Metode Delphie dan Metode Delbeq

Summary

This video explains two methods for determining problem priorities: the Delphi Method and the Delbecq Method. The Delphi Method uses iterative rounds of surveys to gather opinions and refine solutions to complex issues, while the Delbecq Method involves group rankings to identify the most and least important issues. Both methods aim to foster collective decision-making and ensure effective problem-solving, with the Delphi Method focusing on subjective judgment and feedback, and the Delbecq Method emphasizing independent ranking without peer influence. These techniques are useful for addressing complex problems where empirical analysis is not feasible.

Takeaways

• 😀 The script discusses two methods for determining problem priorities: Delphi and Delbecq.
• 😀 The Delphi method involves gathering and structuring the opinions of group members or experts through multiple rounds of surveys to solve complex issues that cannot be addressed empirically.
• 😀 The Delphi method follows four main phases: 1) initial questionnaire to explore the problem, 2) a second round to gather responses, 3) resolving disagreements through a third questionnaire, and 4) final conclusions and feedback to the group.
• 😀 The goal of the Delphi method is to collect collective, subjective insights from a group to address problems that do not have straightforward solutions.
• 😀 The Delbecq method is designed to determine the highest and lowest priority problems by assessing the responses from a small group (6-8 people).
• 😀 In the Delbecq method, each group member individually ranks problems without being influenced by others, ensuring independent responses.
• 😀 After the individual rankings in the Delbecq method, the results are compiled and analyzed to determine the highest and lowest-priority issues.
• 😀 Both methods, Delphi and Delbecq, focus on collective decision-making and allow for a structured approach to prioritizing problems based on group input.
• 😀 The Delphi method is especially useful for resolving complex issues that require expert or subjective judgment, rather than empirical data.
• 😀 The Delbecq method aims to clarify the relative importance of issues within a specific group, ensuring that all perspectives are considered before making final decisions.

Q & A

What is the Delphi method used for?

The Delphi method is used to gather and refine expert opinions on a specific issue through multiple rounds of surveys and feedback. It helps to reach a consensus on complex problems that cannot be easily solved through empirical analysis.

What are the main stages in the Delphi method?

The Delphi method consists of four main stages: (1) Initial Questionnaire, (2) Feedback and Revisions, (3) Final Evaluation, and (4) Conclusion.

What is the goal of the Delphi method?

The goal of the Delphi method is to achieve a collective consensus or improve clarity on an issue through iterative rounds of surveys and feedback from expert panelists.

How does the Delbecq method differ from the Delphi method?

The Delbecq method focuses on determining priorities within a small group of 6-8 participants. It involves independent ranking of issues, followed by group discussion to identify the most and least important problems. Unlike Delphi, Delbecq does not involve multiple rounds of feedback.

What is the first step in the Delbecq method?

The first step in the Delbecq method is for each participant to independently rank the problems or issues, ensuring that there is no influence from other group members.

What happens after participants rank the issues in the Delbecq method?

After the participants rank the issues independently, the rankings are shared within the group. The results are then compiled to determine the most and least important problems.

Why is it important that participants in the Delbecq method rank issues independently?

Independent ranking ensures that the final results reflect each participant's genuine opinion, free from external influence or bias from other group members.

How many people are typically involved in the Delbecq method?

The Delbecq method typically involves a small group of 6-8 participants.

What is the purpose of the feedback stage in the Delphi method?

The feedback stage in the Delphi method allows participants to reconsider their responses based on the insights and opinions shared by other group members, refining their viewpoints and helping to move toward consensus.

When should the Delphi method be used instead of empirical analysis?

The Delphi method should be used when issues cannot be resolved through empirical analysis, but instead require collective subjective judgment, often in complex or uncertain situations.