How to reboot Britain's capital markets | FT Film
Summary
TLDRThe video script discusses the challenges facing the UK's financial sector, particularly the shrinking London Stock Exchange and the outflow of tech start-ups to foreign markets like Nasdaq. It highlights the UK's flawed pension system as a core issue, affecting investment in riskier, innovative sectors. The script calls for pension fund revitalization, regulatory changes, and a cultural shift towards risk-taking to foster growth, competitiveness, and the potential for UK companies to become global giants.
Takeaways
- π The London stock market is experiencing a downturn with an outflow of investment, affecting the city's economic vitality.
- π UK tech start-ups are increasingly drawn to list on the US-based Nasdaq, potentially redirecting returns to foreign investors.
- π‘ A revitalization of the UK economy hinges on pension funds investing in riskier areas to stimulate growth.
- π The London Stock Exchange has seen a significant decline in the number of listed companies and new market entries since 1997.
- π The UK's shrinking share in global equities is a concern, with the FTSE's growth lagging behind US markets.
- π The UK market is dominated by 'old economy' sectors like mining and oil, which are less attractive to asset managers compared to 'new economy' sectors like tech and AI.
- π Large companies, including those in the FTSE 100, are moving their primary listings out of the UK, signaling a need for change.
- π There is a push for regulatory and rule changes to improve the situation and reposition London as a global financial hub.
- π¦ The UK's pension system structure and risk-taking culture are specific issues that need addressing to boost the economy.
- π The UK has a strong start-up scene, especially in biosciences and fintech, but there is a concern about becoming merely an 'incubator economy'.
- πΌ There is a call for a change in perception towards executive pay, especially if it is merited by performance and contributes to company growth.
Q & A
What is the current state of the London stock market according to the transcript?
-The London stock market is suffering from an outflow of investment and is shrinking, with the number of companies listed on public exchanges having fallen significantly since 1997.
Why are tech start-ups in the UK being tempted to list on Nasdaq?
-Tech start-ups are attracted to list on Nasdaq because it could potentially offer them greater returns, which would go to overseas investors rather than staying within the UK economy.
What is identified as the core problem affecting the UK's economy in the transcript?
-The core problem is the UK's flawed pension system, which is not effectively investing in risk areas of the economy, contributing to the decline of the London Stock Exchange.
How has the growth of the FTSE compared to the US market over the last decade?
-The growth of the FTSE has been significantly lower than that of the US market. While the FTSE has just reached 8,000, the growth in the US has been much higher during the same period.
What sectors currently dominate the UK markets and why are they problematic?
-The UK markets are dominated by old economy sectors like mining and oil, which are not as attractive to asset managers looking for exciting new economy investments such as tech and artificial intelligence.
What is the Edinburgh reforms and why are they significant?
-The Edinburgh reforms are a suite of proposals put forward by the chancellor to revitalize the UK economy by changing rules and regulations, aiming to boost the stock exchange and support private company growth.
How do the political parties view the stock exchange and private company growth?
-Both the Conservative party and the Labour party see boosting the stock exchange and helping the growth of private companies as a core part of their shared agenda to make the UK economy more competitive internationally.
What is the concern about the UK becoming an 'incubator economy'?
-The concern is that the UK may only be successful in creating start-ups but fail to finance and retain these companies in the long term, leading to them being bought by foreign corporations or moving their headquarters outside the UK.
What is the role of the Capital Markets Industry Task Force?
-The Capital Markets Industry Task Force was established to bring together people from different parts of the economic ecosystem, particularly to connect those with capital to those who need it, in order to stimulate growth and investment in the UK.
Why is the UK pension system's investment in UK equities considered a problem?
-The UK pension system's underinvestment in UK equities is problematic because it results in a lack of domestic funding for UK businesses, leading to a reliance on foreign investment and potentially hindering the growth of the UK economy.
How has the UK's attitude towards risk-taking in investments changed over time?
-The UK's attitude towards risk-taking has been negatively impacted by past events such as the collapse of Robert Maxwell's publishing empire, leading to a shift towards safer investments like bonds and away from equities, especially UK equities.
Outlines
π Decline of London Stock Exchange and Impact on UK Economy
The script discusses the precarious state of the London Stock Exchange, which is experiencing a significant outflow of investment and a decrease in the number of listed companies. The UK's flawed pension system is identified as a core issue, with pension funds not investing in riskier areas of the economy, leading to a stagnation in growth compared to the US. The dominance of old economy sectors like mining and oil is highlighted, along with the departure of large companies like Shell considering leaving the UK. Initiatives such as the Edinburgh reforms are mentioned as potential solutions, with bipartisan support expected to continue post-election. The script emphasizes the need for a revitalized stock exchange and a more competitive UK economy.
π UK Tech Ecosystem Growth and Challenges in Scaling
This paragraph focuses on the growth of the UK tech ecosystem, with the country ranking as the third-largest in the world. Despite this, there is a recognition that there is a significant gap to bridge before it can rival Silicon Valley. The paragraph introduces Matthew Scullion, CEO of Matillion, who discusses the company's growth and funding. It also touches on the thriving start-up scene in sectors like biosciences and fintech, with successful spin-outs from prestigious universities. However, there is a concern that the UK may become an 'incubator economy,' with many start-ups ultimately being bought by foreign corporations, highlighting the need for domestic investment to support long-term growth.
π Desire for a British Tech Giant and the Challenge of Domestic Investment
The speaker expresses a desire to see a British equivalent to American tech giants like Microsoft or Alphabet, recognizing the potential for the UK to create a company with a trillion-dollar market cap. However, the current state of the UK stock market and the challenges of domestic investment are acknowledged. The US is praised for creating an environment conducive to the growth of small companies, and the question is raised whether the UK can replicate this success in a high-interest-rate environment. The Capital Markets Industry Task Force is introduced as an initiative to connect capital with those who need it, aiming to stimulate the financial services sector and encourage pension funds to invest more in UK equities.
πΌ The UK Pension System's Impact on Risk-Taking and Investment
This paragraph delves into the structure of the UK pension system, which is criticized for not taking enough risk and for its underinvestment in UK equities. The speaker discusses the historical context, including the aftermath of Robert Maxwell's collapse and the subsequent regulatory changes that pushed pension funds into bonds. The lack of an 'equity culture' is identified as a problem, with UK pension funds lagging behind in terms of long-term returns compared to other OECD countries. The paragraph also touches on potential reforms, including channeling more money into private assets and consolidating pension pots, to encourage a shift towards riskier investments and better long-term returns.
π¦ Cultural Differences in Savings and Investment: A Call for Change
The final paragraph addresses the cultural differences between the UK and the US in terms of savings and investment. It contrasts the American approach of investing stimulus checks into the stock market with the British tendency to be more cautious with financial risk. The speaker calls for a change in this culture to improve financial literacy and encourage investment in higher-return assets. The paragraph emphasizes the urgency of this issue for the prosperity of the entire country, not just the financial sector.
Mindmap
Keywords
π‘Delicate juncture
π‘Outflow of investment
π‘Tech start-ups
π‘Pension system
π‘London Stock Exchange
π‘Old economy sectors
π‘IPO activity
π‘Edinburgh reforms
π‘Incubator economy
π‘Risk-taking culture
π‘Financial literacy
Highlights
The London stock market is suffering from an outflow of investment.
UK tech start-ups are tempted to list on Nasdaq, benefiting overseas investors.
The UK's flawed pension system is at the heart of the problem.
The London Stock Exchange is shrinking, with a significant drop in listed companies since 1997.
The UK's growth in the FTSE is significantly lower compared to the US.
UK markets are dominated by old economy sectors, lacking excitement for asset managers.
Major companies like Flutter and CRH are moving their primary listings out of the UK.
The Edinburgh reforms aim to revitalize the UK economy by changing rules and regulations.
Bipartisan support exists for reforms to boost the stock exchange and private company growth.
The UK has the potential to be a global tech hub, with a thriving start-up scene.
The UK is at risk of becoming an incubator economy, losing companies to foreign investment.
UK private investors focus on minimizing risk rather than seeking high growth potential.
The UK pension system is underweight in its own home market, unlike other countries.
Pension reforms are being considered to channel more money into private assets.
The Capital Markets Industry Task Force aims to connect capital providers with those who need it.
The UK needs to focus on financial literacy and directing savings towards higher returning assets.
Cultural differences in money management between the US and the UK impact investment behaviors.
Transcripts
The City is at quite a delicate juncture.
The London stock market has been suffering
from an outflow of investment.
Tech start-ups in the UK are being tempted to list on Nasdaq.
That means that the returns that those companies make
will go to overseas investors.
At the heart of the problem is the UK's flawed pension system.
You're only going to revitalise the UK
if we can get pension funds investing again
into risk areas of the economy.
The London Stock Exchange is shrinking.
That much is clear.
Since 1997 the number of companies
listed on public exchanges has fallen by almost a half,
and the number of new companies coming to market
is down by about a third.
That means that the UK accounts for a shrinking
part of the global pot of global equities.
When I started working in the City nearly a decade ago,
we were talking about the FTSE, would it reach 7,000?
And here we are nine years later and it's just breasted 8,000
for the first time.
That level of growth is just nowhere
near what you've seen in the US in that time.
A big problem is that the UK markets
are dominated by the so-called old economy sectors, things
like mining and oil.
These are not the sorts of investments
that get a lot of asset managers out of bed
in the morning excited about putting money to work.
The new economy, tech, artificial intelligence,
all of that stuff, is just not here.
You've seen companies such as Flutter, which
owns Paddy Power and Betfair.
You've seen CRH, big FTSE 100 groups,
move their primary listing out of the UK to the US.
Even the really big oil companies
like Shell, even the fact that it had crossed their mind
to maybe leave Europe, maybe leave the UK,
this was the wake-up call.
I think that the City really needed
to start taking this seriously.
London, a typical day on the stock exchange, with members
engaged in the busy round of buying and placing shares.
In an ordinary market, what you'd normally have
is companies replacing them, and so that ordinary churn
is a normal part of a vibrant capital market.
I think the fact that IPO activity both in London
and globally has been so subdued for the last couple of years
obviously places a greater emphasis
and focus on those companies that have made those decisions.
There's lots of initiatives to try and improve the situation,
to change rules, to change regulations.
There are a lot of people trying to talk up London and say
that this is part of a wider global problem:
that many markets are suffering.
But there are also specific issues
around the structure of the UK pension system
and really the entire culture of risk-taking.
The chancellor has put forward a set
of what's been called the Edinburgh reforms.
So a whole suite of little proposals that all put together
could start to try and turn this tanker around.
I think there's bipartisan support for this.
So I think that whoever is the next government,
I think this kind of impetus will remain there.
We will have a general election on the 4th of July.
Realistically, irrespective of the outcome of that vote,
this reform agenda is likely to continue
in broadly the same shape.
The Conservative party and the Labour party both see boosting
the stock exchange and helping the growth of private companies
as a core part of their shared agenda effectively of trying
to help the UK economy to be more competitive
internationally.
I don't think it will take very much for people
to see the attractiveness of London rekindled,
and certainly we're making sure there
are going to be no regulatory barriers to that.
The history of our stockbroking goes back to about 1670
when our foreign trade began to expand.
I think the listing rules in the UK
haven't changed substantially in quite a quite a long time.
So I this is an opportunity to put London back
into a global context.
There is a bit of negativity and declinism
at the moment about London's position.
And I think it is wholly misplaced
because it's based on a misunderstanding of some bigger
trends that are happening from which London and the UK
are incredibly well-placed to benefit from.
In the UK we feel really squeamish
about senior executives at listed companies earning
lots of money.
They're fat cats.
They're the bad guys.
There's a very strong argument: this is something
that we have to get over.
I have no problem with high levels of executive pay
if it is merited by the performance
that someone does in growing a company,
and in particular, I think for founders of companies.
I mean, I haven't heard anyone complain about Richard Branson
being a billionaire, because I think people recognise that
the business he set up is extraordinary.
And I think people will feel the same
about the new generation of tech billionaires
that I hope we'll see in the UK.
My name is Matthew Scullion.
I'm the CEO and co-founder of Matillion.
We're about 450 people.
We were founded in 2011 and we sell our software
all over the world.
We wanted to be at the intersection of two
mega trends, cloud and data.
Around 2014 we developed some technology for our own use
actually, and once we got it finished it worked so well
we could feel that sucking sound of need from the market.
And consequently we needed to grow our business quickly.
That's why we've raised $300mn.
million.
So the UK is now the third trillion dollar tech ecosystem
in the world.
The UK has a phenomenal position.
It's got a lot of the ingredients
to really drive a huge amount of economic growth in the UK.
If you look at the last decade, more
unicorns in this country than anywhere other than the US
and China.
I think that's a pretty good record and a good base for us
to start from.
Outside the US, we have the largest financial services
ecosystem, which means that we are getting
the innovation that's leading to the tech
start-ups and the financing.
That means that it really is credible to want
to be the world's next, really giant tech hub.
Could you really recreate Silicon Valley in the UK?
I mean, dream big, sure.
But there's an awfully long way to go before we get there.
I'm Avion Gray, CEO and co-founder of Belong.
Belong is the first platform in the world
to offer a mortgage on stocks.
We recently closed our pre-seed round and that gave us
the capital that we needed to hire the team
and build the business and also launch our private beta
and get the product and the platform
into the hands of real customers.
The VC investors were largely UK based
and our angel investors came from all over the world.
The UK has a thriving start-up scene, particularly in sectors
like biosciences and fintech.
There are some great spin-outs coming from Oxford and Cambridge
universities.
The experience of starting a business
has been a positive one.
Firstly, we have been very impressed by the pool of talent
that we've been able to tap into.
There's also a very impressive sort
of cottage industry of tech providers
that sort of surround fintech businesses like Belong.
At the start-up and scale-up phase
a lot of the government schemes have been fantastically
successful and you can see that in the number of unicorns
that the UK is creating.
Equally, at the large cap end of the scale,
if you look at the FTSE 100, you've got plentiful capital.
A lot of the focus at the moment is going on to that mid stage,
that growth stage where companies are often
looking to raise tens of millions of pounds.
There is a concern, including at the UK's economic development
bank and elsewhere, that basically the UK
is in danger of becoming an incubator economy.
In general, your narrative on how
you're talking about that to me sounds absolutely bang on.
Of that money we've raised, only $mn came from the UK.
All the rest came from Silicon Valley.
Once you've taken foreign money it's
likely that all the money after that
will also come from that geography.
And by the time you come to a liquidity event,
your cap table will mostly be foreign investment
and, as importantly, your board will mostly
be representatives of that foreign investment,
making it more likely that the company ultimately
trends towards becoming a company headquartered
outside of the UK or bought by an American company or whatever.
In the past decade, more than 5,000 UK start-ups have been
bought by corporate buyers, many of them again outside the UK.
If the UK is going to drive economic growth it needs to be
able to finance and keep those companies into the long term
and that means being able to take them all the way from
start-ups, all the way through scaling,
all the way to being worth hundreds of billions of pounds -
global companies, but doing it from the UK.
The typical playbook for investments with UK private
investors is to invest in companies where they know that
they can increase the value of those companies and they work
to increase the value and minimise the risk of losing out.
I like to describe it as 3X and don't lose your shirt.
Unfortunately, what you will never get
is Apple or Google or Netflix.
I'd like to see a British Alphabet.
I'd like to see a British Microsoft.
It might not be for a decade, but I'd
like to see a homegrown company with, you know,
a trillion dollar cap.
The entire FTSE 100 is worth less than Apple.
And he wants to create something of a similar scale in the UK
within a decade.
If he succeeds that would absolutely
dwarf what is already on the FTSE.
The UK stock market would have to be
on a totally different trajectory in another world
to what it is now for that to be the case within 10 years.
It must be the American way of doing things that makes you
the luckiest guy in the world.
The US understood that low interest rates
created a perfect environment for getting small companies
off the ground and making them enormous
and making them incredibly successful,
fuelled by cheap debt.
So can the UK recreate that trick in an environment
where interest rates in a lot of major economies
are standing at about 5 per cent?
It's a really big ask.
I wouldn't say that it's impossible.
I'm not pessimistic about this necessarily,
but it's a really, really tough task.
The Capital Markets Industry Task Force
was established for a time limited period
to try to bring together people from different parts
of the ecosystem, but particularly bring together
the people who have the capital with the people who
need the capital.
If you look at how CMIT is composed,
it's not thousands of people.
It's a small number of people, each one of whom
is meant to represent parts of the economic flywheel
here in the UK.
The first time I walked into the room it was quite intimidating.
Most of the other people were sirs or dames.
They're running gigantic corporations.
But they're also representative of the public market
side of the equation, the companies that have already
made it big enough.
To answer the question of how we make more of those.
you need to talk to the proto-public companies, which
is what I represent.
So yeah, sometimes I feel like the leather jacket
versus the pinstripe suits.
But if we want to crack this code
we don't just need to look at what we do in the City.
We need to look at what we do in the supply
chain of private company business building.
There's no point having the world's best public markets
if there's no companies to list on it.
And that's the part of CMIT I get passionate about.
And suddenly you have bigwigs from across the City,
some kind of very influential people
that are scurrying around behind the scenes,
pulling every lever they can think of,
pulling every string they can see,
to do all of the many hundreds of little tiny things
that we need to do that will add up to a whole of possibly
turning this around.
So the next logical question you have to ask
is what do we need to do to really fire up
our financial services sector, but also
why our pension funds invest so little in the UK,
where in other big markets you could
count on a big amount of domestic pension fund investment
to support any IPO.
One of the things that the chancellor, Jeremy Hunt,
has been talking about recently in his latest budget
is saying that he wants UK pension systems to just explain
how much of their portfolios is held in UK equities.
To my mind this is the thin end of the wedge.
I think pension systems are going
to start coming under a lot more pressure
to put more money to work in UK equity markets and UK stocks.
The issue with that is when you talk
to the people who manage pension funds for a living,
they don't want to be told what to buy by Jeremy Hunt or Rachel
Reeves or anybody else.
They want to do what is right.
They want to get the best returns they can.
We're at a bit of a kind of, you know, slightly at loggerheads
here.
So we're sitting here in the storage centre for the national
Science Museum, and we are surrounded by British
innovation, stuff that's gone back over a couple of hundred
years of proper risk-taking.
And the key to my mind that we face
is: are we seeing the risk-taking today being
funded in the UK to allow this to perpetuate into the future?
So Schroders started as largely a public markets
business, running listed equities around the world
for our clients.
I first joined Schroders in 1988.
75 per cent of our assets were invested in UK equities.
Today that number is less than 2 per cent.
The UK has got the second largest pool of pension fund
assets in the world, but it's not structured in a way
that it can be easily mobilised.
You've got three different pools of capital.
You've got the old style defined benefit pension schemes.
Then there's the new style defined contribution schemes,
and then there's the pools of insurance capital.
The major challenge the UK faces is the two biggest
pots of capital with insurance companies
and with defined benefit pension funds do not take risk.
And this lack of risk-taking taking in our pension funds
shows up in their long-term returns.
So the UK is towards the bottom of the pack in a ranking
compiled by the OECD.
Large parts of the UK pension system
are absolutely dominated by bonds.
They buy bonds.
They love bonds.
Bonds suit their needs.
Bonds suit their regulatory framework.
They suit making sure that they're
meeting the requirements of retirees when their time comes.
But they've lost that equity culture along the way,
and they've lost this willingness
to put money to work in riskier ventures, in younger companies.
And that's a really difficult thing to fix.
To understand the root cause of all of this you have to go back
to the early 90s and the death of Robert Maxwell.
So after he died and his publishing empire collapsed
it turned out he'd been pillaging the pension fund
to prop up some of his companies.
And regulation responded to that by reducing the amount of risk
that pension funds could take with their assets,
pushing them to invest in bonds in particular, which we've seen
and are generally seen as lower risk.
But that had the effect of pushing money out of equities.
Where pension funds kept equities
they tended to move away from UK equities
to global equities, which was really
just them saying that they wanted to invest in US growth
companies.
People from all walks of life, workers, farmers, housewives,
all of us send our daughters to work in our business system,
in the hope of earning dividends or interest on our investments.
That is a huge contrast to the natural domestic bias
that nearly every other country will
have, which is somewhere perhaps 20, 25 per cent,
depending on the country.
And yet we've got some of the best science and technology
businesses in the world.
What we are doing is absolutely in the interests of pension fund
holders, of people who are going to be
needing to draw down a pension at the end of their lives.
It just instinctively feels ridiculous
that the UK has the only big pension
system in the world that is underweight its own home market.
This doesn't happen anywhere else.
It's only the Brits could do this.
But this just feels like something that can and should
be tweaked so that we can start to turn it around.
So there are several pension reforms
that the government is looking at.
One is channelling more money into private assets.
Another is consolidating smaller pension pots
into one larger one.
And there's also a focus on trying
to think of returns, net of fees, rather than just
the headline charges.
My name is Nick Jansa and I'm responsible for Ontario
Teachers' Pension Plan in Europe.
Ultimately, our fiduciary duty is to deliver returns
to our members, and having the choice
as to where to invest those we believe
is the best path to success.
So Ontario Teachers' Pension Fund
is one of the pioneers of modern pension fund management.
It's about twice the size of its nearest counterpart in the UK
and its returns are enviable.
We need to consolidate our pension fund industry.
It's far too big.
We need to make sure that the regulatory structure rewards
people who invest for long term returns.
Financial services is an area where
we believe there's good growth within the global economy.
So 7iM is a vertically integrated UK wealth management
company.
We had been tracking and monitoring it
for about three years and when the company came up for sale
we were able to move very quickly and directly because we
were an active investor.
Within the UK specifically it could
be anything from helping start-up ventures all the way
through to companies that are growing
and trying to help and offer services, something like Busy
Bees, for example, in terms of the child care sector,
through to infrastructure at the other end, which
could be something like our investment in the Scottish
and Southern transmission network.
I think there's something like 62mn individual pension pots
in the UK which have never been aggregated.
Overseas, the Australians, the Canadians
have done a great job of making those pools of capital scalable.
I don't think we have the same savings and investment culture
that you do in the US where everyone has their 401(k).
I think we could do a lot more around financial literacy.
The amount of money which is flowing into people's savings
is nothing like sufficient to provide for them in retirement.
But even when it gets into their pension pots
it's then directed to low returning
assets that are low risk.
So at every stage we've got things
that are aiming off and producing less return.
And one thing that always strikes
me is that in the pandemic, in lockdowns, Americans
got cheques in the post, right?
You know, Uncle Sam sent them some money
because they couldn't go to work.
And what did Americans do with this money?
A lot of them punted on stocks.
Now, in a million years, if you sent a check for Β£1,000
to the average Brit, there is no way on God's green Earth they
would start punting around in the stock market with that
money.
We just think differently.
We have a different sort of culture around money
and that is a much more difficult thing to fix.
There's a tremendous urgency here,
and this is not about the City of London.
It's not about bankers in suits.
It's about the prosperity of the entire country.
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