Lima Tahun Lagi Kekuatan Ekonomi China Kalahkan Amerika Serikat
Summary
TLDRAccording to Bloomberg calculations based on IMF's international economic and monetary projections, China is predicted to become the locomotive of global economic growth in the next five years, with a larger contribution than the US economy. China's contribution to global GDP is expected to reach 22.6%, surpassing India's 12.9% and the US's 11.3%. The Chinese economy rebounded after lifting COVID-19 health protocols, with Q1 2023 growth at 4.5%, exceeding analysts' expectations of 4%. Analysts now estimate China's economic growth for the year could reach 5.4%, a 3% increase from the previous year. Besides China, Indonesia, Germany, Turkey, and Japan are also significant contributors to the global economy. The IMF forecasts that the economic growth of Brazil, Russia, India, and China could outpace G7 countries, while the AFF report suggests a slowdown in global economic growth to around 3%, the lowest in over 30 years. The script also mentions recent global banking turmoil affecting major banks like Credit Suisse and Silicon Valley Bank.
Takeaways
- 🌏 China is predicted to become the locomotive of global economic growth, with a larger contribution than the United States' economy to the global economy.
- 📊 Bloomberg's calculations based on international economic and monetary projections, or IMF data, suggest China's contribution to global GDP will reach 22.6%.
- 🔝 This surpasses India's contribution at 12.9% and the United States at 11.3%.
- 📈 China's economy is expected to rebound after lifting COVID-19 health protocols, with a faster economic meeting in the first quarter of 2023 at 4.5%, higher than the previous quarter's 2.9%.
- 🚀 The National Bureau of Statistics of China released a higher growth figure than the real economic growth rate and analysts' expectations of over 4%.
- 💹 Investors see the unexpected economic growth as an indication of ongoing economic recovery efforts.
- 🔮 Analysts continuously estimate that China's economic growth this year could reach 5.4%, a 3% increase from last year.
- 🌍 Besides China, Indonesia, Germany, Turkey, and Japan are also expected to significantly contribute to the global economy.
- 💼 The IMF predicts that the economic growth contributions from Brazil, Russia, India, and China could surpass the G7 member countries.
- 📉 The AFF report suggests that global economic growth will slow down, with growth around 3%, marking the lowest prospects for global economic growth in over 30 years.
- 🏦 The recent global banking turmoil, impacting large banks like Credit Suisse and Silicon Valley Bank, which often provide financial assistance to promising start-ups, is also mentioned.
Q & A
What is the prediction for China's role in global economic growth in the next five years?
-China is predicted to become the locomotive of global economic growth, with its contribution expected to be larger than that of the United States' economy to the global economy.
Who calculated the projection of China's contribution to the global economy?
-The calculation was done by Bloomberg, based on international economic and monetary forecast data released by the IMF last week.
What is the projected contribution of China to the global GDP?
-China's contribution to the global GDP is projected to reach 22.6%, surpassing the economies of other large countries like India at 12.9% and the United States at 11.3%.
How has China's economy been performing since the lifting of COVID-19 health protocols?
-China's economy has been rebounding rapidly, with its economic growth in the first quarter of 2023 reaching 4.5%, which is higher than the 2.9% growth of the real economy in the same period.
What was the economic growth rate of China in the first quarter of 2023 according to the National Bureau of Statistics of China?
-The economic growth rate was 4.5%, which exceeded the expectations of many analysts who predicted a growth of around 4%.
What is the current view of investors regarding China's unexpected economic growth?
-Investors view the recent economic growth as an indication of the ongoing economic recovery efforts and are closely monitoring the situation.
What is the estimated economic growth rate for China this year according to some analysts?
-Some analysts are estimating that China's economic growth this year could reach 5.4%, which is a 3% increase compared to the previous year.
Besides China, which other countries are expected to have a significant contribution to the global economy?
-Indonesia, Germany, Turkey, and Japan are also expected to have a significant contribution to the global economy.
What is the IMF's projection for the economic growth contribution of Brazil, Russia, India, and China compared to the G7 countries in the next five years?
-The IMF estimates that the economic growth contribution of Brazil, Russia, India, and China could surpass that of the G7 member countries.
What is the current global economic growth prospect as mentioned in the script?
-The current prospect for global economic growth is the lowest it has been in over 30 years, with the AFF report also mentioning recent global banking turmoil affecting major banks like Credit Suisse and Silicon Valley Bank.
What is the impact of the recent global banking turmoil on the financial sector?
-The global banking turmoil has impacted major banks, particularly those that frequently provide financial assistance to promising but financially distressed companies.
Outlines
🚂 China's Economic Growth Prediction
The script discusses the projection that China will become the main engine of global economic growth in the next five years, with a larger contribution than the United States to the global economy. Bloomberg's calculations, based on IMF's international economic and monetary forecast data, suggest that China's contribution to global GDP will reach 22.6%, surpassing India's 12.9% and the U.S.'s 11.3%. The rapid economic recovery in China is attributed to the easing of COVID-19 health protocols. The National Bureau of Statistics of China reported a growth of 4.5% in the first quarter of 2023, which is higher than the 2.9% growth in the previous quarter and exceeds analysts' expectations of 4% growth. Investors see the unexpected economic growth as a sign of ongoing economic recovery efforts. Analysts are now estimating that China's economic growth for the year could reach 5.4%, a 3% increase from the previous year. Besides China, Indonesia, Germany, Turkey, and Japan are also expected to significantly contribute to the global economy. The IMF predicts that the economic growth contributions from Brazil, Russia, India, and China could surpass those of the G7 countries. The script also mentions the recent global banking turmoil impacting major banks like Credit Suisse and Silicon Valley Bank, which often provide financial assistance to promising start-ups.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Economic Growth
💡China
💡Global Economy
💡IMF (International Monetary Fund)
💡GDP (Gross Domestic Product)
💡COVID-19
💡Economic Recovery
💡Investors
💡Projections
💡G7 (Group of Seven)
💡Financial Institutions
Highlights
China is predicted to become the locomotive of global economic growth in the next five years, with a larger contribution than the United States' economy to the global economy.
Bloomberg's calculation is based on international economic and monetary fund projections released by the IMF last week.
China's contribution to the global gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to reach 22.6%, surpassing India's 12.9% and the United States' 11.3%.
China's economy rebounded after the lifting of COVID-19 health protocols, with a faster economic meeting in the first quarter of 2023 at 4.5%.
The National Bureau of Statistics of China released a higher growth figure of 2.9% compared to the actual economic growth in the first quarter of 2023.
The actual economic growth in the first quarter of 2023 exceeded analysts' expectations of 4% growth.
Investors view the unexpected economic growth as an indication of ongoing economic recovery efforts.
Analysts continuously estimate that China's economic growth this year could reach 5.4%, a 3% increase from last year.
Besides China, Indonesia, Germany, Turkey, and Japan are also expected to significantly contribute to the global economy.
The IMF predicts that the economic growth contributions of Brazil, Russia, India, and China could surpass the G7 member countries.
The Asian Financial Forum (AFF) estimates that global economic growth could slow down to around 3%, the lowest growth prospect in over 30 years.
The recent global banking turmoil, impacting major banks like Credit Suisse and Silicon Valley Bank, is also mentioned in the AFF report.
Silicon Valley Bank is described as a financial institution often providing assistance to promising start-up companies.
The transcript discusses the current economic situation as the lowest prospect for global economic growth in more than three decades.
The transcript highlights the importance of China's economic recovery and its impact on the global economy's growth prospects.
The report also touches on the potential implications of the banking sector's recent challenges on the global economy.
Transcripts
[Musik]
5 tahun lagi Cina diprediksi menjadi
lokomotif pertumbuhan ekonomi global
kontribusinya akan lebih besar dari
kontribusi perekonomian Amerika Serikat
terhadap perekonomian global
kalkulasi itu dihitung Bloomberg
berdasarkan data proyeksi ekonomi dan
moneter internasional atau IMF yang
dirilis Pekan lalu usahakan kalkulasi
belum kontribusi Cina terhadap produk
domestik bruto atau PDB Global akan
mencapai 22,6% ini melampaui raksasa
ekonomi dunia India yang berada di angka
12,9% dan Amerika Serikat di angka 11,3%
ekonomi China beransur puli selepas
dicabutnya kebijakan protokol kesehatan
akibat covid 19 yaitu pertemuan ekonomi
China yang lebih cepat pada tiruan 1
2023 sebesar 4,5% angka yang dikeluarkan
biro Statistik Nasional Cina itu lebih
tinggi 2,9% dibandingkan dengan angka
pertumbuhan ekonomi
realisasi pertumbuhan ekonomi di
triwulan 1 2023 tersebut melebihi
perkiraan pertumbuhan ekonomi dari
sejumlah analis sebesar 4% Para investor
menilai pertumbuhan ekonomi mutakhir
yang di luar dugaan itu sebagai petunjuk
tentang upaya pemulihan ekonomi yang
telah berjalan pada relnya jumlah analis
yang berbicara dengan router terus
memperkirakan pertumbuhan ekonomi China
tahun ini bisa mencapai 5,4% atau naik
3% dibandingkan tahun lalu
selain Cina Indonesia bersama Jerman
Turki dan Jepang juga akan memiliki
kontribusi yang cukup signifikan
terhadap perekonomian dunia 5 tahun
kedepan IMF memperkirakan kontribusi
pertumbuhan ekonomi dari Brazil Rusia
India dan Cina bisa melampaui
negara-negara anggota kelompok 7 atau G7
kalau demikian AFF memperkirakan
pertumbuhan ekonomi global akan melambat
tumbuhannya sekitar 3% dalam situasi
perekonomian sekarang ini ini adalah
prospek pertumbuhan ekonomi global
terlemah selama lebih dari 30 tahun
terakhir laporan AFF juga menyebut
terkait Gejolak dunia perbankan
baru-baru ini yang menimpa sejumlah bank
besar seperti kreditsus dan silikon
valleyback bank yang terakhir menjadi
lembaga keuangan yang seringkali
memberikan bantuan keuangan bagi
perusahaan-perusahaan ricisan yang
dinilai prospektif
[Musik]
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