How to Make Trading Easier & More Profitable NOW

Live Traders
14 Feb 202444:04

Summary

TLDRIn this lecture, Jared Wesley of Live Traders addresses the challenges of trading, emphasizing the importance of simplifying the process. He outlines a five-step strategy for successful trading in 2024, focusing on finding stocks with potential, developing a market bias, identifying relative strength or weakness, waiting for patterns, and managing trades effectively. Wesley stresses the need for proper risk management and urges traders to avoid overcomplicating their strategies. He shares real-life examples and warns against the pitfalls of ego and fear in trading, advocating for a disciplined approach to achieve financial freedom and flexibility.

Takeaways

  • 📈 Trading in 2024 can be simplified by following a structured process.
  • 🚫 Avoid overcomplicating trading; it's not as difficult as many make it out to be.
  • 💡 Focus on money management and risk control to prevent significant losses.
  • 🔍 Identify stocks with potential by finding voids on higher time frames (60-minute or daily charts).
  • 📊 Develop a market bias based on pre-market conditions and monitor relative strength or weakness.
  • 📈 Wait for confirmation of strength or weakness through patterns before taking a trade.
  • 📉 Use stop losses to manage risk and protect your capital.
  • 📝 Keep emotions out of trading decisions; let the chart dictate your actions.
  • 🔄 Be prepared to adjust your market bias based on new information and price movements.
  • 📌 Look for patterns such as engulfing bars, three-bar plays, and other technical setups.
  • 🚨 Don't let ego drive your trading; prioritize making smart, calculated decisions over being right.

Q & A

  • What is the main topic of Jared Wesley's lecture?

    -The main topic of Jared Wesley's lecture is how to make trading easier in 2024.

  • What does Jared emphasize as the first key to successful trading?

    -Jared emphasizes money management as the first key to successful trading.

  • What is the significance of finding a stock with void on a higher time frame, according to Jared?

    -Finding a stock with void on a higher time frame is significant because it helps traders identify potential opportunities and avoid overextended stocks.

  • How does Jared suggest developing a market bias?

    -Jared suggests developing a market bias by observing the market's direction before the market opens, using tools like the Q's, SPY, or IW.

  • What does Jared mean by 'relative strength' and 'relative weakness' in trading?

    -Relative strength and relative weakness refer to how a stock performs compared to the overall market. A stock showing relative strength is outperforming the market, while one showing relative weakness is underperforming.

  • What is the importance of managing trades according to Jared?

    -Managing trades is crucial for maintaining control over risks and ensuring that traders don't make impulsive decisions that could lead to significant losses.

  • Why does Jared stress the importance of not overcomplicating trading?

    -Jared stresses this because many traders make their trading unnecessarily complex, leading to poor decisions and increased chances of losing money. Simplifying the process can lead to more effective and profitable trading.

  • What is the 'Holy Grail' in trading that Jared mentions, and why does he say it doesn't exist?

    -The 'Holy Grail' in trading refers to a perfect, fail-proof method or system for making money. Jared says it doesn't exist because trading is not about finding a magic solution but rather about applying sound principles and managing risks effectively.

  • What advice does Jared give to traders who are struggling with their trading strategies?

    -Jared advises struggling traders to simplify their trading approach, focus on money management, develop a market bias, look for relative strength or weakness, wait for patterns, and manage their trades without letting ego or emotions interfere.

  • How does Jared address the issue of personal emotions affecting trading decisions?

    -Jared advises traders to eliminate personal emotions from their trading decisions, emphasizing that the market and the charts don't have feelings. Traders should read the charts objectively and adjust their opinions based on new information.

Outlines

00:00

📈 Introduction to Trading in 2024

Jared Wesley from Live Traders begins a lecture on simplifying trading in 2024. He emphasizes the importance of following a process to make money and criticizes traders for overcomplicating their strategies. The lecture focuses on five key points to improve trading and Jared expresses his frustration with common mistakes made by traders.

05:01

🚫 The Dangers of Overconfidence

Jared discusses the pitfalls of overconfidence in trading, using a hypothetical trader's story to illustrate the consequences of not using stop losses and risking too much money. He stresses the importance of money management and the dangers of ego in trading, leading to significant losses.

10:01

🔍 Identifying Trading Opportunities

The lecture continues with Jared explaining how to find stocks with potential by looking for voids on higher time frames and developing a market bias. He advises traders to wait for stocks to show relative strength or weakness against the market and to manage trades effectively.

15:02

📊 Reading the Market and Adjusting Bias

Jared emphasizes the importance of adjusting trading bias based on new information and market movements. He uses examples of candlestick patterns to illustrate how traders' perceptions of market strength or weakness can change, and how this can affect trading decisions.

20:05

📉 Understanding Candlestick Patterns

The speaker delves into the significance of reversal candles and their potency, measured by the depth of penetration into the prior bar. He explains how tails on candlesticks can indicate changes in supply and demand, and how this affects trading decisions.

25:07

📈 Wide Range Bars and Market Dynamics

Jared discusses the implications of wide range bars, which can indicate that buying or selling is being ignited or exhausted. He explains the importance of context and how different scenarios, such as consolidation or pullback days, can impact trading strategies.

30:07

📊 Trading with Market Expectations

The lecture highlights the importance of understanding market expectations and using them to inform trading decisions. Jared uses specific examples from the market to demonstrate how to identify opportunities and manage risk effectively.

35:09

🤔 Simplifying Trading and Ego Management

Jared concludes the lecture by reiterating the importance of simplifying trading and managing one's ego. He stresses that successful trading involves following a basic outline, including money management, trade management, and recognizing patterns. He encourages traders to focus on the fundamentals and avoid unnecessary complexity.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Trading

Trading in the context of the video refers to the act of buying and selling financial instruments such as stocks, with the goal of making a profit. It is the central activity discussed by Jared Wesley, who emphasizes the importance of simplifying trading strategies to increase effectiveness and profitability.

💡Money Management

Money management is a critical aspect of trading that involves controlling the amount of capital risked on any single trade. It is essential for preventing significant losses and ensuring the longevity of a trading career. Jared stresses the importance of risking small amounts of money per trade to avoid catastrophic losses.

💡Market Bias

Market bias refers to the trader's预判 or expectation of the direction in which the market or a particular stock is likely to move. It is developed based on pre-market analysis and can change throughout the trading day as new information becomes available.

💡Relative Strength/Weakness

Relative strength or weakness is a concept used to compare the performance of a stock against the overall market or a benchmark index. A stock showing relative strength is outperforming the market, while one showing relative weakness is underperforming.

💡Patterns

In trading, patterns refer to recurring price formations or trends that traders use to predict future price movements. These can be technical chart patterns like breakouts, reversals, or continuation patterns.

💡Stop Loss

A stop loss is an order placed with a broker to sell a security when it reaches a certain price. It is a risk management tool that helps limit potential losses on an investment.

💡Ego

In the context of trading, ego refers to the emotional and psychological aspects that can lead traders to make poor decisions, such as overconfidence or the desire to be right at all costs.

💡Flexibility

Flexibility in trading means being able to adapt to changing market conditions and adjust strategies accordingly. It is important for managing risk and capitalizing on new opportunities.

💡Gap

A gap in trading refers to a price range where no trading occurs. Gaps can be upward or downward and are often used by traders to identify potential support or resistance levels.

💡Volume

Volume in trading is a measure of the number of shares or contracts traded during a specific period. It is often used to confirm the strength of a price move, with high volume indicating strong interest in a particular security.

Highlights

Jared Wesley emphasizes the importance of simplifying trading in 2024.

He criticizes traders for overcomplicating their trading strategies.

Jared stresses the need for good money management to avoid significant losses.

He shares a personal anecdote about a trader who doubled their account but then lost it all due to poor risk management.

Jared explains the concept of finding a stock with 'void' on a higher time frame for trading success.

He discusses the importance of developing a market bias before trading.

Jared advises traders to wait for a stock to show relative strength or weakness against the market.

He emphasizes the significance of patterns in trading and how to manage trades effectively.

Jared shares a real-life example of a trader who lost money due to overconfidence and not using stop losses.

He explains how new information can change a trader's bias and perspective on a stock.

Jared discusses the potency of reversal candles and how they are measured by the depth of penetration into the prior bar.

He provides insights on how to interpret wide range and narrow range candles in trading.

Jared uses a basketball analogy to explain the importance of playing the odds in trading.

He outlines the five market stock events related to strength and weakness.

Jared stresses the importance of eliminating personal emotions from trading decisions.

He provides a detailed explanation of how to find a stock with a gap, develop a market bias, and wait for a pattern.

Jared shares a personal story of his early trading days and how he overcame being an 'idiot' trader.

He emphasizes the importance of having a plan B and being prepared for all possible scenarios in trading.

Jared concludes with a call to action for traders to take trading seriously and follow the five bullet points for success.

Transcripts

play00:00

hey guys Jared Wesley here of live

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Traders and it is that time of the week

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it's lecture time and this week guys I'm

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smashing some faces in you're like what

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that's crazy yes I'm going hard on you

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guys I'm going tough on you guys this

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week's lecture topic guys is how to make

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trading easier in 2024 all right lot of

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great slides there's a five bullet point

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slide on here that literally is your

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process to making money in 2024 and I'm

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going to be very tough on you guys in

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this lecture because I am tired sick and

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tired of watching you guys F things up

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and make huge mistakes trading does not

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have to be so difficult it's you that

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are making it this difficult so today if

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you listen to this advice you'll be able

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to simplify your trading and be more

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effective and hopefully make more money

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as well that's the goal right Freedom

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flexibility time well you need to be a

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good Trader to have those things and

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this lecture will hopefully help get you

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to that place all right right how to

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make trading easier in 2024 all right if

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you like these videos please click the

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like button smash Hammer that subscribe

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button I'm Jared Wesley of live Traders

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let's get to

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[Music]

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it this week's lecture topic is how to

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make trading easier in

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2024 right I think we're all looking for

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that Holy Grail well not to bust your

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bubble it does not exist however there

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are definitely specific things that you

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can do to make your trading easier and

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I'm finding that people are over

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complicating their trading um and if I

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get a little bit tense um or uppity

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during this lecture it's because of that

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I may resort to yelling at you at some

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point today probably not but it's

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possible um because I'm watching what

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people do and I'm disgusted by it uh I'm

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watching some of the things people are

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trying to do and they they just defy

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logic I mean literally just throw logic

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out the window and just throw at

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the wall and be like yeah I hope it

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works you know like trying to short the

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strongest stock in the entire world so

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you can escape 10 cents from it um those

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types of things um but more than that so

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today we're going to talk about what you

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can actually do to affect change in your

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trading and what you should be looking

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for to make your trading easier it's

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really not that difficult it's not

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rocket science I promise you I'm not

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lying when I say this it's not rocket

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science Forest Gump can do it you can do

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it all right so we're going to talk

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about probably three or four simple

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things that you can do to really

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supercharge your trading but remember

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just because they're the right things to

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do I can't promise you'll actually go

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out and do them because your ego your

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mind whatever may keep you from doing

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those things but hey some people like

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having a boss some people like being

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broke some people like being poor it's

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like some badge of honor like misery

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loves company good for you people I

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can't help you but for the people that

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have a genuine wanting and willingness

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to move away from that and not have a

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boss and have freedom and flexibility

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and want to earn money so you can do the

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things you actually really want to do

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well then this lecture is for you okay

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for everybody else you know just keep

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winging it all right just keep hanging

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around your poor friends and being just

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like them all right now before we get to

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that let's talk about how to be

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poor when will the insanity

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stop now this person didn't put a

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specific number on this so I don't know

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how much it is but it says I have lost a

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lot of money what do I do um so a few

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months ago I started Futures Trading

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because I'm not interested in long-term

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investing first of all you're an idiot

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okay I am not interested in long-term

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investing what are you a dumb dumb as a

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brick of course you should be interested

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in long-term investing it's how you're

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going to retire someday okay but let's

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push that aside I had X dollar we don't

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know how many okay maybe 44 billion

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after a few weeks I started making quite

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good profits which allowed me to almost

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double my deposit to 2 x now first of

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all do you guys see any issues with that

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sentence other than the grammar after a

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few weeks I start after a few weeks a

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few weeks a few weeks I started making

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quite good profits and basically doubled

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my

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account you doubled your account in a

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few weeks with very little to no

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experience okay yeah sounds about right

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that just defies logic and common sense

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like I just said stupid is a stupid does

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sir okay I became overconfidence shocker

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okay you must have been really confident

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when you were trading that much money a

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few weeks into your trading career I

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didn't put stop losses in and this is

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what killed me yeah you're right it's

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exactly what killed you you're correct

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um but more than not putting stop losses

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in risking way too much money if you

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didn't put a stop loss in and you risked

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$5 on a trade how bad could it really

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really really be honestly think about

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what I'm saying if you're risking five

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$5 a trade and you lost a 100 R you lose

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500 bucks it wouldn't be the end of the

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world and you wouldn't be writing a post

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I have lost a lot of money so even if

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you don't take stop

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losses risking small amounts of money is

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still a great idea because the worst

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you're going to lose is 50 100 200 bucks

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not 50 100 200,000 I don't know what

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this person lost but seriously doesn't

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sound like it was good all right I can't

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imagine telling telling anyone from my

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family about this this was a

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considerable amount of

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money guys this is just stupid that's

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all I can say some people think it's

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rude or mean of me to be so tough on

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these people I it's not I'm trying to

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make a point to you guys this is real

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this business is no joke and if you

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don't respect it and you wake up one day

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and decide that you're just better than

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the market this is going to happen to

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you and you're going to lose a lot of

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money so while I tell everybody you know

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this is important for trading that's

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important number one thing is always

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money management isn't it because if you

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risk very very very very small amounts

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of

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money you can't lose a lot of money

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right you just can't okay um exactly

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Brian how do you get rich you know

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risking $5 a trade I can't and that's

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what these people think well I I can't

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get rich doing that and and my buddy

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Jimmy over there doubled his account in

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a month and I have to do the same thing

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and so and so made gazillion dollars in

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crypto blah blah blah blah blah blah and

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it's why you're not trading anymore and

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it's why you've lost all that money

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right now yeah you're probably wishing

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you had that money back guess what if

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you risked $5 a trade you'd still have

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99% of

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it you got 99 problems but a stop loss

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ain't one all right all

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right let's move along this stuff just

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pisses me off when I see people just

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being stupid it's called proper risk

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control or money management get some

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plain and simple go get some now we're g

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to get to the Brass tax here on the next

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slide okay we're going to get to the

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Brass tax and this slide is basically

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everything you need to know about

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trading

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okay it's not everything you need to

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know it's most of what you need to know

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about trading

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okay these are the actual genuine keys

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to successful trade no there's no sales

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pitch in here no there's no hey buy my

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course there's none of that these are

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the actual keys to successful Trading

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find a stock with void on a higher time

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frame a 60-minute chart or a daily chart

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you can scan dollar gainers dollar

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losers or other preferred scans to find

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it now obviously when I say find a stock

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a well you need to know what what void

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is Right obviously but find a stock with

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void on a higher time frame okay

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obviously there's more to it like it

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can't be too extended right can't be 17

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days in a up there's a little more to it

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than that develop a market bias on the

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q's Spire iwm in the pre-market before

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the Market opens at 9:30 develop a

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market bicycle do I think the Market's

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going higher lower or neutral today then

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from your scan is preferred misspelled

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what is it two RS what was it yep it is

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two RS there we go all right

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so

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from your scanned list above watch and

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wait for a stock to show you relative

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strength or relative weakness notice I

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did not say a pattern yet I said W watch

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and wait for a stock to show you

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relative strength or relative weakness

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against the market the market meaning

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the cu's the Spy or the IW you're like

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well how do I know which one I got an

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email last night about that I'm like

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well if it's a NASDAQ stock The Q's if

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it's a New York Stock the spy and the IW

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M you could use probably for all of them

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cuz this one usually lags the other two

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so NASDAQ stock Q's Nvidia Apple

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Microsoft meta great IBM cocacola

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whatever spy it's pretty simple this can

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be done on any time frame I prefer 2 and

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five minutes for morning scalping that's

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what I prefer if I'm going to scalp the

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first hour of the day I prefer watching

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the stocks on Two And 5 minute charts to

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gain the relative strength or relative

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weakness concept you can do it on on a

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three and a five I don't like the one

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minute that much I still look at it I

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still use it but I don't trade off of it

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okay um very often occasionally I do all

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right today we did on Roku but anyway

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two and five minute then after this

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after finding said stock then watch and

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wait for a pattern on said stock three

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bar play buy set up sell bra whatever

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take the trade manage in between and

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don't be an idiot that's it take the

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trade manage in between and just don't

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be an idiot that's it I've just summed

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up the basic process of successful

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trading now is there minutia to this

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like what does a good three bar play

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look like yes what does a good gapping

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stock look like yes okay yes there's

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more to this right when I say find a

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stock with void I don't mean a stock

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that had a 500% ATR day yesterday I

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don't mean a stock that's down N9 days

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in a row and you want to short it I

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don't mean that but there's more Nuance

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to that but this is the basic five

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bullet points you need to know and you

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guys are it up that's all I have

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to say you're it up plain and

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simple I told you I was going to get a

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little uppity today I look at the

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that you guys put out there and I twist

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my head and I'm like the are you

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thinking yes strong words some people

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are offended by it sorry go to your safe

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space find your binky and blank

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all right this business does not have to

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be so damn difficult why do you make it

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such ask yourself go look in the mirror

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walk away for a second go look in the

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mirror why do you make it so hard why do

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you make it so hard ask yourself that go

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look in the mirror why do I make this

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business so hard cuz you're an idiot I'm

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not preaching at you I've been that

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idiot I was that idiot for probably 18

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months to the two years when I started

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okay so is it hyp a little hypocritical

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it is a

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little but I'm trying to Rattle you and

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Shake you because this is the crap you

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guys do and really these five bullet

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points are everything you need find void

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find a market bias find something that's

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stronger or weaker than the market then

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take a pattern manage in between and

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don't it

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up that's it we can just close the book

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now and go home sad there's like 12 15

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more slides

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left moment of silence for the

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idiots it's a it's astonishing to me

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honestly because this is all trading

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really is everything else or anything

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else that you do is just ego driven

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anything else you do is just based on

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your

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ego or fear or fear you get out too soon

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that's fear trying to short the stronger

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stock in the market that's ego not

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taking a stoploss it's a little bit of

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both just stop doing those things okay

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now let's get into some nuts and bolts

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all right you're going to see this slide

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at the end of the presentation I'll

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remind you of it again and I'll probably

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be mean again all right eliminate

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personal emotion guys just read the damn

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chart okay what were Traders thinking as

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the Red Bar was forming and creating an

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engulfing bar so what we have here we

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don't know the previous information

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we're just going to go with the seven

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eight bars that we have in front of us

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okay we have a consolidation here right

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red bars green bars red bars green bar

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and then we see a big red bar come in so

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Traders were likely thinking when this

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red bar was forming that this support

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area is being broken right this support

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area is being broken and the stock is

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likely going lower does it mean it's

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shortable I don't know I don't have

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enough

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information but that's the thought

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process sellers are finally taking full

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control we had a tug of war we had a

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battle here sellers take over over here

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on the right though has their thinking

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changed when it turned into a bottoming

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tail bar and if so why well yes right

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obviously yes because what does this

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represent this represents a test a

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battle and the battle was won largely

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mostly by the buyers right right because

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this tail we talked about it a few weeks

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a month ago this tail is actually green

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right it was all red like this this bar

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right here looked identical to this red

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bar over here at one point in time they

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looked identical but now they don't now

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one has tail and that tail represents

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buyers it's just green green green green

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green green green green Green so the

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stock tried to break under support and

play14:54

go lower it was not able to consolidate

play14:57

the effort low lower right it was not

play15:00

able to consolidate the effort basically

play15:02

it was just a peekaboo below and right

play15:04

back up which was does what it outs the

play15:07

buyers it does it outs The Bu it

play15:09

basically if the buyers were trying to

play15:11

be koi up here not showing their full

play15:13

hand they showed it right here they said

play15:16

yeah we're actually really strong

play15:17

there's actually quite a few of us we

play15:19

didn't want you to know that but there's

play15:20

actually quite a few of us so new

play15:23

information changes the picture which

play15:26

changes our bias a possible break turns

play15:29

into a confirmation of strength now why

play15:31

am I bringing this up to you because

play15:33

this happens all the time you look at a

play15:36

stock and it looks like it's got great

play15:37

strength and then new information

play15:40

suggests it has weakness or the new

play15:43

information confirms the

play15:45

strength this is new information and

play15:48

every time you get a new bar a new pivot

play15:51

you get new information and you have to

play15:53

adjust your opinion it might be the same

play15:56

opinion based on the new information but

play15:58

it might be a completely different

play15:59

opinion it's like when someone says do

play16:00

you ever fade a stock on the Gap list

play16:02

well yes if I get new information that

play16:05

suggest I should then we might fade a

play16:08

stop ba the other day was an example it

play16:10

was a big gap down that we look to go

play16:12

long on potentially right so new

play16:15

information might change your opinion

play16:17

this is the same idea same concept what

play16:20

were Traders thinking weakness has their

play16:22

thinking changed when it turned in from

play16:25

a red bar into a green engulfing bar we

play16:29

saw this was it yesterday or Monday we

play16:32

saw this on Dell granted Dell didn't

play16:35

have all this craziness to the left but

play16:37

Dell started off

play16:38

weak and then it got completely engulfed

play16:42

and then the next couple bars later put

play16:44

in a little bit of a bottoming tail and

play16:46

then Dell just went higher for the rest

play16:47

of the day hint hint you're going to see

play16:49

Dell later I'm pretty sure I put it in

play16:51

here new information changes your bias

play16:55

changes your opinion changes your

play16:57

perspective stop with the personal

play16:59

opinions just read the chart the emotion

play17:02

that you're feeling has nothing to do

play17:04

with the chart it has everything to do

play17:05

with you the chart has no feelings it's

play17:09

just a

play17:10

chart but the chart inside of it has

play17:14

people in it right everyone that's

play17:16

trading this stock I don't care if it's

play17:18

a pension fund I don't care if it's

play17:20

Pablo Escobar back in

play17:22

1993 everyone who's trading this stock

play17:25

is represented in these green and red

play17:27

candlesticks

play17:29

but in and of itself there's no emotion

play17:31

there you're placing your personal

play17:34

emotion on it just let the chart speak

play17:36

to you stop speaking to it don't yell at

play17:39

it just be calm and listen and in this

play17:42

case what looked to be weakness turned

play17:44

into a confirmation of strength you go

play17:46

long on this and you go long seven out

play17:48

of eight days of the week sorry eight

play17:49

out of seven days of the week okay so

play17:53

candlesticks just keep it

play17:55

simple a reversal candles potent poy is

play17:59

measured by the depth or level of

play18:01

penetration into the prior bar go back

play18:04

go

play18:05

back the depth and level of penetration

play18:09

on this green bar is over

play18:12

100% if this green bar was like 10%

play18:17

20% there's actually no real level or

play18:20

depth of penetration here you're still

play18:22

believing and thinking the sellers might

play18:24

be in control right if this bar right

play18:27

here was that

play18:29

big right give it a second if this bar

play18:31

was that big you're still thinking it's

play18:34

super

play18:35

weak but when the bar is that

play18:39

big it completely changes your

play18:43

opinion because of what it accomplished

play18:46

and what it accomplished was getting rid

play18:48

of all of these sellers they're gone now

play18:51

they've been overtaken okay so we go

play18:54

back a reversal candle's potency is

play18:57

measured by the depth or level of

play18:59

penetration into the prior bar we just

play19:01

saw it okay tails on a candle either

play19:05

increase or decrease

play19:07

Supply topping Tails increase Supply

play19:10

bottoming Tails decrease

play19:14

Supply okay we just saw that too the

play19:17

slide before that okay this bottoming

play19:21

tail is decreasing Supply demand is

play19:25

increasing demand is increasing it's

play19:27

eating up the supply when you think

play19:29

about supply and demand there's 100

play19:31

pairs of jeans for sale a whole slew of

play19:34

people come into the store and all of a

play19:35

sudden there's only 20 for sale now

play19:37

because they bought the other 80 pairs

play19:39

that's what this bar

play19:40

is Supply is waning demand is increasing

play19:44

that means higher prices if you owned a

play19:46

store and demand was huge for a product

play19:48

you'd raise the prices of course you

play19:50

would that's just good

play19:52

business so read the

play19:56

chart okay don't put your personal

play19:59

opinion to it your emotion just read the

play20:01

chart okay yeah probably

play20:05

Jordan anyway expanding range candles

play20:08

wide range igniting bars tell us buying

play20:11

or selling is being ignited or exhausted

play20:14

context is important here what does this

play20:16

mean a wide range bar that's four or

play20:20

five bars up is likely being

play20:23

exhausted right you have to think for

play20:25

example Nvidia right now might be

play20:27

getting close to exhaust question but if

play20:29

that wide range bar is the first or

play20:31

second bar it's likely igniting the

play20:33

volume has an impact on this as well

play20:36

narrowing range

play20:37

candle

play20:41

sorry sorry narrowing range candles tell

play20:44

us that volatility is low and momentum

play20:46

is decreasing but context is important

play20:50

where they happen matters okay where

play20:53

they happen matters all right so let's

play20:55

take a look at some charts you've seen a

play20:57

couple like two of these charts and the

play20:59

other four or five you haven't seen all

play21:00

right so the first two I think you've

play21:02

seen before all right engulfing bar

play21:05

picture of money we talked about it a

play21:08

couple slides ago you have a nice three

play21:09

bar play four bar play turns into a

play21:11

breakout right then you get this sellers

play21:14

try to creep in boom they come right

play21:17

back up that means buyers say whoa hold

play21:20

my beer this is wonderful because now

play21:23

you know what your stop is it's

play21:24

definitely under that bottoming tail and

play21:26

now you have a confirmation of strength

play21:28

buyers just proved to you that they were

play21:30

really strong you knew they were strong

play21:32

over here but then the sellers tested

play21:35

them they went into the ring hit them in

play21:36

the mouth and they said please hold my

play21:38

beer please is that all you

play21:41

got bottoming tail go higher same here

play21:46

same concept right three bar play

play21:49

actually stops out right little three

play21:51

bar play one stops out but then you get

play21:52

a green bar which you're like okay this

play21:55

means higher prices and then it gets

play21:57

complet completely engulfed by a red bar

play21:59

the sellers going no no no no no hold my

play22:02

beer so there was a battle that formed

play22:05

right and the sellers clearly won they

play22:07

were winning beforehand but they were

play22:10

tested right here and they passed the

play22:12

test great entry super great yes you may

play22:15

have been stopped out on the first entry

play22:16

if you didn't give it room I usually

play22:18

give them room but if you didn't you

play22:20

probably got stopped out on the first

play22:21

three bar play you get back in and this

play22:23

is

play22:25

amazing take the easy money

play22:28

take the easy

play22:30

money on the flip side eliminate your

play22:33

emotions 1 2 3 four five 6

play22:38

78 nine bars up topping

play22:42

tail that's not

play22:44

bad right because you're at resistance

play22:47

or peeka boot above you leave a huge

play22:49

topping tail huge volume on the previous

play22:51

bar but I'm not going to be the topping

play22:53

tail I'm going to wait for it to trigger

play22:57

I am not going going to be the first

play22:59

person to short this Damen I'm not while

play23:02

I have a strong inclination there's a

play23:04

pullback

play23:06

ahead I'm going to let it confirm and

play23:09

the confirmation means waiting a little

play23:11

bit and waiting means giving up a little

play23:13

bit of profits I'm giving up a little

play23:15

bit of money for a higher likelihood of

play23:19

success you can get in at 122 on maybe

play23:22

Dro down to a lower lower time frame

play23:25

right but it's a little bit riskier

play23:28

because you're the first person that's

play23:31

willing to short the stock right you're

play23:33

the first person willing to short the

play23:35

stock I don't need to be first I just

play23:36

need to make money that's it don't need

play23:39

to be first put the ego away I'll let it

play23:42

trigger pulls back down to the moving

play23:45

average okay the waiting is the hardest

play23:48

part rest in peace there pulls back to

play23:51

114 kind of chops around and that's it

play23:54

that's that's that's the meat and

play23:56

potatoes 12 20 119 down to that 114 area

play24:00

five bucks that's the meat and

play24:04

potatoes

play24:06

now do you guys remember this I hope so

play24:09

wasn't that long ago was yesterday it

play24:12

was

play24:15

yesterday I really need you guys to pay

play24:17

attention to this slide

play24:20

okay this was the

play24:24

cues two days ago on Monday super wide

play24:28

range green bar on the 60 Green Bar

play24:30

Green Bar Green Bar Green Bar Green Bar

play24:32

Green Bar I think we can all agree that

play24:35

it's not that often that the q's put in

play24:38

a seven or eight move that's a big move

play24:40

for the q's that's nearly a 2% day and

play24:43

for the q's 2% is a lot so

play24:48

guys what generally happens after an

play24:52

extreme wide range bar on a stock

play24:54

extreme note I said extreme I didn't say

play24:57

wide range I said extreme wide range bar

play25:00

what typically happens talk to me I need

play25:02

answers from this

play25:04

one what typically happens the next day

play25:06

after an extreme wide range

play25:10

bar only one person's willing to stti

play25:12

their NE stick their neck out it's like

play25:14

you guys dropped your pants in Alaska

play25:16

it's all shriveling

play25:20

up there's

play25:22

usually one of two things happens

play25:25

usually a consolidation day inside

play25:28

consolidation day or a pullback right

play25:31

that's most of the time right there's

play25:33

usually some type

play25:35

of time correction or pullback like I

play25:38

said an inside day or a pullback okay

play25:43

they can be challenging days to trade

play25:45

okay but usually a lot of chop okay so

play25:49

to me after I saw this day on Monday I

play25:52

thought that's what I'm expecting on

play25:54

Tuesday which was yesterday right and

play25:59

what do you get this little area right

play26:01

here at 18350 a little kind of one

play26:04

minute

play26:05

breakdown stop loss up here now hold on

play26:10

hold

play26:13

on just pull this

play26:16

here I'll delete it in a

play26:19

second let's make it super wide so you

play26:21

can see

play26:24

it there maybe yellow

play26:28

maybe orange

play26:30

okay this was the stock off the open on

play26:33

the one

play26:34

minute this was the market off the open

play26:37

on the one minute green green Green

play26:39

three bars in a row red green

play26:44

red red green red green green Green

play26:50

granted it's early 3 minutes into the

play26:53

day is very difficult to discern actual

play26:57

bi

play26:58

in 3 minutes okay very difficult but the

play27:02

early indication the early indication is

play27:06

relative weakness on the

play27:08

stock relative weakness on the

play27:11

stock the previous day in the market

play27:15

okay the previous day in the market was

play27:18

a monster monster wide range Green Day I

play27:23

am not to be

play27:25

clear I'm not EXP ing another monster

play27:28

Green Day so what there's there where

play27:31

does that leave me there's safety

play27:34

there's safety uring a stock today why

play27:38

because the the likelihood of backto

play27:40

back extreme wide- range green days are

play27:43

small it could be a small green day but

play27:47

that's probably not going to hurt my

play27:48

relative weakness too

play27:50

much but the odds of backtack wide range

play27:54

monster days slim very slim I'm playing

play27:58

the odds so if I look for a stock with

play28:01

relative weakness on a day that I

play28:04

believe will be

play28:05

choppy I think my odds go

play28:09

up and this stock clearly had relative

play28:12

weakness stock gaps down Market gaps

play28:15

down Market bullies stock goes sideways

play28:17

Market bullies stock goes

play28:22

sideways

play28:24

18350 stop loss

play28:26

18425

play28:28

breakdown boom drops down like

play28:31

18275 now is that a monster move nope

play28:35

it's not a monster

play28:36

move okay it's like one

play28:39

R but it's the concept that I want you

play28:42

after this stock dropped like a stone

play28:45

the second the market pulled back I want

play28:47

you to take a look at it pull this over

play28:49

to here right

play28:53

there right there the second that the

play28:56

market

play28:59

started to pull

play29:01

in this stock started going

play29:05

south and it kept going and it kept

play29:07

going do you understand the concept I I

play29:10

need yeses or NOS here do you

play29:13

understand why this trade looks so good

play29:16

it's not just a breakdown you have to

play29:19

look at the previous day in the market

play29:21

you have to look at what the current day

play29:24

in the market is doing and you're

play29:26

sitting here going damn I'm starting to

play29:28

really check a lot of boxes

play29:30

here we're probably not going to have

play29:32

backtack $7 days in the cues that's

play29:36

that's a that's rare and if that does

play29:38

happen you chalk it up and go okay it

play29:42

was a statistical anomaly that day that

play29:44

was an outlier backto back $7 days in

play29:48

the CU come on outlier I'll take the

play29:51

loss if that happens right pulls back

play29:55

shows relative weakness that's it

play29:58

that's it this is not

play30:01

complicated not complicated at all all

play30:04

right let's try it

play30:07

again guys remember this

play30:09

one told you it'd be in here no brainer

play30:12

trade two-minute turnaround bar where

play30:14

the market bounced

play30:16

so this was the day the market decided

play30:20

to bounce now I used the Spy because

play30:22

this is a New York Stock now the cues

play30:24

are a little bit easier to read on this

play30:26

day okay

play30:27

okay but take a look 1 2 3 4 5 kind of

play30:31

five or six down days nearing some

play30:34

support five or six down dayss nearing

play30:36

sport now was I expecting a $7 day no no

play30:40

no but I was expecting a bounce I wasn't

play30:43

expecting a $7 day but I wasn't

play30:48

expecting lower either meaning I didn't

play30:50

expect this to put in a monster move but

play30:52

I did expect a bounce so you take a look

play30:55

at Dell what do you have a stock that's

play30:56

been moving higher chopping around and

play30:58

it's just gapping just enough to get

play31:00

over this prior pivot right around the

play31:02

$78 Mark okay now I should have put the

play31:06

two-minute spy in here I apologize I'm

play31:08

sorry I forgot to do that but you can

play31:11

see the daily of the spy in the daily of

play31:14

Dell Dell's already showing relative

play31:16

strength the market gapped up very

play31:18

subtly Dell gapped up nicely my bias on

play31:21

the market was long bias on Dell long

play31:25

what happens Dell gaps up immediately

play31:27

puts in a pretty good size for Dell a

play31:30

wide range bar right this is a wide

play31:31

range Red Bar on Dell and right after

play31:35

the wide- range Red Bar Green Bar comes

play31:37

in and engulfs it confirmation of

play31:41

strength buyers said to the sellers

play31:44

sorry we're just stronger than you

play31:47

today little bit of a push higher slight

play31:50

and then what another bar right here

play31:53

that bottoming tail bar is another

play31:55

confirmation of strength stock moves up

play31:58

pulls back moves up pulls back and just

play32:00

grinds higher all day pretty easy money

play32:02

it started off strong and never really

play32:04

put you in trouble you're in at 7810

play32:06

stop 7740 you're going oh my gosh it's a

play32:08

wide stop 70 cents but it did go to 7970

play32:12

or something like that like a$1

play32:15

60 it all starts with your your Market

play32:18

bias the gap on the stock and then a

play32:21

pattern oh like like that slide said oh

play32:24

my

play32:25

gosh no

play32:29

brainer after that it's just the don't

play32:32

be an idiots part right just don't be an

play32:34

idiot you did everything right you

play32:36

scanned for a gap you found one you

play32:39

developed a market bias long great you

play32:41

waited for relative strength or a

play32:44

pattern and or a pattern you got it then

play32:46

you take the trade manage in between

play32:48

don't be an idiot take the trade manage

play32:50

in between don't be an

play32:51

idiot okay what about this exceptional

play32:56

technical understanding stock has a very

play32:59

small Gap up gets to $50 and then just

play33:02

loses its just just tanks one 2 3

play33:06

four five six bars down bounce pull back

play33:10

bounce well look at the whole picture

play33:13

what is the expectation start on the

play33:16

higher well stock has a small Gap up

play33:18

goes to 50 bucks just above resistance

play33:22

right it's actually on the 60 a little

play33:24

higher but on the 5 minute right at 50

play33:27

and where is 50 the same exact spot the

play33:30

stock failed

play33:32

before it fails again comes all the way

play33:36

down to the low what happened the last

play33:38

one two 3 four five 6 7even eight times

play33:42

it's tested 4850 bounce bounce bounce

play33:45

bounce bounce some bounces are bigger

play33:47

than others but it's bounced the last

play33:48

five six times it's tested what's

play33:51

probably going to happen it's probably

play33:53

going to bounce volume Spike at the

play33:56

bottom retest over here now I am not

play34:00

telling you to necessarily buy this

play34:03

trade I am looking at this and showing

play34:05

you this slide so that you'll understand

play34:08

the

play34:10

expectation the expectation is bounced

play34:14

it's extended super wide I mean look at

play34:16

the size of These Bars compared to the

play34:18

previous bars over here right look at

play34:20

the size of those red bars compared to

play34:22

these red bars these bars are like 5x

play34:24

These Bars these are super wide range in

play34:27

bars then you get a huge volume Spike

play34:29

down low here and it's all happening

play34:31

right at higher time frame 60-minute

play34:34

support where the stock has bounced like

play34:36

five times previously you're going to

play34:38

get a bounce I would rather see you buy

play34:41

this at 4860 even though it only went 15

play34:43

cents or buy that okay now I am not

play34:47

trying to say you would definitely take

play34:49

this or not take this but there you

play34:50

could certainly come up with some

play34:51

reasons I'm trying to get you to read

play34:54

multiple time frames take the 5 minute

play34:56

take take the 60 match them then look

play34:59

for an entry pattern look at what the

play35:01

Market's doing put it all together it's

play35:04

really not that difficult to do I think

play35:07

most people can look at this pink line

play35:08

on the 60 and go yeah there's a lot of

play35:09

support there and then you can look at

play35:11

this and go yeah there's a lot of

play35:12

support there because of the 60

play35:19

right guys find a stock with void on a

play35:22

higher time

play35:24

frame 60 Minute and daily for intraday

play35:27

Traders scan your dollar gainers and

play35:30

your dollar losers or other preferred

play35:33

scans if you have a a trading platform

play35:35

that has a different scan if you use

play35:37

Trader viiew or finviz or whoever you

play35:40

use obviously there's more to this

play35:43

you're going to need to know what a good

play35:44

Gap looks like like the Dell Gap was a

play35:46

nice Gap going to develop a market bias

play35:50

every single morning your goal is to be

play35:53

as accurate as possible and remember

play35:55

your initial bias might change 15

play35:57

minutes into the day the market might

play35:59

throw you a curveball and you may have

play36:01

to be flexible which is why we always

play36:04

put a long and a short list together

play36:06

even if our bias is strong long I still

play36:08

put a short list together if my bias is

play36:11

strong short I'm still putting a long

play36:12

list together prepare for all possible

play36:16

scenarios have a plan B okay from your

play36:21

scanned list above watch and

play36:25

wait

play36:27

for the stock to show you some relative

play36:29

strength relative weakness against the

play36:31

market this can be done on any time

play36:33

frame right I just like the two and the

play36:36

five after finding said stock watch and

play36:39

wait for a

play36:41

pattern take the trade manage in between

play36:44

and don't be an effing

play36:49

idiot roko

play36:54

today one minute Roku

play36:57

one minute

play36:59

Q's Q's put in a wide range green bar

play37:02

little one minute three bar play

play37:04

peekaboo and started just chopping

play37:06

around as they chopped what did Roku do

play37:09

two four 6 eight eight or nine bars into

play37:12

the day two four six eight or nine bars

play37:15

in the day one is basing near the high

play37:17

one is basing near the low one is basing

play37:21

at the high and one is basing at the

play37:24

low that's relative weakness

play37:27

my market bias today was not strong long

play37:30

my market bias was chop

play37:34

choppy if my market bias was strong long

play37:38

maybe I don't take Roku right if my

play37:40

market bias is strong long maybe I don't

play37:43

take Roku but that wasn't my market bias

play37:47

today so I look at it 9065 970 92 stop

play37:53

loss there's the call rokers weer than

play37:56

the market there's the p&l whatever

play38:01

also hold

play38:03

on there's

play38:05

Roku breaking a 15minute trend line at

play38:08

$92 my only concern was this bottoming

play38:11

tail right here right there and that was

play38:13

at like 9040 or something like that

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somewhere 9035 9040 something like that

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okay that was my only real concern why

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because all I needed to get to 90 once

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we got to 90 we take some off and go to

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break even I don't have to worry about

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the $89 pivot for me because once I get

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to my $90 area it's free money lock in a

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th000 bucks go to even hope to make four

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grand and there's your 15

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minute I personally I look at this

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as as easy trading the only thing that

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could have really hurt me here was a

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market breakout an unexpected breakout I

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thought the market would be Cho Choy and

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it was it was bullish choppy at the time

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but then it got weak and then when the

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market got weak Roku just tanked

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right the only thing that's remember

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there are five Market stock market

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events all right when it comes to

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strength and weakness there's extreme

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strength normal average

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strength sideways

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chop normal average weakness and extreme

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weakness those are the five things the

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market can do the only one that really

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concerned me today was extreme strength

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in the cues and I thought that was a

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long shot I did I thought it was a long

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shot to get extreme strength in the cues

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today so I'm willing to take this so it

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goes back to

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this why are you complicating your

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trading so damn

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much and what's the purpose like why why

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do you need to be a hero all the time

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why can't you just take an obvious trade

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and just do the obvious

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thing right it's like I use a basketball

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analogy and maybe it's not a good

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analogy but I think it's a great

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analogy modern day basketball is all

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about three-pointers oh three is more

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than two you see these guys wide open on

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a fast break and what do they do they

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check up and spot check a three the

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basket there's no one in front of you

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everyone's at the other end of the Court

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you just stole the goddamn basketball

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instead of dunking the ball for a

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guaranteed two you're going to take a

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40% chance at a three 100% chance at two

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or a 40% chance at three well I'm sorry

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but in trading I'm taking the guaranteed

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two if you want to take the 40% three go

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for it but I'm taking the guaranteed

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too that's the way I look at it I'm

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playing the percentages I'm playing the

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odds I'll take a little less money for a

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higher

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probability that's it that's

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it you're taking the dopamine right

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that's it you choose how you want to

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trade that's how I choose to

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trade maybe your style is different and

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that's

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okay but these five bullet points are

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pretty much trading in a nutshell

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obviously we have money management

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obviously we have trade management

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obviously we have pre-trade entries

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bottoming tailes topping tailes volume

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Spike support I get it but this is the

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basic outline of good trading it's broad

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I agree but it's the basic outline of

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good trading void on a higher time frame

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Market bias relative strength or

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weakness why gives you flexibility you

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don't have to be perfect with your

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Market call if you take a stock that has

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perfect correlation to the market 10 out

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of 10 correlation the market moves the

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stock moves well guess what if you're

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wrong about the market you're wrong

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about the stock too relative strength

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relative weakness gives you flexibility

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room for mistakes room for error I can

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be a little wrong on my market call but

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if the stock has genuine strength or

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weakness I'm going to be

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okay after finding that stock you watch

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and wait for a pattern then you just

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take it manage in between don't be an

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idiot virtual mic

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drop virtual mic drop get your head out

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of your ass and do it right stop making

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it so complicated okay your ego is only

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going to get you into trouble in this

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business there's just no place for it no

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need for it I don't really have anything

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more to say because if I do I'm going to

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probably explode I'm just I'm watching

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some of the things that people do and I

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just it's like you can lead a horse to

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water but at some point you got to step

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in and drink it you know what I mean and

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I'm not kidding about this this isn't

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like haha trying to be funny or joking

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what I just talked about is the

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difference difference between you going

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to work every day for someone else or

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you working for yourself on your own

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terms at your own time whenever wherever

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you want it's not a joke so you choose

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you want you like your job great no big

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deal you don't then you got a problem on

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your

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hands this is the ultimate level of

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freedom and flexibility very few things

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in life gives you this level of freedom

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and flexibility

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and if you want that you're serious

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about that then you'll heed those five

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bullet points and you'll stop messing

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around you'll just get serious about it

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and just do what's required of you

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consequence system accountability

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partner will help you get there sooner

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I'm Jared Wesley of live Traders we'll

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get back at it again next

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[Music]

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week

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w

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