ICT Mentorship Core Content - Month 1 - Elements Of A Trade Setup

The Inner Circle Trader
22 Aug 202220:19

Summary

TLDRThe video teaches traders how to utilize specific market conditions and ICT tools to identify high-probability trade setups. It outlines four key market contexts: expansion, retracement, reversal, and consolidation. Each context is coupled with a corresponding ICT concept - order blocks, liquidity gaps/voids, liquidity pulls, or equilibrium. By correctly identifying the current market condition and applying the paired ICT tool, traders can anticipate market maker intentions and pinpoint impending moves with greater accuracy. Consistent practice identifying trade setup elements across various pairs and timeframes builds skills for consistent profitability.

Takeaways

  • 😀 The four key market conditions are: expansion, retracement, reversal, and consolidation
  • 🔎 Specific ICT tools correspond to each market condition
  • 📈 Expansion indicates a willingness for market makers to reveal their intended re-pricing model
  • 📉 Retracement indicates a willingness for market makers to re-price to levels not efficiently traded
  • ↩️ Reversal indicates market makers have run stops and a significant move in the new direction should unfold
  • ⏸️ Consolidation indicates market makers are allowing orders to build on both sides of the market
  • 🎯 Learning one consistent setup based on a specific market condition and ICT tool can lead to consistency
  • 🧠 Understanding market conditions and ICT tools leads to anticipatory skills for market movements
  • 📊 Studying past price action through the lens of these frameworks builds skill in setup discovery
  • 😊 Consistency comes from repeating daily analysis using this conceptual framework

Q & A

  • What are the four market conditions that price action falls under?

    -The four market conditions are: expansion, retracement, reversal, and consolidation.

  • What ICT tool couples directly with the market condition of expansion?

    -The ICT tool that couples directly with expansion is order blocks.

  • What ICT tool do we look for when the market is in a retracement condition?

    -When the market is in a retracement condition, we look for liquidity gaps and liquidity voids.

  • What indicates the market makers have run in a level of stops when the market reverses direction?

    -When the price reverses direction, it indicates the market makers have run in a level of stops and a significant move should unfold in the new direction.

  • What ICT tool corresponds to consolidation market conditions?

    -The ICT tool associated with consolidation is equilibrium.

  • What are the two primary concerns when referring to elements of a trade setup?

    -The two primary concerns are: (1) context/framework surrounding the idea and (2) using the framework conditions to identify specific reference points in institutional order flow.

  • What are the specific reference points looked at in institutional order flow?

    -The reference points are: order blocks, fair value gaps, liquidity voids/pools, stop runs, and equilibrium.

  • Why is it important to understand the four market conditions?

    -Understanding the four conditions gives traders a framework to analyze the market, determine which condition it is in, and decide which ICT tool to apply based on the condition.

  • What is indicated when price consolidates?

    -When price consolidates, it indicates the market makers are allowing orders to build on both sides of the market and expect a new expansion near term.

  • What clue signals the direction the market will likely move after consolidation?

    -The impulse move or swing in price away from the equilibrium level signals the likely direction the market will move after consolidation.

Outlines

00:00

📽️ Introducing the Trading Concepts for This Month

The speaker introduces that this is the first of eight monthly video tutorials that will teach trading concepts and tools to complement this month's theme on elements of a trade setup. He explains there are four key principles - expansion, retracement, reversal, and consolidation. He will couple these with ICT tools like order blocks, fair value gaps, liquidity pools, equilibrium etc. to understand market efficiency and how informed traders operate.

05:01

🤖 The Interbank Price Delivery Algorithm

The speaker explains that 90% of price delivery is now done electronically by AI algorithms, moving away from human market makers. He acknowledges some may find this unsettling but says the algorithms have limitations that leave clues or fingerprints to study. By understanding the conditions and operations, one can anticipate and exploit inefficiencies.

10:02

🚀 Understanding Expansions and Order Blocks

The speaker defines an expansion as when price moves quickly from equilibrium, indicating market makers are revealing their intended repricing model. This couples with the tool of order blocks - reference points near equilibrium where price may return to after an expansion. An example chart is shown illustrating the concepts.

15:03

↩ Understanding Retracements, Voids and Gaps

The speaker defines a retracement as when price returns inside a recent range, indicating market makers are repricing areas not traded fairly. This couples with the ICT tools of liquidity gaps and voids. An example chart is shown illustrating a liquidity void and how to trade the expected fill.

20:04

🔄 Understanding Reversals and Liquidity Pools

The speaker defines a reversal as when price reverses direction opposite to the current move, indicating stops have been run and a bigger move may unfold. This couples with liquidity pools above old highs and below old lows. An example chart plots likely stop levels and reversal points.

⏸ Understanding Consolidation and Equilibrium

The speaker defines consolidation as when price trades in a range with no directional bias, indicating orders are building before new expansion. This couples with equilibrium - the midpoint of the range. An example shows how price expansions occur from equilibrium levels.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡order block

An order block is a clustering of pending buy or sell orders that represents supply and demand zones. As price moves quickly away from equilibrium, it leaves behind an order block which becomes a reference point to trade from when price returns. For example, when price breaks out of consolidation, the candle before the breakout is considered a potential order block to buy/sell from.

💡liquidity

Liquidity refers to the availability of buy/sell orders at different price levels. When price moves quickly, it skips over certain price levels, leaving liquidity voids and gaps. These become target areas when price retraces as pending orders get triggered. For example, after a sharp sell-off, old resistance levels often have buy stops which provide liquidity when retested.

💡consolidation

A consolidation occurs when price oscillates in a tight range as buyers and sellers reach equilibrium. It represents a balancing of supply/demand as orders accumulate on both sides. The direction of the next expansion is determined by which side builds up the most volume. Traders wait for the breakout and pullback into order blocks.

💡expansion

An expansion is a directional price swing that breaks out of consolidation or equilibrium. It indicates the market makers' intention to reprice the market and leaves an order block as a clue. Traders use expansions to determine overall bias and identify potential buy/sell zones for retracements.

💡retracement

A retracement occurs when price pulls back into a prior price range after an expansion. It indicates willingness to fill untraded liquidity. Traders aim to buy/sell at liquidity voids/gaps made during previous moves. For example, old support can become liquidity when retested.

💡reversal

A reversal is when price changes direction against the current trend. It signals that market makers have run protective stops and a bigger move should unfold. Traders aim to join reversals at 'liquidity pools', old areas which likely have stops to run. For example, above a recent high or below a recent low.

💡equilibrium

Equilibrium refers to the midpoint or 'fair value' area in a consolidation range. It represents a balance point between buying and selling pressure. Expansions away from equilibrium set up order blocks to trade from when price returns to equilibrium.

💡stop run

A stop run occurs when price moves quickly to take out clustered stop-loss orders before reversing. It leaves a liquidity pool - an area likely to have stops which can be targeted again. Stop runs are mainly used to fuel bigger moves by triggering more orders.

💡context

Context refers to identifying the type of condition or pattern the market is exhibiting in order to apply the appropriate trading tools or tactics. For example, expansions set up order blocks, consolidations target equilibrium, retracements fill liquidity.

💡anticipatory skills

Anticipatory skills refer to a trader's ability to predict high-probability outcomes based on contextual clues in market maker behavior. Through pattern recognition, traders aim to anticipate direction and likely areas of order flow convergence.

Highlights

There are 4 market conditions: expansion, retracement, reversal, and consolidation.

Expansion couples with order blocks, retracements couple with liquidity gaps/voids.

Reversals couple with liquidity pools, consolidation couples with equilibrium.

Expansion indicates market makers' willingness to reveal intended repricing model.

Retracements indicate willingness to reprice to levels not efficiently traded.

Reversals indicate market makers have run stops and a significant move should unfold.

Consolidation indicates orders are building on both sides, expect a new expansion.

Wait for impulse move away from equilibrium during consolidation.

Focus on just one setup that fits your style rather than mastering all.

You only need one setup with the right context and ICT tool to be consistent.

Look through old charts to find examples of each market condition and element.

The interbank algorithm is an AI price engine that delivers 90% of FX pricing.

Market making has moved away from humans to efficient electronic algorithms.

Fingerprints of manipulation are visible once the algo's operations are understood.

Go through the free prerequisite tutorials to build necessary knowledge base.

Transcripts

play00:35

okay folks

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welcome to the first

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teaching tutorial

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from the ict monthly mentorship for

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month of september

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2016.

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this is the first of eight each month

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you'll get eight individual teaching

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tutorials that will complement the

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general theme for the month

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this particular teaching is going to be

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elements to a trade setup

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and as you probably noticed uh this

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month so far we've been focusing

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primarily on showing the consistency

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that's able

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to be delivered to you as a developing

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trader after you've submitted the time

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and you've done the work with the

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exercises and the content

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uh materials that we're going to be

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presenting to you

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when we refer to elements to a trade

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setup there's really just two primary

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uh concerns

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and

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one is obviously

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context or framework

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surrounding the idea in other words what

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makes the idea

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favorable for a trade it's not just

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simply well my indicator tells me this

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or my support resistance level tells me

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that there has to be something that

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builds a reason to want to do this trade

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in my material i'm learning four

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specific principles and we're going to

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be dealing with them in

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general terms and then what we do in

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those conditions what are we

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specifically

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pairing up with in terms of the ict

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tools

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the first one is going to be expansion

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okay we're going to talk about expansion

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and what we look for in that condition

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we're going to be talking about

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retracements

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and what toll or concept we used for

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retracements

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reversal

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and lastly consolidation now each one of

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these four

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give a specific framework and a context

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to the marketplace that you're going to

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be trading in they can only be one of

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these four conditions either the

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market's going to be expanding running

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away in other words trending

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a retracement

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or pullback

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uh altogether reversal

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and obviously when the market's doing

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nothing it's consolidating but really we

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all learned in the market maker uh

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series that there's really no such thing

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as the market doing nothing in

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consolidation exactly accumulating

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orders

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now the other

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characteristic we use for

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defining elements to a trade setup is

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using these four criteria

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for context and framework to specific

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reference points in institutional order

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flow

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the first one is order blocks

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[Music]

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the second one is fair value gaps and

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liquidity voids

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liquidity pools and stop runs

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and lastly

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equilibrium now understanding those two

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characteristics together

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will give you a greater understanding of

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market efficiency paradigm

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how the smart money interprets price and

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how they influence the general populace

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or the speculative on informed money

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it's going to be a rather

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illuminating

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tutorial actually

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you're going to be able to look at the

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marketplace with an expectation of

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knowing what tool to apply based on what

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the market's providing you right now

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it only takes a second or two to look at

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the marketplace determine okay

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what characteristic are we trading in so

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that way you can build a context or

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framework on how you're going to

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approach the marketplace

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sometimes you'll have right away an

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issue where you can say i'm not going to

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do anything because the market's

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consolidating i am going to be waiting

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the other three conditions are going to

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be providing you an opportunity to take

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action

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relative to the tools that we couple

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with those conditions or context

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now the interbank price delivery

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algorithm or what i always refer to as

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the algo or interbank algo

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is the actual

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basically artificial intelligence uh

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it's a price engine that um

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when we receive our price

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for our currencies

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it's actually 90 done by electronic um

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algorithms so it's all computer based

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now it used to be open outcry in the

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pits

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uh but there's no longer an auction

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market it's all ai

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and it's based on the principles i've

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been teaching for

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about seven years now

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you're not going to learn these things

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because number one no one's going to

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believe that it exists

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there

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is this movement away from

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human involvement

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with market making it's become much more

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efficient to be electronically based

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and these things

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are programmed by human beings obviously

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and those intelligence are limited so

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while that is probably unsettling for

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some of you that are listening to this

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thinking well i thought i had a free

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market i was trading in

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it's actually not it's highly

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manipulated especially in the foreign

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exchange which is what we're primarily

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dealing with here

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because of the nature of

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it being so manipulated manipulated the

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the fingerprints if you will are easy to

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see once you understand

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the operations and the conditions that

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the market maker

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interbank price delivery algorithm

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functions

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so when the market does what it's doing

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it gives you indications it gives you

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fingerprints or clues as to what you

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should be expecting next

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and that's where your anticipatory

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skills are going to be coming in

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you're not going to know these things

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right away the first time watching this

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video it may go over your head

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but for some of you that have already

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went through the prerequisites i believe

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that are in my free tutorial section on

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my website if you haven't gone through

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the sniper series this isn't trading

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concepts and the market maker series yet

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you're going to need those okay so

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don't be discouraged if you hear some

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terms in here that go over your head

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because they're all taught in those

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three tutorial series for free

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that's a lot of material over there so

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you

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dig into not only the stuff you're

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getting in

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this

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curriculum with the mentorship but fill

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in the space when i'm not giving you

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content with the free tutorials those

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three tutorials and i'm going to say

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what they are

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they are

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market maker series precision trading

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concepts and the sniper series

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okay the interface i'll go

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okay obviously

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there's going to be times when the

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market goes sideways and orton

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consolidation or what i refer to as a

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holding pattern

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now when this happens the market will be

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looking to do an expansion

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okay so all markets start from a

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consolidation

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and move into an expansion that means

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there's an impulse move or an impulse

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price swing

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after that impulse swing okay either

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goes back to a consolidation again

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or it goes to a retracement

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when the retracement happens it goes

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back down into

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another level of expansion or

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after the expansion it can go to a

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reversal pattern

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after the reversal pattern

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it'll see another

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retracement

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then back to potentially consolidation

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these four conditions they interchange

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throughout the ups and downs and ebbs

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and flow of the marketplace

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you're only going to get one of these

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four conditions now you're probably

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saying okay well that's a lot i need to

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know

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one of these things to make a trade

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no you just need to know where it's at

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right now where it's likely to go

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and where it came from

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and over the course of the month of

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september you're going to get a lot of

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understanding about how to know where

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the market's going to go next and that's

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going to fill in a lot of the gaps that

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you've had with

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teaching directional bias ict

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the main thing is the consolidation

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begins

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with everything all the moves that take

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place in the marketplace start from a

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measure of consolidation because that's

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where the markets are

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building orders so the market maker

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keeps the market in a tight range or a

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defined range until there's enough money

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on both sides of the

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upper and lower end of the range that's

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being defined by the consolidation

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whichever one has the highest amount of

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money to be absorbed that's the

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direction it's going to move in we don't

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always know what that is but we wait for

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the expansion when the expansion occurs

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that's when we get the clue as to what

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the market is most likely going to be

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doing and then we wait for either

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retracement or another consolidation or

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reversal but we always wait for the

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first expansion that gives us all the

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insight that we need to make a decision

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now sometimes it may expand so far that

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we can't do anything with it we have to

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wait for the retracement or the next

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consolidation there's nothing wrong with

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that it's all normal you're not going to

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catch every move the main thing is

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understanding these four individual

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characteristics to a trade setup because

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price is delivered by one of these four

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conditions it can't be any other way

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now what is expansion

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now expansion is when price moves

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quickly from a level equilibrium

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now expansion

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couples directly with the tool of

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an order block

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now what is the or what's the importance

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of knowing expansion well when price

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leaves a level quickly this indicates a

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willingness on the part of the market

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makers to reveal their intended

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repricing model now what does that mean

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well if we're in a consolidation

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okay or a point of equilibrium

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if price were to move up quickly that

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would give us an indication of looking

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for a bullish order block we don't want

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to chase price we're going to wait for

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price to come back down into the order

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block

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where is that going to occur well what

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do we look for in price the order block

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that that market makers leave near or at

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the equilibrium price point

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so i know what you're thinking okay

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michael this is already going over my

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head give me some examples no problem

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i'm going to show you that right now

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as you see here there's a consolidation

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in a blue shaded area very clear defined

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consolidation it's got a clear

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discernible high and low

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and the equilibrium price point is

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directly in the middle of the high and

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the low end of that range you can simply

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take the fibonacci tool you have in all

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your platforms

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lay the fib from the high and the low

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and the general consolidation find that

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midpoint and you can check yourself also

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by looking at how many times the market

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touches

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up against it

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from below and from

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above it going down into an element how

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many times it's touching and hanging

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around that level

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eventually the market will move outside

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the consolidation you can see that

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impulse move in that tan shaded box

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it moves away from the equilibrium price

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point and then all we have to do is go

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back to the down candle

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right before that up move

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that down candle or black candle i'm

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drawing a small little segment although

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that's the bullish order block

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when the price comes back down into that

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and hits it that's where we would be

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buying and then obviously you can see it

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hits that level and expands to the

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upside over 100 pips just by using that

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simple principle it repeats itself all

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the time it's in price action all the

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time if you study just to the left of

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the consolidation we have shaded in blue

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there's actually a consolidation

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in the cell side where the market broke

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down and came right back to the

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equilibrium price point again and then

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sold off

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i'll leave that for your study now but

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we're going to move over to the next

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characteristic of a

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trade setup

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the next one is a retracement

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now what is the retracement

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retracement is when price moves back

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inside the recently created price range

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now years ago i think it was in 2012

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i did a a webinar called trading inside

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the range and a lot of folks that were

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following me on uh one of the forums

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that is pretty popular on the internet

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they

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went

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head over heels when they learned this

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the simple principle of understanding

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how you can trade with inside of a range

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and it doesn't have to break out doesn't

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have to trend you can define the range

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by

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a high and a low and trade inside that

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range and that was the beginning basis

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point of how i brought a lot of people

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from that forum into the understanding

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of an order block the order block was

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introduced in the sniper series tutorial

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on my website but

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prior to that i just gave indications

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and clues about what an overblock was

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without actually really referring to or

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spelling it out for everyone

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what's the importance of the retracement

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well when price returns inside a recent

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price range this indicates a willingness

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on the part of the market makers to

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reprice to levels not efficiently traded

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for fair value

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when we're thinking retracement

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the go is for ict tools we're looking

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for liquidity gaps

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and liquidity voids

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when we look for price

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when we see

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run-ups real quick and run downs in

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price in other words real quick rallies

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up or real quick rallies down in price

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many times that range that's created

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will want to come back in and close that

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in and i'll give you an example what

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that looks like now

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this is a example of a retracement

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as you can see here the

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orange shaded area we had a real quick

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sudden movement away from a price level

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and that quick sudden movement creates

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what we call as a liquidity void in

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other words it as the market drops

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aggressively like that

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there's going to be pockets where the

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price wasn't actually delivered on every

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um

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available price level at that in that

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range it moved too quickly it skipped or

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created gaps

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well what we'll do is we'll wait as a

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trader we won't chase price we'll wait

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and say okay well there's going to be

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either an indication of getting long

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and try to fill in that range or we can

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wait for it to come all the way back up

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to it and fill in the liquidity void

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once it hits it then it'll probably

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resume going lower

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and that's what we're looking for in

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terms of a liquidity void so we've

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covered three conditions the next one

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is

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the reversal

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the reversal is when price moves the

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opposite direction

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the current direction has taken in

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so if we are looking for reversals we're

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directly coupling that with an ict tool

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of liquidity pulls

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now what's the importance of it

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when the price reverses direction it

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indicates the market makers have ran in

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level of stops and a significant move

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should unfold in the new direction

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what do we look for in price the

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liquidity pools just above an old high

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and just below an old low

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okay and we're looking at examples of

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reversals here

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every

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x indicates where stops would be and the

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market goes just above those levels and

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rejects and goes the other way or goes

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just below those levels where there's an

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x and rejects and goes the other way

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look how many times there's so many

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opportunities just on this one chart and

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it's on a pair i don't really like to

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trade

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the us versus the swissy

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this pair is real choppy it tends to

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have a lot of this type of price action

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so it has a characteristic that is very

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favorable if you're into type of trading

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like this

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turtle soups and false

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breaks are really really good um

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in this swissy

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and lastly we have

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consolidation

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and whenever we're referring to

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consolidation we're directly relating

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that to an ict total of equilibrium

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what is consolidation consolidation is

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when price moves inside a clear trading

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range and shows no willingness to move

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significantly higher or lower

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now what's the importance when price

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consolidates it indicates the market

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makers are allowing orders to build on

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both sides of the market expect a new

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expansion near term now what do we look

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for in price

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we're waiting for the impulse move or

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impulse swinging price away from the

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equilibrium price level that is found

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exactly in the halfway point of the

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consolidation range

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i'll show you an example what that looks

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like

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here we see here we've identified a

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range defined specifically by the bodies

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of the candles not the wicks as you can

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see price moves out in an expansive

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manner and then comes right back down to

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the equilibrium price point and then

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expands to the outside

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by having an understanding of these

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specific characteristics and elements of

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trading a setup you'll give yourself

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framework to first learn how to practice

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and study price action and eventually

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work towards understanding consistent

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setup

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discovery and

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by utilizing the time with me on a daily

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basis we'll be able to frame these

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characteristics and pull out specific

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elements to a trade setup

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by repetition and by using

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the daily time with me where we can

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outline the elements of a trade setup

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we'll be able to do all these things

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in a manner where you'll either retain

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it

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make it yours you'll be able to discover

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really what type of trade you're going

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to be because one of these

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characteristics is going to be your

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bread and butter condition

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some of you

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will trust the equilibrium some of you

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will

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trust the order block some of you will

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look for the void

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or the liquidity gaps to trade into some

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of you will have one or two of these

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characteristics and you'll trade within

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those parameters they'll frame your

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trades some of you will eventually grow

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into understanding all of them and be

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universal but don't think that you have

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to have all of them well known and under

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your belt before you're actually

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consistent because you can just find one

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element

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as we described here if we just find one

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for you

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just for you one

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you can start being consistently

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profitable in your trading it only takes

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one setup you know what context or

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framework you're going to trade in

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couple that with an ict tool

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and then wait for those conditions

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you're not going to get a trade every

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single day but you can get a couple of

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them every single week

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if you look at four major pairs with one

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condition or criteria you'll find a

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trade every single day

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but that's not what you're trying to do

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right now you're going to grow into that

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over time but for now

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just go through your charts and try to

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look at all the examples that's already

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happened in the left side of your chart

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and outline them individually based on

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the characteristics and elements that

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we've identified here in this teaching

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until next time i wish good luck and

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good trading

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