Global Water Crisis: Why Michael Burry is Investing in Blue Gold

Summary

This video script delves into the global water crisis, highlighting the looming shortage by 2030 and the critical role water plays in various sectors. It discusses the limited availability of fresh water, the drastic decline of water levels in key reservoirs, and the escalating demand for water by 2050. The script also explores the potential of capitalism and technological advancements to address the crisis, including desalination and historical weather manipulation projects. It concludes by encouraging viewers to question scare tactics related to water scarcity and to trust in innovation and market-driven solutions.

Takeaways

• 🌍 The world is facing a significant water crisis, with a projected 40% shortfall in freshwater supply by 2030 according to a U.N. Water conference.
• 💧 Globally, more than 4 trillion cubic meters of freshwater are used annually, which is equivalent to 264 gallons per cubic meter.
• 🏞️ 71% of Earth's surface is water, but only 2.5% of it is freshwater, with 0.65% being accessible for human use such as drinking and agriculture.
• 🔄 A major source of freshwater comes from rivers, lakes, and reservoirs, with groundwater aquifers contributing the remaining 25%.
• 📉 Key reservoirs like Lake Mead and Lake Powell have seen critically low levels, dropping significantly from full capacity in 2000 to about 25% today.
• 🌾 70% of freshwater withdrawals are used for agriculture, 20% for industrial use, and the remaining 10% for domestic use.
• 📈 Water demand is expected to increase from 20 to 30% by 2050, with the population living in severely water-scarce areas expected to rise from 1.9 billion in 2010 to 3.2 billion by 2050.
• 💡 Investment opportunities in water are emerging, with strategies including purchasing water rights, investing in water-rich farmland, and investing in water utilities, infrastructure, and equipment.
• 🌊 Desalination is a significant technological solution for water scarcity, with the process removing salt and impurities from seawater to produce potable water.
• 🏭 Large-scale desalination plants, such as the one in Carlsbad, San Diego, demonstrate the feasibility of producing millions of gallons of freshwater daily.
• 💡 The cost of desalinated water has decreased over time, and globally, more than 300 million people rely on desalination plants for their water supply.
• 🤔 The script suggests a critical view on potential 'water crisis' narratives, encouraging skepticism and consideration of technological and capitalistic solutions to water scarcity.

Q & A

What is the potential threat to the U.S. mentioned in the script that could be caused by a water crisis?

The script suggests that a water crisis could be a significant threat to the U.S., as it could potentially be used as a means of attack, highlighting the importance of water availability for the country's security and stability.

According to the U.N. Water conference, what is the projected shortfall in fresh water supply by 2030?

The U.N. Water conference projects a 40% shortfall in fresh water supply by 2030, indicating a significant challenge for global water security.

How much fresh water is used worldwide annually, and what is the significance of this figure?

Worldwide, more than 4 trillion cubic meters of fresh water is used each year. This figure is significant as it underscores the scale of global water consumption and the potential strain on water resources.

What percentage of Earth's water is fresh water, and how is it distributed?

Only 2.5% of Earth's water is fresh water, with 0.65% being the fresh water used for drinking and other human activities. This highlights the scarcity of fresh water resources in comparison to the total water available.

What are the primary sources of fresh water withdrawal in the U.S.?

In the U.S., 75% of fresh water is withdrawn from rivers, lakes, and reservoirs, while 25% comes from groundwater aquifers, indicating the reliance on these sources for water supply.

How has the water level in Lake Mead and Lake Powell changed from 2000 to the present day?

The water levels in Lake Mead and Lake Powell have significantly decreased from being full in 2000 to approximately 25% today, reflecting the severity of water scarcity issues.

What percentage of water withdrawn in the U.S. is used for cooling electric power plants and irrigation?

In the U.S., 80% of water withdrawn is used for cooling electric power plants and irrigation, showing the major consumers of water resources.

What is the expected increase in water demand by 2050?

Water demand is expected to increase by 30% by 2050, indicating a growing pressure on water resources due to population growth and other factors.

What is the current global trend in freshwater scarcity, and which regions are most affected?

The global trend in freshwater scarcity shows that regions such as Northern Africa, the Middle East, and South Asia are most affected, with a score of 100 on the scarcity index, indicating severe water shortages.

What is the controversy surrounding Nestle's water extraction practices in the U.S.?

The controversy lies in Nestle's extraction of water from areas like Michigan and California, where it has been reported to take more water than its rights allow, especially during times of local water crises, raising ethical and environmental concerns.

What are the three ways to invest in water as mentioned in the script?

The three ways to invest in water are by purchasing water rights, investing in water-rich farmland, and investing in water utilities, infrastructure, and equipment.

What is the process of desalination and how is it used to address water scarcity?

Desalination is the process of removing dissolved mineral salts from water, primarily applied to seawater to obtain fresh water for human consumption or agriculture. It involves several steps including intake, screening, pre-treatment, reverse osmosis, post-treatment, and supply, turning seawater into potable water.

How has the cost of desalination changed over the past few decades, and what does this mean for its viability as a solution to water scarcity?

The cost of desalination has dropped by more than half in the last three decades, making it a more viable and accessible solution to water scarcity, especially in regions where fresh water is scarce.

What is the significance of the statement 'only the paranoid survive' in the context of the water crisis?

The statement 'only the paranoid survive' is used to encourage critical thinking and skepticism towards potential scare tactics related to the water crisis. It suggests that individuals should question narratives that may be used to manipulate or control them.

Outlines

00:00

🌊 The Looming Global Water Crisis

The script begins by posing the hypothetical scenario of a country under attack, but instead of conventional warfare, it suggests a water crisis as a potential threat. It highlights the limited time humans can survive without water and introduces the concept that water scarcity could be a significant global issue. The speaker references the movie 'The Big Short' and investor Michael Burry's focus on water as an investment, indicating a growing awareness of water scarcity. The United Nations is cited, predicting a 40% shortfall in freshwater supply by 2030, emphasizing the scale of the problem. The script also provides statistics on global water usage and the distribution of Earth's water, pointing out that only a small percentage is fresh and accessible for human use.

05:02

🌍 The Reality of Freshwater Scarcity and its Impact

This paragraph delves into the sources of freshwater, explaining that the majority comes from rivers, lakes, and reservoirs, with a significant portion from groundwater. It discusses the critical situation of water levels in major U.S. reservoirs like Lake Mead and Lake Powell, illustrating the tangible effects of water scarcity. The script also addresses the use of water in the U.S., particularly for cooling electric power plants and irrigation, and the rapid increase in water demand since 1960. The paragraph further explores the global freshwater scarcity trend, noting regions with the most severe issues and the potential implications for future conflicts over this vital resource.

10:03

💧 Capitalism and Technological Innovation in Water Solutions

The third paragraph discusses the role of capitalism and entrepreneurship in addressing the water crisis. It presents the perspective that companies and individuals negatively impacted by water scarcity will be motivated to find solutions. The speaker cites Michael Burry's investment strategy, focusing on food grown in water-rich areas as a means of water investment. The paragraph also touches on the potential of technology, such as desalination, to alleviate water shortages. Desalination is described as a process for converting seawater into freshwater, with examples of large-scale plants in Israel and the U.S. The script acknowledges the growth of desalination globally since the 1960s and the reduction in associated costs, suggesting a positive trend in addressing the water crisis.

🛠 The Debate Over Desalination and Future Outlook

The final paragraph presents a more critical view of desalination, noting its downsides such as high energy use, environmental impact, and the production of brine as a byproduct. It mentions California's stance against desalination due to environmental concerns. The speaker expresses trust in capitalism and technological advancement to overcome these challenges, citing examples of innovative water production methods and historical instances of weather manipulation, such as Operation Popeye. The script concludes with a call to question the use of crises for control and encourages viewers to consider the long history of human ingenuity in solving water scarcity, ending with a reminder to subscribe for more content on related topics.

Keywords

💡Water Crisis

The term 'Water Crisis' refers to a situation where there is a significant shortage of clean water for use, leading to potential threats to human health, ecosystems, and agriculture. In the video, it is mentioned that the world faces a 40% shortfall in fresh water supply by 2030, illustrating the severity of the issue and its relevance to the main theme.

💡Cyber Warfare

Cyber Warfare is the use of digital attacks to disrupt, damage, or destroy an enemy's computer systems or networks. Although not the main focus of the video, it is mentioned as a potential method of attack, contrasting with the video's central argument that a water crisis could be a more insidious threat.

💡Bio Warfare

Bio Warfare involves the use of biological toxins or organisms as weapons to cause widespread illness or death. Similar to cyber warfare, it is mentioned as a potential attack vector but is not the focus, emphasizing the video's unique angle on the water crisis as a form of attack.

💡Nuclear Warfare

Nuclear Warfare is a form of conflict that involves the use of nuclear weapons, which have devastating effects on both human life and the environment. It is briefly mentioned in the script to highlight the video's surprising claim that a water crisis could be as impactful as traditional warfare methods.

💡Fresh Water

Fresh Water refers to water with low concentrations of dissolved salts and other minerals, making it suitable for drinking and irrigation. The script emphasizes that only 2% of Earth's water is fresh and accessible, highlighting the scarcity and importance of this resource.

💡Desalination

Desalination is the process of removing salt and other impurities from seawater to produce fresh water suitable for human use. The video discusses this as a potential solution to the water crisis, mentioning the Soreq Desalination Plant in Israel and the Carlsbad Desalination Plant in the U.S.

💡Water Scarcity

Water Scarcity is a condition where there is not enough water to meet the needs of people, agriculture, or industry. The script discusses the increasing trend of water scarcity worldwide, with regions such as Northern Africa, the Middle East, and South Asia being particularly affected.

💡Water Rights

Water Rights refer to the legal rights to use a specific amount of water from a water source. The video mentions Michael Burry's strategy of investing in water rights as a way to address the water crisis, emphasizing the economic aspect of water management.

💡Water-Rich Farmland

Water-Rich Farmland is agricultural land that has an abundance of water resources, making it highly productive. The video suggests investing in such farmland as a way to ensure water security and profitability in regions where water is scarce.

💡Desalination Plants

Desalination Plants are facilities that use desalination technology to convert seawater into fresh water. The video discusses the growth of desalination globally and the reduction in costs, indicating the increasing importance of these plants in addressing water scarcity.

💡Operation Popeye

Operation Popeye refers to a U.S. military cloud-seeding project during the Vietnam War, aimed at extending the monsoon season to disrupt enemy supplies. The video mentions this as an example of historical weather manipulation, suggesting the potential for similar technology to address water scarcity.

Highlights

A potential enemy could attack the U.S. by exploiting a water crisis, emphasizing the importance of water security.

The average human can only survive three days without water, highlighting the critical nature of water availability.

By 2030, the world is expected to face a 40% shortfall in freshwater supply, according to a U.N. Water conference.

Globally, more than 4 trillion cubic meters of freshwater are used annually, with 71% of Earth's surface covered by water, mostly saltwater.

Only 0.65% of Earth's water is fresh and suitable for drinking and other uses, with 75% of it withdrawn from rivers, lakes, and reservoirs annually.

Lake Mead and Lake Powell, major U.S. reservoirs, have experienced critically low levels, dropping from full capacity in 2000 to roughly 25% today.

80% of water withdrawn in the U.S. is used for cooling electric power plants and irrigation, indicating the scale of industrial water use.

Investor Michael Burry, known from 'The Big Short', is focusing on water as an investment commodity due to the growing water crisis.

Desalination is a process that removes salt from seawater to produce fresh water, with the largest plant in Israel producing 137 million gallons daily.

The cost of desalinated water has dropped by more than half in the last three decades, making it more accessible for water-scarce regions.

Saudi Arabia produces 20% of the world's desalinated water, with 60% of its water supply being desalinated.

Investing in water can take various forms, including purchasing water rights, investing in water-rich farmland, and water utilities infrastructure.

Operation Popeye was a U.S. military cloud-seeding project during the Vietnam War, demonstrating the potential for weather manipulation.

Technological advancements and capitalism are trusted to find solutions to the water crisis, with companies and entrepreneurs incentivized to innovate.

The speaker encourages skepticism towards scare tactics related to the water crisis, advocating for critical thinking and questioning motives.

The video concludes with a call to action for viewers to subscribe and engage with the content, promoting further exploration of topics like vertical farming.

Transcripts

so if I was to ask you right enough an

enemy wanted to attack our country U.S

let's just say how would they do it you

may say well Pat they're going to do

cyber they're going to do bio Warfare no

they're going to do nuclear what if I

told you they could do it with water if

U.S had a Water Crisis and you and I

don't have water you know how long we

can go without water three days some say

up to a week but most studies say three

days and one of the biggest crisis we're

dealing with right now worldwide is what

a crisis when I show you some of the

statistics on what it's looking like

when you watch the movie Big Short if

you remember the movie Big Show with

Michael burry one of the biggest

investors at everybody worldwide follows

he's got this hedge fund called Scion

hedge fund that I think he manages

nearly two billion dollars you know

what's what it said at the end of the

movie they said Michael burry his next

investment and commodity that he's

focused on is only one thing and what do

you think it was water we're gonna take

a deep dive why so many people around

the world are worried about the Water

Crisis

thank you

okay so if you get value out of this

video give it a thumbs up subscribe to

the channel let's get right into it

according to a U.N Water conference the

world faces a 40 shortfall in fresh

water supply by 2030 and when we break

down water on how much we use worldwide

we use more than 4 trillion cubic meters

of fresh water per year and just to kind

of put that in context on how much 4

trillion cubic meters is one cubic meter

equals 264 gallons of water one cubic

meter so now let's continue Pat what do

you mean by all this water don't we have

all this water the ocean why should we

be worried about water 71 of earth's

surface is covered by water that should

be good news no well there's a

difference between what kind of water we

drink watch this 97 of Earth's water or

salt water two percent is fresh water

trapped in glaciers point six five

percent is the fresh water that we use

for everything such as drinking let's

focus on this 0.65 where do we get this

fresh water from here's what it looks

like 75 of it is withdrawn on each year

from rivers lakes and reservoirs 25

percent comes from groundwater aquifers

and 80 percent of water withdrawn in the

U.S is used for cooling electric power

plants and for irrigation so I just want

to give you a visual here when you look

at to the reservoirs the largest

reservoirs we have in U.S you'll see

Lake Mead and Lake Powell and if you

look at these pictures both of them have

experienced critically low levels

recently here's what it looks like in

2000 versus today in 2000 these two

reservoirs were full 95 they were full

today they're roughly 25 percent said

Brad Udall a watering climate scientist

at Colorado State University it's hard

to overstate how important the Colorado

River is to the entire American

southwest now you may say I'm not a math

cat look 95 just 23 years ago today 25

no matter what the numbers that's not a

good thing on what the numbers are

looking like where we've gone to where

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month so now let's take a look at how

much water we domestic basically have

been withdrawn since 1960 when you look

at this chart here's what it shows if

you look at the dark blue it's domestic

and Industrial then total irrigation and

livestock so obviously 600 increase

since 1960 that's 73 years ago to today

that's not a good thing to see however

70 percent of freshwater withdrawals are

used for agricultural purposes 20 for

industrial use the rest of the 10

percent used for domestic you and I

drink in Water by 2050 water demand is

expected to increase from 20 to 30

percent and by the way when we're saying

2050 I want to show you what the

comparable was of where we were in 2010

and what they're expecting to be by 2015

2010 1.9 billion people lived in

severely water scarce places and this

number is expected to increase to 3.2

billion by 2050. so now if you wanted to

find out where is the freshwater

scarcity Trend worldwide here here's

what we would look at if we look at this

chart here you will look at the numbers

to the right that says 100 so Northern

Africa 100 Middle East South Asia

they're not in a good place and second

Wars will be East Asia and you could

look at Southern Africa and if you were

to say which ones are the best you got

North America South America and

Australia Pacific all at 25 now when you

look at this you know the issue with

water there's been many scandals of

water over the years I'll give you one

of them especially with Nestle when it

was discovered that Flint Michigan's let

tainted pipes created a local Water

Crisis the government originally gave

out free bottled waters but it

eventually ended and at the same time

Department of Environmental Quality had

a prudent Nestle's request to increase

the amount of water it pumps from the

great lakes in the same month the state

decided to stop giving free bottled

water to Flint it was effectively

deciding to give away millions of

gallons to multinational corporation

besides a one-time five thousand dollar

permit application fee under Michigan

law Nestle the largest food and beverage

company in the world must pay the state

only 200 every year administrative fee

to bottle and sell 400 gallons a minute

of Michigan groundwater and that's just

Nestle in Michigan now let's look at

Nestle in California Nestle has

maintained that its rights to California

Spring Water date back to 1865 but a

2017 investigation found that Nestle was

taking far more than its share in 2020

the company Drew out about 58 million

gallons far surpassing the 2.3 million

gallons a year it could validly claim

according to the report Nestle has taken

on average 25 times as much water as it

may have a right too according to the

story of a stuffed project and

environmental group that has been

fighting to stop the bottle Water

Company's operation in California for

years while California is facing record

droughts and wildfires so now every time

there's a crisis there's opportunity why

because a capitalist or an entrepreneur

can come in and say let's solve this

problem if we can solve this problem

there could be a lot of incentives for

it as well so watch what's been

happening with this Matthew deseri the

president and co-founder of the hedge

fund water Asset Management that's

literally what it's called called the

U.S water business the biggest Emerging

Market on earth a trillion dollar market

opportunity in matter of fact like I

told you earlier even Michael burry at

the end of the movie and big short said

that his Focus had become on one

commodity and that is water here's what

he said in an interview in 2015.

transporting water is Impractical for

both political and physical reasons so

buying up water rights did not make a

lot of sense to me what became clear to

me is that food is the way to invest in

water that is grow food and water-rich

areas and transport it for sale in water

poor areas this is the method for

redistributing water that is least

contentious and ultimately can be

profitable which will ensure that this

redistribution is sustainable and he

said the following about wine those of

you guys that drink wine you ready for

this a bottle of wine takes over 400

bottles of water to produce the water

embedded in food is what I have found

interesting so it just tells you guys

that are thinkers they're going to see

opportunities to fix this problem which

means that's a good thing for us long

term there are three ways to invest into

water number one purchasing water rides

number to invest in water Rich farmland

and number three is invest in water

utilities infrastructure and equipment

so now one of the technologies that can

solve the problem is a process called

the desalination which is a process by

which the dissolved mineral salts in

water are removed currently this process

applied to seawater one of the most used

to obtain fresh water for human

consumption or agriculture purposes so

if you look at this flow here step

number one is seawater intake step

number two the intake screening facility

then it's pre-treatment filters then

it's reverse osmosis membrane units

remove salt and other impurities from

water in them step number five is post

treatment to drinking water standard

then you got step number six drinking

water supply tank and last but not least

step number seven seawater concentrate

Outlet all of this process turns

seawater into drinking water it looks

like a technical process but one of the

largest desalination plants in the world

is soric desalination plant is located

south of Tel Aviv Israel and it produces

137 million gallons of potable water a

day and the largest plant we have in the

U.S is in Carlsbad San Diego which

produces is roughly 50 million gallons

of water per day so this is all good

news because once you know the world

found out that this was a problem people

started looking into us and this started

in 1960 and if you look at this chart

here you'll see the growth of

desalination globally from 1960 to 2020

it's climbing and the cost of

desalinated water has been coming down

as a technology of all matter of fact in

the last three decades the cost of

desalination has dropped by more than

half and even globally more than 300

million people now get their water from

desalination plants from the U.S

Southwest to China but there are some

that focus on more than others such as

Saudi Arabia which produces 20 percent

of the world's desalinated water with a

9 million cubic meters produced per day

60 of its water is desalinated and

according to statista if you look at

this Saudi Arabia is investing heavily

in desalination here's what it's looking

like if you look at the left you'll see

Saudi Arabia at the top then it's UAE

Dennis Jordan Egypt Oman Morocco Tunisia

Algeria Kuwait and others so when you're

looking at this of course any way we see

as a solution you think about it and say

okay the future looks bad there's people

that are working on this now there's

certain people that say there's

downsides to desalination with one of

them being it uses a lot of energy could

be bad for the environment it hurts to

fish desalinated water is more expensive

than imported water and for every gallon

of fresh water created one and a half

gallons of salt water was created and

sent back into the ocean and some argue

that this is a problem and the state of

California has increasingly taken an

anti-disalination position citing

environmental reasons so so final

thoughts on this water on how I'm

processing it number one I trust

capitalism what I mean by capitalism

whoever is going to be negatively

impacted by this has to fix this so

let's look at drink companies who would

be negatively impacted by this coffee

relies on water so that's who Coffee

Bean Starbucks 7-Eleven soda is going to

be impacted by this which is who

Coca-Cola Pepsi all the other guys that

got to figure this out water companies

are going to be impacted there's so many

companies that are going to be impacted

by this if it got so bad they would all

gather their resources to figure out a

way to fight against the Water Crisis so

that's one there's too much money

involved that there's no way they're

going to allow this to happen number two

technology advancement I was at Harvard

one guy sitting there from Lagos and he

says here's what we created we're

raising money right now each plant is a

hundred million dollars and we're able

to raise this much money and if we do

this this is how many gallons of water

we can produce on a daily basis like

okay this is good it was a creative way

that they were doing it creating clouds

and all this stuff now very interesting

the way he was doing it it was very

different than desalination but outside

of that I only give you a project an

operation that the CIA worked on in the

60s called operation Popeye I don't know

if you've heard about this or not but

we've known how to make rain fake rain

look real for decades and we've kept it

kind of on the hush hush and we use

words such as allegedly but let me kind

of read this to you so you can kind of

get an idea what this operation Popeye

was about it wasn't about the Popeye

with the big Forum you're talking about

it's a different kind of a Popeye so

operation Popeye was a military cloud

seeding project carried out by the U.S

Air Force during the Vietnam War in 1967

to 72 the highly classified program

attempted to extend the monsoon season

over specific areas of the Ho Chi Minh

trail in order to disrupt the North

Vietnamese military supplies by

softening roads surfaces and causing

landslides the former U.S Secretary of

Defense Robert McNamara was aware that

there might be objections raised by the

international scientific Community but

said in a memo to the president that

such objections had not in the past been

a basis for prevention of military

activities considered to be in the

interest of U.S national security and

the chemical weather modification

program was conducted from Thailand over

Cambodia Laos in Vietnam and allegedly

sponsored by Secretary of State Henry

Kissinger and the CIA without the

authorization of then Secretary of

Defense Melvin Laird who had

categorically denied to Congress that a

program for modification of weather for

use as tactical weapon ever existed so

remember keyword allegedly right

allegedly that this happened but if

that's something they did back in the

days and it turned into a story like

this that means there's plenty of people

that have the technology that if they

really wanted to create rain and even

Michio Kaku had on the podcast before we

interviewed him he was once sitting down

and I think it's with good morning USA

Good Morning America whatever the show

is and he's explaining to them how

through Laser Technology they're able to

manipulate to create rain and this has

been around for a long time and we can

do this today so again advancement I

trust it's out there capitalists I trust

are going to figure out a way through

using technology and I just want to put

this one thought in your head for you to

be thinking about because I truly

believe only the paranoid survived which

is what Andy Grove said FDR once said

the following in politics nothing

happens by accident if it happens you

can bet it was planned that way why am I

saying that quote to you if in the

future you all of a sudden find yourself

with news that's being shared to you to

scare you with Water Crisis and this is

why we have to whatever shut down eat

you know mosquitoes or eat this or eat

that or whatever way they're going to

try to figure out to scare the hell out

of you always go back to wait a minute

we've been able to create rain we've

been able to do all this stuff for so

many different decades why are you using

the scare Tech they just go back to you

know what the solutions are put that

together don't use another crisis to be

able to control me and scare the crap

out of me so I can vote for you be

tempted to question and push back when

somebody uses that crisis against you

having said that if you got value out of

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subscribe to the channel if you've never

seen the video we did on a vertical Farm

an Incredible video we did on vertical

farming it's another crisis that has to

do with farming if you've not seen it

click here to watch it take care

everybody bye bye

foreign