Brave New Words - Bill Gates & Sal Khan

Khan Academy
15 May 202427:22

Summary

TLDRIn a thought-provoking discussion, Bill Gates shares his insights on the future of AI in education and work. He emphasizes that AI will enhance productivity, making it crucial to develop deeper skill sets in fields like medical consultation, scientific thinking, and customer support. Gates highlights the irreplaceable value of jobs requiring deep human connection and empathy. He envisions a future where AI acts as an intern or research assistant, and the importance of managing these tools will rise. He also contemplates the potential for a shift towards leisure, with AI taking on more tasks, and the need for governments to adapt policies to support this transition. Gates is optimistic about AI's role in addressing global challenges but acknowledges concerns about governance and the ethical use of technology.

Takeaways

  • 📚 AI will enhance productivity in various fields, including software development, where there's a high demand for quality software.
  • 🧠 The job market is hard to predict, but deeper skills in areas like medical consultation, scientific thinking, and customer support will remain valuable even with AI advancements.
  • 🚀 AI's capabilities are horizontal, affecting all areas rather than being confined to specific domains, implying that everyone will have access to AI assistance.
  • 👩‍💼 Jobs requiring deep human connection and empathy, such as caring for the elderly or motivating students, will continue to be in high demand and are less likely to be replaced by AI.
  • 🕰 We are experiencing two technological revolutions in parallel: AI for white-collar tasks and robotics for blue-collar tasks, both of which will lead to increased leisure time.
  • 🤖 The rise of AI and robotics could lead to a future where labor is subsidized, and there's a shift in taxation from labor to capital and profits.
  • 💼 In the future, traditional work involving data analysis and presentation may be automated, requiring a shift towards more strategic and managerial roles.
  • 📝 AI can assist in education by providing feedback, helping with drafts, and creating study programs, which could change the dynamics of how students learn and are assessed.
  • 🏫 The use of AI in education may require new methods for assessing students' abilities, as traditional tests may no longer be sufficient to measure a student's capabilities in the age of AI.
  • 🌟 AI has the potential to provide personalized tutoring and can help identify and correct misconceptions, making high-quality education more accessible.
  • ⚖️ There is a debate over the role of standardized testing in education, with AI offering the possibility of more nuanced and comprehensive assessments in the future.

Q & A

  • What is the main theme of the book 'Brave New Words'?

    -The main theme of 'Brave New Words' is the future of AI and its implications on education and work.

  • What advice does Bill Gates give to individuals trying to figure out what skills to focus on in the age of AI?

    -Bill Gates suggests focusing on deeper skill sets such as medical consultation, scientific thinking, or customer support, which will hold value even in a world where productivity is enhanced by AI.

  • How does Bill Gates perceive the future job market in relation to AI?

    -Gates believes it's hard to predict the exact job market landscape, but he emphasizes that roles requiring deep human connection and empathy will always be in demand and not easily replaced by AI.

  • What does Bill Gates think about the potential for leisure time as a result of AI advancements?

    -Gates anticipates that AI will lead to more leisure time due to increased productivity. However, he also acknowledges that past patterns of productivity have led to more work rather than less, so the outcome is not certain.

  • What is Bill Gates' perspective on the role of government in managing the impact of AI?

    -Gates sees a significant role for government in managing the impact of AI, including changing tax policies and implementing retraining programs. However, he expresses concern about whether governance structures are mature and agile enough to handle these challenges.

  • How does Bill Gates view the potential of AI in education?

    -Gates is excited about the potential of AI to provide personalized feedback and act as a custom tutor, which can help students engage more deeply with subjects and improve their learning outcomes.

  • What does Bill Gates suggest about the future of assessment in education with the advent of AI?

    -Gates believes that AI can provide richer and more nuanced assessments that can better capture a student's understanding and progress. However, he also acknowledges that there is still work to be done to ensure these AI assessments are as effective as human-led assessments.

  • What is the importance of managing AI's impact on jobs, according to Bill Gates?

    -Gates stresses the importance of ensuring that AI's impact on jobs is managed in a way that benefits society as a whole. This includes creating opportunities for people to upskill and transition into new roles that complement AI, rather than being replaced by it.

  • How does Bill Gates address the concern about AI's potential to exacerbate existing societal issues?

    -Gates acknowledges the potential for AI to exacerbate issues like bias and divisiveness. He emphasizes the need for governance and regulation to ensure that AI is used equitably and does not contribute to societal divisions.

  • What does Bill Gates envision as the future of productivity with AI?

    -Gates envisions a future where AI enhances productivity, leading to improvements in various sectors such as healthcare, education, and elderly care. He believes that increased productivity can help address societal challenges more effectively.

  • What are Bill Gates' thoughts on the potential for AI to improve motivation in learning?

    -Gates sees AI as a tool that can help understand and motivate students more effectively. He believes that AI tutors can provide the right level of encouragement and make learning more engaging and beneficial for students.

Outlines

00:00

📚 AI's Impact on Education and Workforce

The paragraph discusses the future of AI in education and the workforce. The speaker, from Khan Academy, introduces Bill Gates as a guest and delves into the implications of AI on productivity and job markets. It emphasizes the importance of deeper skill sets and human connection in jobs that are less likely to be automated. The conversation also touches on the potential for AI to serve as an 'intern' or 'research assistant,' and the enduring need for roles that require empathy and personal interaction. Additionally, the paragraph explores the idea of increased leisure time due to AI advancements and the possible shift towards a shorter work week.

05:01

🚀 The Acceleration of AI in Economy and Society

This section of the script focuses on the rapid integration of AI into the economy and its potential to alter job markets within the next five to ten years. It suggests that the impact of AI could lead to a significant shift in how labor and leisure are valued, possibly resulting in a 'robot tax' and subsidies for labor. The discussion also addresses the automation of traditional work tasks and the need for individuals to take on more managerial and strategic roles. The importance of education in preparing individuals for these changes is highlighted, with a focus on how AI can be used as a tool for learning and assessment.

10:03

🤖 AI and the Future of Skill Assessment

The paragraph explores the challenges and opportunities presented by AI in the context of skill assessment. It acknowledges the limitations of traditional testing methods and the potential for AI to provide richer, more personalized assessments. The conversation also touches on the importance of objective assessment and the need for AI to reach a level where it can effectively mimic the depth of interaction between a student and a knowledgeable professor. The potential for AI to accommodate different learning styles and skills is also discussed, along with the hope that AI can help make education more accessible and effective.

15:07

🌟 The Role of AI in Enhancing Productivity and Addressing Social Challenges

This section envisions a future where AI enhances productivity, leading to improvements in various sectors such as healthcare, education, and elderly care. It suggests that the increased efficiency due to AI could address societal challenges like aging and climate change. The paragraph also acknowledges the need for government intervention to manage the transition, including tax policy changes and retraining programs. The discussion highlights the importance of using AI equitably and avoiding its misuse, such as in deep fakes or cyber attacks.

20:08

🌐 Political and Governance Challenges in the AI Era

The final paragraph delves into the political and governance challenges that come with the advancement of AI. It expresses optimism about AI's potential to improve areas like malaria eradication and education but also voices concerns about whether current governance structures are equipped to handle the rapid changes and ethical considerations that AI presents. The conversation ends on a note that emphasizes the importance of innovation and the need for proactive measures to ensure that AI is used for the greater good.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Artificial Intelligence (AI)

Artificial Intelligence refers to the simulation of human intelligence in machines that are programmed to think like humans and mimic their actions. In the video, AI is central to discussions about the future of education, work, and its broader societal implications. It is portrayed as a technology that will enhance productivity and change job market dynamics.

💡Productivity

Productivity is the efficiency of output per unit of input, and in the context of the video, it is discussed in relation to how AI can increase the efficiency of tasks, leading to a potential shift in the job market and leisure time. The video explores the idea that AI might lead to a more productive society, which could have profound effects on work culture and lifestyle.

💡Deep Learning

Deep Learning is a subset of machine learning that uses neural networks with many layers (hence 'deep') to analyze various factors of data. The video touches on deep learning as part of the advancements in AI that are making tasks like reading and writing more efficient, which could lead to significant changes in white-collar jobs.

💡Robotics

Robotics involves the development and operation of robots, which are increasingly becoming a part of various industries. In the video, Bill Gates mentions the parallel development of robotics alongside AI, suggesting a future where physical tasks may be performed by general-purpose robots, leading to more leisure time for humans.

💡Human Connection and Empathy

Human connection and empathy refer to the ability to understand and share the feelings of others. The video emphasizes jobs that require deep human connection and empathy, such as caring for the elderly or motivating students, as areas where AI is less likely to substitute for human roles. These roles are seen as irreplaceable by AI in the foreseeable future.

💡Leisure Time

Leisure time is the period when an individual is free to pursue personal interests, hobbies, or rest. The video discusses the potential for increased leisure time due to AI and automation, suggesting that as productivity increases, people may have more time for personal fulfillment and less time spent on work-related tasks.

💡Job Market

The job market refers to the system of labor supply and demand. The video explores how AI will impact the job market, with predictions that certain jobs will become automated, while others will evolve to require more management and strategic skills, as AI takes over more routine tasks.

💡Education

Education is the process of acquiring knowledge, skills, values, and habits. The video discusses the role of AI in education, suggesting that AI can provide personalized tutoring and feedback, potentially revolutionizing how students learn and how educators teach.

💡Assessment

Assessment is the process of evaluating the quality, effectiveness, or amount of something. In the context of the video, assessment is discussed in relation to education, where AI could provide richer and more nuanced evaluations of student performance, moving beyond traditional standardized testing.

💡Workforce Retraining

Workforce retraining involves teaching new skills to workers to adapt to changes in the job market. The video suggests that as AI changes the nature of work, there will be a need for government policies that support retraining programs to help workers transition to new roles.

💡Tax Policies

Tax policies are the government's rules and regulations concerning taxation. The video discusses the potential need for tax policy changes in response to AI, such as taxing capital and profits more and labor less, to reflect the shift in productivity and the value of human work.

Highlights

AI will make people more productive, enhancing job roles like software writing and creating higher quality software.

The job market is hard to predict, but deeper skill sets in areas like medical consultation, scientific thinking, and customer support will hold value even with AI advancements.

AI capabilities are horizontal in nature, affecting all fields rather than being topic-specific, implying everyone will have access to an 'intern' or 'research assistant'.

Jobs requiring deep human connection and empathy, like helping the elderly or motivating students, will always be in high demand and are less likely to be replaced by AI.

There are two technological revolutions happening in parallel: AI for white-collar tasks and robotics for blue-collar tasks, both leading to more leisure time for individuals.

The future may see a shift towards a four-day work week as productivity increases, and there could be a 'robot tax' to subsidize labor.

Investment banks and consulting firms may need to adapt by subsidizing interns and junior analysts to maintain a sense of purpose and skill development.

Education will need to adapt to AI by creating environments where students cannot use software tools to test their abilities.

AI can provide personalized feedback and tutoring, which can enhance learning but also poses challenges for traditional testing methods.

The role of AI in education will likely accelerate the need for individuals to take on higher-level roles such as architects, editors, and managers.

Workplace productivity will increase as AI assists in creating business plans and other tasks, but human value addition remains crucial.

AI's role in journalism is improving, but the human aspect of making contacts and forming bonds is still irreplaceable.

Assessment methods may change with AI providing richer, more nuanced evaluations that can adapt to different learning styles.

AI has the potential to give more personalized and effective educational experiences, particularly for students who struggle with motivation.

The political and governance challenges of AI include managing deep fakes, bias, and AI-enabled cyber attacks.

There is a need for government to play a significant role in shaping the future of AI, including tax policies and retraining programs.

The future of work and education in five years will likely see more automation in straightforward jobs and increased productivity in others, leading to improvements in healthcare, education, and elderly care.

Bill Gates expresses optimism about AI's potential to improve areas like healthcare and education but acknowledges concerns about governance and the societal impact of AI.

Transcripts

play00:00

hi everyone s here from Khan Academy and

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as some of you all know I have released

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my second book Brave New words about the

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future of AI and education and work it's

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available wherever you might buy your

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books but as part of the research for

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that book I did some interviews with

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some Fascinating People which you are

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about to watch I'm very excited to

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introduce you to Our Guest who probably

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needs no introduction Bill Gates Bill

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thanks for joining us great to see you

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so I know AI is very front of mind for

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you uh obviously all of us at Khan

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Academy have been thinking a lot about

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AI in education and you know the the

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focus of this is AI in education and

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work and I'll start with a question that

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I'm getting from a lot of teenagers and

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folks in college and their parents is

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given what you know about what's

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happening in artificial intelligence and

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maybe in other Technologies well like

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what advice would you give to someone

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who's trying to figure out what skills

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should they focus on or not focus on

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what should they major in what are the

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jobs going to look like or not look like

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well the

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AI

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uh will make people more productive and

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you know in some cases like writing

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software you know there's a lot of unmet

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demand for good software you can make it

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higher quality

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software exactly what the job market

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looks like is very hard to predict but

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the deeper skill set you know whe

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whether it's medical consultation or uh

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scientific thinking or customer

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support uh you know the more value

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that's going to have even in a world

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where your productivity will be enhanced

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by having this sort of almost

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free uh worker you know is looking over

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your shoulder giving you advice uh

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giving giving you lots of feedback on

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what it is that you're doing so I don't

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think there's anything like you know

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don't become a barber or a

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radiologist that we have in mind because

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this the new capabilities are very

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horizontal in nature it's not a a topic

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specific uh set of

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advances so it's it's kind of like

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everyone's going to have a an intern or

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a research assistant or an analyst so

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maybe the answer is don't be the

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research assistant or the intern or the

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analyst learn to manage them yeah and

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and of course jobs like uh you know

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helping handicapped elderly uh helping

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to motivate

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students uh you know there's such an

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infinite demand for those things even in

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the rich world but even more

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dramatically so in developing countries

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that you know jobs that require deep

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human connection and

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empathy uh you know we'd say it's a long

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ways off uh before there's a a

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substitute for those things you know we

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have two revolutions kind of in parallel

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we have this uh chat BT enabled sort of

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reading and writing White Collar

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enhancement but in the meantime people

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shouldn't underestimate that the blue

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collar sort of Robotics eventually

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leading to a humanoid robot that's quite

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general purpose in terms of the physical

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skills arms

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legs uh

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the things that it can do that's also

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happening and so the good news is that

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we're going to have more Leisure Time uh

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that a lot of the shortages that we have

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on medical advice or when we get

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confused being able to be straightened

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out you know we have this supply of

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these new

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capabilities and you know the unique

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roles that humans take on or you know

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how they'll take their extra spare time

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and and make that fulfilling uh are our

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challenges you know what you just

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touched on is interesting because I

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think people have always theorized that

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hey we're going to get more productive

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we're going to be able to do more with

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less time and so we'll have more Leisure

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which is you know I think utopian for a

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lot of folks but it looks like the

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patterns of the past of productivity

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improvements are if anything that the

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the hyperproductive are working harder

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that they're they're they they're

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because they get so much leverage from

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from every minute um that it's not

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necessarily leading to that do you think

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something's different about this wave

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where maybe things like the four-day or

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maybe even eventually a three-day work

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week will will become common or do you

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think people are just going to be able

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to do more with less and hire fewer

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people than they do today the analogies

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from the past

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are worth understanding but the changes

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in the past were generational in nature

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you know so the mechanization of the

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primary occupation which was growing

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food that happens

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gradually uh and so you know Grandpa was

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a farmer and you know your parents less

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so and then you know now I don't know

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many Rich World Farmers I know a few but

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not many uh and so you didn't have to

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change midcareer

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and you know the it is true that demand

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for things uh that we wouldn't have

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expected emerged and so it's comforting

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to look at that history but the total

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level of capability here and the speed

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at which it's going to suffuse into the

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economy and change job markets you know

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five years the effect will be very

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substantial I'd say in 10 years it's

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going to be quite dramatic and so I

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don't think we can

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completely dismiss the idea of uh uh

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this change

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will uh finally get us to the point

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where the tradeoff between labor and

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Leisure uh actually becomes

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important and you know instead of taxing

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labor like with payroll

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taxes uh you know I called it a robot

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tax when I talked about it and people

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thought it was strange but we'll shift

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to where we essentially subsidize labor

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and tax you know completely on the the

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capital and and profit side which is a

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that alone is a pretty big shift that

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government will need to make it's a

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fascinating idea it makes a ton of sense

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because obviously if we have a more

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abundant Society more productive Society

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but you know let's take an investment

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bank or consulting firm a lot of the

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traditional work that people are

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building and the size of the

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organization are analysts doing

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spreadsheets and making PowerPoint

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presentations and a lot of that stuff's

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going to get automated very fast and so

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this is a world where you subsidize

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these firms to say no keep hiring

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interns keep hiring these Junior

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analysts um we'll Subs so have a sense

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of purpose as opposed to these young

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people not having something to do not

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building their skill set and never being

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able to become the the

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manager yeah if you get to the extreme

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where you know the purpose that jobs

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provide uh isn't the central organizing

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principal Society then you get into you

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know some deep philosophical questions

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about you know what should priorities

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and what what is the purpose in an

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abstruse way you know the Boston Book

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superintelligence touched on that I I

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don't really think it's that's been

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written about all that well um you know

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life

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3.0 did a good job of saying okay what

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is the role of the intelligence in these

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futuristic scenarios lot of new books

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coming out right now I haven't uh been

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able to catch up to them all uh probably

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some of those will be will be helpful

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I'm I'm interviewing you right now for

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one of them perfect

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this and and um just going back to I

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guess more uh uh Basics so to speak

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obviously a lot of the folk we talk a

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little bit about work but now going back

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to the core of Education which I know

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you care deeply about we've chatted many

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times about

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education right now there's a bit of an

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emergency going on in education people

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like kids are going to cheat using this

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technology how what what do you have an

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answer for and we're hearing this from

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every you know faculty across grade

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levels

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across what would you do if you were a a

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a history Professor or a writing

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professor at a high school or a or

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college right

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now well to have a pure test of

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somebody's ability to write on their own

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or calculate on their own you'll need to

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create

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a an environment where they they don't

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have access to the software tools our

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efforts to detect whether software has

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helped you write

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something uh you know we'll catch the

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sloppiest you know sort of the

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equivalent of cotton paste from

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Wikipedia but in the end uh we won't be

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able to tell because there'd be such a

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variety of tools and the variety of

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prompts uh will make that quite

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difficult so the good news here is that

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for the first time if you write on a

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topic the AI can give you feedback uh it

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can help you with the first draft it can

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uh help compare what you've done to to

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something else it can create a program

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of study of things that you might try to

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write about and so the level of

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Engagement where it can uh help you

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whenever you're stuck really is

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something new it goes even beyond the

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fact that there's great YouTube videos

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about all the sciences and history this

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gets into the realm of Uh

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custom to tutors and feedback on reading

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and writing so the Paradox that now we

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have this tool that if you want to learn

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it makes it easier but testing

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somebody's uh capability we're going to

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have to use new techniques and sadly in

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some cases it might make people feel

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like wow wow if it's so good uh you know

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do I still need to push myself uh as

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hard we're you know you and I are seing

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both for personal fulfillment and to

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play uh a role in contribution in a in a

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job market the higher level your skills

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are you know the more uh it it will

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retain a substantial value so the you

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know helping kids learn how to

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uh get feedback on their

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writing um I think that's imperative

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because we we do a very poor job of that

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today so what I'm hearing is is that not

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only is there not less of a reason

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there's more of a reason to accelerate

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part the earlier part of our

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conversation which is those intern level

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entry level things are quickly going to

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expect you to be more of the architect

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more of the editor more of the manager

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and if you can't make that leap sooner

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than later the good news is these same

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tools can be used to do that which I

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agree with as well and obviously we're

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working on a lot of that what would you

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uh so if if there was a profession I

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mean we get emails from folks maybe you

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do too of like what do I do this fall

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like what and it sounds like you would

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do more in-class Proctor things for

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assessment and would you still do the

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traditional term paper or would you

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change the rules of engagement on that

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well yes in the

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workplace people are going to be

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encouraged to come up with the best

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product they can where it's them plus

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the AI and so there's no reason not to

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have that be one of the uh skills that

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you practice is hey you know let's do a

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business plan and sure you know learn

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how to use the very best AI tools but

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you know I will view the if I just have

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the AI do it without any of your value

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added you know that's going to be like a

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c minus uh are worse uh you have to get

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in there and you know bring in a little

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more accuracy different sources of

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knowledge uh and you know have have

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unique uh value added I mean you

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understand the audience that it's going

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to it's even hard still for the computer

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to understand all those different

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context so yes uh you're going to have

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two kinds of writing uh writing you do

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completely without the help of the

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computer and writing you do where you're

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encouraged to make it be the best

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assistant possible no that makes sense

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you know we talked to Kevin Roose who

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writes for the New York Times also

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famously wrote about his interactions

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with Sydney and all of that uh and his

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point is there's writing and there's

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journalism the writing the AIS are

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getting very good at but the journalism

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making the contacts being able to

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interview people form bonds Etc and that

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there's an analog to everything if

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you're an

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entrepreneur doing user testing you know

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although the AI might might be able to

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do pieces of that related to this whole

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practice feedback you know you you

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touched on the word assessment I'm

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curious what you where you think

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assessment is going obviously for many

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years scalable assessment was fairly

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limited Scantron multiple choice that's

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what we did because we couldn't do

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richer assessment it started to drive

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what does or does not happen in the

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classroom do you think that's about to

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change well there's a controversy over a

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assessment uh independent of the AI you

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know should SAT scores

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be part of college admissions you know I

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do think uh proving that your math

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skills and your you know basic

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understanding of you know history and uh

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science is strong you know that's pretty

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important and that when you want to

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consolidate knowledge the fact that

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you'll be asked very broad questions

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about it is very motivational to making

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it accessible not just okay tomorrow

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I'll know it in a simplistic form rather

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I know how to access it and combine it

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with my other knowledge so I'm still

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somebody who thinks that tests uh can

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help you know you know where you are in

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a subject area and you know it's a

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meritocratic thing that uh you really

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want to be able to prove that you have

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some cap capability certainly when I go

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to a doctor I'm glad they've been

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subject to some uh uh examination and

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and test of their competence now dealing

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with the fact that if you have a

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disadvantaged background even if you're

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on a slope to get really

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good that looking at you just at that

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moment in time you know may not maybe

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shouldn't be directly comparable that's

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an interesting challenge partly that's

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why I love the idea of the computer

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tutor because uh it can be encouraging

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it can come it can understand what your

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misconceptions are uh and it will you

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know if we can make it available very

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broadly it means that the sophistication

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that say my parents you know provided to

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me as college graduates is less

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unique uh in a world where the the AI

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tutor is super helpful in in a huge

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variety of subjects but you know I'll

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stick up in many cases you know having a

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objective assessment assessment of your

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skills um you know I I think once you

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move away from that you're in a uh a

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very difficult place even in terms of

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your own discipline of do I understand

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this topic or not yeah no I I I agree

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and you know whenever someone says oh

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I'm against standardized assessment I'm

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like which part are you against the

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standardized part or the assessment part

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and it's usually hard for them to be

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against either of those but I think what

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they are implicitly saying is they feel

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like it's maybe not fully capturing

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where the student is there's only

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certain things you can measure maybe

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it's not capturing their slope to your

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point it's a snapshot in time do you

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think that AI in the next five years 10

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years might solve this by being able to

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give richer assessment and you know

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assessment could be where you are in

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math it could be where you are in

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writing it could even be things like job

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interviews that's a form of assessment

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uh career progression do you think it's

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going to play a big role there well I

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think given that we still have certain

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imperfections in the

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AI uh people can still be skeptical when

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we say that a interactive assessment

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with the AI discussing a topic like your

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understanding of history or economics

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that that we can make that equivalent to

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the very best sort of uh Professor who

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would engage you deeply and and I think

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we will get to that level and that is

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superior to just a set of standardized

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questions uh that you know have to have

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sort of a a straightforward answer and

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you know your your richness of

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understanding the topic

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uh and there is you know there are

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people who are better at

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multiple choice type questions and test

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things you know I I think you and I

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probably would have done well

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educationally but I think partly we are

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good at tests and and I felt bad for

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kids who you know the test I could tell

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they were intimidated you know when that

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you know multiple choice you have to

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answer all of these in an hour would

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come out so by

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accommodating a more flexible dialogue I

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think different styles of

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learning uh will will be appreciated

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different a broader set of skills will

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be appreciated but we still have to

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prove that uh to people we're not we're

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not at that level of matching a a great

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uh Professor discussing a topic with you

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yet and then being able to actually give

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a good assessment of it exactly we've

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seen we can emulate the actual

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discussion part quite good already but

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that the strong assessment I think

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there's but but probably going to happen

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my guess yes it's going to happen I mean

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it's it when you have experts who are

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good at something that's linguistic in

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nature and as you gather those data sets

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and constantly give feedback to them you

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know even with today's mechanisms which

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uh can be improved but even just with

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this we can develop uh something like a

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human

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expert and I mean with that it's funny I

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mean this conversation as you know even

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a year ago would have all seemed like

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science fiction and this is all uh

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changing so quickly I I know I feel this

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way and I feel like I'm in the middle of

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it but still things are changing so fast

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you also are probably seeing even

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more I want to ask you a long-term

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question because who knows what the

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world's going to be like in even 20

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years but let's say five years which is

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I think what most people should be kind

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of planning for in their lives whether

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they run a company whether they're a

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young person for their career what do

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you think the world of education and

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work is going to look like like paint a

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picture are we are we going to be able

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to have a video conference with I mean I

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I don't want to Cloud your what would it

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look like how's it going to be

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dramatically different or not than than

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the world we're in right now well

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there'll be a certain set of jobs where

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you're just moving documents around and

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looking at documents say you know

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accounting or medical claims where the

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depth of understanding in those jobs is

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pretty

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straightforward and some of those jobs

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will just be purely

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automated then there'll be a ton of jobs

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where they're still being done by humans

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uh you know like making greeting cards

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um and I went back and watched the movie

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her uh because it raises uh in a pretty

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I thought greeting cards were definitely

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going to be automated because now you

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can have mass customization of greeting

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cards well anyway yeah you you probably

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can do it by yourself uh to you know

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take you know Dolly 10 uh and say Hey

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you know here's how I want to make fun

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of my sister remind her about this thing

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from the past and here's some photos to

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stick in that so yeah you might you

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might eliminate the professional there

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because it's very uh you and the AI can

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do it in a very bespoke way but there'll

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be a lot of jobs left that are just more

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productive and that you know where you

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have this kind of co-pilot that's taking

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the you know okay convert the PowerPoint

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to a Word document and boom you know

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that draft is available for you to uh

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have as as the starting point and you

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know so that extra

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productivity will create you know new

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opportunity to take things like Medical

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Care and make it better education and

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make it better care of the elderly and

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and make it better uh you know

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productivity is a good thing and people

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have been boning and there's many books

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about oh you know we had electricity and

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then since then everything hasn't been

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quite at least the way it reflects into

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economic figures as dramatic as what

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happened there this you will see in the

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economic figures in a big way both the

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robotic side of it and the uh llm

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reading and writing uh part of it as

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well so in five years we will uh be in a

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different space you know hopefully we

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won't you know elections will still be

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uh uncontested and you know deep fak

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won't won't make the problems we already

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have there even more difficult uh it is

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interesting that government at a time

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when you know it's not as trusted as

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we'd like will have to step forward and

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change tax policies and have retraining

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policies and you know be part of the

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dialogue of setting rules you know the

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entire industry is saying you know

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there's a role for government here but

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uh you know we have at at a time where

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trust in that and the divisiveness is is

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very challenging so I hope uh you know

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that we haven't suffered that much from

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the negatives in the The Five-Year time

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period And by then uh you know Society

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will have reoriented itself and say okay

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how do we avoid this being used as a an

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attack vehicle how do we make sure it's

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used in an equitable way you know

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certainly the dreams I have about you

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know health and education poor

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countries uh you know I think it'll take

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us five years to kind of get it out and

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get into widespread use five years is a

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very short uh period of time but it lays

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a foundation where I hope by being more

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productive as a society many of the

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challenges of Aging or climate uh or you

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know people expecting government to do

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more than it's capable of doing that

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will say wow you know we're making

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obesity drugs better better we're making

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Alzheimer's drugs better and you'll get

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this sort of positive view of the

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current system and making not making it

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work better in an incremental way versus

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uh the divisiveness or you know even

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considering radical Alternatives that uh

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I think would be pretty scary so

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Innovation here because it will surprise

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people it's not expected does have a lot

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of positive

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upside yeah that leads to the last

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question which is how are you feeling

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you know I my view on AI changes almost

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daily as I read more and I think more

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and have conversations like this are you

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feeling net positive are you really

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worried about certain things within your

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positivity are you net negative how how

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are you feeling about it and what what

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are the things you're thinking most

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about you know I'm thrilled that when I

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you know sit with the malaria team and

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we talk about uh how we're going to have

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you know better ways of killing

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mosquitoes that you know these software

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things can help with or you know we sit

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and talk about kids who've decided

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they're not good at math that we haven't

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made much progress uh you know for those

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kids uh you know just having all the

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ability to try out their knowledge you

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know that wasn't enough to draw them in

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uh and so that that issue of motivation

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and the fact the AI tutor one of its

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excellent things will be understanding

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the right level the right encouragement

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the to make it somebody feel like yeah

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this mathematical understanding of the

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world is something that can work for me

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and make my life better even Beyond uh

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what sort of job opportunities it

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enables so I I'm very thrilled about

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that the world that we're delivering it

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into and its ability to have you know

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complex factual debates and you know

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different countries try out different

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regulations I would say that the

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political

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challenge uh that where everyone says

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government has this big big role to play

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to take advantage of the positives uh

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for example changing the tax structure

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and to mitigate negatives you know deep

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fakes bias uh AI enabled cyber attacks

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uh you know are is our our governance

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structures mature enough agile enough

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and can they consensus enough uh that

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we'll manage this opportunity in a good

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way and there are definitely days uh

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that I worry uh we won't the government

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side of this thing won't step up to

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what's necessary yeah well I could talk

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to you for several more hours maybe days

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about this but Bill thanks for taking

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your time out for this this is super

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valuable no it's fun to be on this

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journey together and uh you know we'll

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uh be great partner and help you realize

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your

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vision great well we appreciate that so

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much it is exciting times let's see what

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happens all right thanks all right

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thanks Bill

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