Living in and coping with world risk society - 42nd St. Gallen Symposium

StGallenSymposium
5 May 201242:37

Summary

TLDRThe transcript presents a thought-provoking lecture by Professor Beck on the concept of 'world risk society,' a state of modernity where society grapples with unprecedented risks and uncertainties. He discusses the challenges of conveying the dangers of nuclear waste to future generations as an example of the broader issue of managing risks that extend beyond national borders and the control of current institutions. Beck emphasizes the ambivalence of global risks, which can lead to both negative and positive outcomes, and the need for a cosmopolitan approach to risk management that transcends national boundaries. He suggests that the current crisis of modernity is not a failure, but rather a consequence of its success, and calls for a paradigm shift in the social sciences to better understand and respond to global risks. The lecture concludes with an exploration of the potential for global risks to serve as a catalyst for new forms of statehood and international cooperation.

Takeaways

  • 🌍 The concept of a 'world risk society' involves global risks that transcend national boundaries, requiring international cooperation to manage.
  • ⚠️ Modern societies are characterized by the production and management of risks that are often self-created, such as those related to nuclear waste or climate change.
  • 🧩 The complexity of contemporary risks means that traditional institutions and nation-states struggle to address issues that affect humanity as a whole.
  • 🕵️‍♂️ The 'cosmopolitan moment' refers to a point in time where global risks or events make people realize the need for collective action across national borders.
  • 📉 The financial crisis and climate change are examples of global risks that have the potential to destabilize the existing order and necessitate a new approach to governance.
  • 🔍 The distinction between risk and catastrophe is important; risk implies the anticipation of potential future disasters, which is a key aspect of modernity.
  • 🚧 The 'irony of risk' suggests that the very success of modern institutions in controlling uncertainties can lead to the creation of new, unanticipated risks.
  • 🌐 Global risks have three features: delocalization, indeterminacy, and non-compensability, which challenge traditional methods of risk management.
  • 🤔 The 'enlightenment function' of global risks refers to their potential to expose the limitations of current societal structures and catalyze the creation of new institutions.
  • 📚 Social sciences need a 'cosmopolitan turn' to better understand and analyze the global dynamics and interdependencies of the modern world.
  • 💡 The idea of 'cosmopolitan nationalism' suggests that national interests can be pursued through cooperation with other nations, reflecting a new form of global politics.

Q & A

  • What was the central problem the US Congress' expert Commission faced regarding American nuclear waste?

    -The central problem was how to design a language or symbolism that could effectively convey warnings about the threats posed by American nuclear waste to future generations, even ten thousand years from now.

  • What was the composition of the expert Commission established by the US Congress?

    -The Commission included a diverse group of experts such as physicists, anthropologists, linguists, NOAA scientists, psychologists, biologists, classical scholars, artists, and theologians.

  • What is the 'irony of risk' that the lecture discusses?

    -The 'irony of risk' refers to the ambivalence of being at risk, which is a way of being and ruling in the world of modernity. It highlights that being at global risk is a human condition at the beginning of the 21st century, despite the widespread feeling of doom.

  • What are the three features that characterize global risks in the context of world risk society?

    -The three features are delocalization (risks not limited to one geographical location), incalculability (consequences are based on hypothetical risks and scientific uncertainty), and non-compensability (once a global catastrophe occurs, it is too late and cannot be compensated for).

  • How does the concept of 'organized irresponsibility' relate to global risks?

    -Organized irresponsibility refers to the lack of a clear agent or entity that can be held responsible for the consequences of global risks. It reflects a systemic issue where no one is accountable for the potential outcomes of large-scale risks.

  • What is the 'cosmopolitan moment' in the context of world risk society?

    -The cosmopolitan moment is a latent revolutionary state in which the normalcy and emergency states overlap, leading to a situation where global risks break down national boundaries and create a shared global space of threat. It is a moment that can inspire conflicting responses and can be a vital step toward constructing new institutions.

  • Why is there a need for a paradigm shift in the social sciences according to the lecture?

    -There is a need for a paradigm shift in the social sciences because the traditional nation-state frame of reference, or methodological nationalism, prevents the social sciences from fully understanding and analyzing the dynamics, ambivalences, opportunities, and ironies of world risk society.

  • What is the role of 'organized irresponsibility' in the context of modern society?

    -Organized irresponsibility refers to a systemic issue where there is no clear responsibility for the consequences of certain actions, particularly in relation to risks and catastrophes. It is a feature of modern society where the complexity and scale of operations can lead to a diffusion of accountability.

  • How does the concept of 'world risk society' challenge traditional economic models?

    -The concept of 'world risk society' challenges traditional economic models by highlighting the limitations of these models in addressing and anticipating large-scale, global risks. It suggests that mainstream economics has often neglected the role of uncertainty and the 'unknown' in decision-making processes.

  • What does the 'cosmopolitan moment' offer in terms of opportunities for society?

    -The 'cosmopolitan moment' offers opportunities for society to reevaluate its priorities and structures, promoting a more inclusive and cooperative approach to global challenges. It can lead to the creation of new institutions and policies that are better equipped to handle transnational risks and uncertainties.

  • How does the 'world risk society' concept relate to the individual's perception of risk in their personal lives?

    -The 'world risk society' concept can be related to the individual's perception of risk in personal lives by highlighting how modernity has increased both the awareness and the complexity of risks. It suggests that individuals may seek out risks in their personal lives as a way to cope with or counterbalance the perceived risks in the broader society.

  • What is the significance of the 'cosmopolitan turn' in the social sciences?

    -The 'cosmopolitan turn' in the social sciences signifies a shift towards a more global and interconnected perspective that moves beyond the limitations of methodological nationalism. It emphasizes the importance of understanding social phenomena within a global context, recognizing the interdependence and complexity of modern society.

Outlines

00:00

🤔 The Challenge of Communicating Long-Term Risks

The first paragraph discusses the complexities of living within and coping with a world that is filled with societal risks. It uses the example of the US Congress establishing a Commission to develop a language or symbolism to warn future generations about the dangers of American nuclear waste. The Commission, comprising a diverse group of experts, faced the challenge of creating a design that could convey a message millennia from now. The paragraph highlights the irony of risk in modern society and the limitations of language when it comes to addressing the long-term consequences of our actions, particularly with the use of advanced technologies.

05:03

🌐 The Emergence of a Risk Society and its Global Implications

The second paragraph delves into the concept of a 'world risk society,' where modern societies are increasingly preoccupied with managing risks they themselves have produced. It contrasts the perception of safety in the West with the reality of manufactured uncertainties and global catastrophes. The paragraph outlines the features of global risks, including delocalization, organized irresponsibility, and non-compensability. It also touches on the shift from a reactive to a proactive approach, emphasizing the need for a paradigm shift in social sciences to address these new challenges.

10:04

🧐 The Paradox of Knowledge and Risk Management

The third paragraph explores the paradox at the heart of risk management, where the attempt to control risk can inadvertently produce new and unknown catastrophes. It discusses the concept of organized irresponsibility and the challenges of dealing with hypothetical risks that are based on scientific uncertainty. The paragraph also reflects on the economic theories of risk and uncertainty, highlighting the importance of acknowledging what we do not know and the need for a new approach to economics that incorporates this uncertainty.

15:07

🌟 The Cosmopolitan Moment and Global Risk Perception

The fourth paragraph introduces the idea of a 'cosmopolitan moment' in world risk society, where the state of normalcy and the state of emergency overlap. It discusses how global risks break down national boundaries and necessitate transnational cooperation to manage threats that are beyond the control of individual nations. The paragraph also suggests that global risks can serve as a catalyst for political action and consensus, both nationally and internationally, and can lead to the destabilization of existing orders and the creation of new institutions.

20:10

🔄 The Need for a Paradigm Shift in Social Sciences

The fifth paragraph calls for a paradigm shift in the social sciences, arguing that the traditional nation-state framework is inadequate for understanding the dynamics of a world risk society. It emphasizes the need for a cosmopolitan turn in the social sciences, which would provide new perspectives on local and national issues within a global context. The paragraph also discusses the potential for a cosmopolitan form of statehood and the importance of transnational cooperation for regaining national sovereignty in a globalized economy.

25:13

🤝 Cosmopolitan Nationalism and the Future of Global Cooperation

The sixth paragraph continues the discussion on cosmopolitanism, suggesting that nationalism must evolve to incorporate cosmopolitan principles for its own benefit. It acknowledges the tension between the descriptive and predictive aspects of the analysis and emphasizes the ambivalence of the current situation. The paragraph also addresses the role of global risks in uniting people across borders and the potential for these risks to serve as a catalyst for political action and change.

30:13

🏛️ The Historical Context of Risk and the Cosmopolitan Moment

The seventh paragraph explores the historical context of risk and the concept of the cosmopolitan moment. It distinguishes between natural catastrophes and those related to modernity, where decisions made by individuals, companies, and governments have far-reaching consequences. The paragraph discusses the anticipation of catastrophes and how this can lead to political action and a sense of global unity, as well as the potential for nationalist and xenophobic reactions to these risks.

35:15

💡 Applying the Concept of World Risk Society in Practice

The eighth paragraph addresses the question of how the concept of world risk society can be applied in practical terms. It suggests that the insurance principle, a significant innovation of modernity, could be extended to the banking and financial systems, making private insurance mandatory for these sectors. The paragraph proposes that such a change could have significant implications for managing risk and uncertainty in these areas.

40:15

🤔 Risk and the Human Condition in Modern Society

The ninth and final paragraph invites further questions from the audience, indicating an open discussion on the topic. It reflects on the human condition in the 21st century, where being at risk is a way of life and global risk is a shared human condition. The paragraph concludes with an acknowledgment of the complexity and ongoing nature of the dialogue on world risk society.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Risk Society

A risk society is a concept that describes a social condition where individuals and institutions are preoccupied with the management and mitigation of risks that are created by modernity itself. In the video, it is discussed as a state of modernity where the production of new risks and uncertainties is a defining feature, and it is closely tied to the challenges that societies face due to advancements in technology and globalization.

💡Cosmopolitan Moment

The cosmopolitan moment refers to a period or situation where global risks and challenges necessitate a transnational response and cooperation, transcending national boundaries. It is mentioned in the context of how societies must come together to address threats such as climate change and economic crises, which are not confined to any single nation.

💡Organized Irresponsibility

Organized irresponsibility is a term used to describe a situation where no single entity or individual can be held accountable for the consequences of certain actions, often due to the complex and distributed nature of modern systems. The video discusses this in relation to global risks, where the causes and consequences are not localized and responsibility is diffuse.

💡Anticipation of Catastrophe

The anticipation of catastrophe is the act of foreseeing and preparing for potential disasters or crises that may occur in the future. It is central to the discussion of risk in the video, as societies are increasingly focused on preventing or mitigating the effects of anticipated global catastrophes such as climate change or economic collapse.

💡Modernity

Modernity is characterized by the video as an era marked by rapid technological and social change, which brings about new forms of risk and uncertainty. It is associated with the development of complex institutions and systems that, while successful in many ways, also produce unintended consequences that challenge traditional methods of risk management.

💡Global Risk

Global risk refers to the potential for widespread and far-reaching negative impacts that can affect societies on a worldwide scale. The video discusses global risks such as climate change and financial crises, emphasizing their transnational nature and the need for a global response.

💡Methodological Nationalism

Methodological nationalism is the tendency in social sciences to approach research with the nation-state as the primary unit of analysis. The video criticizes this approach for its limitations in understanding the dynamics of a world risk society, where issues and solutions often transcend national boundaries.

💡Cosmopolitan Nationalism

Cosmopolitan nationalism is a concept that suggests a blending of national identity with a global perspective, recognizing the need for international cooperation while maintaining national sovereignty. It is presented as a potential path forward in a world where global risks require collective action.

💡Manufactured Uncertainties

Manufactured uncertainties are risks and uncertainties that are created as a byproduct of human activities and decisions, particularly those related to technological and scientific advancements. The video discusses how these uncertainties challenge traditional risk management strategies and necessitate new approaches to governance and policy-making.

💡Transnational Cooperation

Transnational cooperation is the act of different nations working together to address issues that affect multiple countries or the global community as a whole. It is highlighted in the video as a necessary response to global risks, which cannot be effectively managed by individual nations acting alone.

💡Reflexive Modernization

Reflexive modernization is a concept that describes how societies critically reflect on and adjust their institutions and practices in response to the new risks and challenges of modernity. The video uses this concept to discuss the need for societies to adapt and evolve in the face of global risks and manufactured uncertainties.

Highlights

Living in a world risk society means coping with uncertainties and potential catastrophes that are a product of modernity.

The US Congress established an expert Commission to develop a long-term warning system for nuclear waste, highlighting the challenge of communicating with future generations.

The Commission's interdisciplinary approach included experts from various fields, emphasizing the complexity of addressing long-term global risks.

Modern societies are increasingly preoccupied with managing risks they themselves have produced, which may lead to global catastrophes.

The concept of 'world risk society' involves risks that are delocalized, hypothetical, and non-compensable, challenging traditional risk management strategies.

The 'cosmopolitan moment' refers to a situation where global risks break down national boundaries and necessitate international cooperation.

Global risks can act as a catalyst for change, potentially leading to new forms of governance and international collaboration.

The current global situation is ambivalent, with both negative and positive potentials, and it is unclear which direction the future will take.

The 'cosmopolitan moment' can be seen in events like climate change discussions and 9/11, where there is a collective realization of shared global threats.

The concept of 'organized irresponsibility' reflects the lack of accountability in systems that produce global risks.

The need for a paradigm shift in social sciences is emphasized, moving away from methodological nationalism to a more cosmopolitan perspective.

The 'world risk society' theory suggests that the traditional nation-state model is inadequate for addressing modern global challenges.

The idea of 'cosmopolitan nationalism' or 'national cosmopolitanism' is introduced, suggesting a blend of national interests with global cooperation.

The lecture suggests that the insurance principle, a successful invention of modernity, could be adapted to manage financial risks, similar to how it is used in the automotive industry.

The anticipation of catastrophes can induce political action and mobilize people across borders, leading to a more cosmopolitan form of statehood.

The sociological perspective on risk focuses on the structural changes and transformations in society induced by the production of manufactured uncertainties.

The lecture concludes with a call for a cosmopolitan turn in social sciences, emphasizing interconnectedness and the need for new theories to address global challenges.

Transcripts

play00:06

well thank you very much for staying

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here in this darkroom not attending the

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nice Sun outside in my lecture I want to

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ask the question what does living in and

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coping with word with society mean the

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best way to start is with one example a

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couple of years ago the US Congress

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established an expert Commission to

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develop a language or symbolism capable

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of warning against the threats posed by

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American nuclear waste that's ten

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thousand years from now the problem to

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be solved was how must concept and

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symbols be designed in order to convey a

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message to future generations millennia

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from now the Commission included

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physicist anthropologist linguist NOAA

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scientists psychologists biologists

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classical scholars artists theologians

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etc the first question it has to address

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was will the United States even exist

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ten thousand years from now of course

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the u.s. Commission had no trouble

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answering that question

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USA forever however the central problem

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of how to create a model of design to

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start a conversation with the future

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10,000 years from now prove to be

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insoluble the expert looked for models

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in the oldest symbols of humanity they

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studied the construction of Stonehenge

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and the pyramids they examined the

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historical reception of who Mia and the

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Bible but these reached back at most a

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couple of thousand years not ten four

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the anthropologist recommended the

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symbol of the skull and crossbones a

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historian reminded the Commission

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however that the skull and the

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crossbones symbolized Rhys erection for

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the Artemis and the psychologist

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conducted an experiment with

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three-year-olds if the symbol was

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affixed to a bottle they answered sleaze

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coated poison but it was placed on the

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wall they enthusiastically Gerald

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pirates other scholars proposed paving

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the ground around the waste side with

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quranic metal and stone plaque which

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characterized as passing all kind of

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warnings but the linguists were

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innumerous that they would only be

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understood for 2,000 years at most the

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very scientific sophistication of the

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commission showed how the crisis of

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modernity followed from its triumphs we

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are not actually I would say in a crisis

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of modernity we are suffering from the

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consequences of the victory of modernity

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the unwanted and unseen consequences of

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the victory of modernity and here even

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we have one of the indicators even

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language even language fails when faced

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with the task of warning future

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generations against the dangers we have

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introduced into the world by using high

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modern technologies in this lecture I

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want to investigate the irony of risk

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which is ambivalence being at risk is

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the way of being and ruling in the world

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of modernity being at global risk is a

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human condition at the beginning of the

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21st century of word rest society but

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against the grain of the current

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widespread feeling of doom I would like

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to ask what is the wrath of history

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which ought which is also inherent in

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word with society

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the mergers with its realization or more

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tightly formulated is there an

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enlightenment function a cosmopolitan

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moment of word rest society so what are

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the opportunities of climate change and

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the financial crisis and what form do

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they take there is an Australia built

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into foundations of European social

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science thought which has never never

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disappeared perhaps paradoxically this

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Knost area can be overcome with a theory

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of world with society my aim is the non

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nostalgic new critical theory to look at

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the past and the futures of modernity in

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my argument I want to keep the two

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contradictory views within modernity

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self-destructiveness and ability to

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begin a new imbalance with one another I

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would like to demonstrate this Ian's

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three steps drawing on empirical

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research in my Munich Research Center on

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reflexive modernization first old the

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dangers new risk what is new about word

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with society second cosmopolitan moment

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what does this mean third consequences

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is the need for a paradigm shift in the

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social sciences old dangerous new risk

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what is new about word with society

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modern society has become a risk society

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in the sense that it is increasingly

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occupied with debating preventing and

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managing risk that itself has produced

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that may well be many will object but it

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demonstrates why the hysteria and

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politics of fear produced by the mass

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media on the contrary would not someone

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looking at Western society from the

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outside have to acknowledge it the risks

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which get us worked up a luxury risks

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more than any else after all our world

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is a lot safer than that say of the

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war-torn regions in Africa Afghanistan

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or the Middle East a modern society is

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not distinguished precisely by the fact

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that to a large extent they have

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succeeded in bringing under control

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contingencies and uncertainties with

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respect to accidents violence and

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thickness in crisis as - as such

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observations may be they miss the most

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obvious point about risk that is the key

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distinction between risk and catastrophe

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risk does not mean catastrophe risk

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means the anticipation of catastrophe we

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have to distinguish between the future

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future and the present future the future

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future is in principle unknown we are

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always talking about the future but the

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future future is in principle unknown we

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are actually when we talk about the

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future we anticipate the future but all

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kinds of means which we have those might

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be mathematical models or might be some

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kinds of designed and visualizations

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symbolic forms staging mediation and so

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on so it is actually the anticipated

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future the present future which makes us

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acting and thinking and this is an

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important difference it is specially

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important difference at a time and I

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will come to this by the way where we

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anticipate it where we anticipate new

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kinds of catastrophes beyond our means

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of control the old palek paradigmatic

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threat to security has not become

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absolute since the end of the Cold War

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there are still states that compete for

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territory and resources and threaten

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each other military militarily but the

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dangers which are more clearly perceived

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than at the end of the east-west

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conflict are quite different

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a form of right different order they

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often lack clarity identifiable agents a

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whole still intent or military potential

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the danger is not direct intentional and

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definite states which face risks and

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dangers rather than enemies have it

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completely involved in a completely

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different logic they have actually no

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need to see the world in terms of enemy

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images but do need to see the world in

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terms of transnational cooperation in

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order to cope with the risks which they

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cannot control nationally this is what

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theory of word with society maintains

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modern societies are shaped by new kinds

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of risks and manufactured uncertainties

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their foundations are shaking by global

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anticipation of global catastrophes such

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perceptions of global risk are

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characterized by three features first

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delocalization its causes and

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consequences are not limited to one

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geographical location or space then

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principle only present and actually

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there is nobody from the system who is

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responsible for them there's an

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organized irresponsibility in relation

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to those consequences second encounter

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politeness its consequences line

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principle incapable at bottom it's a

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matter of HIPAA hypothetical risks which

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not least are based on science induced

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not knowing and normative dissent so

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actually I think you are talking we are

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discussing this in the session before

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already but this is actually part of of

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the definition of word with society we

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are not only confronted by by risk or

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risk taking but we are confronted by the

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attempts to control risk and thereby

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produce even new and unknown anticipated

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catastrophes for

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which actually our knowledge is

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incomplete or maybe in principle

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incomplete as well and the third feature

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is non compensability non-competitive

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bility the security of dream of first

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modernity based on the mastery of unsafe

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consequences and dangers of decision

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accidents could occur as long as and

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because they were considered compensable

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once a global financial system has

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collapsed once climate change has

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changed irrevocably revocable once

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terrorist group possess weapons of mass

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destruction then it is too late given

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this new quality of flex to humanity the

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logic of compensation breaks down and is

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replaced by the principle of precaution

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by prevention those are events which are

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not allowed to happen we imagine them in

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order that they could not happen and

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therefore actually the mechanism of

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learning which we sulfur actually

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institutionalize in which taking and

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trying to find out about how we can

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manage and cope with those with don't

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work anymore the discovery of in

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culpability of risk is closely connected

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to the discovery of the importance of

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not knowing to risk calculation and it

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is part of another kind of irony that

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surprisingly this discovery of not

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knowing occurred in a scholarly

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discipline which today no longer wants

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to have anything to do with it the

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economics it was Frank Knight then John

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Maynard Keynes who early insisted on the

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distinction between predictable and non

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predictable or capable and non callable

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forms of contingency in a famous article

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Keynes wrote 1900

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37 by uncertain knowledge I quote by

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uncertain knowledge let me explain I do

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not mean merely to distinguish what is

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known from what is merely probable the

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sense in which I'm using the term is

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that in which the price of copper and

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the rate of interest 20 years hence all

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the observance of a new invention are

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uncertain about these matters there's no

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scientific basis which to form any

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capable probability whatsoever we simply

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do not know however Keynes admonition to

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open up the field of economics

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decision-making to the unknown to the

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non know noble of future systemic

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catastrophes hidden the normalised

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practices of risk-taking was neglected

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in the sequent development of mainstream

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economics including mainstream casian

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economics the crucial point however is

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not only the discovery of importance of

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not knowing but that's similar that it

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simultaneously the knowledge control and

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security claim of state and society

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where indeed had to be renewed deepened

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and expanded on the other why the

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expansion of not knowing on the other

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wise or the other on the on the other

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side on the other hand the important

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principle of control and security of

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state businesses and society

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the irony lines and the

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institutionalized security claim to have

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to control something even if one does

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not know whether it really exists but

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why should a science or discipline

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concern itself but what with what it

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does not even know there is certainly a

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conclusive sociological answer to this

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because in the face of the production of

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manufactured uncertainties society is

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more than ever realize and insists on

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security and control

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second what is meant by a cosmopolitan

play15:28

moment word with society is the latent

play15:33

revolutionary society in which the state

play15:35

of normalcy and the state of emergency

play15:39

overlap from this one can explain the

play15:44

historical power of global risk which is

play15:46

neglected by economics and social odd

play15:49

sociology of risk in dealing with

play15:51

catastrophic risks the present of a

play15:54

future state of emergency is being

play15:57

negotiated the anticipation the

play16:00

anticipated state of emergency is no

play16:03

longer national but transnational at the

play16:05

end maybe even cause for political the

play16:08

believe that the risk facing humanity

play16:10

can be averted by political action taken

play16:13

on behalf of endangered humanity becomes

play16:16

an unprecedented resource for consensus

play16:20

legitimation nationally internationally

play16:22

all kind of conflicts in this sense the

play16:27

fundamental principles of modernity

play16:29

including free-market principle the

play16:32

nation-state order itself becomes

play16:34

subject to change two controversies the

play16:38

existence of alternatives and different

play16:44

pictures of possible futures so what is

play16:54

cosmopolitan about the cosmopolitan

play16:57

moment global risks tear down national

play17:01

boundaries and jumbled together the

play17:03

native with a form the distant other is

play17:07

becoming the inclusive other not from

play17:10

mobility but for the perception of

play17:13

catastrophe everyday life is becoming

play17:16

cosmopolitan human beings must find a

play17:18

meaning of life in the exchange with

play17:21

others and no longer in the encounter

play17:23

with like we all are trapped in a shared

play17:27

global space of threat without exit this

play17:30

may inspire highly conflicting responses

play17:34

to which we nationalization xenophobia

play17:38

also be long I actually cannot think of

play17:41

any power inducing and forcing such a

play17:45

global learning process in such a short

play17:47

period of time be careful again not

play17:51

catastrophe does this but the

play17:54

anticipation of catastrophe does it

play17:57

global risk is highly ambivalent

play18:01

paradoxically also a moment of hope of

play18:05

unbelievable opportunities a

play18:07

cosmopolitan moment also some assist on

play18:17

seeing an overreaction to risk mostly

play18:21

this is the case global risk conflicts

play18:25

global risk conflicts to indeed have an

play18:27

Enlightenment function they destabilize

play18:31

the existing order but can also be seen

play18:34

as a vital step toward the construction

play18:36

of new institutions global risk has the

play18:40

power to confuse the mechanism of

play18:42

organized irresponsibility and even to

play18:46

open them up for political action egoism

play18:50

autonomy Otto Poe is a self-isolation

play18:54

in probability of translation these are

play18:57

key terms for describe modern society in

play19:00

sociology and in public discussions and

play19:03

political debates as well

play19:05

the communitive logic of global risk

play19:09

must be understood on precisely the

play19:11

opposite principle word which is the

play19:14

unwanted unintended obligatory medium of

play19:18

communication in a world of recon

play19:20

sizeable difference differences in which

play19:23

everyone is turning on their own axis

play19:26

hence the public perception of risk

play19:29

forces people to communicate who

play19:32

otherwise do not want to have anything

play19:33

to do with one another it imposes

play19:36

obligations and costs on those who

play19:39

resist them even with the law on their

play19:43

side in other words large-scale risk cut

play19:47

through the self-sufficiency of cultures

play19:50

languages

play19:51

religions and systems as much as though

play19:55

the national and international agenda of

play19:58

politics they overturn their priorities

play20:01

and create context for action between

play20:04

tempts parties quarreling nations that

play20:09

know nothing about each other and reject

play20:12

and oppose one another the strategies of

play20:18

action which global risk open up

play20:21

overthrow the order of power which has

play20:24

formed in the neoliberal capital state

play20:27

coalition global risk and power states

play20:30

and civil society movements because

play20:34

there with real new resources of

play20:36

legitimation and options for action for

play20:39

these groups and actors they disempower

play20:43

global capital on the other end because

play20:46

the consequences of economic decisions

play20:49

contribute to the creating of global

play20:52

risks and destabilize markets and even

play20:55

the global market system altogether

play20:58

conversely there is an opportunity to

play21:01

bring about what I would like to call a

play21:03

cosmopolitan form of statehood a state

play21:06

which defines a nation-state which

play21:09

defines it's not only on national terms

play21:11

but on the need to cooperate with others

play21:15

other states other nations in order to

play21:17

solve their own national problems this

play21:22

is not wishful thinking on the contrary

play21:25

is an expression of a cosmopolitan VI

play21:27

politic in an age of global risk a

play21:30

politics of golden handcuffs the

play21:33

creation of a dense network of

play21:35

transnational independency is exactly

play21:38

what is needed in order to regain

play21:40

national sovereignty not least in

play21:43

relation to highly mobile world economy

play21:46

the maxims of nation based realpolitik

play21:50

that national interest must necessarily

play21:53

pursuit by national means must be

play21:57

replaced by the maxims of cosmopolitan

play22:00

way our politic inward with society

play22:04

nationalism is becoming the enemy of the

play22:07

nation

play22:09

third and last consequences the paradigm

play22:14

shift in the social sciences it is

play22:18

evident that the taken-for-granted

play22:20

nation-state frame of reference which I

play22:23

call methodological nationalism prevents

play22:25

the Social Sciences from understanding

play22:28

and analyzing the dynamics and

play22:30

ambivalences opportunities and ironies

play22:33

of word with society methodological

play22:36

nationalism is actually the fundamental

play22:41

feature of the social sciences in their

play22:46

thinking in their organizations in their

play22:51

research method because they have been

play22:53

invented and developed in the 19th

play22:55

century they are pretty much using the

play22:59

nation-state as a unit of research and

play23:02

everything good and bad is actually

play23:04

related to the nation-state it's

play23:06

democracy it's a state itself it's class

play23:08

conflict its family all of them are

play23:11

related to the nation-state and we are

play23:14

living in an interdependent even risk

play23:16

producing world in which this point of

play23:19

view and this methodology is actually

play23:23

blinds us to reality and is a very deep

play23:27

and I think important criticism which

play23:29

has to picked up in order to just open

play23:32

up to the reality we experience in

play23:34

national context sociology and political

play23:38

science are not the only disciplines

play23:40

under pressure

play23:41

economics is - there's a situation

play23:44

vacant the theorist is thought to

play23:47

succeed mr. Keynes in transnational

play23:50

terms the need is now for a clever

play23:53

reflexive regulation philosophy on

play23:56

global scale including new actors like

play23:59

transnational cooperations word bank

play24:02

attack Greenpeace etc but the greatest

play24:06

needs of all is a new theory of mixed

play24:09

economy framed for the global

play24:11

marketplace of today there's a new

play24:13

defiant

play24:14

Asian system was framed for the National

play24:18

post-war economics we aren't we under we

play24:23

under the spell of a sociology and

play24:25

social sciences whose fundamental whose

play24:28

foundations were conceived and developed

play24:31

in the past one hundred and hundred

play24:33

fifty years the first century of social

play24:36

sciences over on the way into the second

play24:38

which has now begun the space of

play24:41

sociological imagination and research

play24:43

has to be opened up and determined in

play24:46

you what we need is a cosmopolitan turn

play24:49

in the social sciences a cosmopolitan

play24:51

sociology clearly distinguished itself

play24:54

from a nationalist one because it

play24:57

doesn't start out from something

play25:00

abstract usually derived from a European

play25:03

historical experience in context like

play25:07

society world system individual etc

play25:12

instead key concepts like transformation

play25:15

like contingency ambivalence

play25:18

interconnectedness or cosmopolitan take

play25:22

center stage along with the

play25:25

methodological questions posed by them

play25:28

cosmopolitan social sciences therefore

play25:30

opens up indispensible new perspectives

play25:33

on seemingly isolated familiar local and

play25:37

national context with this new

play25:40

cosmopolitan vision it follows the

play25:43

methodological path which other

play25:45

disciplines such as contemporary art

play25:47

apology geography ethnology have already

play25:51

taken with enthusiasm at the end coming

play25:55

back to the issue I raised at the

play25:57

beginning of my lecture what is good

play26:00

about something that is bad the

play26:04

nationalistic egotism has to open up in

play26:08

a cosmopolitan direction for its own

play26:10

sake thus there is a cosmopolitan

play26:13

nationalism or a national

play26:15

cosmopolitanism in the making and of

play26:19

course other alternative modalities are

play26:23

possible thank you very much

play26:34

professor thank you so much for that

play26:36

absolutely a fascinating presentation I

play26:42

wonder if I could take the liberty of

play26:44

the first question or two if I heard you

play26:49

correctly I thought there was a slight

play26:51

tension between the descriptive part of

play26:55

your analysis and the predictive part

play26:58

the beginning and the end basically if I

play27:02

heard you correctly in the beginning you

play27:05

saw an ambivalent universe one with an

play27:09

unprecedented level or type of risk but

play27:12

very much in equipoise between negative

play27:15

and positive risk or risk and

play27:17

opportunity toward the end I thought you

play27:20

were moving quite clearly and

play27:22

passionately even toward one side of

play27:27

that balance the idea that global

play27:30

governance would more likely than not

play27:34

win out over the current patterns

play27:37

national nation-state or traditional

play27:39

capital but I'm wondering is have I

play27:43

notice might be you only have 20 minutes

play27:47

to talk so no no no I might that might

play27:51

be a correct impression of of the short

play27:55

lecture I give but I think it's as I

play27:59

said at the beginning we are in a very

play28:01

ambivalent situation on the one hand

play28:03

whisk and I'm talking well I have to say

play28:07

not since 25 years about with society as

play28:12

a stage of modernity in which the

play28:16

institutions we have developed to cope

play28:19

with uncertainty which is created by

play28:21

modernity and not able to produce this

play28:25

uncertainty to produce a certainty

play28:27

because they are so successful they have

play28:30

consequences which go beyond the

play28:32

nation-state which go beyond our

play28:34

imagination of all kinds of things

play28:38

but there's a strong relationship if you

play28:40

if you look at this between global risk

play28:42

or world with society and

play28:44

cosmopolitanism in the twofold sense one

play28:49

sense is that actually it is more effect

play28:54

that in order to cope with global risk

play28:57

we have to include even the excluded

play29:01

other we have to cooperate with people

play29:04

and nations and cultures which we don't

play29:06

know they're actually part of our inner

play29:09

problem at home in private relationship

play29:12

as well as in politics and businesses

play29:15

and so on but this is a factual thing

play29:18

and people really can protest against

play29:20

this they don't like this they even I

play29:23

would even say the way of we

play29:25

nationalization we experience take you

play29:28

up as an example is a reaction to the

play29:30

situation of experience

play29:32

interconnectedness of being forced to

play29:35

some extent to cooperate with people

play29:37

which you maybe not even like we have to

play29:39

maybe not even know like the Germans and

play29:42

the Greeks and some suddenly have those

play29:45

problems of inequality this is a factual

play29:50

thing and this factual thing has very

play29:52

ambivalent consequences I would say

play29:55

there's a to take to take to take German

play29:59

terms there's a Hegel scenario least

play30:04

definite like I said try to say it in

play30:07

which actually the states and I press

play30:10

this position very much the states and

play30:12

and and even the people to some extent

play30:16

realize that they need to cooperate

play30:18

cooperate or or fail if they need to

play30:22

cooperate in order to prevent failing

play30:24

and this is to some extent even

play30:26

experiencing clean experiences in Europe

play30:29

right now but at the same time and maybe

play30:31

even more powerful there is a cosmic

play30:34

scenario which tries to use the

play30:37

emergency which is actually part of the

play30:41

risk experiences to introduce all kind

play30:44

of nationalist politics and xenophobia

play30:47

maybe this is a little bit too dark

play30:49

white picture because those

play30:51

two tendencies I said I am a mixed but I

play30:55

wanted to change everybody is talking

play30:57

only about the negative side I just

play30:59

wanted to show that which is capable of

play31:02

opening up new spaces of attraction what

play31:06

about the Durkheim scenario the dark I'm

play31:08

saying is just on on on ongoing

play31:14

differentiation and integration and a

play31:16

does I don't think it fits to this

play31:18

situation because actually by as I said

play31:22

by just doing more majority being more

play31:25

modern making more functional

play31:27

differentiation having better technology

play31:30

having all kind of communication we are

play31:33

producing a situation in which the

play31:35

institution's we have so far invented

play31:37

don't fit to the situation anymore well

play31:39

let me push you just on that a little

play31:41

bit how different our way from our

play31:44

forebears in this relationship to risk

play31:47

we feel we were unique today must be

play31:51

different from the past but I mean if

play31:54

you were living in in a village in

play31:55

Germany in in the 16th century you could

play31:59

have been overrun by an invading army

play32:01

if you'd been living in a village in

play32:03

France in the 14th century you could

play32:05

have been wiped out by a plague in 219

play32:08

when I when did this start

play32:10

when did the cosmopolitan moment begin

play32:13

there's a famous Philip Larkin poem that

play32:15

says intercourse started in 1963 when

play32:18

did the cosmopolitan moment start well

play32:20

let me first answer your first question

play32:24

which actually is one of the main

play32:29

misunderstandings I would say in

play32:31

relation to which quiz is actually

play32:34

related to decision-making it's not a

play32:37

natural catastrophe at least not as we

play32:39

see it it's it's a matter it's related

play32:42

to modernity it's where individuals and

play32:45

companies and sciences and politics take

play32:48

decisions and their I have to take the

play32:50

consequences of their decision and now

play32:53

we are living in a situation at rest I

play32:55

try to point out that we are

play32:59

anticipating catastrophes which we never

play33:03

experienced in the past

play33:05

we anticipating a breakdown in the

play33:09

economic system we are anticipating a

play33:12

climate change which totally changes our

play33:15

living conditions we are anticipating

play33:17

all this and this is actually changing

play33:21

our institution basically I am not sure

play33:23

what the future is going to be I am Not

play33:26

sure the future future is something

play33:28

which we do not know but this kind of

play33:31

anticipation of catastrophe induces

play33:36

political action and mobilizes people

play33:40

beyond borders and on all kind of

play33:44

differences and this is a cosmopolitan

play33:46

moment the cosmopolitan moment is maybe

play33:49

related to to climate change discussions

play33:53

to 9/11 you know even in 9/11 if you

play33:57

remember even the French and newspaper

play34:00

the mount titled we are all Americans

play34:05

you know even the French paper so I

play34:08

think those are moments where we

play34:10

suddenly realize we are confronted with

play34:12

with potential catastrophes which unite

play34:16

us to some extent or need new kind of

play34:19

actions questions in the audience out

play34:22

there sir could you get them thank you

play34:27

hi I'm Jeremy from Australia I'm

play34:30

interested in whether the cosmopolitan

play34:32

moment could be applied not just to

play34:35

nation-states

play34:36

but also potentially to companies

play34:39

whether having risk isolated in one

play34:42

company is perhaps unrealistic and it

play34:44

might spill out over across entire

play34:47

industries which decides it's possible

play34:50

to make that extrapolation of the

play34:52

framework yeah that's an interesting

play34:56

question I'm not specialised in those

play35:00

issues but I think global companies we

play35:06

actually do understand an advantage

play35:10

situation as looking at their own

play35:14

internal business as a former point of

play35:18

view

play35:19

that they need the globe to understand

play35:21

what is going on internally that they

play35:24

have to react to I don't know 80

play35:26

different cultures and nations and have

play35:29

to somehow produce this kind of of

play35:32

Cosmopolitan moment actually a part of

play35:36

this process and if you again I have to

play35:44

excuse I'm maybe pass innate in in

play35:47

trying to find a positive point of view

play35:51

as well I think they experience that

play35:55

relating and learning to relate to two

play35:59

different cultures and different

play36:01

mixtures is not an obstacle but ism is a

play36:05

very productive force and it is a

play36:08

necessity on the one side and it is a

play36:10

very productive force for all kind of

play36:13

problems you are confronted with there

play36:16

is another question sir

play36:23

hello my name is Martin Sylar from

play36:25

Austria

play36:27

professor Peck is a sociologist maybe

play36:30

you could comment on a phenomenon which

play36:32

I think can be perceived in our society

play36:34

at one hand you know professional life

play36:37

we try to assess risks we try to prevent

play36:41

risks we try to mitigate risks we try to

play36:43

predict risks and so on on the other

play36:47

hand I think in our private lives many

play36:49

people are actually looking for risks

play36:51

look at for instance people like me who

play36:54

are engaging in extreme sports people

play36:56

riding motorcycles people investing in

play36:58

the stock market is this a phenomenon

play37:03

which is maybe related to the fact that

play37:08

we need a certain sense of having risks

play37:12

maybe because life would be too boring

play37:14

without it what is the view of a

play37:18

sociologist in that well I'm not quite

play37:22

sure if I really got the point of your

play37:25

question first of all I think indeed

play37:28

with is the adventure risk is something

play37:35

which is thrilling risk is about the

play37:39

future which can be changed which is

play37:42

dependent on on on our own action or

play37:47

knowledge or or courage I think this is

play37:50

actually what modernity is in principle

play37:53

about taking those kind of risks but as

play37:56

I try to to argue and of course there

play37:58

this is still an attitude in sports in

play38:01

in many ways of well getting the thrill

play38:06

a lot of out of this kind of experiences

play38:09

but in in relation to this source a

play38:13

logical point of view first of all I

play38:15

would say at least well there are many

play38:18

sociologists that I'm talking about by

play38:20

sociology but I would say this it's not

play38:23

only my sociology we are not so much

play38:28

interested in constructing models how

play38:34

industries or manage

play38:36

and can cope with risk I think this is

play38:39

quite often admire those people who are

play38:43

able to do this because my at least I

play38:47

would be I would I would think that if

play38:50

you are a scientist you have to know

play38:52

about the uncertainties of of those

play38:55

models as you don't I cannot you just

play38:57

have to tell everybody those are just

play38:59

mixtures of uncertainties and I don't

play39:01

know how whatever

play39:03

mathematics I put in there it is still

play39:06

manufactured uncertainties but the

play39:09

sociological point of view is mainly to

play39:11

show that in relation to the

play39:13

institutionalized forms of controlling

play39:16

risk I give you the example of of

play39:19

private insurance as one of the main

play39:22

issues in relation to those

play39:24

institutionalized resources or

play39:26

probability calculus we are living in a

play39:30

world where those principles don't

play39:33

function anymore if you if you want a

play39:36

definition of word with society it is a

play39:38

society which acts in in the main issue

play39:41

in the main issues of of modernity be on

play39:45

private insurance take atomic plants as

play39:52

an example they are state insured but

play39:54

they're not very good state entry or

play39:56

either so actually it is beyond all the

play39:59

means of of control which we have so far

play40:02

institutionalized and I think this is a

play40:05

more structural picture which

play40:08

sociologists paint trying to understand

play40:11

the dynamics of legitimation and

play40:15

transformation which is actually induced

play40:18

by those processes in which we have

play40:21

institutionalized forms of calculation

play40:25

of uncertainty which for most of the

play40:30

people evidently don't fit to the

play40:32

problems we are producing I think we

play40:35

have time for one more question or

play40:37

anyone over on this side everyone okay

play40:41

right behind you thank you

play40:44

to the last question just wondering if

play40:48

if there's a way that you could frame

play40:50

the world risk society in terms of ways

play40:54

that we could use it in our lives or in

play40:56

our businesses once we leave this room I

play40:59

didn't understand it

play41:01

do you have any practical advice for the

play41:04

implications of world risk Society for

play41:06

as I said this is actually not the case

play41:08

I'm I'm talking about I would like to

play41:11

give in a practical advice I would say

play41:14

why don't you know one of the basic

play41:17

experiences actually which we see in

play41:19

history in relation to itself produce

play41:22

uncertainty by while modernity is the

play41:25

insurance principle and the insurance

play41:27

principle is actually a huge success

play41:30

huge invention in modernity and I

play41:34

wondering why nobody really talks about

play41:37

introducing attunes into banking system

play41:40

finance system private insurance just

play41:43

not state insurance as we have it now

play41:45

where suddenly the state has to get in

play41:47

but introduce the prints do the same

play41:50

thing as needed for a motorcar if you

play41:54

want to drive a motor car without

play41:56

private insurance you're going to be a

play41:57

criminal

play41:58

if you drive a a banking system and a

play42:02

financial system without private

play42:05

insurance you're going to be a criminal

play42:07

if you change this would be I think one

play42:09

interesting change which really could on

play42:13

the one hand being very small on the

play42:16

other on the other hand have huge

play42:18

implications we could have a long

play42:20

discussion of credit default swaps thank

play42:24

you so much professor beck very

play42:25

illuminating thanks for joining us in

play42:27

San Galan thank

play42:35

you

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Risk SocietyModernityCosmopolitanismGlobal RisksSocietal DynamicsInsurance PrincipleUncertainty ManagementGlobal GovernanceInterconnectednessSocietal ChangeFuture Anticipation
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