Why You're NOT a Profitable Trader YET...and How to FIX IT!!
Summary
TLDRIn this lecture, Jared Wesley emphasizes the importance of discipline, planning, and adherence to trading rules for profitability in trading. He discusses common pitfalls such as poor money management, lack of a trading plan, and the psychological aspects that lead to selling too soon or holding onto losing trades. Wesley stresses the need for traders to follow their plans consistently, manage their trades effectively, and understand the expectations tied to their trading strategies. He also highlights the contrast between the dedication traders show when working for others versus their own trading careers, urging traders to build their own dreams and trust the process for long-term success.
Takeaways
- π Success in trading requires discipline, time, and effort, much like going to the gym regularly.
- π« Most traders fail because they don't consistently follow their trading plans or money management rules.
- π Having a trading plan is crucial, but it's equally important to stick to it, even when it's challenging.
- π‘ Traders often sell too soon, cutting profits short, which can significantly impact long-term profitability.
- π It's essential to understand the balance between goal attainment and profit protection in trade management.
- π Different trading styles and strategies require different management approaches; there's no one-size-fits-all solution.
- π€ Traders must be honest and objective with themselves, acknowledging when they're not following their plan and making necessary adjustments.
- π° The difference between being profitable and not can come down to how well one manages their trades and adheres to their trading plan.
- π οΈ Developing a strong consequence system can help traders stay disciplined and committed to their trading plan.
- π The market is unpredictable, and traders must be prepared to adapt and manage their trades effectively in various market conditions.
- π Building a successful trading career is a gradual process that requires patience, persistence, and a systematic approach.
Q & A
What is the main topic of Jared Wesley's lecture?
-The main topic of the lecture is why people are not yet profitable traders and the rules and path they need to follow to become successful.
What does Jared emphasize as crucial for becoming a profitable trader?
-Jared emphasizes the importance of time, effort, and work, as well as following the right rules and having a proper trading plan.
What is the significance of the gym analogy used by Jared in the lecture?
-The gym analogy is used to illustrate the common issue of people starting with enthusiasm but quickly losing motivation, which is a pattern that should be avoided in trading for consistent success.
What are some of the topics Jared plans to cover in the lecture?
-Jared plans to cover topics such as money management, trade management, psychology, building a trading plan, and having a pre-trade checklist.
What is the 'insanity' Jared refers to in the lecture?
-The 'insanity' refers to the repetitive cycle of traders not following their plans, selling too soon, and not learning from their mistakes, leading to a lack of profitability.
Why does Jared mention the importance of being honest and objective with oneself in trading?
-Being honest and objective is important because many traders tend to lie to themselves about their progress and mistakes, which prevents them from making necessary improvements and achieving success.
What is the significance of the 'when will the insanity stop' segment in the lecture?
-The segment serves as a real-life example of a trader's mistakes, such as not having a plan, neglecting to place a stop loss, and holding onto losing positions, which Jared uses to highlight common pitfalls to avoid.
What does Jared mean by 'bag holding' and how does it relate to trading?
-Bag holding refers to holding onto a losing position in the hope that it will eventually recover, which is a risky and often unwise strategy in trading. It's used to illustrate the importance of having a proper exit strategy.
What is the main message Jared wants traders to take away from the lecture?
-The main message is that traders need to commit to a disciplined approach, follow their trading plans consistently, and understand the expectations and consequences of their actions to achieve long-term profitability.
How does Jared describe the difference between a trader and a gambler?
-Jared describes a trader as someone who follows money and trade management strategies, while a gambler lacks a plan and relies on luck, which is not a sustainable approach in trading.
Outlines
π Introduction to Trading Success
Jared Wesley introduces the lecture by discussing the common reasons why many traders are not profitable. He emphasizes the importance of following the right rules and having a disciplined approach to trading, including money management and trade management. He also highlights the need for traders to be honest with themselves about their efforts and the work required to succeed in trading.
π The Reality of Trading
Jared shares a personal story of a trader who neglected to place a stop loss and ended up holding a losing position for two years. He uses this example to illustrate the dangers of not having a plan and the importance of being disciplined in following trading rules. He also addresses the misconceptions about quick success in trading and the need for a long-term commitment.
π The Consequences of Not Following the Plan
Jared explains how not adhering to a trading plan can lead to significant losses. He provides a detailed analysis of a hypothetical trader's performance, showing how breaking the plan on only a few trades can result in a substantial loss compared to following the plan strictly. He stresses the importance of sticking to the plan and the psychological aspects that often lead traders to deviate from it.
π The Importance of Trade Management
Jared discusses the concept of trade management, emphasizing that without it, a trader is essentially a gambler. He explains that understanding and applying proper trade management strategies are crucial for long-term success. He also touches on the challenges of trading, such as slippage and unexpected market events, and the importance of having a plan that can adapt to these challenges.
π― Setting Realistic Expectations
Jared talks about the need for traders to set realistic expectations for their trading outcomes. He explains that different trading styles and strategies will have different expectations in terms of win-loss ratios and profit targets. He encourages traders to find a management approach that aligns with their personality and trading goals, and to understand the trade-offs involved in achieving different levels of profit protection.
π¦ Adapting to Market Conditions
Jared discusses the importance of adapting trading strategies to suit different market conditions. He explains that certain strategies, like pivots, may work well in trending markets but struggle in choppy markets. He suggests that traders should be flexible and combine different approaches, such as pivots and bar-by-bar trading, to manage trades effectively in various market scenarios.
π‘ Consistency and Discipline
Jared emphasizes the need for consistency and discipline in trading. He points out that most traders know what the right thing to do is but struggle to execute it due to psychological barriers. He suggests that traders should treat their trading as a job, with clear rules and expectations, and highlights the importance of having a consequence system to enforce adherence to the trading plan.
π οΈ Building Your Own Success
Jared encourages traders to build their own success by following their trading plans and managing their trades effectively. He contrasts the freedom and potential rewards of self-employment in trading with the limitations of working for someone else. He also discusses the importance of having a backup plan to support oneself while pursuing trading success and the value of perseverance in the face of market challenges.
π Embracing the Trading Process
Jared concludes the lecture by urging traders to trust the process and stay committed to their trading plans. He stresses that success in trading is a gradual process that requires patience and persistence. He also touches on the idea of 'trusting the process' as a mindset that can help traders stay focused and motivated, even when faced with setbacks and challenges.
Mindmap
Keywords
π‘Profitable Trader
π‘Money Management
π‘Trade Management
π‘Psychology
π‘Bag Holding
π‘Simulator Trading
π‘Stop Loss
π‘All or Nothing
π‘Consequence System
π‘Discipline
Highlights
The importance of following the right rules and path for profitability in trading.
The necessity of time, effort, and work in achieving success in trading.
The analogy of trading to going to the gym, emphasizing the need for consistent effort.
The reality of trading versus the unrealistic expectations set by 'guru' stories.
The importance of being honest and objective with oneself in trading.
The dangers of not having a trading plan and the consequences of seeking advice instead.
The concept of 'bag holding' and its negative impact on trading success.
The difference between paper trading and real trading, highlighting the emotional aspect.
The significance of money and trade management in defining a trader versus a gambler.
The impact of not following a trading plan and the long-term financial consequences.
The importance of understanding one's trading style and expectations.
The concept of 'goal attaining' versus 'profit protecting' in trade management.
The idea that different traders have different approaches and that there is no one-size-fits-all strategy.
The importance of having a proper consequence system to ensure adherence to a trading plan.
The analogy of working for a company versus working for oneself in terms of discipline and accountability.
The potential outcomes of not following a trading plan: account drawdown, quitting out of frustration, or hitting a mental wall and changing.
The choice between managing properly and following a pre-trade checklist or continuing to work for someone else.
The emphasis on the freedom and flexibility that come with successful trading and the discipline required to achieve it.
Transcripts
hey guys Jared Wesley here of live
Traders and it is that time of the week
it's lecture time and this week's topic
is why you're not a profitable Trader
yet I truly believe that most people can
be profitable Traders if they follow the
right rules and the right path and today
we're going to talk about those rules
and the right path you need to follow to
be a profitable Trader I figure this
time of the year is always a good time
of the year for a lecture like this
money management trade management
psychology building a trading plan
pre-trade checklist not selling too soon
etc etc etc we're going to talk about
those topics today in this lecture guys
look I do mean most people can be
successful at this but most people
unfortunately aren't putting the time
and the effort and the work required and
necessary to be successful in it and
sadly that seems to be the case in most
angles and aspects of life you see it's
like the gym thing every January people
like like you know what I want to go to
the gym I want to get in shape and by
February March they're not going to the
gym anymore you can't do that in trading
you can't just say you know I think I'll
give this a few months uh-uh even a few
years if you're going to do this do it
if you're not don't even start because
it'll be one of the most frustrating
things that you've ever tried in your
entire life I promise you literally the
most frustrating thing you've ever tried
in your entire life if you're not going
to put the time effort and work into
this business okay and that means two to
three years all right and this lecture
will help you get there it's going to
show you the process and what's required
to be the best Trader that you can be
and it will not happen overnight I don't
care what anybody says on Google I don't
care about those furu Guru like I turned
$22 into 7 million get out of town okay
that's not the reality of this business
it's not the reality at all and it's why
the industry has a bad name so watch
this video you will become a better
Trader because of it if you like these
videos click that like button smash
Hammer that subscribe subscribe button
I'm Jared Wesley of live Traders let's
get to
[Music]
it this week's lecture topic is why
you're not a profitable
Trader yet right I truly believe that
most people can be profitable
Traders if they put the time in effort
into it and if they're willing to be
honest and objective with themselves and
I know that sounds very simple being
honest and objective with yourself but a
lot of people are not okay um they tend
to lie to themselves they tend to just
say oh I'll fix that on Monday oh it'll
be better tomorrow and they don't
actually put the real time and work and
effort into it and let's be honest about
this okay there are times you don't want
to do things that's that's not being
lazy all right when you don't want to do
something it's called being human but
the disciplined successful person does
it anyway they do it anyway okay there
are plenty of times you wake up on the
wrong side of the bed or you wake up and
you're tired you don't want to do this
and you don't want to hit the gym today
you don't want to fill out your
spreadsheet because you had a losing day
blah blah blah that's that's being human
but you do it anyway you do it anyway so
we're going to talk about some of the
things that Traders do um that really
hurt their chance of success we're going
to throw in some money management we're
going to talk about a little bit of
trade management a a peak into
psychology like it's a pretty broad
based lecture on a lot of various
different topics and I figured you know
we're getting closer to the end of the
year now it's a good time to do
something like this so you can start the
new year fresh and strong um but before
we do any of that I decided you know
let's talk about when will the insanity
stop um this one actually I got a little
while back um and I thought I would just
do a little bit of an update on it
that's all a little bit of an update on
this when will the insanity stop segment
so here is a person that said
hey hope you're doing well Happy
Thanksgiving by the way I wanted some
advice hm okay I own 4,000 shares of CCL
I went ahead I went away and neglected
to place a stop loss
neglected to me that just kind of
basically says I purposely didn't place
a stoploss but whatever however you want
to justify you know like I said not
being honest with yourself I don't mind
holding it but when this starts to turn
around can you see any obvious
resistance I have to watch out for I'm
in it at
2435 there's so many problems with this
it's not even funny okay one you want
advice that's a problem that's a problem
that means you don't have a plan so the
first thing I read is I wanted some
advice you don't have a plan if you're
asking for advice two I went away and
neglected to place a stop loss that's
code for I really had no intention on
placing a stop loss and three I don't
mind holding
it which really confirms that you didn't
actually have a stop loss to begin with
but when this starts to turn around can
you see any obvious resistance this
person has not they're not even thinking
about the downside they haven't said or
mentioned anywhere at any time what
their stop loss is how much money
they're risking well right now they own
4,000 shares at$ 2435 so let's just
round it off that's a $100,000 position
let's just round it off that's a
$100,000 position okay what wait for it
wait for
it this was a year ago Thanksgiving
that's when they got
in how's that going for you you know do
I see any quote resistance above you
know for for when I'm winning on CCL
well what about if you're
wrong and it never wins for you what if
it just goes against you forever and
that's what's happened so far right
we're talking about what two years now
two years this person has been in this
position two years and they're still $6
below their entry give or
take as of yesterday so they're still
$24,000 down on their position and at
one point this stock got down to what $6
or
$7 so your
$100,000 position at one point in
time was worth
what 30
grand holy
[Β __Β ] and it's still still not a whole
lot better my point is this is the
definition of bag holding right Diamond
hands baby GameStop AMC bit I mean this
is this is bag holding and man that's
what this person probably feels like
when is this thing going to come back
and nowhere in their email for quote
advice did they talk about what their
stoploss should
be bag holding a hundred grand you just
hope at some point they get their money
back two
years what could that money have made
during that time all right time to move
on time to move on okay it has to come
back and it maybe eventually will come
back and maybe they'll go three years
later time value of money all because of
a foolish decision you know okay all
right does it make it a good decision
Alexis what if they have two billion to
invest Alexis is that a smart decision
just give me a yes or no answer is what
they did an intelligent thing to do yes
or no I'll wait for you we'll sit here
all
day okay that's all that matters making
stupid decisions is all that matters
because eventually if you make enough of
them one of them bite you bad enough
that it doesn't matter how much money
you have it hurts right it hurts
okay BS trading Mantra you can't go
broke taking profits this is exactly how
most Traders do go broke there's a
reason this slide is in here it's one of
many reasons that Traders fail we're
going to talk a little bit about trade
management money management here in just
a second because a lot of people
literally think oh I'll just take the
money I'll just take the money I see
green I take it I see green I take it I
see red I let it go I see green I take
it I see red I let it go okay
now simulator trading is real another
[Β __Β ]
Mantra hey I'm up a $50,000 in my payp
account I'm like hey I've never met a
losing paper Trader cool story bro right
have met most of us at some point in
time I've been there I get emails all
the time from people oh Jared I'm
killing it on my simulator account I'm
crushing it in paper that's that's great
I'm I'm happy for you that's that's
positive okay but there's not a high
correlation between success in paper
trading and success in real trading
you're learning the patterns you're
learning how to press the button and use
stop losses and Market orders and stop
limit orders that's great that's great
but there's no real correlation cuz the
emotions aren't the same the fills
aren't the same there's a lot of things
that aren't the same
okay I agree 100% win rate selling
options on paper then get smoked when
you go live mhm SO trading is hard
period Money Trade management is
everything those two things are
everything without money management you
are not a Trader you're you're a gambler
without some form of consistent trade
management you're not a Trader you're a
gambler so you have to have these two
things if you don't have them forget
about it just walk away do something
else for a living okay simulators are
not real it's going to take a lot longer
than you think to get good at this a lot
take the timeline you think it's going
to take and then triple it don't double
it triple it you thought it was going to
take 6 months 18 months you think it's
going to take a year it'll take three
you think it's going to take two that
one you might be able to double okay it
takes a long time okay [Β __Β ] happens
along the way in your trading career
getting filled isn't always easy you get
slippage and skipp you have internet
problems Frozen trading platforms Market
servers slow down or go down right high
frequency trading shakeouts insane
random news and tweets seriously random
stuff happens once in a while I mean we
just saw like a $3 bar onvia today kind
of out of nowhere that wasn't insane not
as crazy as some other things but it
just randomly popped and then just came
all the way back down okay that's odd
there's no Holy Grail so have a plan but
the number one thing here is money and
trade management are everything so now
I'm going to show you what I mean by
this okay now some of you Jordan you've
seen this before um but some of you have
not most of you haven't but a few of you
have okay this is a good
example and this is only three SL I
think there's like 25 slides in this and
we're only on slide seven we have like a
we have a lot to cover today um the next
few slides are representative in my
experience of the average Trader of most
Traders and I include myself in that
because I used to be in this position I
used to do the same stuff that that
you're about to say
Okay so let's take a look at it all
right because we're going to focus first
here on this money and trade management
thing
So the plan is to are all or nothing
that's the plan okay that's what your
plan says and then you're comparing it
against selling it too soon you know
because you can't go broke taking
profits right you you just can't you
can't go broke taking profits that's
what they say [Β __Β ] but it's that's
what they say so if you took this trade
here and you got in on this beautiful
buy setup and it is a pretty damn nice
buy setup I think most people would
agree you're getting in at 4950 your
stops at 4925 and you're like damn I
caught this bad boy double bottom retest
minor price support Rising moving
average bottoming tail narrow body bar
um right probably at the trend line
there change of color bar beaus just
lovely got out for a 1 R gain at 4975
you made an R so actual pnl 500 bucks
your trading plan made a th000 followed
the plan no what was the result you were
$500 behind behind your trading plan but
you felt okay because you still made 500
bucks you didn't feel great you know you
made a mistake
but you still like yeah I still got 500
bucks I took a good trade you know
you're finding all the good reasons to
give yourself credit and you're like I
just I just need to work on that and
then you say to
yourself I'll fix it tomorrow right tell
me I'm wrong you sold too soon today
you're like yeah yeah I'm bummed
but I'll get it I I'll get it right
tomorrow okay trade two comes along get
a little Gap up little another pullback
to a little bit of price support Rising
moving average bottoming tail narrow bot
bar uptrend blah blah blah nice nice you
got a full 2our Target actual
p&l trading plan follow the plan results
the same what did I just say you'll fix
it tomorrow and you did and now you're
like I got this [Β __Β ] hold my beer that's
what you're thinking you're like I told
you so I told
you I'm not like everybody else Jared I
told you I'm Different you've never
never met anybody as motivated as me I'm
never quitting this business never
giving up on this [Β __Β ] it's my life I
hate my boss I'm never quitting oh my
gosh I could have I have more emails
about that than I do when will the
insanity stop segments I do I have
thousands not hundreds thousands of
emails that say just what I just said
you've never met me Jared I'm
Different you've never met someone
that's motivated me you don't understand
this has to work okay
so you're feeling all good you're like
hey I wred my wrong I made a mistake on
trade one but I fixed it on trade two
I'm good okay sweet time to go to trade
three
right failed breakout right full stop
out with slippage lost 1.2 r that little
ShakeOut oh that hurt just a little bit
of slip slip right get in at 19 bucks
pop pop
o actual p&l 600 Trading plan minus 600
did you follow your plan yep so good two
trades in a row it wasn't fun you took
some slippage but you followed your plan
okay next trade get another little
breakout over here breakout exited for a
half hour gain it was just too choppy it
was just too choppy right it bounced
pulled back it bounced it pulled back
you just finally got tired of it you're
like you know what it's a breakout it
just didn't
go except the fact that it it did that's
the problem you got 250 a half hour year
trading plan made a
,000 followed your plan nope but but but
it just didn't look good Jared so I
that's why I got out of it I mean
breakouts a hit and run pattern and if
they don't go I I just I just get out of
them is it written in your plan no it's
not are you a two R All or Nothing
Trader or are you not uh I I I am I am
but Jared this thing looked
terrible are you an All or Nothing
Trader or not I am did you break your
planner or not I did okay let's move
on this is how people justify things it
just wasn't looking good it wasn't
looking I know I'm An All or Nothing
Trader but look it just wasn't looking
good and the last time that happened it
it stopped out so I'm saving myself an
R okay and it
works trade five you get in this little
three bar play up here Wide Bar narrow
bar peekaboo is up comes back down stops
out three bar play full stop out minus
one R actual minus one R trading plan
minus one R follows your plan okay back
to the good stuff next one three bar
play to the
downside triggers goes against you and
stops out minus one R minus one wow okay
so you're thinking to yourself three
trades sorry six trades three you
followed your plan three you broke your
plan right pretty much I mean you broke
your plan on the first trade trade
number one okay then you broke your plan
on trade number number four so actually
you followed your plan 66% of the time
okay 66% of the time you followed your
plan not bad you're thinking okay but
here's the problem all right here's the
problem see this is your actual this is
your trading plan
okay and you're thinking to yourself
it's not the end of the world because
you made $150 which wasn't ideal but
your trading plan made
,400 $ you were what two and a half
R behind your plan on only six trades
guys where am I going with this I'm not
even getting to the big stuff
yet two out of six trades only onethird
33% of those trades you broke your plan
on and on six trades it cost you two and
a half
r now your batting average actual is
50% your batting average trading plan
50% your batting average is identical it
didn't change so when you stopped you
stopped that wasn't the problem it was
when you won that was the
problem your winners were the problem
your losers weren't the issue does this
sounding familiar to anybody it's like
wait wait wait I take full advantage of
my stopouts it's the winners that I cut
a leg off too soon I cut
short and you don't think it's a big
deal until you look at the numbers and
you're like it's 2 and 1/2 hour on six
trades and then you're like wait
multiply this by 10 that's 60 trades
that's called call it one month of
trading it's
$1,500 versus
$14,000 now I'm not trying to say that
every six trades will be exactly like
this it's not what I'm saying obviously
sometimes you'll break your plan and it
will help you sometimes but in the long
run it will cost you more money than it
saves you it's the reason it's your plan
because it
works but if you don't follow it it
means nothing and over the course of a
month that's a big difference and I
always tell people the same thing it's
the difference between keeping your job
and quitting your job that's what the,
1500 to 14,000 is it's the difference
between keeping your job
and quitting your job now again I don't
expect all 54 other trades to be
identical to this they won't but the
concept is what I'm going for you take
full advantage of the
loss and a partial advantage of the
winner and it's going to hurt you in the
long run this is acceptable 50% with a
1.87 win loss ratio that's nice that'll
get you places this this is Break Even
Trader status right there that that's
what that is 50% with the one uh win
loss ratio is little up little down
little up little down that's what that
is okay now let's take it one step
further we're going to keep going I'm
going to drill this bad boy
home how expensive is breaking your plan
and selling too soon well 20 trading
days a month three trades a day 60
trades a month 12 months a year 60
trades a month
720 trades per year now again I know I
know you cannot extrapolate exact data
from this analogy I get it but you can
understand where I'm going the analogy
part of it okay it's the concept I'm
after- 1250 versus your plan for every
six trades is how much over 720 trades
it's
$150,000 still think you can't go broke
taking profits batting average didn't
change at all identical
50% it's
crazy crazy
give it some
thought that's the difference between
controlling your own future and someone
else controlling your future and it
looks like
this it looks like this 60 trades per
month for one year 50% batting average
win loss ratio 1.09 versus
1.875 does it make a
difference
$168,000 following your plan
$188,000 breaking your
plan so you got to go back and ask
yourself what are you doing because from
what we have seen in this particular
analogy your plan
works oh my gosh it's one of the hardest
things to do in trading is actually get
a plan that works and you finally found
quote the Holy Grail a plan that works
and then what do you do
you f with it you mess with it you screw
with it something that literally is the
path to Financial Freedom and you're
like no I think I'll go the other
way
why
right psychology emotion ego need to be
right fear of loss is stronger than your
hope for greed yes yes yes yes and it
all starts between the two ears in your
head and this is why I tell
people find a consequence system that's
nasty severe and
ugly something so bad that you'll never
break your plan and then have someone
hold you accountable to it because this
is what your life is going to be like
guys th this was this was me I used to
go back and and I know youve all not all
but many of you have been there and you
you tell a friend a spouse a brother a
sister a parent whoever and you're like
like if I just followed my plan and
stopped selling too soon I'd be making a
couple hundred grand and then they look
at you like deer in the headlights
cross-eyed and go well why don't you
just follow your plan
then and they're looking around like
they're looking around not you they're
like am I missing something did is there
part of that conversation that he he
failed to tell me if I just followed my
plan I'd make a couple hundred grand a
year they look at you and they're like
what are you are you dumb or something
if if it's written down just go follow
it like if the coach says do 20 burpees
you do 20 burpees why why are you doing
10
burpees I know we're all thinking the
same thing aren't we
because then your excuse is it's just
not that easy you're not a
Traer right tell me you haven't said
that yeah but it's just it I know I know
I'm not stupid mom
you don't understand you're not a
traitor and you sit there and you just
laugh you walk away and you laugh and
you're like did I really just say
that yes you did and you looked and
sounded like an idiot because you are an
idiot because your actions speak louder
than your words and your actions suggest
you do stupid [Β __Β ]
okay it's craziness it's insanity is
what it is and yet so many traitors do
this and it's the reason they're not
profitable
now on the same line of
thinking know thyself and know your
management part of having a successful
trading plan that's followable is that
even a word followable okay I just
created a new word all
right if your plan meets your
personality Style it's much easier to
follow right goal attaining versus
profit protecting you can't have both I
mean you can but it's rare to be able to
consistently have both right the tighter
you manage the more profit you are
protecting but you also have a greater
chance of being stopped out at that
particular level or trailed out stopped
or trailed out the looser you manage the
larger the target you will reach however
you will protect less and potentially
give back some gains you can't reach a 5
R goal and lock it at one R sure it
happens from time to time but that's not
going to be common if you want that
large Target wiggle room is the word of
the day you have to give them room if
you don't want to give them room then
you need to figure out a different
approach a different strategy that still
makes money I I don't care if you manage
tighter just understand you're not going
to see four and five our targets very
often or even two and three our targets
very often okay followable there it is
oh they really they stole my word
comparative more followable superlative
most followable able to be followed look
at that someone stole my word Cliff
anyway hence management is always a give
and take and management is always about
expectation if you get do a trade with
the wrong expectation you will likely
have a bad result you have to understand
what it is you're doing why because they
go hand
inand you can't for example have a tight
management and a low batting average you
won't make
money you won't do it if you're shooting
for one R targets and you bat
37% good
luck at the same time you cannot expect
to get five our targets and bat
75% it's not likely going to happen
every once in a while you know we we
beat the odds and for a period of time
we we do very well and then reversion to
the mean comes in and we go back to our
normal
selves
okay goal attaining versus profit
protecting big part of this know thyself
know the
expectation lots of ways to get to the
same place a lot of ways to skin a cat a
lot of ways to get to the same thing the
top here we have a 40% batting average
most of you would say isn't very good
but if you have a 2.75 win loss ratio
that's pretty good right four winners 11
R in gains six losers six R in losses
net after 10 trades you'd make five r on
60 trades that's 30 R oh my gosh you go
down 50% batting average oh my gosh 30 R
60% batting average 1.5 win loss ratio
30 R right 70% batting average 1.15 win
loss ratio guess what 30 R right 30 r on
all of these from a 40 to a 70% batting
average okay point you don't have to do
it the same way as your neighbor not
everybody does it the same way and you
don't have to shoot for 30 yards either
I know traders that are happy to get 10r
but they're consistently at 10r and they
just raise their risk they're not even
trying for 30 R I know some traders that
like to take 100 trades a month and some
traders that like to take all two trades
a month I'm kidding on that but on a
serious note some Traders like to take
20 trades a
month everyone in between different
management approaches different patterns
they take different times of day that
they trade different number of TR trades
they take you don't have to fit in the
same box as your
neighbor right this isn't the left you
don't have to sit in the same box you
don't have to put everybody in the same
box we can be different it's
okay and you can do it in various ways
30% batting averages 80% 90% batting
averages but you have to know the
expectations you have to know the
expectations
if you don't then a 40% batting average
with a one R Target's not going to
work if you don't know the
expectation different approaches for
example pivots bar by
bar pivots are nice they're going to get
you to some pretty big healthy targets
especially in a stock that's power
trending but but if you're in a choppier
Market pivots might struggle see where
I'm going like my point is is that
regardless of the management approach
that you choose there will be
circumstances times environments in the
market that won't be super
conducive to your style of
management when we're in a power Trend
Market pivots are awesome if you have a
stock on its own page it's ignoring the
market pivots are awesome if you're in a
choppier market bar by bar it's probably
going to be a little better you know the
markets where it literally goes up for
20 30 minutes in the morning from 9:30
to 10 and then it does a 100%
retracement or 120% retracement then
bounces 50% those markets pivot struggle
in bar by bar does better but you're not
getting home runs with bar by bar not
frequently
anyway you're just going to move that
stop up move that stop up move that stop
up move that now could you combine the
approach of course you could but that's
where learning the expectation is some
people say all right I'm going to do bar
by bar to start the trade so I can lock
in some profits on one/ third or half
then I'm going to do pivots for the back
half and get the big move some people
pick a Target and say well I want a $2
Target and when they get to 80% or 90%
of the target then they switch swi to
bar by bar there's a lot of different
ways but you just have to understand
what the expectation of it is because if
you don't understand that using pivots
is going to not protect a lot of money
right I mean this stock could be up
three are right here at the top and
every once in a while one's going to
come all the way back against you all
the way back and if you didn't recognize
that was a
possibility you're going to have a hard
time in
trading
pivot vers bar by bar you guys have seen
this
slide first Target second target why
there's the pivot to the left there's
another pivot to the left so say you get
in right down here right right there you
could add right here add right here but
imagine you get in right down there and
your stop loss is here maybe you put it
a little
lower the initial management is 5 minute
pivot 75% to Target changeed to 5 minute
bar by bar okay okay this is a 5-minute
chart
okay so you get in here we're not
anywhere close to that 8150 Target right
we're down in here at like I don't know
7925 okay so you're looking at a Target
that's
$225
away big Target too because this is
probably only a 50 c stop loss so that's
like a 4 and a half to our Target anyway
stock moves up continues higher
now you're getting into the area where
you might consider that 81 area you're
getting close is it 75% you have to do
the math on pulls back bounces now
you're getting into that bar by bar
area right so this is someone's using a
combination it's like well I want the
bigger Target so I know I have to be
flexible in the beginning of the trade
but as I get close I want to lock some
in why well the beginning of the trade
you don't have any money to lock in
you're not really locking anything if
you start the bar by bar too soon it
defeats the purpose of trying to get
four
R now if you're someone who's like look
I'm just looking to scalp this thing for
like an R you could do bar by bar right
off the start probably right because
this thing gives you an R basically in
the first couple
bars but the other person saying I I
don't I want the big move I feel so good
about this triple Bottom I want 3 four
five r out of it you
know it just depends on what your
expectation
is here's another
example daily chart gapping over two red
bars right we kind of need to be over
that like 1725 area right there
okay right there and we have room to 18
bucks so like 1710 to $18 that's it okay
over here here it's not really a three
bar play it's like an engulfing bar
right you had a green bar and this
remember the tail that bar was red
completely red at one point a battle was
fought buyers won the battle you buy it
17 15 stop
1680 then you begin your 3 minute bar by
bar as you get close to Target that's a
combination approach or or you might
sell some half at one
R then start a combination of approach
you guys there's a million ways to do
this we could be here for 10 hours
talking about different managements I
mean you track 15 Antoine you could
track
115 I try to only track patterns that I
know I can follow not patterns
management strategy that I know I can
follow look I'm not going to track 5 R
All or nothing I know it's not happening
for me it's just not it's not realistic
for me okay when you're new you won't
know that as
well what about breakouts and three bar
play management same idea same concept
right you get in right here at
9:38 stop right there there's your daily
chart maybe you get back in maybe you
don't the point is whatever management
you choose or decide to
use you need to do it every single time
not half asset we saw earlier and I'll
go back to it to refresh your
memory you only broke your plan
twice and it cost you two and a half
hour and if you consistently break your
plan is going to cost you your career in
trading and you're going to be working
for that job or that boss for a lot
longer than you
want all because you couldn't sort out
the mental aspect of
trading most Traders not all but most
Traders know what the right thing to do
is they just can't bring themselves to
do it because there's no one requiring
it of them there's no one forcing it
upon
them true or
false I mean you don't have to answer
it's
rhetorical but do you guys think in your
opinion that you would do these things
if you were doing this for a
company think about
it do you think you would do these
things if you did it for a company you
know like you go and work for a company
and you you work in a cubicle and you
have an Excel spreadsheet and the boss
says well you do the Excel
spreadsheet
well if the boss came in and said
targets
$10 that's
it CEO just called said hey Target's
$10 All or Nothing we're either out at8
or out of 10 you're going to sit there
and just laugh okay I got the easiest
job in the world are you [Β __Β ] me
wait you mean to tell me that I can just
set a bracket to exit at 10 or exit at 8
yeah Okay cool so wait you're also
telling me that I can just leave for the
day and come back at
3:45 wait let me get that straight could
boss come come back here for a
second so you're telling me that I can
set my order to sell at 10: and we make
money for the
company and I can also s set my order to
sell at 8 as a stop out and for the
literally the rest of the day I can just
leave yeah that's what I'm telling you
but you got to close the position before
4:00 that's the only other
caveat okay yeah I'll see you at 3:45
have a nice day yeah you too buddy
that's
it now some of you guys are like haha
Jared that's funny not funny no it's
hilarious because you're an
idiot you would do it for someone else
but you wouldn't do it for
yourself are you dumb
stupid you would do it for someone else
for like 10% of the prophets 5% of the
prophets 1% of the prophets but you
won't do it for yourself for 100% of the
profits wow that's all I can say is
wow and you got you're sitting there
going it's kind of right you know he
kind of is right why do I do what I do
because a boss isn't forcing you not to
do it that's
all it's the only reason it's the only
reason you all show up for work on time
don't you why cuz my boss told me to and
if I
don't they'll fire me you guys have
heard me say it I'll say it for the 9
millionth
Time Forest
gum why'd you put that rifle together so
fast cuz you told me to drill sergeant
literally cuz you told me to drill
sergeant but you won't do it it for
yourself stupid is as stupid
does and we act very stupid sometimes in
trading very very very stupid and yet
everyone thinks they can be their own
boss everyone believes I Hate My Boss
he's an idiot she's an idiot they're an
idiot they do people say this [Β __Β ] all
the time oh my boss is as dumb as they
come I don't know how I got the job I
don't know how she got the
job
what so you should be the boss uh-huh oh
I'm way more qualified than she is uh
okay but yet left on your own devices
and
trading doesn't look like that does
it it's
crazy so o n nice Gap over a red bar
over a pivot over another pivot like
level one type Gap very close if you
consider that a wide range bar that's
tough but Gap here Gap here nice little
three bar play with a little mini
ShakeOut okay three bar play with a
little bottoming
tail
okay do what you're supposed to do when
you're supposed to do it get in at 4046
stops 3970 it's a $5,000 trade straight
up like painless straight up one two
three four five bar straight guys it
went
$5.50
$5.50 on a 75 cent stop that's pretty
good like six or 7 to one something like
that cuz you do what you're supposed to
do you take the pattern a lot of you
guys are good at taking the pattern
you're good at recognizing the entry and
the stop it's just in between you mess
it up or or or you break your plan and
then what happens you break it to the
point where the next trade messes with
your
head you break it to the point where
then you go on tilt slight tilt not Full
Tilt just mini tilt and you lose four r
that day that's mini tilt Full Tilt is
when you bag hold like the guy who owns
CCL and you know you're down $70,000
that's bag
holding but mini tilt is when you take a
trade doesn't go the way you thought or
something crazy happens hft and then it
affects the rest of your trades for the
rest of the day or you have a really bad
day and the next day you come in you go
I got to get my money back got to get my
money back
right
I want you to give it some
thought because most people you know we
go all the way
back why you're not a profitable Trader
yet for most
people derives it's a derivative of not
following your plan or not having a plan
either don't have one or don't follow it
don't have one or don't follow it don't
have one or don't follow
it don't follow it not following it
isn't just management it simply could
mean taking more trades than your plan
said it could simply mean risking more
money than your plan said it could
simply mean taking a pattern that's not
in your plan it could simply mean not
going through your pre-trade checklist
before you take a trade it could mean a
lot of
things but all of those things matter to
your Trading
all of them matter right go back to here
they all matter money management trade
manages everything it's going to take
longer than you think and there's a lot
of garbage and crap that happens in this
business but if you stick to good
trades good patterns good things happen
good trades good patterns good
management good things
happen good
patterns good management good good
results good patterns good management
good results good patterns good
management good results and for some
reason you'd rather do a th000 burpees
2,000 burpees right
yav for some
reason you can't do it and the worst
part
is you're doing it for yourself you're
not doing it for somebody else that's
the part for me that
I sit and I meditate on at
times I do I honestly sit down and think
what is it about the human
psyche that allows us to so easily
without question follow someone else's
requirements or someone else's rules
like a boss but yet for
ourselves we won't do it it's the same
reason we're good at dispensing advice
to others but not actually doing it
ourselves it's
crazy is it though Sophia right like
somebody's saying it feels like less
risk but is it when you think about
it is it less risk it's your life we're
talking about right we're literally
talking about your entire
lifestyle so sure a company's willing to
guarantee you a paycheck if you show
up but now when you do it for yourself
you're not guaranteed the
paycheck but the upsides
freedom freedom is a pretty big
motivator for
me right I mean it's a big
motivator I look around and pinch myself
and go this is insane how do I have this
much freedom in life how am I able to do
just about what I want to do when I want
to do
it
because you showed the discipline
required to get to that point and the
beauty of it
is no one can take it from you when you
get there you see no matter how high up
a company you go they can still take it
from you right if you're the CEO they
can still take it away from you Steve
Jobs got fired for goodness sakes Steve
Jobs got
fired they can take it from you now
maybe that's a great analogy and a
terrible analogy it's great because it
shows no matter how gifted you are you
can be fired it's a terrible analogy
because well he ended up doing really
well but you understand the
analogy I want you to think about how
important it is to you because building
someone else's dream is not the same as
building yours build yours first then go
out and help other people build theirs
let me repeat that build yours first and
then help other people if you can do
both at the same time then wonderful
wonderful more power to you if you can
do both at the same time great but you
come first you are Numero Uno you are
number
one it's like when you're in an airplane
put your mask on first before you help
someone
else put your oxygen on first before you
help somebody
else you're right Sophia people don't
think it can happen for them and that's
why self-help books Tony Robbins Opa
blah blah blah are so
popular because people are generally
have a negative attitude towards success
whether or not they can do
it I can tell you
this it only takes one you can fail 10
times but the 11th time is all it takes
it's easy to find another job there's
plenty of jobs out there but there's not
a lot of freedom out there for me I'll
search to the end of the Earth to find
that CU there's always a job waiting for
you around the corner
always so you're either
going to put in the hard work for
yourself and change your life or you're
going to put in the hard work for
someone else and change their life
that's really what it comes down
to you know that that saying or that
phrase like hey thanks for all your hard
work this year you know keep doing it so
the boss can buy another Ferrari next
year how about buying one for yourself
how about just some freedom and flexibil
for yourself how about that you get back
into trading you sell too soon you're
all you're doing is hurting your future
that's all you're
doing you're going to be frustrated with
yourself disappointed with yourself the
flip side is following your rules and
your plan every once in a while you'll
be frustrated but most of the time
you'll be happy that you're doing the
right thing at the right time and the
result will show
it so you want to know you left money on
the table
knowing you produce good trades that
have good results but you're not able to
see the money from
it it's like giving someone else advice
they take your advice and become a
millionaire and you sit there and go why
didn't I take my own
advice because you didn't have the
stones you
know and unfortunately it leads to this
the eventual failure of your business if
you continue this process long enough
three things will happen you'll draw
down your account to critical levels and
you'll be forced to quit you will quit
out of frustration and join the legions
of failed Traders with all the excuses
for why it didn't work or you'll hit
quote the wall and finally begin the
challenging process of change those are
really the three things that happen you
will be one of these three almost
guaranteed 99.9% be one of these three
things you'll draw down your account and
you'll just be forced to quit you'll
just quit out of frustration and say oh
trading's not for me ah Traders are just
gamblers or you'll finally mentally hit
the wall and be like you know what I got
to get my [Β __Β ] together and I'm going to
change I'm going to be
better for those of you from
Philadelphia many of you don't remember
this because it's a long time ago
now they had a saying called trust the
process right back when Sam henky was
there and they were literally losing on
purpose literally losing on purpose to
get top three draft picks and it was
called the process trust the process
they were gaming the
system and the n NBA got so pissed off
that they basically orchestrated firing
Sam hany because they didn't want people
gaming a broken
system you can be your own system in
trading if you trust the process cu no
one can take it from you isn't that the
beauty of it you go out there and you
proudly work for somebody else while
you're working on your
dreams on the side and then
eventually you proudly quit that job and
work for yourself exclusively
forever sounds like a plan to
me give it some thought where do you
want to be do you want to be selling too
soon and being
frustrated and realizing that possibly
potentially you could be making the
money you want to make
or be
frustrated by making a tenth of the
money you should be making because 20%
of the time 30% of the time you break
your plan and it makes a massive
difference on your be your p&l your
bottom line and on top of that the heck
just happened there it is and my point
I'm getting at
is you have a
choice you you have a
choice not anyone else not your boss not
your spouse not your kids not your
friends you why owe you what do you want
to do with this
opportunity do you want to manage
properly do you want to follow your
pre-trade checklist do you want to
follow your trading plan do you want to
do this right risking $5 per trade when
you start and building your way up to
500 1,000 5,000 50,000
risk or do you want to just keep
working for someone else forever and
talking about one day someday right was
it the rock a few months back was very
popular for
saying one day or day one which is it
one day or day
one which one are you going to
be because right
now while I might be slapping you a
little bit it's still a feel-good
lecture oh I'm going to do this I'm
going to make it work then the market
just bends you over tomorrow and beats
the [Β __Β ] out of
you and you lose four in a row and all
of a sudden you're like I can't do this
you go what happened up to yesterday
well today's
different you're going to get punched
you're going to get knocked down in in
trading the Market's no joke Market's
going to mess with you it's going to do
some nasty things to
you how many times you get back up
that's it it's all that matters how many
times you can keep getting back
up that's just life every successful
person's been knocked down every single
one of them it's rare it's super rare
the Mark Zuckerberg of the world where
you start a business steal somebody's
idea and in five years or a billionaire
those are like unicorns even in the
billionaire world that's a unicorn
billionaire almost everybody else had to
go through some [Β __Β ] a bankruptcy losing
everything risking it all on the line
and then making it the beauty about
trading is you don't have to do any of
those things it's just a slow systematic
process to
success some will get it sooner some
will get it later but you don't have to
ever give up on
it find a way to pay your bills in the
background while you're working towards
your dream and a lot of that is making
sure you have a proper trading plan with
good money management and good trading
management and following it and a big
part of that is having a proper
consequence system a proper consequence
system okay so with
that hopefully you guys learned a little
bit about how to be a better Trader
hopefully you'll think a little bit more
about why you're selling too soon you'll
think a little bit more about the
expectations you have for your trades
and if they match your Pur personality
and your trading
objectives and then if they don't you'll
make some adjustments and if they do
then you'll just simply say hey I need a
bigger consequence system because for
some reason one I have now isn't enough
when you do a th000 burpees and then
you're like yeah I got to do it again
that's 2,000 burpees something's not
strong enough by your consequence system
if you'd hold till $10 for your boss
then a th000 burpees isn't enough I'm
using that cuz that's somebody's
consequences and they've broken it
twice not strong enough it's just
not give it some thought about what it
would take to keep you and put you on
the straight and narrow I'm Jared Wesley
of live Traders we'll get back at it
again next
[Music]
week
[Music]
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