MLB Wildcard Picks and Best Bets for October 2nd, 2024!

Beating The Odds
2 Oct 202403:57

Summary

TLDRIn this video, Zach from 'Being the Odds' shares his MLB best bets for October 2, 2024. He recaps his previous day's mixed results, highlighting both wins and losses. Zach offers three new picks: Royals money line at +136, the over 7.5 in the Mets vs. Brewers game, and the Padres money line against the Braves. He also emphasizes the Padres' lineup advantage despite the Braves' starting pitcher edge. Viewers are encouraged to subscribe and join for more daily MLB and other sports picks, with a members-only best bet available through his site.

Takeaways

  • 📅 The video was recorded on Wednesday, October 2, 2024.
  • 🎥 The host, Zach, provides daily MLB betting picks and recaps.
  • 📝 Yesterday's results: 2 wins and 3 losses.
  • 🔍 Key bets included the Astros and Brewers, with some missed opportunities in the Astros game.
  • 💰 The overall yearly profit stands at +36.227684 units.
  • 🎯 Today's first bet is Royals money line at +136, favoring Kansas City due to better recent form and pitching.
  • ⚾️ The second bet is over 7.5 in the New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers game, citing poor pitching from Montas and hittable Manaea.
  • 🏅 The third bet is the Padres money line over the Braves, citing a stronger Padres lineup despite the Braves' starting pitcher advantage.
  • 🔔 Viewers are encouraged to subscribe and hit the notification bell for daily MLB, NFL, NBA, and NHL picks.
  • 🔒 A members-only best bet is available through the website linked in the video comments.

Q & A

  • What is the overall theme of the video script?

    -The video script focuses on providing MLB best bets and recapping the previous day's performance in sports betting, specifically covering MLB, NFL, college football, NBA, and NHL.

  • Who is the host of the video, and what is his goal?

    -The host is named Zach, and his goal is to provide sports betting picks to help his audience make successful bets, while also growing his subscriber base to 15,000.

  • How did Zach's bets perform on the previous day?

    -Zach had a mixed day, going 2-3 overall. He mentioned some close calls where his bets could have turned out differently based on minor factors during the games.

  • What were some of the specific games Zach referenced from the previous day’s bets?

    -Zach referenced several games, including the Brewers money line, the Astros money line (which he believed could have been won if certain plays had gone differently), the Padres first five innings bet, the Royals money line, and the over 6.5 for the Kansas City and Baltimore game.

  • What are Zach's betting picks for the current day?

    -For the current day, Zach recommends the Royals money line at +136 against the Orioles, the over 7.5 for the Mets vs. Brewers game, and the Padres money line against the Braves.

  • Why does Zach favor the Royals money line at +136 against the Orioles?

    -Zach believes the Royals have a better starting pitcher in Lugo compared to Zack Eflin of the Orioles. He also thinks the Royals' lineup has been playing better than the Orioles in recent months, even though the Orioles have more overall talent.

  • What is Zach’s reasoning for betting on the over 7.5 for the Mets vs. Brewers game?

    -Zach argues that the Brewers' starting pitcher, Frankie Montas, is weak and highly hittable. He believes both teams have strong lineups, and the Mets bullpen is unreliable, leading him to believe the over 7.5 is a good bet.

  • Why does Zach believe the Padres will win against the Braves?

    -Zach acknowledges that the Braves have a slight starting pitching advantage with Fried over Musgrove, but he believes the Padres have a much stronger lineup, especially given the injuries the Braves are dealing with, including the absence of key players like Acuña and Austin Riley.

  • What does Zach mention about the performance of the Brewers bullpen in the previous game?

    -Zach notes that the Brewers bullpen performed well, holding the Mets to zero runs after the Mets had an explosive fifth inning.

  • How can viewers access Zach’s members-only best bet?

    -Viewers can access Zach’s members-only best bet by visiting the website zdm bets.com, which is linked in the comments of the video.

Outlines

00:00

📊 Recap of Yesterday's MLB Best Bets

Zach welcomes viewers to the channel and provides a brief recap of the previous day's MLB betting results. He highlights a 2-3 record with close calls, such as the Astros losing despite strong performances from certain players, and a solid win from the Padres. He concludes by mentioning that overall for the year, they are up by over 36 units. Zach also promotes a members-only best bet and encourages viewers to subscribe for daily content.

🎯 Today's MLB Picks and Strategy

Zach dives into today's MLB picks, starting with the Royals money line at +136 against the Orioles. He discusses how the Orioles have been struggling for two months and highlights Royals pitcher Lugo as a key advantage. Although the Orioles have more talent, Zach believes the Royals' lineup has been performing better recently, making them the smarter pick for today.

⚾ New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Over 7.5 Pick

Zach moves on to his second pick: over 7.5 runs in the Mets vs. Brewers game. He critiques the Brewers’ choice of starting pitcher, Frankie Montas, calling him a poor option. He acknowledges both lineups' strong hitting potential but points out the Mets’ unreliable bullpen. Given the weaknesses in pitching and strong offenses, Zach confidently bets on the over.

💪 Padres Money Line Over Braves

The final pick is the Padres money line against the Braves. Although he acknowledges that the Braves have a slight advantage in starting pitching, Zach stresses that the Padres have a significantly stronger lineup, especially with key injuries affecting the Braves. He believes this lineup advantage will help the Padres secure the win, despite the Braves having a better starting pitcher.

🔒 Closing Thoughts and Members-Only Best Bet

Zach concludes by promoting a members-only best bet, which can be accessed on his website. He urges viewers to lock in the picks he discussed, share the excitement of winning together, and return for tomorrow’s video. He signs off by encouraging everyone to make some money with the day's selections.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡MLB Best Bets

MLB Best Bets refers to the daily betting predictions for Major League Baseball games. In the video, Zach shares his best picks for the day, analyzing matchups and factors that influence the outcome of the games. It highlights his main content focus for viewers interested in sports betting.

💡Money Line

Money Line is a type of sports bet where a bettor predicts which team will win a game outright. In the video, Zach mentions money line bets for teams like the Royals and the Padres, evaluating factors such as team performance and pitching quality. For example, he backs the Royals money line at +136 against the Orioles.

💡Over/Under

Over/Under refers to a bet on the total number of points or runs scored in a game. Bettors can wager whether the combined score will be over or under a given number. In the video, Zach discusses the over 7.5 bet for the New York vs. Milwaukee game, pointing to the weak starting pitchers as a reason to expect more runs.

💡Starting Pitcher

The starting pitcher is the first pitcher to take the mound for a team in a baseball game. Starting pitchers play a key role in the outcome of a game. Zach emphasizes their importance, such as when he prefers the Royals’ pitcher Lugo over the Orioles’ starter in his analysis of the money line bet.

💡Bullpen

The bullpen refers to the group of relief pitchers who are available to replace the starting pitcher during a game. Zach evaluates the performance of different teams' bullpens, describing them as erratic or solid, such as when comparing the bullpens of the Royals and Orioles or the Brewers and Mets.

💡Lineup

A lineup in baseball refers to the order in which the players on a team will bat. Zach analyzes the quality of lineups when making his betting decisions, stating that the Padres’ lineup is much stronger than the Braves’, especially due to injuries affecting key Braves players.

💡Padres

The Padres are a Major League Baseball team from San Diego. In the video, Zach expresses confidence in their lineup and overall team strength, particularly in comparison to the injury-riddled Braves. He predicts a Padres win due to their offensive superiority and home-field advantage.

💡Royals

The Royals are a Major League Baseball team from Kansas City. Zach highlights their recent strong performances and their advantages over the Orioles, such as superior pitching and a more reliable lineup, as reasons for backing the Royals in a money line bet.

💡Brewers

The Brewers are a Major League Baseball team from Milwaukee. Zach criticizes their choice of starting pitcher (Frankie Montas) in the game against the Mets, suggesting that their bullpen will need to compensate for Montas’ weak performance. He predicts that the game will exceed the expected 7.5 total runs.

💡Members-Only Best Bet

The Members-Only Best Bet is a special, exclusive betting pick available to those who subscribe to Zach’s paid content or membership. He mentions this bet throughout the video, directing viewers to visit the website to access these exclusive picks, which he believes have a high chance of success.

Highlights

Recap of yesterday's results: went 2-3 with notable plays on Brewers and Astros money lines.

Brew money line was looking strong but lost, with the Astros losing due to a few close plays.

Easy win on the Padres' first 5 innings (-0.5) bet.

Royals' money line (+124) was a strong win with serious plus money.

Over 6.5 bet on the Royals vs. Baltimore game didn’t hit.

Channel is up by 36.227684 units overall this year.

Three picks for today’s games with one members-only best bet available through a website link.

First pick: Royals' money line (+136) vs. Orioles - Based on the Royals having a better starting pitcher (Lugo) and better lineup momentum.

Explanation for Royals pick: Orioles haven't been playing well in the last two months, and Kansas City's lineup is currently performing better.

Second pick: Over 7.5 runs in the New York vs. Milwaukee game - Focus on the Brewers' starting pitcher Montes being a weak spot.

Montes is deemed hittable, and the Brewers' lineup is top 10 in most hitting categories, making the over a solid bet.

Third pick: Padres' money line vs. Braves - Despite the Braves having a slight pitching advantage, the Padres' lineup is much stronger, especially with injuries to key Braves players.

San Diego has a better lineup and is playing at home, making them the preferred pick.

Channel is actively targeting 15,000 subscribers and encourages users to subscribe, like, and hit the notification bell.

Conclusion: Picks are laid out for today's plays, with a members-only best bet available through the website.

Transcripts

play00:00

Hello everybody welcome back to being

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the odds it is Wednesday October 2nd

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2024 we are back with our MLB Best Bets

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of the day if you're new to the channel

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my name is Zach and welcome to be the

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odds let's recap yesterday's results so

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yesterday had a weird day went two and

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three yesterday members only best bet

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Brew money line that looked great for a

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while than L um then we had Astros money

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line if we had if that ball that Jason

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Hayward hit is 4 feet higher or if

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kareni that that that hit he had into

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the left field that was caught if that

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drops so if that's you know six feet

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further six feet shorter of a hit we win

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this game I I really believe that but

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you know what scubba played awesome

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Detroit played great um Astros should

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have got that dub Padre's first five my

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0.5 easy dub never a doubt Royals money

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line plus 124 got some serious plus

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money was a win rest of the over six and

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a half Casey and Baltimore never shot

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overall for the year were Plus 36.227684

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I got three picks you guys here on

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YouTube One member's only best bet

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youall know to get that in the in the in

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the comments below but if you're new to

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the channel hit that subscribe button

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like this video Hit notification Bell so

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you never miss a pick WE Post these MLB

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videos every single day along with the

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NFL college football NBA and NH HL going

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after our first 15,000 subscribers I'm

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excited to have youall here let's go win

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together today let's go make some money

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so let's jump in the plays that we have

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today I'm going to get start with our

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first play which will be the Royals

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money line at plus 136 versus the oils

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I'm running this play back the orals

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just I just don't love their Vibes I

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don't like how they've been playing for

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the last two months plus when you look

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at it Royals have the better starting

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pitcher in Lugo I like him a lot more I

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like effin personally Zack effin's been

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fine since he's gotten they've gotten

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from Tampa Bay nice little replacement

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for bradish but even so lugo's better

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the bullpens are about equal they're

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both erratic both wild cards both just

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nuts but the lineup here has to go to

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Kansas City because the oral just like

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hitting wise just haven't been good the

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last two months and they've got more

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Talent than than the Royals do on the

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offensive side of the ball but at the

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end of the day I would take the lineup

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for KC with how they're playing over the

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orol all day long and you saw that

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yesterday so G the Royals money line

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plus money at plus 136 versus the

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Orioles and then we'll go with the over

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s and a half New York and Milwaukee

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Montes for milwauke is so shitty like

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he's so bad I don't even know why I

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don't know why they're starting him with

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their with their with their entire

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season on the line I feel like there's

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so many other players they can use and

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they just picked the worst starting

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pitcher that they have I mean you could

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do Chris right there's so many other

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people you can do Mana is hitable for

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this Brewers team this Brewers team is

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top 10 almost every single hitting

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category same thing with the Mets um the

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lineups I don't trust the Mets I don't

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trust the Mets Bullpen at all uh the

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Brewers Bullpen has been very good they

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held the um the Mets zero runs after

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they have that explosion in the fifth 7

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and a half just seems like too low for

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me especially given how bad Frankie

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monis is and man is very hitable so give

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me the over seven half New York and

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Milwaukee here today and then we're go

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with the Padre's money line over the

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Braves um I think the Braves are the

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starting pitching Advantage here I mean

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I think Fred's better than Musgrove I

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don't think he's that much better but I

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think he is better the bullpens are

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equal both are very very solid but the

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biggest difference here is the lineups

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and this is where we're really looking

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here I mean the San Diego lineup is just

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head and shoulders better than the

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Braves have they just are and I I like

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the Braves um you know I've got I've got

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a lot of friends that are Braves fans

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but the fact is is that they're

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outmatched here the Padres are the

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better team the Padres have a way better

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line top bottom they're at home and on

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top of that they even though the even

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though the the Braves have a better

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starting pitcher the fact is though is

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that the the how with how much better

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the lineup is for the Padre's here

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especially with the Braves being so

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injured without aunia without um Austin

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Riley they're just not they're not going

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to be able to hold it down so give me

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the Padre's money line versus the Braves

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here today now like I said guys we do

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have a members only best bet day get zdm

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bets.com picks website is linked in the

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comments below but guys go lock in those

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picks let's go win together let's go

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make some money I'll see you all

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tomorrow

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