"No One Expected This From Tesla.." - Cathie Wood (Latest interview)

Investing G
7 Mar 202422:42

Summary

TLDRテスラは、自動運転技術を中心とした新たなビジネスモデルを展開し、そのプラットフォームを提供することで、収益機会は5~10年間に8~10兆ドルに達すると見込まれています。また、テスラの株価は今年に入って27%下がり、中国での出荷減少やベルリン工場の放火事件などが影響しています。一方、ロボタクシーサービスの実現は規制や技術的なハードルがあり、実現までの期間は不確定です。

Takeaways

  • 🚗 テスラは「Magnificent 7」の一員であり、自動運転に関する期待はまだ充分に評価されていないと考えられています。
  • 🌐 自動運転関連の市場機会は、今後5~10年間で8兆~10兆ドルの収益機会を提供すると見込まれています。
  • 🚙 テスラはプラットフォームプロバイダーとなり、自動運転フリートを運営し、人々がテスラをリースする仕組みが設けられる予定です。
  • 🛠️ テスラの将来的なビジネスモデルは、ソフトウェア即サービス(SaaS)に近く、高い毛利率が見込まれています。
  • 🤖 AIは他の技術を催化し、ロボット工学、エネルギー貯蔵、ブロックチェーン技術などの5つの主要プラットフォームにわたって指数関数的な成長をもたらす大きなカタリストとなります。
  • 📈 知識労働者の生産性は、少なくとも4倍に増加すると予測されており、これにより大きな生産性向上と財産形成の機会が生み出されます。
  • 📉 テスラの株価は今年に入って下跌しており、株式分析家のダウングレードや中国での出荷減少、ベルリンの工場での放火事件などが影響しています。
  • 🚀 テスラのロボタクシーサービスは、予想される遅れを無視して今年度中に開始される可能性があると述べています。
  • 💰 投資家は限定版のテスラモデルを購入し、その後高額で再販売することで数千倍のリターンを得ることができるとされています。
  • 🥇 世界最富有のランキングでは、ジェフ・ベゾス、エルン・マスク、ベルナール・アルノがトップを争い、株式の動向によって週に数回変更される可能性があります。

Q & A

  • テスラの期待値はどの程度過大評価されていますか?

    -期待値は過大評価されていないと考えられています。実際には、ほとんどの人たちはテスラの自動運転技術に対して評価していないため、期待値は適切だと考えられています。

  • 自動運転関連の市場機会の収益はどれくらい見込まれていますか?

    -自動運転関連の市場機会は、今後5~10年間で8兆から10兆ドル程度の収益をもたらすことが見込まれています。これは、GDPに最も大きな影響を与える革新の一つであり、歴史上最も大きな影響を与える可能性があります。

  • テスラがプラットフォームプロバイダーとして果たす役割は何ですか?

    -テスラは自動運転フリートを運営するプラットフォームプロバイダーとして機能し、人々がテスラをリースして、テスラのプラットフォームを利用することで、双方にとっての勝ち組となります。これは、ソフトウェア即サービス(SaaS)モデルであり、高い毛利率を持ち、ソフトウェア会社として機能する見込みです。

  • テスラの株価はどのように変動していますか?

    -テスラの株価は今年为止で27%下落し、株式分析家からの株式降级、中国での出荷の減少、そしてテスラのベルリンプラントでの放火事件などの問題があります。

  • テスラの今後の成長ペースはどのように変化する見込みですか?

    -テスラの成長ペースは今年大幅に遅くなる見込みで、エロン・マスクとチームは過去数年間で驚くべき急速な成長を遂げた後、今年は成長が大幅に遅くなることを示唆しています。

  • テスラの自動運転技術の進歩はどの程度の安全性を提供する見込みですか?

    -テスラの自動運転技術は、人為エラーを除去することで、80~90%の自動車事故を防ぐことが期待されています。自動運転車は平均して500,000マイルに1度の事故に対して、完全自動運転のテスラ車は約3.2百万マイルに1度の事故率を見込まれています。

  • テスラのサイバートラックのミニチュアモデルはどのような価値を持っていると予想されますか?

    -ミニチュアサイバートラックは、その詳細さと機能性により、コレクションの中で特別な価値を持つ可能性があります。公式ウェブサイトから購入されたアイテムは、独自の認証番号があるため、後にプレミアム価格で再販売されることが期待されています。

  • テスラのロボタクシーサービスはいつ実現される予定ですか?

    -ロボタクシーサービスの実現は、規制的な壁や技術的な壁があるため、いつ正確に実現されるかは不明です。しかし、テスラは最近の投資家向けデイで発表したデータに基づいて、自動運転技術の進歩が期待されています。

  • エロン・マスクはなぜ政治的な立場をより強く表明していますか?

    -エロン・マスクは、Twitterを介して政治的な立場をより強く表明し始めました。彼は「覺醒マインドウイルス」や政治的正確さに対する反対意見を示し、白宫への道を築くようになりました。

  • ジェフ・ベゾスが再び世界最富の理由は何ですか?

    -ジェフ・ベゾスは、Amazonの株式を売却し、Miamiに移住することで税金を節約し、その結果、世界最富の座を再び奪回しました。彼の今後の投資や事業についての予測は、現在は確定していません。

  • 将来の投資機会の中で最も重要なのは何ですか?

    -将来の最も重要な投資機会の一つは、自動運転タクシーサービスの機会であり、2030年までに8兆から10兆ドルの収益をもたらす見込みです。これは人命を救うために重要な技術革新であり、自動車事故の80~90%を防ぐことができると期待されています。

Outlines

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🚗 Teslaの未来と自動運転車のビジネスモデル

この段落では、Teslaの期待とその将来のビジネスモデルについて述べています。Teslaは自動運転車の分野でプラットフォームプロバイダーとして機能すると見なされています。自動運転車の時代は8兆から10兆ドルの市場機会をもたらすとされ、Teslaはその中最価値のある部分を担うことになります。また、Teslaの毛利率がSaaSモデルに則じ、80%から90%の高毛利率を期待できることも触れられています。さらに、Teslaの自動運転技術は既に備わっており、所有者が車両をレンタルに使ってもらい、働いている間にお金を稼ぐことができます。

05:01

📈Tesla株価の動向と生産性向上

この段落では、Tesla株のパフォーマンスと生産性向上の話題が中心になります。Tesla株は今年で27%下落し、分析家からの株式降级や中国での出荷減少、さらにTeslaのベルリン工場での放火事件が影響を与えています。Teslaの成長が今年遅く、生産性向上が知識労働者に影響を与えると見ています。コードライターの生産性は既に50から100%増加しており、Teslaの株価は急速に変動しています。

10:03

🤖 AIの進化とTeslaのビジネスへの影響

AIがTeslaのビジネスにどのように影響を与えるかがこの段落の主題です。AIはデータの収集と分析を革新し、Google検索やAmazonなどの集中型プラットフォームを置き換える可能性があります。TeslaはAI技術を用いて、自動運転車をより安全にし、人為的なエラーを減らすことができます。さらに、AIはTeslaのビジネスモデルをSaaS化させ、高い毛利率を実現する可能性があります。

15:04

💰 世界最富のランキングとTeslaの市場評価

この段落では、世界最富のランキングの動向とTeslaの市場評価について述べています。Jeff BezosとElon Muskの財産の比較がなされています。BezosはAmazonの株式売却によって巨额の資金を獲得し、それをどのように投資するかが注目されています。Teslaの市場評価は、2027年までに約2,000ドルと評価されており、Robo taxiサービスがその成長の主要な要素とされています。また、自動運転車は人間の運転ミスを減らし、安全性を高めると期待されています。

20:04

🏎️ TeslaのCybertruckモデルと投資機会

この段落では、Teslaが提供するCybertruckのミニチュアモデルとその投資機会について話されています。この模型は、元の価格の100ドルから28ドル以下で入手できるようになり、非常に人気があります。この模型は玩具ではなく、機能する正確な複製品で、将来的にはコレクションの中で高い価値を持つ可能性があります。また、この模型は限定50台で入手可能で、公式ウェブサイトから購入した物品だけがプレミアム価格で再販売可能であることが特徴です。

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Tesla

テスラはイノベーションと電気自動車の開発に著名な企業です。この動画のテーマでは、テスラが自動運転技術を開発し、そのプラットフォームを提供することで、将来の主要な投資機会となる可能性について述べています。

💡Autonomous

自動運転技術は、人工知能を用いて人手を必要としない運転を実現するための技術です。この動画では、自動運転技術が将来の経済に与える影響と、テスラがこの分野でのリーダーシップを果たすことの重要性について説明されています。

💡Revenue Opportunity

収益機会とは、将来的に得られる可能性のある収益を指します。この文脈では、自動運転技術が導入されることで生み出される新たな市場やビジネスモデルに関連する収益の機会について言及されています。

💡GDP Impact

GDPインパクトは、ある技術やイベントが国内総生産に与える影響を指します。この動画では、自動運転技術が史上最もGDPに影響を与えるイノベーションの一つであると主張されており、その経済的な重要性が強調されています。

💡Software as a Service (SaaS)

ソフトウェア即サービス(SaaS)は、インターネットを通じてソフトウェアを提供するサービスモデルです。この動画では、テスラがSaaSモデルを採用し、高い毛利率でビジネスを展開することが予想されています。

💡Productivity Gains

生産性の向上とは、同じ時間やリソースでより多くの出力を生み出す能力の向上を指します。この動画では、自動運転技術が知識労働者の生産性を4倍に向上させる可能性があると述べられています。

💡Convergence

収束とは、複数の技術やトレンドが融合し、新しい価値やイノベーションを生み出す現象を指します。この動画では、人工知能、ロボット工学、エネルギー貯蔵、ブロックチェーン技術などの技術が収束し、将来の成長を促進すると予想されています。

💡Cybertruck

Cybertruckは、テスラが開発している電気poweredのpickup truckです。この動画では、Cybertruckの小型モデルが販売され、その価値について説明されています。

💡Investment

投資とは、将来の利益を得るために金銭や資源を現在投入することを指します。この動画では、自動運転技術への投資が将来の主要な投資機会となる可能性があると述べられています。

💡Electric Vehicles (EVs)

電気自動車(EVs)とは、燃料電池や電気モーターで動く自動車です。この動画では、EVsが将来の自動車市場において主流となる可能性があると述べられており、テスラがその分野でのリーダーシップを果たすことの重要性についても触れられています。

💡Infrastructure

インフラストラクチャとは、社会や経済活動を支える基盤となる設備やサービスを指します。この動画では、EVsの普及に必要な充電ステーションなどのインフラストラクチャの整備が重要視されています。

Highlights

High expectations for Tesla as part of the 'Magnificent 7'.

Tesla's expectations are not overdone, and most people are not giving them credit for autonomy.

The revenue opportunity for autonomous taxis is estimated to be 8 to 10 trillion over the next 5 to 10 years.

The most valuable part of the autonomous ecosystem will be the platform provider, with Tesla expected to take this role.

Tesla's gross margins are expected to reach 80 to 90% in the SaaS (Software as a Service) model.

Tesla owners will be able to lease their cars and offer them for rent through Tesla's software platform.

Tesla's cars are already equipped with software that will be upgraded over time for autonomous capabilities.

The convergence of five major platforms (multiomic sequencing, robotics, energy storage, AI, and blockchain) is expected to create super exponential growth.

AI is a significant catalyst in the growth and convergence of these technologies.

Productivity gains, especially among knowledge workers, are expected to increase significantly in the next 6 to 7 years.

Tesla's stock has taken a hit this year, down 27% due to various issues including stock downgrades and an arson attack on its Berlin plant.

Despite challenges, Tesla's rapid growth and innovation in the EV market remain remarkable.

The infrastructure build-out for EVs, such as charging stations, is crucial for adoption and is expected to continue regardless of market fluctuations.

Elon Musk's influence in politics and social media could potentially benefit Tesla's position in the market.

Jeff Bezos has become the world's richest person again with a net worth of $200 billion, surpassing Elon Musk.

Bezos' recent sale of Amazon stock and move to Miami saved him up to $600 million in taxes and speculates his interest in the rocket launch company, United Launch Alliance.

The race for the world's richest person is tight between Jeff Bezos, Elon Musk, and Bernard Arnault of LVMH, all around $200 billion in net worth.

Tesla's potential robo-taxi service could be a shocking story, with a valuation assessment suggesting a price target of $2,000 per share by 2027.

The mini Cybertruck model, designed with meticulous detail, is a collectible and functional item expected to resell for much higher prices in the future.

Transcripts

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there are a lot of high expectations

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baked into the Magnificent 7 now Tesla

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is one of them we don't think the

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expectations in Tesla are overdone at

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all in fact most people are not giving

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them any credit for autonomous so that

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one aside and um coming back to the

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autonomous taxes uh I think you've said

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the revenue opportunity there is 8 to 10

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trillion over the next 5 to 10 years

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which you know many people are

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confounded with because it's probably I

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think it's the most impact on GDP of any

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innovation in our history originally

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priced at $100 it's now yours for less

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than 28 bucks meticulously designed just

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like the cybertruck and it's fully

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functional this isn't a toy or a Decor

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it's a precise replica with every detail

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plus it comes with a mini cyber quad for

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Endless adventures and also you can add

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a cyber trailer with it don't miss out

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with just 50 available time is running

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out secure your mini cybertruck model

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today and set your collection apart from

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the rest only items purchased from the

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official website can be resold later at

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a premium due to their unique unique

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authentication numbers sure and you know

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so that eight to10 trillion dollars in

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revenues is in the next five to 10 years

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and it's

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Global uh if you break out the part the

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most valuable part of that ecosystem is

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going to be the platform provider so we

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think Tesla for example will be a

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platform provider it uh will run the

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it'll be responsible for um running the

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uh autonomous Fleet and people will

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lease their tesas and you know uh

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leverage off of the off of Tesla's

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platform so it's a win-win it's a SAS

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model it's a software as a service model

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so many people think that Tesla's gross

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margins will be lucky to get to 25 or

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30% a SAS

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model is an 80 to 90% gross margin

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business so that's where the big

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surprise is going to be in Tesla it's

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not a low margin company it's going to

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be a software company

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effectively yeah so all the a percentage

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of the people that own Teslas will sign

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up to this Tesla software that will

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allow them to offer their car out for

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people to to rent yes and and uh many

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Teslas are already equipped with the

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software that will be upgraded over time

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and so yes go to work let your car out

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let it do pick up uh and and drop off

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people earn money while you're at work

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and then it'll be there for you when you

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come out of work yeah I mean that sounds

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good to

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me it is pretty exciting and uh we just

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put out uh Big Ideas 2024 which starts

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with this idea of

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convergence and we think uh what's going

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to shock people in the years ahead is

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that the

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technologies that really they the seeds

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for all of them were planted in the 20

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years that ended in the teken Telecom

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bubble so those were the seeds they've

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been germinating ever since and now

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they're ready to Blossom they're ready

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for prime time and it's not just one or

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two seeds which has been the history of

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innovation like the transistor and the

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internet and so forth it's five five

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major platforms involving 14 different

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Technologies so uh multiomic sequencing

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in the LI life science space robotics

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energy storage artificial intelligence

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and blockchain technology so each of

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them is evolving ready for Prime Time

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ready to scale at growth rates that

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depending on the technology are anywhere

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from 20% to 50% per year uh AI is a big

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Catalyst here and that's how we get to

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convergence each of these Technologies

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leads to exponential growth so sustained

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growth at a very strong rate but think

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about the convergence of these

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Technologies these five major platforms

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what you have is all of these s-curves

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feeding each other which we think is

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going to create super exponential growth

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and what that means and what will'll be

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so unexpected here is that already

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strong growth rates will excel at and we

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think create uh massive productivity

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gains and opportunities for wealth

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creation and where where exactly are the

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productivity gains coming from

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specifically well uh artificial

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intelligence is a huge part of this in

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fact it it is catalyzing the other

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Technologies and uh accelerate first I

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thought it was just a cool little thing

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to have around uh later I discovered

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that every time Tesla announces

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something like this two things happen

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the stock quickly runs out and it is

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later resold for 10 times more so

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basically it's more of a small

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investment um anyway uh if you're lucky

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enough you might find a spot for

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yourself to get yours from the link

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below them all um the biggest increase

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in productivity is in knowledge workers

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uh we think there will be a at least a

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four-fold increase probably more during

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the next uh six seven years um and

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knowledge workers account for 13

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trillion dollar in wages and salaries uh

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so think about that the productivity one

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person can do you know four times more

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than he or she was able to do you know a

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few years ago we're already seeing this

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with coders coders their productivity

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already uh at this very early stage is

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up anywhere from 50 to 100% Tesla stock

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has taken a hit so far this year down

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27% there's been a series of issues from

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stock analysts downgrades stock

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downgrades a dip of shipments in China

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and the latest uh an arson attack on

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Tesla's plant in Berlin joining us now

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is Tim Higgins Wall Street Journal

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reporter uh and a CNBC contributor and

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Tim it's good to see you it's it's not

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like uh it's not like we hear great

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things about the entire EV Market every

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day either Tim yeah absolutely it's it's

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a tough place to be playing but for

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Tesla it's all they're playing with

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right and the underlying story for Tesla

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has been about incredible rapid growth

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over the last few years and now Elon and

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team are suggesting that's going to be

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much slower this year and all of these

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signs in the last few weeks and months

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uh are really kind of making it even

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more worrisome just how slow that growth

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is is going to be you know one of the

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remarkable things about Tesla is if you

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look over the last three years for

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example the first quarter has shown

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growth that's been better than the

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fourth quarter which is really rather un

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remarkable if you think about it because

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who wants to go buy a new car uh in

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Winter and kick the tires right but that

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has just kind of underscores how much

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growth there's been there and now

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there's real concern that maybe this

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quarter uh won't be as as good uh as

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last quarter and that's that's worrisome

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to some people do you think eventually

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that that some of the mandates that

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we've we've had from from the bid

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Administration do they get pushed back

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and does that matter to Tesla is Tesla

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dependent on on um I mean I know that

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certainly subsidies help but uh on the

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mandates to get to a certain place by

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2030 if that gets pushed back would that

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hurt Tesla well the tax breaks that have

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been passed certainly help make these

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cars more affordable uh for Tesla now

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we've seen them expanded so Tesla has

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them again uh without doubt that helps

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as Elon fights to get every penny of

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cost as he can out of those those

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vehicles uh but he is arguing in the

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past that he's not dependent upon these

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sorts of things that his goal at Tesla

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is to make a vehicle that is cooler is

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is better than a gas car and that that

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will be what appeals to people and

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drives kind of that eveve transition and

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in a lot of ways that has been true for

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Tesla it's the other competitors who

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really seem to be struggling to make an

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offering that can compete with Tesla

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people want a Tesla maybe they don't

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necessarily want an

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EV do um does the general malaise in in

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just it's been pretty staggering to

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watch how quickly things can change with

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with the whole perception of uh of EVS

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but the the infrastructure build out

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that's that's that's going to happen no

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matter what I mean if people sour a

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little bit the demand is not there for

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EVS they're still going to build the

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charging stations right

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right we I mean we've seen kind of huge

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Investments by the automakers other than

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Tesla and they're kind of pulling back

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some of the speed of that but we're also

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seeing the investment go into Chargers

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the charging network uh it perhaps is

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one of the most important thing to kind

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of kind of pushing forward that adoption

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when you talk to Consumers like I do you

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hear that concern about hey where am I

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going to charge this thing on my road

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trip to see Grandma even though for for

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most people charging at home is probably

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the best uh best route you're not

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everybody you know lives at a place

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where they can charge so this is kind of

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one of the big kind of chicken or egg

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look at that it looks like our little

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boy got his cyber truck before he learns

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how to speak issues that we see out

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there um You probably saw Andrew's uh

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dealbook interview where I I don't think

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Elon really worries about about what

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people think of him certainly doesn't

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worry about what Bob Iger thinks of him

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I don't I remember you probably saw that

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so what can you tell me it was a New

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York Times

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report what can what do you know about

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Elon Musk meeting with at Mar Lago with

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former president Trump so it'd be a

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natural uh partnership and we've seen

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the evolution of of Elon Musk since

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taking over Twitter since uh you know

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kind of this idea that he's kind of

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against the idea of the woke mind virus

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that idea of being over politically

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correct over kind of liberal leaning and

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you saw really uh last May or so kind of

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his kind of kind of moving more and more

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into politics almost trying to be a ring

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Master if you will in that kind of road

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to the White House whether it was kind

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of welcoming the the santis campaign uh

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into the the big fight or uh posting

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other candidates on his platform um as

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we've seen the the field narrow to Trump

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uh if you know if you're like Elon Musk

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and clearly he's voiced opposition to

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Biden uh Trump would be the pragmatic

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choice at this point and the question

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would be you know what can they both get

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out of it for each other right they're

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both very transactional uh Elon uh has a

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lot of business with the government and

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Trump um you know could use probably

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some allies in that fight on the social

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media world where Elon can kind of

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amplify with his echoe uh all of these

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kind of thoughts and political

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messages they both have been known to

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tweet first and ask questions later too

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I think absolutely absolutely I mean

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here are two men who have really

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mastered the art of the Tweet right I

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mean embracing populism in a way that is

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remarkable wacky you know both of them

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you know it is weird there may be more

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similarities and differences and that

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Union thing with you know not inviting

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Elon to the I mean the idea that you

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don't invite the biggest EV maker the

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transformative EV maker to a to an

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EV you know some it's ridiculous the if

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you look at the history of the stock

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market the top 10 at the end of one day

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decade typically are not the top 10 at

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the end of one or two decades uh and we

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know that um there's a lot of uh High

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there are a lot of high expectations

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baked into the Magnificent 7 now Tesla

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is one of them we don't think the

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expectations in Tesla are overdone at

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all in fact most people are not giving

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them any credit for autonomous so that

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one aside but AI if you think about what

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it will do it is going to disin mediate

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uh data

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aggregators uh in this way so Google

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search for example or

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Amazon we go there when we're searching

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for products on on both of them but

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that's a centralized place and they have

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a lot of control uh what if we have our

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little uh AI assistant uh go out and we

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want a a a new pair of sneakers let's

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say uh and we want the we want this

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brand but we want the least expensive

play13:03

pair out there cheapest shipping costs

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uh that can be delivered within a day

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well an AI assistant can go to all the

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websites around the world and find that

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pretty quickly and so you don't need to

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search which by the way I hate searching

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and you don't you don't need to go to

play13:24

Amazon centralized Network now doesn't

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mean these are going to be destroyed

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actually we worry more about Google or

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alphabet than we do about Amazon um and

play13:33

investing in stocks became an old Trend

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people are making thousands of times

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return on their money by basically just

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reselling limited edition Tesla models

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don't be the only one that's missing the

play13:45

party get yours from the link below and

play13:47

the other thing that's going to

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disintermediate maybe Amazon and give

play13:52

more power to some social networks like

play13:55

meta platforms is social commerce Amazon

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is not a social site but Facebook or

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meta platforms has Facebook Instagram

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and WhatsApp and it can monetize all of

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those uh and and probably because uh

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meta platforms is doing so much in AI

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they're putting out their open source

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models they're really helping to power

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the

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ecosystem um we think they're in a very

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good place to uh to be the beneficiary

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of the shift towards social

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Dom good to see well for the first time

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in three years Jeff Bezos is once again

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the world's richest person Bezos now has

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a net worth of $200 billion just passing

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Elon Musk Fortune of

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1998 billion musk lost $18 billion

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yesterday that's just the one of the

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largest wealth losses ever in one day in

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dollar terms he's down $31 billion for

play14:55

the year meanwhile Jeff Bezos well he is

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living his best life moving to Miami

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spending time on his 400t yacht with his

play15:03

partner Lauren Sanchez and saving a lot

play15:06

of taxes he sold $8.5 billion in of

play15:09

Amazon stock just in February now by

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moving to Miami he saved up to $600

play15:15

million in taxes that he would have paid

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if he still lived in Seattle the big

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question is what Bezos plans to buy with

play15:22

all that cash he had a year to sell that

play15:25

stock under that sale plan and he sold

play15:27

it all in just a few weeks so he's in a

play15:30

hurry to do something very big

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speculation right now is around his

play15:35

possible interest in United launch

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Alliance that's the rocket launch

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company that could add to Blue origin

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now despite that massive share sale

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Amazon shares up over 18% this year and

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Don until we know what he's going to buy

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he could park that money in a money

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market and earn more than a million

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dollar a day just an interest that's how

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the rich get richer in this case here

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Robert let's take us through the dynamic

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we understand what's kind of happening

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with Tesla and and and how it affects

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Elon Musk and and Amazon stock how it

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affects Jeff Bezos can you take us

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through some of the the movement that we

play16:12

are seeing in the the world's richest

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ranks uh it at one point you know the

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Aros were were were doing pretty well

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for themselves up there Warren Buffett

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Bill Gates always kind of in that mix as

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well how exactly has the market

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developed and how does it change the

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dynamic in the top ranks of the world's

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billionaires yeah Dom it's really kind

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of an exciting time because it's it's a

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three-way race right now they're kind of

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all tied for first place right around

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$200 billion so you know uh Jeff Bezos

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is at 200 Elon Musk is at 198 Bernard

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Arno of lvmh is at

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197 so with all of these stocks sort of

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playing a dayby day narrative we could

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see them change a couple times a week

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and we haven't seen that for quite a

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while you know three years ago when musk

play17:00

took over from Bezos we had a brief

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period where Bernard Arno was number one

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but that didn't last very long but right

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now you've got luxury EVs and online

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retail as well as web services Amazon

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all kind of Vine to be the dominant

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force in driving this wealth and so as

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much as we hear about AI uh it's really

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exciting to see these top three and and

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where it's going to shake out we can't

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forget about space exploration as part

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of that mix as well Robert Frank thank

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you very much we'll talk to you later on

play17:30

now Elon says it's possible that he

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could launch that that Fleet this year

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uh we think it's it's more like last

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year uh but the robo taxi Fleet is is

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really going to be or the robo taxi

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service is going to be um a shocking

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story Tesla recently uh introduced a

play17:51

small replica of the Cyber truck priced

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at over

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$200 and the products swiftly sold out

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on their official website within seconds

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and began circulating in the aftermarket

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at a markup of a few hundred however

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it's crucial to note that this replica

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uh serves purely as a decorative item

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now Envision the value of a fully

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functional model that allows you to

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drive it reaching speeds of up to 12

play18:20

miles an hour uh beside the fact that

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this item would resell for thousands in

play18:27

the future the anticipation is that this

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particular model being both a

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collectible and functional will likely

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experien an even quicker depletion of

play18:38

stock secure Yours by clicking on the

play18:41

link

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below uh from a margin point of view

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more like a SAS business uh and so we

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think it that that it's very smart to

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maximize units uh because they have so

play18:55

much option value now yeah I mean but

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but we've been hearing about the robo

play19:00

taxi Fleet for some time there's a lot

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of regulatory barriers to all of that

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and certainly technological barriers uh

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involved too so how soon can we actually

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see that realized and given the fact

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that you tweeted earlier today that

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you've got a a new valuation assessment

play19:15

of Tesla coming out how does that how

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does that fit into your price target for

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the stock going

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forward uh well uh the price target for

play19:24

our stock and I think it's just hitting

play19:27

now uh for 2027 because we do have a

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five-year uh investment time Horizon is

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uh our expected value is roughly uh

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$2,000 and that's within a range of ,400

play19:41

to

play19:42

$2500 our bear and uh and bull case now

play19:48

just Morgan on the regulatory side I

play19:50

actually think regulations are working

play19:54

in Tesla's favor uh for I think roughly

play19:57

three decades the number of Auto

play20:00

fatalities in the United States fell uh

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fell to the low 30,000 uh range per year

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and they've turned around in the last

play20:10

five years and moved up to

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45,000 plus uh and I think the pressure

play20:17

is on the NA national highway and

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Transportation safety Association to

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change something uh so it is looking

play20:24

carefully at Tesla's data and in and

play20:28

during investor day Tesla released some

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data that we don't think many people

play20:33

paid enough attention to uh the most

play20:35

important one is that W with full

play20:39

self-driving a Tesla vehicle uh uh gets

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into an accident every uh

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3.2 million miles and that compares to

play20:51

one every 500,000 miles uh for the

play20:54

average car on the road okay so Kathy

play20:57

hold on good afternoon it's John Ford I

play20:59

just want to clarify did you say a

play21:01

$2,000 per share price Target Tesla

play21:05

right now is under 200 a share so even

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if you were to 10x that that would be an

play21:10

over5 trillion market cap is that what

play21:12

you're saying that is what we're saying

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uh we think that the robo taxi

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opportunity

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globally uh will um deliver 8 to10

play21:24

trillion in Revenue by 2030

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and uh is one of the most important

play21:32

investment opportunities of our

play21:34

lifetimes okay and and I think one of

play21:37

the reasons for that is it is going to

play21:39

save lives uh 80 to 90% of Auto

play21:44

fatalities and auto accidents are caused

play21:47

by human error and uh Auto autonomous

play21:51

driving is going to take away uh the

play21:54

human error We Believe originally priced

play21:57

at $100

play21:58

it's now yours for less than 28 bucks

play22:01

meticulously designed just like the

play22:02

cybertruck and it's fully functional

play22:05

this isn't a toy or Decor it's a precise

play22:07

replica with every detail plus it comes

play22:09

with a mini cyber quad for Endless

play22:11

adventures and also you can add a cyber

play22:14

trailer with it don't miss out with just

play22:15

50 available time is running out secure

play22:18

your mini cybertruck model today and set

play22:20

your collection apart from the rest only

play22:22

items purchased from the official

play22:24

website can be resold later at a premium

play22:26

due to their unique Authentication

play22:40

numbers

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