Hasil Survei Terbaru Capres Terkuat di 3 Provinsi Utama di Pilpres 2024

Tribun Kaltim Official

24 Jan 202405:50

Summary

TLDRAs the 2024 Presidential election in Indonesia approaches, candidates intensify their campaigns, especially in the three largest provinces by voter registration: West Java, East Java, and Central Java. These provinces are crucial battlegrounds, given their substantial influence on the election outcome. Recent surveys reveal varying levels of candidate electability across these regions, with Prabowo Gibran, Anis Muhaimin, and Ganjar Mahfud leading in different areas. The surveys, conducted by reputable institutions such as Indikator Politik Indonesia and Carta Politika, employed face-to-face interviews and multistage random sampling, indicating a competitive race. With over 204 million registered voters nationally, the election's outcome will significantly depend on these key provinces.

Takeaways

😀 The Presidential election in Indonesia will be held in 2024
😃 Three provinces with the largest voter registries are East Java, Central Java, and West Java
🤔Latest survey results show Prabowo & Gibran leading in West Java and East Java
😮 Ganjar & Mahfud are leading in Central Java based on Indicator survey
🧐 Indicator, Charta Politika, LSI conducted surveys involving thousands of respondents
🤨 Surveys done before the 3rd presidential debate on Jan 7, 2024
😀 Total voter registry in West Java is 15.7 million
😲 East Java has 34 million registered voters
😯Central Java has over 28 million registered voters
😊 Over 204 million eligible voters nationwide for 2024 election

Q & A

What is the upcoming important political event in Indonesia in 2024?
-The upcoming presidential election (Pilpres) in 2024.
Why are the provinces of East Java, Central Java, and West Java so important for the 2024 presidential candidates?
-These 3 provinces have the largest number of registered voters in Indonesia. Winning in these provinces gives candidates a good chance of winning the national election.
How many registered voters are there nationwide for the 2024 presidential election?
-204,807,222 registered voters nationwide.
What are the total numbers of registered voters in West Java, East Java, and Central Java respectively?
-West Java has 15,714,901 registered voters. East Java has 14,402,838 registered voters. Central Java has 28,289,413 registered voters.
What were the latest poll results for the top 3 candidate pairs in West Java?
-According to the Indicator Politik survey, the top 3 were: Prabowo-Gibran at 42.9%, Anis-Muhaimin at 33.8%, Ganjar-Mahfud at 17.8%. According to the Carta Politika survey, the top 3 were: Prabowo-Gibran at 47%, Anis-Muhaimin at 26%, Ganjar-Mahfud at 20%.
What were the latest poll results for the top 3 candidate pairs in East Java?
-According to the Indicator Politik survey, the top 3 were: Prabowo-Gibran at 48.2%, Ganjar-Mahfud at 24.5%, Anis-Muhaimin at 21.7%. According to the LSI survey, the top 3 were: Prabowo-Gibran at 46.7%, Ganjar-Mahfud at 26.6%, Anis-Muhaimin at 16.2%.
How were the political surveys conducted and sampled?
-The surveys were conducted via face-to-face interviews, using multistage random sampling techniques. The sample sizes ranged from 1200 to 12220 respondents across Indonesia's provinces.
What were the latest poll results for the top 3 candidate pairs in Central Java?
-According to the Indicator survey, the top 3 were: Anis-Chak Imin at 9.2%, Ganjar-Mahfud at 40.7%, Prabowo-Gibran at 42.1%.
When is the date for voting in the 2024 Indonesian presidential election?
-The voting date is February 14, 2024.
What is the margin of error and confidence level stated for the political surveys?
-The stated margin of error ranges from 2-2.9% at a 95% confidence level.

Outlines

00:00

😃 Opinion polls show Prabowo-Gibran lead in West Java, Central Java, and East Java

The paragraph discusses opinion polls conducted by several survey institutes regarding the electability of presidential and vice presidential candidates in 3 provinces with the largest number of registered voters: West Java, Central Java, and East Java. The polls show Prabowo-Gibran leading in these key provinces ahead of the 2024 presidential election.

05:01

😃 Latest survey results on electability of candidates across provinces in Indonesia

The paragraph mentions recent survey results published by pollster Indicator showing the electability figures of the pairs of presidential and vice presidential candidates across provinces in Indonesia. It highlights survey details like timeframe, methodology, margin of error, confidence level, etc.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡capres

Capres stands for calon presiden, or presidential candidate in English. The video script discusses surveys of the latest electability of capres or presidential candidates across key provinces in Indonesia in the lead up to the 2024 presidential elections. The three main capres mentioned are Prabowo Subianto, Anies Baswedan, and Ganjar Pranowo.

💡cawapres

Cawapres stands for calon wakil presiden, or vice presidential candidate in English. Similar to the presidential candidates (capres), the latest electability surveys of the cawapres are also discussed across provinces like West Java, Central Java and East Java.

💡DPT

DPT stands for daftar pemilih tetap. It refers to the fixed voter registration list, containing the names of eligible voters in Indonesia. The total DPT or number of registered voters with voting rights for the 2024 Indonesian presidential elections is stated as 204,807,222 people.

💡Jawa Barat

Jawa Barat or West Java is mentioned as one of the three key provinces with the largest number of DPT or registered voters. Surveys show the ranking of the top three capres-cawapres pairs in West Java province.

💡Jawa Tengah

Jawa Tengah or Central Java is the second key province discussed, also having a substantial DPT or voter base. Survey results highlight the top three capres-cawapres preferences in this province.

💡Jawa Timur

Jawa Timur or East Java is the third provincial focus of the video script. It is identified as another vital province with a large voter population and surveys of the electability of capres-cawapres are analyzed for Jawa Timur.

💡survei

Survei means survey or polling in Indonesian. The script looks at survey results from agencies like Indikator Politik Indonesia, Carta Politik and LSI, examining the electability percentages for different candidate pairs across the key provinces of Java.

💡Pilpres

Pilpres stands for Pemilihan Presiden or the presidential election. Specifically, the 2024 Indonesian presidential elections are being discussed here, to be held on 14 February 2024.

💡pemungutan suara

Pemungutan suara means voting or election in Indonesian. It talks about the upcoming voting day on 14 February 2024 for the 2024 Pilpres.

💡elektabilitas

Elektabilitas refers to electability in English. The script looks at latest survey findings concerning the elektabilitas or electoral chances of winning for various capres-cawapres pairs across provinces.

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