ICT W.E.N.T. Series - Part 2 of 5

The Inner Circle Trader
16 Oct 201750:41

Summary

TLDR本视频讨论了如何通过每月6%的复合增长率实现账户翻倍,并以5000美元的账户为例,展示了在不同风险控制下,如何通过设定合理的止损点和目标盈利点来实现稳定的收益。视频中还强调了交易计划的重要性,通过实际案例分析,教授如何在不同的市场情况下寻找合适的交易机会,并坚持执行计划,即使在某些情况下可能会遭遇亏损。

Takeaways

  • 📈 投资回报目标:假设每月6%的复合增长率,一年后5000美元的投资将翻倍至10000美元。
  • 🚫 风险管理:使用30点止损策略,即使在追求6%的月回报率时,也只承担2%的资本风险。
  • 📊 投资心态:投资不是赛跑,而是一个长期旅程,享受过程比急于求成更重要。
  • 🔍 目标设定:如果目标是每月3500美元的收入,需要在账户中有足够的资金来支持这一目标。
  • 📌 交易策略:通过减少止损点数(如从30点降至20点或15点),可以在不增加风险的情况下提高交易灵活性。
  • 📈 增长潜力:通过提高交易的精确度和减少止损点数,可以在保持2%风险不变的情况下,实现更高的月回报率。
  • 📊 风险与回报:在保持2%风险不变的情况下,通过调整止损点数,可以实现从6%到30%不等的月回报率。
  • 📈 长期视角:长期来看,即使是小幅度的月回报(如6%)也能在三年内显著增长投资额。
  • 📝 交易计划:通过专注于每周的交易计划,即使不是每天都交易,也能实现稳定的收益。
  • 🔍 市场分析:利用每日和每周的高点和低点作为交易决策的依据,可以帮助交易者在市场中找到有利的交易机会。
  • 📈 财富积累:通过寻找并执行具有高风险回报比(如4:1)的交易,可以有效地积累财富。

Q & A

  • 视频中提到的6%的月复合增长率是如何计算的?

    -如果从$5,000开始,每月持续获得6%的回报,一年后(即2015年1月)的资金将翻倍,达到$10,000。这是通过复利计算得出的,即初始金额乘以(1 + 月增长率)的12次方。

  • 视频中提到的30 pip止损是什么意思?

    -30 pip止损是指在交易中设置的一个风险管理参数,如果交易亏损达到30个价格点(pip),系统会自动关闭交易以避免进一步的损失。

  • 为什么视频中建议新交易者使用30 pip止损?

    -视频中提到,新交易者使用30 pip止损可以提供一定的灵活性,因为新交易者在开始时可能会急于交易或者犹豫不决,这可能导致他们错过最佳交易时机。

  • 视频中提到的6%的月回报率在投资世界中是如何定位的?

    -视频中强调,6%的月回报率在投资世界中是一个显著的回报,对于不熟悉投资世界的人来说,这可能听起来难以置信,但实际上这是一个非常了不起的回报。

  • 视频中提到的10%的月回报率需要多少pip?

    -为了实现10%的月回报率,需要净赚38个pip,同时保持2%的风险比例不变。

  • 视频中提到的减少止损到20 pip意味着什么?

    -减少止损到20 pip意味着交易者在每笔交易中愿意承担更小的风险,这通常需要更精确的入场点和更好的风险管理策略。

  • 视频中提到的4到1的风险回报比是什么意思?

    -4到1的风险回报比意味着交易者愿意承担1个单位的风险(如20 pip),以期望获得4个单位的回报(如80 pip)。这有助于提高交易的整体盈利潜力。

  • 视频中提到的30%的月回报率需要多少pip?

    -为了实现30%的月回报率,需要在一周内赚取113个pip,或者一个月内赚取450个pip。

  • 视频中提到的15 pip止损如何影响交易策略?

    -使用15 pip止损意味着交易者在每笔交易中承担更小的风险,这通常需要更精确的交易策略和更好的市场分析能力。

  • 视频中提到的交易练习的目的是什么?

    -交易练习的目的是帮助交易者发展一致性,学习如何遵循交易计划,无论交易是否每次都盈利,都能保持一致的交易行为。

Outlines

00:00

📈 投资回报与风险管理

本段落讨论了如何通过每月6%的复合增长实现投资账户的翻倍。以5000美元起始资金为例,展示了一年后的预期收益,并强调了使用30个点止损的重要性。同时,提出了对于新手交易者来说,可以通过调整止损来减少风险,从而在保持2%风险的同时,实现更高的回报。

05:04

💰 月收入目标与账户资金

这一段解释了为了达到每月3500美元的生活费用,交易者需要在账户中拥有多少资金。建议交易者在达到一定资金水平前,不要依赖交易账户的资金生活。强调了通过储蓄账户或银行账户来维持生活,同时让交易资金在一年内增长的重要性。

10:09

📊 提高交易效率

本段落讨论了如何通过提高交易的精确度来减少初始止损,从而在保持相同风险水平的情况下,实现更高的月回报。通过减少止损到20个点,交易者可以在每周只需赚取75个点,而不是之前的150个点,来达到10%的月回报。

15:10

🚀 实现更高回报

这一段提出了如何通过调整交易策略来实现更高的月回报,例如20%或30%。通过使用更小的止损和更高的回报目标,交易者可以在不增加每笔交易风险的情况下,实现更高的收益。同时,强调了一致性和风险管理在交易成功中的重要性。

20:11

📉 交易策略与心理

本段落讨论了交易者在追求每日或每周固定点数收益时可能遇到的问题,如过度交易。提供了不同交易风格的示例,包括日内交易、摇摆交易和头寸交易,并强调了选择适合自己的交易风格的重要性。

25:12

📝 交易计划与执行

这一段详细介绍了如何通过使用每日和每周的高点和低点来制定交易计划。通过在特定价格水平买入或卖出,并设置适当的止损和止盈,交易者可以控制风险并寻找有利可图的交易机会。同时,强调了坚持交易计划和纪律的重要性。

30:13

📈 交易实践与学习

最后一段通过实际的交易例子,展示了如何应用前述的交易策略。通过在特定价格水平进行买卖,并设置止损和止盈,交易者可以在一周内实现目标收益。同时,强调了在交易过程中遇到亏损是正常的,重要的是从亏损中恢复并保持整体盈利。

Mindmap

Keywords

💡复利

复利是指投资收益在一定周期内再次产生收益的现象。在视频中,提到了6%的月复利可以在一年内使账户翻倍,这是投资领域中一个重要的概念,因为它展示了资金增长的潜力。

💡止损

止损是交易中的一个风险管理策略,用于限制潜在的损失。视频中提到使用30个点的止损,这是为了给新手交易者提供一定的灵活性,允许他们在价格波动时有一定的容错空间。

💡点差

点差在交易中指的是买入价和卖出价之间的差价,通常由交易平台或经纪商设定。视频中提到了考虑点差和滑点,这是交易成本的一部分,对交易者的盈亏有直接影响。

💡风险回报比

风险回报比是交易中衡量潜在收益与潜在风险的比例。视频中强调了寻找至少1:1的风险回报比,这是为了确保即使交易失败,也不会对账户造成太大影响。

💡交易策略

交易策略是交易者为了实现盈利目标而遵循的一系列规则和方法。视频中提到了不同的交易策略,如每日交易、摇摆交易和剥头皮交易,每种策略都有其特定的风险和回报特性。

💡支持和阻力水平

支持和阻力水平是技术分析中用来预测价格走势的关键水平。视频中提到了如何利用这些水平来确定买入和卖出的时机,这是基于历史价格行为的假设。

💡交易心理

交易心理涉及到交易者在面对市场波动时的情绪和决策过程。视频中强调了遵循交易计划的重要性,即使在面对亏损时也要保持一致性,这是为了培养良好的交易习惯。

💡市场波动性

市场波动性是指市场价格变动的速度和幅度。视频中提到了在低波动性市场中寻找交易机会的策略,这要求交易者有更高的精确度和耐心。

💡交易日志

交易日志是交易者记录交易决策、结果和反思的文档。视频中虽然没有直接提到,但通过回顾和分析交易日志,交易者可以改进策略,这是提高交易技能的重要工具。

💡资金管理

资金管理是交易中控制风险和最大化收益的关键。视频中提到了如何通过调整止损和目标盈利点来管理每笔交易的风险,这是为了确保账户的长期稳定增长。

Highlights

6%的复合年增长率可以使投资账户翻倍。

使用30个点的止损可以为新手交易者提供灵活性。

假设每月6%的回报率,每周需要净赚423个点。

为了实现每月3500美元的收入,需要在账户中有足够的资金。

10%的月回报率需要每周净赚38个点。

通过提高交易精度,可以减少初始止损点数。

20%的月回报率在减少止损到20个点后,每周需要净赚50个点。

30%的月回报率在减少止损到15个点后,每周需要净赚56个点。

通过控制风险和提高回报率,可以在不增加总风险的情况下提高月回报。

在交易中,重要的是遵循一致的计划,而不是每天都交易。

使用日图和周图的高点和低点来确定交易水平。

在交易中,要学会接受亏损并从中恢复。

通过专注于每周和每日的高点和低点,可以提高交易的一致性和执行能力。

在交易中,目标是寻找4:1的回报风险比。

通过练习和经验,可以提高在图表中识别交易机会的能力。

交易不仅仅是关于盈利,而是关于遵循一致的交易计划。

Transcripts

play00:17

okay in the previous video we discussed

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how 6% compounded over a year would more

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than double your account and you can see

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that depicted here if one hypothetically

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started with $5,000 and you were in fact

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consistently returning 6% per month

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after one full year January of the

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following year 2015 you would have just

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a little bit over doubling your money at

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five thousand would be ten thousand

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again you can see just a little bit

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$60.00 a ninety-eight cents and again as

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I promised it's less than 25 pips per

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week now I know it sounds a little too

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good to be true being able to make just

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a little bit of pips like because for

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over a period of a week and still doing

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such a dramatic increase in your equity

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and again if you guys aren't excited

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about 6% per month and you don't think

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that is dramatic return stand you know

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you obviously aren't really aware of

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what goes on in the investment world

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because this is a phenomenal return okay

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but that's assuming you're using a 30

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pip stop which is essentially what I

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like to see new traders do because it

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gives you a little bit of a flexibility

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for you know allowing in their price

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actually because most of us when we

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first start doing things we're in a rush

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to do things or we are a little

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lethargic or apprehensive so we may get

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in at most of opportune time we'll

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probably end up missing that as we

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develop as new traders so I allow a 30

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pip stop and I actually encouraged

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traders to use the 30 pip stop as an

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initial if you're really really green to

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trading you could use a 40 pip stop and

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then we'll give you a lot more cushion

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as well now don't be discouraged because

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it will be considered a large stop in

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some people's eyes it's it's all

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relative really but we're going to

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assume that 6% is understood here as a

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relatively achievable goal okay and

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we're going to give you a case study to

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think about I'm going to assume

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that the average person out there would

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require about $3,500 per month it's US

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currency okay and let me give you a

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hypothetical scenario if one would have

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to require a income of $3,500 per month

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my question to you is if you're trading

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with just this goal in mind 6% per month

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in aiming 423 pips for the week as a net

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it's less than a hundred pips per month

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allowing you a 30 pip stop you're only

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risking 2% of your equity okay looking

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at that as it relates to trading with a

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$5,000 account even after three years

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you still haven't reached that goal okay

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now I'm doing this to show you

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realistically how you may encounter

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now you may encounter some lag time in

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your goals that's fine as long as you're

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moving ahead in the direction of your

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larger longer-term goal every small

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incremental movement towards that goal

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it's a positive okay again it's not a

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race it's not a sprint this is a journey

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you need to be enjoying it as you go

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through it otherwise you're gonna make

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it an argue Astacio trying to escape now

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that J OB so now let's look at what I

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promised you know going forward that we

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would look at ways to make exponentially

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larger returns on our equity and let's

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assume for a moment that you wanted to

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make a very respectable ten percent per

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month and we're not changing the amount

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of risk percentage-wise we're going to

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keep it at 2% suddenly just by expecting

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a larger 10% return we would need to net

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38 pips now again this is rather

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reasonable there's nothing significantly

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you know you're shocking about the level

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of pips that would be required to earn

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that okay you're only risking 3 dollars

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and 33 cents

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PIPP okay that's the that's the gearing

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using the 30 pip stop over the course of

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one year okay your $5,000 would return a

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net balance of fifteen thousand six

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hundred and ninety two dollars now

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looking at that same model that we would

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assume that thirty five hundred hours

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would be ones expected you return per

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month to live okay you'd have to have

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about thirty seven thousand dollars in

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your account to draw that out okay or at

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least to make that over the over the

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course of a year not my advice is not to

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think that once you get to these levels

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you can start living off the account and

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start drawing out funds in the the

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amount that's shown here what I'm

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suggesting to you really is that is if

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that's what you're aiming for for a

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monthly income you have to have some

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money in your account

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okay I'm gonna refer to your savings

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account or your bank account to survive

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for the year and allow your money to

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build over the course of the twelve

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months and then as long as you a virgin

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this same amount obviously you know you

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would be able to meet that annual salary

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requirement to live as a as a full-time

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trader that's the way I teach it that's

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the way I tried to groom traders to

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leave the retail world of trading and

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just speculating for extra money then

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moving into full-time trading the 10%

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return is it's a pretty solid return

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there's nothing you know I could say bad

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about it it does get you rich over a

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period of time it doesn't do it quickly

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but it does significantly you know

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increase over a period of time if you

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look at what transpires over the course

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of three years your $5,000 obviously

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would grow to about a hundred and

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seventy thousand dollars now again this

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is assuming that you're not paying any

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taxes on it and you are in fact hitting

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10% return consistently every single

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month now as you start obviously you may

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not hit 10% and there may be other

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well you do better than 10% okay but

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overall you should average out if you're

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doing things consistently it should do

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staying around that 10% if you're

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looking at these returns here less than

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40 pips per week and again we haven't

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done anything to the 30 pips top now a

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question is this assume for a moment

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that you can fine tune your entries a

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little bit more precise and over the

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course of this presentation in series

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with every new and/or aspiring for our

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share wants to know we're going to teach

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specific applications concepts and skill

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sets that will enable you to reduce the

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amount of initial stop loss that's

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required we're going to assume for a

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moment that we can now reduce our stop

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loss initially to 20 pips okay if we can

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take these same trades 2% per risk per

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trade rather now we're trading with $5

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per pip notice it's still 2% 100 hours

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of our 5,000 equity we're aiming to make

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500 hours worth 10% for the month notice

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the contrast here we had moved from

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needing to require making 150 pips now

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only down to a hundred pips remember it

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was 90 pips before trying to make 6%

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return with 2% risk on 30 pips stops now

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watch what happens when we change it to

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15 pips now no many are thinking whoa 15

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pips that's a really small stop well

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there's ways to do that and we're going

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to teach you that in this course but now

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look what happens we're under 20 pips

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for the week under 20 pips only needing

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to make 75 pips for the entirety of the

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month notice we didn't increase our risk

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it's still 2% the risk would be a loss

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of $100 still 2% of our Nick equity a

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$5,000 bidding the beginning balance

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again aiming for 10% return

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now this is where it gets interesting

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notice that these numbers and figures

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are not changing over here the only

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thing I'm changing is the amount of

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initial stop-loss that's required okay

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we cut the total monthly pip expectancy

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from 150 in half down to 75 only by

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adjusting and spending more time on

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accuracy and reducing our amount of pip

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on the stop so in other words we cut our

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30 pip stop-loss in half to 15 pips now

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you're probably wondering is it really

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possible to do that yes it absolutely is

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and we're going to give examples of that

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in this video but for now understand

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that it's going to take you a little bit

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of time to get there so again it's all

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about not rushing initially you need to

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go to this model

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first if you can't do this model 23:23

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pips per week 90 pips for the month

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using a 30 pip stop don't think for a

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moment you're going to be able to do 15

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pip stop-loss treats okay you got to be

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able to grow into it and it doesn't take

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long to do that it only takes a couple

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months we're talking about six months

play10:28

this is the amount of time that he would

play10:30

require this whole six month bracket up

play10:33

here if you can do six percent

play10:36

consistently over six months the only

play10:39

thing you're changing is the initial

play10:41

stop-loss amount because if you can

play10:43

prove to yourself and be consistent

play10:46

about the way you apply the concepts

play10:49

that we're sharing the only thing you're

play10:51

changing is the math okay you're

play10:54

reducing the initial risk in half from

play10:57

30 to 15 pips nothing changes in your

play11:01

percent risk nothing changes in the

play11:04

dollar amounts over here okay but your

play11:07

work that's required to do the trades

play11:10

and returns drop rather exponentially

play11:13

but you actually build a lot more

play11:17

flexibility over here on this end okay

play11:20

in terms of monthly returns and still

play11:22

never changing the total risk per trade

play11:25

now let's go back and assume for a

play11:28

moment that you want to make a 20

play11:31

percent return now we're entering levels

play11:32

that are very very phenomenal again with

play11:38

a 30 pips top loss you would need to

play11:40

make 75 pips now if you've been a

play11:44

follower of mine for any number of years

play11:46

in 2010 I came out with you know the

play11:50

idea that if we're aiming for 50 to 75

play11:54

pips this was the model I was teaching

play11:57

okay but now we're going through the

play12:00

entire ICT library again now we're going

play12:02

to give you the amplified view to make

play12:04

20 percent return okay we're going to

play12:07

use the same model here assume for a

play12:10

moment we could go down to reducing our

play12:13

initial stop loss to 20 pips we moved

play12:17

from needing to make 75 pips a week to

play12:20

50 pips per week notice we have not

play12:22

it increased our risk per trade at all

play12:26

20% is still the expected goal and using

play12:31

$5,000 as an equity base example after

play12:34

one year it's forty four thousand five

play12:36

hundred and eighty dollars in two years

play12:38

it's three hundred ninety seven thousand

play12:40

dollars now at month seven you're

play12:44

already at the level where you're making

play12:45

that hypothetical thirty five hundred

play12:47

hours to sustain yourself on a monthly

play12:50

basis and again I'm not arguing the fact

play12:52

that everyone can live on thirty five

play12:54

hundred hours I'm just using as a case

play12:55

study so please don't send me emails

play12:57

saying well I really can't afford to

play12:58

live on thirty five hundred hours I'm

play12:59

just using an example guys so don't no

play13:02

don't make more of it than it really is

play13:03

now for a moment let's assume that we

play13:07

are able to again trim our stop loss

play13:10

order initial entries and reducing the

play13:13

overall risk to 15 pips now again we're

play13:16

gonna be using a day traders model for

play13:17

entry okay but still using a thirty pip

play13:20

stop it was still respectable when you

play13:21

can do 70 five pips but for now assuming

play13:24

that we can get very very close to the

play13:28

market place and allow a fifteen pip

play13:30

stop-loss what will happen is you reduce

play13:39

your total monthly pip expectancy to

play13:42

half again so now we need to only make

play13:44

150 pips and we only need to make

play13:48

thirty-eight pips for the week 38 pips

play13:51

for the week with an initial stop loss

play13:54

of 15 pips that's less than three to one

play13:59

think about it's less than three to one

play14:01

one trade with a setup of less than

play14:04

three to one would accomplish more than

play14:07

this okay so now let's assume for a

play14:12

moment going back to our original

play14:13

settings we want to make thirty percent

play14:20

return now we're absolutely in our areas

play14:23

where it's just unheard of folks to make

play14:26

this again looking at this we would need

play14:30

to make a hundred and thirteen pips for

play14:32

the week or four hundred and fifty pips

play14:35

per month

play14:36

now I know most of you are saying well I

play14:39

can't make 450 pips per month well

play14:42

you're probably right right now as a new

play14:44

trading or developing trip you probably

play14:45

can't do that but using 2% risk and a 30

play14:49

pips top you would need to make a

play14:52

hundred and thirteen pips per week now

play14:54

looking at our example of trimming 20

play15:02

pips stop-loss we would need to only

play15:06

make 75 pips for the week or 300 pips

play15:09

for the month now this is doable you can

play15:12

still do 75 pips over we even with the

play15:14

low volatility we have right now

play15:15

currently in 2014 at the time of this

play15:18

recording this is still doable it's

play15:20

going to require some work but still yet

play15:22

it can be done if you go back over to

play15:24

our example again assume for a moment

play15:26

that we could reduce our risk to again

play15:29

15 pips we only need to make 56 pips for

play15:34

the week or 225 pips for the month

play15:37

notice that we're not increasing the 2%

play15:41

risk per trade it still stays at locked

play15:44

to 2% but it's allowing us a larger

play15:48

dollar per pip risk and still maintain

play15:52

the 2% total risk per trade on the

play15:56

$5,000 again these numbers are not

play15:59

changing as we adjust the pip amount in

play16:03

terms of the initial stop-loss it just

play16:05

changes the expectancy on what you need

play16:08

to make to acquire 30% per month now

play16:12

it's 30% in fir'aun's your $5000 will

play16:15

grow to one hundred and sixteen thousand

play16:17

dollars now again going back to our

play16:19

$3500 example of you know case study

play16:23

needing to make $35 to sustain oneself

play16:26

you get into that region around the

play16:28

fourth month if you're able to do 30

play16:31

percent return now again this is a

play16:34

assuming that one can consistently month

play16:38

over month over month

play16:39

do 30% returns my question to you is

play16:42

this if you can make fifty

play16:47

six pips for the entire week okay you'll

play16:51

hit this number every single month

play16:55

you'll do it

play16:56

the only things gonna change is your

play16:57

dollar for risk you know initially owns

play17:00

on your your trades now let's go and

play17:05

look at assuming that we had a 20 pips

play17:15

top okay 20 pips top and you run this

play17:26

across the entire 36 month example okay

play17:36

you would need five dollars per pip

play17:39

which is two percent one hundred hours

play17:42

of the total equity used for that month

play17:46

returning with 30 percent it's $1,500

play17:49

you only need to make 75 pips

play17:52

here's a question we have a 20 pip stop

play17:58

loss again don't be confused but this is

play18:01

a notation if you look at what we have

play18:03

here this is did denoting the stop-loss

play18:06

will be requiring 20 pips okay so now 20

play18:10

pip stop loss if one were to make a

play18:15

trade with one to one reward risk ratio

play18:19

that means you would expect to make what

play18:22

you're risking 20 you're hoping to make

play18:25

what 20 pip gain okay so now what if you

play18:29

were looking for a two to one trade

play18:34

that's too rewarded for one risk you

play18:38

would need to make a 40 pip net gain on

play18:41

that trade you're risking 20 pips you're

play18:44

hoping to make 40 now watch this if you

play18:48

were doing a three to one trade risking

play18:53

20 pips you would expect to make what 60

play18:57

pips risking 20 a me for 60

play19:01

it's a 301 trade now here's another

play19:04

example if you're trying to make a

play19:07

four-to-one trade you're risking 20 pips

play19:10

to make ad pips 80 pips made on a trade

play19:16

that's only risking 20 pips is

play19:18

absolutely doable it's gonna take some

play19:21

time and study to find them okay but

play19:25

they're there they're there every single

play19:27

month there every single week and

play19:29

sometimes okay you can catch them simply

play19:32

in a day trading scenario many times

play19:35

you'll have to require your your trade

play19:37

to hold on to it for a few days to do

play19:39

that but you can still do it okay but my

play19:43

question is this if you're focused on

play19:46

doing these types of trades here where

play19:49

I'm trying to make my 20 pips per day or

play19:52

I'm trying to make my 15 pips per day

play19:54

okay this right here gets most people in

play19:58

trouble because they're trying to get in

play20:00

there every single day and try to make

play20:02

those trades to make these pips okay I

play20:06

give these examples here as models to

play20:09

choose from because there's several

play20:10

scenarios that specific traders will

play20:14

find themselves comfortable in position

play20:15

trading swing trading or day trading or

play20:18

scalping and that's what this is

play20:20

designed for this is the scalpers

play20:21

mentality here or day traders column

play20:25

this is what you would need to make as a

play20:27

short-term trader okay or a swing trader

play20:33

here twice a week and then for the

play20:35

weekly is like a position trigger you

play20:38

hold for the weekly range and an

play20:40

obviously a long-term trader would be

play20:41

looking for the monthly moves okay so

play20:44

this is all broken down with that

play20:46

mindset you choose where you're going to

play20:48

be most appropriate in terms of what

play20:52

you're allowing your your your psyche to

play20:54

absorb most traders can't do day trading

play20:57

most traders you can't get in front of

play21:00

that the charts because of jobs because

play21:02

of other things that you are an obstacle

play21:05

for them but there's other ways to do

play21:08

this okay and let's use the example that

play21:12

you know if you're looking for the

play21:15

scenario right here okay we have a the

play21:18

gearing is a 20 pip stop that's what

play21:20

we're gonna use

play21:21

and we're only risking 2% and we're

play21:24

aiming for 30% return for the month that

play21:26

means we have to do essentially what we

play21:30

have to find a trade that's four to one

play21:32

reward the risk good that will give us

play21:35

better than this

play21:37

okay I'm just gonna move this a little

play21:42

bit just to show you something cuz right

play21:43

now it's saying we need to make 75 pips

play21:45

per week to get 30% return if my uh yeah

play21:52

would be a wonderful return women to get

play21:55

32 percent return you got 80 pips and

play21:58

that would be that four to one scenario

play22:01

where you're risking 20 pips okay let me

play22:04

just change this right nice we're

play22:05

talking about to make you know a 20 pip

play22:08

stop-loss you're risking five dollars

play22:10

for a point or pip

play22:11

2% risk total is 100 dollars you're

play22:14

aiming for 32% that would equate to that

play22:17

for one scenario okay so if you do four

play22:20

to one reward the risk setups every

play22:23

single time you do a trade you will be

play22:26

in the realm that's required okay to do

play22:30

one shot one kill setups per week and he

play22:35

would hit 32 percent return okay so now

play22:38

let's look at a chart and see what that

play22:39

looks like and how those types of trades

play22:42

set up and how we can find for two one

play22:44

three two one reward risk scenarios and

play22:47

keep our our stop loss is really in

play22:51

relatively tight but before we do let me

play22:54

go let me do this let's go back and do

play22:58

our gearing for a 15 pip stop and we'll

play23:01

use the same scenario of breaking it

play23:06

down what it's what's required

play23:08

okay so we're using a 15 pip stop you

play23:11

would need to make 56 tips for the week

play23:14

okay so 15 pips reward the risk of 1 to

play23:21

1 you would need to make 15 pips net and

play23:24

2 to 1 reward the risk would be 30 pips

play23:28

for 15 pips risk 3-1 would be a 45 pip

play23:35

to 15 pip ratio in other words you're

play23:39

looking to make forty five pips gain for

play23:41

45 I'm sorry for 15 pips risk you're

play23:43

trying to aim and make 45 pips for two

play23:47

one would give you 60 pips okay you

play23:51

would need to make 60 pips for the 15

play23:53

pips risk to make four to one and again

play23:55

that will be better than this so that's

play23:57

probably very close to this and s that

play24:01

we have here so yeah you would need to

play24:02

make 60 pips per week risking 15

play24:05

initially with a four to one ratio

play24:08

reward the risk and you would hit 32%

play24:12

now again this is all we're dealing with

play24:14

just ma this is just math okay and this

play24:17

is how easy it is it's not hard to come

play24:20

up with a strategy to get these

play24:22

ridiculous amounts of return what makes

play24:24

it difficult is you got to be able to

play24:26

see how to do that in the charts so

play24:27

let's go over to the market and take a

play24:30

look at how that's done all right we're

play24:32

looking at the British Pound USD pair

play24:36

okay and I have some lines on here that

play24:41

we're gonna utilize and I want to show

play24:47

you what we have we're gonna assume for

play24:52

a moment that you thought that this

play24:55

17060 level down here would be an

play24:58

important support level now I know

play25:01

you're probably thinking all right

play25:02

Michael you're already starting off with

play25:03

cherry-picking scenario trust me I am

play25:06

NOT let's go out to a daily chart and

play25:10

I'll show you where that 17060 comes

play25:11

from okay we are looking at the levels

play25:19

on a daily chart and you see this old

play25:24

high back here the high on this day

play25:27

comes in at 170 63 my concepts

play25:32

each that we like to round our numbers

play25:35

to whole numbers or if it's very very

play25:39

very tight volatility you know it's the

play25:43

rains are very tight that you're looking

play25:45

at in current price action

play25:46

we'll use the five numbers in other

play25:48

words we'll go between twenty and thirty

play25:50

we may use twenty-five okay between

play25:52

thirty and forty with me use thirty five

play25:55

so we like to round to round numbers or

play25:57

round to fives

play25:58

okay so if you're looking at a a high on

play26:03

this day if I can get that the areas the

play26:10

high of one seventy sixty three that's

play26:13

essentially one seventy sixty or one

play26:17

seventy sixty five I elected to go with

play26:20

160 simply because that's one of the go

play26:23

what I wanted to go with if you wanted

play26:25

to use one sixty seventy five is a

play26:27

support level it would be nothing wrong

play26:29

with that at all okay but that's where

play26:32

the 17060 comes from and simple support

play26:34

resistance teaches us that once this

play26:36

resistance level is broken to the upside

play26:39

once price comes back down to it we

play26:41

would reasonably expect a bounce or

play26:43

reaction at that price point and it just

play26:45

so happens that we happen to get that

play26:47

today on Tuesday and let's go back down

play26:53

to a fifteen minute time frame

play27:01

okay and what we're looking at is the

play27:06

start of a new day here this is where

play27:07

Tuesday began okay we had some some

play27:11

consolidation and the market drifted

play27:13

lower and traded right into that level

play27:14

right there bang right into it the low

play27:16

one just this candle here if I can get

play27:21

things to work with me okay we got the

play27:25

low of 17060 beautiful okay

play27:29

you may notice this little blue line

play27:31

here okay and you may know this is this

play27:33

green line and this red line we're going

play27:35

to talk later on in the series about

play27:37

this red line and this line here and

play27:39

this height line here basically are the

play27:42

times that I asked you in the previous

play27:44

video

play27:45

to mark out on your charts and study

play27:49

what takes place around those times of

play27:51

the day okay price trades down into this

play27:56

level here okay we're going to assume

play27:58

that you believed that this was a

play28:02

bullish area to expect a bounce right

play28:09

increase this so we can see it okay so

play28:15

the level is 17060 you always have to

play28:19

factor in the spread okay and we're just

play28:21

gonna add five pips this for slippage

play28:23

and traditional retail spreads on the

play28:25

British Pound USD pair okay and that

play28:28

means it your limit order would come in

play28:31

around 170 sixty five so your entry

play28:35

would be around here okay we're gonna

play28:37

look at a scenario where you're buying

play28:42

on a limit once price drops down on this

play28:46

candle here you're gonna be buying that

play28:49

level okay and what I just do it I just

play28:51

put a little tiny little rectangle here

play28:53

now watch what happens it'll it'll show

play28:55

up over here little numbers will pop up

play28:58

see that see the eight now it's a nine

play29:02

there's ten okay the range of the

play29:05

rectangles height is now 10 pips

play29:07

there's 11 12 13 and I lost it cuz we

play29:14

went into a little indicator box here

play29:17

you see if I can there you go I'll gain

play29:20

some more ground not doing that okay

play29:23

there's 15 pips so your entry will be at

play29:27

170 65 and your and your your stop-loss

play29:32

would rest

play29:37

15 pips below your entry and s right

play29:41

here okay

play29:43

at 17050 price has to trade down to that

play29:47

170 50 level just stop you out okay so

play29:51

that would be your the selling price

play29:53

because we're looking at data that's the

play29:55

sell price so if as long as price stays

play29:59

above that 170 50 level you would be in

play30:02

the trade now this is where it gets

play30:03

interesting

play30:04

we're going to zoom in okay and now

play30:10

we're gonna say just take this range

play30:13

okay and what I'm going to do is I'm

play30:16

going to just move it over a little bit

play30:17

like that

play30:18

just to differentiate and I'm gonna show

play30:24

you

play30:29

this would be from your entry if you got

play30:33

out right up here at the top of the

play30:35

rectangle that is a risk to reward of

play30:37

one to one okay we're going to take a

play30:42

step out farther okay

play30:46

and that would be an exit point here

play30:54

if you got out there that will be a two

play30:56

to one okay you're gaining two for every

play30:59

$1 you risked okay we're going to move

play31:02

that out farther now this is a three to

play31:05

one see you're using that same amount of

play31:07

pips okay 15 pips now three times for

play31:11

one risk this is a three to one reward

play31:13

risk ratio we're going to go out one

play31:16

more step one two three four game to one

play31:22

risk okay so it's a four to one risk to

play31:26

reward ratio

play31:35

we have one two three four five ranges

play31:40

of 15 pips each okay so that's five

play31:43

reward to risk of one so Phi the one

play31:46

reward risk okay and to get five the one

play31:50

you would have to get out at around 170

play31:53

140 okay now we could go all the way up

play31:58

to the absolute high

play32:08

like that and that would be one two

play32:10

three four five six seven eight to one

play32:15

reward the risk ratio and I know you

play32:19

probably are thinking minutes

play32:21

that's incredible well you'd be

play32:22

surprised if you'd learned the concepts

play32:24

that we're going to be teaching in this

play32:25

series and for those of you that watch

play32:28

the initial presentation over the last

play32:30

four years or so from 2010 on you're

play32:35

going to get the amplification of that

play32:36

which is what we're getting here this is

play32:39

this is really where I want you to focus

play32:46

right here you want this type of setup

play32:49

right there you want that okay you want

play32:54

four to one and that's a wealth building

play32:56

okay forty one builds millionaires

play32:59

notice also that inside inside of this

play33:08

day just in Tuesday okay this is not a

play33:12

week this is not a course of several

play33:16

days this is just one day price came off

play33:19

that 17060 level and trades Alleluia was

play33:23

a range of a hundred and thirty two pips

play33:26

now that's a nice that's a nice range

play33:28

that's this is what you've probably been

play33:30

used to if you've been looking at Forex

play33:31

for a number of years this that's about

play33:33

the standard a little bit more than

play33:36

standard daily range for the cable

play33:40

recently we've entered into a small

play33:42

little volatility squeeze where

play33:45

nothing's really going on in the markets

play33:47

unless you know one or two moves a week

play33:50

creates a significant move and they

play33:53

haven't really been this significant

play33:54

many times but this is an area where you

play34:00

could use that mindset of looking for

play34:04

four to one reward the risk

play34:05

okay now I'm gonna give you another

play34:08

drill we talked about looking at the

play34:13

swing points and the each candle is high

play34:16

and low and the opening closing of those

play34:19

three candles on each swing point and

play34:21

drawing

play34:22

in time and looking at how the future

play34:23

reactions would occur around these

play34:25

particular price points the levels I

play34:28

have on this chart here okay are rather

play34:31

important we're gonna go out to a weekly

play34:37

okay and a weekly chart let's do this

play34:43

okay what I've shown here is just in the

play34:48

recent times the recent days I deleted

play34:52

the red line is a weekly high which is

play34:55

here okay this is swing high and all the

play34:59

green levels with the exception of this

play35:02

one here this one's really should be red

play35:04

let's change that

play35:07

that is a weekly level okay and the

play35:14

green aren't simply going to be based on

play35:16

daily highs okay and what you're looking

play35:20

at is daily highs and weekly highs and

play35:22

lows on both okay and by doing that this

play35:26

is the exercise and you guys may

play35:29

remember this from the initial

play35:32

installment of excellence of execution

play35:35

by inner circle traitor when I was

play35:39

giving that those initial videos back in

play35:42

2010 I did them silent now this is the

play35:45

amplification of it the things that you

play35:46

were missing

play35:47

by having the this low here this is a

play35:51

high here it lines up we have a high

play35:55

here we have a high here okay we have a

play36:00

high here the exercise I gave was that

play36:04

you want to buy support levels or daily

play36:07

lows or weekly lows and use a 20 pips

play36:11

top with a 20 pip profit objective so

play36:14

you're you're trying to find reward the

play36:16

risk of one to one okay and you want to

play36:19

sell weekly highs and daily highs with a

play36:23

20 pips top and looking to make 20 pips

play36:25

game okay and we're gonna look at just

play36:30

simply the month of June

play36:33

to the present time of this recording

play36:35

which is the 15th of July 2014

play36:38

okay and we're going to highlight that

play36:40

just so we know where we're at in

play36:44

deference to what's typically shown in

play36:47

data I just want to focus on just this

play36:51

little area and I'm gonna go off-white

play36:56

with it or change the background a

play36:59

little bit now I'm gonna go down to a

play37:04

15-minute time frame okay and I want you

play37:09

to notice when we trade down to these

play37:12

levels here okay when we trade down into

play37:14

that level okay we're looking for a

play37:18

reaction and you would be trading this

play37:20

reaction with the expectation of looking

play37:24

for a move of 20 pips okay so when price

play37:29

trades down into that level you would

play37:32

use that specific price point and that

play37:35

would be 167 30 and the low and it's

play37:42

zoom in a little bit right in here

play37:51

price trades down into that level which

play37:54

is identified by the exercise we just

play37:57

did I'm showing you how to how to arrive

play38:00

at them the low is 160 720 so you're

play38:11

buying it 167 30 the the lowest of the

play38:15

low it went was just 10 pips below it so

play38:19

your stop was never hit using a 25th

play38:21

stop and looking at 20 pips gain

play38:41

you would be buying here and getting out

play38:44

right there okay that's the exercise

play38:46

that's all there is to it now again the

play38:50

reason why is you're not trying to find

play38:53

profits that's not what you're trying to

play38:54

do what you're doing is you're trying to

play38:56

follow a consistent plan of action and

play38:59

it's to show you how your your mind is

play39:03

going to be trying to resist following

play39:05

the rules of being in a trading plan

play39:07

okay but it's also going to teach you

play39:10

that you can find a lot of opportunities

play39:14

where things will line up for you but

play39:16

you're also gonna encounter days and

play39:19

opportunities where it doesn't work out

play39:21

for you you will get stopped out for 20

play39:22

pips and you be you would do this in a

play39:25

demo account okay it's also going to

play39:28

teach you that you're not going to trade

play39:29

every single day but it will give you

play39:32

one trading setup for a week notice the

play39:35

dot the double lines here see that

play39:36

that's a Sunday so this whole day here

play39:39

is one day or Monday this is Tuesday's

play39:42

action between the vertical lines here

play39:44

in here between this vertical line here

play39:46

and here is Wednesday's trading this is

play39:51

Thursdays trading this is Mondays

play39:53

trading okay using this example here

play39:59

this is a resistance level

play40:01

okay delineate from the weekly chart you

play40:03

would sell at this price level at 168 25

play40:13

168 25 right there and your stop-loss

play40:26

would be up here so if you're selling at

play40:31

160 a 25 price traded with a high if I

play40:39

can get my little doohickey here to work

play40:43

with me let's get a little bit tighter

play40:50

the range high on that is 168 44 so in

play40:57

here 168 44 it's close you may depend

play41:02

upon what data feed you were using and

play41:04

what broker you could have got tagged

play41:06

down it could have very well taken you

play41:09

out so that would have been an

play41:10

opportunity even though it did pan out

play41:13

and move from that level 20 pips and

play41:19

would have paid on that one they you

play41:21

could have you could have very easily

play41:22

been stopped out okay and that's it

play41:24

that's sitting that's an exercise for

play41:26

you to see what it's like to go through

play41:28

that adversity okay and still see it

play41:30

still moving you're right in the right

play41:32

direction here we have another example

play41:34

just doing the same thing you would be

play41:37

selling at once to see 825 as price

play41:40

trades right up to it your stop-loss

play41:43

again you never touched okay so up

play41:51

here's where your stop-loss would be 20

play41:54

pip take profit right down here on this

play41:58

candle you'd be filled that's it you'd

play42:00

be out okay and you would simply move to

play42:03

the sidelines again the other part of

play42:05

the trading exercise is you are taking

play42:08

specific surgical strikes and taking out

play42:11

pips controlled risk controlled

play42:14

execution you know where you're getting

play42:16

in now you know when you're getting out

play42:18

at you know exactly what you're doing

play42:20

when you're doing it why you're doing it

play42:22

based on a specific price level that was

play42:25

delineating from a daily and weekly

play42:27

chart which are the two highest

play42:29

important you know in institutional

play42:32

levels to be paying attention to again

play42:34

that being the weekly and daily so we

play42:38

had an example of a buy during that week

play42:41

and we had an example of a cell here for

play42:45

that week that would have panned out as

play42:47

a losing opportunity we have a new week

play42:51

here starting on Sunday

play42:52

right on Monday we have that first

play42:54

opportunity trade boom sell under that

play42:56

resistance and then get your 20 pips

play42:59

done okay now you can now also fine-tune

play43:03

this a little bit

play43:04

we discussed how to make 6% right you

play43:07

can test the theory of making 6% with

play43:10

one trade per week by saying okay well

play43:12

I'm not gonna use a twenty pip stop loss

play43:14

and take profit at 20 pips I'm gonna use

play43:17

a 30 pip stop loss and aim to make 25

play43:22

pips for the weekly goal yes you're

play43:25

making less than your risk but you're

play43:28

also aiming with the mindset that just

play43:31

slowly develop into where you could

play43:33

potentially look to make that 30 pips

play43:35

for the 30 pips risk okay and then you

play43:38

take this exercise one step further by

play43:40

saying okay well if I can see these

play43:42

levels like this why can't I take my

play43:45

stop-loss and reduce it to a 15 pip stop

play43:51

so now if you're selling on that level

play43:53

here your stop-loss is now

play43:58

see that so that's how we will use these

play44:02

exercises going forward okay to groom

play44:05

you into doing the things that you need

play44:07

to be doing again this is one week

play44:10

starting here again you're gonna let

play44:14

other trades pass by you don't care

play44:16

about what the other you know market

play44:18

setups are doing you don't care about

play44:19

that where we got here we did one trade

play44:26

for yeah that was the Monday so you

play44:30

would be done for the week if you're

play44:32

doing once one shot one kill mentality

play44:35

and developing that here we have another

play44:38

an area here where we're looking for 20

play44:42

pips top you'd sell that level at the

play44:45

figure at 170 even 25th stop never hit

play44:49

you does it pay you to 20 pips sure does

play44:55

boom there's your one shot one kill

play44:57

setup drill for that week and it does

play45:01

give you another one right here that

play45:04

would have paid you again to 20 pips but

play45:09

once you get it you move to the

play45:10

sidelines and you don't worry about it

play45:11

again here's two scenarios right here

play45:14

where it does it again

play45:19

your stop is obviously never hit selling

play45:22

it at 160 I'm sorry 170 60 and looking

play45:30

at your 2050 taken right there you would

play45:36

have got filled same scenario here for

play45:38

another opportunity obviously stop never

play45:41

hit selling at the big figure I'm sorry

play45:44

at 170 60 paying you your 20 pips right

play45:47

there wonderful opportunity going into a

play45:52

new week we have this Sunday here all

play45:57

right we have price trading down to this

play46:02

level here buying the level okay or at a

play46:09

resistance and support level based on

play46:11

daily and weekly the red lines a weekly

play46:13

you would be buying here with a

play46:15

stop-loss 25th below this is where you

play46:18

would absolutely be taken out of the

play46:19

trade rather quickly if you took it at

play46:21

all okay said I'd be a losing trade for

play46:23

you to actually feel and feel what it's

play46:27

like to go through that here's an area

play46:30

where you'd be selling that same level

play46:32

because we traded right back up to it

play46:34

your staff lost 20 pips away so you'd

play46:37

sell rate at that 170 figure stop also

play46:41

be up here never hit does it pay you to

play46:45

20 pips boom yes it does okay so you

play46:51

would be you would recoup the loss you

play46:53

took here you'd immediately right now be

play46:55

back to even for the week okay and if

play47:01

you were looking to sell again that

play47:04

level here you would take a loss with

play47:07

this exercise if you were taking again

play47:10

it's assuming you take multiple entries

play47:12

so you would if you sold this level here

play47:16

you'd be stopped out for your 25th all

play47:18

okay and price comes back back down this

play47:21

is a same level again you would be

play47:24

buying it now again for the exercise

play47:27

price comes down to that level you buy

play47:29

it at 170 big figure staff losses 20

play47:31

pips below it never trades there does it

play47:34

pay your 20 pips yes so now you took a

play47:37

loss here recouped it here

play47:40

you took a loss here recoup to here your

play47:42

net even on the week and you go out the

play47:47

week not even that's a good exercise

play47:49

that's a good learning experience for

play47:51

you that week we go into a new week here

play47:54

move up to a level okay you have a stop

play48:00

loss above that level selling short

play48:01

blows you out 20 pips off loss done okay

play48:05

you're out over the loss so you start

play48:07

the week again as a net loser we go up

play48:11

to another level notice it doesn't get

play48:14

to it right here it's all sort of a

play48:16

little bit you sell short on that level

play48:18

soft loss is above 170-180 you sell it

play48:23

at that price level and does it pay your

play48:25

20 pips yes pays you okay so you recoup

play48:29

the loss you took here now you're even

play48:31

for this week there's two weeks you had

play48:35

no gains but you're able to recoup the

play48:38

losses very very important lesson

play48:45

price comes down to this example we

play48:49

showed earlier in the video explaining

play48:51

how to get the 4 to 1 scenarios so this

play48:55

is where we're at right now presently

play48:56

when you trade it up for that same level

play48:58

here intraday selling this level at 170

play49:06

180 using 20 pips top it never got

play49:08

tagged did it pay your 20 pips yes

play49:13

indeed okay so you're able to capture

play49:17

this one here and capture this one here

play49:19

using the trading exercises and it's

play49:22

again it's meant to develop your

play49:25

consistency of following a plan

play49:26

regardless of whatever it makes money

play49:29

every single time or not you don't care

play49:31

whether or not if you know you get a

play49:33

trade every single day you're looking

play49:34

for weekly and daily highs and lows once

play49:37

they trade their boom you just go back

play49:39

over your chart of recent price action

play49:42

you know two three months at tops and go

play49:45

through those levels have them on your

play49:47

charts okay delineate them and I think

play49:49

color you know fashion you like I use

play49:51

the red for the weekly and green for the

play49:53

daily it could be whatever whatever you

play49:55

like

play49:56

it doesn't have to be exactly how I'm

play49:58

showing it to you in terms of colors and

play50:00

thicknesses and all that it's a matter

play50:03

of preference what you want to

play50:04

differentiate those levels based on

play50:06

whether it's a weekly or daily and don't

play50:09

think too much about setting precedence

play50:11

over weekly being better than a daily

play50:13

for now just use the swing points and

play50:15

highs and lows that we discussed earlier

play50:17

in the video to build you know the basis

play50:22

for the the initial steps and finding

play50:24

your excellence in execution and until

play50:27

the next edition I wish you good luck

play50:29

and good trading

play50:31

[Music]

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