【推荐必看】94.44% 胜率的供需交易策略，四种供需区判定方法全公开，在加密货币市场能否复刻神迹，为什么要说其他策略都是垃圾？#priceaction #聪明钱策略 #daytrading

Summary

本视频介绍了一种号称胜率94.44%的加密货币交易系统，通过结合供需区域和四个指标（EMA200、RSI、VWAP、斐波那契回撤工具）的三套策略进行交易。视频将对100笔连续交易进行回测，探讨策略的有效性。结果显示，按照1:2的风险回报比操作时，100笔交易的成功率达到93.9%，被认为是一套平衡的交易策略。

Takeaways

• 📈 该交易系统声称在过去几天的交易中带来了超过10000美元的收入。
• 🔢 该系统声称拥有94.44%的胜率，并将其他所有策略视为无效。
• 🌐 系统将进行100次连续交易的回测，以验证其在加密货币市场的表现。
• 📊 系统由供需区域和四个指标组成，包括三组策略。
• 📈 四个指标包括：指数移动平均线（EMA200）、相对强弱指数（RSI）、成交量加权平均价格（VWAP）和斐波那契回撤工具。
• 📋 供需区域的确定基于市场的关键节点，如价格反转或持续趋势中的平台节点。
• 📈 第一策略使用RSI指标，当价格回到需求区域附近、接近EMA200且RSI显示超卖信号时，视为买入信号。
• 📉 第二策略使用VWAP指标，当价格回到需求区域、EMA200和VWAP线位置重叠时，视为买入信号。
• 📊 第三策略使用斐波那契回撤工具，将需求区域的底部边缘作为起点，连接左右点，以确定折扣区域。
• 📊 回测结果显示，按照1:1、1:2和1:3的风险回报比操作，胜率分别为71%、52%和39%。
• ⚖️ 作者给这个交易策略打了8分，建议至少进行500次连续回测以评估长期操作效果。

Q & A

这个交易系统声称的胜率是多少？

这个交易系统的胜率声称为94.44%。

视频中提到的交易策略是基于哪些指标构建的？

视频中提到的交易策略是基于四个指标构建的，包括指数移动平均线（EMA200）、相对强弱指数（RSI）、成交量加权平均价格指标（VWAP）和斐波那契回撤工具。

如何确定供应和需求区域？

供应和需求区域是通过观察大资金机构在关键位置放置大量订单的地方来确定的。这些区域是市场开始的重要节点，当价格再次到达这些节点时，大资金的未成交需求或供应订单会阻止价格进一步行动。

什么是需求区域和供应区域？

需求区域是指市场首先下跌然后上涨的平台节点，供应区域则是与需求区域相反的方向，即市场上涨后下跌的平台节点。

根据RSI指标进入多头头寸的规则是什么？

根据RSI指标进入多头头寸的规则包括：价格必须回落到需求区域附近，同时必须在EMA200移动平均线之上或接近，最后，RSI即将显示超卖信号，低于30线。

视频中提到的第一个策略的止盈和止损规则是什么？

第一个策略的止损规则是将止损设置在需求区域下方，如果关键K线的收盘价高于需求区域，但最低价跌破需求区域，则将止损设置在关键K线下方。止盈可以选择固定比例，例如1:1、1:2或1:3，并且在止盈时RSI必须高于50中线。

第二个策略与第一个策略的主要区别是什么？

第二个策略与第一个策略的主要区别在于，它使用VWAP指标代替了RSI指标，并在需求区域、EMA200移动平均线和VWAP线的位置尽可能重叠时作为入场信号。

第三个策略是如何定义的？

第三个策略使用斐波那契回撤工具，将需求区域的下边缘作为起点，摆动高点作为顶点，并规定斐波那契0.5/1区域为折扣区域，当价格回落到需求区域的位置时，同时满足在EMA200移动平均线之上和折扣区域内的条件。

视频中的回测结果显示了什么？

视频中的回测结果显示，在100次连续交易中，按照1:1盈亏比操作的胜率为71%，按照1:2的风险回报比操作的胜率为52%，按照1:3操作的胜率为39%，超过1:5的是27%。如果只按照1:2操作，100次连续交易的回报率达到了93.9%。

视频最后给出的建议是什么？

视频最后建议，如果考虑使用这个交易策略，应该在品种和周期上至少进行500次连续回测，这可以影响策略的长期运作，并帮助在实际交易中更冷静地面对盈亏。

Outlines

00:00

📈 交易策略介绍与验证

本段介绍了一个声称拥有94.44%胜率的交易系统，该系统由供应和需求区域结合四个指标和三套策略构成。首先，讲解了如何使用四个指标：指数移动平均线（EMA200）、相对强弱指数（RSI）、成交量加权平均价格（VWAP）和斐波那契回撤工具。接着，详细描述了如何确定供应和需求区域，以及如何利用这些区域进行交易决策。最后，提出了三套具体的交易策略，包括使用RSI、VWAP和斐波那契回撤工具的入场和出场规则。

05:01

📊 交易策略的回测结果

本段展示了上述交易策略在比特币30分钟图上进行的100次连续交易的回测结果。测试期从2022年8月19日至2023年7月22日，共计337个交易日。根据不同的风险回报比率（1:1、1:2、1:3和超过1:5），分别报告了胜率。结果显示，按照1:2的风险回报比率操作时，100次交易的回报率达到了93.9%。作者对这套交易策略给出了8分的评价，并建议在实际交易前至少进行500次连续回测，以便更好地理解策略的长期表现。最后，提醒观众订阅频道，不要错过更多盈利的交易系统，并强调视频内容仅供娱乐，不构成投资建议。

Keywords

💡交易系统

交易系统是指一套用于指导交易决策的规则和策略的集合。在视频中，提到了一个具有94.44%胜率的交易系统，它结合了供需区域和四个指标，三套策略，用于加密货币市场的交易。这个系统被描述为与其他策略相比具有显著优势，是视频讨论的核心内容。

💡供需区域

供需区域是指市场中大资金机构为了推动价格大幅变动而在某些关键位置放置大量订单的区域。视频中提到，这些区域通常是市场启动的重要节点，当价格再次回到这些节点时，大资金的未成交需求或供应订单会阻止价格进一步动作。这是视频中交易策略的一个重要组成部分。

💡指数移动平均线（EMA）

指数移动平均线是一种技术分析指标，用于分析股票、外汇或其他金融工具的价格趋势。在视频中，EMA200被用作交易策略的一部分，以确定市场趋势和潜在的交易信号。EMA200意味着计算过去200个周期的平均价格。

💡相对强弱指数（RSI）

相对强弱指数是一种动量振荡器，用于评估资产价格变动的速度和变化，以判断超买或超卖条件。视频中提到，RSI通常在70以上被认为是超买，在30以下被认为是超卖，是交易策略中用于确定入场和出场点的关键指标之一。

💡成交量加权平均价格（VWAP）

VWAP是一种技术分析工具，用于确定在给定时间段内的平均交易价格，它考虑了交易量。在视频中，VWAP被设置为周期间，并用作交易策略的一部分，以帮助确定供需区域和潜在的交易信号。

💡斐波那契回撤工具

斐波那契回撤工具是一种技术分析工具，用于预测价格回撤的潜在水平，通常基于斐波那契数列。在视频中，斐波那契回撤工具被用来确定交易策略中的折扣区域和溢价区域，作为交易决策的辅助。

💡策略组合

策略组合是指将多个交易策略结合起来使用，以提高交易系统的整体性能和可靠性。视频中提到了三套不同的策略，每一套都结合了不同的技术指标和供需区域的概念，以提高交易的成功率。

💡胜率

胜率是指交易策略在一定时间内成功交易的比例。视频中提到了不同风险回报比下的胜率，如1:1、1:2和1:3，这些胜率是评估交易策略性能的重要指标。

💡风险回报比

风险回报比是指交易中潜在收益与潜在风险的比率。在视频中，提到了根据风险回报比来设置止盈和止损点，这是交易策略中管理资金和控制风险的关键因素。

💡回测

回测是指使用历史数据来测试交易策略的有效性。在视频中，进行了100笔连续交易的回测，以验证交易策略在过去的表现，并为未来的交易提供参考。

💡订阅按钮

订阅按钮通常用于鼓励观众订阅频道，以便不错过未来的视频内容。在视频中，多次提到点击订阅按钮，这是视频创作者用来增加观众参与度和频道订阅数的一种方式。

Highlights

介绍了一种新的交易系统，声称在过去几天的交易中表现良好。

该交易系统声称有94.44%的胜率，作者认为其他策略与之相比都是垃圾。

将对这种交易系统进行100笔连续交易的回测。

交易系统由供需区域和四个指标组成，包含三套策略。

涉及的四个免费Tradingview指标将在视频描述和置顶评论中列出。

第一个使用的指标是指数移动平均线（EMA），参数设置为200。

第二个指标是相对强弱指数（RSI），通常认为RSI高于70为超买，低于30为超卖。

第三个指标是成交量加权平均价格（VWAP），时间周期设置为周，颜色设置为紫色。

第四个工具是左侧边栏的斐波那契回撤工具，只保留0/0.5/1三个参数。

解释了如何识别大型资金的供需区域。

描述了如何确定需求区域和供应区域，以及它们对价格行动的影响。

第一套策略使用RSI指标，当价格回落至需求区域附近且RSI显示超卖信号时进入多头。

第二套策略使用VWAP指标，当价格回落至需求区域且VWAP线与需求区域重叠时进入多头。

第三套策略使用斐波那契回撤工具，当价格回落至需求区域且位于斐波那契0.5/1区域时进入多头。

展示了100笔连续交易的测试结果，测试期从2022年8月19日至2023年7月22日。

根据1:1的风险回报比，100笔连续交易的胜率为71%。

如果只按照1:2的风险回报比操作，100笔连续交易的回报率达到了93.9%。

作者给这个交易策略打了8分，并建议至少进行500笔连续回测以评估长期操作性。

视频最后提醒观众检查是否点击了订阅按钮，以免错过更多盈利的交易系统。

Transcripts

Yo here I come

Welcome to the Speculation Lab

This method has been used in the past few days of trading

Already given to Trade with pet

brought in more than $10,000 in revenue

He said

This is a trading system with a winning rate of 94.44%

All other strategies are rubbish in his eyes

Although the words are not pleasant

But the strategy should be good

next

I will backtest it for 100 consecutive transactions

Take a look at the cryptocurrency market

Can this miracle be reproduced?

Remember to click the subscribe button and stick to the end

This might save your wallet for the second half of the year

This trading system is different from the past

It is composed of supply and demand areas combining four indicators

three sets of strategies

Three sets of strategies twenty one 00:00:40,000 --> 00:00:42,500 Any kind of trading signal that appears on the chart twenty two 00:00:42,500 --> 00:00:44,133 All of them meet the conditions of committing a crime twenty three 00:00:44,600 --> 00:00:46,966 4 Free Tradingview Indicators Involved twenty four 00:00:47,000 --> 00:00:50,133 will be listed in the description column below and in the pinned comment

The first indicator used

Is the exponential moving average moving average exponential

We enter EMA in the indicator search bar

The parameter is set to 200

change color to white

The second indicator used is the Relative Strength Index

relative strength index

That is the RSI we often use

Set the RSI to a yellow background and change it to white

RSI-based MA tick off

Generally we think

RSI is overbought when it is above the 70 line

Oversold when below the 30 line

The third is the volume-weighted average price indicator

The VWAP time period is set to weekly

set the color to purple

Other options refer to my settings

The fourth one uses the left sidebar

Fibonacci retracement tool in the third toolbar

We only leave three parameters 0/0.5/1

That's all the modus operandi you need

before entering the strategy

We need to understand four

It is easy to have a supply and demand position of large funds

To find the supply and demand area, you only need to remember one logic

Supply and Demand Zones

It is the supply and demand area of large financial institutions

Only big money institutions

in order to promote a large price movement

they will be in some key places

place a large number of orders

These key supply and demand areas

Generally, it is an important node when the market starts

When the price comes to these nodes again

Big money unfilled demand or supply orders

will prevent further price action

There are two kinds of determination of the demand zone: falling flat rising and rising flat rising

Falling flat rising means that the market first falls flat and then rises

This platform node before the market reverses

This is the demand area we are looking for

When the price approaches the demand zone again

we subjectively think

big money at this location

There are still some unfilled orders

would stop the price from falling again

Rising flat rising means that the market rises first, then goes flat and continues to rise

This is usually a market in progress

There was a brief long-short change of hands

Afterwards the price continued to rise

The platform node area of this rising relay

This is the demand area we are looking for

When the price falls back around this area again

It's a good chance to get in

The supply zone is up and down and down and down

Just in the opposite direction to the demand zone

The marking method and judgment method are the same

This is what we subjectively think of the four

big money may lay out

The location of supply and demand orders

know it's potential

After the area where the price will have a stop action

We are going to combine the above four indicator tools

To verify the validity of the zone

The first strategy uses the relative strength indicator RSI

We temporarily hide other indicators

Here is the 30-minute chart for Bitcoin USD

The rules for entering long positions are

First, the price must fall back to the vicinity of the demand zone.

At the same time, it must be above or near the EMA200 moving average

at last

RSI is about to show an oversold signal below the 30 line

All three conditions are met

This K-line is the key K-line we are looking for

We enter the market at the closing price of the key K-line

Stop loss is placed below the demand zone

If the closing price of the key K-line

closed above the demand zone

But the lowest price fell below the demand zone

Then the stop loss is set below the key K line

Take profit can choose a fixed ratio

For example 1:1/1:2/1:3

This can be determined by referring to the statistical table below

But when taking profit

RSI must be above the 50 midline

The rules for entering a short position are

First the price has to rebound to near the supply zone

At the same time, it must be below or near the EMA200 moving average

Finally, the RSI will show an overbought signal above the 70 line

All three conditions are met

This K-line is the key K-line we are looking for

We enter the market at the closing price of the key K-line

Stop loss placed above the supply zone

Take profit can choose a fixed ratio

But when taking profit

RSI must be below the 50 midline

Trade with pet made over $3,000 with this strategy

The next strategy

It also brought him a lot of benefits

The second strategy is to replace RSI hiding with VWAP

The rules for entering long positions are

When the price falls back into the demand zone

EMA200 moving average

The three positions of the VWAP line demand area overlap as much as possible

There will be some funds behind each indicator

take it as an entry signal

So the logic of this strategy is

The cooperation of three parties

High probability will prevent the price from continuing to decline

We can enter the market at the closing price of the k-line

The stop loss is set at the lowest edge of the three indicators

If there is no overlap, the demand area is the main

Take profit can also choose a fixed ratio method

Short rules are just the opposite

When the price bounces back into the supply zone

EMA200 moving average

The three positions in the supply area of the VWAP line need to coincide

We can enter an empty position at the closing price of the k-line

The stop loss is set at the top of the three indicators

If there is no overlap, the supply area will be the main

Take profit chooses a fixed ratio method

Next, the third strategy

He brought in $7,500 for Trade with pet

The rules for entering long positions are

Connect left and right points of Fibonacci

Use the lower edge of the demand zone as the starting point

Swing high as apex

and stipulate

Fibonacci 0.5/1 This area is the discount area

When the price falls back to the position of the demand zone

to be satisfied at the same time

Above the EMA200 moving average and in the discount zone

The rules for entering a short position are

Connect left and right points of Fibonacci

Use the upper edge of the supply zone as the starting point

Swing lows as lows

and stipulate

The Fibonacci 0.5/1 area is a premium area

When the price bounces back into the supply zone

To meet at the same time below the EMA200 moving average

and in the premium zone

there may be a little problem here

if not mistaken

connect like this

Fibonacci basically does not play the role of resonance

Because in this way, the demand area is basically in the discount area

The supply area is also basically in the premium area

Therefore, this strategy was not counted during the backtest

Now it's time to show off my test results

If you are already considering using this trading strategy

Remember to check if you clicked the subscribe button

And insist on reading this set of backtest data

It gives you a good idea of the strategy

recent operation

Here's what I did on Bitcoin's 30 minute chart

Test results of 100 consecutive transactions

The testing period is from August 19, 2022 to July 22, 2023

337 consecutive trading days

In these 100 consecutive transactions

The winning rate of 1:1 profit and loss ratio is 71%

The winning rate of operating according to the risk-reward ratio of 1:2 is 52%

The winning rate of 1:3 operation is 39%

More than 1:5 is 27%

If you only operate according to 1:2

The rate of return of 100 consecutive transactions reached 93.9%

It can be said that this is a set of winning odds

very balanced trading strategy

I give this trading strategy an 8

If you have considered using this strategy

It is recommended on the variety and cycle made

At least 500 consecutive backtests

This can affect the long-term operation of the strategy

know what's on your mind

In the actual transaction, you will face the profit and loss more calmly

ok check the subscribe button again

So as not to miss a more profitable trading system

goodbye for now

good morning good afternoon good night bye bye

show for entertainment only

no investment advice