Best Daily Bias Trading Strategy SMC

Summary

本视频旨在简化每日偏差这个概念,帮助交易者提高获胜率。通过分析更高时间框架的供需水平、流动性区域和公平价值间隙,可以更清楚地了解市场整体状况。若入市模式在更低时间框架上不奏效,确定更高时间框架的方向就尤为重要。结合更高时间框架的方向性偏差和更低时间框架的入市设置,可以构成完美的交易机会。

Takeaways

• 😀 Daily bias refers to the overall market direction prediction for the upcoming day
• 😊 It's analyzed on higher timeframes to understand market conditions not visible on entry timeframe
• 🤔 Higher TF levels more important as minor reactions can cause significant trend changes on lower TFs
• 😇 Aligning higher and lower TF directional bias increases success rate of trades
• 🧐 Daily bias tracking allows planning entries aligned with institutional traders' bias
• 🔍 Use supply/demand, liquidity areas and FVGs to determine bias across timeframes
• 📈 If price breaks supply area, demand takes control. If breaks demand area, supply takes control.
• 💹 Liquidity exists where stop losses are located. Price always moves towards or from liquidity.
• 👀 FVGs signify imbalance between buyers and sellers and probable trading opportunities
• 📊 Apply supply/demand, liquidity and FVGs across higher TFs to identify robust daily bias

Q & A

每日偏差是什么?

每日偏差是对未来一天的整体市场方向和情绪的预测。它是我们在更高时间框架如周线、日线和4小时图进行的分析,以更好地理解入市时间框架可能不可见的市场状况。

确定每日偏差的好处有哪些?

确定每日偏差可以帮助我们找到更好的入场机会和提高获胜率,因为我们可以看清市场的整体状况。如果低时间框架中的入场模式效果不好,确定高时间框架的方向就非常关键。

供需区域是如何帮助判断谁控制着市场的?

如果价格抵消了一个需求区,那么需求就控制着市场;如果价格抵消了一个供给区,那么供给就控制着市场。我们总是要与控制市场的一方进行交易。

流动性在判断每日偏差方面有什么作用?

流动性代表止损单的位置。上方或一组高点代表买单流动性,低点或一组低点代表卖单流动性。价格总是来自或向着一个流动性区域移动。这可以帮助判断市场的整体方向。

什么是公平值差距区?

公平值差距区代表买方和卖方之间的不平衡,可以由三根连续K线的尾巴之间的空间来表示。这显示了巨大的买入压力,市场通常会回到这些区域来获取剩余订单。

如何综合运用这些概念来判断更高时间框架的偏差?

我们可以在日线和4小时图上运用供需分析、流动性和公平值差距等概念,判断市场的整体偏差和控制方。然后放小到入市时间框架中寻找与更高时间框架偏差一致的交易机会。

为什么确定更高时间框架的偏差很重要?

更高时间框架的关键位对价格影响更大。如果低时间框架与高时间框架方向一致,这可能带来完美的交易机会。

算法性价格交付是什么?

算法性价格交付是大银行和机构为让市场波动到流动性区域而设计的市场行为。价格总来自一个流动性区域或向一个流动性区域移动。

何时适合使用公平值差距区域作为交易机会?

当公平值差距区域位于溢价区时,这可能是一个完美的交易机会。我们期待价格返回差距区域来填补这些区域,然后寻找反转确认作为做空机会。

为什么低时间框架中交易价格行情信号失败的概率更高?

当你放大到更低的时间框架,你可能会遇到更多由于波动性更高导致的虚假价格行情信号。这就是为什么基于每日和4小时时间框架进行主要分析很重要的原因。

Outlines

00:00

📈 简化日常偏差概念

本视频旨在简化智能货币交易中日常偏差的概念，帮助观众通过识别更高时间框架的方向来提高获胜率，并在较低时间框架中找到更好的入场点。视频解释了为什么需要确定日常偏差，强调了更高时间框架水平的重要性，并介绍了一个简单的、步骤清晰的方法来应用这一概念。此外，讨论了与市场心理学相关的策略，解释了如何结合供需水平、流动性区域和公平价值差距来识别市场的下一步动向。

05:00

🔍 控制权与流动性分析

第二段深入探讨了如何通过市场结构变化识别控制市场的一方，强调了建立多头或空头仓位的条件，以及何时认为市场不再具有明确趋势的重要性。通过具体示例展示了如何在K线图上应用这些概念，并推荐了使用fastb网站来获取金融新闻和基本面分析，以及如何使用Trader Edge工具进行回测。段落还讨论了流动性的概念，包括如何识别市场中的买卖侧流动性，并解释了算法价格传递如何利用这些流动性区域来引导市场走势。

10:00

📊 应用智能货币概念确定日常偏差

第三段介绍了如何结合供需水平、流动性和公平价值差距等智能货币概念来识别日常市场偏差。通过实际图表示例，展示了市场如何向流动性区域移动，并强调了制定交易策略时多时间框架分析的重要性。此外，介绍了公平价值差距的概念，解释了它如何指示买卖双方之间的不平衡，以及如何为交易者提供潜在的交易机会。

15:01

📌 高时框架偏差识别与应用

最后一段汇总了如何将之前讨论的所有概念结合起来，以识别和应用更高时间框架的市场偏差。重点讨论了确定流动性位置、识别市场不平衡（如公平价值差距）的重要性，并且如何利用这些信息来寻找较低时间框架中的逆转确认和交易机会。此段落通过提供一个具体例子，展示了如何将这些策略应用到实际交易中，以及如何使用这些分析来形成一个完整的、高质量的交易方法。

Keywords

💡日常偏见

日常偏见是指对即将到来的市场方向和情绪的总体预测。在视频中，日常偏见被用来指导交易者如何在更高时间框架内识别市场趋势，从而在较低时间框架中找到更好的入场点。通过分析如周、日和4小时图表上的市场条件，交易者可以获得在入场时间框架上可能不可见的洞察，从而提高胜率。

💡智能金钱交易

智能金钱交易是一种交易策略，旨在追踪机构交易者的行为，以便与市场主要参与者的行动保持一致。视频中提到，通过理解日常偏见和应用智能金钱概念，交易者可以规划与这种偏见一致的入场设置，从而增加成功率。

💡更高时间框架

更高时间框架如周、日和4小时图表，是在进行市场分析时考虑的较大的时间单位。视频强调，在进行交易前检查这些更高时间框架上的关键水平是至关重要的，因为更高时间框架上的水平比较低的时间框架上的水平更为重要，能提供更强的市场反应指示。

💡供需水平

供需水平是市场中买卖力量的关键指标，决定了价格的移动方向。视频中通过识别市场结构的突破点来确定供需区域，进而判断控制市场的是买方还是卖方。这一概念帮助交易者避免不必要的损失，通过与控制市场的一方交易来增加成功的机会。

💡流动性区域

流动性区域指的是市场中可能聚集大量止损单的价格区域。视频解释了如何利用对高和低点周围流动性的理解，结合算法价格行为，来识别市场可能的移动方向。这种分析帮助交易者理解大型银行和机构如何操作市场，以达到吸引或消耗流动性的目的。

💡公平价值缺口

公平价值缺口是由买卖力量之间的不平衡形成的市场区域，通常通过连续三个蜡烛图的影线之间的空间表示。这表示市场进入了效率低下的阶段，通常市场会返回到这些公平价值缺口区域，以覆盖它们。这为交易者提供了可能的交易机会，特别是如果这些区域未被完全覆盖的话。

💡结构性突破

结构性突破是指市场价格突破先前建立的高点或低点，形成新的市场结构。视频中通过识别这些突破来确定供需区域，并据此判断市场的控制权。这种分析对于理解市场趋势并制定相应的交易策略至关重要。

💡交易机会

交易机会是指根据市场分析识别的有利的入场和出场点。视频中讨论了如何通过结合更高时间框架的分析和智能金钱概念，如供需水平、流动性区域和公平价值缺口，来识别与高时间框架偏见一致的交易机会。这种方法旨在增加交易的成功率。

💡市场趋势

市场趋势是指价格在一定时间内的整体移动方向，可以是上升、下降或横向移动。视频强调了识别和理解更高时间框架上的市场趋势的重要性，因为它们对较低时间框架的交易决策有重要影响。

💡多时间框架分析

多时间框架分析是一种交易策略，涉及同时查看多个不同时间框架的图表，以获得更全面的市场视角。视频中提到，通过从更高时间框架到更低时间框架的分析，可以更准确地确定市场的控制方和潜在的交易机会，这有助于提高交易策略的有效性。

Highlights

每日趋势偏差能帮助你找到更好的入场机会和更清晰地了解市场总体状况。

更高时间框架的关键水平更重要,因为它们提供了价格主要水平的更强迹象。

结合更高时间框架的方向性偏差和更低时间框架的入场机会,可以构成完美的交易。

我们依靠更高时间框架分析市场,然后缩小范围寻找与更高时间框架偏差一致的交易机会。

Transcripts

hey guys welcome back to another episode

in this video we are going to simplify

the concept of the daily bias in smart

money

trading understanding the daily bias

will help you increase your win rate by

finding better entry setups and having a

clearer view of the Market's overall

conditions if your entry models aren't

working well in a lower time frame it's

crucial to identify the direction of the

higher time frame while daily bias may

seem complex this video aims to simplify

it into an easily applicable strategy

that anyone can use on the

chart here's the list of topics we're

going to cover in this

video so if this interests you be sure

to hit the like button to support us in

creating more videos like this also

consider subscribing to our Channel if

you're new as we regularly publish

Advanced trading

[Music]

Concepts

[Music]

so what is the daily bias in smart money

Concepts as the name suggests daily bias

refers to the overall prediction of

Market Direction and sentiment for the

upcoming day so basically it's an

analysis we conduct on higher time

frames such as weekly daily and 4-Hour

charts to better understand market

conditions that may not be visible on

our entry time

frame now most of the daily bias

strategies are overly complicated

without clear guidance that's why in

this video we aim to propose an easy

step-by-step applicable approach but

first why do we even need to determine

the daily bias and what is the

psychology behind it reason number one

Higher time frame levels are more

important a minor reaction to a higher

time frame key level can be a

significant Trend change in the lower

time frames so before placing any trade

we should check how much room we have

before tapping into a higher time frame

Supply or demand area this will help us

understand how to set our targets stop

losses and avoid losing trades here on

the euro dollar 1hour chart we can see a

strong

downtrend however when the price failed

to establish a new lower low and

rejected this level twice the market

reversed now if we zoom out to the Daily

time frame we can see that this area is

considered a strong support area for the

price so despite the heavy bearish

momentum on the 1hour chart we witnessed

a temporary

reversal the higher time frame key

levels are more crucial because they

provide a stronger indication of where

major price levels are located and where

the market is likely to react due to

their stability and reflection of longer

term

Trends number two increasing success

rate the best trading setups occur when

the higher time frame and lower time

frame are in alignment imagine on the

lower time frame we observe a move with

inefficiency breaking above the previous

Market structure in this scenario if the

price manages to pull back to the order

block Zone it would present a perfect

opportunity to enter a long position set

our stop below the swing low and Target

the next level of Market structure ahead

of the

price now what if the lower time frame

analysis aligns with the higher time

frame imagine if the lower time frame

uptrend were part of a bullish movement

on the higher time frame this could

constitute a perfect trade as we have

combined higher time frame levels and

directional bias with a lower time frame

entry setup with all being said the

psychology behind the daily bias and

smart money Concepts is to track the

behavior of institutional Traders so

that we can plan our entry setups

aligned with this

bias now that you understand the

fundamentals let me show you how to

determine the daily bias using smart

money Concepts we use three major major

Concepts in identifying the daily bias

supply and demand levels liquidity areas

and fair value gaps we're going to use a

combination of all the information to

determine the next moves in the

market supply and demand who is in

control now identifying which side is in

control is really important in trading

because it can help you avoid many

unnecessary losses how does the system

work it works based on simple mitigation

principles if the price mitigates a

demand Zone the demand takes control and

if it mitigates a supply Zone the supply

takes control we always want to trade

with the controlling side of the market

let me show you

how here we have a moving downtrend with

a series of bearish impulsive and

corrective movements every time the

market makes a structural break a supply

Zone automatically forms this is the

latest Supply Zone in front of the price

and as long as the price trades below it

the supply is in control but if the

price breaks and closes Above This area

the demand takes control and a demand

Zone forms now if the bullish movements

continue and we witness breaks of

structure to the upside each demand Zone

becomes a trading opportunity to go long

since our bias is bullish this bullish

bias continues until the price Taps into

this unmitigated Supply area after

encountering this area we no longer

consider this Market bullish because it

has the power to reverse the price and

induce a temporary correction so we have

a battle between buyers and sellers the

market could enter a phase of

consolidation between the demand and

Supply until one side regains control

again now here if the market breaks the

demand Zone to the downside it shows

that the supply took control and we can

take short entries until we reach the

next unmitigated demand Zone in front of

the price which happens to be a

temporary reversal point for the price

on the other hand if the price breaks

the supply area to the upside it shows

that the demand is in control and we can

take long entries with confidence until

we reach the next unmitigated Supply

area now let's see an example on the

Candlestick chart for the who is in

control topic but before we continue if

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description here we have a series of

lower lows and lower highs and an

extreme area of the supply zone now why

is this Supply area so important because

it created a bearish imbalance and a

break of structure so our bias is

bearish and if the price returns to this

area we can take short entries and our

first Target would be this

low now here we can see that the price

has failed to create a new low and it

has broken the supply Zone to the upside

which shows that the demand has taken

control now our bias is bullish and we

can take long entries at demand levels

until we reach the unmitigated Supply

area in front of the price after tapping

into that zone we have no clear bias and

we should wait to find out which side

can take control

again all of our explanations were on a

single time frame so far but usually we

apply this concept across multiple time

frames for example this demand Zone

could have been a key level on a higher

time frame anytime you want to determine

the bias you need to analyze from a

higher time frame down to a lower time

frame an important point to note is that

as you zoom into lower time frames

you're likely to encounter many false

price action signals due to higher

volatility that's that's why it's

crucial to base your analysis primarily

on The Daily and 4-Hour time frames this

is also why trading price action setups

tend to have higher win rates on the

hourly time frame compared to the one

minute as lower time frames carry more

noise now with all that being said to

identify the daily bias we open the

daily and 4-Hour charts and apply this

concept to determine who is in control

then we zoom into our entry time frame

and search for trading opportunities

aligned with the higher time frame

bias now the next concept to apply to

the chart to establish a highquality

method for determining daily bias is the

liquidity

concept you might have heard that

liquidity is what makes the price move

but where is this liquidity it's not

just found above the swing highs or

swing

lows at every price level there's a lot

of liquidity available however what

we're talking about here is stop-loss

liquidity liquidity exists where stop

losses are

located there are two types of liquidity

in the market buy side and sells side

liquidity above a high or a group of

highs represents buide liquidity

liquidity below a low or a group of lows

represents sell-side liquidity now how

does it help in terms of identifying

Market

bias to answer this question you need to

know how the algorithmic price delivery

works the algorithmic price delivery is

engineered Market Behavior by big Banks

and institutions to make the market

fluctuations towards the liquidity zones

on the

chart the price is always coming from a

liquidity zone or moving towards it

liquidity to grab and liquidity to

Target when the price approaches buy

side liquidity the bearish Traders will

go short or they will protect their

previously opened short positions on the

other hand the breakout Traders will go

long if the price breaks through this

level the animated movement that aimed

to grab this liquidity is called the buy

side delivery it's running High to

engage the the liquidity above these

relative equal highs the algorithmic

price delivery has engaged the liquidity

by trapping Traders on both sides and

then the smart money would go

short when the price approaches this

level the bullish Traders will go long

or they will protect their previously

opened long positions on the other hand

the breakout Traders will go short if

the price breaks through this level the

animated movement that aimed to grab

this liquidity is called the sell-side

delivery the algorithmic price delivery

has engaged the liquidity by trapping

Traders on both sides and then the smart

money would go long to engage the buy

side

liquidity now this General analysis is

aimed at finding the overall Market

Direction but not entry setups you can

use any strategy to enter the trading

position but remember before using any

setup with your real account you should

back test it on different pairs to

evaluate the trading strategy's

performance using historical data we do

plenty of back testing as well but but

unfortunately it takes a lot of time

that's why we use Trader Edge to back

test our exclusive trade

strategies if you're interested in using

Trader Edge as your back testing tool be

sure to check out the link in the

description

below now here on the actual chart we

have euro dollar in the 4-Hour time

frame this is the perfect example of how

the market moves toward liquidity areas

here these equal highs represent the buy

side liquidity and the equal lows

represent the sell-side liquidity the

market first moves up to engage the buy

side liquidity and then targets the

sell-side

liquidity once again after sweeping the

liquidity below these equal lows the

market aims to Target the buy side

liquidity above this area of Supply this

scenario happens multiple times until

the price starts to push in the original

bearish

Direction the institutional price

delivery has the power to affect the

price but it cannot change the overall

order flow remember trading is about the

future price movements and the nature of

the future is unpredictable it's

impossible to Define every single

possible scenario but through time and

practice you will realize that some

repetitive patterns happen in the market

over and over again now the next concept

to pay attention to on the chart when

identifying the daily bias is fair value

Gap

areas essentially the fair value Gap

refers to the imbalance between the

buyers and sellers which can be

signified by the space between the Wick

of three consecutive candles on a price

chart now what does it mean in terms of

price action it shows a buy side

imbalance where the buying pressure has

significantly outweighed the selling

pressure possibly due to institutional

activities now the market has entered a

phase of inefficiency which usually

leads it to return to the fair value Gap

area to patch them over if you are a

smart money Trader identifying the fair

value Gap should be one of the first

things you do when you open the trading

chart and your eyes must jump right to

it the fair value Gap tells us that big

players have participated in the market

and impacted the price the market

usually comes back to these spots to

grab any leftover orders which might

give us a trading opportunity but only

if there are still orders

left here on the euro dollar 1H hour

chart we have a bearish trend the latest

impulsive move has started somewhere

around here all the way down to here we

had a cells side imbalance which is

signified by these large candles that

left the fair value Gap areas behind now

that the price is buy side inefficient

it needs to return to the fair value Gap

areas to patch them over which possibly

provides us a trading

opportunity again we have a sharp move

to the downside which created a fair

value Gap area then price makes a

pullback to this area rejects the fvg

and continues pushing

downwards we can apply this concept to

all of the time frames even if you look

at the daily or weekly time frame you

will see that price also makes FBG

areas here on the euro dollar daily time

frame we have a gap area between the

lowest price that traded during this day

and the highest price traded during this

one this area is created due to the

massive selling pressure and only

downside price action during the middle

day so we expect the price to eventually

trade back up into that Gap Zone and

that's the nature of the fair value Gap

now with all being said let me show you

how to apply all of the concepts we

discussed in this video to together to

identify the higher time frame bias the

higher time frame analysis depends on

your entry time frame and it must be two

times higher generally we consider 4

hours daily and weekly as the overall

Market

bias now here on the New Zealand dollar

4H hour chart the recent bearish

movements are evident let's apply the

supply and demand concept first this is

the latest bearish break of structure

and this unmitigated area is considered

our most recent Supply zone so right now

our our bias is bearish as long as the

price trades below this Zone the next

question is where is the

liquidity we know that lots of liquidity

is gathered Above This resistance area

so a runup above this line can Engage

The buy side liquidity which is another

confirmation that the price can continue

pushing

downwards now do we have an imbalance in

the latest

move the answer is yes we have a fair

value Gap area which if we apply the

retracement tool we can see that it is

located in the premium zone so forming a

fair value Gap in the premium area could

be a perfect trading opportunity so we

expect the price to return to the FBG to

patch it over and then we can look for

reversal confirmations in the lower time

frame to go

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