The Only Strategy I'm using in 2025 (Live Trade Results)

Summary

This video showcases a trader's simple yet highly effective strategy, based on candle behavior and precise timing. With an 85% win rate developed over five years of trading, the strategy focuses on understanding candle movement in relation to the previous candle's close, particularly in the first 15 minutes of each hourly candle. The trader emphasizes trading high-probability setups, using data-driven insights and sharing trades with a community for accountability. With a clear focus on consistency and adaptation to market conditions, this approach enables steady wins and avoids perfectionism.

Takeaways

• 😀 Candle behavior is crucial in predicting market movements, focusing on how each candle moves relative to the previous one.
• 😀 Timing plays a key role in the strategy, particularly in the first 15 minutes of the second hour of the Asia session for continuation trades.
• 😀 The trader emphasizes trading with **probabilities** rather than aiming for perfect outcomes, ensuring consistent wins over time.
• 😀 The strategy is based on market structure, specifically looking for lower highs and lower lows on lower timeframes to guide entry decisions.
• 😀 The strategy integrates **backtested data**, with the trader analyzing thousands of trades to identify optimal trade timings and win rates.
• 😀 The trader uses historical data to identify that the first 30 minutes of an hourly candle tend to show higher win rates for continuation trades.
• 😀 The entry strategy often involves waiting for a pullback and a clear reaction from the market before entering trades, reducing risk.
• 😀 The trader uses a **community-focused approach**, sharing trades and analysis to maintain discipline and accountability.
• 😀 The strategy adapts to changing market conditions, such as focusing on **Gold's (XAU/USD)** bullish trend and disregarding other influencing factors like DXY at times.
• 😀 The trader emphasizes a **data-driven** approach, relying on data from past trades to build confidence in their strategy's effectiveness.
• 😀 **Consistency** in trading, not perfection, is key. The strategy aims to capitalize on repeatable patterns in the market, ensuring steady growth over time.

Q & A

What is the main strategy the trader uses, and how long has it been effective?

The trader uses a simple entry model strategy that has resulted in an 85% win rate over the course of five years of trading.

How long does the entry model strategy last each day?

The entry model strategy lasts for about 15 minutes each day.

What is candle behavior, and why is it important in this strategy?

Candle behavior refers to how a candle moves in relation to the previous candle's close. It is important because it helps predict market movements and identify when to expect price pullbacks or continuations.

What is the expectation when a bearish candle closes in this strategy?

When a bearish candle closes, the expectation is that the next candle will first create a top wick before pushing bearish again, aligning with lower high and lower low structures on lower time frames.

How does candle behavior relate to higher and lower time frame market structures?

Candle behavior reflects the simplified market structure of lower time frames, which helps identify when a move is likely to occur, whether it's a pullback or a continuation.

What is the key focus in the first 15 minutes of an hourly candle?

In the first 15 minutes of an hourly candle, the trader focuses on waiting for a pullback to create a top wick, then expects the price to push bearish, continuing the trend seen in the lower time frame structure.

What is the trader's conclusion from their data analysis on candle timing?

Based on their data, the trader found that continuation trades in the first half of an hourly candle have a higher win rate and return, while the second half of the hourly candle shows a significant drop in success rate.

What is the optimal time for a continuation trade based on the trader's heatmap data?

The optimal time for a continuation trade is during the first 0 to 15 minutes of an hourly candle, as this period shows higher success rates for continuations.

How does the trader determine when to buy during a trade setup?

The trader waits for a pullback to a key area of interest, ensuring the lower time frame market structure aligns with the entry signal, rather than buying randomly.

What role does community trading play in the trader's strategy?

Community trading helps the trader maintain discipline by posting trades and analysis, holding themselves accountable and benefiting from the support and shared success within the trading community.