The Memecoin Dilemma: Fueling Adoption or Derailing Progress? | Analyst Round Table

0xResearch
20 Mar 202453:12

Summary

TLDR本期节目中,Blockworks研究团队讨论了加密货币领域的最新动态和治理更新。重点讨论了Zerion宣布推出L2解决方案,Starbucks关闭NFT平台Odyssey,以及My Lady财库被清空等事件。此外,还探讨了meme coin的合法性,以及Shuffle这个在线赌博平台的代币经济学。嘉宾分享了对当前市场状况的看法,包括对meme coin交易量和流动性的分析,以及对加密货币市场未来发展的预测。

Takeaways

  • 📈 零和研究(Zerox Research)的团队讨论了当前加密货币市场的一些动态,包括Zerion宣布推出L2解决方案,星巴克关闭NFT平台Odyssey,以及My Lady财库被清空等新闻。
  • 🚀 星巴克的NFT平台Odyssey将在3月底关闭,其NFT将转移到Nifty Gateway平台继续交易,这表明即使是大型企业也可能在NFT领域遇到挑战。
  • 💡 零和研究团队提到,Web3和Web2的合作在消费者端很难实现,成功的互联网或移动应用通常由原生团队构建。
  • 🌐 东南亚的Grab平台现在支持通过Triib的加密货币onramp选项,这为用户提供了更多的加密货币使用场景。
  • 🔄 Polyhedra CL完成了2000万美元的战略融资,估值达到10亿美元,这反映了市场对中间件基础设施的高度评价。
  • 🎉 Ethereum成功实施了444升级,L2交易成本大幅下降,展示了以太坊网络的强大升级能力和生态系统的活力。
  • 🚀 Avo airdrop正在进行中,用户可以领取AO代币,这是对社区成员的一种奖励。
  • 📈 MicroStrategy通过其股票价格上涨和可转换债券的发行,成功筹集了更多资金用于购买比特币,展示了公司对比特币的长期承诺。
  • 🤝 Skip Protocol与dydx合作,通过其订单簿差异仪表板监测和分析主权MEV,这有助于提高交易体验并减少MEV。
  • 🔧 Skip Protocol的Stinky项目旨在为主权链提供强大的原生Oracle,这可能会为去中心化交易所带来更多的交易对和安全性。
  • 🛠️ Skip Protocol的Block SDK被其他区块链采用,用于实现免费交易和MEV回收,这表明开源解决方案在加密货币领域的价值。

Q & A

  • 什么是L2解决方案,以及Zerion宣布的L2解决方案的目的是什么?

    -L2解决方案指的是Layer 2扩容技术,它旨在通过在以太坊主链之外处理交易来提高网络的吞吐量和降低交易费用。Zerion宣布的L2解决方案目的是为了补贴用户的交易费用,尽管目前还不清楚钱包需要L2来做什么,但随着越来越多的项目在L2上推出,这表明L2技术正在变得越来越重要。

  • 星巴克关闭NFT平台Odyssey意味着什么?

    -星巴克关闭NFT平台Odyssey意味着该品牌在尝试将NFT技术与其忠诚度计划结合的实验结束了。尽管在上一个牛市中这是一个相对热门的项目,但由于用户体验不佳和交易量不足,星巴克决定关闭该平台,并将NFT迁移到Nifty Gateway平台继续交易。

  • 什么是Web 3和Web 2合作伙伴关系,以及它们在消费者端的挑战是什么?

    -Web 3和Web 2合作伙伴关系指的是传统互联网服务(Web 2)与基于区块链的去中心化服务(Web 3)之间的合作。在消费者端,这些合作伙伴面临的挑战是如何无缝集成两种不同技术,同时提供更好的用户体验。例如,星巴克的Odyssey平台就是一个尝试,但由于用户体验不佳,最终未能取得成功。

  • 什么是ZK桥接,以及Polyhedra CL的2000万美元战略融资回合意味着什么?

    -ZK桥接是一种使用零知识证明的技术,允许跨不同区块链网络的安全和私密数据传输。Polyhedra CL的2000万美元战略融资回合意味着该项目获得了资金支持,以进一步发展其在区块链基础设施领域的服务,尽管这被认为是一种较高的估值。

  • 444的实施对以太坊网络有什么影响?

    -444的实施是对以太坊网络的一次重要升级,它成功地减少了L2交易的成本,并且在执行过程中几乎没有遇到问题。这表明以太坊网络在进行复杂的实时升级方面具有很高的能力,对于整个生态系统来说是一个积极的信号。

  • Avo空投正在进行中,这对持有者意味着什么?

    -Avo空投正在进行中意味着所有符合条件的Avo代币持有者现在可以领取他们的AO代币。这是一个分发新代币的过程,可能会为持有者带来潜在的价值增长。

  • MicroStrategy的BTC对策略是什么,它如何影响公司的股价和BTC的交易?

    -MicroStrategy的BTC对策略是指该公司通过发行可转换债券来筹集资金,然后用这些资金购买更多的比特币。这种策略使得MicroStrategy能够在股价上涨时增加其比特币持有量,从而在BTC价格下跌时,通过卖出股票获得资金来购买更多比特币。这种做法可能导致MicroStrategy的股价上涨,而BTC价格下跌。

  • 什么是Stinky,它为什么对Sovereign链很重要?

    -Stinky是由Skip团队开发的一种工具,它允许Sovereign链构建自己的、原生的、使用自己的验证器集运行和检索Oracle价格的Oracle系统。这对于提高链的性能和安全性非常重要,因为它可以减少对外部Oracle的依赖,同时提供更快速、更少延迟的价格信息。

  • Block SDK是什么,它如何帮助链分割其区块?

    -Block SDK是一个开源软件开发工具包,它允许链将其区块分割成具有不同排序和执行规则的不同通道。这种分割有助于实现免费交易,通过为特定类型的交易和参与者提供专用的区块空间来补贴,同时也有助于社区重新捕获MEV利润,而不是让它从系统中流失。

  • Shuffle是什么,它如何结合加密货币和在线赌博?

    -Shuffle是一个在线赌博平台,结合了加密货币技术,支持各种赌场风格的游戏,如老虎机、扑克、二十一点等,以及体育博彩。用户可以使用加密货币存款和下注,平台提供流动性并支持多种链,使得全球用户都能轻松参与在线赌博活动。

Outlines

00:00

🎙️ 播客节目开头与免责声明

本段介绍了播客节目《zerox research》的开场白,提到了节目内容仅代表个人观点,不代表任何相关组织的观点。同时强调,节目中的任何内容不应被视为金融、技术、税务或其他类型的建议。

05:00

📢 最新新闻与治理更新

本段讨论了加密货币领域的最新新闻和治理更新,包括Zerion宣布推出L2解决方案,星巴克关闭其NFT平台Odyssey,以及对这些新闻事件的个人看法和分析。

10:01

🚀 项目进展与市场动态

本段讨论了My Lady项目的NFT被盗事件,东南亚Uber(Grab)支持加密货币支付,以及Nosis支付卡的推出。同时,还提到了Polyhedra CL获得2000万美元战略资金,以及以太坊实施4444升级的情况。

15:04

🌐 L2技术发展与市场影响

本段探讨了L2技术的发展,特别是Celestia和Igan达可能即将上线,以及这对L2市场可能产生的影响。讨论了L2技术的进步如何可能改变市场格局,以及对L2未来发展的期待。

20:06

💡 创新项目介绍与合作伙伴关系

本段介绍了与dydx合作的Skip协议,以及Skip的创始人Mag参与讨论。讨论了Skip在dydx生态系统中的应用,特别是其为主权链提供的Oracle工具——Stinky,以及Block SDK的采用情况。

25:09

🎲 区块链游戏与流动性挖矿

本段讨论了区块链游戏Shuffle的LBP结束和流动性配对情况,以及其市场表现。分析了Shuffle的代币经济模型,包括代币分配、流动性挖矿和收入分配策略。

30:10

💸 区块链赌博协议的市场前景

本段探讨了区块链赌博协议的市场前景,包括对Shuffle项目的分析,以及对赌博协议在牛市中的表现和潜在风险的讨论。

35:10

📈 模因币的合法性与市场趋势

本段讨论了模因币(Meme Coin)的合法性,以及它们在传统金融和加密货币市场中的地位。分析了模因币交易量的增长,以及名人和社交媒体对模因币市场的影响。

40:12

🚨 模因币市场的泡沫与风险

本段讨论了模因币市场的泡沫现象,特别是关于Soul这类模因币的预销售和流动性挖矿。分析了市场的过热迹象,以及这种趋势对加密货币市场可能带来的影响。

45:13

🎉 节目结束与未来展望

本段作为节目的结束语,对参与讨论的嘉宾表示感谢,并预告了下一周的节目内容。同时,对模因币市场的未来发展进行了展望。

Mindmap

Keywords

💡流动性挖矿

流动性挖矿是一种去中心化金融(DeFi)策略,用户通过在去中心化交易所(DEX)提供流动性来赚取收益。在视频中,提到了Shuffle这个赌博应用通过流动性挖矿来激励用户参与,用户可以将自己的代币存入流动性池中,以获得交易费用分成和其他潜在奖励。

💡治理代币

治理代币是用于去中心化组织或项目中的投票和治理的加密货币。持有治理代币的用户可以参与决策过程,对提案进行投票,影响项目的方向。在视频中,提到了Ethery发行了治理代币,这允许其持有者参与到Ethery平台的治理中。

💡Layer 2

Layer 2是指建立在基础区块链(如以太坊)之上的协议或技术,旨在提高交易速度和降低成本。在视频中,提到了多个项目正在开发或已经推出了Layer 2解决方案,以应对区块链的可扩展性问题。

💡NFT

NFT即非同质化代币,是一种代表独特资产或内容的区块链上的所有权证书。NFT可以是艺术品、收藏品、游戏道具等,每个NFT都是独一无二的。视频中提到了Starbucks的NFT平台Odyssey将关闭,并将NFT迁移到Nifty Gateway平台。

💡交易费用

交易费用是指在区块链上执行交易时所需支付的成本,通常以加密货币的形式支付。在DeFi项目中,交易费用是平台收益的重要组成部分,也是流动性提供者获得回报的来源之一。

💡空投

空投是指加密项目方将代币免费分发给钱包地址的行为,通常作为市场推广或激励措施。空投可以让更广泛的用户群体参与到项目中来,同时也是一种增加代币流动性的方式。

💡去中心化金融

去中心化金融(DeFi)是指构建在区块链技术上的金融服务生态系统,它不依赖传统金融机构,而是通过智能合约实现金融服务的去中心化。DeFi提供了借贷、交易、保险等多种金融功能。

💡市场认可度

市场认可度指的是市场对某一产品、服务或概念的接受程度和认可情况。在加密货币领域,市场认可度通常体现在价格、交易量和社区活跃度等方面。

💡预挖矿

预挖矿是指在加密货币或代币公开发行前,由项目方或早期参与者进行的挖矿活动,通常用于筹集资金或奖励早期贡献者。预挖矿可能会影响代币的初始分配和市场流通情况。

💡风险管理

风险管理是指识别、评估和优先处理风险,以减少、监控和控制未来事件的不确定性和影响。在加密货币市场中,风险管理尤为重要,因为市场波动性大,风险高。

Highlights

30% APY被看到只有18%的回报率

Zerion宣布推出L2,尽管对其作为钱包的需求不太清楚

星巴克关闭NFT平台Odyssey,将其转移到Nifty Gateway

My Lady财库被清空110个NFTs,导致地板价下降20%

东南亚的Grab允许通过Triaa进行加密货币上坡选项

Polyhedra CL完成了2000万美元的战略融资,估值达到10亿美元

444的实施成功,以太坊的L2交易费用大幅下降

Avo空投正在进行中,用户可以认领AO代币

MicroStrategy通过股权价格上涨和可转换债券发行增加了比特币购买

Skip协议的创始人讨论了与dydx的合作和订单簿差异仪表板的有效性

Stinky项目被提出,旨在为主权链提供更强大和灵活的原生Oracle

Block SDK发布后,有两条链采用,主要用于实现免费交易和MEV回收

Ethery因其流动性质押策略和治理代币的推出而受到关注

Swell宣布推出流动性质押和流动性质押代币,以及基于Polygon ZK-EVM的L2策略

Shuffle完成了LBP并推出了赌博应用,支持多种赌场游戏和体育博彩

meme coin的合法性正在被传统金融界和投资者认可和合理化

Bonk和Trump被框架为持续预测市场,Pepe被称为文化现货资产

Bonk团队和Bonk机器人通过交易费用产生实际收入

meme coin的合法性可能成为热点,也可能成为风险点

Bonk在短短三天内从零增长到20亿美元的市值

过去48小时内,通过各种预售向随机Twitter账户发送了1亿美元

meme coin活动在未来的周期中可能会比现在更大

Transcripts

play00:00

it's offering like 30% apy and you're

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seeing like 18% of that return or 18%

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apy is sitting in ether fi

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tokens we got to restart this this I got

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to put this cat

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outside meowing up a

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[Laughter]

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storm the cat thinks the valuation is

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too high

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yeah before we get into today's episode

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just a quick disclaimer the views

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expressed on this podcast by either

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myself or any guests are their personal

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views and do not represent the views of

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any Associated organization nothing in

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this episode should be construed or

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relied upon as Financial technical tax

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legal or other advice all right let's

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jump into the episode what's up everyone

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welcome back to another episode of zerox

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research the blockworks research team is

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back to bring you another episode of an

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analyst round table today is Monday

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March 18th and today we are joined by

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Ryan a new face of the block research

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team and ZX pibbles um Ren how about I

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kick it over to you to discuss some of

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the latest news and governance updates

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definitely thank you Sam so for the

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first news and governance update it's

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zerion I don't know how to pronounce the

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name zerion announc announces an L2 uh

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I'm not really sure what a wallet needs

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an L2 for but apparently they're going

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to subsidize users transactions I also

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don't think zaren is like a that wide to

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use as a wallet but it seems like

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everyone's launching in L2 so I guess

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it'll be interesting to see a wallet um

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sort of launch in L2 to sort of new jerk

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reaction is that a wallet does kind of

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have like the distribution in crypto

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because everyone interacts with crypto

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through a wallet so you know if like

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metam Mas launched an L2 I think it

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would actually be pretty powerful and

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you can think of I guess a coinbase

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wallet they launch your 02 base so this

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might be a fun experiment but yeah we'll

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see um another news governance update is

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that Starbucks shuttering or is

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shuttering their nftd Odyssey platform

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it's going to close the last day of

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March I think it was one of the

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relatively hype deals that occurred in

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the last bull market I know there was a

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lot of like talk behind the scenes about

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like how much was really spent on that

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deal and I do think it was quite a high

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sum but yeah um NF customers could earn

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through the AY program and then they

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could earn stamps I know this was a

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crowd favorite for Sam um but yeah these

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n ofs are now going to be transferred to

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the NFD platform Nifty Gateway where

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they can continue to be bought and sold

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I think it's a bit disappointing that

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they're shutting this down I feel like

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it was a fun experiment but I feel like

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we're going to see a lot more of these

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like Customer Loyalty fan engagement

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type of like nft programs in the coming

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yours any thoughts on those two news

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updates I feel kind of attacked here I

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know pibbles is a sucker for Starbucks

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LTE as well so I'm I'm definitely going

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to call you out there two pibbles but uh

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yeah kind of disappointed in this one

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obviously there just like wasn't very

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good traction to be honest the ux was

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like super clunky like the last thing I

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want to do is log into my website

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browser check out my wallet on polygon

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and like trade these little stamp nfts

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so I I definitely understand why they're

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shutting it down it there like wasn't

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product Market fit there like the most

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you got was like a free coffee and that

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that took like a ton of stamps that you

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had to collect I'm pretty sure I paid

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like $1,000 dollar for one of these

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stamps too that are probably worth

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nothing now but nevertheless sad to see

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it but uh at least they gave it the old

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College try I guess the Odyssey was a

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lot of work too like it was like watch

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this 2hour documentary on the origin of

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our beans and then take a quiz about it

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to get a stamp and like you have to get

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a ton of stamps to get the slightest

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reward so um I I quit after the first

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week yeah as did

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I uh I I admit that I didn't use used

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the product I like logged in once I

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picked I think I became like a tiger or

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something and then I immediately logged

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off um I think the takeaway for me

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though is that um these like Web Two web

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3 Partnerships are really hard to pull

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off especially on the consumer side like

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I think about like gamei and Defi and

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the reason that they worked to any

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degree I think is that they were built

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by crypto native teams and if you look

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at like early internet or early mobile

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apps the really successful ones were all

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like the native teams like early

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internet Amazon eBay Yahoo PayPal right

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like Banks could have easily entered

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payments but they didn't uh a net new

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startup had to like enter that

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Marketplace and same thing on mobile

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like Instagram WhatsApp like Spotify

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right like apple was Miles Ahead of

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Spotify in terms of like music

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distribution and streaming and they

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still lost out uh they were beaten by um

play04:55

like a mobile native startup and um and

play05:00

and Starbucks just wasn't native enough

play05:01

I

play05:03

think I do think that there's an

play05:05

opportunity to try this again but maybe

play05:08

a few months down the road with like a

play05:10

much better user experience I'm sure we

play05:12

gave people like a free pumpkin spice

play05:14

latte and then they can create like a

play05:16

wallet to like ZK login instead of like

play05:18

creating their own wallet with like a

play05:20

12w seed face like that'll probably be a

play05:22

much better user experience and make it

play05:24

like like like a Robin Hood Type

play05:25

interface you know like you like swipe

play05:28

to like sell your nft you don't need to

play05:30

like approve transactions and whatnot um

play05:33

but yeah I guess good luck Starbucks a

play05:35

few other news and governance updates um

play05:38

the My Lady treasury was drained of 110

play05:40

nfts as a result the floor price I think

play05:43

is 20% lower than where it was before it

play05:45

was drained a grab which is sort of like

play05:48

uber of Southeast Asia allows for crypto

play05:50

onramp options now via triaa you can use

play05:53

BTC e x SGD uscc and your C and I think

play05:58

that's like a pretty nice uh uh a pretty

play06:01

nice option for a lot of people because

play06:02

a lot of the time just the offramp

play06:04

process is quite a pain in the ass to be

play06:07

honest so just sending it to a product

play06:09

or service that you use commonly and

play06:10

being able to pay for that in crypto is

play06:12

a pretty big unlock and another thing

play06:14

that occurs along that front is I think

play06:17

the nosis pay cards are starting to go

play06:19

out and so far I've heard like

play06:21

relatively okay things about them I know

play06:23

some people have mentioned like they're

play06:25

getting like really really big slippage

play06:27

when they're transferring or swapping

play06:28

from like another

play06:30

sort of stable coin that's in another

play06:32

currency but it'll probably take some

play06:34

time before those really take off

play06:36

polyhedra CL a 20 million strategic

play06:39

funding round at $1 billion so this

play06:41

feels like another like really high

play06:44

valuation for sort of like middleware

play06:47

infrastructure and I wouldn't be

play06:48

surprised just looking at the state of

play06:50

the market and where the worm air drop

play06:53

is probably going to launch at um but

play06:55

yeah any thoughts on those three bullet

play06:57

points I got a question on Paul hedra

play07:00

what even are they building exactly it's

play07:03

like been too long I'm almost afraid to

play07:05

ask at this

play07:06

point so P just main product if I'm not

play07:10

wrong is uh ZK bridge and the ZK Bridge

play07:14

basically operates across multiple

play07:16

networks and it's not just like one VM

play07:18

it's across like evm chains um and also

play07:22

Bitcoin so for example I think they're

play07:25

going to leverage igen layer to sort of

play07:29

build build out interoperability between

play07:32

Bitcoin and ethereum if I'm not wrong

play07:35

but yeah it's like ZK bridging think of

play07:38

it as

play07:39

like Wormhole is interested in like a ZK

play07:42

sort of like end game so I think

play07:43

probably he just like trying to work

play07:45

towards that right now I guess but yeah

play07:48

ZK bridging is the tldr but all right

play07:50

moving on to some last news and

play07:53

governance updates 444 was finally

play07:56

implemented congratulations eum with a

play07:58

pretty minim hiccups outside of a slight

play08:01

uptick in Miss slots and vorks and I

play08:04

think the cost of L2 transactions has

play08:05

dropped at least in order of magnitude

play08:07

across all rollups which is pretty

play08:09

pretty damn good you know uh I feel like

play08:11

it's always very very impressive when

play08:13

ethereum pulls off these like live

play08:15

upgrades considering ethereum's this

play08:17

massive Network it's a complicated

play08:19

system and you're just upgrading it on

play08:20

the flight it's like really really

play08:22

impressive another news in governance

play08:24

update is that the Avo airdrop is

play08:26

underway so if you have go and claim

play08:28

your AO token

play08:30

and lastly the BTC micro strategy pair

play08:33

trade Michael strategy has absolutely

play08:35

ran it up turbo in the last few weeks um

play08:38

so micro strategy is up while BTC was

play08:41

down likely due to traders long BTC and

play08:44

shorting micro strategy as Market

play08:46

participants expected the premium

play08:48

applied to micro strategy would dissolve

play08:51

post ETF approval but that just has not

play08:54

happened as Michael sailor announced his

play08:56

private offering after private offering

play08:58

it kind of feels like a infinite money

play09:00

glitch I know it's not an infinite money

play09:02

glitch but it kind of feels like an

play09:03

infinite money glitch any comments on

play09:07

those yeah I had sailor on the the cool

play09:10

Throne last week it's just pretty wild

play09:11

that he's able to run up the equity

play09:13

price and then do more you know

play09:15

convertiable notes and essentially

play09:16

leverage that high Equity value in order

play09:18

to basically Finance more Bitcoin

play09:20

purchases so good on him over there in

play09:23

terms of 4844 my main takeaway is if

play09:26

you're not experimenting at the VM level

play09:28

as a rollup then you need to start if

play09:31

you're not like the arbitrum or optimism

play09:33

of the world because obviously they've

play09:34

established some T of some type of uh

play09:37

Network effect in community but if you

play09:40

just look at Raw performance like we're

play09:41

still seeing fees at the L2 level grind

play09:44

higher just because of the constraints

play09:46

of the evm at the execution layer and

play09:48

not necessarily the L1 settlement costs

play09:51

of these l2s so very excited to see

play09:54

things like manad uh Eclipse there's all

play09:57

sorts of other uh projects kind of

play09:59

experimenting a little bit in the VM

play10:01

space at the L2 level so excited to

play10:03

watch this play out over this cycle I

play10:05

think they'll be big

play10:09

Winners yeah following on that it feels

play10:12

like we've hit a point with celesa and

play10:14

Igan da probably coming online sometime

play10:18

later this year where perhaps da isn't

play10:20

constrained for l2s anymore it's

play10:22

execution so it'll be interesting to see

play10:25

how L2 sort of like tackle that as

play10:29

especially considering that most l2s

play10:30

have like a centralized sequencer today

play10:33

and it'll be interesting to see if they

play10:34

sort of like boost up the execution

play10:38

component of the

play10:39

L2 but all right uh we're going to move

play10:42

on to our dydx segment this week and

play10:45

this week we have skip protocol all

play10:47

right guys welcome to this week's dydx

play10:50

segment this week we have mag co-founder

play10:52

of skip thank you so much for coming on

play10:54

mag thanks friend appreciate it all

play10:57

right so getting straight to it skip

play10:59

received the ground from dydx to Monitor

play11:01

and analyze Sovereign me within the dydx

play11:04

ecosystem could you talk a little bit

play11:06

more about the partnership and the

play11:08

efficacy of the order book discrepancy

play11:09

dashboard that you guys have

play11:11

built yeah sure uh so I think a large

play11:14

part of it was just realizing like what

play11:15

is meev on an order book right this was

play11:17

a question that I don't think anyone had

play11:19

really explored prior to us looking at

play11:22

it with dydx research and I think what

play11:24

we discovered was you know when you have

play11:27

a chain with multiple different

play11:28

validators the difference in how those

play11:30

validators order their orders or how

play11:32

they process them is actually very

play11:34

indicative of how much me is being

play11:36

extracted so this concept of order book

play11:38

discrepancy actually serves as a very

play11:40

good proxy for figuring out what me is

play11:44

and the dashboard you know has been live

play11:46

for a while and I think one really cool

play11:47

thing that we've noticed is validators

play11:49

have come to us asking us how to reduce

play11:52

their amount of order book discrepancy

play11:54

which one decreases meev but then two

play11:57

just makes for a better trading

play11:58

experience and it's come to the you know

play12:00

there have been a couple cases where

play12:02

people exceeded the you know socially

play12:04

allowed amount of order book discrepancy

play12:06

and those folks have taken extra

play12:08

measures to make sure they've reduced it

play12:09

so at a minimum it served as a great way

play12:11

of like making these metrics more

play12:14

transparent and for folks to realize how

play12:15

they're doing along these

play12:17

lines okay that's super interesting I

play12:20

wouldn't have guessed um that badad

play12:22

would come to you asking how to reduce

play12:23

their discrepancy but that that kind of

play12:25

makes sense whether that's like

play12:26

malicious or not malicious another super

play12:29

exciting thing that you guys are working

play12:30

on is stinky which you guys announced

play12:33

earlier this year could you walk us

play12:35

through what that is and why it's so

play12:38

important yeah so we're big Believers in

play12:42

building tooling that allows for

play12:44

Sovereign chains more powerful and

play12:47

Slinky is exactly that right so

play12:49

basically what Slinky allows you to do

play12:51

is to uh build your own restak native

play12:55

Oracle that uses your own validator set

play12:58

to run and retrieve your own Oracle

play13:00

prices um it's also heavily geared

play13:03

towards performance and so it can

play13:05

deliver you know upwards of a thousand

play13:08

uh currency pairs on a per on a per

play13:10

block basis with very little latency and

play13:13

so in many ways it was almost custom

play13:15

designed for DDX uh it was built with

play13:18

their needs in mind and you know we're

play13:20

we're actively working with the DX team

play13:22

to explore you know whether it's a

play13:23

viable option to actually run the Oracle

play13:25

on

play13:26

bdx um but at a minimum what it should

play13:29

allow for is tons and tons of new

play13:31

permissionless markets in a much more uh

play13:35

in a much more uh verifiable and Safe

play13:38

Way and so that's one thing that we're

play13:40

really excited to work on with the idx

play13:41

is how do we get the idx from you know

play13:43

75 markets to over

play13:46

10,000 yeah that's super exciting I

play13:48

think permissionless listings are a

play13:50

great thing and I think reducing the

play13:52

sort of like trust assumptions that you

play13:54

need to have for example like most

play13:56

prexes they need to have like another

play13:57

set of trust assumptions with the oracle

play13:59

and so just bringing that inhouse and

play14:00

trusting the same batt data set seems

play14:02

like a very natural thing to do I think

play14:05

one last question I wanted to ask is

play14:07

what's the update on the Block SDK you

play14:09

guys released that a while back and I

play14:11

was super interested in the entire

play14:13

concept of it and it seems like etherum

play14:15

like slowly trying to move in that

play14:16

direction and so I want to ask has

play14:19

anyone adopted it and how are

play14:20

applications using it right

play14:22

now yeah uh so the block CK was a little

play14:26

bit of a departure from our normal way

play14:28

of Building Product uh it's a fully

play14:30

open- Source SDK that allows for chains

play14:34

to you know split up their block into

play14:36

different lanes that have different

play14:37

ordering and execution rules um we've

play14:41

seen two chains adopted uh so osmosis

play14:44

and neutron are both you know uh

play14:45

shipping with the block SDK in their

play14:47

most recent releas or their next release

play14:50

and the main use case we've seen for it

play14:52

right now is enabling for enabling free

play14:54

transactions so basically uh having a

play14:57

dedicated amount of block space that is

play15:01

given to uh types of transactions and

play15:03

types of actors that should be sub that

play15:05

this the network wants to subsidize

play15:07

right we've also seen a lot of use for

play15:09

the meev lane so the concept of you know

play15:12

Sovereign me or recapturing me profit

play15:15

for your community instead of letting it

play15:17

leak out of the system has been very

play15:19

popular and the way that that's

play15:21

implemented in the block SDK is via top

play15:23

block auction so those two things have

play15:26

been very uh popular I think the Hub is

play15:29

right like right around the corner from

play15:30

launching with the block SDK to have an

play15:32

EIP 1559 fee Market um which should you

play15:36

know reduce some of their congestion

play15:37

issues and especially in periods of high

play15:39

load makes it a lot harder to Doss the

play15:43

network gotcha that's super exciting to

play15:45

hear unfortunately that's all we have

play15:47

time for today but thank you so much for

play15:49

coming on mag and now moving on to our

play15:51

hot seed C drone segment moving on to

play15:54

this week's hot seat Kone segment uh

play15:56

zerox pivos I'm going to throw it over

play15:58

to you this week

play15:59

first yeah I'm going to start with a

play16:01

cool Throne it's ethery which is liquid

play16:05

reaking so I just wrote a report uh

play16:08

probably about a month ago on um liquid

play16:11

staking for ethereum and how it's a cash

play16:13

flow machine and today was a good

play16:16

morning to wake up and see The Ether

play16:19

fire a drop they just raised like 35 mil

play16:23

a few weeks ago in their second round

play16:25

and then they launched this ether fi

play16:27

governance token

play16:29

uh at like a four Bill valuation I think

play16:32

it's like around 400 mil circulating

play16:34

market cap um but ether fry has just

play16:37

been like a really great product to use

play16:39

over the past year for staking ethereum

play16:43

um particularly because you get IG layer

play16:46

points as well as ether points which

play16:48

have now converted to a token they also

play16:51

launched a new um it's a new strategy I

play16:54

think it's called liquid and it auto

play16:56

deploys your Stak eth in ether

play16:59

into like various defi strategies I

play17:02

think I saw a tweet that was like

play17:04

ether's launch price today is like a

play17:07

20,000x return for for seed investors

play17:11

which is pretty insane um they also

play17:13

launched a new like defi strategy today

play17:16

so you can take your staked eth and

play17:18

ethery and it will go into a vault and

play17:21

it auto deploys into various defi

play17:23

strategies like on Pendle um it's paying

play17:26

30% apy where 18% of that is is more

play17:29

ethery tokens and then 12% of that is

play17:32

like actual native eth and you continue

play17:34

to earn more ethery and Ian layer points

play17:37

so it it's kind of like a nice suite for

play17:40

like people who want ethereum exposure

play17:42

but don't want to have to actively

play17:44

manage what they're actually doing with

play17:46

that yeah I feel

play17:49

like that felt very fast I felt like I

play17:52

would have expected a lot of these like

play17:53

LRT protocols to sort of push out or

play17:57

like prolong the tokens as fast as

play17:59

possible but I mean like if you're just

play18:01

looking at all of the valuations that a

play18:03

lot of these air drops are launching at

play18:05

and I feel like considering the amount

play18:07

of tvl in their protocol they're

play18:09

probably thinking that you're not going

play18:11

to get much more like marginal tvl even

play18:14

with like additional incentives or

play18:16

additional points or whatever so you

play18:17

might as well just launch the points now

play18:19

and be sort of like the first LRT

play18:21

protocol with a live token and everyone

play18:24

will look at that and then they'll

play18:25

probably go okay this is the only LT

play18:28

with a token I'm going to ape it because

play18:29

this I need like my LRT protocol like

play18:31

exposure and so yeah I think overall

play18:34

it's a good move it's interesting to see

play18:35

them launch that sort of like automated

play18:38

yield strategy uh I think over the past

play18:40

year we've seen protocols such as like

play18:41

Somer do quite well with sort of like

play18:44

yield Vault and yield management so

play18:46

it'll be interesting to see how much

play18:49

people ape into the yield strategies and

play18:52

I think it makes sense considering that

play18:53

you're depositing e into all of these

play18:55

protocols and I can layer for yield

play18:57

anyway that's kind of the whole premise

play18:58

that you're providing security and in

play19:00

return you get like some tokens which

play19:02

you can think of as yield and so they

play19:04

might as well like manage that e or the

play19:07

e e for you and sort of try to generate

play19:10

additional yield on top of it I'll be

play19:13

really interested to see once I can ler

play19:16

launches how these LRT protocols

play19:18

differentiate themselves will they have

play19:20

like a different basket of abss will

play19:22

they ultimately all have the same basket

play19:24

of abss since there's probably like a

play19:27

soci like good basket version of ABS is

play19:30

like it'll probably be obvious to most

play19:32

people like which ones are like BS and

play19:33

which ones are good so it'll be

play19:35

interesting to see those Dynamics play

play19:36

out and whether it'll be like a winner

play19:38

take all Market or there'll be for

play19:39

example like 10 LT protocols one year

play19:42

from

play19:44

now I just pulled up the Lio chart just

play19:47

kind of like looking at the market cap

play19:48

at two and a half billion versus ether

play19:50

F's 4 billion pibbles would you say this

play19:52

is like under or overvalued if you had

play19:54

to put a put a rating on it ethery

play19:58

probably

play20:00

overvalued it it just depends like like

play20:03

Ren said with like the AVS strategy so

play20:06

like obviously this like liquid strategy

play20:08

Vault they just launched it kind of lays

play20:11

like the preliminary architecture for a

play20:13

managed ABS Vault where you just deposit

play20:16

your eth to be restak and then they kind

play20:18

of like Auto pick depending on like your

play20:21

risk Tolerance on like what ABS is you

play20:23

want to help direct your eth to

play20:26

secure on a similar note for um liquid

play20:30

reaking I'll talk a little bit about one

play20:32

of my hot seed Cru drones then um swell

play20:35

which is another liquid reaking protocol

play20:37

they have around 840 million in tvl um

play20:42

and they both have a liquid staking

play20:43

token and a liquid reaking token so

play20:45

between those two in total they have

play20:47

around one billion in tvl uh rather than

play20:50

launching a token theyve decided to

play20:52

launch a restake rollup um so like

play20:55

everyone else is rollup season and I

play20:57

think this just keeps on happening as

play20:59

much as our friend and analyst Dan Smith

play21:02

is so sick of l2s launching again and

play21:04

again um but yeah the spe R has a few

play21:07

benefits which I I think this part is

play21:08

like relatively interesting for what

play21:09

it's worth um since it's a restake roll

play21:12

up and they I guess will be able to

play21:15

provide like several I'm not sure if ABS

play21:17

is is the right term here but several

play21:19

like features within their vake devel up

play21:21

so for example decentralized sequencing

play21:24

decentralized verification and using

play21:26

sort of IG layer for a fast finality

play21:29

there I think it'll be interesting to

play21:30

see what that looks like I feel like all

play21:34

three of these are a little bit of like

play21:36

buzz wordss that we haven't seen go live

play21:38

into production yet um although I know n

play21:40

has like a fast finality later but yeah

play21:43

I mean if you just think about it from

play21:44

like a logical perspective if blast was

play21:47

the L2 that's built for like native

play21:49

taking yield then the obvious evolution

play21:51

of that was that there was going to be

play21:52

an L2 built with Native reaking yield I

play21:55

think it's really obvious that that

play21:57

would have happened sooner later I

play21:59

wouldn't be too surprised to see blast

play22:00

like eventually incorporate ltis of some

play22:03

sort um down the road once it's sort of

play22:07

like a bit more established but yeah I

play22:09

think SW has mentioned that they're

play22:12

going to have all of like the familiar

play22:13

D5 Primitives but they're probably also

play22:14

going to have primatives built on Native

play22:16

staking and reaking yield and the native

play22:19

gas token of their chain will be rwe

play22:22

which is their liquid raking token not

play22:25

their liquid staking token and I feel

play22:28

like that that was an a relatively

play22:30

interesting choice to be honest cuz

play22:33

their liquid staking token has a TV of

play22:35

840 million versus their liquid reaking

play22:38

token of that has a TV of roughly 150

play22:42

million so it could be a bid to sort of

play22:45

increase the TV of the liquid sing token

play22:47

increase the adoption and sort of its

play22:50

utility around its own defi Eco system

play22:53

but I'll be really interested to see

play22:54

what type of dabs launch there to be

play22:57

honest I'm struggling Beyond like the

play23:00

normal like you know dexes money markets

play23:03

maybe like a per Dex with liquid resing

play23:06

token as collateral uh but yeah let's

play23:09

just see how this experiment plays out

play23:10

and um it's going to use ion da and it's

play23:12

going to be built using the polygon ZK

play23:16

evm yeah I can't wait to farm the swell

play23:19

swap air drop and swell end it's going

play23:21

be good stuff um it it's cool to see

play23:25

them launch this L2 strategy along with

play23:28

every else and I know like ether fight

play23:30

also put an L2 in their road map uh I

play23:33

think it's pretty safe to say blockworks

play23:35

research is going to have its own L2 uh

play23:38

by the end of the year just for

play23:42

fun I think going completely off topic

play23:45

here but another thing that you're

play23:47

seeing or you're starting to see is l2s

play23:51

not just on ethereum like on salana too

play23:54

and I feel like just L2 season is going

play23:56

to get CER and CER like everyone on even

play23:59

if it doesn't make sense it's just going

play24:00

to launch an L2 I think by the end of

play24:02

the year mer probably can to get brain

play24:04

damage of some form if he already

play24:06

doesn't have any damage from all of the

play24:07

l2s that of launched but for example

play24:10

Zeta markets is launching his own L2 on

play24:13

salana grass is launching its own L2 on

play24:16

salana I think you can make an argument

play24:18

for like those two like kind of make

play24:20

sense um but you know on the other hand

play24:24

you've also seen people sort of take the

play24:26

svm and build out their own kind of L1

play24:29

so for example like piff piff has their

play24:31

own network built using the svm so it's

play24:33

interesting to see that choice between

play24:36

l2s and L1 and I don't think we have a

play24:40

lot of salana l2s today if any at all so

play24:43

it'll be interesting to see what that

play24:45

user experience looks like compared to

play24:47

sort of like ethereum

play24:50

l2s yeah I think the biggest question

play24:52

here is do they actually work um like if

play24:56

if you're seeing like tons of

play24:57

transaction is getting dropped on salana

play25:00

and every block right now what happens

play25:01

when you're an L2 on salana and you're

play25:04

trying to like just function as a chain

play25:08

yeah I I got to go back and like study

play25:10

up on this but I feel like I've like

play25:12

seen Anatoli say multiple times like I

play25:14

don't know why you would build an L2 on

play25:16

Sala like you you don't like you

play25:18

wouldn't get any benefits per se but

play25:21

yeah I I don't have enough knowledge on

play25:24

why you would need to build a salana L2

play25:26

to actually have like an intelligent

play25:27

take here to be be

play25:29

honest I think the reason stated for at

play25:33

least the grass L2 is that the amount of

play25:38

data or transactions they will need to

play25:40

process in order to support the entire

play25:42

like decentralized AI like information

play25:46

gathering stack is just orders of

play25:49

magnitudes larger than whatever like

play25:51

salana is able to support today and so

play25:54

that's the reason they need an L2 cuz I

play25:56

mean like sure sana's like put is pretty

play25:59

good today if off the top of my head

play26:02

just trying to think of like the TPS

play26:04

non-vote tps's it's probably around like

play26:07

I want to say 800 to a th000 and I can

play26:10

definitely see like there's some crazy

play26:12

use cases out there which require a much

play26:13

higher DPS than that um but yeah that

play26:17

sort of set of protocols or applications

play26:19

that really need that level of like

play26:21

performance and through is probably very

play26:23

very limited and I know there's like a

play26:26

number that's thrown out there in terms

play26:27

of sana's like da capacity um and I know

play26:32

that number is wrong but I think the

play26:33

number that was thr around was like 150

play26:36

uh mb per second but I know that

play26:38

specifically refers to like something

play26:39

else so realistically it's probably a

play26:41

lot lower than that um but yeah like da

play26:44

probably definitely is not the

play26:46

constraint for salana l2s it's probably

play26:49

going to be execution

play26:52

too roping this back into swell too like

play26:56

what is the difference between ether and

play26:59

swell are they more or less competing

play27:00

within the same vertical would you guys

play27:03

say yeah I think they're like basically

play27:05

the same um the only difference right

play27:07

now is like ethery already uses obal to

play27:11

implement like DVT I'm not sure if swell

play27:14

has something like

play27:15

that gotcha well I can take it over with

play27:18

my cool Throne this week I've got

play27:20

Shuffle uh it just concluded its LBP it

play27:23

launched with about $10 million of

play27:25

liquidity paired with usdc on ethereum

play27:27

mainnet Shuffle is a gambling

play27:29

application that supports like Casino

play27:31

like games like slots and crabs

play27:34

Blackjack Etc as well as a sports book

play27:37

for things like college basketball NFL

play27:40

NBA Etc all the sports you'd expect to

play27:42

see on a traditional book it launched at

play27:45

a $35 million market cap or roughly $600

play27:48

million fdv apparently a jump tagged

play27:51

address uh participated in the LBP and

play27:53

deposited 1 million into there so

play27:55

they're basically running in my eyes the

play27:58

dydx Playbook kind of like a low float

play28:00

high fdv in order to keep the value of

play28:02

incentives really high and keep volume

play28:04

coming back uh and trading for more to

play28:06

get those incentives and I view that as

play28:08

kind of attractive in relation to other

play28:11

gamble five projects that we've seen in

play28:13

the past it's either been yes they have

play28:15

a token to use for incentivization but

play28:17

they kind of have that cold start

play28:18

problem and can't really get the volume

play28:21

uh and the the incentives value

play28:22

therefore suffer and then with roll bit

play28:25

we saw them obviously explode around six

play28:28

to 12 months ago but they do not really

play28:30

have a token that they can use to

play28:32

incentivize so I've been looking for a

play28:34

project like this and I feel like

play28:35

Shuffle checks a lot of the boxes they

play28:37

did about $150 million of volume the

play28:40

other day this is likely inflated due to

play28:42

the airdrop occurring but nonetheless

play28:44

$150 million of volume is a lot I also

play28:47

like the way they designed their airdrop

play28:50

so basically if you uh um bet on the

play28:53

platform between February 2023 and

play28:57

February 24 you got an air drop based on

play29:01

the amount of volume that you actually

play29:02

beted but what I liked about this is

play29:05

that 20% was available on tge but then

play29:08

the remaining 80% vests over three

play29:10

months with the exception that if you

play29:13

bet more volume then your airdrop vest

play29:15

is expedited and you can actually use

play29:18

the shuffle tokens to bet on the

play29:20

platform which uh in my opinion just

play29:23

ultimately means that people who

play29:25

received an airdrop will likely gamble

play29:27

it away as opposed to selling it on

play29:29

dex's because gamblers like to gamble um

play29:32

15% of the non Shuffle denominated

play29:35

Revenue will be used to buy back and

play29:37

burn the token and 30% of the shuffle

play29:39

denominated Revenue will also be used to

play29:42

buy back and burn the token so just

play29:44

running some backup napkin numbers if

play29:46

you assume like a 5% or even a 1% margin

play29:50

on the 150 mil volume that'd be you know

play29:53

$7 million of Revenue in seven days so I

play29:56

think people are underestimating the the

play29:58

amount of Buybacks in Burns this hasn't

play30:00

actually taken place yet I checked the

play30:02

burn address this morning but I think

play30:05

that we will see people threading about

play30:07

this one in the coming weeks could

play30:09

definitely be wrong not Financial advice

play30:11

but I've just been looking for a gamble

play30:13

five project because I find the product

play30:15

Market fit with crypto to be absolutely

play30:17

perfect and just no one's kind of nailed

play30:20

this on the head yet but curious if you

play30:22

guys have any

play30:23

thoughts I think it's looking pretty

play30:25

healthy uh strong on liquidity this is

play30:28

my first time looking at the chart um

play30:31

disgustingly low float like I think this

play30:33

is a a banger play I would like to buy

play30:36

this

play30:39

security I I got a quick question um you

play30:42

mentioned that 20% is available post tge

play30:45

and 80% investing then in the over 3

play30:48

months for the speeding up part is it

play30:50

only with uh volume that you wager like

play30:52

post tge or is it like looking at the

play30:55

volume that you had pre tge yeah just

play30:58

post tge volume so you're kind of

play31:00

incentivized to bet more in order to get

play31:02

your tokens you probably lose you get

play31:04

your tokens you're like all right I'm

play31:05

going to make it all back in one bet and

play31:07

then you lose that then all of a sudden

play31:08

Shuffle tokens are getting burned that's

play31:10

kind of that's kind of the thesis in a

play31:12

nutshell gotcha and then is it like um

play31:15

it accelerates the burn based on like uh

play31:18

sorry it accelerates the vesting based

play31:19

on like cures if you bet more than like

play31:22

$10,000 it like vest like two weeks

play31:25

earlier if you bet more than $100,000 it

play31:27

vest like like one month earlier like

play31:29

what does it look like it's something

play31:31

like that I'll be honest I haven't

play31:32

looked into it cuz I didn't personally

play31:34

get the airdrop because this is like

play31:36

they're very very strict on their terms

play31:37

of services like they will kick you off

play31:39

of the platform if you bet more than

play31:41

like 500 bucks so that's another reason

play31:44

why I'm actually kind of bullish on this

play31:45

project like it seems like they are

play31:48

actually following the rules unlike a

play31:50

lot of other you know competitors so I I

play31:53

would just like to see a well-run and

play31:55

actually compliant gambling platform

play31:57

that integrates crypto and and Shuffle

play31:59

seems to be the number one Contender

play32:01

there I also believe uh the Founder's

play32:04

brother is the founder of manad I'm I'm

play32:07

pretty sure I don't think I'm messing

play32:09

that up but that's like kind of another

play32:10

good sign you know this guy's well

play32:11

connected and knows what he's doing in

play32:13

the crypto space gotcha gotcha and I

play32:16

don't gamble it at all so I'm G to have

play32:18

a lot of questions one more question I

play32:20

want to ask is you mentioned that you

play32:22

can wager sorry I gamble but I don't do

play32:25

like gambling in terms of like Shuffle

play32:27

type Gam let me let me clarify that um

play32:30

you mentioned that you can use um

play32:31

Shuffle to wager so for example like I

play32:35

don't know you want to bet on like

play32:37

yesterday's like FA Cup match between

play32:38

Manu and Liverpool are there two

play32:41

separate po there like one is like a

play32:43

shuffle denominated like order book and

play32:45

there's another like USD denominated

play32:48

order book or like what does that look

play32:50

like specifically or is it just like

play32:51

using Shuffle as a

play32:53

collateral you would use Shuffle as the

play32:55

collateral and all the bets are Deni

play32:57

nominated in USD so I'm not sure how

play33:01

that actually operates under the hood

play33:02

I'll be completely honest there's a good

play33:04

bit of opacity in the the design of

play33:06

Shuffle like that's another one of the

play33:08

main tips with rbit it's like we can't

play33:10

actually see what's going on here

play33:11

they're supposed to be releasing an

play33:13

analytics dashboard that gives more

play33:15

insights into the specific types of

play33:17

wager volume Revenue burn Etc things

play33:20

like that so definitely looking forward

play33:21

to that but in terms of how it works on

play33:23

the back end like it does give me mango

play33:26

like Vibes like letting people you know

play33:28

bet on your platform with the native

play33:30

token so not sure how they actually

play33:34

translate that into dollars on the back

play33:36

end whether they sell the tokens for

play33:38

dollars right when they receive them

play33:39

because there is like a deposit and

play33:41

withdrawal like you can deposit from any

play33:43

chain you can be on salana you can be on

play33:44

ethereum Etc just deposit into the

play33:46

platform and then you have a dollar

play33:48

balance but that dollar balance does

play33:50

fluctuate while it's in the platform as

play33:52

well so not sure if they're like

play33:54

transferring it to Dollars and then not

play33:56

taking on the price volatility or if

play33:57

they're actually holding the underlying

play33:59

assets and wallet addresses I would

play34:00

assume the latter but not 100% sure

play34:02

sorry Ren yeah no worries and I think

play34:05

another interesting point that you

play34:06

mentioned was that they're like mostly

play34:09

following the rules and they're for

play34:10

example like limiting the amount that

play34:12

you can deposit or wager I think is you

play34:15

mentioned I think that might be like a

play34:18

really good thing obviously both from

play34:19

like a regulatory standpoint they have

play34:20

to follow the regulations but also for

play34:23

their market makers if that's the

play34:25

correct term um for like a gambling

play34:28

protocol because if you think about it

play34:29

like you kind of don't want adverse

play34:32

selection you don't want to be the

play34:33

market maker on the opposite side of

play34:35

like someone being 100x long with on vit

play34:38

like that'll be a pretty disastrous

play34:40

outcome but if you limit like the size

play34:42

to like $500 then I think it's safe to

play34:45

say like chances are you're getting like

play34:47

pretty silly retail flow rather than

play34:50

like super gig Chad like uh whale flow

play34:53

and so that's probably like another

play34:54

reason that will help sort of like

play34:56

accelerate the fly re between like

play34:58

volume liquidity and

play35:03

activity yeah I guess it's worth noting

play35:05

too that like obviously there's quite a

play35:07

bit of inflation from airdrop one

play35:08

there's going to be multiple air drops

play35:10

coming in the future the vests and

play35:12

cliffs are like relatively short so the

play35:15

question is kind of going to become like

play35:17

is the amount of Revenue they're

play35:19

bringing in offsetting the inflation I

play35:20

don't know if it really matters because

play35:22

we're in a bit of a bull market right

play35:24

now and all it takes is like a narrative

play35:26

to start up but there's definitely like

play35:29

some question marks given the high

play35:31

inflation early

play35:32

on yeah I think on the market making

play35:35

Point like if someone just wins too much

play35:37

you just don't let them withdraw that

play35:40

seems to work it's a pretty good

play35:42

strategy in

play35:44

crypto yeah their terms of services

play35:46

definitely says like we reserve the

play35:48

right to just rug you essentially so I

play35:51

wouldn't try like going on there with

play35:53

significant sums of money it's it's more

play35:56

of something that you should test out

play35:57

out and and have fun with just as a a

play36:00

casual

play36:02

hobby I have a question for you guys do

play36:05

you think like gambling protocols

play36:08

gambling in terms of like you can do

play36:09

like sports betting blackjack poker like

play36:13

that type of gambling do you think that

play36:15

takes a backseat in the bull market just

play36:18

given like sort of onchain like meme

play36:20

coin activities or do you think I'm not

play36:24

sure if this is the correct magic but

play36:25

like gambling market share increases

play36:27

versus like meme coin volume I guess cuz

play36:32

I I feel like I could see it both ways

play36:34

to be honest on one hand I feel like you

play36:36

know like if it's a complete like bull

play36:37

market you're getting at Le like 100 X's

play36:39

every day on Salan like maybe I don't

play36:41

want to like do sports betting and

play36:42

gambling and like play poker onchain

play36:45

instead I want to go like eat all of

play36:46

these meme coins but I could also see

play36:48

just like overall degenerate activity

play36:51

increasing in a bull

play36:55

market yeah my guess would be meme coin

play36:57

volume maintains its dominance over

play37:00

traditional gambling volume by by quite

play37:02

a mile to be honest but I think it's two

play37:05

separate cohorts of users like if you're

play37:08

using Shuffle you can hardly even tell

play37:10

that you're using crypto at all really

play37:12

the only crypto component is depositing

play37:14

assets and I think that giving like kind

play37:16

of a a universal like global system

play37:19

where you can deposit from any chain and

play37:21

have like a clean front end for gambling

play37:23

I think that has like an actual chance

play37:25

to onboard new users as opposed to just

play37:27

just the same people playing musical

play37:29

chairs on salana today in mem

play37:32

coins I think is a perfect spot to pass

play37:34

it off to uh Ryan for his hot seat at or

play37:37

Cruses because I know it has something

play37:38

to do with me coins totally yeah so my

play37:42

cool Throne is uh memec coin

play37:45

legitimacy so we all know that as

play37:48

memecoins are becoming the bulk of

play37:50

crypto Market activity activity today

play37:53

we're actually seeing the market uh

play37:56

investors traditional Finance even begin

play37:59

to intellectualize and um legitimize

play38:03

mcoin trading in this Behavior Uh we've

play38:07

seen Bowden and Trump uh Being Framed as

play38:10

continuous prediction markets which is a

play38:13

metaphor that I love uh we're seeing

play38:15

with Pepe Bon uh being referred to as

play38:18

cultural spot assets by

play38:21

VCS and we're seeing uh even protocols

play38:25

like Bon uh a meme with the team and Bon

play38:28

bot uh actually generate real revenues

play38:32

uh I think they hit over I think it was

play38:34

over 120 million in trading volume and

play38:37

generated 700,000 in Revenue yesterday

play38:40

or 1.1 million in Revenue yesterday just

play38:43

from Trading fees um that's like

play38:46

fundamentals right um this activity is

play38:49

being legitimized you're seeing the VC

play38:51

think Pieces come out I even saw on

play38:53

Twitter yesterday a legal argument for

play38:56

the legitimacy of M coins right that the

play38:59

teams that make these like they don't

play39:00

stick around there is no team uh the

play39:03

thing has no utility so it can't be a

play39:05

security right so it's completely

play39:07

legitimized uh I'm not a legal expert

play39:09

don't take my legal advice it's just a

play39:11

tweet I saw

play39:13

um

play39:15

and what's interesting is that like

play39:19

potential hot seat when we start to

play39:21

legitimize these things when we start

play39:23

saying that you know defi is the Future

play39:26

Finance or game BU as the future of

play39:28

gaming kind of a top signal so my cool

play39:31

Throne uh Is MeMe coin legitimacy but it

play39:34

could very well also be a hot suat as

play39:38

well yeah I think um meance right now

play39:43

it's it's like making me increasingly

play39:46

more uncomfortable in holding anything

play39:48

besides Bitcoin because it's the only

play39:51

one with like true institutional flows

play39:54

like if if meme coins keep blowing up

play39:56

like this

play39:58

then you you're kind of like creating a

play40:01

horrible image for crypto like we just

play40:03

beat out the the criminal image and like

play40:06

the moneya laundering image and I was

play40:08

like okay we are just a giant Casino it

play40:12

it makes me want to distance myself from

play40:14

that entire sector and like just hold

play40:16

Bitcoin because this is definitely not

play40:18

helping us in the public eye at

play40:22

all I don't know I feel like okay sure

play40:25

like gambling and being the general like

play40:28

probably isn't that good for the Public

play40:29

Image but I feel like a lot of like

play40:33

Society at large just like to speculate

play40:36

on like the most stupid or ridiculous

play40:38

things sure like maybe we shouldn't be

play40:40

speculating on like which dog is the

play40:43

best or I I feel like people definitely

play40:46

want to speculate on for example like

play40:48

who's going to win the presidential

play40:50

election but for example if you made a

play40:53

meme coin for every single like

play40:55

boyfriend that Taylor Swift has had and

play40:58

gave that to like the Taylor sft crowd

play41:00

to speculate on I bet you that would

play41:01

probably like assuming like you abstract

play41:04

the weight off the complexities of like

play41:05

interacting with crypto like that would

play41:07

do an insane amount of numbers like

play41:09

every time tayor sft switches a

play41:11

boyfriend um but yeah I I don't think

play41:16

I'll go so far to say like you know like

play41:18

meme coin super cycle but I do think

play41:20

that there's like a long-term Trend and

play41:24

narrative there both in terms of like

play41:26

just Society at large wanting to be

play41:29

degenerate you see that and like

play41:31

increase gambling volume like year over

play41:33

year I think last or this year was like

play41:35

the largest like betting volume for

play41:36

Super Bowl like ever by a wide margin

play41:38

gambling is an industry it has like a

play41:41

20% like year on your growth rate the

play41:44

amount of volume traded in zero Daya

play41:46

expiry options which I think is mostly

play41:49

driven by retail also has exploded in

play41:51

the past few years and I think those are

play41:53

like long-term trends that just continue

play41:55

to hold and as right mentioned you know

play41:58

rather than trying to speculate on that

play42:00

in like a prediction Market where right

play42:02

now if you bet on PO Market the best you

play42:04

walk away with is like a 2X after the

play42:07

election happens you might as well just

play42:09

go ape into like Trump or like V in you

play42:13

know because there's that continuous

play42:15

element to it it'll probably still trade

play42:17

after the election happens for example

play42:20

all the way into like the fouryear terms

play42:22

of these like the new president but also

play42:24

like the upside is quotee unquote

play42:26

Unlimited um so I do think there's

play42:29

something to be Sav for like the

play42:30

long-term staying power of like maybe

play42:33

not meme coins in terms of like dogs and

play42:36

cats but like meme coins that like

play42:38

represent certain cultural events for

play42:41

lack of a better

play42:44

term I don't know I'd take pibbles as

play42:46

side on this one I see like just New

play42:49

Meme coins with hundreds of million

play42:50

dollars of volume and they acrew these

play42:53

ridiculous ftvs or market caps and it's

play42:55

it gives people this false sense of

play42:57

wealth when in reality it's only a

play42:59

handful of people who can actually Cash

play43:01

Out given the amount of liquidity on the

play43:03

asset that they're trading so it it

play43:05

makes me feel like it's incredibly

play43:07

frothy and it scares me this early in a

play43:09

bull market as if like we need to reset

play43:11

back down to like 55 60k Bitcoin

play43:13

somewhere around there but it's just a

play43:16

game of musical chairs I just think

play43:17

people need to be aware of the game that

play43:19

they're playing because I think a lot of

play43:21

people have made a ton of money on these

play43:22

meme coins and they're still sitting in

play43:24

them and once the Music Stops like the

play43:27

liquidity dries up pretty quick and

play43:28

those paper gains can run away in a

play43:30

hurry so makes me nervous too

play43:33

pibbles yeah and people will say like oh

play43:36

crypto has found like pmf but I think we

play43:40

live in a vacuum and I think we're

play43:42

spending like eight hours a day

play43:44

subconsciously on crypto Twitter and

play43:46

we're like oh this is the future like

play43:48

everyone's doing it what if no one

play43:50

outside of crypto is touching these

play43:52

because who has that much money in

play43:53

crypto to throw $5,000 at a mcoin

play43:56

besides us

play43:57

like I think we're just getting really

play43:59

detached from reality here and like it's

play44:02

blatantly obvious but everyone's going

play44:04

to continue continue to ignore

play44:07

it so you're telling me that people

play44:09

sending pre-sale soul to random

play44:12

addresses is in a top signal I mean come

play44:15

on we saw what $30 million sent to like

play44:18

random addresses is this bom I I

play44:20

actually have not even caught up on the

play44:22

bom stuff so if anyone can shed some

play44:24

light on what happened there that'd be

play44:25

great too yeah I can shed some light on

play44:29

sort of like the prale situation that's

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my hot seat for uh this week so bom is I

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don't even know what it is basically a s

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like book of meme um it was created by

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this Twitter account called Dark farms

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and they're known for like the Pepe meme

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um but yeah people send I don't know the

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numbers here but they send like a lot of

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money to this guy um and basically it

play44:55

has a ridiculous amount of liquidity

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just looking at it right now it has $66

play45:01

million of liquidity and that trumps

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like most assets uh on salana at some

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point it traded at roughly like a two

play45:10

billion FTV and it went from zero to 2

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billion in like three days I think it's

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one of the crazier if not the craziest

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things that probably a lot of us have

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seen in crypto in a very very long time

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orever and that was like just the start

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as soon as like that overnight success

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occurred I think you saw over hundred

play45:31

million sent through various pre-sales

play45:33

in the last 48 hours and basically how

play45:35

it works is like some K some influence

play45:38

on Twitter mentions that they're doing a

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pre-sale um it's a minimum of like one

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Soul sometimes there's a maximum for

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example of like three so you send it to

play45:47

this address and then all of that so is

play45:49

used for liquidity you get like a

play45:51

percentage allocation of the initial

play45:53

token Supply most of the time it's like

play45:55

50% is given to people who like bought

play45:58

into the pre-sale the other 50% is

play46:01

deposited into the liquidity Po and most

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of these people uh burn the

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liquidity um but yeah I I feel like it's

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gotten pretty crazy I think the craziest

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example I saw on my timeline was some

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person raising $30 million in 30 minutes

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and sometimes you think to yourself like

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how did these people just have so much

play46:20

money that's sitting

play46:22

around and they're just waiting to just

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give it to like a random person person

play46:27

in hopes that they don't get completely

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rugged and another example of this or

play46:31

sorry another example of getting rugged

play46:33

is this token called slurf S slurf I

play46:36

don't know how to pronounce it but they

play46:37

raised 10 million dollar um they burned

play46:40

the lp but they also burn the tokens

play46:43

that were set aside for the pre-sale

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allocation uh and this guy basically

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revokes the Min Authority so there's

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nothing he can do like quite literally

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nothing he can do it's just like a big

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oopsies and $10 million

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and so is just now gone forever um I

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feel like there's some legal liability

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there for whoever did this but yeah it

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definitely feels toy when a hundred

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million dollar in so has been sent to

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random Twitter accounts in the past 48

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hours I'm not sure how you don't look at

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that and like sorry how you look at that

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and don't think it feels like a little

play47:20

Toppy and a little frogy in the markets

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right

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now it certainly feels toppy um but

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let's fast forward four years to the

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next cycle is mcoin activity larger than

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it is today or smaller than it is today

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I would take today today I would say

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larger I feel like every cycle it just

play47:41

gets larger it probably increases like

play47:44

by less orders of magnitudes every cycle

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but if you look at like Doge it hit 80

play47:51

billion market cap last cycle and ship

play47:54

was like a fraction of that I don't

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think it's too crazy to like CS go like

play48:01

1X or like sorry 2x like higher than

play48:03

that what we did last cycle just looking

play48:05

at the state of the market right

play48:07

now but when you multiply the number of

play48:10

coins just naturally like the volume and

play48:15

market caps of these coins tends to go

play48:17

up so it's a bit like people taking nfts

play48:20

and being like Oh the floor price is one

play48:22

you got a collection of 10,000 the

play48:23

market cap is one e times 10,000 in the

play48:26

collection it's like okay yes that's the

play48:28

market cap but is it really is there

play48:32

really 10,000 eth worth of liquidity on

play48:34

the other side of that trade like

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probably

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not I think I don't know if this like

play48:42

the right way of thinking about it but

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yeah obviously a lot of people are

play48:45

sitting on like paper gains of like 5

play48:47

million 10 million 20 million whatever

play48:49

in their like wallets but one way I like

play48:52

to look at a lot of these meme coins is

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just look at the liquidity and then if

play48:56

you divide it by like half so say like a

play48:59

mecoin has like 50 billion in liquidity

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and then if you take half of that that's

play49:02

like 25 million in liquidity sorry 25

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million of like Soul or like usdc and

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then the other 25 million is like the

play49:09

mean Point itself and that's like how

play49:12

much money people have spent buying that

play49:15

Meme coin you know rather than like

play49:17

these like sort of like artificial paper

play49:19

gains and I'll be quite curious to see

play49:22

what the total amount of like liquidity

play49:24

divided by two for all of these salon

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meme coins is because it sometimes it

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doesn't take that much like net dollar

play49:32

spent buying to like push these meme

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coins to like ridiculous like

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proportions for example if you look at

play49:38

like whiff it has like $21.1 million in

play49:42

liquidity so just from like a number

play49:45

standpoint oh sorry 71.1 million in the

play49:47

largest poo so just from like a number

play49:49

standpoint like only 10.5 million so has

play49:52

been spent in like net buying pressure

play49:56

on whin that's not that much to be

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honest from my point of view like in the

play50:01

grand scheme of things considering like

play50:03

100 billion has been sent to Sal on

play50:05

mcoin free sales in the last 48

play50:08

hours yeah the thing is you don't need a

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lot of new capital to really make market

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cap accelerate like I know that there's

play50:17

um a a pretty tried andrue paper in

play50:21

trafi that shows that um for every $1 in

play50:24

ETF inflows you get you get three to

play50:27

five increase in market cap I imagine

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it's way higher you know with these

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small cap coins uh and it doesn't take a

play50:35

lot of new people playing the game to

play50:37

really push these things especially when

play50:40

they're price and

play50:41

sensitive but yeah I know there's like a

play50:44

lot of like meme coin boo posting on the

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timeline I feel like Andrew Kang is

play50:49

probably one of like the larger mem coin

play50:51

boo posters and I think his prediction

play50:54

is like with and like

play50:57

one or two of like the presidential

play50:59

coins like ends up in the top 10 and I

play51:02

don't think that's outside the realm of

play51:03

possibility just because like this

play51:07

election feels really contested and you

play51:09

know like it's sort of like interesting

play51:10

to think about the Dynamics you know

play51:12

there's like Maga SL Trump on like

play51:15

ethereum and then now there's like trp

play51:17

and Bin on salana but there's also like

play51:19

the OG Biden on ethereum but that has

play51:22

like a super duper small like market cap

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stash FTV so I'll be really interested

play51:27

to see like how these tokens trade up

play51:29

the election you know does Bowden do

play51:31

well only when like Biden says like

play51:33

something stupid um or for example like

play51:36

how would he token straight after the

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presidential elections assuming they all

play51:39

don't just like go to zero straight

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away it's also like a nonzero

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probability that Donald Trump references

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his meme

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coin that that'll be a big moment for

play51:49

crypto markets uh the the all-in guys

play51:51

are already referencing their meme coin

play51:54

um you know telling people not to buy it

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but at the same time like accidentally

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legitimizing it just by um you know

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putting it in front of people and

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getting people's attention um I think

play52:06

that you know a celebrity sees a meme

play52:09

coin of their name or image or likeness

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trading uh just their nod to it on a

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social platform I mean that that's like

play52:19

that's potentially new users into the

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space um it's um kind of the Trojan TR

play52:25

it could be a Trojan horse for crypto

play52:27

adoption in some

play52:29

sense it cuts both ways though you know

play52:32

someone sees it they cond doned it or

play52:34

didn't condone it they shed more light

play52:36

on it they buy it and then it goes to

play52:38

zero it's like like kind of goes back to

play52:40

what pbes was saying it's like this kind

play52:42

of it's like two steps forward or one

play52:44

step forward two steps back like yeah

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maybe you get a marginal user onboarded

play52:48

but is it really for the better like I I

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just worry that people don't know the

play52:52

games they're playing

play52:54

essentially all right well that's a a

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depressing note to end on but uh Ryan

play53:00

pibbles thanks for joining zerox we will

play53:02

see you guys here next

play53:06

[Music]

play53:10

week

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