"100% Certainty! $3,000 Gold & $60 Silver In A FEW DAYS!" - David Hunter

Finance Log
1 Jul 202412:18

Summary

TLDRThe video script discusses the potential for gold prices to reach $3,000, driven by strong demand, limited supply, and macroeconomic factors. Analyst David Hunter highlights gold's technical breakout above $2,100 and its consolidation at high levels, suggesting another price surge is imminent. He also notes the impact of a weaker dollar, lower interest rates, and central banks' gold accumulation on boosting gold prices. Additionally, the script touches on economic risks from high debt levels and the potential for a financial crisis.

Takeaways

  • ๐Ÿ“ˆ Gold has broken through previous resistance levels above $2,100 and is predicted to potentially reach $3,000 due to strong demand and limited supply.
  • ๐Ÿ† Gold has shown remarkable resilience, achieving a new record quarterly closing price for the third consecutive quarter, with a 5% increase from the first quarter's end.
  • ๐Ÿ“Š Year-on-year, gold prices have surged by 21%, supported by macroeconomic factors and an upward trajectory on long-term charts.
  • ๐ŸŒ Central banks, particularly in China and Russia, have been significantly increasing their gold reserves, contributing to over 80% of net central bank gold demand.
  • ๐Ÿ’ผ The potential decline in US interest rates, possibly due to Federal Reserve policies or a rapidly accelerating economy, could benefit gold prices as a weaker dollar is expected.
  • ๐Ÿ“‰ Silver, often referred to as the 'poor man's gold,' has experienced a slight decline but still managed to secure a third consecutive quarterly gain, indicating strong demand fundamentals.
  • ๐ŸŒ Geopolitical factors and the actions of central banks buying gold to underpin their currencies are contributing to the increased demand for gold.
  • ๐Ÿ’ก The technical analysis by analyst David Hunter suggests that gold is ready for another breakout after consolidating at high levels for a couple of months.
  • ๐Ÿ’ธ The US national debt is increasing at an alarming rate, which could lead to historically low interest rates and potential risks to global economic stability if inflation surges.
  • ๐Ÿšจ There is a risk of a financial crisis due to the scale of debt accumulation and unsustainable interest rates, which could impair government and economic functioning worldwide.
  • ๐Ÿ”ฎ David Hunter predicts a weak dollar ahead, influenced by factors such as Japan's monetary policy and the potential for interest rates to rise quickly, benefiting gold.

Q & A

  • What is the current status of gold prices according to the script?

    -Gold prices have broken out above $2,100 and have consolidated at high levels after a solid run. The market is showing resilience and has achieved a new record quarterly closing price for the third consecutive quarter, closing at $2,336 per ounce, marking a more than 5% increase from the first quarter's end.

  • What is the prediction for gold's next upward movement?

    -Analyst David Hunter predicts that the next upward movement could propel gold prices toward $3,000, supported by factors such as a potential decline in US interest rates and strong demand for gold.

  • Why is silver often referred to as 'Poor Man's gold'?

    -Silver is often referred to as 'Poor Man's gold' because it shares similar properties with gold, such as being a precious metal, but is more affordable and accessible, making it a popular alternative investment.

  • What factors are contributing to the strong demand for silver?

    -The strong demand for silver is attributed to its status as 'Poor Man's gold' and its limited supply. It is also a metal in high demand due to its various industrial applications.

  • How have central banks been influencing the gold market?

    -Central banks, particularly in China and Russia, have been significantly bolstering their gold reserves, accounting for over 80% of net central bank gold demand reported to the International Monetary Fund since 2004, contributing to the overall demand for gold.

  • What is the potential impact of a weak US dollar on gold prices?

    -A weak US dollar can benefit gold significantly as lower interest rates tend to bolster gold prices. This is because investors often turn to gold as a safe-haven asset when the value of the dollar decreases.

  • What are the implications of the current US national debt for the economy?

    -The spiraling US national debt, if not managed properly, could lead to significant economic risks, including the potential for high inflation and soaring interest rates, which could impair the functioning of governments and economies worldwide.

  • What is the potential scenario if the current debt and interest rates become unsustainable?

    -If the current debt and interest rates become unsustainable, it could trigger a financial crisis of unprecedented magnitude, severely impairing the functioning of governments and economies and raising doubts about the long-term sustainability of current economic policies.

  • What is the role of institutional sponsorship in the gold and silver markets?

    -Institutional sponsorship plays a significant role in the gold and silver markets. If institutions decide to allocate a portion of their portfolio to these metals, it can drive up prices, especially considering the relatively thin markets for precious metals.

  • What are the potential economic policies that could help mitigate the risks associated with the current debt levels?

    -Urgent and sustainable fiscal measures are required to mitigate risks and ensure economic resilience. This includes controlling regulation, lowering taxes, and implementing policies that can efficiently stimulate the economy and generate higher GDP.

  • What is the potential long-term outcome if the current economic policies continue without significant changes?

    -If current economic policies continue without significant changes, the global debt could double, and servicing this debt at higher interest rates could become impossible, leading to a potential economic disaster.

Outlines

00:00

๐Ÿ“ˆ Gold's Bullish Outlook and Potential $3,000 Surge

The first paragraph discusses the recent performance of gold, noting its breakout above $2,100 and subsequent consolidation at high levels. It suggests that gold is poised for another breakout, potentially reaching $3,000. The analysis highlights gold's strong demand, limited supply, and its status as a 'Poor Man's Gold'. The impact of US interest rates and central banks' gold reserves, particularly China and Russia, are mentioned as factors that could bolster gold prices. The paragraph also touches on silver's market performance and ends with an invitation for viewers to subscribe for more content.

05:00

๐Ÿ’ฐ The Economic Implications of Soaring National Debt and Gold's Role

The second paragraph delves into the US national debt's rapid increase and the potential risks it poses to the economy, including the possibility of a financial crisis if inflation surges. The speaker, David Hunter, warns of the dangers of high debt levels combined with unsustainable interest rates, which could lead to a global economic catastrophe. He also discusses the potential for a recession and the impact of leverage through debt and derivatives. The paragraph emphasizes the importance of sustainable fiscal measures and ends with a discussion on the potential for gold to rally despite short-term downward movements.

10:03

๐ŸŒ Global Debt and the Looming Financial Crisis

The third paragraph continues the economic theme, focusing on the global debt situation and the potential for a financial crisis due to the rapid increase in debt and the servicing of that debt at high interest rates. It predicts a possible scenario where interest rates could reach 15-20%, making it nearly impossible to service the ballooning debt. The paragraph also addresses the potential for a recession and the challenges of managing the debt with current economic policies. It concludes with a call to action for viewers to share their thoughts on the predictions and to subscribe for more updates.

Mindmap

Keywords

๐Ÿ’กGold breakout

A 'gold breakout' refers to a significant upward movement in the price of gold, often following a period of consolidation or resistance. In the video, it is mentioned that gold has 'broke out' above $2100 after several attempts, indicating a strong upward trend. This concept is central to the theme of the video, which discusses the potential for gold prices to reach new highs.

๐Ÿ’กConsolidation

Consolidation in financial markets is a period where the price of an asset moves within a certain range, typically after a significant price movement. The script mentions that gold has 'consolidated at high levels' after its breakout, suggesting stability and potential buildup for the next price movement, which is a key aspect of the analysis on gold's future performance.

๐Ÿ’กMacroeconomic support

Macroeconomic support refers to the underlying economic factors that influence the value or performance of an asset. The video script discusses gold having 'solid fundamental macroeconomic support,' implying that broader economic conditions are favorable for gold's continued growth, which is a critical concept in understanding the bullish outlook presented.

๐Ÿ’กTechnical analysis

Technical analysis is a method used in finance to predict the direction of prices through the study of historical price patterns. The script cites analyst David Hunter, who uses technical analysis to predict that gold 'has already surpassed previous resistance levels,' indicating a methodical approach to forecasting gold's price trajectory.

๐Ÿ’กInterest rates

Interest rates are the cost of borrowing money and a key factor influencing investment decisions. The video discusses how 'US interest rates may decline more swiftly than in other regions,' which is significant as lower interest rates can increase the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold, thereby potentially boosting its price.

๐Ÿ’กCentral Bank gold demand

Central Bank gold demand refers to the purchasing of gold by central banks to manage their reserves and support their currencies. The script notes that central banks in China and Russia have been 'significantly bolstering their gold reserves,' which contributes to the overall demand for gold and is relevant to the discussion of gold's value and price.

๐Ÿ’กSilver

Silver is often referred to as the 'poor man's gold' due to its similar properties but lower price. The video mentions silver's 'strong demand fundamentals and limited supply,' making it a valuable asset in its own right and also a factor that could influence gold's price due to its role as an alternative investment.

๐Ÿ’กDebt monetization

Debt monetization is the process where a central bank purchases government debt to inject money into the economy. The script warns of the risks associated with 'aggressive debt monetization efforts,' suggesting a potential for inflation and high interest rates, which could have profound implications for the economy and the value of gold.

๐Ÿ’กGeopolitics

Geopolitics refers to the influence of politics on global events and relationships. The video script suggests that 'geopoliticals' are one of the factors that could drive interest in gold as a safe-haven asset during times of uncertainty, which is an important aspect of the overall narrative on gold's appeal.

๐Ÿ’กSupply and demand

Supply and demand is the economic principle that the availability of a product (supply) and the desire for it (demand) determine its price. The script mentions that neither gold nor silver is 'easy to find anymore,' highlighting a potential supply constraint that, coupled with strong demand, could drive up prices.

๐Ÿ’กInflation

Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services is rising, and subsequently, the purchasing power of currency is falling. The video script suggests a scenario where inflation could 'surge,' which is significant as it could lead to higher interest rates and affect the value of assets like gold, which is often seen as a hedge against inflation.

Highlights

Gold broke above the $2,100 resistance level after several attempts and is expected to break out again, potentially reaching $3,000.

Gold has shown remarkable resilience, achieving a new record quarterly closing price for the third consecutive quarter.

Gold prices have surged by 21% since the end of the second quarter in 2023, supported by strong macroeconomic fundamentals.

Analyst David Hunter predicts that the next upward movement for gold could be driven by a swift decline in US interest rates.

A weaker dollar, potentially resulting from Federal Reserve policies or a rapidly accelerating economy, will benefit gold significantly.

Central banks in China and Russia have been bolstering their gold reserves, contributing to over 80% of net Central Bank gold demand.

Silver, often referred to as the poor man's gold, has strong demand fundamentals and limited supply, increasing its value.

Despite a 1.37% decline last week, silver managed to secure a third consecutive quarterly gain.

The US national debt is spiraling upwards at an alarming rate, with implications for the economy and potential risks of high inflation.

Policy makers may lean on historically low interest rates, which could lead to a surge in rates if inflation rises as anticipated.

A potential financial crisis could severely impair the functioning of governments and economies worldwide.

The current levels of debt and derivatives leverage are beyond anything seen before, even surpassing the levels of 2008.

Trump's policies of lower taxes and controlled regulation could potentially lead to a more normalized recession.

The potential for a bust is high, regardless of who is president, due to the massive ramp up in monetary and fiscal expansion.

Gold may experience short-term downward movement, but the long-term trend remains strong with enduring fundamentals.

The market lacks a clear catalyst for a substantial rally in gold prices, with investor attention fixed on opportunity costs.

David Hunter's predictions and insights on gold and silver prices, as well as the potential economic implications, are shared for further discussion.

Transcripts

play00:00

gold broke out as you know you know got

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above that you know four tries at 2100

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or whatever it was broke out and had a

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nice run and then has you know

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Consolidated for a couple months at a

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high level and I think it's ready to

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break out again or you know get out of

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that consolidation I think the next run

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is probably going to be you know right

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to 3,000 I think certainly Poor Man's

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gold is a big part of it but it also is

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a metal that's in strong demand and not

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very good Supply and as you know I mean

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it's it's not an easy neither gold or or

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silver is easy to find anymore the gold

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market may be hovering below

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$2,350 but this hasn't stopped prices

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from setting new records as we close out

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the second quarter gold has achieved a

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new record quarterly closing price for

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the third consecutive quarter gold has

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shown remarkable resilience and growth

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recently closing the week at

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$2,336 per ounce marking a more than 5%

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increase from the first quarter's end

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year on-ear gold prices have surged

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impressively by 21% since the conclusion

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of the second quarter in

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2023 this upward Trend in gold prices

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has caused many commodity analysts to be

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highly bullish gold has solid

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fundamental macroeconomic support and

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the long-term chart clearly shows an

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upward trajectory notable analyst David

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Hunter points out that technically gold

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has already surpassed previous

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resistance levels breaking through the

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$2,100 Mark after several attempts it

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has had a solid run and has since

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Consolidated at high levels setting the

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stage for another

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breakout David predicts the next upward

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movement could Propel gold prices toward

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$3,000 one reason is the expectation

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that us interest rates may decline more

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swiftly than in other regions whether

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driven by Federal Reserve policies or a

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rapidly accelerating economy a weaker

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dollar will undoubtedly benefit gold

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significantly although seemingly

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counterintuitive lower interest rates

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tend to bolster gold prices notably

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central banks in China and Russia have

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been significantly bolstering their gold

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reserves which have accounted for over

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80% of net Central Bank gold demand

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reported to the international monetary

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fund since 2004 this accumulation is

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seen as a potential strategy to underpin

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their currencies further contributing to

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the demand for gold silver often seen as

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the poor man's gold experienced a 1.37%

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decline last week but managed to secure

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a third consecutive quarterly gain

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despite its price volatility David

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points out that silver has strong demand

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fundamentals and limited Supply making

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it increasingly valuable we will present

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clips from David Hunter's interview but

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before we do if you want more videos

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like this please hit the Subscribe

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button and turn on the notification bell

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for more updates thank you and enjoy the

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video I really believe uh and it hasn't

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come fruition yet but I really believe

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we're staring at a a very weak dollar

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ahead um you know it's hung up it's hung

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in here it's you know it started to

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break I don't know when that was a year

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ago and then turned around and had this

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very long counter Str rally where it's

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you know going up come down some and

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gone up again I really think we have a

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weak dollar ahead the problem is Japan's

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been stubborn in terms of changing their

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policy but I think it's a matter of time

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for them I mean they're they're defying

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logic in terms of printing money like

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crazy and being able to keep interest

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rates close to zero that's just not you

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know we saw what happened here in 20122

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when it breaks it breaks fast and I

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think Japan's very close to a reversal

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in the Yen um so not not by choice but I

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think rates are going to start pushing

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up there um you know my of the euro is

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that the euro is is going to Rally you

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know Canadian dollar Australian dollar

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look twice for rally so I think the

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dollar is going to come under pressure

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part of it is going to be I think that

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our interest rates come down faster than

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some other places um you know whether

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it's fed induced or whether it's just

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our econom is going to start

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decelerating pretty fast I'm not sure

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yet but I think that's all playing into

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you know weak dollar obviously will help

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um gold quite a bit um lower interest

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rates I think may seem um somewhat um

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opposite to intuition but I think we

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lower rates helps gold um so I think you

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got both of those coming here and at the

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same time you still do have plenty of

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things around the world um to get those

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that want to look at gold as a safety or

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a place to run you know you got the

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geopolitics out there that is going to

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add to that you've got central banks um

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particularly China and and Russia buying

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up gold um looking to you know back

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their currencies perhaps so so you've

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got you know I think there are a lot of

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crosscurrents out there that are are

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going to help gold but more than

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anything else technically gold broke out

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as you know you know got above that you

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know four tries at 2100 or whatever it

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was broke out and had a nice run and

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then has you know consolidated for a

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couple months at a high level and I

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think it's ready to break out again or

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you know get out of that consolidation I

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think the next run is probably going to

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be you know right to 3,000 so um I think

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both technically and fundamentally it's

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got you know it's got sport here and you

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know there've been a in both gold and

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silver you've had very little

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institutional

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sponsorship and if that's if they start

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performing here they're they're pretty

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thin markets or you not very big markets

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particularly on the minor side that if

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institutions decide they need to have 5%

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of that in their

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portfolio um and they start copying one

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another it doesn't take much to to drive

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these prices up poor man's gold is a big

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part of it but it also is a metal that's

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in strong demand and not very good

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Supply and as you know I mean it's it's

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not an easy neither gold or or silver is

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easy to find anymore so you know once

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you start seeing that tight uh Supply

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demand

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situation it it's a long process before

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you can get that Supply worked out so um

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you know I think it's got both

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fundamentals going forward and just the

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fact that it is Poor Man's gold the US

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national debt is spiraling upwards at an

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alarming rate despite mounting

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criticisms over extensive government

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spending this rapid accumulation of debt

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carries profound implications for the

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economy to manage this colossal burden

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policy makers are leaning heavily on

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historically low interest rates

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potentially driving them towards near

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zero levels through aggressive debt

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monetization efforts shortly while this

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strategy may appear viable initially it

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poses significant risks should inflation

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surge as anticipated in such a scenario

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interest rates could surge to

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unprecedented Heights potentially

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soaring to between 15% and 20% for both

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short-term treasury bills and and

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long-term bonds David asserts that the

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implications of such a trajectory are

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staggering posing a severe threat to

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global economic stability the sheer

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scale of debt accumulation coupled with

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unsustainable interest rates could

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trigger a financial crisis of

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unprecedented magnitude this could

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severely impair the functioning of

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governments and economies worldwide

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raising serious doubts about the

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long-term sustainability of current

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economic policies addressing these

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challenges will require urgent and

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sustain aable fiscal measures to

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mitigate risks and ensure economic

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resilience in the face of potential

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catastrophes we are able to have you

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know a recession not not just a soft L A

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recession but it doesn't you know it

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doesn't turn into a crisis like we had

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in 20089 and it doesn't what I keep

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saying is we've got that 320 trillion in

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debt we've got quadrillions in notional

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value of derivatives which is leverage

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on markets or leverage on um

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Securities um you know those are two

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forms of Leverage debt and and

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derivatives that are levels that are Way

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Beyond anything we've ever seen before

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even Way Beyond

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20089 if we get a Slowdown that turns

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into a recession my assumption is what

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that leverage does is it really breaks

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things it exacerbates whatever it is

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that's why I'm calling for a bust is

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that if for some you know in some way

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we're able tocate through that and have

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a more normalized recession then I think

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Trump's policies are obviously very much

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more um what we want to see I think you

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can lower taxes control

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regulation and all of a sudden economies

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can be efficient again and you can

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generate a lot higher GDP Etc so I think

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that would be the hopeful side of it I

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think it's a low low probability and

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it's not because it's I think Trump's

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wrong it's because I think the bust

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happens no matter who's president in

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their first year and I don't neither

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one's going to have any ability to

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control that it basically we got to save

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the system here's what you got to do and

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once you once you get into that massive

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ramp up in both money you know monetary

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expansion and fiscal expansion to save

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the system or you know it becomes not 34

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trillion in in debt but probably double

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that because if if I'm or almost double

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that if I'm talking about 20 trillion in

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money you'll see a similar amount of new

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debt coming out because they'll be

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coming up with any program they can to

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kind of goose the system um so it's you

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know I we're at let's say 320 now in

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global debt I suspect by the time we get

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to the end of the decade most of it

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happening in the first part of the next

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cycle or in the bust and the year after

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I think you could see Global debt up

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close to 450 or 500 trillion so if 320

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is off the rails you know what's 500 and

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and again it'll then have to be serviced

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at rates that are because I I think next

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year you could see a 0%

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tenure because of the monetization of

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the debt you know they'll be buying up

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every Bond they can so you could have

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for a little while you know they'll be

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thinking well we can service this

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because rates are low we'll keep rates

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low once inflation ramps up it's going

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to ramp up very fast all of a sudden

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like I said you're going to be looking

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at 15 and 20% not only t- bills but long

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bonds and there just nothing they can do

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to service debt and the debts going to

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be double what it is now so um I just

play11:14

don't know how that equation leads to

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anything but a disaster while gold may

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experience further downward movement in

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the short term the broader Trend resists

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significant shifts despite its enduring

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strong fundamentals over the long term

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the market lacks a clear Catalyst that

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could ignite a substantial rally toward

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new all-time highs investor attention

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remains fixed on Gold's opportunity

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costs particularly as the Federal

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Reserve persists with its assertive

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monetary policy stance share your

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thoughts on David's prediction in the

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comment section below also ensure you

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like this video subscribe to the channel

play11:53

and turn on post notifications for more

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videos like this until next time

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