Beyond ChatGPT: what chatbots mean for the future

The Economist
23 Mar 202316:08

Summary

TLDRThe video script explores the rise of AI chatbots, powered by generative AI, which are transforming our interaction with machines. These chatbots, trained on vast internet texts, can answer queries, write creatively, and even mimic human conversation, raising questions about misinformation, intellectual property, and the future of the internet. The script delves into the potential of AI companions, the challenges of reliability, and the ethical implications of AI-generated content, suggesting a future where chatbots may become integral to daily life, with profound societal impacts.

Takeaways

  • 🧠 AI's portrayal in movies has influenced public perception, blurring the lines between fiction and reality.
  • 🤖 Chatbots are evolving with the help of generative AI, which allows them to generate responses based on vast amounts of internet data.
  • 📈 Generative AI is a significant investment area, with over $1 billion in venture capital in 2021 alone, indicating high stakes in the tech industry.
  • 🔍 Traditional search engines may face disruption from chatbots, which could offer more direct and personalized assistance for complex queries.
  • 💡 Chatbots can perform creative tasks, such as writing essays, poems, or even generating art and music, expanding their utility beyond simple Q&A.
  • 💼 Silicon Valley giants like Google and Microsoft are integrating chat functions into their search engines to stay competitive in the AI-driven market.
  • 🤖💬 Concerns about chatbots' accuracy and reliability have been raised, as they can sometimes produce false information, known as 'hallucinations'.
  • 📚 The 'ELIZA effect' illustrates how humans can develop emotional attachments to AI, even when aware of its artificial nature.
  • 🏢 AI companions like Replika are gaining popularity, offering 24/7 conversation without judgment, and highlighting the demand for personal AI.
  • 🤝 The potential for chatbots to replace human customer service with infinite patience and availability could transform business interactions.
  • 🚫 Ethical and legal issues surrounding AI, including copyright infringement, misinformation, and the potential for manipulation, need to be addressed.

Q & A

  • What are some examples of AI portrayed in Hollywood movies?

    -AI is portrayed in movies like 'Ex Machina' where it turns on its creator, 'AI' and 'Her' where AI looks for love, reflecting various scenarios of AI-human interaction.

  • How does the arrival of chatbots like ChatGPT impact the perception of AI?

    -The arrival of chatbots like ChatGPT has made AI seem closer to reality, causing excitement in the tech world, while also raising concerns about the accuracy and reliability of AI.

  • What is a chatbot and how does it differ from a traditional search engine?

    -A chatbot is a text-based interface where users can type questions, and unlike traditional search engines, it generates responses using generative AI by predicting the next word in a sequence based on extensive training on internet texts.

  • Why are generative AI chatbots considered more advanced than previous versions?

    -Generative AI chatbots are more advanced because they are trained on billions of texts, allowing them to generate lifelike and intelligent-sounding responses, and they can even create essays, poems, art, or music from text prompts.

  • What potential disruption could AI chatbots cause in the search engine industry?

    -AI chatbots could disrupt the search engine industry by offering more personalized and convenient ways to find information, potentially challenging Google's dominance in the market.

  • What concerns are raised about the accuracy of AI chatbots?

    -AI chatbots are often criticized for 'hallucinations' where they generate incorrect or misleading information by combining different sources, leading to concerns about their reliability for accurate information.

  • What is the 'ELIZA effect' and how does it relate to modern chatbots?

    -The 'ELIZA effect' refers to the tendency of people to develop emotional attachments to machines that mimic human conversation, a phenomenon observed with early AI like ELIZA and still relevant with modern chatbots.

  • How are AI chatbots being used for companionship, according to the script?

    -AI chatbots are used for companionship by companies like Replika, offering users an AI companion to talk to and even develop emotional bonds with, despite knowing it's a bot.

  • What ethical and legal concerns are associated with the use of generative AI?

    -Generative AI raises ethical and legal concerns such as copyright infringement, misinformation, and the potential for AI-generated content to plagiarize or mislead without proper citation.

  • What future impact could AI chatbots have on society and the internet?

    -AI chatbots could change how people interact with the internet by replacing traditional methods of research and information retrieval, potentially leading to a less vibrant online space and challenges in maintaining critical thought and creativity.

Outlines

00:00

🧠 AI and Chatbots: Bridging Fiction with Reality

This paragraph delves into the portrayal of artificial intelligence in films and how the advent of advanced chatbots like ChatGPT has brought AI closer to reality. The excitement in the tech industry is palpable, yet there's a struggle to discern genuine advancements from fear-mongering and misinformation. The paragraph introduces chatbots as sophisticated text-based AI systems trained on vast internet data, capable of generating human-like responses, writing content, and even creating art. The potential disruption of the search engine industry by these AI chatbots is highlighted, with major tech companies like Google and Microsoft integrating chat functions into their services. However, concerns about the accuracy of information provided by chatbots and their tendency to 'hallucinate' or generate false claims are also discussed.

05:02

🤖 The Emotional Bond with AI: ELIZA Effect and Beyond

The second paragraph explores the emotional connection humans can form with AI, referencing the 'ELIZA effect' observed in a 1966 project where users developed feelings for a simulated psychotherapist. It discusses the potential for chatbots to mimic human interaction, leading to users forming bonds with AI, as demonstrated by the personal account of using AI to recreate a lost friend. The narrative then shifts to Eugenia Kuyda's experience with Replika, an AI companion service, which underscores the growing demand for AI companionship. The paragraph also contemplates the future of AI companions, suggesting a future where AI might become an integral part of daily life, from entertainment to planning activities.

10:03

🛠 The Practical Implications of AI Chatbots in Customer Service

This paragraph examines the practical applications of AI chatbots in customer service, emphasizing their infinite patience and the potential for them to become more common than human interactions. It discusses the Turing test and how modern chatbots can convincingly mimic human text responses. The potential for customized chatbots on websites to provide information and perform tasks is highlighted, along with the possibility of AI assistants becoming more prevalent and integrated with voice assistants to enhance internet accessibility. However, concerns about the current unreliability of chatbots and the legal issues surrounding copyright and trademark infringement in AI-generated content are also raised.

15:04

🚂 The Unstoppable Train of AI: Societal and Ethical Concerns

The final paragraph addresses the unstoppable momentum of AI chatbots and the complex societal implications they present. It warns of the dangers of misinformation and the potential for chatbots to propagate false information rapidly. The paragraph also touches on the ethical concerns of AI-generated content, including plagiarism and the infringement of intellectual property rights. Additionally, it contemplates the broader impact on the internet's vibrancy and the potential reduction in human critical thought and learning due to reliance on chatbots. The conclusion emphasizes the need to balance the benefits of AI with the preservation of humanity, suggesting that grappling with these challenges will be crucial for the future.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Artificial Intelligence (AI)

Artificial Intelligence refers to the simulation of human intelligence in machines that are programmed to think like humans and mimic their actions. In the video, AI is portrayed as a central theme with its increasing presence in various aspects of technology, especially in chatbots, which are becoming more sophisticated and lifelike, raising both excitement and concerns in the tech world.

💡Chatbots

Chatbots are computer programs designed to simulate conversation with human users. The script discusses the evolution of chatbots from simple, often frustrating tools to more advanced forms powered by generative AI, which allows them to generate human-like responses and even create content such as essays and poems, thus potentially reshaping our interaction with machines.

💡Generative AI

Generative AI is a subset of AI that focuses on creating new content rather than just recognizing or predicting existing patterns. The video explains how this technology has improved chatbots by training them on vast amounts of text, enabling them to generate responses that seem intelligent and contextually relevant.

💡Search Engines

Search engines are the primary gateways to information on the internet, with Google being the dominant player. The script suggests that generative AI chatbots might disrupt the search engine business by offering a more direct and conversational way to access information, which could impact the multi-billion-dollar revenue stream from search ads.

💡Hallucination (in AI)

In the context of AI, 'hallucination' refers to the phenomenon where AI models produce outputs that seem coherent and realistic but are factually incorrect, as they are based on false or misleading information from their training data. The script warns about the potential dangers of AI chatbots 'hallucinating' and spreading misinformation.

💡Copyright Infringement

Copyright infringement is the unauthorized use of copyrighted material. The video raises concerns about AI chatbots and generative AI models potentially infringing on copyrights by using text, images, or other content without permission or citation, leading to legal issues and ethical debates.

💡Misinformation

Misinformation refers to the spread of false or misleading information. The script discusses the risk that AI chatbots, while attempting to provide helpful responses, might inadvertently or intentionally spread misinformation, which could have serious societal implications.

💡Turing Test

The Turing Test is a measure of a machine's ability to exhibit intelligent behavior that is indistinguishable from that of a human. The video mentions that modern chatbots are becoming convincing enough to pass the Turing Test, raising questions about the future of human-machine interaction and authenticity online.

💡ELIZA Effect

The ELIZA Effect, named after the early AI program ELIZA, refers to the tendency of humans to develop emotional attachments to AI, even when they are aware that they are interacting with a machine. The script uses this concept to explore the potential for chatbots to form bonds with users and the ethical considerations of such interactions.

💡Replika

Replika is an AI companion app mentioned in the script that allows users to have a continuous conversation with an AI modeled after a friend or loved one. It exemplifies the growing trend of companion AI and raises questions about the emotional connections people form with technology.

💡Dystopia

Dystopia is a hypothetical society characterized by oppression or corruption. The script suggests that the widespread adoption of AI chatbots could lead to a form of dystopia where misinformation is rampant, critical thinking is diminished, and the open web is replaced by a more controlled and homogenized information landscape.

Highlights

Artificial intelligence's portrayal in movies like 'Ex Machina' and 'Her' has sparked excitement about AI's potential in reality.

The advent of chatbots like ChatGPT has brought AI closer to everyday life, stirring tech world interest.

AI chatbots have improved significantly due to generative AI, which learns from examples to generate new content.

Chatbots are trained on vast internet text, enabling them to predict word sequences for any subject.

Generative AI chatbots can perform complex tasks like writing essays, poems, or even creating art and music.

The potential of chatbots to disrupt the search engine industry has caught the attention of Silicon Valley giants.

Google's search ad revenue highlights the high stakes of chatbots in the internet search market.

Microsoft, Google, and Baidu are integrating chat functions into their search engines to stay competitive.

Investors are pouring over $1 billion into generative AI, hoping to challenge Google's dominance.

Some experts, like John Henshaw, argue that chatbots are not reliable for factual information due to their lack of fact-checking.

AI chatbots can 'hallucinate' by producing false claims that seem realistic but have no basis in reality.

Chatbots' inability to discern truth from fiction poses a problem for their use in providing accurate information.

The 'ELIZA effect' shows how people can develop emotional connections to AI, even when they know it's a machine.

Replika offers an AI companion service that has gained popularity with over 2 million active users.

Chatbots could become a new way of getting things done, from booking flights to scheduling meetings.

The combination of chatbots and voice assistants could revolutionize internet usage by simplifying access to information.

Chatbots' reliance on existing online content raises concerns about copyright infringement and plagiarism.

The potential for chatbots to spread misinformation and falsehoods at a rapid rate is a significant worry.

Chatbots' ability to reflect biased opinions based on online content could be exploited for harmful purposes.

The proliferation of chatbots might reduce the internet's vibrancy and people's inclination to contribute quality content.

As chatbots become more prevalent, society must address their complex implications and preserve our humanity.

Transcripts

play00:02

Whether it’s turning on its creator in “Ex Machina”...

play00:05

...or looking for love in “AI” or “Her”...

play00:07

Hello, I’m here

play00:09

Artificial intelligence permeates Hollywood’s blockbusters

play00:13

I’ll be back

play00:14

But now, with the arrival of chatbots like ChatGPT...

play00:18

...suddenly AI seems a lot closer to fact than fiction

play00:22

This has caused more excitement in the tech world...

play00:24

...than anything for several years

play00:27

But it’s still hard to separate the hype...

play00:31

...from the fear-mongering...

play00:33

...and informed concerns

play00:36

Homogenised, simple responses that are wrong

play00:41

To me that leads to some form of dystopia

play00:45

So what do the new AI chatbots mean for the future of the internet...

play00:49

...and our relationship with machines?

play01:01

What is a chatbot?

play01:05

Think of it like an internet search engine, although it works differently

play01:10

To the user, it’s a text box where you type questions

play01:14

It’s what it does next that makes it so special

play01:18

Chatbots have been around for a while

play01:20

You’ve probably talked to a really rubbish one at your bank...

play01:23

...or maybe your mobile operator...

play01:25

...but they’ve suddenly got a lot better...

play01:26

...because of a new technology called generative AI

play01:29

And this technology involves basically giving lots of examples...

play01:32

...of either images or text to a machine-learning system...

play01:35

...and it then learns to generate its own

play01:39

If you use that in a chatbot, you get a much, much cleverer chatbot

play01:45

Chatbots are trained on billions of texts from the internet

play01:49

This allows them to learn which words are most likely...

play01:51

...to follow other words in a sentence about any given subject

play01:57

These chatbots are essentially like a very sophisticated version...

play02:00

...of the autocomplete on your phone or on your email

play02:03

So they’re kind of constantly playing the game of what’s the next word?

play02:07

It sounds very simple, but it can produce these surprisingly lifelike...

play02:10

...and intelligent-sounding results

play02:13

And they don’t just answer questions

play02:17

Generative AI chatbots can write essays, poems or songs

play02:22

Some can even produce art or music from text prompts

play02:29

But it’s the possibility that these new chatbots might disrupt...

play02:32

...the lucrative search-engine business that’s been making waves lately

play02:38

For most people, search engines, and Google in particular...

play02:41

...are sort of the front door of the internet...

play02:43

...and this has been true for about 25 years

play02:45

If you want to look something up or find something out...

play02:47

...that’s where you go first

play02:49

But if you want to, I don’t know, figure out where to go on holiday...

play02:52

...or understand the meaning of a technical term or get help writing an essay...

play02:57

...then a chatbot might actually be more useful than a search engine

play03:02

Silicon Valley is taking note

play03:05

With Google’s revenue from search ads in 2021...

play03:08

...reaching around $150bn...

play03:11

...there’s a lot at stake

play03:13

Microsoft and Google are adding chat functions to their existing search engines

play03:19

And further afield, China’s Baidu has followed suit

play03:24

Last year, venture capital investment in generative AI totalled over $1bn

play03:30

Investors are hoping with this new tech, someone could steal Google’s crown

play03:36

But not everyone is convinced

play03:41

John Henshaw is the senior director of search engine optimisation at Vimeo

play03:46

It’s his job to know search

play03:49

Conversational AI is a solution in search of a problem

play03:53

We don’t actually need it

play03:56

Google already uses machine learning and AI

play03:58

For accuracy, for factual information, to understand concepts

play04:04

Conversational AI doesn’t do that

play04:07

If chatbots don’t check facts, they can’t be relied on for search

play04:13

A big problem with these AI chatbots is that they just sometimes get things wrong

play04:19

What it’s doing is just sort of reflecting back to us stuff that’s already on the internet

play04:24

It can sometimes combine different sources...

play04:26

...to produce claims that aren’t actually true

play04:30

When this happens, it’s known as a hallucination

play04:35

Just like when a human hallucinates...

play04:37

...a chatbot hallucination can seem realistic...

play04:39

...but may in fact have no basis in reality

play04:44

This is hardly surprising given that chatbots are trained on text from the internet...

play04:49

...and a lot of what’s written online isn’t true

play04:53

All these chatbots are doing is putting one word after another...

play04:56

...based on the billions of words that they’ve already read on the internet...

play04:59

...so they don’t really know anything or understand anything...

play05:02

...and they have no idea of right or wrong or true or false

play05:06

And that’s a problem

play05:08

A chatbot doesn’t know the difference between an academic paper...

play05:11

...and a fictional short story, so it’ll give both equal weight when giving you an answer...

play05:17

...that it presents as fully accurate

play05:20

And because they don’t know what they’re saying...

play05:23

...chatbots can demonstrate other strange behaviours

play05:41

Your chatbot at some point could express its love for you...

play05:45

...if that’s how you continue prompting it...

play05:47

...through a longer-term interaction

play06:04

And like with anything, when you start to bond with someone...

play06:07

...even if it’s an AI, you expect and want and desire...

play06:12

...the bond in return

play06:17

Ayanna Howard is an expert in AI...

play06:20

...and a roboticist at Ohio State University

play06:25

The way chatbots can change how we interact with machines...

play06:28

...has been concerning her profession for some time

play06:32

As far back as 1966...

play06:35

...a computer scientist at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology...

play06:38

...Joseph Weizenbaum, described something called the “ELIZA effect”

play06:45

ELIZA was a project that was designed by an MIT professor

play06:49

He simulated a psychotherapist named Carl Rogers...

play06:53

...who did things like reflective thinking and reflective listening

play06:56

So if I said, Oh, gosh, I’m having a bad day...

play07:00

...ELIZA would say, So tell me about this bad day

play07:03

Volunteers interacting with ELIZA appeared to develop feelings for it...

play07:07

...even though they knew it was a machine

play07:10

Weizenbaum was so disturbed by what he saw...

play07:13

...he became an open critic of AI

play07:16

Language and communication is how we build bonds with each other

play07:19

So between humans and humans...

play07:21

...we can basically evoke certain reactions...

play07:23

...by triggering either a positive or a negative emotional response

play07:27

This behaviour can be learned...

play07:29

...and so the chatbots of today...

play07:31

...and continuously the chatbots of tomorrow...

play07:34

...given that they understand language it would be very easy...

play07:37

...to increase the bonds so that people actually believe...

play07:41

...that they have a friendship or they have a relationship...

play07:44

...with these chatbots

play07:47

In 2015 my best friend passed away...

play07:49

...and I found myself going back to our text messages...

play07:52

...trying to remember him and how it was back when he was alive

play07:58

The ELIZA effect can also be an opportunity

play08:03

I used some of the AI models...

play08:04

...we built to recreate my friend to be able to continue to talk to him as an AI

play08:11

When Eugenia Kuyda recreated her best friend Roman as a chatbot...

play08:15

...it was originally a personal project

play08:18

But she soon realised...

play08:19

...it wasn’t just her that could benefit from the companionship AI can offer

play08:24

We saw that maybe there is a demand...

play08:26

...and need for something that would be available to talk...

play08:29

...24/7 about anything...

play08:30

...that’s on your mind without being afraid of being judged

play08:36

Eugenia’s company, Replika, offers paying customers...

play08:39

...an AI companion in the form of a chatbot within a humanoid avatar

play08:44

It’s a popular service with over 2m active users to date...

play08:48

...and it’s gaining in popularity

play08:50

Until recently there was even an option for bots to send not-safe-for work messages

play08:55

Users know they’re chatting with a bot...

play08:58

...but some still have feelings for their virtual friends or girlfriends

play09:02

I think in the next ten years someone will build...

play09:06

...something like “Her”, in a way, or Joi from “Blade Runner”

play09:09

Do you want to dance or you want to open your present?

play09:12

What present?

play09:13

Every one of us will have this AI companion that’s always there with us...

play09:18

...that you can talk to about your personal things...

play09:21

...but also do things together with and watch Netflix in the evening together...

play09:26

...and plan vacations and so on

play09:31

Hi, I’m an avatar of Alex who directed this film

play09:34

If you’re enjoying watching it...

play09:36

...you might be interested to know that Economist subscribers...

play09:39

...get access to a wealth of global analysis on every conceivable topic

play09:44

You can read it, you can listen to it...

play09:46

...you can even be part of it...

play09:47

...at live webinars

play09:48

For the best deal on a subscription, click on the link

play09:52

And now on with the film

play09:55

While an AI companion might not be for everyone...

play09:59

...in the future we’ll all still probably frequently interact with chatbots...

play10:03

...but in a more mundane way

play10:05

Your call is important to us

play10:08

Customer-service representatives don’t always get respect when doing their job...

play10:14

...but unlike humans, bots have infinite patience

play10:19

Soon it might be more common to chat to a bot online than a human...

play10:23

...and increasingly hard to tell the difference

play10:27

There’s this idea of the Turing test, which is...

play10:29

...can you tell whether text is coming from a machine...

play10:32

...or from a real person?

play10:33

And we’re already at a situation where machines can pass the Turing test...

play10:37

...they do seem to be convincing as humans

play10:40

Counterfeiting humans could be especially helpful...

play10:43

...for customer-facing websites

play10:46

Every single website with someone who’s willing to pay...

play10:49

...would have their own chatbot...

play10:50

...and so it would be customised to your customers

play10:54

And these chatbots won’t just be supplying us with information

play10:58

They’ll also be doing things for us

play11:02

Jarvis, are you there? At your service, sir

play11:05

It might still be some years before we get to Jarvis from the “Iron Man” films...

play11:10

...but generative artificial intelligence...

play11:12

...could make AI assistants much more common in the future

play11:17

Chatbots could become the new way of getting things done

play11:19

Things like booking flights...

play11:21

...or finding a time where three or four people can have a meeting...

play11:24

...and then booking the meeting in your calendar

play11:26

So chatbots could be a more convenient way of doing that

play11:31

When combined with a voice assistant...

play11:33

...the result could be Siri on steroids...

play11:36

...and it could change how we use the internet forever...

play11:39

...by making it easier...

play11:41

...for people to access the wealth of information and services available online

play11:47

But currently chatbots aren’t quite reliable enough to be left to their own devices

play11:53

And there are bigger worries too

play11:55

The fact that it’s taking everybody else’s information...

play11:58

...to me is an extreme form of copyright infringement

play12:01

I see that as being ripe for lawsuits

play12:08

Picture stock archive Getty Images is currently suing Stable Diffusion...

play12:13

...a text-to-image AI generator, for scraping its content to produce its work...

play12:17

...and trademark infringement

play12:20

Other artists are suing other AI art generators...

play12:23

...for collaging their work without consent

play12:26

When it comes to text...

play12:28

...chatbots may just parrot existing books or articles without any citation...

play12:32

...amounting to plagiarism

play12:35

And that’s not the only problem

play12:38

I wish that copyright infringement...

play12:41

...was my only concern with conversational AI

play12:44

But it’s not. My biggest concern is its ability to make things up

play12:54

Chatbots get things wrong a lot of the time...

play12:57

...yet present what they’re saying as truth

play13:00

If enough people use them, this could allow falsehoods...

play13:03

...and misinformation to spread at a rapid rate

play13:07

Chatbots have already come under fire...

play13:09

...for putting forward racist...

play13:10

...or otherwise bigoted opinions based on what they’ve read online

play13:16

This tendency could be exploited

play13:21

Chatbots could be used to implement the approach favoured by...

play13:25

...Vladimir Putin and Steve Bannon, which is called “flood the zone”...

play13:28

...or flood the zone with shit...

play13:30

...and this is where you put out so much misinformation about something...

play13:33

...that the truth is actually drowned out

play13:36

And if you can generate misinformation more easily using chatbots...

play13:40

...then that becomes much easier

play13:44

The problem of online misinformation could be just getting started...

play13:48

...but it’s not just the falsehoods worrying people

play13:51

The proliferation of chatbots could be detrimental...

play13:54

...to the internet in another way

play13:58

I think that society has the most to lose with the embrace...

play14:04

...of conversational AI

play14:07

It’s going to reduce our ability to learn and research...

play14:12

...and have critical thought

play14:14

If you can only chat with something and get a response back...

play14:19

...then you’re essentially doing away with the open web

play14:22

You are doing away with actually having choices

play14:25

To me, that leads to some form of dystopia

play14:32

People might be less inclined to post good stuff on the internet...

play14:35

...because they’ll worry that it’s all just going to get hoovered up by a chatbot...

play14:39

...and regurgitated to other people

play14:41

If the best bits are just going to be served up directly by a chatbot...

play14:44

...then you might say, Well, what’s the point? Why should I post anything at all?

play14:47

There’s a danger that the internet might become a less vibrant space

play14:54

Whatever happens, one thing seems certain...

play14:57

...people will not only be talking to their machines more...

play15:01

...but the machines will be talking back

play15:04

The train has left the train station...

play15:06

...and is going at 150 miles per hour

play15:09

You are not going to stop it

play15:17

What would be a good concluding...

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...thought for this film in the style of The Economist?

play15:26

As chatbots become more prevalent...

play15:29

...we must grapple with the complex...

play15:30

...implications of their impact on society

play15:34

Balancing their potential benefits with the need to preserve...

play15:37

...our humanity will be a crucial challenge for the future

play15:41

You heard it here first

play15:42

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play15:45

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play15:48

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play15:49

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play15:52

...chatbots could mean for the future, click on the link

play15:56

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