beautiful okay
you may notice this little blue line
here okay and you may know this is this
green line and this red line we're going
to talk later on in the series about
this red line and this line here and
this height line here basically are the
times that I asked you in the previous
video
to mark out on your charts and study
what takes place around those times of
the day okay price trades down into this
level here okay we're going to assume
that you believed that this was a
bullish area to expect a bounce right
increase this so we can see it okay so
the level is 17060 you always have to
factor in the spread okay and we're just
gonna add five pips this for slippage
and traditional retail spreads on the
British Pound USD pair okay and that
means it your limit order would come in
around 170 sixty five so your entry
would be around here okay we're gonna
look at a scenario where you're buying
on a limit once price drops down on this
candle here you're gonna be buying that
level okay and what I just do it I just
put a little tiny little rectangle here
now watch what happens it'll it'll show
up over here little numbers will pop up
see that see the eight now it's a nine
there's ten okay the range of the
rectangles height is now 10 pips
there's 11 12 13 and I lost it cuz we
went into a little indicator box here
you see if I can there you go I'll gain
some more ground not doing that okay
there's 15 pips so your entry will be at
170 65 and your and your your stop-loss
would rest
15 pips below your entry and s right
here okay
at 17050 price has to trade down to that
170 50 level just stop you out okay so
that would be your the selling price
because we're looking at data that's the
sell price so if as long as price stays
above that 170 50 level you would be in
the trade now this is where it gets
interesting
we're going to zoom in okay and now
we're gonna say just take this range
okay and what I'm going to do is I'm
going to just move it over a little bit
like that
just to differentiate and I'm gonna show
you
this would be from your entry if you got
out right up here at the top of the
rectangle that is a risk to reward of
one to one okay we're going to take a
step out farther okay
and that would be an exit point here
if you got out there that will be a two
to one okay you're gaining two for every
$1 you risked okay we're going to move
that out farther now this is a three to
one see you're using that same amount of
pips okay 15 pips now three times for
one risk this is a three to one reward
risk ratio we're going to go out one
more step one two three four game to one
risk okay so it's a four to one risk to
reward ratio
we have one two three four five ranges
of 15 pips each okay so that's five
reward to risk of one so Phi the one
reward risk okay and to get five the one
you would have to get out at around 170
140 okay now we could go all the way up
to the absolute high
like that and that would be one two
three four five six seven eight to one
reward the risk ratio and I know you
probably are thinking minutes
that's incredible well you'd be
surprised if you'd learned the concepts
that we're going to be teaching in this
series and for those of you that watch
the initial presentation over the last
four years or so from 2010 on you're
going to get the amplification of that
which is what we're getting here this is
this is really where I want you to focus
right here you want this type of setup
right there you want that okay you want
four to one and that's a wealth building
okay forty one builds millionaires
notice also that inside inside of this
day just in Tuesday okay this is not a
week this is not a course of several
days this is just one day price came off
that 17060 level and trades Alleluia was
a range of a hundred and thirty two pips
now that's a nice that's a nice range
that's this is what you've probably been
used to if you've been looking at Forex
for a number of years this that's about
the standard a little bit more than
standard daily range for the cable
recently we've entered into a small
little volatility squeeze where
nothing's really going on in the markets
unless you know one or two moves a week
creates a significant move and they
haven't really been this significant
many times but this is an area where you
could use that mindset of looking for
four to one reward the risk
okay now I'm gonna give you another
drill we talked about looking at the
swing points and the each candle is high
and low and the opening closing of those
three candles on each swing point and
drawing
in time and looking at how the future
reactions would occur around these
particular price points the levels I
have on this chart here okay are rather
important we're gonna go out to a weekly
okay and a weekly chart let's do this
okay what I've shown here is just in the
recent times the recent days I deleted
the red line is a weekly high which is
here okay this is swing high and all the
green levels with the exception of this
one here this one's really should be red
let's change that
that is a weekly level okay and the
green aren't simply going to be based on
daily highs okay and what you're looking
at is daily highs and weekly highs and
lows on both okay and by doing that this
is the exercise and you guys may
remember this from the initial
installment of excellence of execution
by inner circle traitor when I was
giving that those initial videos back in
2010 I did them silent now this is the
amplification of it the things that you
were missing
by having the this low here this is a
high here it lines up we have a high
here we have a high here okay we have a
high here the exercise I gave was that
you want to buy support levels or daily
lows or weekly lows and use a 20 pips
top with a 20 pip profit objective so
you're you're trying to find reward the
risk of one to one okay and you want to
sell weekly highs and daily highs with a
20 pips top and looking to make 20 pips
game okay and we're gonna look at just
simply the month of June
to the present time of this recording
which is the 15th of July 2014
okay and we're going to highlight that
just so we know where we're at in
deference to what's typically shown in
data I just want to focus on just this
little area and I'm gonna go off-white
with it or change the background a
little bit now I'm gonna go down to a
15-minute time frame okay and I want you
to notice when we trade down to these
levels here okay when we trade down into
that level okay we're looking for a
reaction and you would be trading this
reaction with the expectation of looking
for a move of 20 pips okay so when price
trades down into that level you would
use that specific price point and that
would be 167 30 and the low and it's
zoom in a little bit right in here
price trades down into that level which
is identified by the exercise we just
did I'm showing you how to how to arrive
at them the low is 160 720 so you're
buying it 167 30 the the lowest of the
low it went was just 10 pips below it so
your stop was never hit using a 25th
stop and looking at 20 pips gain
you would be buying here and getting out
right there okay that's the exercise
that's all there is to it now again the
reason why is you're not trying to find
profits that's not what you're trying to
do what you're doing is you're trying to
follow a consistent plan of action and
it's to show you how your your mind is
going to be trying to resist following
the rules of being in a trading plan
okay but it's also going to teach you
that you can find a lot of opportunities
where things will line up for you but
you're also gonna encounter days and
opportunities where it doesn't work out
for you you will get stopped out for 20
pips and you be you would do this in a
demo account okay it's also going to
teach you that you're not going to trade
every single day but it will give you
one trading setup for a week notice the
dot the double lines here see that
that's a Sunday so this whole day here
is one day or Monday this is Tuesday's
action between the vertical lines here
in here between this vertical line here
and here is Wednesday's trading this is
Thursdays trading this is Mondays
trading okay using this example here
this is a resistance level
okay delineate from the weekly chart you
would sell at this price level at 168 25
168 25 right there and your stop-loss
would be up here so if you're selling at
160 a 25 price traded with a high if I
can get my little doohickey here to work
with me let's get a little bit tighter
the range high on that is 168 44 so in
here 168 44 it's close you may depend
upon what data feed you were using and
what broker you could have got tagged
down it could have very well taken you
out so that would have been an
opportunity even though it did pan out
and move from that level 20 pips and
would have paid on that one they you
could have you could have very easily
been stopped out okay and that's it
that's sitting that's an exercise for
you to see what it's like to go through
that adversity okay and still see it
still moving you're right in the right
direction here we have another example
just doing the same thing you would be
selling at once to see 825 as price
trades right up to it your stop-loss
again you never touched okay so up
here's where your stop-loss would be 20
pip take profit right down here on this
candle you'd be filled that's it you'd
be out okay and you would simply move to
the sidelines again the other part of
the trading exercise is you are taking
specific surgical strikes and taking out
pips controlled risk controlled
execution you know where you're getting
in now you know when you're getting out
at you know exactly what you're doing
when you're doing it why you're doing it
based on a specific price level that was
delineating from a daily and weekly
chart which are the two highest
important you know in institutional
levels to be paying attention to again
that being the weekly and daily so we
had an example of a buy during that week
and we had an example of a cell here for
that week that would have panned out as
a losing opportunity we have a new week
here starting on Sunday
right on Monday we have that first
opportunity trade boom sell under that
resistance and then get your 20 pips
done okay now you can now also fine-tune
this a little bit
we discussed how to make 6% right you
can test the theory of making 6% with
one trade per week by saying okay well
I'm not gonna use a twenty pip stop loss
and take profit at 20 pips I'm gonna use
a 30 pip stop loss and aim to make 25
pips for the weekly goal yes you're
making less than your risk but you're
also aiming with the mindset that just
slowly develop into where you could
potentially look to make that 30 pips
for the 30 pips risk okay and then you
take this exercise one step further by
saying okay well if I can see these
levels like this why can't I take my
stop-loss and reduce it to a 15 pip stop
so now if you're selling on that level
here your stop-loss is now
see that so that's how we will use these
exercises going forward okay to groom
you into doing the things that you need
to be doing again this is one week
starting here again you're gonna let
other trades pass by you don't care
about what the other you know market
setups are doing you don't care about
that where we got here we did one trade
for yeah that was the Monday so you
would be done for the week if you're
doing once one shot one kill mentality
and developing that here we have another
an area here where we're looking for 20
pips top you'd sell that level at the
figure at 170 even 25th stop never hit
you does it pay you to 20 pips sure does
boom there's your one shot one kill
setup drill for that week and it does
give you another one right here that
would have paid you again to 20 pips but
once you get it you move to the
sidelines and you don't worry about it
again here's two scenarios right here
where it does it again
your stop is obviously never hit selling
it at 160 I'm sorry 170 60 and looking
at your 2050 taken right there you would
have got filled same scenario here for
another opportunity obviously stop never
hit selling at the big figure I'm sorry
at 170 60 paying you your 20 pips right
there wonderful opportunity going into a
new week we have this Sunday here all
right we have price trading down to this
level here buying the level okay or at a
resistance and support level based on
daily and weekly the red lines a weekly
you would be buying here with a
stop-loss 25th below this is where you
would absolutely be taken out of the
trade rather quickly if you took it at
all okay said I'd be a losing trade for
you to actually feel and feel what it's
like to go through that here's an area
where you'd be selling that same level
because we traded right back up to it
your staff lost 20 pips away so you'd
sell rate at that 170 figure stop also
be up here never hit does it pay you to
20 pips boom yes it does okay so you
would be you would recoup the loss you
took here you'd immediately right now be
back to even for the week okay and if
you were looking to sell again that
level here you would take a loss with
this exercise if you were taking again
it's assuming you take multiple entries
so you would if you sold this level here
you'd be stopped out for your 25th all
okay and price comes back back down this
is a same level again you would be
buying it now again for the exercise
price comes down to that level you buy
it at 170 big figure staff losses 20
pips below it never trades there does it
pay your 20 pips yes so now you took a
loss here recouped it here
you took a loss here recoup to here your
net even on the week and you go out the
week not even that's a good exercise
that's a good learning experience for
you that week we go into a new week here
move up to a level okay you have a stop
loss above that level selling short
blows you out 20 pips off loss done okay
you're out over the loss so you start
the week again as a net loser we go up
to another level notice it doesn't get
to it right here it's all sort of a
little bit you sell short on that level
soft loss is above 170-180 you sell it
at that price level and does it pay your
20 pips yes pays you okay so you recoup
the loss you took here now you're even
for this week there's two weeks you had
no gains but you're able to recoup the
losses very very important lesson
price comes down to this example we
showed earlier in the video explaining
how to get the 4 to 1 scenarios so this
is where we're at right now presently
when you trade it up for that same level
here intraday selling this level at 170
180 using 20 pips top it never got
tagged did it pay your 20 pips yes
indeed okay so you're able to capture
this one here and capture this one here
using the trading exercises and it's
again it's meant to develop your
consistency of following a plan
regardless of whatever it makes money
every single time or not you don't care
whether or not if you know you get a
trade every single day you're looking
for weekly and daily highs and lows once
they trade their boom you just go back
over your chart of recent price action
you know two three months at tops and go
through those levels have them on your
charts okay delineate them and I think
color you know fashion you like I use
the red for the weekly and green for the
daily it could be whatever whatever you
like
it doesn't have to be exactly how I'm
showing it to you in terms of colors and
thicknesses and all that it's a matter
of preference what you want to
differentiate those levels based on
whether it's a weekly or daily and don't
think too much about setting precedence
over weekly being better than a daily
for now just use the swing points and
highs and lows that we discussed earlier
in the video to build you know the basis
for the the initial steps and finding
your excellence in execution and until
the next edition I wish you good luck
and good trading
[Music]
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