Where to invest Gold or Silver?

Zerodha Varsity
5 Sept 202506:12

Summary

TLDRIn this video, the speaker compares gold and silver as investment assets. Gold is seen as a stable, safe haven during crises, while silver, though cheaper, is more volatile and driven by industrial demand. Over the long term, gold has slightly outperformed silver in returns. Silver’s industrial uses make it a potential growth asset, but its volatility makes it a riskier investment. The speaker advises a diversified portfolio, with gold as a hedge and silver as a tactical play for short-term opportunities.

Takeaways

  • 💰 Gold is traditionally seen as a safe haven during crises like war, inflation, and market crashes.
  • ⚡ Silver is gaining attention due to its affordability and industrial applications, including electronics and solar panels.
  • 📈 Gold's demand is driven by emotion, security, and tradition, including central bank purchases, investments, and jewelry.
  • 🏭 Silver's demand is largely industrial, with more than 50% used in functional applications, making it react more to innovation than fear.
  • 📊 Long-term returns show gold slightly outperforming silver, with gold averaging 7.5% annually in USD and silver 6.85% from 1995–2024.
  • 🎢 Silver is more volatile than gold and even stocks, due to its smaller market size and sensitivity to supply and demand changes.
  • 🔗 Gold and silver are highly correlated (around 0.7), so holding both does not provide significant portfolio diversification.
  • 🛡 Gold acts as a reliable safe haven during economic crises, whereas silver often lags behind in such situations.
  • 📉 Investors should not rely solely on gold or silver, as neither generates income consistently or beats inflation like equities can.
  • 🎯 A balanced investment strategy includes equity for growth, debt for stability, an emergency fund for liquidity, gold for crises, and silver for short-term opportunities if risk appetite allows.
  • ✨ Silver is trying to become the new gold, especially in industrial usage, but as a long-term investment, gold remains more dependable.

Q & A

  • What is the main question addressed in the video?

    -The video explores whether silver is becoming the new gold or if it is just a shiny distraction in investment terms.

  • What are the main drivers of gold demand?

    -Gold demand is driven by central banks, institutional and retail investors, and consumer purchases of jewelry during weddings and festivals, motivated by emotion, security, and tradition.

  • How is silver demand different from gold?

    -Silver has dual demand: it is both a store of value and an industrial metal, with over 50% of its demand coming from industrial applications such as electronics, solar panels, and medical devices.

  • How do gold and silver react differently to market conditions?

    -Gold reacts primarily to fear and crisis, shining during economic downturns, whereas silver reacts to innovation and industrial growth, benefiting from industrial demand spikes.

  • How do the long-term returns of gold and silver compare?

    -From 1995 to 2024, gold returned an average of 7.5% annually in USD (about 10.5% in INR), while silver returned 6.85% annually in USD (about 9.8% in INR). Gold slightly outperforms silver over the long term.

  • What is said about the short-term performance of silver versus gold?

    -In the last year, gold ETFs returned around 32%, while silver ETFs returned about 18%, showing that short-term performance can differ significantly but may not reflect long-term trends.

  • Why is silver considered more volatile than gold?

    -Silver's market is smaller, so small changes in demand or supply can cause sharp price fluctuations, making it less predictable and more volatile than both gold and stocks.

  • Can investing in both gold and silver provide good portfolio diversification?

    -Not significantly, because gold and silver are highly correlated (around 0.7). When gold rises or falls, silver often moves similarly, limiting diversification benefits.

  • Why is gold considered a safer investment during crises?

    -Gold has lower correlation with the stock market and historically performs well during financial crises, such as in 2008 and 2020, providing a reliable safe haven for investors.

  • How should investors approach silver as part of their portfolio?

    -Silver should be treated as a tactical investment, suitable for short-term opportunities if the investor has the risk appetite and room in their portfolio, while gold remains the primary metal for long-term stability.

  • What is the overall verdict of the video regarding silver as an investment?

    -Silver is industrially important and has potential, but as an investment, it does not yet match gold's stability, reliability, or safe-haven properties. Investors should choose carefully based on risk and purpose rather than hype.

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الوسوم ذات الصلة
Gold InvestingSilver InvestingWealth ManagementPortfolio StrategyFinancial AdviceInvestment TipsPrecious MetalsMarket AnalysisRisk ManagementEconomic TrendsIndustrial DemandSafe Haven
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