How to Make Trading Easier & More Profitable NOW
Summary
TLDRIn this lecture, Jared Wesley of Live Traders addresses the challenges of trading, emphasizing the importance of simplifying the process. He outlines a five-step strategy for successful trading in 2024, focusing on finding stocks with potential, developing a market bias, identifying relative strength or weakness, waiting for patterns, and managing trades effectively. Wesley stresses the need for proper risk management and urges traders to avoid overcomplicating their strategies. He shares real-life examples and warns against the pitfalls of ego and fear in trading, advocating for a disciplined approach to achieve financial freedom and flexibility.
Takeaways
- 📈 Trading in 2024 can be simplified by following a structured process.
- 🚫 Avoid overcomplicating trading; it's not as difficult as many make it out to be.
- 💡 Focus on money management and risk control to prevent significant losses.
- 🔍 Identify stocks with potential by finding voids on higher time frames (60-minute or daily charts).
- 📊 Develop a market bias based on pre-market conditions and monitor relative strength or weakness.
- 📈 Wait for confirmation of strength or weakness through patterns before taking a trade.
- 📉 Use stop losses to manage risk and protect your capital.
- 📝 Keep emotions out of trading decisions; let the chart dictate your actions.
- 🔄 Be prepared to adjust your market bias based on new information and price movements.
- 📌 Look for patterns such as engulfing bars, three-bar plays, and other technical setups.
- 🚨 Don't let ego drive your trading; prioritize making smart, calculated decisions over being right.
Q & A
What is the main topic of Jared Wesley's lecture?
-The main topic of Jared Wesley's lecture is how to make trading easier in 2024.
What does Jared emphasize as the first key to successful trading?
-Jared emphasizes money management as the first key to successful trading.
What is the significance of finding a stock with void on a higher time frame, according to Jared?
-Finding a stock with void on a higher time frame is significant because it helps traders identify potential opportunities and avoid overextended stocks.
How does Jared suggest developing a market bias?
-Jared suggests developing a market bias by observing the market's direction before the market opens, using tools like the Q's, SPY, or IW.
What does Jared mean by 'relative strength' and 'relative weakness' in trading?
-Relative strength and relative weakness refer to how a stock performs compared to the overall market. A stock showing relative strength is outperforming the market, while one showing relative weakness is underperforming.
What is the importance of managing trades according to Jared?
-Managing trades is crucial for maintaining control over risks and ensuring that traders don't make impulsive decisions that could lead to significant losses.
Why does Jared stress the importance of not overcomplicating trading?
-Jared stresses this because many traders make their trading unnecessarily complex, leading to poor decisions and increased chances of losing money. Simplifying the process can lead to more effective and profitable trading.
What is the 'Holy Grail' in trading that Jared mentions, and why does he say it doesn't exist?
-The 'Holy Grail' in trading refers to a perfect, fail-proof method or system for making money. Jared says it doesn't exist because trading is not about finding a magic solution but rather about applying sound principles and managing risks effectively.
What advice does Jared give to traders who are struggling with their trading strategies?
-Jared advises struggling traders to simplify their trading approach, focus on money management, develop a market bias, look for relative strength or weakness, wait for patterns, and manage their trades without letting ego or emotions interfere.
How does Jared address the issue of personal emotions affecting trading decisions?
-Jared advises traders to eliminate personal emotions from their trading decisions, emphasizing that the market and the charts don't have feelings. Traders should read the charts objectively and adjust their opinions based on new information.
Outlines
📈 Introduction to Trading in 2024
Jared Wesley from Live Traders begins a lecture on simplifying trading in 2024. He emphasizes the importance of following a process to make money and criticizes traders for overcomplicating their strategies. The lecture focuses on five key points to improve trading and Jared expresses his frustration with common mistakes made by traders.
🚫 The Dangers of Overconfidence
Jared discusses the pitfalls of overconfidence in trading, using a hypothetical trader's story to illustrate the consequences of not using stop losses and risking too much money. He stresses the importance of money management and the dangers of ego in trading, leading to significant losses.
🔍 Identifying Trading Opportunities
The lecture continues with Jared explaining how to find stocks with potential by looking for voids on higher time frames and developing a market bias. He advises traders to wait for stocks to show relative strength or weakness against the market and to manage trades effectively.
📊 Reading the Market and Adjusting Bias
Jared emphasizes the importance of adjusting trading bias based on new information and market movements. He uses examples of candlestick patterns to illustrate how traders' perceptions of market strength or weakness can change, and how this can affect trading decisions.
📉 Understanding Candlestick Patterns
The speaker delves into the significance of reversal candles and their potency, measured by the depth of penetration into the prior bar. He explains how tails on candlesticks can indicate changes in supply and demand, and how this affects trading decisions.
📈 Wide Range Bars and Market Dynamics
Jared discusses the implications of wide range bars, which can indicate that buying or selling is being ignited or exhausted. He explains the importance of context and how different scenarios, such as consolidation or pullback days, can impact trading strategies.
📊 Trading with Market Expectations
The lecture highlights the importance of understanding market expectations and using them to inform trading decisions. Jared uses specific examples from the market to demonstrate how to identify opportunities and manage risk effectively.
🤔 Simplifying Trading and Ego Management
Jared concludes the lecture by reiterating the importance of simplifying trading and managing one's ego. He stresses that successful trading involves following a basic outline, including money management, trade management, and recognizing patterns. He encourages traders to focus on the fundamentals and avoid unnecessary complexity.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Trading
💡Money Management
💡Market Bias
💡Relative Strength/Weakness
💡Patterns
💡Stop Loss
💡Ego
💡Flexibility
💡Gap
💡Volume
Highlights
Jared Wesley emphasizes the importance of simplifying trading in 2024.
He criticizes traders for overcomplicating their trading strategies.
Jared stresses the need for good money management to avoid significant losses.
He shares a personal anecdote about a trader who doubled their account but then lost it all due to poor risk management.
Jared explains the concept of finding a stock with 'void' on a higher time frame for trading success.
He discusses the importance of developing a market bias before trading.
Jared advises traders to wait for a stock to show relative strength or weakness against the market.
He emphasizes the significance of patterns in trading and how to manage trades effectively.
Jared shares a real-life example of a trader who lost money due to overconfidence and not using stop losses.
He explains how new information can change a trader's bias and perspective on a stock.
Jared discusses the potency of reversal candles and how they are measured by the depth of penetration into the prior bar.
He provides insights on how to interpret wide range and narrow range candles in trading.
Jared uses a basketball analogy to explain the importance of playing the odds in trading.
He outlines the five market stock events related to strength and weakness.
Jared stresses the importance of eliminating personal emotions from trading decisions.
He provides a detailed explanation of how to find a stock with a gap, develop a market bias, and wait for a pattern.
Jared shares a personal story of his early trading days and how he overcame being an 'idiot' trader.
He emphasizes the importance of having a plan B and being prepared for all possible scenarios in trading.
Jared concludes with a call to action for traders to take trading seriously and follow the five bullet points for success.
Transcripts
hey guys Jared Wesley here of live
Traders and it is that time of the week
it's lecture time and this week guys I'm
smashing some faces in you're like what
that's crazy yes I'm going hard on you
guys I'm going tough on you guys this
week's lecture topic guys is how to make
trading easier in 2024 all right lot of
great slides there's a five bullet point
slide on here that literally is your
process to making money in 2024 and I'm
going to be very tough on you guys in
this lecture because I am tired sick and
tired of watching you guys F things up
and make huge mistakes trading does not
have to be so difficult it's you that
are making it this difficult so today if
you listen to this advice you'll be able
to simplify your trading and be more
effective and hopefully make more money
as well that's the goal right Freedom
flexibility time well you need to be a
good Trader to have those things and
this lecture will hopefully help get you
to that place all right right how to
make trading easier in 2024 all right if
you like these videos please click the
like button smash Hammer that subscribe
button I'm Jared Wesley of live Traders
let's get to
[Music]
it this week's lecture topic is how to
make trading easier in
2024 right I think we're all looking for
that Holy Grail well not to bust your
bubble it does not exist however there
are definitely specific things that you
can do to make your trading easier and
I'm finding that people are over
complicating their trading um and if I
get a little bit tense um or uppity
during this lecture it's because of that
I may resort to yelling at you at some
point today probably not but it's
possible um because I'm watching what
people do and I'm disgusted by it uh I'm
watching some of the things people are
trying to do and they they just defy
logic I mean literally just throw logic
out the window and just throw at
the wall and be like yeah I hope it
works you know like trying to short the
strongest stock in the entire world so
you can escape 10 cents from it um those
types of things um but more than that so
today we're going to talk about what you
can actually do to affect change in your
trading and what you should be looking
for to make your trading easier it's
really not that difficult it's not
rocket science I promise you I'm not
lying when I say this it's not rocket
science Forest Gump can do it you can do
it all right so we're going to talk
about probably three or four simple
things that you can do to really
supercharge your trading but remember
just because they're the right things to
do I can't promise you'll actually go
out and do them because your ego your
mind whatever may keep you from doing
those things but hey some people like
having a boss some people like being
broke some people like being poor it's
like some badge of honor like misery
loves company good for you people I
can't help you but for the people that
have a genuine wanting and willingness
to move away from that and not have a
boss and have freedom and flexibility
and want to earn money so you can do the
things you actually really want to do
well then this lecture is for you okay
for everybody else you know just keep
winging it all right just keep hanging
around your poor friends and being just
like them all right now before we get to
that let's talk about how to be
poor when will the insanity
stop now this person didn't put a
specific number on this so I don't know
how much it is but it says I have lost a
lot of money what do I do um so a few
months ago I started Futures Trading
because I'm not interested in long-term
investing first of all you're an idiot
okay I am not interested in long-term
investing what are you a dumb dumb as a
brick of course you should be interested
in long-term investing it's how you're
going to retire someday okay but let's
push that aside I had X dollar we don't
know how many okay maybe 44 billion
after a few weeks I started making quite
good profits which allowed me to almost
double my deposit to 2 x now first of
all do you guys see any issues with that
sentence other than the grammar after a
few weeks I start after a few weeks a
few weeks a few weeks I started making
quite good profits and basically doubled
my
account you doubled your account in a
few weeks with very little to no
experience okay yeah sounds about right
that just defies logic and common sense
like I just said stupid is a stupid does
sir okay I became overconfidence shocker
okay you must have been really confident
when you were trading that much money a
few weeks into your trading career I
didn't put stop losses in and this is
what killed me yeah you're right it's
exactly what killed you you're correct
um but more than not putting stop losses
in risking way too much money if you
didn't put a stop loss in and you risked
$5 on a trade how bad could it really
really really be honestly think about
what I'm saying if you're risking five
$5 a trade and you lost a 100 R you lose
500 bucks it wouldn't be the end of the
world and you wouldn't be writing a post
I have lost a lot of money so even if
you don't take stop
losses risking small amounts of money is
still a great idea because the worst
you're going to lose is 50 100 200 bucks
not 50 100 200,000 I don't know what
this person lost but seriously doesn't
sound like it was good all right I can't
imagine telling telling anyone from my
family about this this was a
considerable amount of
money guys this is just stupid that's
all I can say some people think it's
rude or mean of me to be so tough on
these people I it's not I'm trying to
make a point to you guys this is real
this business is no joke and if you
don't respect it and you wake up one day
and decide that you're just better than
the market this is going to happen to
you and you're going to lose a lot of
money so while I tell everybody you know
this is important for trading that's
important number one thing is always
money management isn't it because if you
risk very very very very small amounts
of
money you can't lose a lot of money
right you just can't okay um exactly
Brian how do you get rich you know
risking $5 a trade I can't and that's
what these people think well I I can't
get rich doing that and and my buddy
Jimmy over there doubled his account in
a month and I have to do the same thing
and so and so made gazillion dollars in
crypto blah blah blah blah blah blah and
it's why you're not trading anymore and
it's why you've lost all that money
right now yeah you're probably wishing
you had that money back guess what if
you risked $5 a trade you'd still have
99% of
it you got 99 problems but a stop loss
ain't one all right all
right let's move along this stuff just
pisses me off when I see people just
being stupid it's called proper risk
control or money management get some
plain and simple go get some now we're g
to get to the Brass tax here on the next
slide okay we're going to get to the
Brass tax and this slide is basically
everything you need to know about
trading
okay it's not everything you need to
know it's most of what you need to know
about trading
okay these are the actual genuine keys
to successful trade no there's no sales
pitch in here no there's no hey buy my
course there's none of that these are
the actual keys to successful Trading
find a stock with void on a higher time
frame a 60-minute chart or a daily chart
you can scan dollar gainers dollar
losers or other preferred scans to find
it now obviously when I say find a stock
a well you need to know what what void
is Right obviously but find a stock with
void on a higher time frame okay
obviously there's more to it like it
can't be too extended right can't be 17
days in a up there's a little more to it
than that develop a market bias on the
q's Spire iwm in the pre-market before
the Market opens at 9:30 develop a
market bicycle do I think the Market's
going higher lower or neutral today then
from your scan is preferred misspelled
what is it two RS what was it yep it is
two RS there we go all right
so
from your scanned list above watch and
wait for a stock to show you relative
strength or relative weakness notice I
did not say a pattern yet I said W watch
and wait for a stock to show you
relative strength or relative weakness
against the market the market meaning
the cu's the Spy or the IW you're like
well how do I know which one I got an
email last night about that I'm like
well if it's a NASDAQ stock The Q's if
it's a New York Stock the spy and the IW
M you could use probably for all of them
cuz this one usually lags the other two
so NASDAQ stock Q's Nvidia Apple
Microsoft meta great IBM cocacola
whatever spy it's pretty simple this can
be done on any time frame I prefer 2 and
five minutes for morning scalping that's
what I prefer if I'm going to scalp the
first hour of the day I prefer watching
the stocks on Two And 5 minute charts to
gain the relative strength or relative
weakness concept you can do it on on a
three and a five I don't like the one
minute that much I still look at it I
still use it but I don't trade off of it
okay um very often occasionally I do all
right today we did on Roku but anyway
two and five minute then after this
after finding said stock then watch and
wait for a pattern on said stock three
bar play buy set up sell bra whatever
take the trade manage in between and
don't be an idiot that's it take the
trade manage in between and just don't
be an idiot that's it I've just summed
up the basic process of successful
trading now is there minutia to this
like what does a good three bar play
look like yes what does a good gapping
stock look like yes okay yes there's
more to this right when I say find a
stock with void I don't mean a stock
that had a 500% ATR day yesterday I
don't mean a stock that's down N9 days
in a row and you want to short it I
don't mean that but there's more Nuance
to that but this is the basic five
bullet points you need to know and you
guys are it up that's all I have
to say you're it up plain and
simple I told you I was going to get a
little uppity today I look at the
that you guys put out there and I twist
my head and I'm like the are you
thinking yes strong words some people
are offended by it sorry go to your safe
space find your binky and blank
all right this business does not have to
be so damn difficult why do you make it
such ask yourself go look in the mirror
walk away for a second go look in the
mirror why do you make it so hard why do
you make it so hard ask yourself that go
look in the mirror why do I make this
business so hard cuz you're an idiot I'm
not preaching at you I've been that
idiot I was that idiot for probably 18
months to the two years when I started
okay so is it hyp a little hypocritical
it is a
little but I'm trying to Rattle you and
Shake you because this is the crap you
guys do and really these five bullet
points are everything you need find void
find a market bias find something that's
stronger or weaker than the market then
take a pattern manage in between and
don't it
up that's it we can just close the book
now and go home sad there's like 12 15
more slides
left moment of silence for the
idiots it's a it's astonishing to me
honestly because this is all trading
really is everything else or anything
else that you do is just ego driven
anything else you do is just based on
your
ego or fear or fear you get out too soon
that's fear trying to short the stronger
stock in the market that's ego not
taking a stoploss it's a little bit of
both just stop doing those things okay
now let's get into some nuts and bolts
all right you're going to see this slide
at the end of the presentation I'll
remind you of it again and I'll probably
be mean again all right eliminate
personal emotion guys just read the damn
chart okay what were Traders thinking as
the Red Bar was forming and creating an
engulfing bar so what we have here we
don't know the previous information
we're just going to go with the seven
eight bars that we have in front of us
okay we have a consolidation here right
red bars green bars red bars green bar
and then we see a big red bar come in so
Traders were likely thinking when this
red bar was forming that this support
area is being broken right this support
area is being broken and the stock is
likely going lower does it mean it's
shortable I don't know I don't have
enough
information but that's the thought
process sellers are finally taking full
control we had a tug of war we had a
battle here sellers take over over here
on the right though has their thinking
changed when it turned into a bottoming
tail bar and if so why well yes right
obviously yes because what does this
represent this represents a test a
battle and the battle was won largely
mostly by the buyers right right because
this tail we talked about it a few weeks
a month ago this tail is actually green
right it was all red like this this bar
right here looked identical to this red
bar over here at one point in time they
looked identical but now they don't now
one has tail and that tail represents
buyers it's just green green green green
green green green green Green so the
stock tried to break under support and
go lower it was not able to consolidate
the effort low lower right it was not
able to consolidate the effort basically
it was just a peekaboo below and right
back up which was does what it outs the
buyers it does it outs The Bu it
basically if the buyers were trying to
be koi up here not showing their full
hand they showed it right here they said
yeah we're actually really strong
there's actually quite a few of us we
didn't want you to know that but there's
actually quite a few of us so new
information changes the picture which
changes our bias a possible break turns
into a confirmation of strength now why
am I bringing this up to you because
this happens all the time you look at a
stock and it looks like it's got great
strength and then new information
suggests it has weakness or the new
information confirms the
strength this is new information and
every time you get a new bar a new pivot
you get new information and you have to
adjust your opinion it might be the same
opinion based on the new information but
it might be a completely different
opinion it's like when someone says do
you ever fade a stock on the Gap list
well yes if I get new information that
suggest I should then we might fade a
stop ba the other day was an example it
was a big gap down that we look to go
long on potentially right so new
information might change your opinion
this is the same idea same concept what
were Traders thinking weakness has their
thinking changed when it turned in from
a red bar into a green engulfing bar we
saw this was it yesterday or Monday we
saw this on Dell granted Dell didn't
have all this craziness to the left but
Dell started off
weak and then it got completely engulfed
and then the next couple bars later put
in a little bit of a bottoming tail and
then Dell just went higher for the rest
of the day hint hint you're going to see
Dell later I'm pretty sure I put it in
here new information changes your bias
changes your opinion changes your
perspective stop with the personal
opinions just read the chart the emotion
that you're feeling has nothing to do
with the chart it has everything to do
with you the chart has no feelings it's
just a
chart but the chart inside of it has
people in it right everyone that's
trading this stock I don't care if it's
a pension fund I don't care if it's
Pablo Escobar back in
1993 everyone who's trading this stock
is represented in these green and red
candlesticks
but in and of itself there's no emotion
there you're placing your personal
emotion on it just let the chart speak
to you stop speaking to it don't yell at
it just be calm and listen and in this
case what looked to be weakness turned
into a confirmation of strength you go
long on this and you go long seven out
of eight days of the week sorry eight
out of seven days of the week okay so
candlesticks just keep it
simple a reversal candles potent poy is
measured by the depth or level of
penetration into the prior bar go back
go
back the depth and level of penetration
on this green bar is over
100% if this green bar was like 10%
20% there's actually no real level or
depth of penetration here you're still
believing and thinking the sellers might
be in control right if this bar right
here was that
big right give it a second if this bar
was that big you're still thinking it's
super
weak but when the bar is that
big it completely changes your
opinion because of what it accomplished
and what it accomplished was getting rid
of all of these sellers they're gone now
they've been overtaken okay so we go
back a reversal candle's potency is
measured by the depth or level of
penetration into the prior bar we just
saw it okay tails on a candle either
increase or decrease
Supply topping Tails increase Supply
bottoming Tails decrease
Supply okay we just saw that too the
slide before that okay this bottoming
tail is decreasing Supply demand is
increasing demand is increasing it's
eating up the supply when you think
about supply and demand there's 100
pairs of jeans for sale a whole slew of
people come into the store and all of a
sudden there's only 20 for sale now
because they bought the other 80 pairs
that's what this bar
is Supply is waning demand is increasing
that means higher prices if you owned a
store and demand was huge for a product
you'd raise the prices of course you
would that's just good
business so read the
chart okay don't put your personal
opinion to it your emotion just read the
chart okay yeah probably
Jordan anyway expanding range candles
wide range igniting bars tell us buying
or selling is being ignited or exhausted
context is important here what does this
mean a wide range bar that's four or
five bars up is likely being
exhausted right you have to think for
example Nvidia right now might be
getting close to exhaust question but if
that wide range bar is the first or
second bar it's likely igniting the
volume has an impact on this as well
narrowing range
candle
sorry sorry narrowing range candles tell
us that volatility is low and momentum
is decreasing but context is important
where they happen matters okay where
they happen matters all right so let's
take a look at some charts you've seen a
couple like two of these charts and the
other four or five you haven't seen all
right so the first two I think you've
seen before all right engulfing bar
picture of money we talked about it a
couple slides ago you have a nice three
bar play four bar play turns into a
breakout right then you get this sellers
try to creep in boom they come right
back up that means buyers say whoa hold
my beer this is wonderful because now
you know what your stop is it's
definitely under that bottoming tail and
now you have a confirmation of strength
buyers just proved to you that they were
really strong you knew they were strong
over here but then the sellers tested
them they went into the ring hit them in
the mouth and they said please hold my
beer please is that all you
got bottoming tail go higher same here
same concept right three bar play
actually stops out right little three
bar play one stops out but then you get
a green bar which you're like okay this
means higher prices and then it gets
complet completely engulfed by a red bar
the sellers going no no no no no hold my
beer so there was a battle that formed
right and the sellers clearly won they
were winning beforehand but they were
tested right here and they passed the
test great entry super great yes you may
have been stopped out on the first entry
if you didn't give it room I usually
give them room but if you didn't you
probably got stopped out on the first
three bar play you get back in and this
is
amazing take the easy money
take the easy
money on the flip side eliminate your
emotions 1 2 3 four five 6
78 nine bars up topping
tail that's not
bad right because you're at resistance
or peeka boot above you leave a huge
topping tail huge volume on the previous
bar but I'm not going to be the topping
tail I'm going to wait for it to trigger
I am not going going to be the first
person to short this Damen I'm not while
I have a strong inclination there's a
pullback
ahead I'm going to let it confirm and
the confirmation means waiting a little
bit and waiting means giving up a little
bit of profits I'm giving up a little
bit of money for a higher likelihood of
success you can get in at 122 on maybe
Dro down to a lower lower time frame
right but it's a little bit riskier
because you're the first person that's
willing to short the stock right you're
the first person willing to short the
stock I don't need to be first I just
need to make money that's it don't need
to be first put the ego away I'll let it
trigger pulls back down to the moving
average okay the waiting is the hardest
part rest in peace there pulls back to
114 kind of chops around and that's it
that's that's that's the meat and
potatoes 12 20 119 down to that 114 area
five bucks that's the meat and
potatoes
now do you guys remember this I hope so
wasn't that long ago was yesterday it
was
yesterday I really need you guys to pay
attention to this slide
okay this was the
cues two days ago on Monday super wide
range green bar on the 60 Green Bar
Green Bar Green Bar Green Bar Green Bar
Green Bar I think we can all agree that
it's not that often that the q's put in
a seven or eight move that's a big move
for the q's that's nearly a 2% day and
for the q's 2% is a lot so
guys what generally happens after an
extreme wide range bar on a stock
extreme note I said extreme I didn't say
wide range I said extreme wide range bar
what typically happens talk to me I need
answers from this
one what typically happens the next day
after an extreme wide range
bar only one person's willing to stti
their NE stick their neck out it's like
you guys dropped your pants in Alaska
it's all shriveling
up there's
usually one of two things happens
usually a consolidation day inside
consolidation day or a pullback right
that's most of the time right there's
usually some type
of time correction or pullback like I
said an inside day or a pullback okay
they can be challenging days to trade
okay but usually a lot of chop okay so
to me after I saw this day on Monday I
thought that's what I'm expecting on
Tuesday which was yesterday right and
what do you get this little area right
here at 18350 a little kind of one
minute
breakdown stop loss up here now hold on
hold
on just pull this
here I'll delete it in a
second let's make it super wide so you
can see
it there maybe yellow
maybe orange
okay this was the stock off the open on
the one
minute this was the market off the open
on the one minute green green Green
three bars in a row red green
red red green red green green Green
granted it's early 3 minutes into the
day is very difficult to discern actual
bi
in 3 minutes okay very difficult but the
early indication the early indication is
relative weakness on the
stock relative weakness on the
stock the previous day in the market
okay the previous day in the market was
a monster monster wide range Green Day I
am not to be
clear I'm not EXP ing another monster
Green Day so what there's there where
does that leave me there's safety
there's safety uring a stock today why
because the the likelihood of backto
back extreme wide- range green days are
small it could be a small green day but
that's probably not going to hurt my
relative weakness too
much but the odds of backtack wide range
monster days slim very slim I'm playing
the odds so if I look for a stock with
relative weakness on a day that I
believe will be
choppy I think my odds go
up and this stock clearly had relative
weakness stock gaps down Market gaps
down Market bullies stock goes sideways
Market bullies stock goes
sideways
18350 stop loss
18425
breakdown boom drops down like
18275 now is that a monster move nope
it's not a monster
move okay it's like one
R but it's the concept that I want you
after this stock dropped like a stone
the second the market pulled back I want
you to take a look at it pull this over
to here right
there right there the second that the
market
started to pull
in this stock started going
south and it kept going and it kept
going do you understand the concept I I
need yeses or NOS here do you
understand why this trade looks so good
it's not just a breakdown you have to
look at the previous day in the market
you have to look at what the current day
in the market is doing and you're
sitting here going damn I'm starting to
really check a lot of boxes
here we're probably not going to have
backtack $7 days in the cues that's
that's a that's rare and if that does
happen you chalk it up and go okay it
was a statistical anomaly that day that
was an outlier backto back $7 days in
the CU come on outlier I'll take the
loss if that happens right pulls back
shows relative weakness that's it
that's it this is not
complicated not complicated at all all
right let's try it
again guys remember this
one told you it'd be in here no brainer
trade two-minute turnaround bar where
the market bounced
so this was the day the market decided
to bounce now I used the Spy because
this is a New York Stock now the cues
are a little bit easier to read on this
day okay
okay but take a look 1 2 3 4 5 kind of
five or six down days nearing some
support five or six down dayss nearing
sport now was I expecting a $7 day no no
no but I was expecting a bounce I wasn't
expecting a $7 day but I wasn't
expecting lower either meaning I didn't
expect this to put in a monster move but
I did expect a bounce so you take a look
at Dell what do you have a stock that's
been moving higher chopping around and
it's just gapping just enough to get
over this prior pivot right around the
$78 Mark okay now I should have put the
two-minute spy in here I apologize I'm
sorry I forgot to do that but you can
see the daily of the spy in the daily of
Dell Dell's already showing relative
strength the market gapped up very
subtly Dell gapped up nicely my bias on
the market was long bias on Dell long
what happens Dell gaps up immediately
puts in a pretty good size for Dell a
wide range bar right this is a wide
range Red Bar on Dell and right after
the wide- range Red Bar Green Bar comes
in and engulfs it confirmation of
strength buyers said to the sellers
sorry we're just stronger than you
today little bit of a push higher slight
and then what another bar right here
that bottoming tail bar is another
confirmation of strength stock moves up
pulls back moves up pulls back and just
grinds higher all day pretty easy money
it started off strong and never really
put you in trouble you're in at 7810
stop 7740 you're going oh my gosh it's a
wide stop 70 cents but it did go to 7970
or something like that like a$1
60 it all starts with your your Market
bias the gap on the stock and then a
pattern oh like like that slide said oh
my
gosh no
brainer after that it's just the don't
be an idiots part right just don't be an
idiot you did everything right you
scanned for a gap you found one you
developed a market bias long great you
waited for relative strength or a
pattern and or a pattern you got it then
you take the trade manage in between
don't be an idiot take the trade manage
in between don't be an
idiot okay what about this exceptional
technical understanding stock has a very
small Gap up gets to $50 and then just
loses its just just tanks one 2 3
four five six bars down bounce pull back
bounce well look at the whole picture
what is the expectation start on the
higher well stock has a small Gap up
goes to 50 bucks just above resistance
right it's actually on the 60 a little
higher but on the 5 minute right at 50
and where is 50 the same exact spot the
stock failed
before it fails again comes all the way
down to the low what happened the last
one two 3 four five 6 7even eight times
it's tested 4850 bounce bounce bounce
bounce bounce some bounces are bigger
than others but it's bounced the last
five six times it's tested what's
probably going to happen it's probably
going to bounce volume Spike at the
bottom retest over here now I am not
telling you to necessarily buy this
trade I am looking at this and showing
you this slide so that you'll understand
the
expectation the expectation is bounced
it's extended super wide I mean look at
the size of These Bars compared to the
previous bars over here right look at
the size of those red bars compared to
these red bars these bars are like 5x
These Bars these are super wide range in
bars then you get a huge volume Spike
down low here and it's all happening
right at higher time frame 60-minute
support where the stock has bounced like
five times previously you're going to
get a bounce I would rather see you buy
this at 4860 even though it only went 15
cents or buy that okay now I am not
trying to say you would definitely take
this or not take this but there you
could certainly come up with some
reasons I'm trying to get you to read
multiple time frames take the 5 minute
take take the 60 match them then look
for an entry pattern look at what the
Market's doing put it all together it's
really not that difficult to do I think
most people can look at this pink line
on the 60 and go yeah there's a lot of
support there and then you can look at
this and go yeah there's a lot of
support there because of the 60
right guys find a stock with void on a
higher time
frame 60 Minute and daily for intraday
Traders scan your dollar gainers and
your dollar losers or other preferred
scans if you have a a trading platform
that has a different scan if you use
Trader viiew or finviz or whoever you
use obviously there's more to this
you're going to need to know what a good
Gap looks like like the Dell Gap was a
nice Gap going to develop a market bias
every single morning your goal is to be
as accurate as possible and remember
your initial bias might change 15
minutes into the day the market might
throw you a curveball and you may have
to be flexible which is why we always
put a long and a short list together
even if our bias is strong long I still
put a short list together if my bias is
strong short I'm still putting a long
list together prepare for all possible
scenarios have a plan B okay from your
scanned list above watch and
wait
for the stock to show you some relative
strength relative weakness against the
market this can be done on any time
frame right I just like the two and the
five after finding said stock watch and
wait for a
pattern take the trade manage in between
and don't be an effing
idiot roko
today one minute Roku
one minute
Q's Q's put in a wide range green bar
little one minute three bar play
peekaboo and started just chopping
around as they chopped what did Roku do
two four 6 eight eight or nine bars into
the day two four six eight or nine bars
in the day one is basing near the high
one is basing near the low one is basing
at the high and one is basing at the
low that's relative weakness
my market bias today was not strong long
my market bias was chop
choppy if my market bias was strong long
maybe I don't take Roku right if my
market bias is strong long maybe I don't
take Roku but that wasn't my market bias
today so I look at it 9065 970 92 stop
loss there's the call rokers weer than
the market there's the p&l whatever
also hold
on there's
Roku breaking a 15minute trend line at
$92 my only concern was this bottoming
tail right here right there and that was
at like 9040 or something like that
somewhere 9035 9040 something like that
okay that was my only real concern why
because all I needed to get to 90 once
we got to 90 we take some off and go to
break even I don't have to worry about
the $89 pivot for me because once I get
to my $90 area it's free money lock in a
th000 bucks go to even hope to make four
grand and there's your 15
minute I personally I look at this
as as easy trading the only thing that
could have really hurt me here was a
market breakout an unexpected breakout I
thought the market would be Cho Choy and
it was it was bullish choppy at the time
but then it got weak and then when the
market got weak Roku just tanked
right the only thing that's remember
there are five Market stock market
events all right when it comes to
strength and weakness there's extreme
strength normal average
strength sideways
chop normal average weakness and extreme
weakness those are the five things the
market can do the only one that really
concerned me today was extreme strength
in the cues and I thought that was a
long shot I did I thought it was a long
shot to get extreme strength in the cues
today so I'm willing to take this so it
goes back to
this why are you complicating your
trading so damn
much and what's the purpose like why why
do you need to be a hero all the time
why can't you just take an obvious trade
and just do the obvious
thing right it's like I use a basketball
analogy and maybe it's not a good
analogy but I think it's a great
analogy modern day basketball is all
about three-pointers oh three is more
than two you see these guys wide open on
a fast break and what do they do they
check up and spot check a three the
basket there's no one in front of you
everyone's at the other end of the Court
you just stole the goddamn basketball
instead of dunking the ball for a
guaranteed two you're going to take a
40% chance at a three 100% chance at two
or a 40% chance at three well I'm sorry
but in trading I'm taking the guaranteed
two if you want to take the 40% three go
for it but I'm taking the guaranteed
too that's the way I look at it I'm
playing the percentages I'm playing the
odds I'll take a little less money for a
higher
probability that's it that's
it you're taking the dopamine right
that's it you choose how you want to
trade that's how I choose to
trade maybe your style is different and
that's
okay but these five bullet points are
pretty much trading in a nutshell
obviously we have money management
obviously we have trade management
obviously we have pre-trade entries
bottoming tailes topping tailes volume
Spike support I get it but this is the
basic outline of good trading it's broad
I agree but it's the basic outline of
good trading void on a higher time frame
Market bias relative strength or
weakness why gives you flexibility you
don't have to be perfect with your
Market call if you take a stock that has
perfect correlation to the market 10 out
of 10 correlation the market moves the
stock moves well guess what if you're
wrong about the market you're wrong
about the stock too relative strength
relative weakness gives you flexibility
room for mistakes room for error I can
be a little wrong on my market call but
if the stock has genuine strength or
weakness I'm going to be
okay after finding that stock you watch
and wait for a pattern then you just
take it manage in between don't be an
idiot virtual mic
drop virtual mic drop get your head out
of your ass and do it right stop making
it so complicated okay your ego is only
going to get you into trouble in this
business there's just no place for it no
need for it I don't really have anything
more to say because if I do I'm going to
probably explode I'm just I'm watching
some of the things that people do and I
just it's like you can lead a horse to
water but at some point you got to step
in and drink it you know what I mean and
I'm not kidding about this this isn't
like haha trying to be funny or joking
what I just talked about is the
difference difference between you going
to work every day for someone else or
you working for yourself on your own
terms at your own time whenever wherever
you want it's not a joke so you choose
you want you like your job great no big
deal you don't then you got a problem on
your
hands this is the ultimate level of
freedom and flexibility very few things
in life gives you this level of freedom
and flexibility
and if you want that you're serious
about that then you'll heed those five
bullet points and you'll stop messing
around you'll just get serious about it
and just do what's required of you
consequence system accountability
partner will help you get there sooner
I'm Jared Wesley of live Traders we'll
get back at it again next
[Music]
week
w
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