Crypto News: BTC, Trump, Biden, ETH ETFs, Rate Cuts, WLD, HNT & MORE!
Summary
TLDRThe Coin Bureau Weekly News discusses the impact of Donald Trump's pro-crypto stance and his upcoming speech at the Bitcoin conference on crypto markets. It also covers the potential effects of Joe Biden not seeking a second term and the launch of spot Ethereum ETFs on market dynamics. The video speculates on price movements for Bitcoin and Ethereum, considering various bullish and bearish catalysts, including macroeconomic factors and the possible decoupling of crypto from traditional stocks.
Takeaways
- π£οΈ Donald Trump's increased chances of becoming president following an assassination attempt could be bullish for crypto, as he has positioned himself as a pro-crypto candidate.
- π Trump's VP pick, JD Vance, is a crypto supporter and this, along with support from other industry figures, could put crypto back in the spotlight for retail investors.
- π The potential for Trump to speak at the Bitcoin conference in Nashville is a significant event, as no presidential candidate has ever done so before, and could spark renewed interest in crypto.
- π€ The decision by Joe Biden not to seek a second term and the uncertainty of who will become the Democratic nominee could impact crypto markets differently, depending on the nominee's stance on crypto.
- π‘ The launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs and the inflow of over $1 billion could be a bullish signal for BTC, potentially leading to a rally to new all-time highs.
- π The macro backdrop with political and geopolitical uncertainties might affect crypto markets, but the focus remains on crypto-specific catalysts for the moment.
- π The weekly Ballinger band moving average is a significant indicator for BTC's market phase, with being above it suggesting a bull phase and below it suggesting a bear phase.
- π° The absence of BTC sales from Mount Gox creditors and the presence of bullish catalysts make a bullish scenario for BTC more likely.
- π The upcoming listing of spot Ethereum ETFs is expected to be very bullish for ETH and the broader crypto market, potentially leading to significant price increases.
- π The correlation between ETH's price and leverage in DeFi, as well as the ETH to BTC pair being a proxy for altcoin strength, suggests that an increase in these could signal an 'alt season'.
- π Federal Reserve signaling potential interest rate cuts could have mixed effects; while it might stimulate the economy, historical correlations suggest it could also precede market crashes.
Q & A
What is the significance of Donald Trump's upcoming speech at the Bitcoin conference in Nashville?
-Donald Trump's speech at the Bitcoin conference is significant because it is the first time a presidential candidate has spoken at a crypto conference. This could potentially bring crypto back into the spotlight for retail investors in the US.
How might Donald Trump's stance on crypto influence the crypto market?
-Trump's pro-crypto stance and his potential to become president could be bullish for the crypto market. His VP pick, JD Vance, also holds BTC and is not a fan of the SEC, which could further support the crypto market.
What is the potential impact of Joe Biden not seeking a second term on the crypto market?
-Joe Biden's decision to drop out could initially cause a pump in BTC, but the long-term impact depends on who becomes the Democratic nominee and their views on crypto. Kamala Harris, who Biden is backing, has unknown views on crypto, which adds uncertainty.
What are the possible outcomes for BTC if it breaks above the Ballinger band moving average?
-If BTC breaks above the Ballinger band moving average, it could quickly rally to new all-time highs, specifically to around $77,000. Conversely, if it gets rejected, BTC could quickly fall to recent lows, specifically to around $57,000.
What is the potential catalyst for BTC to reach new all-time highs?
-A potential catalyst for BTC to reach new all-time highs could be Trump considering adding BTC as a reserve asset for the US government, which would be a significant move in the crypto space.
What is the expected impact of the spot Ethereum ETFs listing on the crypto market?
-The listing of spot Ethereum ETFs is expected to be very bullish not just for ETH, but for the crypto market more broadly. It could open the door to additional spot crypto ETFs in the future, potentially increasing demand for ETH and other altcoins.
What could be the effect of the Federal Reserve signaling lower interest rates on the crypto market?
-Lowering interest rates by the Federal Reserve could stimulate the economy and the markets, potentially leading to a rotation from large cap stocks into small cap stocks and altcoins. This could benefit the crypto market by proxy, although historically, rate cuts have been correlated with market crashes.
What are the potential benefits of a Trump presidency for the crypto market?
-A Trump presidency could create certainty for crypto due to the likelihood of pro-crypto regulations being passed. Trump's pro-growth policies and desire for a weaker US dollar could also be beneficial for the crypto market, as crypto is inversely correlated with the US dollar.
What is the current state of retail investor interest in crypto?
-Retail investor interest in crypto is currently at its lowest in years, with recent data suggesting that retail-related BTC transactions are the lowest they've been since 2021. This means that most of the money flowing around the crypto market is mercenary capital and experienced retail investors from previous cycles.
What are the potential short-term targets for ETH if it breaks above its key resistance level?
-If ETH breaks above its key resistance level, it could rally as high as $4.9k. Conversely, if there are large net outflows, then ETH could fall as low as $2.9k.
Outlines
π Crypto News: Trump's Impact and Bitcoin Conference
This week's crypto news focuses on Donald Trump's influence on the crypto market. Trump's recent actions, including his attendance at the Bitcoin conference in Nashville, have been significant. His pro-crypto stance and the potential for a second presidential term could boost the crypto industry. The video discusses how Trump's survival of an assassination attempt might increase his popularity and, by extension, the value of cryptocurrencies. The crypto community, including prominent figures like the co-founders of a16z, have shown support for Trump. Additionally, the potential for a Bitcoin ETF and the impact of Joe Biden's decision not to seek a second term are discussed. The video also speculates on the future of crypto, particularly Bitcoin and Ethereum, in light of these political developments.
π Bitcoin Rally and ETF Inflows
The second paragraph delves into the recent rally of Bitcoin, attributing it to a combination of spot Bitcoin ETF inflows and short traders being squeezed. Over $1 billion flowed into ETFs, leading to a rally that reached $67k, a significant level according to the Ballinger band moving average. The discussion covers the potential for Bitcoin to reach new all-time highs if it can break above this key level, or fall to recent lows if rejected. The paragraph also touches on the absence of sales from Mount Goau creditors, which is seen as a bullish sign, and the broader macroeconomic backdrop, including potential geopolitical and political uncertainties that could affect the crypto market.
π Ethereum ETFs and Market Speculation
The third paragraph discusses the upcoming launch of spot Ethereum ETFs and its potential impact on the crypto market. The video speculates on how high Ethereum could go, with the possibility of reaching $3.9k or even $4.9k based on net flows into the ETFs. The discussion also considers the broader implications for Ethereum and adjacent cryptocurrencies, such as layer 2 tokens, which could see significant gains. The paragraph highlights the importance of retail investor interest and the potential for a rotation of gains from Bitcoin into Ethereum, signaling a possible altcoin season. Additionally, the potential for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and their historical correlation with market crashes is explored, with a focus on how these cuts could paradoxically be bullish for crypto.
π Top Performing Cryptos and Market Analysis
In the fourth paragraph, the focus shifts to the top-performing cryptocurrencies of the week, including Dogecoin, Worldcoin, Helium, Floki, and Pepe. Each of these coins is analyzed in terms of their recent price movements and potential future performance, with key resistance and support levels highlighted. The paragraph also discusses the broader market context, including the potential for a Trump presidency to create certainty for the crypto market and the impact of interest rate cuts on stock and crypto markets. The video concludes with a look at the potential for crypto to decouple from stocks, driven by factors such as a second Trump presidency or Federal Reserve actions.
π Weekly Crypto Review and Upcoming Content
The final paragraph wraps up the weekly crypto review, summarizing the key points discussed in the video and encouraging viewers to engage with the content. It highlights the importance of the top-performing cryptos and their potential short-term targets, reminding viewers to join the Coin Bureau Insider Telegram Channel for more updates. The video also promotes the Coin Bureau's deals page, offering significant trading fee discounts and sign-up bonuses. Additionally, viewers are encouraged to check out the Coin Merch store for crypto-related merchandise, with links provided in the video description.
Mindmap
Keywords
π‘Crypto
π‘Donald Trump
π‘Bitcoin (BTC)
π‘Ethereum (ETH)
π‘ETFs
π‘Interest Rates
π‘Altcoins
π‘DeFi
π‘Retail Investors
π‘Macro Backdrop
π‘Bullish Catalysts
Highlights
Donald Trump reaffirms his pro-crypto stance ahead of a historic speech at the Bitcoin conference in Nashville.
Joe Biden announces he won't seek a second term, causing a surge in Bitcoin's value.
BTC spot ETFs accumulate billions, indicating a potential new all-time high for Bitcoin.
The potential listing of spot Ethereum ETFs on Tuesday sparks investor speculation.
Federal Reserve signals interest rate cuts, positively impacting small cap stocks and altcoins.
Last week's top-performing cryptos and their potential future movements are analyzed.
The failed assassination attempt on Trump might have kickstarted a crypto recovery rally.
Trump's VP pick JD Vance's support for crypto and his dislike for the SEC could influence crypto regulations.
The crypto industry's support for Trump and the potential impact on retail investor interest.
Trump's consideration to add BTC as a US government reserve asset could significantly affect the market.
The uncertainty of Kamala Harris's stance on crypto following Biden's withdrawal.
The Ballinger band moving average as a key indicator for Bitcoin's market phase.
The macro backdrop's bearish signals and their potential impact on the crypto market.
The launch of spot Ethereum ETFs and its expected bullish effect on the crypto market.
Ethereum adjacent cryptos and layer 2 tokens could see larger gains following the ETF launch.
Retail investor interest in crypto is at an all-time low, indicating a shift in market dynamics.
The potential for spot Bitcoin ETF investors to rotate into spot Ethereum ETFs, affecting market prices.
Federal Reserve's rate cut signals and their paradoxical impact on stock and crypto markets.
A Trump presidency could create market certainty for crypto but uncertainty for stocks.
Review of last week's top-performing cryptos and analysis of their short-term targets.
Transcripts
welcome to the coin Bureau Weekly News
rounder my name is Jessica and my name
is guy here are the top stories in
crypto this
[Music]
week Trump's crypto bet US presidential
candidate Donald Trump doubles down on
crypto ahead of his historic speech at
the Bitcoin conference in Nashville
while incumbent Joe Biden announces he
won't seek a second term everything you
need to know Wales by BTC spot Bitcoin
ETFs accumulate billions in BTC as Mount
goau creditors continue to hoddle
instead of selling when could BTC hit a
new all-time high Ready Set ETF
exchanges confirm that the spot ethereum
ETFs will list on Tuesday while
investors speculate about their flows
how high or low could eth go rate Cuts
coming
fed officials signal that interest rates
will be brought down causing small cap
stocks and altcoins to go up why rate
Cuts could cause crypto to decouple from
stocks and a closer look at last week's
top performing cryptos and where they
could be headed next all this and More
in just a moment crypto staged a
recovery rally last week and it's
possible that the Catalyst that kicked
it all off was the failed assassination
attempt on Donald Trump this sounds
crazy until you realize that Trump
surviving the attempt on his life has
reportedly increased his chances of
becoming president at least according to
the polls when you remember that Trump
has been positioning himself as a pro
crypto presidential candidate then an
increase in the chances of him winning
is therefore bullish for crypto For
Better or For Worse the fact that
Trump's VP pick JD Vance isn't a fan of
the SEC or Gary Gensler and holds BTC is
really the cherry on top the craziest
part of it all is just how much the
crypto industry has been throwing its
weight behind Trump co-founders of VC
firm a16z have signaled their support
while there's no shortage of other
industry figures vocally getting behind
him not surprisingly Trump seems to be
returning the favor despite almost dying
last weekend Trump has confirmed that he
will be speaking at the Bitcoin
conference in Nashville later this week
for those unaware a presidential
candidate has never spoken at a crypto
conference before so this is a pretty
big deal more importantly this could be
the Catalyst that puts crypto back in
the spotlight for retail investors in
the US take a second to consider that
over 74 million people voted for Trump
in 2020 this means that there could be
Millions possibly tens of millions of
people paying attention to his
appearance at the Bitcoin conference
this will put BTC in the spotlight and
could reignite retail interest in crypto
and yes we know this is a Bitcoin
conference not a crypto conference and
we also know that Donald Trump isn't a
Bitcoin Maxi that's because he launched
his previous nft collections on ethereum
and eth happens to be one of his largest
crypto Holdings at least as of June it's
safe to assume then that his next nft
collection will also be launched on
ethereum meanwhile most Trump related
mem coins seem to be on salana whereas
Trump's nft Antics are likely to result
in an increase in demand for eth and
usage of ethereum his Antics more
generally are likely to result in an
increase in demand for soul and the
usage of salana the caveat in this case
is that Trump is reportedly considering
announcing that he will consider adding
BTC as a reserve asset for the US
government this would be truly crazy and
could very well be the Catalyst that
takes BTC to new all-time highs it could
also leave eth soul and other altcoins
in the dust whatever the case there's no
question that what Trump does and says
in Nashville will move the crypto
markets and that these moves are likely
to be to the upside how much this will
benefit BTC versus altcoins remains to
be seen but one thing is for sure
millions of people will be watching and
many will like L buy now when it comes
to Joe Biden's decision to drop out of
the presidential race the impact on
crypto is harder to assess BTC has
pumped to around 68k in the wake of
yesterday's announcement but a lot now
depends on who becomes the Democratic
nominee in his place Biden is backing
his VP kamla Harris whose views on
crypto if indeed she has any are unknown
she does have ties to Big Tech which
could be inter interpreted as a positive
for crypto or she could aim to continue
the Biden administration's war on the
industry and it's not even certain that
she will be the one to run against Trump
in November we will have to watch and
wait on this one though one thing is for
sure this presidential race just got a
whole lot more interesting but back to
BTC which continued its recovery rally
last week as the Fallout from the
attempt on Trump's life continued now
this second leg higher seems to have
been due to a combination of spot
Bitcoin ETF inflows and short Traders
being squeezed that's because there were
over $1 billion of inflows into the ETFs
and over $200 million of short
liquidations the result was a sudden
rally to 67k which happens to be where
the Ballinger band moving average is on
the weekly for context the weekly
Ballinger band moving average has been a
significant zone of support and
resistance being above it means BTC is
in a bull phase and if BTC is below it
bare phase the fact that BTC is hitting
the Ballinger band moving average on the
weekly is therefore a big deal if BTC
can break back above this key level it
could quickly rally to new all-time
highs specifically to around 77k
conversely if it gets rejected BTC could
quickly fall to recent lows specifically
to around 57k we will likely find out
which way BTC will break in the next
week in the absence of BTC sales from
Mount ga's creditors the bullish
scenario seems more likely this is
simply because Mount goau creditors
selling BTC seems to be the only bearish
Catalyst and it looks like said
creditors aren't too keen on selling on
the flip side there's no shortage of
bullish catalysts that could take BTC
higher this week if you're subscribed to
our Weekly Newsletter you're already
know what these are if you aren't then
be sure to subscribe to our newsletter
to get our weekly Market forecast using
the link in the description now the
caveat is that the macro backdrop is
looking a bit bearish for example major
stock indices such as the S&P 500 and
the NASDAQ have experienced large
pullbacks and could continue falling if
this happens then it could dampen the
rally in BTC and crypto more broadly or
even cause a correction from our
perspective these pullbacks appear to be
due to political and geopolitical
uncertainty politically does Joe Biden
announcing his decision not to run for a
second term and all the speculation
around who will run in his place and
their views on crypto by the way we
recently did a video on this very topic
which you can find in the description
below and what would a second Trump
presidency mean for the markets
meanwhile geopolitically there's growing
instability in the Middle East and
Ukraine which isn't really anything new
so far this bearish macro backdrop
hasn't really affected crypto very much
but this could change if we see
something like say accusations that
crypto is being used to fund certain
militant groups some of you may recall
that this is exactly what happened last
Autumn and it contributed to the
correction back then thankfully though
crypto factors continue to be in the
driver's seat and that means the next
seven days could bring more up only if
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using the link down below now speaking
of bullish catalysts the launch of the
spot ethereum ETFs tomorrow is going to
be very bullish not just for eth but
crypto more broadly that's just because
it will open the door to additional spot
crypto ETFs in the future with salana
likely being the next altcoin in line
more about that in the description
moving on so this begs the question of
How High eth could go when the spot
ethereum ETFs launch well the answer
ultimately depends on the net flows into
the ETFs as well as the speculation
around their launch the chart suggest
that speculation around the listing
alone could be enough to take eth as
high as 3.9k after that the net flows
will be front and center the charts
suggest that eth could rally as high as
4.9k if there are large net inflows
conversely if there are large net
outflows then eth could fall as low as
2.9k again given the bullish crypto
catalysts in play it seems that the
upside scenario is more likely for
reference a rally up to 4.9k would
translate to a percentage gain of around
40% for e and we'll be doing a complete
ethereum ETF video tomorrow so make sure
you're subscribed and have your
notifications on to get that when it
drops now as impressive as a 40% gain
for eth sounds it's nothing when you
realize that ethereum adjacent cryptos
such as layer 2os could see even larger
gains in turn the mean coins on these
layer 2s could see even larger gains
still than the layer 2 tokens themselves
of course this assumes that retail
investors will return to the crypto
Market in number as you may have heard
retail investor interest in crypto is
the lowest it's been in years with
recent data from crypto Quant suggesting
that retail related BTC transactions are
the lowest they've been since
2021 this is extremely important as it
means that most of the money slot ing
around the crypto Market is mercenary
capital and experienced retail investors
from previous Cycles in turn this means
that we may not see the same degree of
investor rotation that we had in
previous crypto Cycles or at least not
yet The Only Exception is the spot ETFs
and this is where things will get
interesting it is possible that spot
Bitcoin ETF investors will begin
rotating their gains into the spot
ethereum ETFs when they launch this
would not only increase eth's price but
also increase its dominance relative to
BTC in the market as a fun fact eth's
price is directly correlated to leverage
in defi as eth is the main form of
collateral used to borrow stable coins
to buy more crypto similarly an increase
in the eth BTC pair is essentially a
proxy for not just eth strength but also
altcoin strength eth BTC Rising means
that alt season is coming with a bit of
luck this would be enough to encourage
more rotation into altcoins something
which has been noticeably absent from
this crypto Market cycle so far believe
it or not but this could start changing
as soon as this week and that's for two
reasons Donald Trump and interest rates
now this ties into another Tailwind that
could take crypto higher this week and
that's additional signaling from the
Federal Reserve that interest rates will
soon be coming down FYI lowering
interest rates will make it easier to
borrow and make debts less expensive
stimulating the economy and the markets
the reason why the FED increased
interest rates to begin with was to
fight inflation that's because
increasing interest rates makes it
harder to borrow and makes debts more
expensive causing the economy and the
markets to slow down obviously the
markets haven't slowed down that much
this has been due to a combination of
fiscal policy AKA government spending
and investors constantly expecting the
FED to lower interest rates in recent
weeks government spending and investor
expectations of rate Cuts have gone into
overdrive which has driven the stock
markets to alltime highs more recently
the prospect of fed Cuts has resulted in
some rotation from large cap stocks into
small cap stocks which could be a
contributing factor to the
aforementioned pullback they've been
experiencing if this rotation continues
then small caps could finally start
outperforming large caps and because
small caps seem to be correlated to
altcoins altcoins could therefore
benefit by proxy there's just one
problem however and that's that fed Cuts
have historically been correlated with
Market crashes this is because
historically the FED would only start
cutting when the economy or the markets
imploded naturally this has led to
speculation that recent comments by fed
officials signaling lower interest rates
are something that's paradoxically
bearish for the markets which could also
be a contributor to the aforementioned
pullback in stocks the catch is that
crypto is the best at pricing things in
in other words it's possible that fed
Cuts could be bearish for stocks but
bullish for crypto because crypto
investors know that money printing is
coming it would be analogous to what
happened during the banking crisis last
spring stock crashed but crypto actually
rallied especially BTC now this would be
a GameChanger as it would effectively
cause crypto to decouple from stocks
completely to bring you up to speed the
prospect of a decoupling is something
that crypto investors have been talking
about for years but it's something that
hasn't really happened yet anyway
besides fed cuts the Catalyst that
causes crypto to decouple from stocks
could could actually be a trump
presidency that's because a trump
victory in November would create
certainty for crypto due to the
likelihood of pro crypto regulations
being passed but it could cause
uncertainty for stocks due to changes in
domestic policy and
geopolitics realistically though a trump
Victory would probably be bullish for
all assets besides Trump's progrowth
policies it's believed that he wants a
weaker US dollar as it's more
stimulative for the economy and the
markets crypto just so happens to be
inversely correlated with the US dollar
dxy down crypto up now we'll be taking a
closer look at what a trump presidency
could mean for the crypto Market later
this week so be sure to keep your eyes
peeled and with all that said it's about
time we looked at last week's top
performing cryptos so Jessica take it
away thank you guy well last week's top
performing cryptos were dog with hat
worldcoin helium flaky and pepe starting
with dog with hat with a PS2 of Pumped
in response to souls rally which seems
to have been driven by confirmation that
the spot ethereum ETFs would soon be
listing you recall that salana seems to
be next in line for spot ETFs of its own
whff is struggling to get above a key
resistance level of around
$2.5 if if it breaks above wi could
rally to
$3.5 if it gets rejected wi could fall
to
$1.5 recall there seems to be a lot more
bullish crypto Catalyst these days but
also remember the bearish macro backdrop
next up we have worldcoin wld appears to
have pumped in response to the news that
the controversial project has delayed
the unlock of 80% of its tokens by 2
years the Practical effect of this is
that there will be less sell pressure
and apparently also more skepticism
around worldcoin itself like with wld is
struggling to get above a key resistance
level of around
$2.5 the difference is that wld could
rally to $4 if it breaks above it and
could fall as low as $1.5 if it gets
rejected some would say that it would be
best for wld to get rejected but let's
not go there there is more about
worldcoin in the description when it
comes to helium h&t appears to have
pumped in response to a progress update
published by helium mobile which is the
joint venture between helium and
T-Mobile which leverages helium's
Hotspots for mobile connectivity it also
appears that helium mobile has hit over
100,000 registered users as you might
have guessed h&t is struggling to get
above a key resistance level of around
$4.5 if it breaks above it could rally
as high as $6 if it gets rejected it
could fall as low as
$4.5 as for Floy it appears to have
pumped in response to the Project's
ongoing transition from a memec coin to
a play to earn crypto fascinating stuff
now lo and behold flaky is still
struggling to get above a key resistance
level of around
.2 which I refer to as two for
Simplicity while speaking to you all
about it anyway if it breaks above it
could rally as high as 25 and if it gets
rejected it could fall as low as5 that's
a potential gain of over 40% versus a
potential loss of around
25% just FYI finally we have Pepe which
appears to have pumped in response to
various promotions on different crypto
exchanges including binance and
crypto.com pepe is struggling to get
above a key resistance level of around
0.00002 again which I referred to as 12
just for reference if it breaks above it
could rally as high as 15 and if it gets
rejected it could fall as low as 9
that's a potential gain of over 20%
versus a potential loss of
25% just F1 Yi and keep in mind that
these are all short-term targets and if
you want to keep track of cryptos which
are pumping but also where you can trade
them then be sure to join the coin
Bureau Insider telegram Channel using
the link down in the
description and that's all for today's
coin Bureau weekly crypto review if you
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watching and we'll see you all in next
week's episode
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