BREAKING: OpenAI Reveals the TRUTH About Elon Musk's Lawsuit 🔥

Summary

这段视频剧本详细剖析了OpenAI和Elon Musk之间关于人工智能开发的争议和起诉。OpenAI披露了Musk当初希望将OpenAI并入特斯拉,获得实际控制权的内部邮件。双方在是否应该开源人工通用智能(AGI)技术的问题上存在分歧。OpenAI主张在开发出AGI后,将其成果对外开放使用,但技术细节不会公开。该剧本还引发了关于如何安全发展AGI的深层次探讨,让观众对这一前沿议题有更深入的了解。

Takeaways

• 📜 OpenAI回应了Elon Musk的诉讼，并揭示了新信息以及Elon Musk、Sam Altman、Ilya Sutskever和Greg Brockman之间的内部电子邮件。
• 🚀 Elon Musk起初推动OpenAI进行大规模融资，认为初始1亿美元的资金承诺不足以与Google或Facebook竞争，建议总资金承诺达到10亿美元。
• 💡 OpenAI成立初期，面临着如何以非盈利组织形式筹集大量资金的挑战，因为这种模式下的资金来源不期望获得任何回报。
• 🔍 Elon Musk、Greg Brockman和Sam Altman早期认识到，为了实现OpenAI的使命，需要大量的资金，主要用于计算资源。
• 🤔 OpenAI和Elon Musk之间存在分歧，特别是关于如何筹集所需的大量资金，以及是否将OpenAI转变为盈利性实体。
• 📊 Elon Musk提议将OpenAI并入特斯拉，或由他全权控制，但因担心这违背了OpenAI的使命，双方未能就此达成一致。
• 🤖 OpenAI的信件和邮件表明，尽管Elon Musk提出了将OpenAI转为盈利性实体的想法，但他并未明确要求将AGI关闭源代码。
• 💼 在Elon Musk退出OpenAI后，他表示要在特斯拉内部建立一个与OpenAI竞争的AGI项目。
• 📈 OpenAI在信中提到，随着AGI的逐步构建，将开始减少开放性，但最终目标是让所有人从AI的成果中受益。
• 👀 事件的核心争议在于，是否应该完全开源AGI，以及如何确保AGI的益处能广泛惠及人类。

Q & A

这份文件揭示了什么新的信息?

这份文件透露了OpenAI和埃隆·马斯克之间的内部电子邮件往来,以及马斯克想要获得OpenAI控制权并将其并入特斯拉的努力。它还阐述了OpenAI的使命是确保AGI造福全人类,并透露他们认为有必要创建一家盈利性公司来获得足够的资金来实现这一目标。

OpenAI和埃隆·马斯克在筹资问题上存在什么分歧?

在OpenAI成立之初,马斯克主张宣布10亿美元的初始资金承诺,而格雷格·布罗克曼和萨姆·奥特曼只计划筹集1亿美元。马斯克认为需要大笔资金来实现AGI,而OpenAI的非营利性质使筹资变得困难。

马斯克为什么想要控制OpenAI?

根据文件中的电子邮件,马斯克认为OpenAI在没有"戏剧性的执行和资源变化"的情况下,与谷歌DeepMind相比成功的概率为零。他希望通过合并或控制OpenAI来增加它与谷歌竞争的机会。

OpenAI拒绝马斯克控制权的原因是什么?

OpenAI认为,让任何个人完全控制人工通用智能公司都违背了他们的使命。他们不希望单个实体掌控如此强大的技术。

OpenAI在开放性与保密性之间如何权衡?

OpenAI的立场是,在接近建立AGI时,他们会开始变得不那么开放源代码。他们计划与所有人分享AGI的成果,但不会分享实现AGI的全部科学依据。

电子邮件中透露了什么关于算法进展与计算能力的关系?

有人在给马斯克的邮件中指出,计算能力可能是达到AGI所必需且足够的条件,而算法进步可能根本不是必需的。任何公开发表的算法进步都可以很快被复制和采用。

OpenAI如何看待自己与谷歌的竞争?

这份文件显示,OpenAI早期认为很难与谷歌等大公司真正竞争。马斯克甚至曾表示,在没有"戏剧性的执行和资源变化"的情况下,OpenAI与谷歌DeepMind相比成功的概率为零。

马斯克为什么建议OpenAI并入特斯拉?

据说,马斯克建议OpenAI与特斯拉合并是因为他认为特斯拉是与谷歌竞争的"唯一机会"。他认为特斯拉的供应链、车载计算机和互联网连接为OpenAI提供必要的"现金奶牛"资源。

OpenAI对马斯克的诉讼有何回应?

OpenAI表示很遗憾与马斯克走到这一步,因为他们"非常钦佩"马斯克,马斯克曾激励他们追求更高目标。但现在马斯克开始了一家竞争对手并起诉了他们。OpenAI要求驳回马斯克的所有索赔。

你更赞同OpenAI还是马斯克的立场?为什么?

这需要一个全面和平衡的分析。双方都有一定道理,OpenAI希望避免单个实体控制AGI,而马斯克则担心资金不足导致无法与大公司竞争。我倾向于部分支持OpenAI的立场,因为保持AGI的中立性和民主性非常重要,但我也理解马斯克对资源匮乏的担忧。总的来说,这是一个复杂的问题,需要平衡各方利益。

Outlines

00:00

😮 开放人工智能与伊隆·马斯克之间的争议和电子邮件透露

本段介绍了开放人工智能回应伊隆·马斯克的诉讼,披露了双方之间早期电子邮件往来的内容。伊隆·马斯克最初推动募集10亿美元资金支持开放人工智能,后来认为这笔资金不够,需要每年数十亿美元投入。开放人工智能意识到实现通用人工智能需要大量计算资源,因此考虑建立一个营利实体。马斯克曾要求合并进入特斯拉或由他全面控制开放人工智能,但遭到拒绝。

05:00

🤝 开放人工智能与马斯克的路线分叉

本段继续阐述开放人工智能与马斯克关于建立营利实体的分歧。马斯克曾暂停资助开放人工智能,并建议将其并入特斯拉作为"现金奶牛"。但开放人工智能认为不应该让任何个人完全控制该组织。后来马斯克决定离开开放人工智能,计划在特斯拉内建立通用人工智能的竞争对手。他仍表示支持开放人工智能另谋出路募集资金,但后来又认为几亿美元也是不够的。

10:01

📝 马斯克对开放人工智能开源立场的质疑

本段引用了一封未知来源的电子邮件,质疑完全开源人工智能技术对于实现通用人工智能的安全性。该邮件称,如果发生"硬着陆式突破",公开一切反而可能让不道德的人利用强大的硬件资源构建不安全的人工智能系统。伊利亚与马斯克的往来邮件中显示,随着越来越接近构建人工智能,开放人工智能会开始变得不那么开放。马斯克在回复中表示认同这种观点。

15:03

🔍 质疑开放人工智能的资金来源和发展道路

本段继续引用一封来自未知人士的电子邮件,对开放人工智能的资金来源和发展方向提出质疑。该邮件认为,开放人工智能目前正在烧钱,其非营利模式无法与谷歌等大型科技公司竞争,继续开放研究反而可能助长谷歌的发展。该邮件建议开放人工智能应并入特斯拉,将其作为"现金奶牛"。马斯克在回复中表示,开放人工智能在不作出重大改变的情况下,与谷歌深度学习系统相比完全失败,需要立即投入数十亿美元才有一线生机。

20:03

💭 结论:开放人工智能与马斯克的立场分歧

最后一段是开放人工智能的总结,表示遗憾与一度仰慕的马斯克产生分歧和诉讼。他们认为马斯克建议开源人工智能并非万能良方,反而可能增加风险。开放人工智能坚持要在构建人工智能后让世界分享其成果,但保留核心技术的封闭性。他们拒绝了马斯克要求拥有对开放人工智能的绝对控制权。双方因无法就建立营利实体达成协议而分道扬镳。开放人工智能将继续致力于前进,即使离成功还有遥远的路要走。

Keywords

💡开源人工智能

开源人工智能指的是将人工智能的源代码、数据集和研究成果向公众开放和共享,而不是受到专利或版权的限制。这是视频中讨论的一个重点话题,Elon Musk曾建议OpenAI应该采取开源的方式,但OpenAI认为在接近构建人工通用智能(AGI)时,应当开始减少开放程度,以避免出现不安全的AGI。

💡人工通用智能(AGI)

人工通用智能指的是能够像人类一样具有通用智能和认知能力的人工智能系统。视频中提到,OpenAI和Elon Musk最初的目标就是要实现AGI,但后来发现这需要大量的计算资源和资金投入。OpenAI认为,在接近开发出AGI时,需要保密一些内容,以避免AGI被滥用。

💡计算资源

计算资源指的是训练和运行人工智能模型所需的计算能力,包括CPU、GPU、TPU等硬件以及云计算资源。视频中多次提及,OpenAI意识到构建AGI需要大量的计算资源,这也是OpenAI后来转向盈利模式的一个重要原因。Elon Musk曾建议OpenAI与特斯拉合作,以获得特斯拉的云计算资源。

💡非营利组织

非营利组织指不以营利为目的的组织,其目标通常是为了公共利益或社会福祉。OpenAI最初成立为一家非营利组织,依靠捐赠来运营。但后来意识到开发AGI需要大量资金,于是转向营利模式。视频中提到,作为非营利组织更难募集足够的资金。

💡控制权

控制权指对一个组织或实体拥有最终决策权和管理权。视频中提到,Elon Musk曾要求获得OpenAI的控制权和CEO职位,但OpenAI拒绝了,因为他们不想让任何个人对AGI拥有绝对控制权。控制权问题是双方分歧的关键点之一。

💡垄断

垄断指一个实体在特定市场或领域拥有绝对优势地位,并可以排斥竞争对手。视频中,Elon Musk曾表示,OpenAI如果不与特斯拉合作,就无法与谷歌等科技巨头在人工智能领域展开有力竞争。他担心单个实体垄断了AGI的控制权。

💡资金来源

资金来源指一个组织或项目获得经费的渠道,如捐赠、投资、商业收入等。视频详细讨论了OpenAI早期作为非营利机构时,资金来源主要依赖于捐赠,但这远远不够。转向营利模式后,OpenAI就可以通过商业化的方式获得可观的资金来源。

💡专利

专利是一种法律形式,授予发明人或机构对其发明在一定时间内的专有使用权。视频中提到,开放源代码和研究成果是为了让所有人都能从人工智能中获益,而非单单通过专利的方式控制和垄断技术。

💡算法进步

算法进步指人工智能领域中新算法或模型的出现和发展。视频认为,相比开发全新算法,拥有足够的计算资源才是实现AGI的关键因素。尽管新算法很容易被其他实体复制,但缺乏庞大的计算资源,新算法也无法真正发挥作用。

💡安全性

安全性在视频中指的是确保AGI不会对人类社会构成威胁和危害。OpenAI认为,在接近开发出AGI时,需要减少开放程度,避免不安全的AGI被滥用。Elon Musk则担心,单一实体垄断AGI的控制权会带来安全隐患。

Highlights

OpenAI承认他们意识到建立AGI需要比最初想象的更多资源,这就是他们后来转向营利性实体的原因之一。

ElonMusk当初承诺如果他们无法筹集到10亿美元,他将自己承担剩余部分。

到2017年,OpenAI团队意识到建立AGI需要大量计算资源,远超他们之前的预期。

OpenAI和ElonMusk当时都认识到需要一个盈利性实体来获取所需资源。

ElonMusk曾要求在新的营利实体中拥有多数股权、董事会控制权并出任CEO。

在这些讨论过程中,ElonMusk曾扣压对OpenAI的资金投入作为施压手段。

当时OpenAI团队拒绝让任何个人对OpenAI拥有绝对控制权。

ElonMusk曾建议OpenAI并入特斯拉,将特斯拉作为OpenAI的"现金牛"。

ElonMusk后来选择离开OpenAI,并计划在特斯拉内部建立AGI竞争对手。

ElonMusk曾警告OpenAI,即使筹集几亿美元也不够建立AGI,需要每年投入数十亿美元。

OpenAI声称ElonMusk理解他们的使命并不意味着要开源AGI。

内部邮件显示,当OpenAI越接近建立AGI时,他们计划开始减少公开程度。

ElonMusk在邮件中对此表示认同。

OpenAI表示,尽管ElonMusk启发他们追求更高目标,但他后来开始了竞争对手并对他们提起诉讼,令人遗憾。

OpenAI认为,他们专注于使命的推进,还有漫长的道路要走。

Transcripts

open AI just responded to Elon musk's

lawsuit and they reveal new information

plus internal emails between Elon Musk

Sam Alman ilot Suk and Greg Brockman and

at the end I want to know if you agree

with open AI or Elon Musk and I'm also

going to give my opinion so let's get

into it look at this the authors of this

letter March 5th Greg Brockman Ilia

suver so even though Ilia is kind of on

his way out he still is an author and

listed as an author on this paper and as

you remember ilas husk is the one who

really started the Mutiny against Sam

Alman a few months ago where Sam Alman

got fired by the board so it's

interesting to see him on this paper so

they start with the mission of open AI

which is fine and it's kind of just

marketing speak at this point ensure AGI

benefits all of humanity which means

both building safe and beneficial AGI

and helping create broadly distributed

benefits and this is really important

they're describing it as not as much

sharing the technology as sharing the

benefits and that's going to be a theme

throughout this entire letter and the

first thing that they're going to talk

about is realizing that AGI would

require far more resources than we'd

initially imagined and what they mean by

that is when you start a nonprofit or a

not for profit you have to raise money

and the people you're raising money from

are not going to get a return they are

essentially just donating money and so

it's a lot harder to raise a lot of

money when there is no return in sight

for any of the donors so let's read a

little bit about what they say Elon said

we should announce an initial 1 billion

funding commitment to open AI in total

the nonprofit has raised less than 45

million from Elon and more than 90

million from other donors so Elon along

with Greg and Sam in the early days

realized very quickly and very early

that they were going to need a lot of

money and that money was going to go

mostly towards compute obviously they

were going to need to pay top engineers

and top research scientists their

salaries and compensations but most of

all they needed compute and that's

likely why they partnered and gave away

49% of the company to Microsoft who had

the Azure data centers and were able to

power all of the compute necessary so

let's keep reading when starting open

aai in late 2015 Greg and Sam had

initially planned to raise $100 million

Elon said in an email and they're going

to show the email at the end of this we

need to go with a much bigger number

than 100 million to avoid sounding

hopeless I think we should say that we

are starting with a billion funding

commitment I will cover whatever anyone

else doesn't provide that is crazy to

think about so if they raise $100

million Elon said he'll cover the rest

$900 million and keep in mind Elon was

rich but he wasn't 2022 Elon Rich where

he is one of the top richest people in

the entire world this is still when

Tesla was struggling with a lot of

things and he already had a lot of money

from his Paypal exit and SpaceX was

going pretty well at this time but Tesla

was definitely far from a sure thing we

spent a lot of time trying to Envision a

plausible path through AGI in early 2017

we came to the realization that building

AGI will require vast quantities of

Compu compute we began calculating how

much compute an AGI might plausibly

require we all understood we were going

to need a lot more capitals to succeed

at our mission billions of dollars per

year which was far more than any of us

especially Elon thought we'd be able to

raise as the nonprofit now looking over

the emails and I'll show them to you in

a minute it sure seems like Elon was the

one pushing to raise a lot more money

and Sam and Greg were reacting to his

thoughts about that not as much Sam and

Greg pushing for it but again that's a

bit of speculation on my end and just

kind of trying to read between the lines

and we continue the next section we and

Elon recognized a for-profit entity

would be necessary to acquire those

resources now it's interesting that they

say that because they don't really show

a lot of proof in this letter nor in the

subsequent emails between them that Elon

was really pushing for a for profit

entity although I'll let you decide and

I'll show you all the evidence so the

commentary here is as we discussed the

for-profit structure in order to further

the mission Elon wanted us to merge with

Tesla or he wanted full control now that

tracks with previous stories that I had

heard about Elon trying to take control

of open AI in fact I made a video about

it and it was kind of a unique one-off

video but it really told the story of

the early days of open Ai and Elon

musk's involvement in his attempt to

take over as CEO so this isn't really

the first time Sam alman's reign at open

AI has been challenged when he was more

recently kicked out of open Ai and then

regained control continuing on Elon left

open AI saying there needed to be a

relevant competitor to Google deep mind

and that he was going to do it himself

he said he'd be supportive of us finding

our own path then in late 2017 we and

Elon decided to take the next step for

the mission so then a little bit more

history in late 2017 we and Elon decided

the next step for the mission was to

create a for-profit entity Elon wanted

majority Equity initial board control

and to be CEO so that does sound like

Elon Musk right I mean he's doing the

same thing at Tesla right now he's

asking for more control of the company

he basically bought Twitter so he could

have full control of that company and he

kind of pressures people into letting

him have full control and to be honest

can you blame him he gets stuff done

look at all he has accomplished and I am

far from an Elon Musk Fanboy but at the

same same time I can't deny everything

that he's contributed to the world so

continuing on in the middle of these

discussions he withheld funding again

pressure tactics from Elon Musk and then

Reed Hoffman who is one of the original

donors for open AI but much more behind

the scenes and also if you're not

familiar with Reed Hoffman he was also a

PayPal co-founder and he co-founded the

company LinkedIn so Reed Hoffman bridged

the Gap to cover salaries and operations

we couldn't agree to terms on a

for-profit with Elon because we felt it

was against the mission for any

individual to have absolute control over

open Ai and I don't know I'm reading

this and they kind of have conflicting

stories Elon said okay everything should

be open source and then open Ai and

really who is behind this Greg Brockman

and Sam Alman are saying no we didn't

want any individual to have full control

over the company so not exactly

conflicting but it's more of a they said

they said he then suggest suggested

instead merging open AI into Tesla in

early February 2018 Elon forwarded us an

email suggesting that open AI should

attach to Tesla as its Cash Cow

commenting that it was exactly right

Tesla is the only path that could even

hope to hold a candle to Google even

then the probability of being a

counterweight to Google is small it just

isn't zero boy have things changed in

the world of AI so a lot to unpack in

this sentence first attached to Tesla as

its Cash Cow meaning open AI was going

to be the cash cow even though at the

time it wasn't making anything it was

just burning through cash so I think

Elon had a pretty strong vision of what

open AI could become and maybe this is

proof that Elon did want a for-profit

entity however he never says it should

be closed sourced he kind of agrees to

it in passing but I'll show you that in

a minute and at this time he says open

AI the only way you're going to be

successful the only way that any AI

company can compete with Google directly

is by attaching itself to Tesla having

those additional resources so very very

interesting to see how the tides have

changed in just a handful of years then

Elon chose to leave open AI saying that

our probability of success was zero and

that he planned to build an AGI

competitor within Tesla so he definitely

is building AI within Tesla but it's not

necessarily the AGI that open AI is

building it is real world AGI which is

you know just as important maybe even

more so when he left in February 2018 he

told our team he was supportive of us

finding our own path to raising billions

of dollars in December 2018 Elon sent us

an email saying even raising several

hundred million won't be enough this

needs billions per year immediately or

forget it now all of this doesn't

necessarily mean he thinks it should be

closed Source he just thinks it should

be really well funded and maybe that's

the same thing if you have a for-profit

entity if you're going to commercialize

Ai and that's the way that you're going

to have access to billions of dollars

maybe that's what he meant but that is

not what he said he just said it needs

to be well funded next we advance our

mission by building widely available

beneficial tools and they continue with

this sentiment throughout the entire

letter which is we're building the tools

we're not going to share the research

but we're going to share the benefits

we're going to open up the tools so you

can use them but we control them so in

this entire section right here they

basically just give examples of how AI

is really helping people and

organizations and even governments

throughout the world I'm not going to

read that because it's less interesting

and it's more just marketing speak and

right here they go on to say Elon

understood the mission did not imply

open sourcing AGI I don't know about

that I don't know and here's the proof

that they have and I want to know what

you think let me know in the comments if

you think this is a definitive yes Elon

agrees AGI does not need to be open

source so as Ilia told Elon and they'll

show the email in a minute as we get

closer to building AGI it will make

sense to start being less open so even

back then even years ago they had this

idea the open and open AI means that

everyone should benefit from its fruits

of AI after it's built but it's totally

okay to not share the science to which

Elon replied yep that's it yep now I'm

going to come back to that because

that's important it's taking a step back

for a moment it's still a single company

controlling artificial general

intelligence they get to decide what

happens with it they get to decide who

uses it what restrictions are placed on

it or not and so the fact that they are

saying hey everybody gets the fruits of

it but ultimately it's still up to them

if everybody gets the fruits roots of AI

all right then they end with we're sad

that it's come to this with someone whom

we've deeply admired this sounds like

Sam Alman wrote this directly because he

has said in numerous interviews that he

has looked up to Elon Musk over the

years and Elon Musk can be kind of a

jerk but he still looks up to him he

admires him and I believe this

wholeheartedly someone who inspired us

to aim higher than told us we would fail

started a competitor and then sued us

when we started making meaningful

progress toward open ai's Mission

without him so a lot to unpack there as

well in my previous video about the

lawsuit I said Elon Musk almost

definitely has ulterior motives here he

almost definitely is looking at open AI

success and is really upset because he

gave them a bunch of money they didn't

pay any taxes on it and then they made

it into a for-profit entity and didn't

give him anything for it and he's right

but also be coming from ulterior motives

so he's both right and wrong at the same

time we are focused on advancing our

mission and have a long way to go okay

so they are asking to dismiss all claims

but let's look at a few emails that they

referenced in this letter so first this

is from all the way back in 2015 Elon

mus to Greg Brockman CC Sam Alman

followup from call so in this email they

are discussing a blog post announcing

open Ai and at the time it was really

just a research lab so blog sounds good

assuming adjustments for neity verse

being YC Centric and if you're not

familiar with YC that's why combinator

the venture capital and accelerator firm

that Sam Alman used to run and he also

went through and took funding from them

when he was starting his own company

looped a long time ago and then he goes

on with I'd favor positioning the blog

to appeal a bit more to the general

public there is a lot of value to having

the public roote for us to succeed

something that Elon Musk does

exceptionally well with his companies it

is the reason why with SpaceX they live

stream all of the launches it's why they

have really splashy launches for all the

new Tesla products coming out uh he

loves getting the public behind him and

then having a longer more detailed

inside baseball version for recruiting

okay then here it is we need to go with

a much bigger number than 100 million to

avoid sounding hopeless relative to what

Google or Facebook are spending so at

the time both of these companies are

worth in the billions if not trillions

and if they only raise 100 million it's

going to seem puny and like they can't

do anything with it I think we should

say that we're starting with a billion

and funding commitment this is real I

will cover whatever anyone else doesn't

provide so that is so cool this is real

and he will make sure it happens so

announce a billion and even if they

don't raise a billion he'll give it to

them very cool so template seems fine

and he goes on to just again say apart

from shifting to a vesting cash bonus as

default which can optionally be turned

into YC or potentially space x stock so

I think that's really interesting and I

don't quite understand it at in the

beginning he says don't make it YC

Centric but then he says which can

optionally be turned into YC or

potentially space x stock so I think

he's talking about the compensation for

Greg and Sam and potentially other early

employees being turned into YC or SpaceX

stock I'm not sure how that makes sense

at all because as I understood it open

AI is a completely independent entity

from both of those companies so that's

really interesting if you know what that

means let me know in the comments and

then the next one Elon Musk to Ilia and

Greg Sam Alman is not on this email so

redacted is exactly right I'm not sure

who they're talking about here we may

wish it otherwise but in my and blank's

opinion Tesla is the only path that

could even hope to hold a candle to

Google even then the probability of

being a counterweight to Google is small

it just isn't zero so I don't know who

this is if I had to guess I'd say it's

probably somebody else at Tesla uh but

I'm really not sure and this is another

email and this is actually deeper in the

email thread so we have from not sure to

Elon Musk and they start by working at

The Cutting Edge of AI is unfortunately

expensive for example and they

completely blank this out so this might

be some Insider information about a

company that tried to do something

couldn't I'm not sure in addition to

deep mine Google also has Google brain

research and Cloud tensorflow CPUs and

they own about a third of all research

in fact they hold their own AI

conferences I also strongly suspect that

compute horsepower will be necessary and

whoever wrote this was 100% right and

possibly even sufficient to reach AGI so

if you have enough compute you will

reach AGI and new Cutting Edge

technological breakthroughs might not

even be necessary this is at 2018 which

is is after the famous Transformers

paper came out the core algorithms we

use today have remained largely

unchanged from the '90s not only that

but any algorithmic advances published

in a paper somewhere can almost

immediately

reimplemented and Incorporated

conversely algorithmic advances alone

are inert without the scale to also make

them scary so what they are saying is

when a company or a research lab comes

out with a new piece of research it can

just be reimplemented and that's

literally exactly what happened with the

Transformers paper Google published it

open AI saw it and made something of it

where Google really didn't but again we

don't know who this email is from but it

is to Elon Musk it seems to me that open

AI today is burning cash and that the

funding model cannot reach the scale to

seriously compete with Google an $800

billion company so they hadn't yet

reached a trillion dollar Mark if you

can't seriously compete but continue to

do research in open you might fact to be

making things worse and helping them out

for free because any advances are fairly

easy for them to copy and immediately

incorporate at scale funny the opposite

actually happened Google did the

research published the attention is all

you need paper which is the Transformers

paper open AI took it and implemented it

in a really awesome way a for-profit

pivot might create a more sustainable

Revenue stream over time and would with

the current team likely bring in a lot

of investment however building out a

product from scratch would steal Focus

from AI research all right so I'm going

to skip a bit and here says the most

promising option I can think of as

mentioned earlier would be for open AI

to attach to Tesla as its Cash Cow so I

don't know who said this I'm very very

interested but we don't know I believe

attachments to other large suspects

Apple Amazon would fail due to

incompatible company DNA using a rocket

analogy Tesla already built the first

stage of the rocket with the whole

supply chain of model 3 and it's on

board computer and a persistent internet

connection so then this person goes on

making the case for joining Tesla Tesla

and then they end with I cannot see

anything else that has the potential to

reach sustainable Google scale Capital

within a decade oh they were so wrong

about that then Elon Musk to Ilia Greg

and Sam my probability assessment of

open AI being relevant to Deep Mind

Google without a dramatic change in

execution and resources is 0% not 1% 0%

complete fail not a chance you're going

to succeed this is in 2018 I wish it

were otherwise even raising several

hundred million won't be enough this

needs billions per year immediately or

forget it this line turned out to be

true they need a ton of cash however

this 0% turned out to be completely

false but they did have a change in

execution they changed to a for-profit

entity but that is not what Elon said

here he is suggesting either he takes

control or they join Tesla which I guess

by default makes them a for-profit

entity I don't know what they were

exactly planning there all right here we

go now we're going to read from this

inside email first so from blank we

don't know who that is from to Elon Musk

happy New Year congratulations on

Landing the new Falcon Dy great uh I've

seen you been doing a lot of interviews

recently extolling the virtues of open

sourcing AI but I presume you realize

that this is not some sort of Panacea

that will somehow magically solve the

safety problem so whoever wrote this

email is probably the same person who

has been trying to convince them to join

Tesla but he says or she says realize

that this is not some sort of Panacea

that will somehow magically solve the

safety problem there are many good

arguments as to why the approach you are

taking is actually very dangerous and in

fact may increase the risk to the world

some of the more obvious points are

articulated in this blog post that I'm

sure you've seen and they reference this

blog post so let's take a look at that

quickly so this is a Blog by Scott

Alexander and I had not actually heard

of this name and looking it up on

rational Wiki we see that he began

writing on less wrong under the name

Evan and then branched out to his own

blog slate star codex so Scott Alexander

is the pen name of less wrong

rationalist blogger and psychiatrist

Scott Alexander cisin after graduating

with a bachelor's degree Magnum Ludi

in philosophy he qualified in medicine

at University College cork National

University of Ireland okay so just a

really smart dude so I'm not going to go

through this entire blog post although

it is quite interesting but the gist of

it is Scott Alexander does not believe

in open- Source AI if you want to see me

do a full video just about this paper

cuz it is interesting to think about the

ethics and the moral outcomes possible

when you think about AGI and open source

AI uh let me know in the comments now

here is open ai's proof that Elon Musk

wanted a for-profit entity here is the

majority of the proof at least so from

Ilia to Elon and Sam and Greg the

article is concerned with a hard takeoff

scenario if a hard takeoff occurs and a

safe AI is harder to build than an

unsafe one then by open sourcing

everything we make it easier for someone

unscrupulous with access to overwhelming

amount of Hardware to build an unsafe AI

which will experience a hard takeoff as

we get closer to building AI it will

make sense to start being less open and

that is what they quoted in the blog

post above the open and open AI means

that everyone should benefit from the

fruits of AI after it's built but it's

totally okay to not share the science

even though sharing everything is

definitely the right strategy and the

short and POS possibly medium term for

recruiting purposes and then Elon Musk

says yep now I'm going to play the

devil's advocate here for a second I

think there's a chance that Elon gets a

million emails and he probably doesn't

spend the right amount of time reading

through every single word in every

single email he gets he may have just

skimmed this email and just said yep I

would not consider his yep being a

definitive agreement with everything in

this email although you know maybe

legally it is I'm not sure I'm not a

lawyer but that is an interesting take

nonetheless and so that's it what do you

think do you think open AI is going to

be able to dismiss all claims do you

think they're right here do you think

they've kind of shown the receipts

necessary to show that Elon is actually

bsing and is maybe just jealous that his

company isn't able to compete currently

with open AI so let me know what you

think in the comments if you like this

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