2025 Harley Davidson Model Predictions

Throttle Blip
16 Sept 202413:21

Summary

TLDRIn this video, the host speculates on Harley-Davidson's future motorcycle lineup, focusing on potential changes to the Softail series and touring models. With the 40th anniversary of the Softail and a possible new gauge system, the host predicts updates to modernize the line. Discussions include the possibility of a facelift for the Limited and Road Glide Limited, and the potential introduction of a street-focused Pan America model. The host also considers which models might be discontinued due to slow sales and the impact of the touring bike price drop.

Takeaways

  • ๐Ÿ•’ The video discusses the possibility of changes in Harley-Davidson motorcycle models, particularly around the midyear and end of the year.
  • ๐ŸŽจ Harley-Davidson is celebrating the 40th anniversary of the Softail, hinting at a potential special edition or changes to this model line.
  • ๐Ÿ“‰ The Softail lineup is perceived as stale, with the Low Rider S experiencing a slowdown in sales, possibly due to more competitively priced Touring models.
  • ๐Ÿ› ๏ธ The presenter suggests that a new gauge system, similar to the Sportster S, could modernize and enhance the Softail lineup.
  • ๐Ÿ’ธ There's skepticism about a price drop for Softail models, but a slight reduction could make them more appealing, especially in comparison to Touring bikes.
  • ๐Ÿ›ฃ๏ธ The Road Glide and Street Glide models might receive a facelift rather than being discontinued, despite speculation about their future.
  • ๐Ÿ๏ธ The Tri Glide and RG3 models are expected to get new fairings, aligning with the modernization of Harley-Davidson's motorcycle designs.
  • ๐Ÿ“‰ Certain models like the Softail Standard and Road King Special are predicted to be discontinued due to slow sales and close competition from other models.
  • ๐Ÿ There's a potential for a new Pan America 'Street' model, influenced by the customization trends and performance seen in the Hooligan class racing.
  • ๐Ÿ”ฎ The video concludes with speculation on future models, including a possible Street-based Pan America, based on current trends and historical patterns of model development at Harley-Davidson.

Q & A

  • What is the significance of December for Harley-Davidson models?

    -December is significant because it's when carryover models are revealed, providing clues about which bikes will not receive changes other than color updates.

  • Why might Harley-Davidson not release a midyear bike this year?

    -The speaker speculates that the absence of a midyear bike could be due to the company's strategy to streamline offerings under the Hardwire program initiated by the CEO.

  • How does the Softail lineup's staleness affect sales?

    -The Softail lineup has become stale, leading to decreased sales, especially with the Touring bike prices coming down, offering a closer price point and perceived better value.

  • What is the author's opinion on the future of the Softail lineup?

    -The author is skeptical about a brand new Softail model but suggests that a new gauge system, similar to the Sportster S, could add excitement and modernize the lineup.

  • Why might a price drop for Softail models be unlikely?

    -A price drop is considered unlikely due to the close pricing to the Touring models, which offer more features and are perceived as better value.

  • What changes does the speaker predict for the Limited and Road Glide Limited models?

    -The speaker predicts a facelift for these models, including the possibility of new fairings, rather than them being discontinued or replaced by customizable versions of the Street Glide or Road Glide.

  • Why does the speaker think the Tri Glide and RG3 models will receive new fairings?

    -The speaker believes these models will get updated fairings to modernize their look and because Harley-Davidson is unlikely to continue producing the Rushmore fairing for anything other than parts.

  • Which models does the speaker think might be discontinued?

    -The speaker thinks the Softail Standard and Road King Special might be discontinued due to their close pricing to other models with more features and slower sales.

  • What is the significance of the St models for Harley-Davidson?

    -The St models were introduced as a performance bagger option, born from King of the Bagger race bikes, offering a taller sit and bigger engine.

  • Why does the speaker believe a street-based Pan America model might be introduced?

    -The speaker notes a trend of Pan America customization towards street biking, Harley-Davidson's investment in the model, and the company's history of creating models based on customer modifications.

  • What does the speaker think about the future of CVO St models?

    -The speaker is unsure if CVO St models will continue, but they believe they might stick around for at least another year due to Harley-Davidson's investment in the model.

Outlines

00:00

๐Ÿ๏ธ Speculations on Harley-Davidson's Midyear Bike Release

The speaker begins by expressing their anticipation for Harley-Davidson's potential midyear bike release, despite it being early for such discussions. They note the absence of a carryover model by December, which traditionally signals unchanged models aside from color. The speaker also points out the lack of a midyear bike announcement in September, which is unusual. They speculate on the possibility of a special Softail model due to the 40th anniversary of the Softail and discuss the Softail lineup's stagnation. The speaker, a fan of the Low Rider ST, observes a slowdown in sales, attributing it to the competitive pricing of Touring bikes. They suggest that a new gauge system, similar to the Sportster S, could revitalize the Softail lineup by adding modern features like built-in navigation and ride modes. The speaker is skeptical about a price drop but believes a slight reduction could boost sales, especially for models like the Low Rider ST, which is close in price to Touring bikes.

05:01

๐Ÿ› ๏ธ Predicting Changes to Harley-Davidson's Touring Lineup

The speaker continues by discussing potential updates to Harley-Davidson's Touring lineup, specifically the Limited and Road Glide Limited models. They address rumors of these models being discontinued in favor of customizable options from base models like the Street Glide and Road Glide. The speaker doubts this due to the current engine guards not being compatible with the Limited's features. They predict a facelift for these models instead, using up the last of the Rushmore-style fairings. The speaker also speculates on the possibility of the Tri Glide and RG3 models receiving new fairings, modernizing their look. They express their preference for the Batwing fairing and predict that it, combined with integrated turn signals, would appeal to many customers. The speaker then discusses bikes they believe might be discontinued, such as the Softail Standard and Road King Special, due to their proximity in price to more feature-rich models and a shift in customer preferences.

10:02

๐Ÿ The Future of Harley-Davidson's Performance and CVO Models

In the final paragraph, the speaker delves into the future of Harley-Davidson's performance-oriented models, particularly the ST models like the Road Glide ST and Street Glide ST. They question theๆŒ็ปญๆ€ง of these models given the decline in sales and the fact that they are now only available as CVO models. The speaker suggests that Harley-Davidson might continue to produce the CVO ST for another year due to the significant investment in its development. They also touch upon the potential for a new Street-focused Pan America model, drawing parallels between the customization trends they've observed in the Pan America community and Harley-Davidson's history of releasing models that align with popular aftermarket modifications. The speaker concludes by acknowledging the unpredictability of Harley-Davidson's future releases and invites viewers to share their thoughts on the matter.

Mindmap

Keywords

๐Ÿ’กSoftail

The Softail is a line of motorcycles produced by Harley-Davidson. It is a key model for the company, celebrating its 40th year in production as mentioned in the video. The term is central to the discussion as the script speculates on the future of this model line, including potential updates or discontinuations. The video suggests that the Softail lineup might be 'spiced up' with new features to revitalize interest, indicating its importance to Harley-Davidson's motorcycle offerings.

๐Ÿ’กCarryover models

Carryover models refer to motorcycle models that are carried over from one year to the next with minimal changes, usually limited to color options. In the context of the video, the speaker is using the availability of carryover models as an indicator to predict which bikes might not receive significant updates, suggesting a method for forecasting Harley-Davidson's product strategies.

๐Ÿ’กMidyear bike

A midyear bike typically refers to a new motorcycle model introduced by a manufacturer in the middle of the model year, rather than at the start. The video script raises questions about whether Harley-Davidson will release a midyear bike, speculating on the implications for the company's product lineup and strategies.

๐Ÿ’กHardwire program

The Hardwire program is an initiative by the CEO of Harley-Davidson aimed at streamlining the company's product offerings. The video discusses how this program might influence the range of motorcycles available, including the potential for discontinuing certain models to focus on a more refined selection.

๐Ÿ’กGauge system

In the context of motorcycles, a gauge system refers to the instrumentation used to display information such as speed, RPM, and other vital data to the rider. The video suggests that updating the gauge system, particularly to include modern features like built-in navigation, could be a way for Harley-Davidson to enhance the appeal of their Softail models.

๐Ÿ’กRushmore style fairings

Rushmore style fairings are a specific design of motorcycle fairings that were introduced by Harley-Davidson as part of the Rushmore Project in 2013. The video speculates that these fairings might be phased out in favor of a new design, indicating a significant change in the aesthetic and possibly the functionality of certain Harley-Davidson models.

๐Ÿ’กTri Glide

The Tri Glide is a specific model of Harley-Davidson motorcycle known for its three-wheel configuration. The video discusses the potential for this model to receive a new fairing design, which could modernize its look and appeal to customers, highlighting the importance of design updates in maintaining a motorcycle's market presence.

๐Ÿ’กStreet Glide

The Street Glide is a popular touring motorcycle model from Harley-Davidson. The video script mentions the Street Glide in the context of sales and customer preferences, noting that it offers a perceived better value compared to other models like the Low Rider S, due to its features and price point.

๐Ÿ’กBagger race

A bagger race typically refers to a type of motorcycle racing that involves bagger-style motorcycles, which are characterized by their large, touring-oriented designs. The video connects the development of certain Harley-Davidson models, like the St models, to the bagger racing scene, suggesting that the company's product development is influenced by performance trends in this niche racing category.

๐Ÿ’กPan America

The Pan America is Harley-Davidson's adventure touring motorcycle model. The video speculates on the potential for a street-oriented variant of the Pan America, based on trends observed in customer modifications and the company's historical tendency to respond to market trends with new model offerings.

Highlights

Discussion on the possibility of a new Harley-Davidson model being released in December, based on carryover models.

Speculation about the absence of a midyear bike release and its potential impact on the market.

CEO's initiative to streamline Harley-Davidson's product offerings.

Celebration of the 40th year of Softail production and its significance.

Analysis of the Softail lineup's current market staleness and sales trends.

Comparison of the Low Rider ST's initial success with its current sales performance.

Impact of Touring bike price reductions on Softail sales.

Skepticism about the introduction of a new Softail model and suggestions for improvements.

Proposal for a new gauge system similar to the Sportster S to modernize the Softail lineup.

Discussion on the potential for a price drop for Softail models to boost sales.

Concerns about the aging Low Rider S model and the need for innovation.

Speculation on the future of the Limited and Road Glide Limited models.

Opinion on the possibility of the Limited models being customizable through dealerships.

Prediction of a facelift for the Limited models and the potential for new fairing styles.

Belief in the modernization of the Tri Glide and RG3 models with updated fairings.

Prediction that the Softail Standard may be discontinued due to its proximity in price to the Street Bob.

Concerns about the Road King Special's sales and its potential discontinuation.

Discussion on the possibility of reintroducing the Road King Standard.

Analysis of the sales performance of the CVO Rad Glide ST and its potential future.

Speculation on the potential development of a street-based Pan America model.

Observation of the trend in customizing Pan America models for street use.

Prediction of a potential Pan America ST model for the 2025 model year.

Mention of the potential leak of information about upcoming models and the importance of staying tuned for more updates.

Transcripts

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this is easily my wildest prediction to

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date but stick around to the end of the

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video and I think you'll see that I'm

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not as crazy as I'm going to sound at

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first now 3 and 1/2 months may seem a

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little bit premature to start having

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this conversation but hear me out

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December that's when we get our

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carryover models which gives us a big

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clue on the bikes that are not getting a

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change other than the color now another

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thing that I found strange was it's the

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middle of September at the time of

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putting out this video and we still

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don't have a midyear bike now are we

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even going to get one this year the very

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popular CEO of Harley-Davidson has

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started this hardwire program to dwindle

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down the offerings from Harley-Davidson

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and kind of refine them streamline

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everything so do we even get a midyear

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bike and if we do does Harley just kind

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of ride it in so let's start with the

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soft tales and I want to start there

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because Harley Davidson is celebrating

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their 40th year of the soft tail being

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in production so it's possible that the

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midyear bike will be some kind of

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special soft tail but even if it's not I

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think that we can all agree the Softtail

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lineup has gotten a bit stale now I am a

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big big fan of the low rider St and

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still am but let's be honest there was a

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lot of Buzz around that bike when it

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came out sales did really good in the

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beginning uh you go to your local Harley

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dealership and they are all over the

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sales floor so that tell tells you that

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sales on those things have slowed down

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and I think one thing that csed that is

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the Touring bike prices coming down kind

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of bridge that Gap where they're a lot

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closer in price than they were

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previously for a little bit more money

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you get something on the touring chassis

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that people perceive as a better value I

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would have to agree I don't necessarily

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care about having the music in the

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fairing but it is a really nice

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comfortable platform that kind of does

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it all now other than a brand new model

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which I'm just very skeptical that we're

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going to see don't get me wrong I would

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love to see a brand new soft tail I'm

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just skeptical that that happens other

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than that what can Harley-Davidson do to

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spice things up for the soft tailes now

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one thing that I've been calling for for

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a while now is a new gauge system

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something like on the Sportster s and I

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know a lot of the older crowd doesn't

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like that they still want the analog

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Speedo and RPM gauge but I think moving

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into the future all the other

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manufacturers are already doing this

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Harley-Davidson is kind of late to the

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dam

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which is standard practice for

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Harley-Davidson now in their defense

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usually when they bring something they

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do get it right in in these regards if

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you put that Sportster s gauge on the

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soft tails now you have built-in

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navigation you have all these other

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features you could also integrate ride

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modes with that those are two features I

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think would be a huge benefit to the

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soft tael lineup to kind of wake those

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up and add some excitement to that line

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now the other question is could we see a

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price drop like we did with the touring

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bikes I'm kind of skeptical of that but

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as I said with like the low rider St

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it's just so close to that touring bike

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money I think if they brought it down

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just a little bit it would be appealing

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again let's say 20 grand instead of the

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I think it's $22

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$23,000 I think that 20 grand price

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point but then you have to take the low

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rider s which I'll be honest big fan of

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that bike as well it's very long in the

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tooth it's time to shake things up and

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do something different on that

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motorcycle so let's move on to our

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limiteds you have the limited and you

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have the Road Glide limited now I've

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seen a lot of videos recently with

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people speculating that those bikes were

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going to go away completely and then you

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would just buy a Street Glide or a Road

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Glide and you would build that into your

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limited I'm a little unsure of that just

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because of right now as it stands with

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the current engine guards on the touring

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bikes you can't just Mount lowers onto

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that bike so yeah you can get the King

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tour pack put the lights and it do all

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the stuff and you are at like a $6,500

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difference if you want a limited versus

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if you want a street or Rog Glide so I

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do think you could do it financially and

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make it make sense uh I think that would

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be a dealership thing obviously I think

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you would handle all that at the dealer

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and maybe Harley is looking to do that I

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for one just don't see it happening that

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way I think what we're going to get is a

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facelift on those bikes I think

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Harley-Davidson was probably a using up

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the last of their inventory for those

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Rushmore style fairings and I think they

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want to give their older customers a

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chance if you want to buy a brand new

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limited you kind of see the writings on

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the wall they're probably going to

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change to the new body style if you're

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not interested in that well here's a

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brand new limited for you to go ahead

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and ride out in your golden years which

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also raises another good question are

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the triglide and RG3 models going to get

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the new fairing I would have to say so I

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can't see Harley wanting to keep

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producing that Rushmore fairing other

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than just for parts for damages Etc to

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the Rushmore bikes so I do believe those

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bikes will get the updated Fairing and I

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think they' look good I think that will

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really modernize those strikes and make

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them look cool especially the triglide

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I'm a big fan I'm holding out with the

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Batwing I'm a Batwing kind of guy so I

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think that batwing with those integrated

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turn signals on a Tri Glide will speak

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to a lot of people and I think those

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will do well now as for bikes that I

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think are going away I said last year I

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thought the softel standard was gone I

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think a lot of other people were

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predicting that I'm going to go with

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that again this year I just feel like

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it's too close in price to the street

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bob and with the street bob you get two

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up from the factory you get a little bit

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more displacement in your engine and a

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slightly better looking bike for not

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that much more money the Softtail

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standard is also the last Milwaukee 8

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that's available in 7 cubic inch so if

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Harley does away with that they can do

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away with that issue as well now another

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bike that I hate to put on this list is

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the road king special so we lost the

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road king standard already and a lot of

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people were upset by that rightfully so

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the road king special just doesn't have

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that same iconic Harley-Davidson look

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that same classic styling uh it comes

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all blacked out and stuff I don't think

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that's what the road king customers want

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and sales prove that I still love that

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bike but I see them in dealerships they

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are very very slow movers once again

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you're really close to Street Glide Road

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Glide money for a little bit more you

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get the fairing you get the big

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infotainment screen you get the speakers

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you get all this other stuff and it's

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just not that classic styling that a lot

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of the Harley guys are after so I hate

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to say it but I think the road king

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special could be on the chopping block

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now do they regroup and bring the road

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king standard back I would love to see

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it I'm just I'm skeptical that that

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happens and now for those that have

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stuck with me we're going down a very

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very very deep Rabbit Hole so let's

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start with the rad Glide and Street

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Glide St models which we technically

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don't have anymore so you do have a

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Touring bike that's an st but it's a CVO

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rad Glide St it's not just a regular St

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and also carries that CVO badge on it so

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as We Know from Harley-Davidson they

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like to switch up their cvos so if next

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year they don't do a CVO St model do we

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have an st at all now I think it's very

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likely that the CVO St could stick

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around for at least another year it's an

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amazing bike I've done a lot of videos

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on it I just did one with a 135 in it

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that thing is amazing but one thing I've

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noticed and again sales sales are just

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down period but one thing I've noticed

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is when the bikes used to come in were

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sold before they got to the dealership

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now if you check people's websites you

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call around you stop by dealership it's

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fairly likely that you'll see one on the

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sales floor which means they were hot

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now they're kind of fading off so does

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Harley take note of that and get rid of

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that bike I doubt it and I say that

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because I feel like they they're a

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little too invested in that bike to just

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go ahead and ax it after one more year I

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think we'll get it for a second year and

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I believe that will be the only

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model in the touring lineup just like it

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was this year now let's go just a little

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bit further down that rabbit hole so why

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did Harley-Davidson make the St models

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those bikes were born of King of the

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bagger race bikes so this was supposed

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to be kind of a a good starting point if

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you will if if you're interested in a

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performance bagger this is the one to go

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with sits up a little bit taller had the

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bigger engine when it came out didn't

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have the stretch bags had a little bit

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smaller Fender in my opinion was the

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best looking Touring bike when it came

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out but here's something I think not

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enough people are talking about the

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bagger class is not the only class for

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Harley-Davidson racing they also have a

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hooligan class and what do all of the

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Harley-Davidson teams run in the

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hooligan class they run the Pan America

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and I must say those bikes look amazing

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and from what I've heard they perform

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really really really well to the point

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where some of the other teams were

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boycotting and wanting rules changed and

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uh weight things in place just to kind

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of even the field back up when the pan

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Amica first started racing so a lot of

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you probably already see where I'm going

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with this but for those that don't let's

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look at this Harley-Davidson usually

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puts out a bike they wait you know

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roughly 2 to 5 years to kind of see what

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people are doing with it and then all of

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a sudden we get a model that kind of

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matches what everybody else has been

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doing to their bike already now if

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you're like me and you're scrolling

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Instagram nonstop all day long you'll

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notice a trend with the panamas out

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there all the panamas that I'm seeing

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out in the wild that are getting some

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serious money put into them aren't to

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turn them into more Adventure bikes

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they're turning them into street bikes

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uh going as far as as putting slicks on

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these things making the front ends look

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a little ier making custom tail sections

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there is a lot of really cool stuff

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going on in the pan Amica space and

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you'll also notice Harley-Davidson puts

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those out anytime those are shared

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they'll reshare them they'll put them

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out they'll say hey look at this bike we

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developed look at what it's turned into

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isn't this cool now this year we did get

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a Harley-Davidson CVO pan Amica so that

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tells us Harley-Davidson is down to

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experiment and kind of put a little bit

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into the Panama America obviously tons

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of R&D money have already put into this

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bike when it first came out in 2021 it

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was the bestselling adventure bike from

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what I can recall and I think sales are

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probably about half of what they were in

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2021 for the paname so they've got to do

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something to make this bike more

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appealing so for those of you that still

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haven't figured it out I think we are

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going to see a pan Amer St now I'm not

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sure if that's what it'll be called but

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would imagine it has to be much more of

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a street based paname that's what people

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are doing with these bikes yeah there's

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a few that are still riding them Offroad

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whatever in my personal opinion as a

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Harley guy there are much better bikes

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for doing that in my personal experience

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the pan Amica was much more fun onroad

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hitting curves and stuff than it was

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off-road yeah it's cool to take a Harley

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off-road but let's be honest that's kind

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of not their deal when the pan Amica

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came out they tried to say hey we were

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doing this back in the early days well

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not really it's just the roads were

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craping people were taking their Harley

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you know in some gnarly places cuz

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that's the only bikes that were

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available to do it on and then as other

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better options came out they just moved

play12:16

to those uh but I digress

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Harley-Davidson panamas are better on

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the road I'll die on that Hill I think

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Harley-Davidson knows that they've seen

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what everybody's doing so I think we get

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some kind of Street paname for the 2025

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model year now we know how these things

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go things tend to leak um other things

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start to happen that make sense

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sometimes Harley messes up on their

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parts an accessory thing and puts model

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names that don't technically exist in

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the world yet and we get some more

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information just like we did with the

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paname 975 that we still have yet to see

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I'm not going to talk on that because

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I'm I have no clue I'm as clueless as

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you you guys let me know what you think

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on that bike if we'll ever see that one

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all that to say I'm sure this will not

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be the last 2025 video I put out pre

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2025 so like the video If you enjoyed it

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subscribe if you're not already and I'll

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catch you guys in the next video

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