Пленные на борту Ил-76 — были или нет? Руслан Левиев

Alexandr Plushev
25 Jan 202418:50

Summary

TLDRRussian-language transcript analyzes information and theories about a recent plane crash incident.

Takeaways

  • ✈️ The conversation revolves around the downing of an IL-76 aircraft, with discussions on possible culprits based on available information.
  • 🔮 Analysis of video and wreckage evidence suggests the plane was hit by a missile, indicated by the damaged fuselage resembling a sieve from missile shrapnel.
  • 🛩 Both sides of the conflict had the technical capability to shoot down the plane, with past incidents of friendly fire noted.
  • 📢 The script compares the situation to MH17, noting initial reports and retractions, hinting at similarities in information dissemination.
  • 💬 Statements from both sides are analyzed, with no clear admission or denial about the downing, leaving room for speculation.
  • 🛩 Speculation about the presence of prisoners on board is based on indirect hints from official statements and lack of direct evidence.
  • 🔬 The possibility of carrying prisoners on military flights is discussed, with personal accounts suggesting it's not uncommon.
  • 🚨 The conversation touches on the complexities of military communication and the potential for tragic errors due to miscommunication.
  • 📖 Lists of passengers and their verification are discussed, with some names confirmed as prisoners, adding to the mystery.
  • 💁‍♂️ The interview concludes with reflections on the challenges of discerning truth in wartime, emphasizing the prevalence of misinformation.

Q & A

  • What information do we have available to determine who shot down the IL-76 plane?

    -At this point, we only have limited information to determine who shot down the plane. We know it was shot down based on video showing smoke trails from a missile. Both Russia and Ukraine have the technical capability to shoot down a plane in this area.

  • Did the Ukrainian side directly claim responsibility for shooting down the plane?

    -No, the Ukrainian side did not directly claim responsibility. However, statements from their General Staff and intelligence agency suggest they were involved in downing planes transporting missiles in this region.

  • Were there prisoners of war on board the IL-76 plane?

    -It's unclear, but comments from the Ukrainian side imply there may have been POWs aboard. They mentioned the plane may have been transporting prisoners without notifying them to avoid the airspace.

  • Why were there no bodies visible in videos of the crash site?

    -The large explosion and fire likely incinerated many of the bodies. Reports say remains were scattered over 1.5-2 km, much more area than shown in the videos.

  • How common is it to transport prisoners of war by plane?

    -Initially seen as unusual, but Ukrainian POWs confirmed they had been transported by IL-76 planes to Russia while in captivity. So it seems to be a common practice.

  • Could this have been an accidental shootdown?

    -Yes, quite possible. Miscommunication between Ukrainian air defense and those coordinating the prisoner exchange could have led to the shootdown.

  • What do we know about the flight path before the crash?

    -The videos only show the crash, not the full flight path before. The plane could have been circling or waiting for landing clearance, so the westward path alone is inconclusive.

  • Were there enough guards accompanying 65 POWs?

    -Unclear, reports vary. But with handcuffed and hooded POWs, a few guards on board plus at each airport could be sufficient.

  • Can the passenger manifest be verified?

    -Partially. Many names match confirmed POWs. One name was on a previous exchange list. No definitive disproof yet.

  • What theories did the Russian side suggest about the crash?

    -Suggestions it was shot down by Ukrainian S-300 missiles or was a military transport plane, but no evidence shown to support those theories.

Outlines

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Transcripts

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