My 6 Best Friday NBA Play-In Props and Bets | Today April 18th | Prizepicks NBA

Summary

In this video, the speaker provides a comprehensive analysis of NBA player prop bets, focusing on key picks for the day. The main recommendations include betting on Desmond Bane to score over 19.5 points, based on his recent form and strong historical performance against the Mavericks. The speaker also highlights Tyler Herro (over 22.5 points) and Dyson Daniels (over 11.5 rebounds and assists) as strong bets. Anthony Davis’ line of 37.5 points and rebounds is more difficult but still considered. The video encourages mixing up parlays and offers advice on maximizing payout potential through strategic betting.

Takeaways

• 😀 Desmond Bane is favored to score over 19.5 points due to his strong recent performances, including scoring 30 against Golden State and 38 against Detroit.
• 😀 Dallas Mavericks have a bottom-10 defense overall, making it a favorable matchup for Bane, who has historically performed well against them.
• 😀 Bane has averaged nearly 30 points per game against the Mavericks in past seasons, with significant field goal attempts (around 18 per game).
• 😀 Tyler Herro is another recommended pick, with the bet focusing on him scoring over 22.5 points, backed by his solid offensive contributions.
• 😀 Dyson Daniels is projected to go over 11.5 combined rebounds and assists, focusing on his all-around game rather than just scoring.
• 😀 Anthony Davis’ prop bet is risky, with the line set at 37.5 points and rebounds, but it's still mentioned as a potential high-reward play.
• 😀 A strategy to increase the chances of success involves breaking up multi-leg bets into smaller, individual bets rather than placing all props into one.
• 😀 The Heat are favored to win, with the recommendation to play them on the money line in their upcoming game.
• 😀 The Grizzlies are also expected to win, and bettors can consider adjusting the spread slightly in their favor.
• 😀 The video encourages viewers to join the Discord community for more betting insights and opportunities to access VIP picks.
• 😀 It's advised to avoid placing all bets into a four-man parlay, as this lowers the potential payout and increases the risk of failure.

Q & A

Why is the speaker avoiding betting on Ja Morant for tonight's game?

The speaker is avoiding betting on Ja Morant because there's concern about his ankle potentially affecting his performance, even though Morant could still score a lot. The speaker wants to take a safer bet, which leads to selecting other players like Desmond Bane.

What is the rationale behind betting on Desmond Bane's points over 19.5?

The speaker bets on Desmond Bane to score over 19.5 points because of his strong recent performances, where he has scored 20+ points in most of his last games. Additionally, the Mavericks have a relatively weak defense against shooting guards, making this a favorable matchup for Bane.

How has Desmond Bane performed in recent games?

Desmond Bane has been performing well, scoring 38, 19, 28, 24, and 30 points in his last five games. This includes notable performances against teams like Golden State, Denver, and Minnesota.

What is the significance of Bane's head-to-head performance against the Mavericks?

Bane has a strong head-to-head record against the Mavericks, averaging almost 30 points per game in his last six matchups against them. This includes two games this season where he scored 27 and 19 points. His consistency against the Mavericks makes him a solid bet for tonight's game.

Why is Bane's shot chart important for this bet?

Bane's shot chart is important because it shows that while he struggles from the three-point line, he performs well in the paint, where the Mavericks' defense is weaker. His shooting efficiency in these areas enhances his chances of hitting the 19.5-point mark.

What is the defensive ranking of the Mavericks against Bane's position?

The Mavericks rank in the bottom 10 in terms of points allowed, and specifically, they rank 17th in defending shooting guards. This weaker defense makes it more likely for Bane to score over 19.5 points.

Why does the speaker suggest splitting the bets into two-man parlays?

The speaker suggests splitting the bets into two-man parlays because a four-man parlay provides a higher risk and lower payout. By breaking them up into two-player parlays, the risk is spread out and the potential for more manageable returns increases.

What is the speaker's opinion on Anthony Davis' points and rebounds line?

The speaker expresses caution regarding Anthony Davis' points and rebounds line of 37.5, calling it a tough line. While they still suggest betting on it, the speaker acknowledges the difficulty of hitting this target and warns others to consider it carefully.

How does the speaker feel about the Heat and Grizzlies' chances of winning?

The speaker feels confident about the Heat and Grizzlies winning, with a specific focus on playing the Grizzlies' spread and the Heat's money line. The overall outlook for both teams is positive according to their analysis.

What role does the speaker's Discord server and VIP program play in their strategy?

The speaker encourages viewers to join their Discord server and VIP program for more insights and access to additional betting props. The VIP program provides detailed prop picks, and joining the server offers the opportunity for further engagement and potential winnings.