GPT 5 — The New AI Era is Coming! Q-Star Project Explained...

AI Master
6 Dec 202318:02

Summary

TLDRThe video discusses the firing and rehiring of Sam Altman as CEO of OpenAI and speculates this was done to pave the way for the release of GPT-5, the next generation language model. It first provides background on Altman's abrupt firing by the OpenAI board on November 21st, 2022 and the backlash this caused among employees who demanded he be reinstated. Altman is known for his ambitious vision for AI and advocacy for using it responsibly. The video argues the board fired Altman over disagreements about the release of an AI system called QAR that can supposedly reason and think independently. It claims QAR will be the foundation of GPT-5, giving it more advanced reasoning abilities. The video cites anonymous leaks hinting QAR represents artificial general intelligence. When the board received a memo from Altman's team about QAR's capabilities, they became scared of rapid commercialization of this powerful but untested tech. However, Microsoft, a major OpenAI investor, intervened to rehire Altman and replace the board, likely because Microsoft wants to profit from GPT-5 and needs Altman's vision to steer OpenAI accordingly. The video predicts GPT-5 will first be beta tested in early 2024 before becoming publicly available later that year. It will be a big leap forward, able to generate human-quality text, code, creative content and more while reasoning and adapting to users. However, the video notes OpenAI's roadmap suggests GPT-5 is still early in development. But it believes based on leaks that GPT-5 is further along than publicly stated. The video concludes GPT-5 is coming soon and will be transformative, but other AI models are also making big advances.

Takeaways

  • Sam Altman was abruptly fired as CEO of OpenAI, then quickly rehired after backlash.
  • OpenAI is allegedly developing GPT-5, the next generation of its language model.
  • GPT-5 may incorporate a new 'QAR' system capable of mathematical reasoning.
  • QAR could allow GPT-5 to truly think and reason like a human.
  • Microsoft aggressively reinstated Altman, suggesting high hopes for GPT-5.
  • Altman hinted AGI has been achieved internally at OpenAI.
  • OpenAI's old board feared rushing an untested AGI system.
  • Microsoft aims to profit from and control OpenAI's AGI development.
  • GPT-5 with QAR could be creative, adaptive, and personalized.
  • GPT-5 may see limited testing in early 2024 and wide release later.

Q & A

  • Why was Altman abruptly fired and then rehired as OpenAI CEO?

    -He was initially fired for rushing the development of an untested AGI system called QAR. After backlash, Microsoft reinstated him to regain control and profit from OpenAI's AGI progress.

  • What is GPT-5 and how could it be different from previous versions?

    -GPT-5 is the next generation language model from OpenAI. It may incorporate QAR to allow true reasoning, creativity, and personalization unlike previous statistical models.

  • What is QAR and why is it significant?

    -QAR is a mathematical reasoning system that could allow AI like GPT to actually think and adapt like humans instead of just predict statistically.

  • Why did Microsoft aggressively reinstate Altman as OpenAI CEO?

    -Microsoft likely wants to profit from and control the development of OpenAI's AGI, especially the potential of GPT-5 with QAR.

  • When could GPT-5 potentially be released?

    -Limited testing may begin in early 2024, with wider release later in 2024 if testing goes well.

  • What risks and concerns does advanced AGI like GPT-5 pose?

    -AGI risks include disruption of critical systems, manipulation of people, and potential to wage war if misused.

  • How did OpenAI's old board differ from Altman?

    -The old board was more cautious about rushing release of untested AGI, while Altman wants fast progress.

  • What alternatives to GPT-5 exist?

    -DeepMind is developing GEMINI, which could allow conversational AI with reasoning before GPT-5 is ready.

  • How is OpenAI gathering data to train GPT-5?

    -OpenAI deployed a web crawler called GPT-bot to scrape publicly available internet data to train the model.

  • Should I wait for GPT-5 or use other AI tools?

    -It's good to keep tabs on GPT-5 progress, but also explore other available AI systems for current needs.

Outlines

Introduction and Background

The video introduces the sponsor Hopspot and provides background on the firing and rehiring of Sam Altman, the CEO of OpenAI. It suggests Altman's firing and rehiring indicates big plans for the release of GPT-5, a next-generation AI system capable of 'turning the world upside down'.

Sponsor Promotion

This paragraph promotes Hopspot's ebook on using GPT-3 commercially. It highlights specific topics covered and actionable tips provided.

Speculation on GPT-5 Capabilities

This paragraph speculates on the capabilities of GPT-5, claiming it will be a big leap forward from GPT-3. It is expected to be skilled at writing, coding, creating content, reasoning, and adapting to new situations. It may also unite standalone AI models into one unified system.

The Mysterious QAR Project

This paragraph introduces Project QAR, a secretive new algorithm focused on math reasoning. It suggests Project QAR's math reasoning abilities could allow GPT-5 to actually think and reason instead of just generating text statistically. This could be a breakthrough toward artificial general intelligence.

Interpretation of Altman's Firing/Rehiring

This paragraph analyzes the sequence of events around Altman's firing and rehiring to suggest Project QAR represents major progress in AI. It speculates a memo on QAR progress scared the board, while Microsoft reinstated Altman to maintain control of OpenAI's direction.

Implications of GPT-5 with QAR

This paragraph explores the implications if GPT-5 incorporates Project QAR for reasoning abilities. It suggests this would allow GPT-5 to tackle complex tasks requiring deep understanding across many areas from generating content to coding algorithms.

Timeline for GPT-5 Release

This final paragraph speculates on OpenAI's timeline for releasing GPT-5, suggesting beta testing beginning in early 2024 and staged public release over 2024 based on testing results. It notes official roadmaps suggest slower progress but believes development may be further along internally.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Artificial General Intelligence (AGI)

AGI refers to AI that can reason and think at the same level as humans. In the video, it is suggested that GPT-5 will have AGI capabilities through the 'qar' algorithm, allowing it to adapt, learn and solve problems like humans. This would be a major breakthrough in AI. Altman seems to hint that AGI has already been achieved internally at OpenAI.

💡qar

Qar is a secretive new algorithm OpenAI is developing. It is rumored to allow AI to actually reason and think for itself instead of just predicting text statistically. This ability could allow GPT-5 to adapt to new situations, have more natural conversations, and tackle complex tasks requiring understanding.

💡GPT-5

GPT-5 is the rumored next version of OpenAI's language model. It is expected to be much more advanced, with possible AGI capabilities from the qar algorithm. GPT-5 may be able to write creatively, code, reason, and have natural conversations.

💡Sam Altman

Sam Altman is the CEO of OpenAI. He was temporarily fired by OpenAI's board, but then rehired days later, apparently thanks to intervention by Microsoft. This drama seems to suggest GPT-5 and the qar algorithm are progressing rapidly behind the scenes.

💡OpenAI

OpenAI is the company developing GPT-5 and the qar algorithm. Altman's temporary firing highlighted tensions around OpenAI's direction and the risks of releasing powerful unchecked AI. Microsoft rehiring Altman suggests they want OpenAI to stay on its ambitious course.

💡Microsoft

Microsoft investing heavily in OpenAI, owning 49% of shares. They wield power over OpenAI's board and direction. Microsoft swiftly rehiring Altman hints the qar algorithm and GPT-5 are strategically important to them.

💡Deep Learning

Deep learning is the key AI technique powering GPT through neural networks. The video explains how multiple neural nets in AlphaGo worked together to master complex game strategies, similarly multiple AI systems in qar may enable reasoning.

💡AGI risks

Powerful AGI has risks like disrupting critical systems, manipulation, or threatening humanity. OpenAI's board may have fired Altman out of caution about reckless AGI development, while Microsoft wants to aggressively develop it regardless.

💡Synthetic content

With advanced AGI, GPT-5 may be able to generate highly realistic synthetic text, images, videos, code and more. This creative potential comes with risks of misinformation and forgeries.

💡Artificial Superintelligence

Beyond AGI, the video hints at ASI or artificial superintelligence exceeding human abilities. This prospect scares OpenAI's board but Microsoft seems to covet its economic and strategic potential regardless of risks.

Highlights

Alman was abruptly fired as CEO of OpenAI, then rehired just 4 days later after employee backlash, signaling big changes ahead.

It's speculated that GPT-5, the next version of OpenAI's language model, will soon be released with groundbreaking new capabilities.

OpenAI refuses to comment on Project QAR, an algorithm that can supposedly solve math problems it's never seen before, suggesting its importance.

QAR may allow GPT-5 to actually think and reason at a basic level rather than just predict text statistically.

With QAR, GPT-5 may be able to adapt its responses to users based on understanding their preferences and learning style.

Some speculate the OpenAI board fired Alman over concerns expressed in a memo about achieving AGI (human-level intelligence) internally.

OpenAI's chief scientist appeared to express regret over the board's actions, hinting at serious concerns.

After firing Alman, Microsoft aggressively reinstated him, suggesting huge financial and strategic interest in GPT-5.

Microsoft may aim to steer OpenAI towards commercialization of its powerful models like GPT-5.

Limited beta testing of GPT-5 could begin in early 2024, followed by expanded access over the next 6-12 months.

Other AI models like DeepMind's Gemini aim to match GPT-5's capabilities through different methods.

Gemini combines a large language model with the ability to understand situational data.

OpenAI appears to be gathering massive datasets to train GPT-5 to generate human-quality content.

Official timelines for GPT-5 seem slow, but leaks suggest rapid progress happening secretly.

It's wise to try other AI tools beyond just waiting for GPT-5's release.

Transcripts

play00:00

this video is brought to you by hopspot

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the recent firing and rehiring of Sam

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Alman is a much bigger deal than you

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think while some people considered a

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misunderstanding I see it as a huge

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power move that transparently says that

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gbt 5 is in the works and that Alman is

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cooking something that could turn the

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world upside down in this video I'm

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going to tell you everything we know

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about gbt 5 and show how Alman is going

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to change the world apparently to begin

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let's quickly recap the story of alman's

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firing and re hiring on November 21st

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Alman a co-founder and the CEO of open

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aai was abruptly fired by the company's

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board of directors this move sent shock

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Wass for the community and sparked a

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fierce debate about the role of

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corporate governance in the development

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of AI who should decide which way to go

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the board's decision to fire Alman was

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met with immediate backlash from open a

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employees who rallied around their

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leader over 95% of the company's

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Workforce signed an open letter

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demanding Altman's reinstatement and

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many threaten to quit if their demands

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were not met Altman is known for his

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ambitious vision for the future of AI

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and his commitment to using AI to

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benefit Humanity he's also strong

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advocate for transparency and

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accountability in the development of AI

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That's why his approach is so different

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from how it usually goes instead of long

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laab testings he just released gbt into

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the wild and allowed millions of people

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to not only do the testing for him but

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also tightly integrate Chad gbt into

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their lives and work in a surprising

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turn off events Just 4 days after

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alman's firing the openai board reversed

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its decision and reinstated him as CEO

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the board cited the overwhelming support

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for Alman from employees is a major

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factor in their decision however news

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articles mentioned Microsoft quite a few

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times as the ones who actually

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reinstated Altman and on top of that the

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whole Al board is now gone and has been

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replaced with alman's people and to me

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that's a clear flag that something big

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is about to happen why would the board

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fire their greatest asset and leader and

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why would Microsoft pull their strengths

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to reinstate Alman the answer is simple

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GPT 5 the old board has expressed their

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dissatisfaction with Altman's way of

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doing things quite a few times the

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initial board was assembled with a

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nonprofit goal but Alman changed the

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course towards commercial but Alman

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changed the course to where his

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commercialization and if we remember the

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recent leaks about the qar qar project

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we clearly see that the old board was

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hesitant to release an untested and

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possibly raw product to the masses this

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qar project is really interesting and I

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believe it's going to become the

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foundation for the gbt 5 so what's the

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deal with gbt 5 it's said to be a big

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step up from the older versions the plan

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is for it to be really good at writing

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stuff coding and even making creative

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content and it should sound a lot like a

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real person wrote it gp5 is also

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supposed to be better at not having

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hallucinations AKA making stuff up and

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giving false information it should also

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become faster and more versatile in its

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capabilities possibly uniting all

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Standalone features such as Dolly and

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code interpreter into one model so it's

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like they're putting all the good stuff

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into one big super smart AI this all

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sounds great but what everyone's missing

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is how it's all going to work that's

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exactly where the qar project comes in

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and by the way open AI now refuses to

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give any comments on it which is

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definitely worth looking into since the

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company's been pretty transparent about

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their findings so what's the qar from

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what we've heard qar is the new

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algorithm that's capable of solving math

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problems it never saw before and did it

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autonomously current generative AI

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models while being good at tasks like

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writing and language translation rely on

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statistical predictions to determine the

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next word leading to variations and

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responses to the same question with math

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there is only one answer no variations I

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will make it clear for you it can think

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by itself and not just copy stuff

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current GPT 4 is really Advanced but

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it's still mostly a glorified copycat

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qar is supposed to actually think and

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possibly even reason does it sound like

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Terminator to you well this is all very

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funny but what makes it all really

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conspicious to me is the fact that the

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reports about this project qar are quite

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inconsistent for example reuter sources

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say that the board of directors has

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received a letter describing qar and its

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possible development The Verge however

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claims that there was no such letter and

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the information ignores the letter but

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talks a lot about the qar itself again

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open AI Now is really secretive about

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qar which means we're onto something

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here now it's time to take a quick pause

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let's assume that qar is really in

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development and is heading towards a

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release what would that mean for chbt

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giving chbt the ability to think and

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reason even at the level of a

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preschooler would mean that gbt 5 will

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be able to adapt to new situations and

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challenges and do it properly it will

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adapt strategies and responses as

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conditions change Chad gbt will be able

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to tackle really complex tasks that

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require deep understanding and nuanced

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reasoning solving the uh above mentioned

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math problems designing intricate

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algorithms and so on qar enhanced chbt

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would become a boundless source of

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creativity generating Reginal and

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Innovative content from poems and

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scripts to musical pieces and code all

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without humans involvement and it won't

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be copy and predictions it will be the

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real deal real thinking on top of that

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qar would enable Chad gbt to tailor its

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interactions to individual users

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understanding their unique preferences

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and learning styles this personalized

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approach will lead to more meaningful

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and engaging conversations if this all

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comes true then the answer to kind of

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robot write a symphony or can a robot

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turn a canvas into beautiful Masterpiece

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will be affirmative right now this may

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seem as far-fetched predictions and

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speculations but I don't think we should

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ignore these obvious signs mark my word

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gbt 5 will use qar as a score but when I

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think the best way to answer this is by

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reading between the lines of this fire

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than higher incident because the way it

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all went down gives us the biggest Clues

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to how close qar really is to paring the

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next generation of Chad gbt let's take a

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step back and examine the sequence of

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events initially Altman's team presented

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a memo to the board of directors

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detailing a significant breakthrough

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this memo seems to have been a turning

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point leading to the board's decision to

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terminate Altman a few days later Big

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Daddy Microsoft comes back swinging and

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reinstates Altman while getting rid of

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the old board the key question here is

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why would Microsoft take such decisive

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action the answer likely lies in the

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content of the memo and the Strategic

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value of the qar project Microsoft's

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aggressive move suggests that qar is not

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just a minor update but a major Leap

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Forward beneath the surface of the

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recent open AI Saga lies a pivotal

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moment Sam alman's letter to the

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company's board of directors this letter

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though shrouded in secrecy holds the key

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to understanding the motivations behind

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Altman's abrupt removal and subsequent

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reinstatement as CEO it is plausible

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that Sam alman's letter to the open AI

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board of directors expressed excitement

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of the development team about the

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groundbreaking progress made on the

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development of qar the enormous

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potential with HS and so on I also think

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that alen probably intended to roll out

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the system as soon as possible and make

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it commercialized which is quite in line

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with his behavior as a Visionary and an

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advocate for commercialization what

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could have made the board get cold feed

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is the possible expressed caution

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Altman's team knows better than anyone

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what this AI can do and if they've

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written their concerns down this could

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have given a wrong impression sounds

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quite believable especially if we

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remember the tweet from one of the

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leakers who said and I quote AGI has

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been achieved internally Alman then

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repeated the sameon Reddit confirming

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the leak so what is Agi AGI stands for

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artificial general intelligence which

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means the type of AI that possesses the

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ability to understand and reason at the

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same level as a human being it is

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capable of learning solving problems and

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adapting to new situations in a way that

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is indistinguishable from Human

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intelligence sound familiar that's

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exactly what qar is a machine capable of

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replicating human intelligence with its

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ability to reason learn and adapt this

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is some serious Blade Runner stuff when

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the board got this letter they probably

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became scared of such a rapid

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commercialization of the new and

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untested Technology the frenzy of AI

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taken over the world has been pretty WI

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WID spread in recent years people fear

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that with the ability to understand

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reason and learn AI could pose a

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significant threat to society

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potentially disrupting critical

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infrastructure manipulating people or

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even Waging War and while Alman was

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given a speech during the Asia specific

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economic Corporation Summit they decided

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to fire him for not being either

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transparent enough or Russian things or

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something like that the speech Itself by

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the way is pretty interesting here's

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what Sam Altman said four times now in

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the history of open AI the most recent

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time was just in the last couple weeks

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I've gotten to be in the room when we

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sort of push the veil of ignorance back

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and the frontier of Discovery forward

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and get into do that is the professional

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honor of a lifetime this is the most

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direct and public admission of the fact

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that AGI is already here that alman's

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team taught computers to think but how

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this is a very interesting bit that I

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just can't ignore let me explain briefly

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how this qar apparently works and then I

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will come back to that firing story so

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how does this AGI work there is no

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official explanation but the best Theory

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comes from nvidia's senior AI scientist

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Jim fan Nvidia by the way is one of the

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main suppliers of all those graphics

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cards that make chbt possible so

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according to gy fan qar is likely using

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a combination of AI models that work

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together to learn plan and Carry Out

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tasks this is similar to How Deep Mind

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Alpha go the AI that beat the world go

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champion in 2016 used multiple neural

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networks go is a notoriously challenging

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game due to its immense complexity and

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vast number of possible moves deep

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mind's Triumph marked a pivotal moment

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in AI history showcasing its ability to

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surpass humans Alpha go learned by

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playing millions of games of go against

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itself Q Plus may use a similar approach

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with one neural network coming up with

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the steps for tasks another neural

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network evaluating those steps and

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giving feedback and a third neural

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network looking at the possible outcomes

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of each step this teamwork allows qar to

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learn and improve very quickly just like

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Alpha go got better at go by playing

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against itself qar gets better at

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carrying out tasks by working with its

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different neural networks okay now back

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to the firing so the board gets scared

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what's the big deal alman's call for

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expected exploration of super

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intelligence raises concerns given the

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longstanding anxieties surrounding ai's

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potential risks and threats to humanity

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while AI was once confined to the realm

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of Science Fiction now it is very much a

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reality I believe that there was

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something much more Sinister in the

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works so Sinister that open ai's Chief

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scientist IIA sser who was working under

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the alt board of directors tweeted I

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deeply regret my partic ipation in the

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board's actions I never intended to harm

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open AI I love everything with built

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together and I will do everything I can

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to reunite the company this tweet even

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left Elon Musk puzzled so he responded

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with yeah something scared alas enough

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to want to fire Sam what was it this

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makes us all wonder what were the

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contents of that letter and what a

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monstrosities growing somewhere in the

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depths of open AI slabs but why rehire

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Altman apparently Microsoft has their

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tentacles deep in the company and after

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investing over $ 13 billion and owning

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49% of shares they can dictate their

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terms so a Visionary Altman rushes to

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Microsoft's office tell us about the

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situation and Microsoft makes a few

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calls that lead to the alt board being

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gone and Altman back on top I don't want

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to be a tinfoil head guy but to me this

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sounds extremely concerning and I see

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two possible scenarios here one

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Microsoft's decision to reinstate Altman

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and replace the open AI board of

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directors can be interpreted as a

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strategic move to regain control of the

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company's Direction it's purely

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financial and Microsoft knows that

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without Alman the company wouldn't be as

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profitable and second the AGI is the

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primary interest for Microsoft for their

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Sinister Reasons by replacing the board

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with people who share Alton's vision and

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can Lobby Microsoft's interest Microsoft

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aims to steer open AI back on course and

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despite us all knowing Microsoft as the

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evil empire both of these scenarios mean

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the same thing GPT 5 is coming soon and

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it's coming in hot when well I think the

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roll out plan looks something like this

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first quarter of 2024 open AI could

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announce the completion of gbt 5

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development and begin limited beta

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testing with select partners and

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researchers this phase would allow for

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extensive evaluation of the model's

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capabilities and potential applications

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second and third quarters of 2024 based

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on the success of the beta testing phase

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open AI could expand GPT 5 access to a

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broader group of testers including paid

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users by this time it would make sense

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to make GPT 4 publicly available for

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free users this plan seems pretty much

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in line with how open AI used to operate

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however there could be slowdowns the

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recent road maps shared by open AI

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suggests that open AI is currently in

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the early stages of GPT 5 development

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focusing on laying the groundwork for

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the model's training while active

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training of GPT 5 has yet to commence

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open AI is actively Gathering The

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crucial component for training data the

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company recently deployed GPT bot a web

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crawler to expand its Corpus by

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collecting publicly accessible

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information from the internet this vast

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drove of data will fuel gbt 5's learning

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process Ena it to develop the ability to

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generate human quality text translate

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language and perform various tasks this

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leaves a lot of confusion the road map

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says one thing but leaked information

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hints at a more Speedy arrival and I'm

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personally inclined to believe that the

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road map is mostly the thing for

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investors but behind the curtains that's

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where the magic happens where open AI is

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already two steps ahead well should you

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wait for gbt 5 of course yes but it's

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important to remember that gbt Chad GPT

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is not the only fish in the sea there

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are other players that are making

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significant advances for example Deep

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Mind is working on Gemini a new AI agent

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that's expected to be more capable than

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Chad gbt Gemini would employ a similar

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strategy of multiple AIS working

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together but with the added power of a

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large language model this combination

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could yield A system that not only

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responds to contextual and situational

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data but also engages in natural

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language conversations and follows

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instructions like Chad gbt it's like GPT

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5 but much earlier and just like and I

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there are many other cool tools and AIS

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that you can try we have made multiple

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videos where we tested them so be sure

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to check them out thanks for watching

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and see you in the next

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one

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