Wall Street Made A Mistake - Snowflake Is On Sale #stockmarket #investing

Best of Us Investors
2 Mar 202415:05

Summary

TLDRThe script discusses the potential of the software company Snowflake to revolutionize industries through artificial intelligence, arguing that Wall Street misunderstands this potential. It focuses on Snowflake's CEO, Frank Slootman, and his replacement, Sher Rehman, who previously led Google AdWords, transforming digital advertising. The script contends Rehman can similarly lead the use of AI and data to replace human roles and decisions across sectors like insurance and government, massively improving efficiency, though markets dropped Snowflake's stock on shifted short-term spending priorities. Overall it predicts Rehman and Snowflake will change how commerce functions globally.

Takeaways

  • πŸ˜€ Snowflake's stock dropped 20% after earnings, but the author believes this was a mistake by Wall Street
  • πŸ‘¨β€πŸ’» The author compares Snowflake's CEO to legendary tech innovators like Gates, Jobs, Page, Brin etc.
  • πŸ“ˆ Snowflake is investing heavily to transition businesses to AI-driven decisions instead of human decisions
  • 😎 The author believes Snowflake's tech will bring efficiency, reduce fraud/waste, and make better decisions
  • πŸ€– Snowflake's tech aims to replace human roles/jobs with AI and data-driven decisions
  • πŸ”’ Snowflake posted strong revenue growth but also higher expenses, leading to losses
  • πŸ“‰ Wall StreetAnalysts forecast higher revenue growth than Snowflake delivered
  • πŸ‘·β€β™‚οΈ Snowflake plans to hire 1,000 more employees including engineers to build new AI systems
  • πŸ’‘ The author connects Snowflake's potential to revolutionize business decisions to the prior digital revolution
  • πŸ’° The author recommends buying more Snowflake stock due to the market underestimating its potential

Q & A

  • Who is the key person mentioned that will lead the AI revolution according to Carrie?

    -S Dar, Remi (likely referring to Shardar Sharma, CEO of Snowflake).

  • What past technology leaders is Shardar compared to in terms of influence?

    -Bill Gates, Steve Jobs, Serj and Larry, Jeff Bezos and Mark Zuckerberg.

  • What industry did Carrie used to work in that gives her insight into potential applications of Snowflake's technology?

    -Carrie used to work in the financial advisor industry.

  • What specific Snowflake product announcement caused their stock price to drop 20%?

    -Snowflake announced they would be increasing expenses by $90 million without a comparable increase in revenue projections. They also announced hiring 1,000 additional employees.

  • How much revenue and expenses did Snowflake have recently?

    -$2.8 billion in revenue and $2.99 billion in expenses, for a $20 million loss.

  • What functions does Carrie predict AI can optimize in industries like insurance and government?

    -Determining valid insurance claims, reducing fraud and graft in government contracting.

  • What change does Carrie think the new Snowflake employees will drive?

    -The new engineers will build systems to replace many of Snowflake's existing staff, transitioning the company towards AI.

  • Why does Carrie think Wall Street misunderstood Snowflake's announcements?

    -They don't understand AI and its transformative potential enough to see the long-term opportunity past short-term cost increases.

  • How does Carrie continue developing her investment ideas?

    -She discusses investments every Friday with her paid membership community to get additional perspectives.

  • What previous Snowflake leader does Carrie say found the limits of his capabilities to lead the AI revolution?

    -Frank Slootman recognized his limits and stepped aside, allowing Snowflake to bring on Shardar Sharma instead.

Outlines

00:00

πŸ˜• Wall Street misunderstands Snowflake and AI

Paragraph 1 explains that Wall Street misinterpreted Snowflake's earnings report and stock drop. Snowflake is investing heavily in AI to drive efficiency and replace human roles. The CEO previously led Google Ads and can replicate this AI transformation across industries.

05:01

😲 Snowflake aggressively investing for AI-driven growth

Paragraph 2 highlights that Snowflake is substantially increasing expenses for hardware, software, and sales staff to fuel AI product development. This will enable data-driven automated decisions to replace inefficient and biased human decisions across sectors.

10:03

πŸ’‘ Snowflake CEO will drive next wave of AI innovation

Paragraph 3 asserts the Snowflake CEO will be regarded alongside tech luminaries for spearheading the next generation of AI. Snowflake's product strategy is misunderstood but will reduce inflation, create efficiency, and promote harmony.

Mindmap

Keywords

πŸ’‘Artificial Intelligence

Artificial intelligence (AI) refers to computer systems that can perform tasks that typically require human intelligence. In the video, the speaker argues that AI is going to revolutionize industries by replacing many human roles and decisions with automated data-driven decisions. This will increase efficiency and reduce costs, fraud, and bias in areas like insurance, banking, manufacturing, etc. Snowflake, and its new executive Shar Remini, will be key players in this AI revolution across all of commerce.

πŸ’‘Snowflake

Snowflake is a cloud data platform company that the speaker believes is poised to become an iconic leader in the artificial intelligence space. He argues that Snowflake's hiring of Shar Remini, an AI expert from Google, signals their ambition to replace human roles and decisions across industries with optimized, unbiased AI.

πŸ’‘Digital Revolution

The speaker compares the coming wave of artificial intelligence to the previous digital revolution in the 1990s/2000s led by companies like Google, Facebook, and Amazon. Those companies transformed industries by teaching consumers new digital ways of interacting. Similarly, AI promises to revolutionize industries by replacing human roles.

πŸ’‘Wall Street

After Snowflake reported earnings, their stock price dropped 20% because Wall Street investors underestimated the long-term potential of the company's pivot into artificial intelligence, instead focusing narrowly on short-term cost increases.

πŸ’‘Decision Making

A key promise the speaker sees in AI is the replacement of biased and inconsistent human decision making in areas like insurance claims, financial services, manufacturing, and government administration. Automated AI decisions will be faster, fairer, and optimize for efficiency rather than self-interest.

πŸ’‘Commerce

The speaker argues that artificial intelligence will fundamentally transform commerce, replacing the need for vast numbers of human roles across industries with optimized automated decisions. This will reduce costs and inefficiency while benefitting consumers.

πŸ’‘Data

Artificial intelligence systems rely on large amounts of data to train algorithms and drive automated decisions. The speaker gives the example of how financial advisors once relied solely on human analysis, but AI can now optimize decisions by comprehensively processing volumes of data.

πŸ’‘Efficiency

A common theme is how AI promises to dramatically increase efficiency in areas bogged down by human bureaucracy, bias, graft, and inconsistent decision making. By relying strictly on data-driven decisions, AI can cut waste and optimize output.

πŸ’‘Future

The speaker emphasizes that artificial intelligence represents the next major shift in how commerce, government, and other complex systems function. Just as digital innovation changed the early 2000s, AI will shape the future by automating an ever-increasing sphere of human activity.

πŸ’‘Revolution

This echoes the broader argument that the rise of optimized and unbiased AI represents a revolution on the scale of the digital revolution before it. Entire industries stand to be remade as data and algorithms replace legacy human roles and bureaucratic processes.

Highlights

Snowflake recognizes that AI will replace humans in many jobs, similar to the digital revolution in 2000

Snowflake's CEO could be compared to legendary tech leaders like Bill Gates and Mark Zuckerberg

Snowflake aims to use AI to make decisions in business more efficient, with less fraud and problems

The CEO led Google's AdWords, transforming digital advertising from a $1.5B to a $100B industry

Snowflake will leverage AI and data to replace human decision makers in many industries

This will increase efficiency and reduce things like insurance fraud

Snowflake spends what's needed to position itself as a leader in AI for business decisions

Wall Street misinterpreted Snowflake's earnings and plans, not grasping the AI potential

Snowflake is hiring engineers to build systems to replace many current employees

AI business decisions could greatly reduce government waste and graft

Wall Street rewards short term metrics, not seeing Snowflake's long term AI vision

Super Micro and Dell show growing computer infrastructure demand driving growth

Snowflake's CEO can lead the transition from human to AI-driven business decisions

Snowflake drop shows Wall Street doesn't grasp AI potential to transform business

Invest in understanding innovations like Snowflake's before the market catches on

Transcripts

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this time Wall Street got it wrong or at

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least they aren't farsighted enough to

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see what is actually happening with

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snowflake uh snowflake did their annual

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report um or quarterly report earlier

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this week and the stock dropped by

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20% uh that was a mistake and it's

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because they don't recognize exactly

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what is happening they don't totally

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understand how AI works and snowflake is

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on sale and snowflake will quite

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possibly become one of the icons of the

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future relative to the use of artificial

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intelligence and it's all driven by

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snowflakes

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recognition that AI is going to replace

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human beings much as um the digital

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revolution of

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2000

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created a new way for consumers to

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consume products to to interact in many

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facets of the world uh the key to this

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is uh s Dar

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Remi I know I screwed his name up but

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you know who he is he is in my mind he

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is going to be viewed comparable to Bill

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Gates Steve Jobs Serj and Larry uh Jeff

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Bezos and Mark Zuckerberg they are the

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people who came and taught us how to use

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digital uh to make our lives better to

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make our worlds more efficient they

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taught us that we adapted to it and we

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use then

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digital to to make us more efficient in

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our world such as I use digital to

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communicate with you I was unable to do

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that until Google taught me how to do it

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through through YouTube well we have now

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moved into the era where uh digital is

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going to teach us how to compute and

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that is to say it's going to teach us

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how to replace people using digital to

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make better decisions and and think of

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it in in this area in in the world of

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insurance banking travel entertainment

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real estate manufacturing for every face

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that you engage in those Industries

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there's at least 20 people behind doing

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the support work to make what you want

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to happen to happen What snowflake is

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going to do is to replace all those

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people uh they're going the the decision

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makers who decided whether or not um

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your insurance claim was valid is going

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to be eliminated because all that is

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going going to happen is some someone is

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going to gather a little more data as to

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what happened to to you and your uh as a

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result of a tornado and the decision

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then will be made through digital

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analysis rather than human analysis

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which will make it much more efficient

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and which will make it much much less um

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fraud and and whatever involved in it

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and will make it work better

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the reason Shar is such a key player is

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he was with Google for 15 years and he

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was in charge of Google AdWords and and

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if you think about how Google AdWords

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changed the advertising industry that we

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don't have advertising agencies anymore

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um the the Google knows more about

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someone's customers than than the the

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the the the manufactur ERS the sellers

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whatever they know more about us than

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our spouses know about us okay so they

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have replaced the advertising industry

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as as has Mark with with Facebook as has

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Jeff with with Amazon they've replaced

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the advertising industry and and shadar

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is the guy who did it he took it from a

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$1.5 billion industry to a00 billion

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industry and then he woke up one day and

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formed a company that said I can do this

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in every aspect of of Comas and he

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formed a company and eight months ago

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that company was bought by by Snowflake

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and they are now going to replace man

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with digital okay so with that being

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said then why did their price go down

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20% this week well because Wall Street

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got it wrong

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understand they they they projected that

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they were going to grow their revenues

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um and and they they also said they were

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going to add 1,000 employees

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okay snowflake doesn't make any money

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okay in fact they had revenues of 2.8

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billion they had expenses of

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2.99 billion so they had a loss of $20

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million they then came Mountain said

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that we are going to spend this next

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year an extra $50 million on GPU chips

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we're going to spend another $10 million

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on uh cost of product and then we're

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going to spend $30 million in increased

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compensation for our Salesforce so

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they're increasing their

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expenses by $90 million but not

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increasing a comp a a comparable amount

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in sales okay then as I said they said

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they're going to raise their employees

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by a thousand currently they employ

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5,884 people so that's an increase in

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their sales force by

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177% what's happening they're going to

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war they're basically saying we're going

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to restructure our company and we're

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going to spend what we have to to take

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us into the next generation of

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artificial intelligence running

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businesses so all the data I used to be

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in the financial financial advisor

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business we had armies of people behind

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us making decisions based on the data

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that we fed them many times they made

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wrong decisions and thus um people

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didn't have their their retirement funds

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grow like they wanted to because

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individuals were making human

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decisions snowflake is going to take

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that out of the equation they are going

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to have those decisions made by the most

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intelligent data available to Mankind

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and made expediently you won't talk to a

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person on the telephone you will get on

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the phone and and they will ask you what

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language you want to speak and they will

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take on the conversation this will make

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everything more efficient think about if

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you put that into our government where

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there's so much graft where there's so

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much uh influence being pedal and take

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all those decisions out of human being

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hands and make them those decisions

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based on what's best for our country our

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citizens and therefore they make good

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decision you know you I can remember one

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time that some I read something that a

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toilet seat on a a fighter on a on a a

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cargo plane cost something like

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$10,000 well that's because all the

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graft that's involved in it all the

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paperwork that goes If you eliminate all

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those people touching that paper all the

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influence that says hey uh you'll find a

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new shotgun in your car if you buy the

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toilet seat from me you'll you'll you'll

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see that this is a major change in how

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Commerce will take place in the world in

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the future

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and Wall Street didn't understand it all

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Wall Street saw was we're going to incre

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our increase our expenses by $90 million

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we're not going to have we're going to

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have a 6% increase in in our Revenue

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which will not offset that and then

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we're going to hire a thousand new

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people well guess what's going to happen

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and who who are those thousand people

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they're Engineers they're the people who

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are going to build the system to replace

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the other five

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884 people that they currently have on

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staff that's what's happening in our

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world in our world and and Wall Street

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doesn't recogniz Wall Street does not

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understand artificial intelligence if

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they

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did they would be

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rewarding snowflake with a 20%

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bump okay we saw today that the computer

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infrastructure structure is driving the

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economy right now uh we saw Dell go up

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30% because they had some extraordinary

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orders because Jensen sold them uh some

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gpus to put into their computers so that

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the the the shortage of computers from

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Super Micro computer could be picked up

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in part by Dell that's why Dell is up

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once that's done that's done but what

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comes behind it

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is the change in our world and the the

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the the movement away from man making

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good bad indifferent biased decisions to

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good decisions made by

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compute and

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snowflake had the insight and the

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courage to go and hire the man who can

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make it happen I can't pronounce his

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name I won't try to you can read it

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snowflake is up a little bit

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today I'll buy

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more because the world doesn't

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understand that this may take a year but

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that man is going to be standing next

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to Bill Gates Steve Jobs Serj and Larry

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Jeff basos and Mark he

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is he is one of the

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those who will be

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recognized as

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innovators for the future I'm Carrie

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grink I'm a retired financial advisor

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there's a lot of things I don't do well

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uh but what I've learned I can do well

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is connect the dots I can I can look at

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something and say that doesn't make

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quite sense to me so if it doesn't make

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sense what what am I missing and I I

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listen to this all the first time uh and

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and I believe that that uh Frank slotman

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got pushed to the side I don't think he

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did after I listened to it a third and a

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fourth time Frank recognized he did what

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he could but he needed to pass the Paton

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on and he he took the the data and

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taught people how to interpret it and

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now someone has to come in and teach

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data how to replace the people how how

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data can think like humans to make

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decisions without bias without prejudice

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and and make good sounds decisions that

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create efficiency and economy that

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reduce inflation rather in rather than

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increasing

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prices that brings Harmony in into a

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very difficult world right now um I'm

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really kind of scared of what is

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is festering under the

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surface uh this is a positive thing

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we've got to look for positive

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things you you dig in you learn

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who

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Shar ra renami is and what is PED agree

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is and you see if you don't believe with

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me Wall Street got it wrong I'm Carrie

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grm I'm I'm the chief I guess of the

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best of us investors

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tribe uh later this afternoon this is

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Friday I will have this discussion with

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my tribe members we have a stock talk

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every Friday a zoom call which if you

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can't make the call you can access the

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the recording of it um and we'll discuss

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this in detail and they'll have an

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understanding then they'll ask questions

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and we'll hash it out how did I come

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across this well when I saw the the drop

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in the stock I went to the earnings call

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and then Brian Brian is a young man from

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um Nashville he's he's a a school

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teacher High School school teacher and

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and coach and he says Carrie do you

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remember I sent you a a video of

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Shamar sha sh shadar

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shadar U being interviewed on CNBC a

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year about a year ago when he made the

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transition into Snowflake and I said

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yeah I do remember it but I need to go

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back and watch the video that's how I

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learn that's how I stay ahead I have a

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tribe I have a group of people who

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subscribe who pay dues okay and we work

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together to make better investment

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decisions if you'd like some help get on

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the bus we have a discount by the way uh

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of uh 50% you'll find that in the

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description