"Brexit Mega Deal" - The UK & Germany Agree

ibx2cat
28 Aug 202414:15

Summary

TLDRThe video script discusses the UK's post-Brexit relationship with the EU, focusing on the desire for a 'reset' and the complexities of negotiating a mega deal. It highlights shared interests in areas like science, technology, and defense, while also addressing contentious issues such as illegal migration and the EU's leverage in trade talks. The video also touches on the EU's aspirations for a youth mobility scheme and the UK's reluctance to address certain relationship issues like Northern Ireland and Gibraltar. It concludes by emphasizing the importance of a mutually beneficial agreement for both sides.

Takeaways

  • πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί The UK and the EU are seeking a post-Brexit 'reset' to improve relations and cooperation, despite the UK no longer being part of the EU.
  • 🀝 There is a mutual interest, especially from Germany, in negotiating a comprehensive post-Brexit deal to maintain strong ties in areas like science, technology, and defense.
  • 🚫 Both sides have clarified that Brexit is not being reversed, and the UK will remain outside the EU's single market and customs union.
  • πŸ€” The negotiation process is complex due to the need to balance shared values and interests with the UK's desire for independence from EU policies.
  • πŸ” Issues like illegal migration and defense are high priorities in the negotiations, with Germany seeking to address domestic concerns while maintaining EU-wide cooperation.
  • πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Germany, in particular, is pushing for agreements that reflect shared goals and values, but also needs to consider the broader EU's stance and requirements.
  • πŸ›‘ The EU has leverage in negotiations due to its size and the potential benefits to the UK from a deal, but unresolved issues like Northern Ireland and Gibraltar could be stumbling blocks.
  • πŸ’Ό Trade frictions are a key focus for both sides, with the aim of facilitating smoother international trade and specialization, benefiting both economies.
  • πŸ‘₯ Youth mobility is a significant point of contention, with the EU seeking a scheme that allows young people to move freely between the UK and EU countries, similar to existing agreements with other nations.
  • πŸ’‘ The outcome of negotiations could lead to a more formalized partnership in areas like defense and security, potentially involving financial contributions and cooperation beyond NATO.
  • πŸ”‘ The success of Brexit and the UK's future relationship with the EU hinges on reaching mutually beneficial agreements that address key issues without compromising the UK's sovereignty.

Q & A

  • When did the UK officially leave the EU?

    -The UK officially left the EU on the 1st of January 2020.

  • What is the concept of a 'Brexit mega deal' as mentioned in the script?

    -A 'Brexit mega deal' refers to a comprehensive agreement between the UK and the EU post-Brexit to reset their relationship and establish new terms for cooperation, particularly in areas like trade, science, technology, and defense.

  • Why is there a consensus among European countries for an EU-UK reset?

    -There is a consensus for an EU-UK reset to improve relations and cooperation despite the UK no longer being part of the EU, as it makes sense for both parties to have a constructive relationship based on shared values and interests.

  • What are some of the key areas where the UK and Germany agree and might work together post-Brexit?

    -Key areas of agreement and potential collaboration between the UK and Germany include science, technology, development, illegal migration, and defense.

  • Why is the issue of illegal migration significant in Germany's current political landscape?

    -Illegal migration is significant in Germany due to recent incidents, such as the Solingen stabbing, which has highlighted the need for better management of migration policies and the deportation of individuals who pose a threat to public safety.

  • What is the UK's stance on reversing Brexit?

    -The UK's stance is clear that there will be no reversal of Brexit. The UK will remain outside of the EU, but will negotiate new terms for cooperation similar to how the EU negotiates with other countries.

  • What are the main challenges in negotiating EU-wide deals between the UK and the EU?

    -The main challenges include unresolved issues from the 2020 Trade and Cooperation Agreement, such as Northern Ireland's access to the EU and the Gibraltar issue, as well as the EU's desire for the UK to address its relationship issues before moving forward with broader deals.

  • What does the EU want from the UK in terms of trade and economic cooperation?

    -The EU wants to remove trade frictions, have the UK address issues like Northern Ireland and Gibraltar, and potentially establish a youth mobility scheme similar to those the UK has with other countries, allowing young people to move more freely between the UK and EU.

  • What is the significance of the EU's leverage in negotiations with the UK?

    -The EU's leverage comes from its larger size and collective bargaining power, which allows it to negotiate terms that may be more favorable to the EU, while the UK, being a single entity, may have a weaker position in these negotiations.

  • What are the potential benefits for both the UK and the EU from a post-Brexit reset?

    -A post-Brexit reset could lead to mutually beneficial agreements that boost both economies, improve cooperation in areas of shared interest, and establish a more stable and constructive relationship between the UK and the EU.

Outlines

00:00

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ UK-EU Post-Brexit Relations and Negotiations

The video script discusses the UK's departure from the EU on January 1, 2020, and the subsequent desire for a 'reset' in EU-UK relations. It emphasizes that despite shared values and interests, particularly in science, technology, and defense, the UK remains outside the EU's single market and customs union. The script highlights Germany's interest in a post-Brexit 'mega deal' and the ongoing negotiations on various issues, including illegal migration and defense cooperation. It also touches on the complexities of EU-wide deals, which must consider the interests of all member states, not just the UK and Germany.

05:01

🀝 Challenges and Priorities in EU-UK Trade Negotiations

This paragraph delves into the specific challenges and priorities in the EU-UK trade negotiations. It mentions the EU's desire for a youth mobility scheme, allowing young people to move freely between the UK and EU, and the UK's hesitance to address issues like Northern Ireland and Gibralter. The script outlines the EU's leverage in negotiations due to its larger size and the UK's need to balance its desire for individual trade deals with the necessity of maintaining a good relationship with the EU. It also discusses the potential for security and defense cooperation, as well as the economic implications of the negotiations for both parties.

10:02

πŸ”„ EU-UK Reset: Balancing Interests and Future Relations

The final paragraph focuses on the potential outcomes of the EU-UK reset and the tit-for-tat nature of the negotiations. It discusses the possibility of improved trade and travel conditions, as well as the EU's strategy in dealing with the UK as a close but now separate trading partner. The script speculates on the EU's approach to the UK, whether as a close friend or a cautionary example for other member states considering departure. It concludes by emphasizing the importance of a successful post-Brexit relationship for both the UK and the EU, highlighting the need for agreements that are mutually beneficial and do not lead to animosity.

Mindmap

Keywords

πŸ’‘Brexit

Brexit refers to the United Kingdom's decision to leave the European Union, a significant political and economic event that took place on January 1, 2020. It is central to the video's theme as it sets the stage for the discussion on the UK and EU's post-Brexit relationship and the potential for a 'reset' in their ties.

πŸ’‘European Union (EU)

The European Union is a political and economic union of 27 member states located primarily in Europe. In the context of the video, the EU is the counterpart to the UK in the post-Brexit negotiations and discussions, aiming for a cooperative yet distinct relationship with the UK.

πŸ’‘UK Prime Minister

The UK Prime Minister is the head of government in the United Kingdom. The video mentions the Prime Minister's visit to Germany, indicating the ongoing diplomatic efforts to negotiate a post-Brexit deal, which is a key point in the video's narrative.

πŸ’‘Trade Frictions

Trade frictions refer to obstacles or complications that arise in trade between countries. The video discusses the desire of both the UK and the EU to remove these frictions post-Brexit to facilitate smoother international trade relations.

πŸ’‘Northern Ireland

Northern Ireland is a region of the UK that has unique post-Brexit implications due to its proximity to the EU member state, the Republic of Ireland. The video highlights unresolved issues concerning Northern Ireland's access to the EU market as a significant point of negotiation.

πŸ’‘Youth Mobility Scheme

A Youth Mobility Scheme allows young people to travel and work in another country for a certain period. The video discusses the EU's interest in such a scheme with the UK, reflecting the EU's desire to maintain some form of freedom of movement post-Brexit.

πŸ’‘Security and Defense

Security and defense cooperation is a significant aspect of the UK and EU's relationship. The video mentions the UK's role as a nuclear power and its alignment with the EU on matters like Ukraine, suggesting a mutual interest in formalizing their security cooperation.

πŸ’‘Customs Union

A Customs Union is an agreement between countries to adopt a common trade policy regarding imports and exports with third countries. The video clarifies that the UK's departure from the EU Customs Union is not subject to reversal, indicating a fundamental change in the UK's trade policy.

πŸ’‘Single Market

The Single Market refers to the EU's single economic space where goods, services, capital, and people can move freely. The video emphasizes that the UK's exit from the Single Market is not being reconsidered, which is a key outcome of Brexit.

πŸ’‘Economic Opportunities

Economic opportunities refer to the potential for financial gain or business growth. The video touches on the economic opportunities that attracted people to the UK when it was part of the EU's freedom of movement policy, which is now a point of negotiation post-Brexit.

πŸ’‘Tit-for-Tat

Tit-for-Tat is a strategy of retaliation in negotiations, where one party responds in kind to the other's actions. The video uses this term to describe the potential back-and-forth nature of the UK and EU's negotiations on various issues, such as trade deals and security agreements.

Highlights

The UK and EU are seeking a 'reset' in relations post-Brexit, aiming for a broad consensus on cooperation.

Germany is particularly interested in a post-Brexit mega deal with the UK, reflecting shared values and interests.

Both the UK and Germany agree on the importance of cooperation in science, technology, and development.

Illegal migration is a significant issue in Germany, influencing negotiations on border control and security.

The UK and EU share similar goals on defense, particularly concerning NATO and regional stability.

Trade deals between the UK and Germany are limited by EU-wide policies, requiring broader EU agreement.

The EU seeks to address unresolved issues from the Brexit agreement, including Northern Ireland and Gibralter.

Youth mobility schemes are a point of contention, with the EU wanting continued freedom of movement for young people.

The EU has leverage in negotiations due to its size and collective bargaining power over the UK.

Both sides aim to reduce trade frictions to boost economies and facilitate international trade.

The EU is interested in a security deal with the UK, given the potential instability of the US as a partner.

Financial contributions to the EU are a sticking point for the UK, reflecting past net contributions.

The UK seeks control over immigration, which was a significant factor in the Brexit vote.

The EU and UK are exploring agreements that are mutually beneficial without financial or movement concessions.

Individual trade deals between the UK and EU member states could be more advantageous for the UK.

The EU may view the UK as both a close trading partner and a potential risk to its unity.

A successful Brexit requires a good relationship with the EU, emphasizing the importance of ongoing negotiations.

The video discusses the potential for improved travel agreements and cooperation on security.

Transcripts

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hello I'm toy cat and the UK left the EU

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on the 1st of January 2020 and after a

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bit of a break for the pandemic there

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has been a broad consensus amongst

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European countries that they would like

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an EU UK reset sure they might not be

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part of the same multinational union now

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but it would make sense to get on right

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and so that's why Germany in particular

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wants a brexit mega deal or a post

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brexit Mega deal you might say and now

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that the UK prime minister is in Germany

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that makes it a particularly hot issue

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and so what exactly are the UK and

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Germans negotiating and more broadly

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what are the UK and the EU trying to

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work out what do they want from each

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other that is making this a long process

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well let's dive into that today and

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start the most important thing because I

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think some people on both sides of the

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brexit spectrum are going to jump on the

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fact that this is clearly reversing

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brexit but it has been clearly said by

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both sides that no that is exactly not

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what's happening so uh even though this

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is a once in a generation chance it is

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not going to be a reversal of brexit

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he's been absolutely clear and there's

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not going to be a reversal of the brexit

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or a reversal of the single Market or

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Customs Union leaving all these things

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are going to stay the way they are the

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UK is going to be outside of the EU but

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in the same way that the EU might

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negotiate with any country in the world

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be that the the us or China or South

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Sudan the UK is going to negotiate with

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the UK perhaps on closer terms than any

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of those because unlike those countries

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the UK has particularly shared values

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this me uh this does lead to some very

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interesting uh spaces where the UK and

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Germany in particular agree so uh on

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science technology and development it's

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something where both countries agree

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that it'd be better if we could work

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those things better also illegal

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migration is something that is very very

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very big in Germany right now they had a

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stabbing for a guy who probably should

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have been deported and uh wasn't

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deported and uh then they claimed that

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he stabbed a bunch of people claimed it

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was the Islamic State not a good look

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for a country that is letting in a lot

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of migrants so they're working on the

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illegal side of things and then also on

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things like defense the UK is one of the

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world's only nuclear Powers uh the UK is

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one of the world's largest militaries

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and the UK and the EU have broadly

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similar goals on things like Ukraine and

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so why not have a deal that just makes

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that formal they're both part of NATO

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but what if they were both part of a

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broader European part of NATO you might

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say it's a weird thing that the EU is

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kind of working on defense-wise right

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now but they are working on agreeing a

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deal by the end of the year however this

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is a deal between the UK and Germany

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that they're talking about and there's a

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very interesting thing that happens with

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these countries which you can kind of

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see just from this image right here when

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the UK and Germany go to negotiate

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they're flanked by EU Flags because uh

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in you it's kind of like the meme like

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isn't there someone you forgot to ask uh

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you know the UK and Germany can agree a

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deal on certain issues but the wider

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ones have to be agreed with by the EU

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more broadly the UK and Germany can work

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out some deals but they can't have say a

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trade deal because trade is an eu-wide

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issue and so what's the deal with uh

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that well uh the eu-wide uh deals are

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ones that are being held up by quite a

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few different problems basically uh

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there are different things that the EU

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wants from the UK and things that both

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countries want from each other that the

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you know both sides are kind of working

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out how they can negotiate best so both

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both sides want to remove trade

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frictions this is something uh you know

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outside of the spike period of uh you

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know brexit I I think I it's a maybe

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controversial thing to say but Germany

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was specifically saying that like yeah

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uh it's not a priority about the UK

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leaving and getting a good deal with

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them uh because you need to make leaving

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the EU look kind of bad right but now

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that the two countries are definitely

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separated and there's no easy Prospect

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of them rejoining uh it's a good deal

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for both sides on the maybe a better

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deal for the UK you might say maybe a

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better deal for the EU depending on what

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which Services you're talking about but

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it's a good deal for both sides to

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remove trade frictions so that trade can

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happen international trade is broadly

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agreed to be a good thing if there is

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someone in London that can provide a

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service cheaper than uh someone in Paris

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it is good for both sides to provide

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that and the same in Reverse if there's

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someone in Paris who has something you

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can't buy in London it's better for both

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sides to trade those things uh you know

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that's what trade is than to do the

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things both themselves inefficiently in

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the same way it's better for me not to

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do the plumbing in my house uh but

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instead to make a video for you so that

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I can one day pay a plumber I I think

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everyone agrees that trade is better if

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people specialize in their things and uh

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that is why both sides want this however

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the EU has a little bit extra leverage

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you know being that there's more of them

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and only one UK and so they would like

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to have this deal happen but they're

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willing to have that be uh uh you

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they're willing to hold have that be on

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hold until the UK deals with its current

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relationship issues so in the uh 2020

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deal which the UK left the EU of the

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trade and cooperation agreement if you

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want to look into it um basically uh a

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lot of things uh should have been worked

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out Northern Ireland that haven't been

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perfectly uh solved also uh jalter is a

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much smaller but still important issue

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there are lots of brexit Arrangements

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which were just kind of left till later

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which are currently sitting unsolved in

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the UK's favor um right now the you know

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Northern Ireland has direct access to

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the EU despite being a part of the UK

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and to a much much much lesser extent

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jalter has some weird access to the EU

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despite being part of the UK and these

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are things that the EU would really like

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to clean up before they get a deal going

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down the biggest most recent issue the

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one that literally came up in this

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article while I was recording this video

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is that youth Mobility is something in

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particular the European Union wants one

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of the big uh stickling points between

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the UK being a part of the EU was the

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fact that many European Union countries

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uh the UK uh had freedom of movement

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with the EU and vice versa I guess as

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part of the EU every country had freedom

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of movement with each other however

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there were far more people coming to the

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UK as part of that free movement than

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people leaving the UK some of this was

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down to economic opportunities but

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there's also I don't know something

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English language something the largest

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city on the continent that isn't Moscow

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or Istanbul um so as a result London is

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a big draw people the UK is a big draw

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people and so the EU wants to have a

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youth Mobility scheme uh basically they

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want to not reverse those parts of

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things but have it so that young people

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can still move this is something many

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countries agree all the time as I'll

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reference all the time when I'm

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espousing the the virtues of kuk and all

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the fun things is the UK Canada New

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Zealand Australia and even Japan and

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South Korea have these schemes of each

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other where if you're below the age of

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30 you can get a very very very very

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easy Visa into any of those other

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countries um and I've met all sorts of

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British people in North America using

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those it's a very very handy scheme that

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you can have between countries that have

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nothing to do with each other but again

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that is why it's one of those things

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where the UK benefits less from it than

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the EU does and so if there's going to

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be a bilateral treaty on that they want

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to make sure that hinges on a trade deal

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and so the easy the easy solution to

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both these things right would be okay

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the EU can get it deals on jalar and

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Northern Ireland which the UK is really

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hesitant to deal with if the UK can get

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uh deals on not having something like

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that except that's still not a

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concession for the UK and indeed the EU

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and the UK also have some issues of

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security um as obviously there's always

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the uh the prospect of the United States

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being a a non-stable security partner

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and so getting a better deal with the UK

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on security and defense is something the

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EU wants to however um something that

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they are common something that very

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commonly comes up when you're dealing

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with a giant body like the EU is they'll

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make some comments like well if there's

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an economic angle to the security deals

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then obviously that would be a way of

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getting past the trade and cooperation

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agreement where you don't have to be a

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part of the EU but you don't have to pay

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into it and so if they want to get any

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close from that you'd have to make

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Financial contributions to the EU and so

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that's the sort of thing that probably

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not very uh popular given again the

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other big point for the euk was the fact

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that we were the second biggest net

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contributors to the budget I the money

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we gave them was significantly more than

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the money we got in return directly not

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including trade do and stuff and so the

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ideal place for the ukuk would be if we

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were in control of movement something

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which we were more beneficiaries of if

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we were in if we didn't have to deal

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with Northern Ireland and uh

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additionally if we got to have all of

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the fun deals of defense and Technology

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uh without having to pay into those

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programs whereas the ideal deal from the

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eu's perspective would be either go back

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to how it was before more or less but

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minus uh you know getting some of the

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beneficiary of those funds or uh maybe

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they could go for a deal where they

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solve the Northern Ireland and the

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Gibralter issues you know the UK is just

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it's connected to too many EU member

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states in a way that it's kind of messy

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for the European Union so um you know

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that's that's that's an easy solution

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right is if they can uh just go back to

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way things are or more or less if they

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can't have the UK pay like it used to so

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it doesn't look like the UK has a sweet

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a deal one of the hard things about

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going for a reset is working out a deal

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that is mutually beneficial uh has a lot

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of places where uh you know there's a

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bit of brinkmanship involved where the

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UK and the EU would be much better off

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just agreeing on a deal agreeing on some

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deal where they both trade a bit more of

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each other both gdps would get a boost

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of some form this is why Countryside

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trade deals but the EU knows that they

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have a slightly bigger car on a stick to

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the UK you know the uh the UK would

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represent a tiny you know by just having

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a fifth of the size of the population on

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economy it means that even the net 1%

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deal on both sides or 5% deal on both

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sides is going to benefit the UK more as

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a proportion right and so uh if you can

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as a result the EU knows that they can

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do a little bit of a game where they're

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like okay what if we get some security

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worked out what if we what if we demand

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that we work out what's going on with

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the Windsor framework and uh dealing

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with Northern Ireland and the UK is like

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what if we just agreed on the things

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that we wanted to what if we just agreed

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that we both like defending Ukraine so

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let's do that what if we just agreed

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that we both like defense so let's uh

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defend each other and we both like trade

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and that is the kind of hard point that

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is always going to happen here there's

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there's uh the the EU and has a

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fundamental mandate to do what's best

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for the entire blocked right and uh the

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UK has this fundamental mandate to try

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and see the EU uh as a bunch of

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different countries if the UK is just

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one country in Europe it has a strong

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position when the UK is negotiating

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against 27 other countries combined it

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has a slightly weaker position and so

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it's always best for the UK to do

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individual trade deals to to go to

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Germany to go to France I think the

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image for this article was the UK going

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to France to negotiate stuff like that

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um working out a country bycount basis

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is something that works really well for

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the UK whereas the EU benefits when they

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come together and kind of the other

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issue is that the EU can see the UK as

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just a very close by trading partner one

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of the best you know that they they

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could have one of the best friends

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outside of their Club over in the UK or

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they can decide to go the other way and

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they can say well that's the closest of

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friends that used to be you know our

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wife we used to be married so let we you

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know let's let's not ever get too close

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Les we give the idea that our other 26

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wives might leave us too and so that's

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the fun thing with the euk and the you

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and so yeah what's actually going to

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happen uh basically there's going to be

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a lot of tick for tack to do with things

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like youth Mobility schemes there's

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going to be tit fortat with regard to

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things like uh the exact uh whe whether

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there's going to be contributions tit

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fortat on the trade deals and what they

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actually mean but broadly speaking if

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they can ignore the biggest of issues it

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should be good for both sides and this

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should indeed finally be a UK euu reset

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instead of these weird spiteful

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conditions of each other we can just

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agree on what would actually be good so

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uh you know small examples of that like

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we discussed um recently um the EAS

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system uh right now the uh the EU has

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two ways you enter you enter as a EU

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National you enter as a UK national uh

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whereas in the reverse we say in the UK

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like yeah if you're from like one of 50

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countries around the world including

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every EU member State you can come

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through our gates and I feel like you

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our e gates are a lot easier than going

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to be physically stamped or whatever I

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feel like uh there are all sorts of

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weird deals that the individual traveler

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might appreciate that could be worked

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out here to and I hope that that's

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what's being worked out but the only way

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to know is to wait for like a year and

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then see what comes out and then hope

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it's not too bad uh because ultimately

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one of the hardest things about leaving

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the EU is to make it a success you need

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to have a good relationship with them

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this is uh the fundamental hard thing

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about secessionism as a political uh

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idea is if you leave you know like if if

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Scotland were to leave it can't do so on

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a bad relationship with the UK If

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Catalonia were to leave it couldn't do

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so on a bad relationship with Spain and

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and the same thing happens with the UK

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even if the UK wants to spite the EU and

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never even if the UK EU wants to spite

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the UK or whatever else it may be it's

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in nobody's interest to actually have

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that happen and so as much as the UK

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does need to work on its agreements with

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the rest of the world something that's

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become clear since brexit is we still

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need to have some agreement with the EU

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just ideally one that doesn't make us

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have Financial contributions or freedom

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of movement or whatever else uh unless

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you want those things in which case you

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know would be great wouldn't it but I

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guess if you want those things you're

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probably just someone who wants to go

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back into the EU anyway and at that

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point you could argue as a you know the

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political accelerationist idea is make

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the make the EU UK deal as terrible as

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possible so that we want to go crawling

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back which maybe is some people in the

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eu's uh goal I I don't know for sure but

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this is well beyond speculation at this

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point I hope you enjoyed this video I uh

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I would like to say I I I I do think

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it's extra bad what's happened in

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solingen and I really feel like uh in

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general uh the UK the EU can hopefully

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uh if if there's a bare minimum even if

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there's nothing else that comes from

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this hopefully the comments they make

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about irregular migration um about you

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know people who should be deported

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because they are part of the Islamic

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State or whatever else uh may be I hope

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that if the I hope that if there's one

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thing to come from this it's that we can

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at least have fewer people be stabbed to

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death is that is that is that

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controversial take uh if if if there's

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one thing that comes from this hopefully

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there's fewer people stabbing strangers

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on the streets of the small towns and

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cities but maybe that's too much to ask

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for for now though I hope hope you

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enjoyed this video and uh by the way

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look at that street view in Germany it's

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crazy um I I always forget to mention

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this in videos but Street Germany has

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street view now it's it's nuts but um

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yeah I hope you enjoyed this video if

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you did then uh consider giving me money

play13:42

on patreon I will use it not to improve

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the quality of these but instead to buy

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perhaps and indeed the weird travel

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things I'm I'm going to Vietnam soon uh

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so I'll use your money to buy a a bowl

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of soup or something it'll be great or

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I'll go to little wish I wish they had

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little in Vietnam I know that I know

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they don't but it would I bet it would

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be great there huh also look look at

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these hours 7 to 20 Monday to Saturday

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only man little little tight in this

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town of groin Gren I guess that would be

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anyway thank you for watching second

play14:12

Channel don't care bye I'm going to go

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get a m deal now

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Post-BrexitTrade DealsEU RelationsSecurity PactMigration PolicyUK PoliticsEuropean UnionNATO AlliesEconomic ImpactYouth MobilityInternational Affairs