6 Straight Winning Days! My 10 Best NBA Player Prop Bets Today 25th November

Summary

In this in-depth NBA betting analysis, the focus is on player prop bets, with expert insights into key matchups, trends, and statistical analysis. Notable plays include betting on Derrick Lively's rebounds against Atlanta, PJ Washington's performance without Luka Doncic, and Christian Braun's consistent scoring in Aaron Gordon's absence. Additional picks include Jalen Brunson's assist prop against Denver, Keegan Murray's rebound over against OKC, and a lean towards Quinton Grimes for points. The analysis highlights important trends and provides detailed reasoning behind each bet, offering valuable advice for NBA sports bettors.

Takeaways

• 😀 **Derek Lively (Over 7.5 Rebounds)**: Lively is expected to have a strong game against Atlanta, as centers have been excelling with rebounds against the Hawks, who don't attack the paint much.
• 😀 **PJ Washington (Over Points & Rebounds)**: Without Luka Dončić, Washington has been consistently hitting his points and rebounds lines, but his matchup against Atlanta may be tougher due to the defensive presence of Jalen Johnson.
• 😀 **Quentin Grimes (Over 9.5 Points)**: Grimes has seen increased opportunities with Luka out, and Atlanta struggles against spot-up shooters, making him a strong candidate for the over on points.
• 😀 **Christian Braun (Over 13.5 Points)**: Braun has been thriving in Aaron Gordon’s absence, averaging 17.4 points per game in the last 8 games. Despite a tough matchup against the Knicks, Braun should find opportunities to score.
• 😀 **Jalen Brunson (Over 7.5 Assists)**: Brunson has been excelling in his assist numbers and faces a Denver team that allows a high number of assists, particularly in the pick-and-roll, which plays to Brunson's strengths.
• 😀 **Keegan Murray (Over 6.5 Rebounds)**: Murray has been aggressive on the glass and has a favorable matchup against OKC, who allow the most rebounds in the league. His height and rebounding ability should give him an edge.
• 😀 **Blazers vs. Grizzlies**: Injury uncertainties around Jeremy Grant and John Morant make this game difficult to predict. No strong betting picks until closer to game time.
• 😀 **Thunder vs. Kings**: No solid prop bets found for OKC players due to mismatched play styles with Sacramento. However, Keegan Murray's rebound prop stands out as a good option due to OKC's weakness on the boards.
• 😀 **Spot-Up Shooting Vulnerabilities**: Atlanta is ranked last in defending above-the-break shots and struggles against spot-up shooters, making Klay Thompson and Quinton Grimes ideal targets for scoring props.
• 😀 **Rebounding Insights**: Teams like OKC and Atlanta give up a lot of rebounds, and players like Keegan Murray (against OKC) and Derek Lively (against Atlanta) are in prime positions to capitalize on this trend.

Q & A

Why is Derek Lively expected to perform well in terms of rebounds against the Atlanta Hawks?

Derek Lively is expected to perform well in rebounds because centers have been thriving against the Atlanta Hawks' defense. The Hawks don't attack the paint aggressively, which creates opportunities for long rebounds, especially for players like Lively who contest shots at the rim.

What is the significance of Luka Doncic being out for the Mavericks in terms of player performance?

Luka Doncic being out significantly increases the scoring and rebounding opportunities for other players like PJ Washington. Without Luka, Washington has posted strong numbers in scoring and rebounding, making him a good bet, though his matchup against Atlanta may be a challenge.

Why is Quinton Grimes considered a better option than Klay Thompson for a points bet in this matchup?

Quinton Grimes is considered a better option than Klay Thompson because he is getting more minutes with Luka out and has a favorable matchup against Atlanta’s weak defense against spot-up shooters. While Thompson is a prolific shooter, his recent form without Luka has been inconsistent.

How does Christian Braun’s performance trend when Aaron Gordon is absent?

Christian Braun's performance has improved without Aaron Gordon in the lineup, averaging 17.4 points per game in the seven games he has played without Gordon. His consistent scoring, even against tough defenses, makes his points over 13.5 a strong bet.

What makes Jalen Brunson's assist prop appealing for betting?

Jalen Brunson’s assist prop is appealing because he has been hitting the over on assists in recent games (10, 11, 10, and 8 assists). The Denver Nuggets are one of the top teams in allowing assists, and Brunson excels in pick-and-roll situations, creating opportunities for his teammates.

What are the betting trends for Michael Porter Jr. and why is he not recommended for back-to-back bets?

Michael Porter Jr. tends to alternate between strong scoring and strong rebounding performances. After a big scoring game (like his 24-point, 11-rebound performance), he often has a slower game, which makes him a less reliable choice for back-to-back betting.

Why is the Thunder vs. Kings game challenging to bet on, and which player prop stands out?

The Thunder vs. Kings game is challenging to bet on because it's unclear who will dominate offensively for the Kings with key players like De'Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis. However, Keegan Murray stands out for his rebounds, as he’s been consistent in crashing the boards, especially against a smaller OKC lineup.

How does OKC's defensive style influence Keegan Murray's rebounding opportunities?

OKC’s defensive style, which often involves playing five-out offense and allowing a lot of outside shooting, creates opportunities for Keegan Murray to grab uncontested rebounds. His height and aggressiveness on the offensive glass make him a strong candidate for hitting his rebound prop.

What factors make Keegan Murray's 6.5 rebound prop a good bet in the Thunder vs. Kings game?

Keegan Murray's 6.5 rebound prop is a good bet because he’s hitting the over in 11 out of 17 games, averaging eight rebounds per game. The matchup against OKC, who allows the most rebounds in the league, plus Murray’s size advantage, gives him plenty of chances to exceed this line.

Why is it important to monitor injury reports, like Jeremy Grant and Ja Morant, when making betting decisions?

Injury reports, like those for Jeremy Grant and Ja Morant, are crucial because they can drastically change a team's offensive and defensive dynamics. Players like these can influence game flow, minutes played, and overall team performance, which impacts player prop betting outcomes.