41-21 CFB RUN! Saturday College Football Week 6 Picks and Best Bets for October 5th, 2024!

Beating The Odds
5 Oct 202408:45

Summary

TLDRIn this video, Zach from 'Be The Odds' recaps his Friday college football bets, going 3-2 overall. He discusses Michigan's narrow win, Syracuse's upset, and other results, highlighting his season's strong 52-32 record and 24-14 on best bets. Zach shares nine picks for Saturday, including Clemson, Iowa, UCF, and West Virginia, providing in-depth analysis and insights into each game. He also emphasizes sharp money moves, betting against the public, and details his 'Members Only' best bets, encouraging viewers to subscribe and join his platform for more picks and profitable strategies.

Takeaways

  • 😀 The date is Saturday, October 5th, 2024, and this is a college football Best Bets video by Zach from 'Be the Odds'.
  • 👍 Friday’s results were solid, with a 3-2 day. Best bets included Michigan covering +24.5 and Syracuse winning outright.
  • 😅 Michigan State's two red-zone interceptions helped secure the Michigan bet win, despite a nail-biting finish.
  • 😬 Syracuse’s punt team caused some concern, but they managed to win against UNLV, even though it wasn’t a smooth ride.
  • 🎯 Zach mentioned his overall record for the year stands at 52-32, with a 24-14 record on Best Bets.
  • 🏈 Nine bets were placed for Saturday's games, starting with Clemson -15.5 against Florida State due to strong defense and QB issues for FSU.
  • 📊 Iowa +18.5 was recommended against Ohio State, citing Iowa’s strong defense and Ohio State’s tendency for slow starts.
  • 🤔 Zach recommended UCF moneyline against Florida, predicting a rebound after UCF's loss to Colorado and criticizing Florida's weaknesses.
  • 📝 West Virginia +3 was advised against Oklahoma State, with emphasis on Oklahoma State’s recent struggles and Zach’s preference for sharp money.
  • ⏰ Cal +10.5 vs. Miami was based on a body clock game logic, as the late game time favors Cal, according to Zach.

Q & A

  • What was the overall result for Friday's bets mentioned in the script?

    -The results for Friday's bets were solid, with a 3-2 outcome. One of the highlights was Michigan covering +24.5 points.

  • Which games were part of Friday's members-only bets?

    -The members-only bets included Michigan covering +24.5 points and the under 58.5 bet in the UNLV vs. Syracuse game.

  • What was the issue with the Syracuse punt team in the UNLV game?

    -Syracuse's punt team made mistakes that led to UNLV scoring two touchdowns, affecting the under 58.5 bet.

  • What are the host’s thoughts on Clemson vs. Florida State?

    -The host believes Clemson will cover the -15.5 spread against Florida State. Clemson's defense and offense have been strong, and they expect Clemson to dominate the game.

  • Why does the host think Iowa will cover +18.5 against Ohio State?

    -The host believes Iowa's defense is strong enough to keep the game close, despite Ohio State being the better team. They also mention that Ohio State may have a slow offensive start and could be looking ahead to their game against Oregon.

  • Why is the UCF vs. Florida game considered a sharp play?

    -The host views UCF as having more talent than Florida, and they believe UCF will bounce back after being embarrassed by Colorado. Additionally, Florida is not seen as strong, and playing at home (in the swamp) won’t be a significant advantage.

  • What are the host’s views on Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia?

    -The host thinks Oklahoma State is not a strong team right now, with issues in offense and back-to-back losses. They believe West Virginia is the better team and will cover the +3 spread.

  • What is significant about the timing of the Cal vs. Miami game?

    -The game is scheduled for 10:30 PM Eastern, which is seen as a disadvantage for Miami, as they are not used to playing that late. The host believes Cal will keep the game close and cover the +10.5 spread.

  • What is the host’s stance on the betting strategy regarding public opinion?

    -The host generally prefers to bet against the public and looks for sharp plays where the public may be wrong, as demonstrated in the Ohio State and UCF picks.

  • How can viewers access the members-only best bets?

    -Viewers can access the members-only best bets by visiting zdmBets.com and subscribing to get all the exclusive daily picks and betting advice.

Outlines

00:00

📊 Betting Recap and Weekend Picks Overview

The host, Zach, starts by welcoming everyone and providing a recap of the previous day's college football betting results, highlighting a solid 3-2 performance. He mentions the success of members-only bets and shares details of specific games, such as Michigan State’s red-zone interceptions and Syracuse’s surprise win against UNLV. He notes their current season record of 52-32, with an impressive 24-14 record on Best Bets. Zach then introduces the upcoming slate of nine bets for Saturday, acknowledging the relatively unexciting lineup compared to last week. He encourages viewers to subscribe for daily picks across various sports and expresses confidence in their bets for the day.

05:02

🏈 Game Analysis and Betting Picks for Saturday

Zach begins discussing specific games, starting with Clemson at -15.5 against Florida State, citing Clemson's strong offensive and defensive performance as reasons for confidence. He mentions DJ Uiagalelei’s struggles at Florida State and emphasizes Clemson's superiority. Next, he picks Iowa +18.5 versus Ohio State, predicting a closer-than-expected game due to Ohio State’s tendency for slow offensive starts and Iowa’s top-tier defense. He follows with a pick of UCF moneyline against Florida, explaining that UCF has more talent, and Florida’s fan enthusiasm is waning. Zach continues with West Virginia +3 versus Oklahoma State, pointing out Oklahoma State's recent poor form and inconsistent quarterback play. Finally, he takes Cal +10.5 against Miami, focusing on Miami’s unfamiliarity with the late game time and Cal’s strong defense. Zach then promotes members-only Best Bets for additional picks and offers a website link for joining. He wraps up by encouraging viewers to lock in their picks, make money, and return the following day for more content.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Best Bets

Best Bets refer to the top, most confident picks for wagers in sports betting. In the video, Zach frequently mentions his 'Best Bets,' signifying the predictions he's most sure about, such as Michigan covering the spread or Syracuse winning outright. It is central to the theme of the video, which focuses on providing betting advice for college football games.

💡Spread

The spread is a betting term referring to the expected margin of victory or defeat for a team. In the script, Zach mentions Michigan covering a +24.5 point spread, meaning Michigan was expected to lose by less than 24.5 points or win. Understanding spreads is crucial for sports betting analysis, which is the focus of the video.

💡Clemson vs. Florida State

Clemson vs. Florida State is one of the key matchups discussed in the video. Zach predicts that Clemson will easily cover the -15.5 point spread against Florida State. This game is highlighted to illustrate his confidence in Clemson’s offensive and defensive strengths and Florida State’s struggles with quarterback DJ Uiagalelei.

💡Public betting

Public betting refers to how the general public wagers on sports events. Zach contrasts his betting strategy with that of the public, emphasizing that while the public is backing certain teams like Ohio State, he often bets against the public's consensus. This concept is important as Zach encourages viewers to bet strategically rather than following the crowd.

💡Iowa vs. Ohio State

This matchup is another key game in Zach’s betting strategy. He predicts that Iowa will cover an 18.5 point spread against Ohio State, despite Ohio State’s powerful offense. Zach bases this pick on Iowa’s strong defense and Ohio State's potential to be distracted by their upcoming game against Oregon.

💡Sharp money

Sharp money refers to bets placed by professional or highly informed bettors, as opposed to casual or public bets. In the video, Zach frequently refers to 'sharp plays,' including his pick of UCF to beat Florida, meaning that informed bettors are backing UCF based on their analysis. Sharp money indicates more calculated, data-driven decisions in betting.

💡Moneyline

A moneyline bet is a wager on which team will win a game outright, without considering the point spread. In the video, Zach mentions taking the moneyline for UCF to beat Florida, which means he is betting that UCF will win the game straight up, regardless of the score differential. The use of moneyline bets allows for simpler predictions focused on who wins or loses.

💡Look-ahead spot

A look-ahead spot refers to a situation in sports where a team might underperform because they are focused on a more important game in the near future. Zach uses this concept when discussing Ohio State's potential lack of focus in their game against Iowa, as they might be looking ahead to their next matchup against Oregon. This impacts his prediction that Iowa will cover the spread.

💡Late game timing

Zach discusses how the late timing of games, such as Cal vs. Miami, can affect performance. He specifically mentions that Miami may struggle with a game that starts at 10:30 PM Eastern time, which is much later than their usual games. Cal, being more accustomed to late games, is predicted to perform better, which is why Zach favors Cal with the points in this matchup.

💡Members Only Best Bets

Members Only Best Bets refer to exclusive betting picks provided to paid subscribers of Zach’s service. These are additional, highly confident picks shared with his private community, which he promotes throughout the video. The mention of these bets highlights the monetization aspect of his channel and how followers can gain access to premium advice.

Highlights

Recap of Friday's results with a 3-2 record, including a win on Michigan +24.5 and a nerve-wracking but successful bet.

Members-only best bet on the under for UNLV vs. Syracuse was lost due to two touchdowns handed to UNLV by Syracuse's punt team.

Syracuse +6.5 won outright, despite criticism in the comments before the game.

Jacksonville State team total over 33.5 was a win, and TCU -16.5 was a blowout victory.

The channel is on a 52-32 record for the season and a 24-14 record on best bets, showing consistency.

Preview of the Saturday slate: 9 plays for the day, though the slate isn't as exciting as previous or upcoming weeks.

Clemson -15.5 vs. Florida State is the first pick. The analysis emphasizes Florida State's struggles on offense and Clemson's improved offense under Garrett Riley.

Iowa +18.5 vs. Ohio State is a bet against the public, pointing to Ohio State's slow starts and Iowa's top-tier defense.

Central Florida (UCF) money line vs. Florida is a sharp play, highlighting UCF's talent advantage and Florida's struggles, especially with the current state of the team.

West Virginia +3 vs. Oklahoma State, citing Oklahoma State's recent struggles and West Virginia's superior form.

Cal +10.5 vs. Miami, with the analysis focusing on the late start time, body clock advantage for Cal, and Miami's lack of experience playing this late.

Discussion about members-only best bets available on the website, highlighting 4 exclusive plays for members.

The channel is on a 41-21 college football run, indicating strong recent performance.

Encouragement to subscribe to the channel, highlighting the variety of sports covered (college football, NFL, MLB, NHL, NBA).

Promotion of the channel's goal to reach 15,000 subscribers and build a community of bettors.

Transcripts

play00:00

Hello everybody welcome back to being

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the odds it is Saturday October 5th 2024

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we are back with our college football

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Best Bets of the day if you're to the

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channel my name is Zach and welcome to

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be the odds let's recap yesterday's

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results so yesterday on Friday we had

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another solid day 3 and two day members

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only best bet split we had Michigan plus

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24 and a half we sweed that one out that

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was nerve-wracking as but I mean

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Michigan state had two Red Zone

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interceptions that was huge for us um

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and we got it done and by the way a

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couple of you guys remember as I know

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ask me about 23 and half 22 and A2 we

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got the sad field goal at the end and

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get us under those numbers so you love

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to see that members only bet best bet

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under 58 half you know V in Syracuse if

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Syracuse's punt team was even remotely

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competent we go way under this number

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because we just handed you LV two

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touchdowns so that would have been 3117

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going in the fourth quarter and we would

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have gotten under this number but you

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know is what it is made for an exciting

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game though uh Syracuse plus 6 and a

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half we got them outright didn't even

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need the points and for those of y'all

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in the comments who gave me which

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there was a lot of y'all who gave me

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about the Syracuse play um I don't

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I don't see any apology I've Been

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Waiting by my phone I've been waiting

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I've been looking at the comments

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looking for looking for those apologies

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for this video for that for that pick

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yesterday haven't gotten one yet but I

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have seen some deleted comments though

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uh that were there and that they weren't

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there after the game so is what it is

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coward uh Jacksonville State team total

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over 33 and a half that was a win uh TCU

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minus 16 a half uh that was a blowout

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that that Houston had a great game so

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overall for the year 52 and 32 great

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season man I'll take that all day long

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as a start 24 and 14 on Best Bets you

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love to see that um and we have nine

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plays today on on this Saturday and guys

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to be real with you guys if you look at

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the Slate it's not as sexy as it was

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last week or will be next CU next week

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it looks oh God it looks sexy but the

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good thing is I will say is we found a

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lot of winners for you guys here today

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and before we get to those plays if

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you're new to the channel hit that

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subscribe button like this video Hit

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notification Bell so you never miss a

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pick WE Post these college videos every

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single day along with the NFL MLB NHL

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and NBA we're on a 41 41 and 21 college

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football runs so you guys are join you

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guys are joining at the right time um

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we're went for 15,000 subscribers I'm

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excited to have youall here let's go win

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together today let's go make some money

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so like I said guys we have nine plays

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let's get start with play number one uh

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which is going to be Clemson minus 15

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half versus Florida State Florida State

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season is over they can't score and dju

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is a big reason why now listen this is a

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bit of a square play not going to lie

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obviously because it's- 15 a half the

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public is all over Clemson but sometimes

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the public is smart on this and this is

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definitely one of those plays outside

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the Georgia game cuz Georgia game

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Clemson look like they didn't they

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didn't even practice offense for 9

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months straight this offense has been

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absolutely electric they've been great

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Kate kumnick has been awesome he's he's

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been playing exactly how I thought he'd

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play the last last couple last year and

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this year he's been awesome um and

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Garrett Riley as OC has taken a huge

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step forward with this team the offense

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looks really really good um imagine if

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they usually the transfer portal this

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team would be a top 10 team right now

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and when you look at Clemson their

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defense is great as it always is and dju

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is not protected well he can't throw the

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ball past 10 yards in the air um with

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without it being a complete Nutter

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disaster I said this about my Redskins

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cuz I'm a Redskins fan for years before

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Jaden D before Jaden Daniels thank God

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we love Jen but we love jayen danels but

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before Jen danels whenever my

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quarterbacks would throw the ball more

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than 15 yards there would just be this

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incoming sense of dread of like

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something horrible is going to happen

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and that's what Florida state has with

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uh dju because every time he throws the

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ball it's going to be a disaster and

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he's not protected well and Clemson

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rushes the passer unbelievably well

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Clemson's going to snatch whatever

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whatever remaining a Florida State Soul

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they are snatching today in Tallahassee

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this game is a blowout give me Clemson

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minus 15 half versus Florida State next

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we're go with Iowa plus 185 versus Ohio

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State everyone in their mother is on

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Ohio State right now everyone is and I

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don't blame them they have a awesome

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true freshman will Howard look all right

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uh they've got great running backs this

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Ohio State team is is legit but guess

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what this game is going to be a lot

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closer than people think cuz I don't bet

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with the public we bet against it and

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Ohio State has had no nothing but slow

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offensive starts this year and against

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an Iowa defense which you can make an

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argument is like top three in the

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country this that that could be a

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problem plus Ohio State's got Oregon

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next week this is an obvious look ahead

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spot uh for Ohio State and Iowa their

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offense has been much improved over the

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over over the last four or five years in

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compar in comparison the last four or

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five years they've gotten a lot better I

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think this game's a lot closer than

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people think oh how state will win this

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game don't get me wrong but this game I

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think is more of like a 10 or 13o game

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instead of a 21o game give me give me

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Iowa plus 18 and a half versus Ohio

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State today next we're going with

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Central Florida money line UCF versus

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Florida uh first off rivalry game the

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sharp play is is UCF here I mean this is

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just so obvious to me um got embarrassed

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by Colorado last week they will bounce

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back today plus they no now they and

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they have more Talent than this Florida

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team now the one thing Florida has going

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for them as they playing in the swamp

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but the swamp isn't really the swamp

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right now this these this Florida fan

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base at absolutely is aware of of how

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bad this team is like this Florida team

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that Florida just doesn't have the

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horses to compete against legitimate

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teams and UCF in my opinion is a

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legitimate team they're a big 12 team um

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and when you look at unless unless

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Florida fires Napier like right before

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the game and they decide to start DJ

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lagway for the rest of the season they

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might there might be some more

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enthusiasm and I think Florida will be

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on its way back the moment they fire

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naier and the moment they make GJ lagway

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the fulltime start over gr Merz um but

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until that point it's time to fade the

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Gators I don't know why the Public's on

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the Gators maybe it's just cuz they're

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at home and it's an SEC team versus a

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big 12 team but UCF is going to

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absolutely dominate KJ Jefferson's

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played in the swamp before he's he's a

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good quarterback he didn't have a good

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showing last week but he's a good

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quarterback give me UCF money line

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versus Florida I think this money L like

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minus 118 as well next we're going with

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West Virginia plus three versus Oklahoma

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State Oak state is not good like they're

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not good oi Gordon's great the running

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back he's fantastic but they're not good

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they've lost back-to-back games and the

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issues that they've had in both those

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games have shown very very cly first off

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with USA in particular um they started

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Zack Wilson's brother and now not even

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joking by the way literally his his

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younger brother and at on the road

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against Oklahoma State they had no

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offense to speak of for literally three

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and a half quarters and still somehow

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won this game and they won it pretty

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comfortably um and on top of that then

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they go to Kansas State and Kansas State

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drags their balls over all over Oklahoma

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State's face the entire game we had K

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State by the way minus four and a half

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in that game M's only best bet just

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saying um but even so like the Oklahoma

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State's not good plus they starting a

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quarterback who's like 35 years old like

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he's been in college longer than most

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people are in grade school I mean it's

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it's unbelievable that he's allowed to

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play college football I don't understand

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that one bit um West Virginia I think

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just a better team overall they they're

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better and I'm catching three points now

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I wouldn't bet this a two and a half

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personally because I like getting the

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three in case like Oklahoma State

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actually plays well but like Florida I

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think the enthusiasm for this Oklahoma

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State team has gone down the drain

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especially with Oklahoma with that

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comeback that had um against Auburn I

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think there's going be more ttention if

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you're split between the two probably

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not cuz I live in Oklahoma but I'm sure

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there' B Rivals but even so gar Green's

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going to also cause problems because he

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can throw and he can move I just don't

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the sharp money is on on West Virginia

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today Oklahoma State blows I I mean

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right now anyway Oly Gordon's good I

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like M Gundy but you know give me West

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Virginia plus three versus um Oklahoma

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State today next we're going to go with

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cal plus 10 and a half versus Miami the

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sharp money is all over Cal today this

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for me is a body clock game this game

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starts 10:30 p.m. Eastern and this game

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will probably not finish until about

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1:30 a.m. eastern I would say about 1:45

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a.m. something maybe even two and Miami

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is not used to playing this late in the

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day Cal is and this game will be close

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Cal's got a good defense I think this

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game is be very similar to the Virginia

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Tech game where it's just a three-point

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game or a six-point game going down the

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stretch uh the libs are going to be out

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in Berkeley uh they're going to be ready

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to roll since game day is there this's

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just a Vibes play plus just a money play

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on where the money is going everyone's

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on Miami but again they're playing at

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10:30 at night I mean they're not

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they're playing basically night golf

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when you're not used to playing night

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golf it's it doesn't make sense So cal

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plus 10 and half versus Miami here today

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now next we're going to go over guys our

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members only Best Bets we have four

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members only Best Bets to finish out our

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nine plays today those Best Bets you can

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get in the the website Linked In the

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pincon below zdm bets.com as a member

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you get all our members only plays every

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single day which was profitable Best

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Bets on a day-to-day basis on top of

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that you have a direct line to make so

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any game in considering betting reach

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out to our Highline number get a

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advantage of ear lines with the odds

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website zdm best.com zmb best.com zmb

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best.com so guys let's go lock in those

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picks let's go win together today let's

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go make some money I'll see you all

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tomorrow

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