$600 Billion AI Wave... software 3.0

AI Unleashed - The Coming Artificial Intelligence Revolution and Race to AGI
28 Jul 202423:37

Summary

TLDRDieses Video skizziert die zukünftige Rolle von künstlicher Intelligenz (KI) in Unternehmen und für Schöpfer. Es wird vorgeschlagen, dass KI-Vertreter wie E-Mail-Adressen und Websites zur Selbstverständlichkeit werden. Der Fokus liegt auf 'Software 3.0', die auf großen, open-source KI-Modellen basiert und durch spezifische Anpassung für individuelle Anwendungsfälle optimiert wird. Der Upload zeigt, wie KI in Bereiche wie Factorio, einem Strategiespiel, integriert wird, um Prozesse zu automatisieren. Die Diskussion umreißt die enorme Chance, die KI bietet, um Geschäftsprozesse zu revolutionieren und individuelle KI-Modelle für spezifische Bedürfnisse zu entwickeln.

Takeaways

  • 💰 Es gibt verschiedene Wege, Millionen zu verdienen, aber einige könnten potenziell zu Milliarden wachsen.
  • 🌐 Es gibt unzählige kleine Unternehmen weltweit, die in Zukunft möglicherweise über einen AI-Agenten verfügen, mit dem Kunden interagieren können.
  • 🤖 Software 3.0 wird als die nächste Evolution der Software angesehen, die auf großen, bereits trainierten KI-Modellen basiert und diese für spezifische Anwendungsfälle anpasst.
  • 📈 Software 1.0 beinhaltet traditionelle Programmierung, wobei Software 2.0 auf maschinellem Lernen und neuronalen Netzwerken basiert.
  • 🧠 Neuronale Netzwerke sind ähnlich den Neuronen im menschlichen Gehirn, wobei Verbindungen zwischen Neuronen stärker werden, wenn sie häufiger genutzt werden.
  • 🔍 Software 3.0 konzentriert sich auf die Manipulation von Basismodellen, die bereits viele Fähigkeiten haben, ohne von Grund auf neu trainiert werden zu müssen.
  • 🚀 Open-Source-Modelle wie LLM (Large Language Models) bieten die Möglichkeit, spezifische KI-Agenten für Unternehmen und Schöpfer zu erstellen, die ihre eigenen KI-Modelle trainieren können.
  • 💡 Die Verwendung von KI in Unternehmen und im täglichen Leben wird sich in den nächsten Jahren stark erhöhen und wird letztendlich nahezu universell sein.
  • 🌟 Es besteht ein großes Potenzial für Unternehmer und Investoren, die in die Entwicklung und Anpassung von KI-Modellen investieren, um spezifische Geschäftsbedürfnisse zu erfüllen.
  • 🔧 Die Zukunft der Geschäftsführung könnte ähnlich wie das Management eines automatisierten Systems aussehen, wobei KI eine zentrale Rolle dabei spielt.

Q & A

  • Was ist der Hauptgedanke hinter 'Software 3.0'?

    -Software 3.0 bezieht sich auf die nächste Generation von Software, bei der Foundation Models verwendet werden, die bereits viele Fähigkeiten haben und keineswegs von Grund auf trainiert werden müssen, sondern durch spezifische Anleitungen und Verstärkung für den jeweiligen Geschäftsbedarf angepasst werden.

  • Was versteht man unter 'Foundation Models'?

    -Foundation Models sind große, allgemeine KI-Modelle, die eine Vielzahl von Fähigkeiten 'out-of-the-box' bieten und für spezifische Geschäftsanwendungen nur noch feinjustiert werden müssen.

  • Wie unterscheidet sich Software 3.0 von Software 2.0?

    -Software 2.0 basiert auf maschinellem Lernen, wobei Datensätze verwendet werden, um das Modell zu lehren. Software 3.0 hingegen konzentriert sich darauf, bereits trainierte Foundation Models für spezifische Aufgaben zu verfeinern und anzupassen.

  • Welche Rolle spielen offene Quellen in der Entwicklung von Software 3.0?

    -Offene Quellen sind entscheidend, da sie es ermöglichen, große, leistungsstarke KI-Modelle zu erstellen, die dann für spezifische Anwendungsfälle von Unternehmen und Individuen angepasst werden können.

  • Was ist der Zusammenhang zwischen Software 3.0 und der zukünftigen Geschäftswelt?

    -In der zukünftigen Geschäftswelt wird es wahrscheinlich sein, dass jedes Unternehmen einen eigenen AI-Agenten hat, mit dem Kunden interagieren können, ähnlich wie heute jeder ein E-Mail-Adresse, eine Website und eine Social-Media-Präsenz hat.

  • Wie wird die Zukunft der AI-Verteilung in Unternehmen aussehen?

    -Die AI-Verteilung in Unternehmen wird sich von einem kleinen Prozentsatz, der derzeit seine eigenen AI-Lösungen nutzt, in den kommenden Jahren dramatisch erhöhen und möglicherweise schließlich nahezu 100% der Unternehmen erreichen.

  • Was ist der Unterschied zwischen traditioneller Softwareentwicklung (Software 1.0) und modernen AI-Modellen?

    -Software 1.0 beinhaltet traditionelle Programmierung, bei der Entwickler explizite Anweisungen für den Computer schreiben. Moderne AI-Modelle hingegen sind in der Lage, aus großen Datenmengen zu lernen und Aufgaben ohne explizite Programmieraufträge auszuführen.

  • Wie wichtig sind Daten und Compute-Power für die Entwicklung von AI-Modellen?

    -Daten und Compute-Power sind entscheidend für die Entwicklung von AI-Modellen, da sie die Grundlage für das Training und die Leistungsfähigkeit dieser Modelle bilden.

  • Was ist die Vision hinter der Idee, jedem Schöpfer und kleinen Unternehmen die Möglichkeit zu geben, ihre eigenen AI-Agenten zu erstellen?

    -Die Vision ist, dass AI in der Lage ist, die Interaktion mit der Community zu erleichtern, die Verwaltung von Geschäftsprozessen zu optimieren und die Kreativität und Effizienz jedes Einzelnen zu steigern.

  • Wie sieht die potenzielle Zukunft der AI-Anwendungen in Alltagsleben und -geschäften aus?

    -Die potenzielle Zukunft der AI-Anwendungen könnte so weit reichen, dass AI in nahezu jedem Aspekt unseres Alltags und in geschäftlichen Prozessen eingesetzt wird, von Hausautomation bis hin zur Unterstützung bei Entscheidungsfindungsprozessen.

Outlines

00:00

🤖 Die Zukunft der KI-Agenten in kleinen Unternehmen

Der erste Absatz diskutiert die Idee, dass jede kleine Geschäftsunternehmen in der Zukunft einen eigenen KI-Agenten haben wird, mit dem Kunden interagieren können. Der Sprecher vergleicht dies mit den heutigen Standardkomponenten wie E-Mail-Adressen, Websites und Social-Media-Präsenzen. Er betont die Bedeutung von Software 3.0 als nächstes Evolutionsstadium der künstlichen Intelligenz, welches die Schaffung von Programmen ohne explizite Anweisungen ermöglicht, sondern durch das Festlegen von Zielen und das Verlassen der KI, die Lösung zu entwickeln.

05:00

🔧 Evolution von Software 1.0 zu Software 3.0

In diesem Absatz wird die Entwicklung von Software 1.0 über Software 2.0 hin zu Software 3.0 erläutert. Software 1.0 bezieht sich auf traditionelle, von Menschen geschriebene Programme, während Software 2.0 auf neuronale Netzwerke basiert, die ohne direkten Code von Menschen trainiert werden. Software 3.0 wird als die nächste Stufe dargestellt, bei der KI-Modelle wie das von Mark Zuckerberg vorgestellte 'Llama' verwendet werden, um aus diesen großen Modellen kleinere, spezialisierte Modelle für individuelle Anwendungsfälle abzuleiten.

10:01

🚀 Die Vision von individuellen KI-Agenten für Business und Content-Creator

Der dritte Absatz konzentriert sich auf die Vision von Mark Zuckerberg, wie KI in Zukunft in Unternehmen und für Content-Creator eingesetzt werden kann. Es geht darum, wie Unternehmen und Kreative mithilfe von KI-Agents ihre Geschäftsprozesse optimieren und wie diese Agents für Kundenservice, Verkauf oder die Interaktion mit der Community genutzt werden können. Es wird auch auf die Bedeutung von Open-Source-Modellen und die Schaffung von Diversität in der KI-Entwicklung hingewiesen.

15:03

🛠️ Anwendung von Software 3.0 in der Praxis

Dieser Absatz vertieft die Idee von Software 3.0, indem er die Verwendung von Foundation-Modellen beschreibt, die speziell auf die Bedürfnisse von Unternehmen oder Individuen abgestimmt werden. Es wird auf die Wichtigkeit von Anpassung und Feinabstimmung eingegangen, um diese Modelle für spezifische Geschäftsanforderungen zu nutzen. Zudem wird die Rolle von Open-Source-Modellen hervorgehoben, die als Grundlage für die Entwicklung kleinerer, anwendungsspezifischer Modelle dienen.

20:05

🌐 AI als allgegenwärtige Technologie in zukünftigen Geschäftstätigkeiten

Der fünfte Absatz spricht von der zukünftigen Allgegenwärtigkeit von AI in Geschäftstätigkeiten. Es wird eine Parallele zu dem Grad, zu dem heutzutage Computer in Unternehmen eingesetzt werden, gezogen und die Prognose geäußert, dass die Nutzung von AI in Unternehmen in den kommenden Jahren stark ansteigen wird. Der Sprecher reflektiert über die potenziellen Anwendungen von AI in verschiedenen Lebensbereichen und wie sie möglicherweise das Geschäftsmodell der Zukunft prägen wird.

🎮 Automatisierung von Factorio durch KI-Modelle

Der letzte Absatz präsentiert ein Projekt, das die Automatisierung des Strategiespiels Factorio mithilfe von KI-Modellen veranschaulicht. Der Sprecher zeigt die Fortschritte in der Entwicklung von Schnittstellen und Modellen, die es Bots ermöglichen, das Spiel ohne menschliche Intervention zu spielen. Es wird auf die Open-Source-Natur der entwickelten Tools und die Absicht hingewiesen, diese für die Community zugänglich zu machen, um die Verbreitung von KI in der Gaming-Industrie zu fördern.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Software 3.0

Software 3.0 bezieht sich auf die nächste Generation von Software, die auf vortrainierten KI-Modellen basiert. Diese Modelle, die als 'Grundlagenmodelle' bezeichnet werden, haben viele Fähigkeiten von sich aus und müssen nicht von Grund auf trainiert werden. Stattdessen werden sie durch spezifische Anweisungen und Daten für den jeweiligen Anwendungsfall angepasst. Im Video wird dies als die nächste Entwicklungsstufe nach Software 1.0 (manuelles Programmieren) und Software 2.0 (maschinelles Lernen) dargestellt.

💡Künstliche Intelligenz (KI)

Künstliche Intelligenz (KI) ist das Feld der Informatik, das sich mit der Schaffung von Systemen befasst, die ähnliche Fähigkeiten wie der menschliche Verstand zeigen können. Im Kontext des Videos wird KI als Schlüsseltechnologie für die Zukunft dargestellt, die es Unternehmen ermöglicht, individuelle AI-Agenten für Kundenservice, Verkauf und Kommunikation zu erstellen.

💡Neuronale Netzwerke

Neuronale Netzwerke sind ein Typ von KI-Modellen, die nach dem menschlichen Gehirn modelliert sind. Sie bestehen aus verbundenen Neuronen, ähnlich wie die Verbindungen zwischen Nervenzellen im Gehirn. Im Video wird erläutert, dass diese Netzwerke durch das Verstärken der Verbindungen, die oft genutzt und korrekte Vorhersagen liefern, trainiert werden.

💡Gradientenabstieg

Der Gradientenabstieg ist ein Algorithmus, der in der KI-Forschung zur Optimierung von Modellen verwendet wird. Er ermöglicht es, die Gewichte in einem neuronalen Netzwerk so anzupassen, dass das Modell seine Vorhersagegenauigkeit verbessert. Im Video wird dieser Prozess als Teil des Trainings von Software 2.0 erwähnt.

💡Open Source

Open Source bezeichnet Software, deren Quellcode öffentlich zugänglich ist und von der Community weiterentwickelt werden kann. Im Video wird betont, wie wichtig Open Source für die Verbreitung von KI-Modellen ist, da es es ermöglicht, auf bereits bestehende, hochentwickelte Modelle aufzubauen und anzupassen.

💡AI-Agenten

AI-Agenten sind künstliche Intelligenzen, die als digitale Assistenten fungieren und in der Lage sind, mit Menschen zu interagieren. Im Video wird die Vision geäußert, dass zukünftig jedes Unternehmen einen eigenen AI-Agenten haben wird, um Kunden zu bedienen, ähnlich wie heute jeder eine E-Mail-Adresse und eine Website hat.

💡Schlüsselindustrie

Die Schlüsselindustrie bezieht sich auf Branchen, in denen KI eine entscheidende Rolle spielen wird. Im Video werden Bereiche wie Finanzen, Gesundheitswesen und Spiele genannt, in denen KI-Anwendungen enormes Potenzial haben.

💡Datensatz

Ein Datensatz ist eine Sammlung von Daten, die verwendet wird, um KI-Modelle zu trainieren. Im Video wird erwähnt, dass große Datensätze für die Entwicklung von KI-Modellen von großer Bedeutung sind, insbesondere für die Erstellung von Software 2.0.

💡Faktorio

Faktorio ist ein Strategiespiel, das im Video als Beispiel für die Anwendung von KI genutzt wird. Ein Entwickler hat ein Projekt gestartet, um das Spiel mit Hilfe von KI zu automatisieren, was zeigt, wie KI in Spiele und andere Anwendungen integriert werden kann.

💡Einfluss von KI auf Geschäftsmodelle

Im Video wird diskutiert, wie KI die Geschäftsmodelle von Unternehmen verändern wird. Durch die Möglichkeit, individuelle AI-Agenten zu erstellen, können Unternehmen ihre Kundenservice- und Verkaufsprozesse verbessern und neue Wege finden, um mit ihren Kunden zu interagieren.

Highlights

未来每个企业都可能拥有自己的AI代理,与客户进行交流,就像现在拥有电子邮件地址、网站和社交媒体一样。

软件3.0的概念,即利用基础模型进行微调和特定领域的应用,可能成为AI领域的最大机会。

Andrej Karpathy提出软件2.0的概念,即通过数据集和神经网络权重而非传统编程语言来定义软件行为。

软件1.0和2.0的比较,展示了从人类编写代码到通过训练神经网络来实现特定行为的转变。

介绍了神经网络如何通过类似巴甫洛夫条件反射的方式进行学习和适应。

解释了软件3.0如何使用大型基础模型来创建特定用途的小型定制模型。

Mark Zuckerberg讨论了开源AI模型Llama 3.1,以及它如何允许社区创建定制的AI代理。

讨论了如何通过微调大型模型来创建适用于特定业务需求的小型AI模型。

Sarah Guo分享了她的AI创业投资理念,强调了软件3.0的重要性和对特定领域AI应用的关注。

预测AI将像计算机和互联网一样普及,最终几乎所有企业和个人都将使用AI来优化和自动化任务。

展示了如何通过开源模型训练小型AI模型来服务于特定用途,如客户服务或个人助手。

讨论了AI在教育、游戏、金融和医疗等领域的潜在应用和影响。

强调了AI的普及将如何改变我们管理业务和个人生活的方式,类似于工厂自动化。

介绍了一个使用大型语言模型自动化游戏Factorio的项目,展示了AI在特定领域的应用潜力。

讨论了AI如何帮助用户在游戏中自动化任务,提高效率和游戏体验。

展示了如何通过微调和训练来改进AI模型,以适应特定的游戏策略和行为。

讨论了开源AI模型和工具如何使更多人能够创建和使用定制的AI解决方案。

Transcripts

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there are like ways to make a million

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bucks and then ways to make a million

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bucks that could turn into a billion

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bucks right there are hundreds of

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millions of small businesses in the

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world a business can basically you know

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few Taps um stand up an AI agent for

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themselves I kind of think that every

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business in the future just like they

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have an email address and a website and

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a social media presence today I think

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every business is going to have an AI

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agent that their customers can talk to

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in the future and we want to enable that

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if you always knew that there was a huge

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opportunity with AI but didn't quite get

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exactly how to take advantage of it I

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think this video might clear it up the

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thing that I'm talking about is software

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3.0 it might sound a bit weird but give

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me just a second to explain because I

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think that if you're an entrepreneur or

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you always wanted to get into business

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for yourself or you just want to stay on

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The Cutting Edge of AI well this might

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be the single biggest opportunity of our

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lives so really fast this is Andre kpy

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former open AI highly respected AI

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researcher noticed the date this was end

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of 2017 he's talking about software 2.0

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what is that well the classical stack is

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the software 1.0 that's kind of what we

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think of a software it's code it's

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written in languages like python C++ Etc

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and it consists of explicit instructions

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to the computer written by a programmer

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right so so basically a human that's a

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human if you can't tell and he's telling

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a computer what to do sort of explicitly

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right letter by letter typing it in and

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and giving it instructions by writing

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each line of code the programmer

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identifies a specific point in program

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space with some desirable Behavior right

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so in other words we want something from

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the computer we want this thing to do

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something for us we make that happen by

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writing each line of code he

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specifically uses that terminology there

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right writing each line of code that's

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important so then what is software 2.0

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can you guess well Andre karpathy he's

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saying sof 2.0 is written in much more

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abstract human unfriendly language such

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as the weights of a neural network no

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human is involved in writing this code

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because there are a lot of Weights

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typical networks might have millions

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keep in mind this was written in 2017 so

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you might imagine that there might be a

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little bit more than that nowadays and

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coding directly in weights is kind of

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hard he tried he would this is kind of

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what a neural network looks like the

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neurons are connected by way there are

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these uh lines here and this is somewhat

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similar to a human brain we also have

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neurons and then the connections between

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those neurons that wire together

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stronger when they are used more often

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when they are predictive of something

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happening that was that whole Pav's dog

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the response to the Bell right so over

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time as we smell something right so the

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part of our brain that smells that is

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able to capture smells like we smell

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food and we respond to that by for

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example with a dog salvation right

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because we formed those neural

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connections that helped us predict that

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certain smells mean that there's tasty

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food about however if we ring a bell the

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dog has no response there are no neural

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connections to indicate that a bell

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means that there's food but if we start

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giving them food and ring a bell over

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time the bell ringing produces you know

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him salivating and thinking that he's

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about to get food that whole episode on

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the office where Jim feeds Dwight breath

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mitts every time a bell rings if you

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didn't catch that that was literally

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what that whole thing was about and

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that's kind of how neural networks work

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all these connections create some sort

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of outcomes but we don't program them

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ourselves well unless you're Andre karpy

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actually how we approach it is we

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specify some goal or desirable Behavior

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right like win a game of Go and yes

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there's some you know code a rough

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skeleton of of the code AS audre put

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said right so sort of the neural net

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architecture and then that neural

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network is trained using gradient

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descent back propagation we're not going

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to really get into it because we don't

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quite need to to understand what's

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Happening Here by the way if you are

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interested in learning more highly

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suggest Andre Kathy's latest thing so he

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just announced it within the last few

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weeks looks like this is dated July 17th

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open co-founder Andre karpathy announces

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Eureka Labs an AI education startup keep

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this in mind you might need it later

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just a hunch but kind of the big

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takeaway about software 1.0 and software

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2.0 I think is this this is a again from

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Andre Kathy's blog right s sort of like

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this distance represents the complexity

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of the program right something very

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simple to something very complex and

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software 1.0 is here that's what

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software can do again if we're defining

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software 1.0 as a human being coding

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something up for a computer to do that's

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sort of the extent of it I mean it's

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quite a bit the entire world that runs

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on it it's done quite a bit but it's

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limited compared to software 2.0 and

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with software 2.0 instead of typing in

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line by line we have a sort of process

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right so that's training the AI right I

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just kind of make it into a black box

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and that process trains the AI it trains

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the neural net to do the thing that we

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want it to do we just say what we want

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the alcome to be we tell it make cute

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pictures of dogs and it trains the

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neural network the brain that can make

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cute pictures of dogs we tell it learn

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to codes stuff and it figures out how to

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make the thing that learns to code stuff

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now this is greatly simplified obviously

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there's a lot of things that go into

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this data compute a million other things

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but the point is instead of explicitly

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telling what to do we're just kind of

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telling it what we want and it then

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creates the thing that does the thing

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that we want right so we're kind of like

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a layer removed all right so pop qu Hot

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Shot what does software 3.0 look like

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right in terms of what we're talking

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about what is the next Evolution if this

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is explicit directions this is telling

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it kind of what we want and it figures

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out how to create the thing that does it

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what does the next evolution of that

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look like what is 3.0 I'll add this last

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piece and just that a year ago it wasn't

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even obvious that this thing existed it

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wasn't obvious that it would be

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available to us keep in mind Andre

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didn't even mention software 3.0

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anywhere in this blog post that was in

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2017 it it wasn't even obvious at that

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point how this whole thing would shake

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out but so at this point you might be

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thinking okay okay so what's software

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3.0 why don't you just tell us so first

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of all here's Mark Zuckerberg talking

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about his latest release llama 3.1 the

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open source AI giant that is at GPT 4

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level now if you saw that interview feel

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free to skip forward I'll have the video

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Chapter set up so you can skip to the

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next part but whether you've seen it or

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not pay specific attention to what he's

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saying that you're allowed to build what

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you're able to build with the big bad

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model that he released the model that he

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refers to as the teacher model so I'm

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really excited to see what people do

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with that especially now that we're

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making it so that our the community

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policies around llama allow people to

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use it as a teacher model to distill and

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fine-tune and um and basically create

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whatever other models they want with it

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and here's another Quick Clip where he's

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talking about what he believes will be

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the final result of people using these

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open source models to create agents Etc

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is he talking about everything running

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on top of the sort of Base llama model

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just sort of one model to rule them all

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or is it more fragmented than that I

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think we just have the ability in the

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business model to basically build in the

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most advanced models in the world and

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offer it to everyone for free so I think

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that that's a you know kind of a huge

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Advantage um it's really easy to use

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from all of our apps um so I'm pretty

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excited about how that going so that's

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yeah we have the basic assistant um and

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and I think that that's going to be a

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big deal but even more than that a lot

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of what we're focused on is giving every

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Creator and every small business um the

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ability to create AI agents for

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themselves um making it so that every

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person on our platforms can create their

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own AI agents that they want to interact

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with and if you think about it these are

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just huge spaces right so there are

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hundreds of millions of small businesses

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in the world and one of the things I

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think is really important is basically

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making it so with a relatively small

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amount of work um a business can

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basically you know few Taps um stand up

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an AI agent for themselves that uh can

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do customer support sales communicate

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with all their people all their

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customers I kind of think that every

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business in the future just like they

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have an email address and a website and

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a social media presence today I think

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every business is going to have a um an

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AI agent that their customers can talk

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to in the future and we want to enable

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that for all those that's that's going

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to be hundreds of millions maybe

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billions of of kind of small business

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agents similar deal for creators um

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there are more than it's more than 200

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million people on our platforms who

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consider themselves creators who

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basically use our platform um in a way

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that is primarily for you know building

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a community um you know put putting out

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content feel like it's it's kind of like

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a part of their job is is doing that and

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they all have this basic issue which is

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that there aren't enough hours in the

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day to engage with their Community as

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much as they'd like and likewise I think

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that their communities would generally

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want more of their time but um but again

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not enough hours in the day so I just

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think it's a there's going to be a huge

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unlock where basically every Creator can

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pull in all their information from

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social media can train these systems um

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to reflect their values and their

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business objectives and what they're

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trying to do and then people can can

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interact with that it'll be almost like

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this almost artistic artifact that

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creators create that that people can can

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can kind of interact with in different

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ways and then and that's not even

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getting into all the different ways that

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I think people are going to be able to

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create you know different AI agents for

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themselves to do different things so I

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think we're going to live in a world

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where there are going to be hundreds of

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millions of billions of different AI

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agents eventually probably more AI

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agents than there are people in the

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world and um and that people are just

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going to interact with them in all these

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different ways so that's part of you

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know that's the product Vision um

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obviously there's a lot of business

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opportunity in that that's where we want

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to go make money so we don't want to

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we're not going to make money from

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selling access to the model itself um

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because again we're not a public Cloud

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company we will make money by building

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the best products an important

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ingredient to the best products is

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building is having the best models which

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having the best kind of ecosystem around

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open source will help us do so that's

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why it's kind of all aligned for us and

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why this is going to end up I think

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being really valuable for us to build

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the the highest quality products that we

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can um and and have the best business

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results by by kind of building out this

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open source Community but but it's also

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why it's all philosophically aligned

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right we don't we just don't believe

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that there's going to be kind of one big

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AI whether it's a product or a model

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that everyone uses we kind of

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fundamentally believe in having this

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broad diversity and different set of

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models and that you know every business

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and um you people are just going to want

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a lot of their own stuff that they're

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going to make and I think that's kind of

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going to be interesting it's going to be

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a lot of what makes this interesting so

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this is Sarah gou she was recently on

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the my first million podcast where she

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discusses some of the startups and and

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AI feels that she's very interested in

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investing and she's got a very specific

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sort of investment thesis AK what she

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thinks will really move the needle in

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terms of AI startups and this is where

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she kind of spells out what software 3.0

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is take a listen and I think the next

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level of like value and impact is

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definitely going to be um fine-tuning to

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specific voice and what's your

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overarching investment thesis so you

play11:55

have this thing called software 3.0

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which what is software 3.0 yeah yeah

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okay so the seed for that phrase

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software 3.0 it comes from actually an

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essay that Andre karpathy wrote years

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ago about software 2.0 and the base

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premise here is that like you had to

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write uh a lot of software by hand in a

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prior generation before machine learning

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and then software 2.0 Andre you know

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worked at Tesla was working on autopilot

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was really about data set labeling right

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you know you you are

play12:30

teaching a machine learning model by the

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data you choose to put into the pipeline

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um how to do new tasks software 3.0 is

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the idea that the next generation of

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software a lot of it is about

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manipulating Foundation models and

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they're called Foundation models because

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they have a lot of capability out of the

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box you don't need to train them from

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scratch you just need to give them like

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guidance reinforcement the information

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specific to your business and so an

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example would be like Sean was is

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talking about for his lead capture

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intake form voice like he doesn't need

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to go train a model he doesn't need to

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go like collect data for that software

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application like the voice agent is a

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software application he just needs to

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like make sure it's plugged into his

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scheduling system and his database of

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candidates and be able to retrieve the

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right information about the business and

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like you know respond consistently to

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customers in a certain tone right right

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and so that's more about like

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manipulating a bunch of this Bas work

play13:33

that people um like Labs have already

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done for you and the premise here is

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like that last mile of getting a

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foundation model to be like something

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that serves all these use cases in the

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real world that you know maybe the

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research Labs think of as niches like

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the world is composed of very large

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niches and so I think it's a I think

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it's a really big opportunity for

play13:52

entrepreneurs and for us by the way

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that's not the only investor and fund

play13:57

investing in this idea we also have a16z

play14:00

that's betting it big on some fields

play14:03

that intersect with AI games apps

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infrastructure growth Etc they're very

play14:08

interested in things where AI intersects

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Finance for example as well as games

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Healthcare Etc but getting back to our

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kind of original question if 1.0 is US

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humans creating the code to make the

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computers do what we want 2.0 is kind of

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this idea of where we tell this sort of

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process what we wanted to do and then it

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then goes and kind of creates the AI

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neural net brain to the thing that we

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wanted to do to me I'm seeing 3.0 kind

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of the next iteration of that as taking

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this AI brain let's say it's the big

play14:45

base model let's say it's l with 3.1 the

play14:48

405 billion parameter model this thing

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that's extremely expensive to train to

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create but it's open source and it's

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very very good it's also kind of

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unwieldly you can't just run it on your

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laptop but you might want to use it for

play15:00

a million different abuse cases for your

play15:02

business for your personal life Etc what

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we're able to do with this sort of

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teacher model is used to create

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synthetic data to train smaller models

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that are customized for our specific use

play15:15

case so this thing kind of bottles up

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its thoughts and creates some sort of a

play15:21

training set for a smaller model a

play15:24

smaller model to run customer service or

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help you with your homework or run your

play15:29

calendar or answer your text messages or

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or anything where having that

play15:33

intelligence might be useful to you this

play15:36

is kind of what the research behind Orca

play15:38

2 from Microsoft kind of showed us early

play15:39

on is we're able to take this big huge

play15:41

unwieldly expensive model create a sort

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of uh data set from it and train the

play15:47

kind of tiny model on top of it and this

play15:49

model is very very effective at doing

play15:52

that thing so let's call that software

play15:54

3.0 now none of this is official we're

play15:56

kind of making these uh numbers and

play15:58

stuff up as we go along but it's just to

play16:00

illustrate a concept but so what's the

play16:02

point of all this basically think of

play16:04

this as a line from 0% to 100% here and

play16:09

this is kind of the penetration of AI

play16:12

into all of the businesses in the United

play16:14

States in the world wherever you are

play16:16

what percentage of businesses currently

play16:18

are using kind of their own Homespun AI

play16:21

to automate everything that they can

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with AI to add intelligence to any of

play16:25

the tasks that they're doing where it's

play16:27

applicable right so I don't know what

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that number is but it's low I'm going to

play16:30

say 1% although I doubt that's anywhere

play16:33

as high as that and similar how to back

play16:35

in the days when computers came out

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right 0% of businesses at some point 0%

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of businesses use computers once they

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became good and useful and in expensive

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you know maybe 1% of businesses use

play16:48

computers and then over time it

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approached 100% nowadays close to 100%

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of businesses use some sort of computers

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desktop phones whatever with microchips

play16:59

in it to help them run their business in

play17:01

one way or another we are about to see

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the same thing happen with AI we're

play17:05

going to go from some tiny percentage of

play17:08

businesses use this to run their

play17:09

business and over the next X number of

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years whether that's 5 years 10 years 15

play17:13

that number is going to start climbing

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towards 100% this is also going to

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happen for students in school for a lot

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of our personal stuff and all that AI

play17:22

isn't going to be developed by coders

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coding it line by line no is it all

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going to be developed by these big AI

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Labs using their massive training

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clusters to create these giant models or

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maybe even smaller models but the point

play17:38

is yeah they'll they'll create once for

play17:40

big use cases the profitable use cases

play17:43

but there'll be a million custom special

play17:45

jobs where AI will be needed for that

play17:49

special handcrafted use case and

play17:51

developing that special sort of uh right

play17:54

that homemade AI that Artisan AI right

play17:57

whatever you want to call it well it'll

play17:59

be made from these big open source

play18:01

models trained created fine-tuned

play18:04

whatever you want to call that this is

play18:05

kind of the process that we're referring

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to as software 3.0 so be trained and

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then deployed into those businesses and

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people's lives and everything from

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thermostats to monitoring security

play18:16

cameras to I mean everything you can

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possibly think of and this process will

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probably not be quite as technical as

play18:26

you know for example writing code

play18:27

definitely not as technical as

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understanding deep learning and neural

play18:31

Nets and doing kind of like this sort of

play18:32

work my guess is that 20 years from now

play18:34

you have kids kind of spitting up their

play18:36

own custom little AI models to help them

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I don't know keep track of their Pokemon

play18:41

whatever now I'm not going to unpack how

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big of an opportunity this is because

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I'll probably unell it and in fact me

play18:48

trying to sell it to you isn't the point

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of this maybe you see it maybe you don't

play18:53

maybe I'm right maybe I'm wrong but I've

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said this before in the future running

play18:56

businesses will kind of look like

play18:58

managing your factorio base everything's

play19:00

more or less automated and you're just

play19:02

kind of tweaking the different things

play19:03

the different processes and systems to

play19:05

optimize the performance I might have

play19:07

been wrong about that because there's

play19:09

literally a guy on Twitter X that's

play19:12

using a large language model to can you

play19:16

guess to automate factorio now I've been

play19:19

tracking this project with great

play19:20

interest he just posted a 3-week update

play19:23

and I do want to kind of highlight this

play19:24

project that he's doing because I find

play19:26

it just endlessly fascinating so the few

play19:29

minutes that he's doing the update I'll

play19:30

post this right now to kind of close off

play19:32

this video check it out I'll leave links

play19:34

to his profile below but as you watch

play19:36

this ask yourself this as this field

play19:39

progresses and it becomes easier and

play19:40

easier to add this intelligence whether

play19:42

that's large language models or maybe in

play19:45

a number of years we'll have some other

play19:47

sort of type of Frontier models anywhere

play19:49

we could use help making decisions or

play19:51

keeping an eye for something or

play19:54

automating something it seems like these

play19:56

these AI neural Nets could be trained to

play19:59

do that specific thing for whatever

play20:01

specific use case you want it seems like

play20:05

this is going to be everywhere in every

play20:08

facet of Our Lives helping us with

play20:10

pretty much everything that we're doing

play20:12

what do you think let me know in the

play20:13

comments am I crazy or is this going to

play20:15

be bigger than the computer the internet

play20:18

the cell phone let me know in the

play20:19

comments check out this automating

play20:21

factorio of large language of models

play20:23

video my name is West Roth and thank you

play20:25

for watching guys it's been 3 weeks

play20:28

since I'm made the I want to automate

play20:29

all the factorial tweet uh and I thought

play20:31

it made sense to make a progress video

play20:33

about everything that happened in

play20:34

between so uh the first week essentially

play20:36

just spent learning Lua learning the

play20:38

factorial moding libraries and so on and

play20:41

then the next two weeks I worked on this

play20:42

uh Library if you go to the GitHub link

play20:44

on the tweet it should take your this uh

play20:46

page and here you can find a bunch of

play20:48

remote interfaces that like the mod that

play20:50

I creat um provides you so you can walk

play20:52

to entities like go you can mine

play20:54

entities you can put things inside boxes

play20:55

you can put things inside furnances um

play20:58

it has a bunch of features it still

play20:59

needs a lot more so it is like work in

play21:01

progress right now um but people someone

play21:04

did raise like a p request to fix like

play21:05

my pathing library a pathing code um

play21:08

yeah I think it's just going to improve

play21:09

over time um so this code let me show

play21:11

you how to install it so essentially you

play21:13

just need this one file it's like a 700

play21:15

line uh Lua mod for factorio so if you

play21:18

go um just clone the repo go to your

play21:21

sort of game folder so is why my game is

play21:23

stored and then go to your mods folder

play21:25

within that and just clone um the that I

play21:29

showed you once you have this you can

play21:31

just open up factoral uh like normal and

play21:34

it should have the mod installed um so

play21:37

let me let me show you yes you just

play21:38

start a new game um just with normal

play21:41

steps skip the intro and now uh if you

play21:44

go to if you go to sort of the items

play21:47

here let's just go and walk towards the

play21:48

coal entity so I'm going to do that

play21:50

right

play21:52

now and you can see here it sort of like

play21:54

finds the code entity um then you can do

play21:56

the same thing to mine it um

play22:00

yeah so this is super cool because now

play22:02

your agent doesn't have to like actually

play22:03

look at the screen look where the goal

play22:04

is it can just focus on thinking on how

play22:06

to play the game how to win the game um

play22:08

it should make it a lot easier for

play22:09

people to make agents on this um yeah so

play22:13

uh my plan for the next week is to sort

play22:15

of create a bunch of models uh which is

play22:17

going to be my attempt to beat the game

play22:19

I know that the library doesn't have

play22:20

enough things so I'm going to keep

play22:22

adding more interfaces for agents to

play22:24

play um but where I'm creating data sets

play22:27

right now is called glaive it's a start

play22:28

that I work at uh it's glaive doai and

play22:31

here I'm creating a bunch of models so

play22:33

this one I'm sort of um using to sort of

play22:35

take an input uh like this one says I

play22:37

want to walk to the nearest iron or and

play22:39

then the command is like the command

play22:40

that I need so I'm currently fine tuning

play22:42

a bunch of models so like this one I can

play22:44

fine tune right now I'm just going to

play22:45

use f because it's like it's going to

play22:47

run easily on my 4090 um so yeah this is

play22:50

training right now but I do have like a

play22:52

T of sort of uh I have so many uh

play22:55

data sets right now that I need to find

play22:56

tune on but I'm going to open source all

play22:58

these models eventually um to sort of

play23:00

make it a lot easier for everyone to use

play23:02

and um right now this is not public yet

play23:05

but I'm sort of working on a bunch of um

play23:07

scripts so this is using grock's

play23:09

function calling tool that uh we had GL

play23:11

also worked with them to create and then

play23:13

um I sort of have um just go to like go

play23:17

ahead and all tab essentially into

play23:18

factorio uh press the command button and

play23:21

then sort of tag commands in so yeah

play23:23

basically um it's going to be a lot

play23:25

better uh next week which I'm going to

play23:27

give you like a bunch of models and like

play23:29

um yeah just going to opens a bunch of

play23:31

stuff any I'm just going to keep yapping

play23:33

so I just going to I'm just going to

play23:34

leave and uh see you guys whenever

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