Best Daily Bias Trading Strategy SMC
Summary
TLDR本视频旨在简化每日偏差这个概念,帮助交易者提高获胜率。通过分析更高时间框架的供需水平、流动性区域和公平价值间隙,可以更清楚地了解市场整体状况。若入市模式在更低时间框架上不奏效,确定更高时间框架的方向就尤为重要。结合更高时间框架的方向性偏差和更低时间框架的入市设置,可以构成完美的交易机会。
Takeaways
- 😀 Daily bias refers to the overall market direction prediction for the upcoming day
- 😊 It's analyzed on higher timeframes to understand market conditions not visible on entry timeframe
- 🤔 Higher TF levels more important as minor reactions can cause significant trend changes on lower TFs
- 😇 Aligning higher and lower TF directional bias increases success rate of trades
- 🧐 Daily bias tracking allows planning entries aligned with institutional traders' bias
- 🔍 Use supply/demand, liquidity areas and FVGs to determine bias across timeframes
- 📈 If price breaks supply area, demand takes control. If breaks demand area, supply takes control.
- 💹 Liquidity exists where stop losses are located. Price always moves towards or from liquidity.
- 👀 FVGs signify imbalance between buyers and sellers and probable trading opportunities
- 📊 Apply supply/demand, liquidity and FVGs across higher TFs to identify robust daily bias
Q & A
每日偏差是什么?
-每日偏差是对未来一天的整体市场方向和情绪的预测。它是我们在更高时间框架如周线、日线和4小时图进行的分析,以更好地理解入市时间框架可能不可见的市场状况。
确定每日偏差的好处有哪些?
-确定每日偏差可以帮助我们找到更好的入场机会和提高获胜率,因为我们可以看清市场的整体状况。如果低时间框架中的入场模式效果不好,确定高时间框架的方向就非常关键。
供需区域是如何帮助判断谁控制着市场的?
-如果价格抵消了一个需求区,那么需求就控制着市场;如果价格抵消了一个供给区,那么供给就控制着市场。我们总是要与控制市场的一方进行交易。
流动性在判断每日偏差方面有什么作用?
-流动性代表止损单的位置。上方或一组高点代表买单流动性,低点或一组低点代表卖单流动性。价格总是来自或向着一个流动性区域移动。这可以帮助判断市场的整体方向。
什么是公平值差距区?
-公平值差距区代表买方和卖方之间的不平衡,可以由三根连续K线的尾巴之间的空间来表示。这显示了巨大的买入压力,市场通常会回到这些区域来获取剩余订单。
如何综合运用这些概念来判断更高时间框架的偏差?
-我们可以在日线和4小时图上运用供需分析、流动性和公平值差距等概念,判断市场的整体偏差和控制方。然后放小到入市时间框架中寻找与更高时间框架偏差一致的交易机会。
为什么确定更高时间框架的偏差很重要?
-更高时间框架的关键位对价格影响更大。如果低时间框架与高时间框架方向一致,这可能带来完美的交易机会。
算法性价格交付是什么?
-算法性价格交付是大银行和机构为让市场波动到流动性区域而设计的市场行为。价格总来自一个流动性区域或向一个流动性区域移动。
何时适合使用公平值差距区域作为交易机会?
-当公平值差距区域位于溢价区时,这可能是一个完美的交易机会。我们期待价格返回差距区域来填补这些区域,然后寻找反转确认作为做空机会。
为什么低时间框架中交易价格行情信号失败的概率更高?
-当你放大到更低的时间框架,你可能会遇到更多由于波动性更高导致的虚假价格行情信号。这就是为什么基于每日和4小时时间框架进行主要分析很重要的原因。
Outlines
📈 简化日常偏差概念
本视频旨在简化智能货币交易中日常偏差的概念,帮助观众通过识别更高时间框架的方向来提高获胜率,并在较低时间框架中找到更好的入场点。视频解释了为什么需要确定日常偏差,强调了更高时间框架水平的重要性,并介绍了一个简单的、步骤清晰的方法来应用这一概念。此外,讨论了与市场心理学相关的策略,解释了如何结合供需水平、流动性区域和公平价值差距来识别市场的下一步动向。
🔍 控制权与流动性分析
第二段深入探讨了如何通过市场结构变化识别控制市场的一方,强调了建立多头或空头仓位的条件,以及何时认为市场不再具有明确趋势的重要性。通过具体示例展示了如何在K线图上应用这些概念,并推荐了使用fastb网站来获取金融新闻和基本面分析,以及如何使用Trader Edge工具进行回测。段落还讨论了流动性的概念,包括如何识别市场中的买卖侧流动性,并解释了算法价格传递如何利用这些流动性区域来引导市场走势。
📊 应用智能货币概念确定日常偏差
第三段介绍了如何结合供需水平、流动性和公平价值差距等智能货币概念来识别日常市场偏差。通过实际图表示例,展示了市场如何向流动性区域移动,并强调了制定交易策略时多时间框架分析的重要性。此外,介绍了公平价值差距的概念,解释了它如何指示买卖双方之间的不平衡,以及如何为交易者提供潜在的交易机会。
📌 高时框架偏差识别与应用
最后一段汇总了如何将之前讨论的所有概念结合起来,以识别和应用更高时间框架的市场偏差。重点讨论了确定流动性位置、识别市场不平衡(如公平价值差距)的重要性,并且如何利用这些信息来寻找较低时间框架中的逆转确认和交易机会。此段落通过提供一个具体例子,展示了如何将这些策略应用到实际交易中,以及如何使用这些分析来形成一个完整的、高质量的交易方法。
Mindmap
Keywords
💡日常偏见
💡智能金钱交易
💡更高时间框架
💡供需水平
💡流动性区域
💡公平价值缺口
💡结构性突破
💡交易机会
💡市场趋势
💡多时间框架分析
Highlights
每日趋势偏差能帮助你找到更好的入场机会和更清晰地了解市场总体状况。
更高时间框架的关键水平更重要,因为它们提供了价格主要水平的更强迹象。
结合更高时间框架的方向性偏差和更低时间框架的入场机会,可以构成完美的交易。
我们依靠更高时间框架分析市场,然后缩小范围寻找与更高时间框架偏差一致的交易机会。
Transcripts
hey guys welcome back to another episode
in this video we are going to simplify
the concept of the daily bias in smart
money
trading understanding the daily bias
will help you increase your win rate by
finding better entry setups and having a
clearer view of the Market's overall
conditions if your entry models aren't
working well in a lower time frame it's
crucial to identify the direction of the
higher time frame while daily bias may
seem complex this video aims to simplify
it into an easily applicable strategy
that anyone can use on the
chart here's the list of topics we're
going to cover in this
video so if this interests you be sure
to hit the like button to support us in
creating more videos like this also
consider subscribing to our Channel if
you're new as we regularly publish
Advanced trading
[Music]
Concepts
[Music]
so what is the daily bias in smart money
Concepts as the name suggests daily bias
refers to the overall prediction of
Market Direction and sentiment for the
upcoming day so basically it's an
analysis we conduct on higher time
frames such as weekly daily and 4-Hour
charts to better understand market
conditions that may not be visible on
our entry time
frame now most of the daily bias
strategies are overly complicated
without clear guidance that's why in
this video we aim to propose an easy
step-by-step applicable approach but
first why do we even need to determine
the daily bias and what is the
psychology behind it reason number one
Higher time frame levels are more
important a minor reaction to a higher
time frame key level can be a
significant Trend change in the lower
time frames so before placing any trade
we should check how much room we have
before tapping into a higher time frame
Supply or demand area this will help us
understand how to set our targets stop
losses and avoid losing trades here on
the euro dollar 1hour chart we can see a
strong
downtrend however when the price failed
to establish a new lower low and
rejected this level twice the market
reversed now if we zoom out to the Daily
time frame we can see that this area is
considered a strong support area for the
price so despite the heavy bearish
momentum on the 1hour chart we witnessed
a temporary
reversal the higher time frame key
levels are more crucial because they
provide a stronger indication of where
major price levels are located and where
the market is likely to react due to
their stability and reflection of longer
term
Trends number two increasing success
rate the best trading setups occur when
the higher time frame and lower time
frame are in alignment imagine on the
lower time frame we observe a move with
inefficiency breaking above the previous
Market structure in this scenario if the
price manages to pull back to the order
block Zone it would present a perfect
opportunity to enter a long position set
our stop below the swing low and Target
the next level of Market structure ahead
of the
price now what if the lower time frame
analysis aligns with the higher time
frame imagine if the lower time frame
uptrend were part of a bullish movement
on the higher time frame this could
constitute a perfect trade as we have
combined higher time frame levels and
directional bias with a lower time frame
entry setup with all being said the
psychology behind the daily bias and
smart money Concepts is to track the
behavior of institutional Traders so
that we can plan our entry setups
aligned with this
bias now that you understand the
fundamentals let me show you how to
determine the daily bias using smart
money Concepts we use three major major
Concepts in identifying the daily bias
supply and demand levels liquidity areas
and fair value gaps we're going to use a
combination of all the information to
determine the next moves in the
market supply and demand who is in
control now identifying which side is in
control is really important in trading
because it can help you avoid many
unnecessary losses how does the system
work it works based on simple mitigation
principles if the price mitigates a
demand Zone the demand takes control and
if it mitigates a supply Zone the supply
takes control we always want to trade
with the controlling side of the market
let me show you
how here we have a moving downtrend with
a series of bearish impulsive and
corrective movements every time the
market makes a structural break a supply
Zone automatically forms this is the
latest Supply Zone in front of the price
and as long as the price trades below it
the supply is in control but if the
price breaks and closes Above This area
the demand takes control and a demand
Zone forms now if the bullish movements
continue and we witness breaks of
structure to the upside each demand Zone
becomes a trading opportunity to go long
since our bias is bullish this bullish
bias continues until the price Taps into
this unmitigated Supply area after
encountering this area we no longer
consider this Market bullish because it
has the power to reverse the price and
induce a temporary correction so we have
a battle between buyers and sellers the
market could enter a phase of
consolidation between the demand and
Supply until one side regains control
again now here if the market breaks the
demand Zone to the downside it shows
that the supply took control and we can
take short entries until we reach the
next unmitigated demand Zone in front of
the price which happens to be a
temporary reversal point for the price
on the other hand if the price breaks
the supply area to the upside it shows
that the demand is in control and we can
take long entries with confidence until
we reach the next unmitigated Supply
area now let's see an example on the
Candlestick chart for the who is in
control topic but before we continue if
you're curious about how we stay updated
on financial news and fundamental
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the best trading websites with various
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make sure to check the link in the
description here we have a series of
lower lows and lower highs and an
extreme area of the supply zone now why
is this Supply area so important because
it created a bearish imbalance and a
break of structure so our bias is
bearish and if the price returns to this
area we can take short entries and our
first Target would be this
low now here we can see that the price
has failed to create a new low and it
has broken the supply Zone to the upside
which shows that the demand has taken
control now our bias is bullish and we
can take long entries at demand levels
until we reach the unmitigated Supply
area in front of the price after tapping
into that zone we have no clear bias and
we should wait to find out which side
can take control
again all of our explanations were on a
single time frame so far but usually we
apply this concept across multiple time
frames for example this demand Zone
could have been a key level on a higher
time frame anytime you want to determine
the bias you need to analyze from a
higher time frame down to a lower time
frame an important point to note is that
as you zoom into lower time frames
you're likely to encounter many false
price action signals due to higher
volatility that's that's why it's
crucial to base your analysis primarily
on The Daily and 4-Hour time frames this
is also why trading price action setups
tend to have higher win rates on the
hourly time frame compared to the one
minute as lower time frames carry more
noise now with all that being said to
identify the daily bias we open the
daily and 4-Hour charts and apply this
concept to determine who is in control
then we zoom into our entry time frame
and search for trading opportunities
aligned with the higher time frame
bias now the next concept to apply to
the chart to establish a highquality
method for determining daily bias is the
liquidity
concept you might have heard that
liquidity is what makes the price move
but where is this liquidity it's not
just found above the swing highs or
swing
lows at every price level there's a lot
of liquidity available however what
we're talking about here is stop-loss
liquidity liquidity exists where stop
losses are
located there are two types of liquidity
in the market buy side and sells side
liquidity above a high or a group of
highs represents buide liquidity
liquidity below a low or a group of lows
represents sell-side liquidity now how
does it help in terms of identifying
Market
bias to answer this question you need to
know how the algorithmic price delivery
works the algorithmic price delivery is
engineered Market Behavior by big Banks
and institutions to make the market
fluctuations towards the liquidity zones
on the
chart the price is always coming from a
liquidity zone or moving towards it
liquidity to grab and liquidity to
Target when the price approaches buy
side liquidity the bearish Traders will
go short or they will protect their
previously opened short positions on the
other hand the breakout Traders will go
long if the price breaks through this
level the animated movement that aimed
to grab this liquidity is called the buy
side delivery it's running High to
engage the the liquidity above these
relative equal highs the algorithmic
price delivery has engaged the liquidity
by trapping Traders on both sides and
then the smart money would go
short when the price approaches this
level the bullish Traders will go long
or they will protect their previously
opened long positions on the other hand
the breakout Traders will go short if
the price breaks through this level the
animated movement that aimed to grab
this liquidity is called the sell-side
delivery the algorithmic price delivery
has engaged the liquidity by trapping
Traders on both sides and then the smart
money would go long to engage the buy
side
liquidity now this General analysis is
aimed at finding the overall Market
Direction but not entry setups you can
use any strategy to enter the trading
position but remember before using any
setup with your real account you should
back test it on different pairs to
evaluate the trading strategy's
performance using historical data we do
plenty of back testing as well but but
unfortunately it takes a lot of time
that's why we use Trader Edge to back
test our exclusive trade
strategies if you're interested in using
Trader Edge as your back testing tool be
sure to check out the link in the
description
below now here on the actual chart we
have euro dollar in the 4-Hour time
frame this is the perfect example of how
the market moves toward liquidity areas
here these equal highs represent the buy
side liquidity and the equal lows
represent the sell-side liquidity the
market first moves up to engage the buy
side liquidity and then targets the
sell-side
liquidity once again after sweeping the
liquidity below these equal lows the
market aims to Target the buy side
liquidity above this area of Supply this
scenario happens multiple times until
the price starts to push in the original
bearish
Direction the institutional price
delivery has the power to affect the
price but it cannot change the overall
order flow remember trading is about the
future price movements and the nature of
the future is unpredictable it's
impossible to Define every single
possible scenario but through time and
practice you will realize that some
repetitive patterns happen in the market
over and over again now the next concept
to pay attention to on the chart when
identifying the daily bias is fair value
Gap
areas essentially the fair value Gap
refers to the imbalance between the
buyers and sellers which can be
signified by the space between the Wick
of three consecutive candles on a price
chart now what does it mean in terms of
price action it shows a buy side
imbalance where the buying pressure has
significantly outweighed the selling
pressure possibly due to institutional
activities now the market has entered a
phase of inefficiency which usually
leads it to return to the fair value Gap
area to patch them over if you are a
smart money Trader identifying the fair
value Gap should be one of the first
things you do when you open the trading
chart and your eyes must jump right to
it the fair value Gap tells us that big
players have participated in the market
and impacted the price the market
usually comes back to these spots to
grab any leftover orders which might
give us a trading opportunity but only
if there are still orders
left here on the euro dollar 1H hour
chart we have a bearish trend the latest
impulsive move has started somewhere
around here all the way down to here we
had a cells side imbalance which is
signified by these large candles that
left the fair value Gap areas behind now
that the price is buy side inefficient
it needs to return to the fair value Gap
areas to patch them over which possibly
provides us a trading
opportunity again we have a sharp move
to the downside which created a fair
value Gap area then price makes a
pullback to this area rejects the fvg
and continues pushing
downwards we can apply this concept to
all of the time frames even if you look
at the daily or weekly time frame you
will see that price also makes FBG
areas here on the euro dollar daily time
frame we have a gap area between the
lowest price that traded during this day
and the highest price traded during this
one this area is created due to the
massive selling pressure and only
downside price action during the middle
day so we expect the price to eventually
trade back up into that Gap Zone and
that's the nature of the fair value Gap
now with all being said let me show you
how to apply all of the concepts we
discussed in this video to together to
identify the higher time frame bias the
higher time frame analysis depends on
your entry time frame and it must be two
times higher generally we consider 4
hours daily and weekly as the overall
Market
bias now here on the New Zealand dollar
4H hour chart the recent bearish
movements are evident let's apply the
supply and demand concept first this is
the latest bearish break of structure
and this unmitigated area is considered
our most recent Supply zone so right now
our our bias is bearish as long as the
price trades below this Zone the next
question is where is the
liquidity we know that lots of liquidity
is gathered Above This resistance area
so a runup above this line can Engage
The buy side liquidity which is another
confirmation that the price can continue
pushing
downwards now do we have an imbalance in
the latest
move the answer is yes we have a fair
value Gap area which if we apply the
retracement tool we can see that it is
located in the premium zone so forming a
fair value Gap in the premium area could
be a perfect trading opportunity so we
expect the price to return to the FBG to
patch it over and then we can look for
reversal confirmations in the lower time
frame to go
short guys that's it for this video I
hope this video provided value to you if
it did please go ahead and smash the
like button to show your support and if
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episode
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