Budget 2024 : Biggest mistake of the Modi govt? | Complete analysis

Think School
25 Jul 202429:37

Summary

TLDRThe 2024 Indian Union Budget, presented by the Finance Minister, focuses on employment, skilling, MSMEs, farmers, and the middle class. Criticisms include insufficient job creation strategies, increased capital gains tax, and perceived political favoritism in state allocations. The budget also emphasizes sectors like renewable energy, FMCG, and pharmaceuticals, potentially impacting related stocks.

Takeaways

  • 📈 The Finance Minister of India presented the 7th consecutive Union budget for 2024-2025, focusing on four major themes: employment and skilling, MSMEs, farmers and rural development, and the middle class.
  • 💼 The budget aims to facilitate employment, skilling, and opportunities for 4.1 crore youth over a 5-year period with a central outlay of 2 lakh crores, but the speaker criticizes the approach as not addressing the root issue of skill and education.
  • 🏭 The government plans to incentivize job creation in manufacturing and provide support for employers creating additional employment opportunities, with a focus on improving the skill set of freshers.
  • 💡 A new credit guarantee scheme for MSMEs in the manufacturing sector is introduced, along with measures to streamline credit assessment and support businesses at risk of default.
  • 🌱 The budget emphasizes research and new age farming, aiming to introduce 100 new high-yielding climate-resilient varieties of 32 crops to boost agricultural output.
  • 🌳 Support for natural farming is included, with plans to teach 1 crore farmers natural farming techniques and establish 10,000 research centers for necessary inputs.
  • 🚗 The government is bullish on the rural economy, with increased spending on agriculture and rural development, aiming to improve infrastructure and connectivity in villages.
  • 💼 The new tax regime proposes revised personal income tax slabs, potentially reducing the tax burden on salaried employees, but also increases capital gains tax, causing controversy among the middle class.
  • 🏦 The budget shows a reduction in fiscal deficit and a decrease in borrowings as a percentage of revenue, indicating better financial management by the government.
  • 🏛️ Special allocations for states like Andhra Pradesh and Bihar are highlighted, but there is criticism over the perceived neglect of other states like Manipur.

Q & A

  • What was the significance of the 7th consecutive Union budget presented by the Finance Minister of India on 23rd July 2024?

    -The 7th consecutive Union budget presented on 23rd July 2024 was significant as it was the first after the elections and showcased the government's financial plan and priorities for the upcoming fiscal year. It was also notable for being the most consecutive budget speeches by any Finance Minister in India.

  • What are the four major themes the government focused on in the 2024 Union budget?

    -The four major themes the government focused on in the 2024 Union budget are employment and skilling, MSMEs (Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises), farmers and rural development, and the middle class.

  • What is the government's vision for employment and skilling in the 2024 Union budget?

    -The government's vision for employment and skilling in the 2024 Union budget is to facilitate employment, skilling, and opportunities for 4.1 crore youth over a 5-year period with a central outlay of 2 lakh crores.

  • How does the budget address the unemployment situation in India?

    -The budget addresses the unemployment situation by proposing schemes for first-time job entrants, job creation in the manufacturing sector, employer-focused schemes for additional employment opportunities, and setting up working hostels to increase women's participation in the workforce.

  • What are the criticisms regarding the budget's approach to job creation?

    -The criticisms include the argument that the budget's approach to job creation is insufficient and lacks creative ideas for generating more jobs in the economy. Critics also argue that the focus should be on skill and education rather than financial incentives.

  • What is the government's strategy for MSMEs in the 2024 Union budget?

    -The government's strategy for MSMEs includes a credit guarantee scheme, a new assessment model for public sector banks, continued funding for MSMEs at risk of default, reducing the turnover threshold for trade receivables into cash, and setting up export hubs to facilitate international trade.

  • How does the budget plan to support the rural economy and farmers?

    -The budget plans to support the rural economy and farmers by increasing agricultural spending, focusing on research for new age farming, promoting natural farming, providing connectivity to villages under the Pradhanmantri Gram Sadak Yojana, and introducing high-yielding climate-resilient varieties of crops.

  • What are the tax changes proposed in the 2024 Union budget?

    -The tax changes proposed in the 2024 Union budget include revised personal income tax slabs aimed at reducing the tax burden on salaried employees, an increase in the standard deduction, and an increase in short-term and long-term capital gains tax.

  • What is the controversy regarding state allocations in the 2024 Union budget?

    -The controversy regarding state allocations in the 2024 Union budget is the perceived political favoritism towards Andhra Pradesh and Bihar, with critics arguing that other states like Manipur, which are facing financial crises, have not received significant mention or funding.

  • How does the budget address the fiscal deficit and financial management of India?

    -The budget addresses the fiscal deficit and financial management by reducing the fiscal deficit from 99.2% post-COVID to 4.9% in the coming year, decreasing the revenue from borrowings, and reducing the debt to GDP ratio.

  • What sectors are expected to benefit from the 2024 Union budget?

    -Sectors expected to benefit from the 2024 Union budget include renewable energy, FMCG (Fast-Moving Consumer Goods), gold and silver companies, and the pharmaceutical industry.

Outlines

00:00

📈 Union Budget 2024: Key Themes and Criticisms

The Indian Finance Minister presented the 7th consecutive Union Budget for 2024-2025, focusing on four major themes: employment and skilling, MSMEs, farmers and rural development, and the middle class. The budget has been criticized for lacking substantial job creation strategies, favoring certain states for political gains, and causing unrest due to tax implications. It has been noted for not addressing the financial crisis in Manipur and Kerala and for the lack of significant benefits for the middle class. The budget also includes two major announcements regarding the new tax regime, which has been met with skepticism.

05:01

💼 Employment and Skilling Initiatives: Doubts and Opportunities

The budget proposes to facilitate employment, skilling, and opportunities for 4.1 crore youth with an outlay of 2 lakh crores over five years. However, the effectiveness of the budget allocation is questioned due to concerns about the skill gap in the workforce. Business owners argue that the focus should be on improving skill and education rather than financial incentives. The government's plans for upskilling 20 lakh youth in collaboration with state governments and industries are seen as a positive step towards addressing the skill gap.

10:02

🏭 Boosting MSMEs: Credit Schemes and Export Promotion

The budget showcases a comprehensive approach to support MSMEs, which are crucial to India's economy. Key measures include a credit guarantee scheme for the manufacturing sector, a new credit assessment model for public sector banks, continued funding for MSMEs at risk of default, and a reduction in the turnover threshold for trade receivables. Additionally, the government plans to set up export hubs to facilitate international trade services for MSMEs, aiming to address credit and cash flow issues.

15:04

🌾 Rural Economy and Agriculture: Increased Spending and New Initiatives

The budget allocates significant funding to the rural economy and agriculture, with a focus on research and new-age farming. The government plans to introduce 100 new high-yielding, climate-resilient crop varieties and support natural farming practices. Infrastructure development under the Pradhan Mantri Gram Sadak Yojana is also emphasized, with connectivity to be provided to 25,000 villages. However, the effectiveness of these policies will depend on their implementation.

20:06

💼 Tax Reforms: Middle Class Implications and Capital Gains Tax Hike

The budget introduces revised personal income tax slabs aimed at reducing the tax burden on salaried employees. However, the middle class expresses concern over increased capital gains taxes, which could erode profits from the stock market. The new tax regime has been criticized for leading to tax arbitrage, and the debate continues over whether the middle class will truly benefit from these changes.

25:07

🏢 Financial Management and State Allocations: Fiscal Deficit and Political Favoritism

The government's financial management is praised for reducing the fiscal deficit and decreasing the reliance on borrowings. However, the budget's political implications are highlighted by special allocations for Bihar and Andhra Pradesh, perceived as favoritism towards alliance partners. Critics argue that other states in need, such as Manipur, have been overlooked, raising questions about equitable distribution of funds.

📊 Sector-Specific Allocations: Opportunities for Growth and Investment

The budget presents opportunities for growth in specific sectors, with a focus on renewable energy, rural economy, and pharmaceuticals. Power companies, FMCG firms, and companies involved in gold and silver are expected to benefit from the budgetary allocations. The removal of customs duties on certain cancer medications and an increase in the pharmaceutical industry's production-linked incentive (PLI) scheme are also noted. However, the speaker disclaims any investment advice and encourages further research for market understanding.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Union Budget

The Union Budget in India is an annual financial statement presented by the Finance Minister, outlining the government's revenue and expenditure for the coming fiscal year. In the video, the presenter discusses the 7th consecutive budget presented by the Finance Minister, highlighting its significance and the various sectors it impacts.

💡Employment and Skilling

Employment and Skilling refers to the government's initiatives aimed at creating job opportunities and providing necessary skills training to the youth. The video mentions a vision to facilitate employment, skilling, and opportunities for 4.1 crore youth over a 5-year period with a central outlay of 2 lakh crores.

💡MSMEs

MSMEs (Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises) are crucial for India's economic development, contributing significantly to GDP and employment. The video discusses the government's focus on MSMEs in the budget, highlighting schemes for credit access, loan incentives, and support for exports.

💡Rural Development

Rural Development in the context of the budget refers to the government's strategies to improve the economic and social conditions of rural areas. The video mentions increased spending on agriculture and rural infrastructure, aiming to boost productivity and support farmers.

💡Middle Class

The Middle Class is a significant demographic in India, often targeted by government policies for economic stability and growth. The video discusses the budget's impact on the middle class, particularly in terms of tax benefits and the government's strategy to address their concerns.

💡Tax Regime

Tax Regime refers to the system of taxation in place, which can vary in terms of rates, exemptions, and deductions. The video delves into the new tax regime proposed in the budget, explaining the revised income tax slabs and their potential impact on taxpayers.

💡Capital Gains

Capital Gains is the profit made from the sale of an asset, such as stocks or real estate, and is subject to taxation. The video discusses changes in the capital gains tax rates in the budget, noting an increase from 10% to 12.5% for long-term gains, which has been criticized for eroding profits for the middle class.

💡Fiscal Deficit

Fiscal Deficit is the gap between a government's revenue and its expenditure, financed through borrowings. The video praises the government's efforts in reducing the fiscal deficit from 99.2% to 4.9%, indicating improved financial management.

💡State Allocation

State Allocation refers to the distribution of funds by the central government to various states for development projects. The video highlights the budgetary allocations for states like Andhra Pradesh and Bihar, suggesting political favoritism and neglect of other states like Manipur.

💡Renewable Energy

Renewable Energy is a key focus in the budget, with the government aiming to meet the target of 550 GW renewable energy capacity by 2030. The video mentions the government's investment in solar energy and the potential benefits for companies in the renewable energy sector.

💡Pharmaceutical Industry

The Pharmaceutical Industry is highlighted in the budget with the removal of customs duties on certain cancer medications and an increase in the production-linked incentive (PLI) scheme. The video suggests that this could benefit pharmaceutical companies and promote the domestic industry.

Highlights

The Finance Minister of India presented her 7th consecutive Union budget for 2024-2025.

The budget has caused chaos in the country due to its implications post-elections.

The government's response to unemployment is criticized as insufficient.

Critics claim the BJP has copied policies from the Congress Manifesto.

Predictions of a slowdown in the Indian stock market due to increased capital gains.

Allegations of political favoritism towards Andra Pradesh and Bihar in the budget allocations.

Manipur and Kerala suffered a financial crisis with no significant mention in the budget.

Middle class dissatisfaction due to increased taxes.

Introduction of a new tax regime with potential negative impacts.

Kyros, an online business school, is offering scholarships and practical learning opportunities.

Four major themes of the budget: employment and skilling, MSMEs, farmers and rural development, and the middle class.

Government's vision to facilitate employment for 4.1 crore youth with a 5-year plan.

Critique of the budget's approach to skilling and education for freshers.

Announcements of new initiatives for skilling programs and educational loans.

Support for MSMEs with credit guarantee schemes and loan incentives.

Rural economy and farmer-focused allocations with increased spending on agriculture and rural development.

Tax regime revisions and debates over the benefits to the middle class.

Changes in tax slabs and rates with potential tax savings for individuals.

Increase in capital gains tax rates causing discontent among the middle class.

India's financial management improvements with reduced fiscal deficit and debt ratios.

Political allocations to states like Bihar and Andhra Pradesh amidst claims of bias.

Sectors expected to benefit from the budget, including power, FMCG, jewelry, and pharmaceuticals.

Transcripts

play00:01

hi everybody on 23rd of July 2024 the

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Finance Minister of India presented her

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7th consecutive Union budget it is the

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big day today India's Union budget is

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out I present the budget for 2425 it was

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her seventh consecutive budget speech

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the most by any Finance Minister in this

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country we need to focus on four major

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curs and since it's the budget right

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after the elections it has caused an

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absolute chaos in the country this model

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shall showcase vas b vasat b in a growth

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trajectory the response of the

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government is too little and will have

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only little impact on the grave

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unemployment situation very little in

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terms of any good creative ideas when it

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comes to generating more jobs in our

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economy in the last 10 15 years budget

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has not been for the middle class

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while our ex Finance Minister P chinam

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said that the BJP has copied a few

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policies from the Congress Manifesto

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ntin Kut has predicted a Slowdown in the

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Indian stock market due to the rise of

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capital gains on top of that many

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ministers from various states have come

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forward to say that BJP has

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strategically favored Andra Pradesh and

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Bihar for political gains in these

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states

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[Music]

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at the same time while Manipur and

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Kerala have suffered deep financial

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crisis they haven't even got a

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significant mention in the budget and

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lastly the middle class seems to be

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enraged because of taxes taxes and taxes

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I have two announcements to make for

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those opting for the new tax regime two

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tax regime is a bad idea we pay taxes

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when we earn money when we spend money

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and even when we invest money wherever

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we go whatever we do the government has

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one hand in our back pocket so as usual

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in this episode today we are going to

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cut through the chaos and jargons to

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help you break down the union budget of

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2024 in such a way that in simple

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language you can understand what is

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bjp's strategy with this year's budget

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which sectors are expected to get the

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biggest boost due to this year's budget

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are there any changes in tax benefit for

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the taxpayers of India and most

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importantly what are the biggest

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criticisms of this year's

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budget this video is brought to you by

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Kyros people while building things cool

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I have had the privilege to meet and

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learn from brilliant Business Leaders

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and if you're someone who wants to

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with inspiring leaders Kyros is here to

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backed by top investors like seoa where

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the best Founders come to teach you

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business kyos is selecting 50 extremely

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ambitious individuals for their next

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batch the best part is that they are

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offering a 40% scholarship to eligible

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candidates so click the link in the

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description to join their info session

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to know more also kyo's alumini includes

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make it a perfect fit for entrepreneurs

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and working professionals Kyo offers two

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the other in marketing this six-month

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program is built by world-class leaders

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and starts with a 3-day offline

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induction followed by worldwide

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catch-ups every month finally it

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concludes with an graduation ceremony

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their batch starts in September so join

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this free info session using the link

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the description to know

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more people the first thing that we need

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to understand is the vision and major

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themes that the government has touched

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upon in this year's budget this year

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there are four four major themes

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employment and Skilling msmes farmers

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and rural development and the middle

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class let's start with

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employment in this theme the vision of

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the government is to facilitate

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employment Skilling and opportunities

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for 4.1 CR youth over a 5-year period

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with a central outlay of 2 lakh crores

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and here's where as a business owner I

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feel like it's a complete waste of money

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now usually you must have noticed that I

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often refrain from giving my own

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opinions but this time since I'm a

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stakeholder in this ecosystem I will

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tell you why this is useless so let's

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dive in firstly we have a budget

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allocated for first timers so if you're

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stepping into a formal sector job for

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the first time and you are registered

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under the employee Provident fund

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organization or epfo then under this

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scheme the government will give you a

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one month wage in all formal sectors in

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three installments up to 15,000 rupees

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this scheme is designed to benefit 2.1

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CR youth all across the country number

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two is job creation in manufacturing

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this is an incentive for both employee

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and the employer so if the employee is a

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fresher in the manufacturing sector then

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an incentive will be provided to both

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the employe and the employer for the

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first four years this incentive is again

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expected to benefit 30 lakh youth

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entering the workforce and then there is

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employer focused scheme under this

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scheme If an employer creates additional

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employment opportun within a salary of 1

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lakh rupees then the employers will be

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reimbursed up to 3,000 rupees for 2

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years towards the epfo contribution or

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employee Provident fund organization

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contribution and this scheme is supposed

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to give reimbursement for 50 lakh new

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jobs and lastly to increase women's

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participation in the workforce the

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government has decided to set up working

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hostels in collaboration with the

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industry now all of this looks fantastic

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right but I'll tell you why this is

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useless talk to any business owner and

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they will tell you that the reason why

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they don't recruit freshers is not

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because they don't want to pay the

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freshers but because most of the

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freshers in India are useless unskilled

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and unemployable so the problem is not

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money it is skill and education and I

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know at least a dozen business owners in

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my own Circle who would happily pay a

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person 6 lakh rupees perom even if she's

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a Dropout the only catch over here is

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that they need to have the skill set to

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work at that particular job because when

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you pay somebody as a business owner it

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is not an expense it is an investment

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because we all know that a good talent

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will easily generate 200% of their

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salary in revenue for the company but

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the problem over here is that most of

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these freshers are useless and unskilled

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so this 3,000 rupees or a one month

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salary up to 15,000 rupees is of no use

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at all and instead of spending 2 lakh

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crores into this useless scheme the

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government must invest 2 lakh crores

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into incentivizing colleges to either

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hire high grade professors or we can use

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this money to improve our institutes and

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have better infrastructure so these

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super skilled professors and

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infrastructure together could then

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impart great skills and generate a high

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quality Workforce and the employment

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will be a result of a high quality

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Workforce and by the way on this note

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people we at things School are looking

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to hire 10 video editors in our Mumbai

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and Pune offices with a salary range of

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3 lakh rupes to 12 lakh rupees perom So

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based on your skills if you're an intern

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you will get a 25,000 rupes Style if

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you're a pro then you can get up to 12

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lakh rupees perom in salary so if you're

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interested please send your portfolio

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with a location preference to Talent

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atate theeth school.com and it doesn't

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really matter whether you are a Dropout

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or a PhD if you can edit videos well you

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can get a job at think school anyways

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let's move on with the budget people the

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government's own economic survey has

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predicted that India needs at least 7.8

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million jobs in the nonfarm sector over

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the next 7 years to keep up with the

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demo graphic changes and this budget

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seems to be a direct response to it and

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here's where education and upskilling

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comes in and this is what I'm happy

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about there are two major announcements

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over here number one the government will

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launch a Skilling program in

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collaboration with the state governments

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and the industry to upskill 20 lakh

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youth over the next 5 years under this

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program 1,000 industrial training

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institutes will be upgraded for outcome

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orientation and eventually new courses

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will be introduced as per the skills

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need needed in the industry secondly

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more loans will be made available for

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educational purposes so loans up to 7.5

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lakh rupes will be given to 25,000

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students each year with a guarantee from

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a government promoted fund and not just

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that loans up to 10 lakh Rupees will be

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given for higher education in domestic

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institutes this will be done in the form

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of E voucher to 1 lakh students with an

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annual interest subvention of 3% in

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simple words what is interest subvention

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you will get a 3% discount on your

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interest so if the interest on your loan

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is 10% you will have to pay just 7% if

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this is very very clear to you let's

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move on to the second theme and that is

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msmes and here's where the government

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has done a fantastic job in the budget

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for those who don't know msmes are of

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utmost importance for the economic

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development of our country there are 6

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CR Ms units in India employing over 11

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CR people and msmes are so so important

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to our economy that they account for 30%

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of our GDP and 50 % of our exports but

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the problem over here is that among the

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64 million msmes in our country only 14%

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of them have access to credit as in

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loans and financing so the first scheme

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for msmes is the credit guarantee scheme

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under this scheme msmes in the

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manufacturing sector will get term loans

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for the purchase of machinery and

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equipment without collateral or third

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party guarantee and the entrepreneurs

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who have paid back their previous loans

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they will be eligible for another loan

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cherry on the cake for these people who

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have paid back their loans their limit

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for this loan has been increased from 10

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lakh Rupees to 20 lakh rupees under the

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mudra loan scheme secondly to make

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credit assessment process streamlined

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the Finance Minister has announced a new

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assessment model for public sector Banks

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so public sector banks are supposed to

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build in-house capabilities to assess

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msmes instead of relying on third party

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assessment what will this do because of

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bringing this operation inhouse even

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those m mmes which do not have any

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formal accounting system they can be

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checked for loan eligibility eventually

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we can increase our credit accessibility

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to more and more msmes thirdly the msmes

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which are at the risk of default they

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will get continued funding from the

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banks even during their stress period

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And this is being done with the vision

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that the msme sector of India should not

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struggle during Market shocks again this

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is a wonderful move by the government

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fourthly the turnover threshold for

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converting trade receivables Into Cash

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has reduced from 500 cres to 250 crores

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and I know this sounds complex so I'll

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explain it in simple words in simple

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words if you have a company with a

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turnover of 500 crores and your company

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is about to get 100 crores from your

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customers as receivables then you can

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give the trade receivable note to the

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bank and the bank will give you 100 CR

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rupees today itself and the customers

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will actually supposed to pay you in 3

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months they will now pay the bank in the

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next 3 months this is being done with

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the visual that our medium skill

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businesses should not face a cash crunch

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while the global market is booming so

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again it's a great move by the

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government so earlier while this

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turnover threshold was 500 crores now it

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has been reduced to 250 crores so even

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smaller companies with a turnover of 250

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crores can take benefit of this scheme

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and because of this now an additional

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7,000 msmes will be able to take

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advantage of this Arrangement and lastly

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because msmes account for 50% % of our

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exports the government wants to support

play12:02

them to increase their exports even

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further this is why an export Hub will

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be set up all across the country to

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facilitate trade and Export services for

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the msmes in the international market

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and this is perhaps the perfect solution

play12:15

for all the pain points of the msmes

play12:18

which usually revolve around lack of

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credit and lack of cash flow and this

play12:22

brings us to the next theme and that is

play12:23

rural economy and the

play12:26

farmers here if you remember there has

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been a big uproar in the country that

play12:31

the NDA doesn't really care about

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Farmers but the truth is that this time

play12:35

the budget has an extensive allocation

play12:38

just for the rural economy and the

play12:39

farmers if you see the budget the

play12:41

agricultural spending has now increased

play12:43

to 1.52 lak crores Which is higher by

play12:47

11,318 crores from last year similarly

play12:50

rural spending has been hiked by over

play12:52

10% to 2.66 lakh crores but the question

play12:57

over here is where is this money going

play12:59

and how is it going to make a difference

play13:00

to the rural economy well firstly the

play13:03

government has focused on research and

play13:05

New Age farming so in this budget the

play13:07

government wants to focus on increasing

play13:09

productivity and to develop climate

play13:12

resilient varieties of crops for example

play13:14

in India rice and wheat have been

play13:16

affected because of climate change and

play13:18

this is affecting the farmers income so

play13:20

instead of being over reliant on wheat

play13:21

and rice Farmers now need to adapt to

play13:24

changing weather patterns and grow new

play13:26

varieties of crops this is the reason

play13:28

why the government is investing in

play13:29

research to find new ways to increase

play13:32

productivity and to focus on products

play13:33

like millets which are climate resilient

play13:36

so in this budget the Finance Minister

play13:38

has announced that the government will

play13:40

introduce 100 new high yiing climate

play13:43

resilient varieties of 32 crops to boost

play13:46

the agricultural output of India so if

play13:48

Farmers switch to these crops they are

play13:50

bound to benefit secondly the budget

play13:52

also supports natural farming and under

play13:55

this initiative 1 CR farmers will be

play13:58

taught natural Farm fing and they will

play14:00

be supported by certification and

play14:02

branding over the next 2 years and

play14:05

10,000 research centers will be

play14:07

established to provide necessary inputs

play14:09

for natural farming so if you or your

play14:12

friends are engaged in natural farming

play14:14

do check out the government websites to

play14:15

see how you can benefit and when it

play14:17

comes to infrastructure under the

play14:19

pradhanmantri grah sadak yoga some

play14:22

25,000 villages will be provided

play14:24

connectivity now all of this put

play14:26

together it looks fantastic on the

play14:27

outside but only the implement mentation

play14:29

of these policies will tell us if it is

play14:31

effective or is it just another

play14:33

announcement but you know what guys I am

play14:35

extremely happy because rural

play14:37

development and agriculture they both

play14:38

have received the second and third

play14:40

highest funding just after defense which

play14:42

is a great thing and this means that the

play14:44

government really intends to go bullish

play14:46

on Rural Development so this will

play14:49

automatically increase our per capita

play14:50

income and it will boost the number of

play14:52

taxpayers if this is clear to you let's

play14:55

move on to the hottest subject of the

play14:57

budget which is tax tax and tax in the

play15:00

new tax regime the tax rate structure is

play15:04

proposed to be revised as follows income

play15:07

tax personal income tax income tax

play15:10

India's Finance Minister Nala sitaraman

play15:12

has announced revised personal income

play15:14

tax slabs that are aimed at reducing the

play15:16

tax burden on the salaried employees two

play15:19

tax regime is a bad idea it will lead to

play15:23

tax arbitration some taxes have also

play15:26

been hiked like the long-term capital

play15:29

gains tax which in fact was a surprise

play15:31

move people in an effort to provide some

play15:34

relief to taxpayers and to increase the

play15:35

number of taxpayers in our country the

play15:38

government has made some changes in the

play15:39

tax Labs so if you look at our tax labs

play15:42

this is what the new tax Labs look like

play15:44

and here's what the revised new tax Labs

play15:46

look like now the biggest debate over

play15:48

here is whether the middle class is

play15:50

going to benefit from this or not so

play15:53

let's take an example and understand

play15:54

this better let's say Shashank is a

play15:56

salaried employee with an income of 20

play15:58

lakhs perom here's how he's taxed in the

play16:00

revised regime from 0 to three lakhs

play16:02

Shashank would pay nothing from 3 to 7

play16:05

lakhs he would pay 5% so it will be 5%

play16:09

of 4 lakhs equal to 20,000 rupes

play16:12

similarly from 7 to 10 lakhs he would

play16:14

pay 10% so 10% of 3 lakhs is 30,000

play16:17

rupes then from 10 to 12 lakhs he would

play16:20

pay 15% which is 15% of 2 lakh rupes

play16:23

equal to 30,000 rupes and then from 12

play16:27

to 15 lakhs he would pay 20% % which is

play16:29

20% of 3 lakhs equal to 60,000 rupes and

play16:33

from 15 to 20 lakhs he would pay the

play16:36

usual 30% which is 1.5 lakh rupees so in

play16:40

total shashan pays 20,000 plus 30,000

play16:43

plus 30,000 plus 60,000 plus 1.5 lakh

play16:46

rupees which comes to 2.9 lakh rupees

play16:50

and if you calculate and compare it to

play16:51

the new tax regime his total tax

play16:53

liability would have been 3 lakh rupees

play16:55

perom so for Shashank this is a tax tax

play16:59

saving of 10,000 rupees now I know that

play17:02

this does not seem like a very big

play17:03

amount but this is not all there is also

play17:06

something called cess and search charge

play17:08

so let's start with cess what is cess

play17:11

cess is a tax on tax so cess is levied

play17:14

by the government generally for

play17:16

promoting health and education for

play17:18

example sess on education is used to pay

play17:20

for students midday meals or to pay the

play17:22

salaries of employees in government

play17:23

schools and colleges so it's a

play17:25

percentage of the existing tax that you

play17:27

are paying instead of the tax on the

play17:29

income generated so it's called tax on

play17:32

tax for example if you have an income of

play17:34

1,000 rupees on which tax is 300 rupees

play17:37

then CES would be 4% of 300 equal to 12

play17:41

rupees so it's an added tax then we come

play17:44

to deductions deductions are nothing but

play17:47

tax cuts that the government gives you

play17:49

if you invest your money into sectors

play17:51

that are beneficial for you and the

play17:52

country this includes investing in

play17:54

healthcare housing retirement savings

play17:57

and many more as mentioned on the the

play17:59

screen so if you spend or invest money

play18:01

in these instruments the government will

play18:03

not tax you for that amount of money but

play18:06

for the Simplicity of this example let's

play18:08

take the main deduction for all salaried

play18:10

employees which is standard deduction

play18:13

this is a flat deduction from the total

play18:15

salary earned by the employee in a

play18:17

particular Financial year and this is

play18:19

done to reduce the taxable income now

play18:21

this limit used to be 50,000 Rupees

play18:23

until last year but now it has been

play18:24

increased to 75,000 rupees so now

play18:27

Shashank will be taxed not at 20 lakh

play18:29

rupees but at 20 lakh minus 75,000 which

play18:34

comes to 19.25 lakh rupees so this

play18:37

brings his tax down to 2H 67,500 rupees

play18:41

from 2.9 lakh rupees and here's where we

play18:44

add cess cess in India is 4% on income

play18:47

tax amount so 4% Off 2 lakh 67,500

play18:51

rupees plus 2H 67,500 R is equal to

play18:56

10,700 plus 2 lakh 7,500 rupees equal to

play19:01

2 78,2 R so if you see this is the

play19:05

amount of money that Shashank has to pay

play19:07

which is 2 lak 78,2 rupees and if

play19:11

Shashank was earning 10 lakh Rupees then

play19:13

under the new regime after the standard

play19:15

deduction and cess he would be paying

play19:18

54,600 rupees but under the revised

play19:21

regime it would be4 24,200 R so that's a

play19:24

difference of 10,400 R and if his income

play19:28

is 15 lakh rupes then he would be paying

play19:30

1ak 45,600 rupes under the new regime

play19:34

and just 1.3 lakh rupes under the

play19:37

revised regime that's again a difference

play19:39

of 15,600 rupees so this way without

play19:42

counting says on an average the revised

play19:45

tax regime is likely to save 17,500

play19:48

rupees per person per year this is a

play19:51

perspective of the pro government

play19:53

opinion but the argument over here is

play19:55

that even though this tax has been

play19:57

reduced the capital gains has actually

play19:59

been increased for those who don't know

play20:01

capital gains again it's pretty simple

play20:04

if you buy a stock for 10,000 rupees and

play20:06

you sell it in the same year at 12,000

play20:08

rupees you will incur a short-term

play20:11

capital gains on this 2,000 rupes of

play20:13

profit that you have generated and if

play20:15

you sell the stock after 1 year then you

play20:18

will incur a long-term capital gain tax

play20:20

on this 2,000 Rupees of profit and when

play20:23

it comes to other assets like house land

play20:25

gold and silver here's a table that

play20:26

tells us the exact holding period for

play20:29

the asset to qualify for short-term

play20:30

capital gains and for long-term capital

play20:32

gains and in this year's budget the

play20:35

short-term capital gains has been

play20:37

increased from 15% to 20% and long-term

play20:40

capital gains has been increased from

play20:42

10% to

play20:43

12.5% this is one of the reasons why the

play20:46

middle class of India is extremely angry

play20:49

because while the government is meagerly

play20:50

reducing the income tax these capital

play20:52

gains taxes will then erode The Profit

play20:55

that the Indian middle class could

play20:56

generate in the stock market of India

play20:58

and and because there is no right or

play20:59

wrong in this you tell me in the

play21:01

comments if you find this to be better

play21:03

or worse for you this is the second part

play21:05

of the budget which is taxes and the

play21:07

middle class appro if this is very clear

play21:10

to you let's come to a very very

play21:12

critical part of the budget which is

play21:14

India's financial management here's why

play21:17

ladies and gentlemen again the

play21:18

government has done a fantastic job in

play21:20

the past 5 years if you see this graph

play21:22

our fiscal deficit is reducing from

play21:25

99.2% postco to just 4.9 9% in the

play21:29

coming year for those who don't know the

play21:31

meaning of fiscal deficit is very simple

play21:33

if the government generates 100 rupes in

play21:36

tax and non tax revenue but spends 120

play21:39

rupees then this 20 rupees of extra

play21:41

spending needs to be funded through

play21:43

bonds and Loans so this 20 Rupees is

play21:46

called fiscal deficit so if your GDP is

play21:50

200 cror and deficit is 20 crores then

play21:52

fiscal deficit as a percentage of GDP is

play21:55

20 divided 200 into 100 which is 10%

play21:59

so the lesser the fiscal deficit the

play22:01

better it is for the country and if you

play22:02

look at the numbers in 2021 our economy

play22:05

was in a disastrous State our fiscal

play22:07

deficit shot up to

play22:09

99.2% but now we are reaching an amazing

play22:12

figure of just 4.9% which is excellent

play22:15

ideally this number is supposed to be 3%

play22:17

of our GDP but we're getting closer and

play22:19

closer secondly the biggest source of

play22:21

revenue for the government is borrowings

play22:24

so 27% of our Revenue comes from just

play22:26

borrowings now although this sounds

play22:28

sounds scary on the outside what you

play22:30

need to know is that last year this

play22:32

number was 34% so we have significantly

play22:35

reduced our revenue from borrowings

play22:37

because of which it's a great thing for

play22:39

our country similarly if you look at

play22:41

other numbers our debt to GDP ratio has

play22:43

gone down from 89% in 2021 to 81% in

play22:47

2024 similarly our external debt to GDP

play22:50

ratio has gone down from 21.2% in 2021

play22:54

to 18.7% in 2024 so we are doing a great

play22:58

job with managing our finances if this

play23:01

is very clear to you let's come to the

play23:02

next and perhaps the most important

play23:04

political part of the budget which is

play23:06

about State allocation and here's where

play23:08

the appr is about Andhra Pradesh and

play23:10

Bihar getting a political benefit due to

play23:12

the BJP favoring its Alliance the budget

play23:15

made special allocations of Bihar and

play23:17

Andra Pradesh Andra Pradesh chief

play23:18

minister Chandra Babu naidu's dream

play23:20

project of building a new capital for

play23:22

the state amarati got a major boost the

play23:25

government has proposed 26,000 crors for

play23:27

various Road projects in biar and 21,000

play23:30

crores have been reserved for power

play23:32

projects opposition ranks across the

play23:34

party actually lebl this an attempt to

play23:38

save the

play23:48

government I think this budget should be

play23:52

called to tell you about it here's what

play23:54

the government has proposed for Andra

play23:56

Pradesh up to 15,000 crores will will

play23:58

support multilateral funding for Andhra

play24:00

Pradesh New Capital which is in line

play24:02

with the Andra Pradesh reorganization

play24:05

act secondly financing will be provided

play24:07

to complete the poam irrigation project

play24:10

which is crucial for the state and its

play24:12

Farmers thirdly grants will be given to

play24:14

the backward regions of Andra Pradesh to

play24:16

reduce disparities and promote balanced

play24:18

growth and lastly funds will be

play24:20

allocated for infrastructure such as

play24:22

water power Railways and roads in key

play24:24

industrial areas of Andhra Pradesh which

play24:26

will help the vishakapatnam Chennai

play24:27

Industrial Corridor and the Hyderabad

play24:29

bangaluru industrial Corridor similarly

play24:32

in Bihar 26,000 crores will be allocated

play24:35

for road projects 21,000 crores will be

play24:37

year marked for power projects and the

play24:40

government votes to support Temple

play24:41

economies in multiple areas all across

play24:43

Bihar on top of that the central

play24:45

government will Aid in developing an

play24:47

industrial node at GAA which is a part

play24:50

of the Amritsar Kolkata industrial

play24:52

coridor and lastly the government will

play24:54

expedite the request from Bihar for

play24:56

external assistance from the multi

play24:58

lateral development Banks so is this

play25:00

good absolutely yes there is no problem

play25:03

with the center allocating funds for

play25:04

Bihar and Andra Pradesh at all because

play25:06

it is after all our own people who will

play25:08

benefit from it however critics point

play25:11

out that while Bihar and Andra Pradesh

play25:13

have been given preference Manipur is

play25:16

also struggling a lot due to violence

play25:17

and communal unrest and this has been

play25:19

happening for the past 1 1 and a half

play25:21

years but even then there was nothing

play25:23

significant for Manipur now the argument

play25:26

here is that NDA is doing this to favor

play25:28

the their alliance with nitish Kumar in

play25:30

Bihar and Chandra Babu Naidu in Andra

play25:32

Pradesh so while it is great that these

play25:34

states are getting funding it is equally

play25:36

important to give special allocations

play25:38

for States like Manipur which is

play25:40

currently in a pathetic condition if

play25:42

this is very very clear to you let's

play25:44

come to the macro part of the budget

play25:45

which is about the sectors that the

play25:47

government is bullish on and why is this

play25:49

important it is important because the

play25:51

government is the Godfather of the

play25:53

market and if they are bullish on some

play25:56

sectors the companies in these sectors

play25:58

will see a massive growth including your

play26:01

own company if you are in one of these

play26:03

sectors so this is a wealth of

play26:05

opportunity that the government is

play26:07

presenting to yourself in the form of

play26:08

budget allocation so the question over

play26:10

here is which are the companies and

play26:11

sectors that will benefit from this

play26:13

budget and which are the stocks that you

play26:15

need to put on your watch list but

play26:16

before we move on with the segment guys

play26:18

I just have to let you know that I am

play26:19

not a se- registered investment adviser

play26:22

and nothing of what I'm telling you is

play26:23

an investment advice everything is meant

play26:26

to be used for educational purposes only

play26:28

this is because I believe that one of

play26:30

the best ways to do market research

play26:32

about a particular industry is to study

play26:34

the public listed companies to study the

play26:36

annual reports and see how these stock

play26:38

Ms are happening because these stock

play26:40

movements are cues to help you

play26:42

understand the waves in the market if

play26:44

this is clear to you let's move ahead

play26:47

people the first set of companies that

play26:48

are expected to benefit from this budget

play26:50

are the power companies because

play26:52

renewable energy is a key theme in the

play26:54

budget and the government is very

play26:56

bullish to meet the target of 5 500 gaw

play26:59

renewable energy capacity by 2030 so

play27:02

6,250 crores of government money is

play27:04

going into suar mu BG scheme so keep an

play27:08

eye on solar stocks like Vari adani

play27:10

green energy and insulation energy and

play27:12

more importantly if you're in the Solar

play27:14

industry do keep an eye on your value

play27:16

chain so that you can understand the

play27:18

opportunities in the value chain better

play27:20

and then cater to those opportunities in

play27:22

such a way that eventually you can gain

play27:24

more profit from it moving on secondly

play27:27

since the government is spending a lot

play27:28

on the rural economy of India it is

play27:30

expected to raise the income of poor and

play27:32

middle class eventually it would

play27:33

increase consumption and then benefit

play27:36

the fmcg companies of India so keep an

play27:38

eye on ITC and godr consumers thirdly we

play27:42

saw a reduction in customs duty on gold

play27:44

and silver which is again expected to

play27:46

benefit companies like Titan truan Das

play27:48

beamg zavi and senko gold India and

play27:51

lastly the government has removed custom

play27:54

duties from three cancer medications and

play27:56

they've increased the pl on Pharm

play27:58

matical industry from 1,200 crores last

play28:01

year to

play28:02

2,143 crores this year so keep an eye on

play28:05

companies like astrazenica India Sia and

play28:08

Sun Pharma these are the most important

play28:11

points that we believe were the

play28:12

highlights of the budget so long story

play28:14

short firstly employment allocation to

play28:16

me seems like a waste of money but when

play28:18

it comes to budget allocation for

play28:20

Education Loans those are great secondly

play28:23

msme allocation is absolutely amazing

play28:25

and it is the need of the hour third

play28:28

thirdly when it comes to taxes you tell

play28:30

me if you find it to be better or worse

play28:32

and when it comes to capital gains

play28:34

according to me it's definitely not a

play28:35

good thing fourthly allocation for

play28:37

Andhra Pradesh and Bihar is not a

play28:39

problem at all but the ignorance of

play28:41

other states like Manipur is a big big

play28:43

problem especially Manipur because this

play28:46

state has gone through horrendous times

play28:47

in the past one and a half years and

play28:49

when it comes to budget allocation for

play28:51

sectors I don't have the necessary

play28:53

qualification or expertise to comment on

play28:55

it so here's where I would just trust

play28:57

the government and they in tank because

play28:59

they know their job better this is what

play29:01

we have to say about the highlights of

play29:03

the budget of

play29:04

2024 for the rest of the information I

play29:07

will attach docs in the description so

play29:09

that you can educate yourself and

play29:11

understand the budget better that's all

play29:13

from my side of today guys if you learn

play29:14

something viable please make sure to hit

play29:16

the like button in aut make guy Baba

play29:17

happy and for more such insightful

play29:19

business and political case studies

play29:21

please subscribe to our Channel thank

play29:22

you so much for watching I will see you

play29:24

in the next one bye-bye

play29:28

n

play29:34

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Etiquetas Relacionadas
Budget 2024India FinanceEmploymentSkillingMSMEsRural DevelopmentTax ReformsCapital GainsState AllocationsEconomic Growth
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