一口气了解韩国经济

小Lin说
4 Aug 202324:04

Summary

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Q & A

  • 韩国经济的快速腾飞有哪些主要推动力量?

    -1、朴正熙的经济导向政策,重视出口与工业发展。2、大企业财阀(韩国企业集团)的兴起和政府支持。3、教育和劳动力。4、美日等外资的输入。

  • 朴正熙执政期间韩国经济增长率达到多少?

    -朴正熙执政期间,韩国经济年均增速达到10%左右,最高一次达到11.5%。

  • 财阀制度对韩国经济发展的正面和负面影响分别是什么?

    -正面:1、政府扶持大企业集团加快韩国经济工业化。2、大企业的竞争力提升韩国整体产业实力。负面:1、扭曲市场经济,压制中小企业的发展。2、与政府高度勾结,导致腐败现象盛行。

  • 20世纪90年代以后,韩国GDP为什么能继续保持较快增长?

    -1、经济基础雄厚,金融危机后较快恢复。2、成功转型至技术和服务业。3、企业如三星、现代汽车等在国际市场具备竞争力。

  • 韩国为什么生育率极低?

    -韩国人将大量精力投入到教育和工作中,压力过大,没有时间和精力生育,且担心子女将来也需要承受巨大压力,所以选择不生育。

  • 三星如何能在韩国站稳脚跟60多年?

    -1、不断创新和转型,抓住各个时代机遇。2、擅长利用政商网络获得政府支持。3、积极与美日资本合作,吸收先进技术。4、强大执行力,战略布局国际市场。

  • 韩国银行体系的主要问题是什么?

    -1、银行违背市场经济规律,政府过度保护和担保导致缺乏竞争力。2、因政府支持,银行过度放贷给不适合的企业。3、导致严重的房地产投机和杠杆过高。

  • 韩国首尔大学有什么重要意义?

    -1、韩国最顶尖的大学,被称为SKY之一。2、大多数韩国学生的教育目标就是进入首尔大学等顶级高校。3、进入三星等顶级企业的主要途径。

  • 韩国的教育热潮有哪些问题?

    -1、学生压力过大,学习时间过长。2、家庭开支的巨大经济负担。3、统一的教育方式压制个性发展。4、教育成果与快乐指数矛盾。

  • 朝鲜战争后南北韩谁经济实力较强?

    -朝鲜战争结束后,由于北韩获得朝鲜半岛大部分的重工业基地和矿产资源,所以一度经济实力明显强于韩国,韩国曾有人偷渡到北韩谋生。

Outlines

00:00

📈 韩国经济的起飞与挑战

这一段介绍了韩国自1960年代以来令人瞩目的经济发展历程。尽管韩国在60年代是世界上最贫穷的国家之一,但在接下来的30年里,其经济以每年10%的速度增长,成为世界第12大经济体。这一飞跃得益于如三星和现代这样的世界知名公司的崛起,以及韩国娱乐产业的全球影响力。然而,这段也指出了韩国经济发展中的一些问题,如财阀系统的统治、政府与企业之间的勾结和腐败问题,以及韩国人民在发展过程中面临的幸福感低下和自杀率高等社会问题。

05:01

🚀 经济策略与朴正熙的影响

第二段深入探讨了韩国如何在朴正熙的领导下,通过明确的经济策略和政府对特定产业的支持实现快速发展。朴正熙通过实行以出口和工业为主导的经济模式,促使韩国经济迅速崛起。同时,这一时期韩国政府与财阀之间的密切合作,为韩国经济的快速发展奠定了基础,但也埋下了日后问题的种子。此外,教育和外资的引入,尤其是美国在越南战争期间对韩国的支持,对韩国的经济发展起到了重要的推动作用。

10:01

🏛 财阀体系的形成与弊端

第三段讨论了韩国财阀体系的形成及其对经济和政治的深远影响。朴正熙政府通过对特定企业和产业的支持,促进了财阀如三星、现代的崛起,这些财阀成为韩国经济发展的重要支柱。然而,随着时间的推移,财阀体系开始显示出其负面影响,包括对政治的过度影响、市场竞争的扭曲和腐败问题的加剧。这段还指出了教育体系的作用,以及外资,特别是美国和日本资本对韩国经济发展的重要贡献。

15:03

📉 经济危机与改革挑战

这一段分析了韩国面临的经济危机,以及为解决这些危机所做出的努力。1997年亚洲金融危机对韩国经济造成了重大打击,迫使韩国政府从IMF获得巨额贷款并实施银行业改革。这段还讨论了韩国银行业的问题,包括其对财阀的依赖以及房地产市场的问题,特别是“全租制”对经济和社会的影响。

20:04

🏫 教育热潮与社会压力

最后一段探讨了韩国社会对教育的极度重视以及其带来的社会压力。高度竞争的教育系统导致学生和家庭承受巨大压力,为了进入顶尖大学和大型企业而不懈努力。这种压力不仅影响了个人的幸福感,也导致了一系列社会问题,如低出生率和高自杀率。这段还指出,尽管韩国经济在表面上看起来依然强劲,但这些社会问题揭示了其发展模式的潜在弱点。

Mindmap

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Transcripts

play00:00

Hi,

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Today we’ll talk about one

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very interesting country

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South Korea

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During 1960, South Korea was

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one of the poorest country in the world

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Their GDP is only one third of North Korea

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However in the next 30 years

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their economy grew

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at a rate of 10% per year

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GDP growth rate soared

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With world-renowned companies

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like Samsung and Hyundai

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The entertainment industry has also taken the world by storm

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It became the 12th largest economy in the world

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But South Korea is also dominated by the Chaebol

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Collusion between government and business is rife with corruption

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There aren't too many presidents who haven't been involved in bribery

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Has the lowest happiness index

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in the developed world

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highest suicide rate

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lowest fertility rate in the world

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How does it develop so fast while at the same time

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the citizens become so unhappy

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What makes South Korea

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an economy that is so strange

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From 1910

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Half of the Korea

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was colonised by Japan

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until the end of WW II in 1945

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Korea was divided into two

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by 38 degrees north latitude

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and formed North Korea and South Korea

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From 1950 to 1953,

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The three-year Korean War broke out

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South Korea's opening hand

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could not have been worse

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being colonised for over 30 years

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and experienced war

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almost all their industrial facility

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were destroyed

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It was the poorest country in the world at that time

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GDP per capita was only $67

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one-thirtieth that of the United States

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They were even poorer than North Korea

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That 38 degree line

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may look even in terms of size

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but North Korea was given

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most of the mineral resources

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and heavy industries

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About 80% of electricity generation

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comes from North Korea

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Meanwhile at the South

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they basically are left with only agriculture

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It's maddening

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So at that time

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some South Korean wanted to sneak into

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North Korea because they were too poor

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A decade before South Korea independent

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they were called as First Republic

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South Korea was under

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dictatorship of first president

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Syngman Rhee

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Do you think this is the time when

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South Korea begins to rise?

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No

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Syngman Rhee’s government didn’t try

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to improve basic infrastructure

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So how did South Korea survive then?

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Most of their foreign reserve

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and 80% of their government’s income

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were from US

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Due to over-dependent

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on overseas capital

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this distorted economic situation

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became a source of

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a phenomenon we mentioned

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few times before

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Crony Capitalism

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Collusion between government and business

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Everything depends on money

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This also fosters many

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companies with government links

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like Samsung and LG

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The first batch of Chaebol in South Korea

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We all know that South Korea's chaebol system

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is at its peak

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but at the time it was still at the early stage

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let’s take it slowly.

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In sum, during Syngman Rhee’s time

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South Korea economy

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was not improved

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The real GDP growth rate per capita

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was only 2%

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In 1961

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There was a general called Park Chung-Hee

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There was a general called Park Chung-Hee

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launched a coup and

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ruled South Korea for 18 years.

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When you hear Warlord

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it sounds like a suppressed economy

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Let me tell you this

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Park Chung-Hee is different

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You must remember

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his name because

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this is an important figure

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for South Korea

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From 1961, during his reign

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South Korea’s economy begin to develop rapidly

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From a country relying on the relief of the United States,

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to

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one of Four Asian Tigers

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This development is known as the Miracle on the Han River

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Park Chung-Hee was the founder of

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Miracle on the Han River

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You might think that

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today’s content is putting

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Park Chung-Hee on a high position

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Afterall this is a dictatorship

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All kinds of suppression, arbitrary exclusion of dissent and so on

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were still a problem

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However today

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we’ll talk on the economy side

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He did lead South Korea

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and made a comeback

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So most South Koreans

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are still thankful to Park Chung-Hee

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The reviews have been pretty positive

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Although Park Chung-Hee

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was not economically savvy

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but his vision was unique

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and has long-term view

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He took the problem at the root

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He knew that with South Korea’s

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precarious situation

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everyone had eyes on him

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The internal political situation is also extremely unstable

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In his words

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you can only live like a beggar

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depending on US

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This certainly won’t do

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To stabilise the politic

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and fight against North Korea

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They need to develop the economy

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Stability in economy

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Independent in economy

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So he really focused on economic development

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and vowed to pull South Korea

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out of poverty

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In January 1962

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Park Chung-Hee proposed

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the first 5-year plan which

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established the overall development direction of South Korea

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and that is export-led

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and industrial-led economy

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Although there were many problems

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while executing this plan

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but their GDP rate

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achieved 8.3%

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Export growth rate reached 29%

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The next 5 year plan

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was even greater

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Average annual GDP growth rate

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reached a staggering 11.5%

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With the gradual accumulation of Korean technology

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at the end of Park Jung-Hee era

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including Chun Doo-Hwan era

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South Korea successfully transitioned to heavy industry

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Like steel, shipbuilding, mechatronics

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they are top exporters in the world

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it is really

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The first 5 year plan proposed by Park Jung-Hee

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Export and industrial led

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were deepened all the way

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Looking at the

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global situation at the time

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especially South Korea’s

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geopolitical position

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their policy in focusing on

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export and industrial is not strange

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This was what Japan was doing

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The point is how do you execute the plan

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fast and accurately

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once you have the target

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Almost every 5 year plan

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has exceeded the goal.

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this is the difficult part

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also the point where I think

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Park Chung-Hee is incredible at

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So how did he do it?

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I conclude that

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He benefited from two pillars and one push

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Let’s look at the first pillar,

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This is actually

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does not conform with

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free competition, survival of the fittest

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as often said in economy

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Park Chun-hee was a warlord after all

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He didn’t practice

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policy support

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or encourage SME

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and hoping one giant will emerge

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in few years’ time

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He set a target

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distribute it to a few specific people and

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specific companies to execute it

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For example if he wanted to develop fertilizer industry

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then he will find the most capable

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and most obedient company

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like Samsung

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He will give full policy support

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and preferential on loan

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Just get on this big project

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and develop fertilizers factories

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so that South Korea can enter

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self-sufficiency state the soonest

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On one hand, Samsung really has strong capability

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on another

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they have the strongest policy support

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so Samsung managed to establish

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largest fertilizer company in the country

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See this precise regulation

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is actually

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highly efficient for

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Park Chung-Hee’s government

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Responsibility is also very clear

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If they want to develop one industry

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just find a company

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or one person in charge

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to manage it well

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So under this model, it foster

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a large batch of mega corporation

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which is the first pillar of

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Park Chung-Hee economy theory

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Chaebol

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This officially opened

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the pandora box of Chaebol system

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What is a Chaebol

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are all big companies Chaebol?

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Not really

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There are many big companies

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Many countries have big companies

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But when we mention Chaebol

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the first country comes to mind is South Korea

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So definition for Chaebol

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is not as simple as just big

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Lin concluded that

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the real chaebols have two major characteristics

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: one is that they are

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One is it’s familial

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So these South Korea Chaebol

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are actually controlled by family members

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at the same time closely linked to government

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A mega corporation

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Doesn’t it

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sound similar to Japan’s

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Zaibatsu

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actually there are some similarity

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but the biggest difference is that

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Zaibatsu’s core

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is a giant bank

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expanding business

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South Korea’s Chaebol they don’t have bank business

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Banking Industry

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had been under Park Chung-Hee’s control

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This is one of the way he could

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control these

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Chaebol

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Actually when he first reign

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one of the thing he did

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was to punish

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Chaebol in Syngman Rhee’s era

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He punished many of them and

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even jailed 51

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of those business tycoons

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One of them included

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head of Samsung Lee Byung-chul

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However after communicating with Lee Byung-Chul

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Park Chung-Hee changed his attitude

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180 degree

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He decided to work with chaebol

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and use them more than ever before

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So each important industry in South Korea

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are slowly being controlled by these Chaebol

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The largest ones are

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Samsung, LG, Hyundai

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Hanjin, Daewoo and etc

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The government has the chaebol in tight grip

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through their banking system

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Government decides whom they should loan money to and

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interest rate is decided by the government

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So these chaebol of course

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would suck up to the government

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because Chaebol needs government support

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to get capital and policy

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Government needs

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Chaebol’s money and influence

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to help them control and

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oppress competitors

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The trading of power and money

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on and off the table became

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more and more common

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collusion between the government and the business

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When you hear the word collusion

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definitely not a very good word

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But for people like Park Chung-Hee and Chun Doo-Hwan

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military dictatorship

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they wanted to develop economy

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through this kind of collusion

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because their target is very clear

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that is to develop economy

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so Chaebol with full government support

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needs to come out with good result

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if not they’ll be removed

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or not getting any support

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someone else will get it instead

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So during that era

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The Chaebol in South Korea

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had been constantly changing

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In 1965

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Top 100 companies

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only left with 22 companies

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after a decade

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Since then, large Korean companies

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have maintained such a turnover rate

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There are some companies that are strong

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and have certain means

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have managed to developed well for the past 30 years

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For example, in South Korea there’s someone

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called Chung Ju-yung

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He has very strong capability, focus on infrastructure

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He helped US military and Korean government on

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some infrastructure projects

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like constructing buildings, bridges and etc

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Park Chung-hee realised that

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he is very efficient

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and always finish ahead of schedule

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So he decided to

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fully support Chung Ju-yung

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and let his company become

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the giant in South Korea infrastructure industry

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This company later became

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Hyundai group

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In 1967,

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Park Chung-hee learnt from

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their neighbour Japan

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to start automobile industry

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so he asked Chung Ju-yung

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bro, do you want to get into automobile industry

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Chung Ju-yung said okay let me try

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So he established Hyundai Motor Corporation

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Due to their outstanding performance

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they’ve been getting full support from government

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becoming top chaebol in South Korea

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This is just an example

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In many of the ever-changing chaebol in South Korea

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Four of them keep growing

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and became top four chaebol in South Korea

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Samsung, Hyundai, LG, SK,

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Take note here

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There are two misconception when we

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talk about chaebol

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One is that you may think that

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chaebol is equal to monopoly

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actually it’s not like that

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Park Chung-hee was aware how monopoly

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could be destructive to an economy

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Although he still fully support certain corporation

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but in overall he still supported competition

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Try not to let an industry be monopolized

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by only one company

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This is why

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these chaebol

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keeps changing

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Another misconception is that chaebol equal to corruption

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Collusion between government and business

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could only means corruption right

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but there’s a difference

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Corruption generally means

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a system in overall is corrupted

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from top to bottom

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whatever you do needs money

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this is corruption

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but it’s not the case with South Korea at the time

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There are some major transaction

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at the top level decision making

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Later of course

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slowly developed into something else

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we’ll talk about this later

play09:24

we’ll talk about this later

play09:24

We were talking about chaebol system

play09:26

and how it is the pillar to South Korea

play09:27

rapid rise

play09:29

Actually

play09:29

there’s another invisible pillar

play09:31

that is education

play09:32

You know that South Korea and Japan

play09:33

as well as China at a later time

play09:34

have all experienced miraculous economy development

play09:36

I believe education

play09:37

is one of the very important driving forces behind it,

play09:39

or can be said

play09:40

one of the most important driving forces.

play09:42

You can see that

play09:43

When the country is underdeveloped

play09:44

when income per capita is very low

play09:46

the quality of the population is very high and

play09:47

and education level is high

play09:48

this means you can find

play09:50

high quality but cheap labour

play09:51

in these countries

play09:53

so they become

play09:55

world factory

play09:56

This is highly related to culture

play09:58

I don’t know if you noticed that

play09:58

compared to other countries in the world

play10:00

East Asian culture focus more on education

play10:02

If you can nurture a college graduate

play10:04

you can be proud

play10:04

If you can be a professor

play10:06

then you’ll be the pride of the family

play10:09

Social status is important

play10:10

doesn’t matter how much you earn

play10:12

We’re getting far

play10:13

It was like this for South Korea at the time

play10:14

After war ended

play10:15

Education level

play10:16

began to increase rapidly.

play10:17

During Park Chung-hee era

play10:18

he established

play10:19

The development strategy of building a nation through education

play10:20

one fifth of government budget

play10:22

goes to education

play10:23

Moreover they are hardworking

play10:25

you can use one tenth of the cost

play10:26

to create 2.5 times production

play10:27

of US workers

play10:28

using South Korean workers

play10:29

It’s impossible if they don’t rise with this

play10:31

We’ve talked about the two pillars

play10:32

The big push is actually foreign capital

play10:35

We mentioned earlier that

play10:37

during Syngman Rhee era

play10:38

they actually

play10:38

rely heavily on US support

play10:40

US is no fool

play10:41

they can’t keep

play10:42

sending money to South Korea

play10:43

during the late Syngman Rhee era

play10:45

we can already see

play10:46

that US was reducing the monetary support to South Korea

play10:48

During Park Chung-hee era

play10:50

he was not happy with South Korea getting money

play10:51

from US

play10:52

the early days, he even restricted

play10:53

foreign capital including those from US and Japan

play10:55

to enter South Korea

play10:56

Then why did I say

play10:57

the push for Miracle on the Han River is foreign capital?

play10:59

This is because

play10:59

there was a very important war

play11:01

Vietnam war

play11:05

Vietnam war

play11:05

From 1955 to 1975

play11:06

a war that lasted over two decades

play11:08

South Korea provided over 300,000 soldiers

play11:10

to support US

play11:11

this can be counted as

play11:11

using power of entire nation to help US

play11:13

so as compensation

play11:14

US government compensate South Korea with

play11:16

large amount of monetary support

play11:18

technical support and order

play11:19

Many infrastructure project in Vietnam

play11:21

was given directly to Hyundai

play11:22

including infrastructure projects in Middle East

play11:24

was handed to South Korea specifically Hyundai

play11:25

under US support

play11:27

This is why

play11:28

Hyundai can rise so rapidly

play11:32

Because Hyundai

play11:33

covered the infrastructure projects in Middle East

play11:34

that they managed to escape

play11:36

the strike of

play11:36

two oil crises on the 80s

play11:38

South Korea, a country that is

play11:39

a pure oil importing country

play11:40

and export-led nation

play11:42

While US and EU was heavily impacted during oil crisis

play11:43

South Korea should be affected as well

play11:45

but in the 80s

play11:46

They maintained

play11:47

10% of GDP growth rate

play11:49

due to one reason

play11:50

that is oil crisis caused

play11:51

Middle East to earn so much money that they invested in building infrastructure

play11:52

the money was earned by South Korea

play11:56

Dubai’s Burj Khalifa

play11:57

Kuala Lumpur’s Twin Tower

play11:59

Taipei 101

play12:00

were all constructed by Samsung Group

play12:01

These are some of the

play12:02

best construction projects in the world

play12:04

can you see how competitive South Korean companies are

play12:06

We were talking about foreign capital from US

play12:08

actually for South Korea

play12:09

another big foreign capital is

play12:10

Japan

play12:11

Although historically

play12:12

South Korea and Japan have been having animosity towards each other

play12:14

but in the face of economy development

play12:15

and of course money

play12:16

they would work together

play12:17

South Korea

play12:18

opened up investment channel for Japan

play12:20

That was during

play12:21

the era of Japan miraculous economic rise

play12:23

The demand was certainly huge

play12:25

Japan was world factory

play12:26

and South Korea was small World factory

play12:28

at the same time was Japan’s factory

play12:29

In sum

play12:30

From 1962 to 1979

play12:31

throughout entire Park Chung-hee’s era

play12:34

South Korea absorbed capital and technology

play12:35

from US and Japan

play12:37

as well as production model

play12:37

It is definitely the most direct booster

play12:39

for its economic development

play12:40

From 1961 to 1987

play12:42

27 years of military dictatorship

play12:44

South Korea GDP per capita

play12:45

grew from

play12:45

less than a quarter of global GDP per capita

play12:47

to double the global GDP per capita

play12:49

It’s no wonder it’s being

play12:50

called as miraculous

play12:53

Due to pressure from many sides

play12:55

to reinstate democratic presidential election

play12:56

the democratic election of the president

play12:57

and enter democracy era

play12:59

At that time, the whole world was promoting

play13:01

liberalisation and encourage competition

play13:02

South Korea followed the trend

play13:04

and welcomed another rapid growth

play13:05

During the first 5 year plan

play13:06

Average GDP was at 10%

play13:07

GDP climbed to the 15th place in the world

play13:10

Sounds amazing right

play13:11

But this time South Korea was already

play13:13

eroded from the bottom

play13:14

bit by bit

play13:15

and spread to every corner of the country

play13:17

This goes back to the chaebol

play13:20

This goes back to the chaebol

play13:20

Chaebol was already rampant since the beginning

play13:22

so why does the erosion begin later?

play13:24

This is a bit different

play13:25

during military dictatorship

play13:27

chaebol cozied up with warlord

play13:28

and warlord gave benefits to chaebol

play13:29

just transaction at the top

play13:30

now that they are entering democratic election

play13:32

everything changes

play13:33

Probably South Korean was traumatised

play13:34

by dictators and colonizers,

play13:36

this time the legislation stated that

play13:37

the President can only sit for 5 years

play13:38

and cannot be re-elected

play13:39

In other word

play13:40

For each President

play13:41

no matter they are good or bad

play13:42

they only get 5 years

play13:43

the seat is not even warm yet and they’ll have to go

play13:44

This can certainly prevent dictator

play13:46

but the President

play13:47

keeps changing

play13:49

the only one that remain unchanged is

play13:50

the Chaebol

play13:53

Before this Chaebol had

play13:54

to care what

play13:55

Park Chung-hee and Chun Doo-hwan think

play13:56

pressured by the warlord

play13:57

Now they’re gone

play13:58

the financial system no longer regulating them

play13:59

the government also changes every 5 years

play14:01

so they won’t form a strong government

play14:02

However chaebol remain unchanged

play14:04

so they can use bribery

play14:05

to manipulate elections

play14:06

If the president

play14:07

got elected on his own merits

play14:08

then he could possibly fight

play14:09

the chaebol

play14:10

If he got elected

play14:12

with the help of chaebol throughout election

play14:13

or that he couldn’t possibly get elected

play14:14

without chaebol

play14:15

then there’s no way

play14:17

he would sanction

play14:18

the chaebol during his presidency

play14:19

Almost every South Korean President

play14:20

were exposed with

play14:21

their family or themselves taking bribe

play14:22

The people called this as

play14:24

curse of Blue House

play14:26

During military dictatorship

play14:28

although chaebol has great influence

play14:29

but corruption wasn’t that bad

play14:30

however during democratic period

play14:32

the chaebol extended their hands

play14:33

to every corner

play14:34

in the government

play14:35

and even inside judiciary department

play14:36

Chaebol’s grip on the entire nation’s

play14:37

economy

play14:38

as well as policy and judiciary system

play14:40

are getting stronger

play14:41

You see before 1985

play14:42

chaebol continued to change

play14:44

but after 1985

play14:45

The Four chaebol

play14:45

hasn’t changed till now

play14:47

ever standing

play14:47

You don’t need to know the details

play14:48

to be able to imagine

play14:49

how much shady business inside there

play14:50

In terms of economy

play14:51

Chaebol’s power grew

play14:53

stronger than ever

play14:54

In 1990, the output value created by 5 chaebol

play14:56

Samsung, LG, SK, Hyundai, Lotte

play14:58

has occupied two third of

play15:00

total national GDP

play15:03

There’s nothing you can do with these corporations

play15:05

Even if you are determined to restructure it

play15:06

you can’t do much

play15:07

because South Korea’s economy

play15:09

relied on them

play15:10

so these chaebols

play15:11

are expanding even more rampantly

play15:12

Using the liberalisation of financial market

play15:15

to increase leverage and borrow as much as possible

play15:16

they even expanded a lot of subsidiaries

play15:20

As South Korea

play15:21

liberalise their market

play15:22

Another problem began

play15:23

to slowly surface

play15:24

and that is their banking system

play15:25

We mentioned many times how important

play15:27

banking system is

play15:28

Actually during military dictatorship

play15:30

Park Chung-hee was quite clever

play15:31

he used the banking system

play15:32

to control these chaebol

play15:33

and control the bank on his own hands

play15:35

and control the lifeline of the economy

play15:37

In long-term this strategy

play15:38

has a huge negative impact

play15:40

The banking system

play15:41

had been protected and guaranteed

play15:43

by the government

play15:44

which reduce their competitiveness

play15:45

causing money to be given to people

play15:47

who shouldn't be getting it

play15:47

Those who really need to borrow money

play15:48

won’t be getting it

play15:49

So what would these people do

play15:51

They developed a very new

play15:52

financial model

play15:53

called Jeonse model

play15:54

This is the cause

play15:55

of South Korea’s real estate crisis

play15:57

happening this year

play15:58

This thing

play15:58

is related to banking system

play16:00

we’ll talk a little bit about it

play16:03

In normal rental

play16:04

tenant pays to landlord monthly

play16:05

say $5000 rental fee

play16:06

but in Jeonse model

play16:08

If the house is valued at $1 million

play16:09

tenant wanted to rent for two years

play16:11

then they’ll have to pay

play16:12

say $600,000

play16:13

as deposit

play16:14

In these two years

play16:15

tenant don’t have to pay rental

play16:16

and two years later when tenant wanted to move

play16:17

landlord will give back all $600,000

play16:19

So what is the relation between

play16:20

Jeonse and bank?

play16:21

If I have a property

play16:23

I can get money from the bank through mortgage

play16:25

but due to bank’s inefficiency

play16:26

they don’t loan money to these people

play16:27

they use Jeonse model

play16:29

to get a mortgage from a tenant

play16:31

this is a rather novel way

play16:33

but the problem is that

play16:34

as a landlord

play16:34

I spent $1 million to buy a house

play16:35

when it’s rented out

play16:36

I’ll get $600,000

play16:38

this will cause

play16:39

Serious real estate speculation

play16:41

Look at South Korea’s debt-to-GDP ratio

play16:43

keeps climbing up

play16:44

even surpass 100% mark

play16:45

What does this 100% means?

play16:46

US, a country that loves to play on leverage

play16:48

during the peak of subprime mortgage crisis

play16:49

the ratio didn’t even reach 100%

play16:50

now it’s at 74%

play16:52

You can see

play16:52

Jeonse model widened the leverage in South Korea

play16:55

What is the nemesis of leverage

play16:56

interest rates hike

play16:58

For the past two years, South Korea suddenly increased interest rates rapidly

play16:59

the leverage couldn’t hold

play17:01

In a year, house prices fell by 30%

play17:03

turnover rate dropped by 70%

play17:04

.Of course

play17:05

Jeonse model is another big topic

play17:07

we won’t get into details today

play17:08

We’ll talk about it in future

play17:12

Alright, the relatively backward

play17:13

banking industry

play17:14

apart from causing Jeonse model problem

play17:16

caused another direct problem

play17:19

In 1997

play17:20

The financial crisis swept Asia

play17:22

Southeast Asian countries collapsed one after another

play17:23

The market thought that

play17:24

a strong economy like South Korea

play17:25

won’t be affected much

play17:27

but it fell hard

play17:28

The capital wanted

play17:29

to try striking on it

play17:31

who knew that these chaebol

play17:32

actually depended heavily on taking loan

play17:33

their subsidiaries are not earning profit

play17:35

They managed to survive through very low

play17:36

bank loan

play17:37

The bank used to be supported by government

play17:39

so they were recklessly loaning out money

play17:40

now that the strike hit home

play17:42

banks and many chaebol

play17:43

faced capital chain crisis

play17:45

This brought

play17:45

the entire South Korean economy under the water

play17:49

South Korea had to borrow from IMF

play17:50

$58 billion

play17:52

This is the largest loan IMF had ever

play17:53

given out at that time

play17:56

Of course

play17:56

after 1998 financial crisis

play17:57

South Korea did reform

play17:59

the banking industry in large scale

play18:00

But the banking industry

play18:01

tends to have

play18:01

butterfly effect

play18:02

So you can only reform it step by step

play18:04

and the step cannot be too big

play18:05

So until now

play18:06

compared to

play18:06

other developed economy

play18:08

South Korea’s banking industry is their weakness

play18:10

On Chaebol side

play18:11

everyone thought

play18:12

the ever standing chaebol wouldn’t fall

play18:13

After financial crisis

play18:14

there are 55 corporations bankrupted

play18:16

One of them includes

play18:16

South Korea’s second largest chaebol Daewoo

play18:18

It was also the largest bankruptcy in

play18:19

South Korea's history at the time.

play18:20

And Samsung Motors, which was just established

play18:22

also completely collapsed.

play18:23

This become Samsung’s

play18:24

most embarrassing

play18:25

failure case

play18:27

South Korea’s GDP

play18:28

fell by 5.1% in 1998

play18:30

Many chaebold had to

play18:31

severe from

play18:32

their subsidiaries

play18:33

Some foreign capitals

play18:33

and companies

play18:35

that were doing well

play18:36

took the opportunity

play18:37

For example

play18:37

Hyundai acquired Kia

play18:39

and monopolise South Korea’s automobile market

play18:42

However South Korea’s economic foundation

play18:44

is strong in overall

play18:44

their capital flow

play18:45

recovered very fast

play18:46

after the financial crisis

play18:48

the overall size of the chaebol

play18:49

did reduced compared to

play18:50

before 1997

play18:51

but their overall position are unshakeable

play18:53

Currently in South Korea stock market

play18:54

In top 50 companies

play18:55

47 of them are chaebol

play18:57

Actually after financial crisis

play18:58

South Korea’s economy development

play18:59

have been quite fast

play19:00

although not as fast as during Miracle on the Han River

play19:01

with double digits growth

play19:02

but they are also successfully transformed to

play19:04

technology and service industry

play19:05

Companies like Samsung, Hyundai, LG

play19:07

not only competitive domestically

play19:08

even in international market

play19:09

they are able to compete

play19:10

The sectors that these chaebol are involved in

play19:12

are actually South Korea’s strength industries

play19:13

like electronics, ship building

play19:15

automobile, chips and etc

play19:16

South Korea GDP per capita

play19:17

grow to $35000

play19:19

catching up with Japan

play19:20

From the data,

play19:21

South Korea’s economic miracle seems to be continuing

play19:26

Behind all these numbers

play19:27

Just like we mentioned earlier

play19:29

Among developed countries, South Korea has

play19:30

the highest suicide rate

play19:31

lowest happiness index

play19:32

and longest working hours

play19:34

Actually these are

play19:35

the consequences of Miracle on the Han River

play19:36

that are slowly emerging

play19:38

One of the cause of these problems

play19:40

is the chaebol’s control

play19:40

on politics and economy

play19:42

that causes class stratification in the economy

play19:44

The powerful chaebol

play19:45

distorted and suppressed market competition

play19:47

From a short-term overall point of view

play19:48

this doesn’t seem to be a big problem

play19:49

the chaebol indeed are developing fast

play19:51

but in long-term

play19:52

many South Korean ordinary workers

play19:54

their choices are limited

play19:56

It’s like all their target

play19:57

are incredibly unanimous

play19:58

Attend good high school

play19:59

get good grades to go good university

play20:00

work hard to get into the top four chaebol

play20:02

and work harder to get into management

play20:03

Regardless it’s from culture

play20:04

or from the entire system

play20:05

South Korean have an excessive

play20:06

pursue towards education

play20:08

There’s a term called Education Fever

play20:10

Education Fever

play20:10

This term is specifically used to describe South Korean’s

play20:12

students’ life

play20:13

is basically filled with examination and tuition

play20:15

Over 95% of the students

play20:16

participate in extra classes

play20:18

in Koreans, it’s called Hagwon

play20:20

For South Korean family

play20:21

one fifth of their expenditure

play20:22

goes to these extra classes

play20:24

Many South Korean high schoolers

play20:25

have to get up at 5 or 6 in the morning to go to school

play20:27

after school ended

play20:27

they have to take self-lesson till 11 or 12 in the night

play20:29

Not only that

play20:29

they have to go to Hagwon

play20:31

and studied until 2 or 3 in the morning

play20:32

Their ultimate target is

play20:33

to get into the top 3 school in South Korea

play20:35

Seoul National University

play20:36

Korea University and Yonsei University

play20:37

In short SKY

play20:39

All students work their ass off

play20:40

just to get into SKY

play20:42

play20:45

Do you think when you get into SKY

play20:47

you can finally relax

play20:49

in your dream

play20:49

You are still walking on tight rope

play20:50

because after you graduate

play20:51

you need to try your hardest to get into

play20:52

the top 4 chaebol

play20:54

Every year Samsung will

play20:55

conduct a test for the graduates

play20:56

About 100,000 people showed up for the test

play20:58

And in these 100,000 people

play20:59

only less than 10% of them will be selected

play21:00

If you can get into Samsung after you graduated

play21:02

your family will be so proud of you

play21:03

After you get into companies like Samsung and Hyundai

play21:05

you still have to

play21:06

work your way through the corporate ladder

play21:07

slowly climbing your way up

play21:09

South Korea has the longest average

play21:10

working hours of any developed country

play21:12

Not only long working hours

play21:13

similar to Japan

play21:14

you have to go socialise after work

play21:16

and they have a drinking culture

play21:17

most of it are semi compulsory

play21:19

This stratified social ladder

play21:20

makes South Korean

play21:21

spend all their life working very hard

play21:22

Whatever you do

play21:23

there’ll be a unified standard

play21:24

everyone fighting to go through the same bridge

play21:26

Although GDP goes up

play21:27

but their people are under a lot of pressure

play21:30

Working hard in education and at work

play21:32

bring a lot of pressure

play21:33

and negative emotion for South Koreans

play21:35

This might not reflect in economy data

play21:37

like GDP, unemployment rate

play21:38

in economic data such as GDP, unemployment rate, and inflation,

play21:39

but its impact is way bigger for modern South Korean

play21:40

especially their younger population

play21:42

I randomly asked a few

play21:43

of my Korean friends

play21:44

all of them felt the same way

play21:46

living in South Korea is too depressive

play21:47

There’s always that one unified standard

play21:49

that restrain you

play21:50

everyone is on a rat race

play21:52

the society is filled with hostility

play21:56

the rat race and low happiness index

play21:57

lead to another

play21:58

serious problem,

play21:59

which is the decline in birth rate.

play22:00

Everyone is so busy at work

play22:02

they don’t have the extra energy

play22:03

to give birth and care for their children

play22:04

Even if they choose to give birth

play22:05

parents will have to worry for their children

play22:07

whether they can enter SKY, enter Samsung

play22:10

Better not give birth at all

play22:11

South Korea’s birth rate is only 0.84

play22:13

Normally birth rate needs to be slightly more than 2

play22:16

to ensure population remain unchanged

play22:17

below 1.5 is considered as

play22:18

low birth rate

play22:20

South Korea’s 0.84 is the lowest in the world

play22:22

You can imagine the pressure behind it

play22:23

Take a look at South Korea’s population structure

play22:25

We're looking at this again

play22:26

the bottom is rapidly decreasing

play22:28

If we compare their birth rate

play22:30

with Japan

play22:30

the shape is familiar right

play22:32

the only difference is the time

play22:34

Look at Japan’s population structure

play22:35

The big part is age 70 - 75

play22:37

This means there was a population boom

play22:39

around 70 to 75 years ago

play22:40

That happened to be after WW II

play22:41

The era where Japan’s economy was rising

play22:42

everyone was giving birth

play22:44

Look at South Korea

play22:45

The big part is age 60s

play22:46

This was during the 1960s

play22:47

during Park Chung-hee’s dictatorship

play22:49

the beginning of Miracle on the Han River

play22:50

Did you notice

play22:51

from population structure

play22:52

you can basically guess

play22:54

a country’s history and economy

play22:56

Looking at South Korea’s population structure

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it looks nice currently

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the middle part is big

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they are all at working age

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creating GDP

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There are very few old people and children

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that need support

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With such population structure

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it’s no wonder they can develop so fast

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In another 20 – 30 years

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when new born number drastically decreasing

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When these young people enter old age

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this is not optimistic

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South Korea is an economic body

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that is rather strange

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A booming economy with high suicide rate

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High technology and innovation but controlled by chaebol

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Among these chaebol

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one that we are most familiar with

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also the one

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we mentioned most today

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Samsung

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It is a

play23:29

very incredible company

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it has been standing since

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South Korea independence

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Presidents, warlords come and go

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but Samsung is still here

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60 years ago they were at the top

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now they still are

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It’s not a big deal for a company to last 60 – 70 years

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but to remain at the top for so long

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it’s really rare

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So now many

play23:44

calls South Korea as Republic of Samsung

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How did they

play23:48

stand at the top, manage the warlords

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How did the three generations of Samsung leaders

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fight for legitimacy

play23:53

How did the Samsung leader got sentenced many times

play23:55

yet released once and once again

play23:56

Stay tuned for next episode

play23:58

The Dark Giant: Samsung