10 Overvalued Players You Must Avoid in Fantasy Football Drafts (2024)

Summary

In this fantasy football analysis, the speaker identifies seven players to avoid in drafts due to their current Average Draft Position (ADP), including Devonte Adams and Stefon Diggs. The discussion covers concerns like team changes, age, injuries, and quarterback situations, suggesting that these factors could negatively impact the players' performances. The speaker emphasizes the importance of value in drafting and offers alternative options for a more strategic approach.

Takeaways

• 🏈 Devonte Adams is being drafted too early in fantasy football, with his current ADP being top 20 while the speaker ranks him 32nd overall.
• 😟 The Raiders' quarterback situation is a concern for Adams' fantasy value, with no significant improvement during the offseason.
• 👎 The addition of Brock Bowers, a tight end, could lead to more target competition for Adams, potentially decreasing his value.
• 😓 Austin Eckler's move to the Washington Commanders and his age might reduce his fantasy output, especially with a new mobile quarterback.
• 🚫 The Commanders' offensive strategy under Cliff Kingsberry might not favor Eckler, who is known for his receiving skills.
• 📉 Keenan Allen's change to the Chicago Bears and the presence of other strong receivers could decrease his target share and fantasy production.
• 🤔 The draft of a top wide receiver like Marvin Harrison Jr. could impact Trey McBride's target volume and touchdown opportunities with the Cardinals.
• ⚡ Stefon Diggs' age and the presence of other talented receivers on his new team might affect his fantasy performance negatively.
• 🔋 CJ Stroud's lack of rushing upside and the potential struggles of the Texans' offensive line could limit his fantasy quarterback value.
• ❌ T.J. Hockenson's recovery from a serious knee injury and the uncertainty at the quarterback position for the Minnesota Vikings make him a risky pick.

Q & A

Why does the speaker believe Devonte Adams should not be drafted as a top 20 player in fantasy football?

The speaker believes Devonte Adams should not be drafted as a top 20 player because he is ranked as the 32nd overall player on the fantasy blueprint, and drafting him as the 17th overall player, as is currently happening, could ruin an entire draft strategy due to the significant difference in ranking.

What was the main issue for Devonte Adams during the offseason according to the transcript?

The main issue for Devonte Adams during the offseason was that the Raiders did not improve their quarterback position and instead drafted Brock Bowers, a tight end, which increased target competition for Adams, potentially worsening his fantasy value.

What are the concerns regarding the Raiders' quarterback situation for Devonte Adams?

The concerns are that the Raiders' quarterback situation is not strong, with Aiden O'Connor, a second-year player who had a poor rookie year, and Garner Mchu, who ranks low in quarterback efficiency and has a history of interceptable passes.

How does Antonio Pierce's coaching philosophy impact Devonte Adams' potential fantasy performance?

Antonio Pierce's coaching philosophy favors running the ball in all situations, even when trailing, which could limit the pass rate and, consequently, the target opportunities for Devonte Adams, negatively impacting his fantasy performance.

Why does the speaker think Austin Ekeler is being drafted too early?

The speaker thinks Austin Ekeler is being drafted too early because his new team, the Washington Commanders, may not use him in a workhorse role, and his production has declined with age and changing team dynamics.

What are the potential issues with drafting Keenan Allen in his current ADP?

The potential issues with drafting Keenan Allen in his current ADP include his aging status, a change of teams with new coaching staff, and increased competition for targets with the addition of new players like Romad Dunbar.

Why might Trey McBride's target share decrease in the upcoming season?

Trey McBride's target share might decrease due to the addition of Marvin Harrison Jr., a top pick in the NFL draft, who is expected to draw significant targets, as well as the return of healthy teammates like Greg Dortch and Michael Wilson.

What concerns does the speaker have about Stefon Diggs' role in the Texans' offense?

The speaker is concerned that Stefon Diggs might have to move into the slot, which could result in him coming off the field in certain situations and not earning as many targets, especially with the presence of young, talented receivers like Nico Collins and Tank Dell.

Why is the speaker skeptical about drafting CJ Stroud as a top-five quarterback?

The speaker is skeptical about drafting CJ Stroud as a top-five quarterback because he lacks rushing upside, which could limit his overall fantasy points, and there are concerns about the Texans' offensive line and pass rate.

What are the reasons for the speaker's low ranking of T.J. Hockenson in the current fantasy football draft?

The speaker ranks T.J. Hockenson low due to his multi-ligament knee injury late in the previous season, which might cause him to miss a significant part of the new season, and the change in the Vikings' quarterback situation, which could affect his target share and production.