Dugaan Kecurangan Pilpres Ditemukan di Sejumlah TPS

Summary

The video script discusses the surprising results of the 2024 Indonesian presidential election, with one candidate leading by a significant margin, contrary to pre-election surveys. It highlights concerns about potential election fraud, with instances of pre-marked ballots in Bandar Lampung and Garut. The script also mentions the public's reaction to alleged vote-buying in Medan and the challenges of proving systematic and massive fraud in the constitutional court. The narrative emphasizes the public's vigilance and the complexity of addressing election integrity.

Takeaways

• 🗳️ The 2024 Presidential Election results are quite unique compared to previous years, with the winning candidate's results often below survey predictions.
• 📊 There was a significant number of undecided and swing voters who were not captured in the surveys, which might have influenced the final outcome.
• 🏆 The winning candidate, Prabowo Subianto Gibran, received widespread support across provinces and was leading in the polls.
• 📉 The initial survey results showed the highest numbers around 50-51.8%, with no candidate declaring victory around 55% psychologically.
• 📈 The final results showed a significant increase, with some reaching up to 57-58%, and even 60%, which was beyond the expectations of the winning camp.
• 🚨 There were allegations of structured and systematic election fraud, with concerns raised by the losing parties about the potential for cheating.
• 📋 Incidents of pre-marked ballots were reported in several polling stations, including in Bandar Lampung and Garut, indicating possible tampering.
• 🏛️ The losing parties have the option to challenge the election results through constitutional means, such as filing a dispute with the Constitutional Court.
• 📝 To prove systematic and massive election fraud, evidence must be presented that covers at least 50% of the provinces, which is a challenging standard to meet.
• 🤝 The situation may lead to political negotiations and compromises, especially if there is a need to reconcile interests between the winning and losing parties.
• 👥 Public outrage and vigilance were evident in Medan Amplas, where citizens chased away suspected illegal voters, demonstrating the community's role in safeguarding election integrity.

Q & A

What is the context of the discussion in the transcript?

The transcript discusses the results of the 2024 Presidential Election in Indonesia, comparing them to previous elections, and addressing concerns about potential fraud and irregularities in the voting process.

How does the transcript describe the results of the 2024 Presidential Election compared to previous years?

The transcript mentions that the results of the 2024 election are unique compared to the 2014 and 2019 elections, with the winning candidate's votes often being below survey predictions, and a significant increase in the winning percentage from initial predictions.

What is the significance of the '55%' figure mentioned in the transcript?

The '55%' figure is considered a psychological victory threshold in the context of Indonesian elections. It is mentioned as a benchmark that, if surpassed, indicates a strong win for the candidate.

What is the role of undecided and swing voters mentioned in the transcript?

Undecided and swing voters are mentioned as a group that has not yet been captured in the surveys and polls, suggesting that their final decision could influence the election results.

What is the significance of the 'exit poll' and 'quick count' mentioned in the transcript?

Exit polls and quick counts are methods used to capture the sentiment of voters immediately after they vote. They are mentioned as tools that have already captured the trend of the election, indicating a potential win for the candidate.

What concerns are raised about the election process in the transcript?

The transcript raises concerns about potential systematic and structured fraud in the election process, including pre-marked ballots and irregularities in vote counting.

What specific incident is mentioned regarding vote-rigging in Bandar Lampung?

The incident in Bandar Lampung involved the discovery of pre-marked ballots for local elections that were reported by citizens, leading to the suspension of voting at a polling station.

What was the response of the election authorities to the incident in Bandar Lampung?

The local election authorities in Bandar Lampung acknowledged the incident, reported it to the KPU (General Election Commission), and recommended an investigation into the pre-marked ballots.

What is the legal recourse available to the losing parties if they believe there was election fraud?

The losing parties can file a constitutional lawsuit in the Constitutional Court, challenging the election results based on structured, systematic, and massive election fraud.

What evidence is required to prove election fraud in the Constitutional Court according to the transcript?

To prove election fraud, accurate and valid data and evidence must be presented, showing that the fraud occurred in at least 50% of the provinces in Indonesia.

What is the significance of the incident in Medan Amplas, and how did the community respond?

The incident in Medan Amplas involved community members expelling suspected illegal voters from a polling station, demonstrating the community's vigilance and active role in ensuring a fair election process.

Outlines

00:00

🗳️ Election Results Analysis and Concerns of Fraud

The script discusses the election results of 2024, which are unique compared to previous years, with the winner's results often below survey predictions. The exit polls and quick counts have captured undecided and swing voters, whose final decisions could impact the outcome. The script mentions that the winning candidate's popularity is unusually high, reaching up to 60%, which is a significant achievement for their campaign. However, this has also raised concerns about potential structured fraud within the election process, as reported by the third party. The script also highlights an incident in Bandar Lampung where the vote counting was halted due to pre-marked ballots for local elections, which were reported by citizens and acknowledged by the local election committee.

05:01

🚔 Incidents of Vote Rigging and Public Reactions

This paragraph details instances of vote rigging in West Java and Lampung, where pre-marked ballots were discovered, and in Garut, where a video showed dozens of ballots already marked before the actual voting took place. The local election committee in Garut confirmed the incident, stating that 24 ballots were pre-marked but were not given to voters and were subsequently annulled. The script also touches on the broader implications of such incidents, questioning the potential for systematic and massive fraud, and the challenges of proving this in court, as per the 2017 Election Law. It also speculates on the political reactions of the involved parties, considering whether they would accept the results or challenge them legally.

10:01

👥 Public Confrontation of Alleged Voter Fraud

The final paragraph describes a public incident in Medan, North Sumatra, where residents confronted and chased away three individuals suspected of being involved in vote-buying. The incident began when a resident became suspicious of the behavior of these individuals who did not respond to the polling station committee's calls. Upon further investigation, the committee found discrepancies in their identification and the origin of the individuals. The residents then removed the suspected vote-buyers from the polling station to prevent voter data misuse. The individuals were escorted to the nearest police station, and the community's reaction was one of outrage and a call for action against election fraud.

Keywords

💡Election Results

Election results refer to the outcomes of voting in an election, which determine the winners and losers. In the context of the video, the term is used to discuss the unique and unexpected results of the 2024 Presidential Election in comparison to previous years. The script mentions that the results were 'seringkali berada di bawah hasil survei' (often below the survey results), indicating a discrepancy between predicted and actual outcomes.

💡Surveys

Surveys are systematic methods of collecting data from a sample of individuals to gain information about opinions or behaviors. The script refers to surveys as 'snapshot pada momentum itu saja' (a snapshot at that moment only), suggesting they may not fully capture the dynamics of the election, as they are limited to a specific time and may not predict the final outcome accurately.

💡Undecided Voters

Undecided voters are individuals who have not made up their minds about which candidate to support before an election. The script mentions 'angka unddecided voters' (the number of undecided voters), indicating that these individuals were not captured in the surveys and could have influenced the final election results.

💡Swing Voters

Swing voters are those who do not consistently support one political party or candidate and can be persuaded to change their vote. The script indicates that 'swing voters' were also not captured in the surveys, suggesting that their final decisions could have played a role in the election's outcome.

💡Election Fraud

Election fraud refers to illegal interference with the process of an election. The video discusses allegations of 'kecurangan surat suara' (vote fraud), such as pre-marked ballots and irregularities in vote counting, which raise concerns about the integrity of the election process.

💡Quick Count

A quick count is an unofficial, preliminary tally of votes that is done quickly after the polls close to give an early indication of the likely winner. The script mentions 'quick count' in the context of capturing the trend of the election results, which is important for understanding the early perception of the election outcome.

💡Exit Poll

An exit poll is a survey of voters taken immediately after they leave the polling station, used to predict the outcome of an election. The script refers to 'exit poll' as a method that has already captured the sentiments of the voters as they leave the polling stations, providing a snapshot of their choices.

💡Constituency

A constituency is an electoral district that elects a representative to a legislative body. The script discusses the need for a candidate to win '50% wilayah, provinsi' (50% of the provincial area), highlighting the importance of securing support across different constituencies to achieve victory.

💡Political Parties

Political parties are organized groups of people who share similar political views and work together to influence government policies. The script mentions 'kubu 01' and 'kubu 03', referring to different political factions or parties involved in the election, each with their own concerns and strategies.

💡Constitutional Challenge

A constitutional challenge is a legal action that asserts a law or action is unconstitutional. The script refers to the possibility of 'mengacukan gugatan, sengketa pilpres di Mahkamah Konstitusi' (filing a lawsuit, election dispute in the Constitutional Court), indicating a potential legal recourse if the election results are contested.

💡Neutrality

Neutrality in the context of an election refers to the impartiality and fairness expected from those involved in the electoral process. The script suggests concerns about the neutrality of certain officials, questioning whether they can act as neutral entities in the election process.

💡Public Protest

Public protest is a form of political expression where people express their opinions or grievances in a public space. The script describes an incident in Medan Amplas where 'warga mengusir tiga orang yang diduga pemilih gelap' (citizens drove out three suspected illegal voters), illustrating an example of public protest against perceived election fraud.

Highlights

Analysis of the election results of 2024 compared to previous years shows a unique outcome.

The winning candidate's results were often below survey expectations in the past, but this time they are significantly higher.

The highest survey numbers in the past were around 50-51.8%, with no candidate reaching a psychological victory threshold of around 55%.

Current predictions show a significant lead, with numbers reaching up to 57-58%, and even 60% in some cases.

The achievement is acknowledged as beyond expectations by the winning party's representatives.

Concerns about potential structured fraud in the election process have been raised by opposition parties.

An incident in Bandar Lampung where pre-marked ballots were found halted the voting process at a polling station.

In Garut, West Java, a video showed dozens of pre-marked ballots, raising suspicions of fraud.

The West Java election committee confirmed the incident and invalidated the pre-marked ballots.

The possibility of widespread fraud in the election is discussed in the context of the state's infrastructure and power.

The challenges of proving systematic and massive election fraud in court, requiring evidence from 50% of provinces.

The dilemma for opposition parties regarding whether to accept the results or challenge them constitutionally.

The potential for the election results to be used as a political negotiation space for compromise and interest alignment.

A viral incident in Medan Amplas, North Sumatra, where residents expelled suspected illegal voters from a polling station.

The incident started with a resident's suspicion of the behavior of individuals who failed to respond to the polling station committee's calls.

The individuals were found to have discrepancies in their identification and were taken to the nearest police station.

The community's direct action in addressing suspected electoral fraud reflects a high level of civic engagement.

Transcripts

Mas sumam di antara eh semua pernyataan

yang disampaikan Mas anganggoro tadi

ternyata Eh Prabowo Subianto Gibran ini

bisa sampai hampir merata di semua

provinsi dan selalu ungkul Anda

menganalisa hal ini seperti apa I

eh Tentu saya ingin menyampaikan satu

hal dulu mbak ya Eh bagaimanapun juga di

hasil Pilpres 2024 ini Memang agak unik

he dibanding dengan hasil Pilpres di

2014 2019 atau barangkali kita bisa cek

di

2009 tampaknya masih cukup linar ya tapi

di

2014-29 hasil perolehan pemenang itu

seringkiali berada di bawah hasil survei

meskipun survei itu sifatnya adalah

snapshot pada momentum itu saja dan eh

Memang kemarin masih ada angka

unddecided voters dan juga swing voters

yang juga eh tentu belum belum

tercapture sementara kalau exit poll dan

juga eh apa namanya eh quick tentu sudah

meng-capture karena mereka yang keluar

dari TPS tetapi trennya biasanya itu

angka elektabilitas kemenangan itu

berada di bawah survei kali ini berbeda

Hm di survei itu angka tertinggi per

minggu lalu kalau misalnya kita cermati

itu rata-rata di 50%

51,8% hampir belum ada satuun yang ee

mendclare di angka sekitar 55% kalau

misal kemudian dianggap itu sebagai

angka psikologis kemenangan ya karena

kalau misal kita merujuk ke

undang-undang pemil ee Nomor 7 Tahun

2017 kemenangan satu putaran itu hanya

bisa terjadi pada momentum ketika

kemudian memenangkan 50% wilayah

provinsi dan kalaupun yang kalah itu

minimal 20% ee suara bisa terdistribusi

di situ suara tetapi Ini hasilnya sangat

berbeda kalau misal kemudian di prediksi

awal snapshot awal itu berada di angka

51 52% sekarang sampai mencapai angka 57

58 bkan ee 59 bahkan 60% I Mak Ini

betuletul bagi kubu02 tentu Ini adalah

sebuah capaian luar

biasacred achievement Oke karena

betul-betul melampau eh hasil apa

namanya target dan itu diakui

acknowledgement itu disampaikan oleh

kibran Mas kibran sebagai capres semalam

dalam forum juga e sempat diskusi dengan

eh Mas rosan selaku eh ketua TKN eh juga

e mengakui termasuk juga wakil ketua

Gerindra eh Mbak Saras ya Ee bahwa angka

perolehan sekarang memang betul-betul di

luar target itu nah tetapi di saat yang

sama angka itu juga kemudian seolah

menebalkan anggapan kekhawatiran

ketakutan yang selama ini menjadi

konsern dari kubu 01 dan juga kubu 03

tentang adanya potensi eh kecurangan

secara terstruktur dalam konteks e

penyelenggaraan pemilu yang terjadi

secara

sistematis struktur dan masif TSM nah

hal itu disampaikan kemarin oleh kubu 03

dan

eh Semalam juga dalam diskusi bersama

Pak hasto selaku Sekjen PDIP juga

tampaknya eh memiliki konsen yang sama

Baik nanti kita akan bahas nih Mas Umam

Lebih Detail terkait dengan adanya

dugaan itu karena memang dugaan

kecurangan surat suara pada pemilihan

presiden atau ee Pilpres 2024 ini

ditemukan di sejumlah TPS di sejumlah

daerah karena ada teuannya an lembar

surat suara ditemukan sudah

[Musik]

tercoplos Bawaslu Kota Bandar Lampung

menghentikan proses pemungutan suara di

TPS 19 kelurahan waikandis kecamatan

Tanjung Senang Kota Bandar Lampung

Lampung penghentian ini dilakukan karena

terdapat sejumlah surat suara yang sudah

tercoba

sebblos

o surat suara itu yakni surat suara

pemilihan anggota DPRD provinsi Lampung

dan DPRD Kota Bandar Lampung pihak

Bawaslu Kota Bandar Lampung mengatakan

informasi temuan ini dilaporkan warga

karena surat suara yang diterima sudah

terblos dengan adanya temuan iniwaslu

Kota Bandar Lampung merekendasikan supa

KPU

melakukanemut

suar dia membuka surat suara sudah ada

yang tercoblok kita anggap mungkin rusak

lah ya Coba minta kembalikan dia tukar

dikasih lagi k suara yang kedua Eh

terbuka rusak lagi r-nya tidak ditemukan

dpdnya tidak ditemukan presidennya tidak

ditemukan hanya di

provinsi berdasarkan itu kita segera

komunikasikan secara ber ke atas diminta

dari provinsi untuk

[Musik]

Duan kecurangan surat suara juga terjadi

di Kabupaten Garut Jawa Barat Dalam

sebuah video amatir yang direkam saat

sejumlah anggota kelompok penyelenggara

pemungutan suara atau KPPS di TPS 17

Kampung Rancakalong desa simpangsari

Kecamatan cisurupan Kabupaten Garut

memperlihatkan puluhan surat suara yang

sudah dicoblos sebelum pencoblosan oleh

para pemilik dalam video yang tersebar

ini mereka mengaku surat suara yang

dikirim dari pusat ini sudah tercoblos

waslu Kabupaten Garut pun membenarkan

adanya video viral tersebut yang terjadi

di Kabupaten Garut semuannya ada

beberapa ya Sebanyak kurang lebih 24

surat suara yang sudah dilakukan

pencoblosan tapi poin pentingnya adalah

surat suara tersebut satu tidak

diberikan kepada pemilih sehingga itu

tidak di ee apa tidak digunakan yang

kedua surat-suara itu sudah dianulir

kemudian dinyatakan sebagai surat suara

rusak gu aja itu lokasinya di mana Bu

laporan lokasinya di

cisurupan RI Rahmat baja menyebut telah

menerima beberapa informasi awalan

pelanggaran pemilu yang terjadi pada 14

Februari

2024 mengimbau agar masyarakat bisa

melaporkan informasi awal Duan

pelanggaran Pemilu langsung ke baw

liputan kasih terjadinya kecurangan Nah

mas Umam kalau dari hasil yang kemudian

berbeda sekali ya dari survei ada 51

kisaran 52% sekarang 59 bahkan ada yang

60% wajar saja Mungkin ada yang melempar

indikasi kecurangan itu ada tapi apa

indikasi kecurangan yang paling mungkin

terjadi sebenarnya I kalau misal konteks

ee proses ya kalau misal kemudian ee

selama ini sudah diantisipasi sebenarnya

itu terkait dengan sebuah proses yang

yang cukup sistematis terutama terkait

dengan penggunaan infrastruktur

kekuasaan negara terutama ee mengenai

bagaimana deployment eh sejumlah pejabat

eh kepala daerah yang tentu eh mereka

dalam konteks kerja teknokratik bisa

diharapkan kemudian bisa menjalankan

kerja-kerja sebagai perwakilan kepala

daerah tetapi kalau misal kemudian dalam

konteks kalkulasi kepentingan di politik

praktis mengharapkan kerja pejabat

kepala daerah untuk menjadi sebuah

entitas yang netral rasanya to good to

be rasanya itu mungkin ada di Konoha

tapi kalau misal dalam situasi ini

rasa-rasanya proses dinamika itu terjadi

meskipun ya ini Tentu saya kembali lagi

ke konteks tadi lalu Bagaimana proses

selanjutnya problemnya begini kalau

misal kemudian memang kecurangan itu

terjadi yang bisa dimiliki opsi oleh

kubu 01 dan juga kubu03 Hanya dua Apa

itu satu menerima yang kedua menolak

dengan melakukan perlawanan kalau

menerima maka kemudian seolah ini ee

membalikkan basis argumen yang selama

ini mereka sampaikan konsen terkait

dengan potensi kecurangan Tetapi kalau

misal kemudian melakukan perlawanan

harus dihitung lebih dulu satu-satunya

perlawanan konstitusional yang bisa

dilakukan adalah mengacukan gugatan

sengketa pilpres di Mahkamah Konstitusi

pertanyaan mendasar Apakah kemudian kubu

01 dan juga kubu 03 percaya terhadap

kredibilitas termasuk juga dalam konteks

institusional termasuk juga sebaran dari

majelis hakim mahkamah konstitusi yang

ada Seharusnya Percaya meskipun selama 4

bulan terakhir 01 dan juga 03 termasuk

yang tidak percaya terhadap kredibilitas

Mahkamah Konstitusi tantangan kedua

kalau misal kemudian tetap percaya pada

kredibilitas dalam proses sengketa

pemilu di MK di Mahkamah Konstitusi yang

harus dilakukan merujuk pada pasal 286

undang-undang Nomor 7 Tahun 2017 tentang

pemilu terutama tentang pasal

pelanggaran Pemilu secara terstruktur

sistematis dan masif maka harus bisa

dibuktikan dengan data informasi dan

bukti-bukti akurat dan valid di 50%

provinsi se-indonesia he Artinya bahwa

untuk menghadirkan itu itu tidak mudah

Maka kalau misal tadi ada kejadian di

Lampung ada kemudian Kemudian di

sejumlah ee luar negeri ya e beberapa

TPS itu secara faktual mungkin itu

adalah kecurangan Tetapi apakah kemudian

mereprestasikan sesuatu yang sifatnya

sistematis terstruktur dan masif itu

yang tidak mudah untuk dihadirkan nah

ini yang kemudian kita akan uji seberapa

kuat konsistensi dan juga keberanian

dari masing-masing kekuatan yang selama

ini mengklaim melakukan eh memiliki

kekhawatiran atau kern terkait dengan

konteks e fair election Apakah kemudian

akan tetap berani melakukan perlawanan

secara konstitusional secara politik

ataukah tidak atau jangan-jangan

sekarang menuju di 2000 ee Maaf di 20

Oktober 2024 nanti akan dijadikan

sebagai ruang negosiasi ruang kompromi

politik dan juga kepentingan untuk

kembali melakukan kompromi kepentingan

dengan siapa yang menang Baik nanti itu

akan kita bahas lebih lanjut dan yang

menarik adalah ketika membahas soal

narasi kecurangan ini kan sebenarnya di

setiap Pemilu ada tapi kenapa kemudian

yang tahun ini Kenapa lebih nyaring

begitu ya n tapi kita akan bahas usai ee

usai informasi yang berikut ini karena

ada informasi di Medan Amplas Sumatera

Utara proses pemungutan suara di salah

satu TPS ini pemirsa diwarnai dengan

[Tepuk tangan]

kericuhan ini

orangnyaukamuk ngukuk ngamuk warga

ngamuk

ini ngamuk

viral viral Pira ini adalah momen ketika

Sejumlah warga mengusir tiga orang yang

diduga pemilih gelap di Jalan

Pembangunan Kecamatan Medan Amplas pada

Rabu kemarin Kejadian ini bermula saat

salah Seorang warga curiga atas sikap

pelaku yang tidak merespon panggilan

panitia TPS sebanyak tiga kali kemudian

saat dimintai kartu identitas dan surat

undangan mencoblos panitia mendapati

ketidakcocokan dan menginterogasi asal

pelaku ini dari mana kemudian tidak lama

warga menarik keluar ketiga pemilih

gelap dari TPS untuk menghindari

penyalahgunaan data pemilih kicuhan pun

tidak Bisa dihindarkan lagi ketiga

pelaku pun digiring ke Pos Polisi

[Tepuk tangan]

terdekat

ini

orangnya namanya siapa Anita sini

ktp-nya saya bilang kayak gitu langsung

diarah timbolon di mana rumahnya

ditembong Kok bisa kemari harusnya

Kalaupun dia ditembong dia pemilihnya

itu jam 12. sampai jam . Ya kan ya jadi

langsung heboh Ini enggak bisa nih

langsung Saya bilang ini enggak bisa nih

ini ini ada yang curang nih langsunglah

sama masyarakat ya langsung dibawa ke

rumah kling klingnya Ada apa Udah udahat

polisi selesai jelajahi cara baru

mendapatkan informasi download Metro TV

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