【推荐必看】比特币暴跌后在哪里抄底?这三个交易所数据泄漏了顶底!加密市场最重要的三个数据全公开 #多空持仓人数比 #精英多空持仓比 #持仓量 #okx
Summary
TLDR本视频探讨了比特币价格剧烈波动背后的交易数据和市场情绪。分析了合约和现货交易者在极端市场中的损失,并强调了三个关键交易数据的重要性:多头空头比例、精英多头空头平均仓位比率以及用户的持仓量和交易量。这些数据有助于投资者在剧烈波动的市场中避免损失,甚至捕捉到致富的机会。视频建议投资者在市场情绪高涨时保持警惕,并在市场出现分歧时利用大资金的判断力。
Takeaways
- 📉 比特币价格在一段横向交易后,单日暴跌超过4000点,累计清算金额接近10亿美元。
- 💸 合约和现货交易者在这种极端市场中或多或少遭受了损失。
- 🎰 这种极端市场行情通常一年只出现一两次,正确预测方向的人可以赚大钱,但更多人可能一夜之间被套或失去头寸。
- 📊 要避免未来在极端市场中遭受损失,甚至想抓住大幅波动带来的致富机会,必须阅读以下三个交易数据。
- 📈 第一,多空比数据。这是反映加密货币市场情绪的最佳数据之一。合约市场中的多头和空头总金额是相等的,但数量不会相等。
- 🧐 当市场情绪过于乐观时,零售投资者应更加警惕,最好在重大转折点故意持有与零售投资者不同的观点。
- 📊 第二,精英多空平均持仓比数据。这反映了大资金交易者的情绪,与整体市场多空数量比反映的情绪不同。
- 🔄 当精英多空平均持仓比显示大资金看多,而多空数量比显示看空情绪占主导时,可能预示着市场即将反转。
- 📊 第三,用户的持仓量和交易量数据。在市场剧烈波动时,了解市场进展和可能的反弹或遇阻回落的时机至关重要。
- 🔗 结合其他技术指标或价格行为分析策略,可以更全面地理解市场情绪和参与者行为。
Q & A
比特币近期的价格波动情况如何?
-比特币在一段时间内持续横盘交易后,突然在一天内大幅下跌超过4000点。
这次比特币价格下跌导致的累计清算金额接近多少?
-累计清算金额接近10亿美元。
合约和现货交易者在这次极端市场中通常会遇到什么问题?
-合约和现货交易者或多或少都遭受了损失,有些人可能会在一夜之间被套牢或失去头寸。
在极端市场中,如何避免损失并捕捉到赚取财富的机会?
-需要关注三个交易数据:多头空头比例数据、精英多头空头平均持仓比例数据以及用户的持仓量和交易量数据。
多头空头比例数据是如何反映加密货币市场情绪的?
-多头空头比例数据能够反映市场参与者的情绪,当这个比例持续大于1时,意味着市场散户较多且情绪较高;相反,如果持续小于1,则意味着散户空头情绪较高。
巴菲特关于市场情绪的观点是什么?
-巴菲特的观点是,当别人贪婪时,你应该感到恐惧;当别人恐惧时,你应该贪婪。
精英多头空头平均持仓比例数据与普通多头空头比例数据有何不同?
-精英多头空头平均持仓比例数据反映的是大资金交易者的情绪和资金比例,而普通多头空头比例数据反映的是整个市场的情绪。
在市场情绪和精英持仓比例出现分歧时,应该如何判断市场趋势?
-当精英持仓显示大资金看多,但普通多头空头比例显示看空情绪占主导时,可能预示着市场即将反转,尤其是在市场经历了急剧下跌后。
用户的持仓量和交易量数据在市场剧烈波动时有什么作用?
-用户的持仓量和交易量数据可以帮助我们了解市场进展的程度,以及何时可能出现反弹或在遇到阻力时下跌。
当交易量很大但持仓量开始急剧下降时,市场可能会发生什么样的变化?
-这可能意味着一方的大多数头寸已经被清算或被迫清算,市场流动性被大金融机构扫荡,市场可能会停滞,可能会出现反弹或在遇到阻力后下跌。
为什么说散户在交易市场中通常是最不盈利的群体?
-散户通常资金规模较小,信息和经验不足,容易受到市场情绪的影响,因此在交易市场中往往是最不盈利的群体。
Outlines
📉 加密货币市场的极端波动与交易策略
本段介绍了比特币在经历一段时间的横盘交易后,突然大幅下跌超过4000点,导致巨额的清算金额接近10亿美元。在这种极端市场中,无论是合约还是现货交易者都遭受了损失。文章强调,这种极端市场情况并不常见,但若能正确判断市场方向,交易者有可能获得巨大利润。然而,更多的情况是投资者被套或一夜之间失去头寸。文章建议,为了避免在此类极端市场中遭受损失,甚至想要利用市场的大幅波动来捕捉致富机会,交易者必须关注三个关键的交易数据:多头和空头的比例数据、精英多头空头平均持仓比例数据以及用户的持仓量和交易量数据。这些数据可以帮助交易者更全面地理解市场情绪和参与者的行为,从而做出更明智的交易决策。
📈 市场持仓量和交易量分析的重要性
第二段进一步解释了持仓量和交易量数据的重要性。在市场剧烈波动时,了解市场进展的程度以及可能的反弹或遇到阻力时的下跌至关重要。文章指出,当交易量很大但持仓量开始急剧下降时,这可能意味着一方的大多数头寸已经被清算或被迫清算,流动性被大型金融机构扫清。在这种情况下,市场很可能会出现停滞,可能会有一段反弹期或在遇到障碍后下跌。文章强调,这些数据指标可以为我们提供市场情绪和参与者行为的更全面的视角。当然,单一数据的视角仍然是不完整的,结合其他技术指标或价格行为分析策略会有更好的效果。文章最后提醒观众订阅,以便不错过更多有利可图的交易策略。
Mindmap
Keywords
💡比特币
💡合约交易
💡清算
💡多头和空头
💡市场情绪
💡杠杆交易
💡开仓和平仓
💡精英多头空头平均仓位比率
💡开仓利息和交易量
💡流动性
Highlights
比特币交易持续横盘后,单日暴跌超过4000点。
累计爆仓金额接近10亿美元。
合约和现货交易者或多或少遭受损失。
市场极端行情下,比特币的大幅波动可能带来巨大收益或损失。
市场数据显示,10亿美元的空头仓位未能幸免,其中2亿美元被爆仓。
为了避免未来在极端市场中遭受损失,需要关注三个交易数据。
第一个数据是多头和空头仓位比例,这是反映加密货币市场情绪的最佳指标。
合约市场中多头和空头的总金额是相等的,但数量上不会相等。
大型金融机构、银行等参与者的资金规模不同,零售投资者的资金规模通常是最小的。
巴菲特曾说,当别人贪婪时,你要恐惧;当别人恐惧时,你要贪婪。
当市场情绪过于高涨时,要警惕并可能采取与零售投资者不同的观点。
通过观察合约的多头空头比例数据,可以了解当前市场的真实多空人数比例。
多头空头比例持续大于一时,意味着零售投资者数量多,市场情绪相对高涨。
相反,当比例持续小于一时,意味着零售投资者数量和情绪较高。
交易规则是观察多头空头比例与价格的关系。
如果价格快速上涨,但多头空头人数比例快速增加,可能意味着许多零售投资者在追涨。
当多头空头比例与价格趋势异常匹配时,容易发生极端市场情况。
例如,比特币在3万美元附近上下波动超过一个月,多头空头比例仍然很高。
如果价格快速下跌,多头空头人数比例增长过快或保持在高水平,尝试等待买入底部。
第二个数据是精英多头空头平均仓位比例数据,反映大资金交易者的情绪。
使用背离策略,当精英多头空头平均仓位比例显示大资金做多,但多头空头人数比例显示空头情绪占主导时,倾向于判断大资金。
当市场情绪明显悲观时,普通零售投资者容易受到市场情绪的影响,而大资金交易者可能拥有更多信息和判断经验。
第三个数据是用户的持仓量和交易量数据。
在市场剧烈波动时,了解市场进展程度和可能的反弹或遇阻回落的时间点非常重要。
这些数据指标可以为我们提供更全面的市场情绪和参与者视角。
当然,单一数据的视角仍然不完整,结合其他技术指标或价格行为分析策略会更有效。
Transcripts
Yo, I'm here,
welcome to the speculative laboratory,
after Bitcoin continued to trade sideways, it
plummeted in one day and fell by more than 4,000 points.
The cumulative amount of liquidation can approach 1 billion US dollars.
Contract and spot traders
have more or less suffered losses
in this extreme market. In fact, there are often
just bitcoins that
appear once or twice a year.
Some people can make a lot of money if they bet on the right direction,
but more often they are trapped or lose their
positions overnight
. The result of the fight between the gods
in the game
is that whoever opens the order will get two slaps first.
The data shows that
the short position of the 1 billion US dollars was not spared, and
200 million of them were short-selling and exploded.
If you want
to avoid suffering in this extreme market in the future Losses
and even want to
capture the opportunity to get rich with such large fluctuations.
These three trading data must be read
and no less.
The first is the data of the ratio of long and short positions.
This is a data that best reflects
the sentiment of the cryptocurrency market. Indicators
We need to know that the total amount of long positions and short positions in the contract market
is equal
, that is, the amount of funds is 1:1, but the number
of long and short positions will definitely not be equal
because the participants in the contract market include retail investors and
large capital transactions. All large institutions, banks, etc.
have different capital scales,
among which the capital scale of retail investors must be the smallest. It is possible that
the funds held by an ordinary account of a
large financial institution are much larger
than the positions held by hundreds or thousands of retail investors.
Buffett said that others are greedy.
If you are afraid of
others, you must be greedy.
When you find that
most of the retail investors in the market are
happily shouting more and
looking forward to the future
after a continuous rise , when you see most of the social media
shouting more without thinking,
then you must be more vigilant.
Obviously you Retail investors like me
are the least profitable group in the trading market. We’d better
deliberately hold different views from retail investors
at major turning points.
When you find that the market sentiment is too high,
take a look at the contract’s long-short ratio data
. You can know
the ratio of the number of people who are really long and short in the current market.
With the support of real data,
there will be a relatively reliable trading signal.
When the ratio of long and short positions
continues to be greater than one,
it means that retail investors
in the current market are Many people and sentiment are relatively high.
Conversely, when it continues to be less than one,
it means that the number and sentiment of retail investors are higher.
Our trading rule
is to observe
the relationship between the ratio of the number of long-short positions and the price.
If the price rises rapidly
but the long-short positions The rapid increase in the ratio of the number of people
indicates that many retail investors are chasing the rise,
and the price is likely to
meet resistance at the next resistance position and fall back
. When the ratio of the number of long-short
positions and the price trend match abnormally,
extreme market conditions are prone to occur.
For example, Bitcoin
is at 30,000 US dollars.
For more than a month of ups and downs, many
people thought that the market would continue to advance
, so they frequently placed orders near the integer mark to bet on the direction,
but the ratio of longs and shorts at that time was
still at a high level.
When the price rose again and fell back to around 29,000 US dollars,
OKX The long-short ratio
then dropped and then returned to the high point soon
, indicating that most people in the market
still choose to buy more and more in this area.
If the market starts here,
most retail investors can make profits
, but will the market do this?
Can you reply?
If the price drops rapidly,
the ratio
of the number of long-short positions grows too fast
or remains at a high level,
try to wait before buying the bottom
, because it is very likely that there are too many retail investors buying the bottom at this position.
Everyone thinks that the bottom is likely to be low If it is not the bottom
price, it is very likely that it will continue to fall
or fluctuate in a wide range.
We need to use other indicators
or tools to confirm
that we should not rush into the market.
The second thing to talk about is
the elite long-short average position ratio data.
This is the top 100 according to OKX statistics. The short-to-long ratio of the
famous large position holders is different from
the focus of the ratio of the number of long-short positions. The
ratio of the number of
long-short positions reflects the sentiment of the overall market
, while the average ratio of elite long-short positions
reflects the proportion of funds
above a certain scale. The emotions of traders with big money
The combination of these two partners
can provide us with more comprehensive
and more profitable market information.
I use the divergence strategy the most.
When the average position ratio of elite long and short positions shows
that the big money is long, the sentiment comparison Strong
, but the ratio of the number of longs and shorts shows that
the sentiment of shorts is now dominant.
At this time, I will be more inclined to judge big funds,
especially when the market has just experienced a sharp drop
and is at a watershed in the market.
When the market sentiment is obviously pessimistic,
ordinary retail investors are easily affected by market sentiment.
And big money traders
may have more information and judgment experience.
Conversely,
when the long-short ratio shows that the long-sentiment is strong,
but the elite long-short average position ratio shows that
the short-sentiment is stronger
, this may also indicate that the market is about to reverse. If the signal
happens to be
near a high level or even a key resistance position,
you should be careful of the possible violent fluctuations in the market.
At this time, it is best to avoid high-leverage trading
or open a hedge for the existing position to prevent risks.
The third is the user's open interest and trading volume. Data
When the market fluctuates sharply,
we also need to know
how far the market has progressed
and when there may be a rebound
or a fall when encountering resistance
. This indicator is used. The
above data indicator shows the open interest.
The following is the trading
volume and open interest .
It reflects the total positions of
long-short participants in the market at a certain point in time. At
the beginning of the market,
there are generally large differences in sentiment between long-short and long-short.
As the price movement becomes larger and larger,
it reaches a certain key area. When
the trading volume is very large
but the open interest starts to fall precipitously,
it is likely that most of the positions of one party
have been liquidated
or forced to liquidate, and
the liquidity has been swept away by large financial institutions.
When this wave of market reaches here, there is a high probability that there will be stagnation
. There may be a period of rebound
or fall after encountering obstacles. These are
the three data indicators that you must master
in the cryptocurrency market.
They can provide us with a more comprehensive
perspective of market sentiment and participants.
Of course
, the perspective of individual data is still incomplete
and combined . Other technical indicators
or price action analysis strategies
will work
better . Check to see if you
click the subscribe button
so
as not to miss out on more profitable trading strategies
.
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