SKENARIO INDONESIA 2045

Summary

The script envisions a 2045 Indonesia with a pragmatic and rational new generation, highly educated and proficient in IT. The government operates transparently and effectively, with a mature democracy and social justice deeply rooted. Despite political pressures, the role of the Constitutional Court and other oversight bodies minimizes government and DPR pressures. The economy resembles a diamond, with a larger middle class and medium-sized industries driving growth and stability. The government applies green economy principles, transitioning to low-carbon energy, and focuses on sustainable development goals. However, challenges remain, including regional disparities, inefficient governance, and a lack of national pride. Despite these, Indonesia progresses towards a hopeful future, addressing environmental and resource issues with innovative solutions.

Takeaways

• 🌐 Indonesia in 2045 is envisioned as a pragmatic and rational society, with a highly educated population proficient in IT and deeply rooted in universal values like democracy and social justice.
• 🏛️ The government operates transparently and effectively, with a mature democracy that includes checks and balances from the constitution court and other oversight bodies.
• 📉 Despite the pressure from the People’s Representative Council (DPR), the role of the judiciary and other oversight institutions minimizes the pressure on the government, promoting critical societal participation.
• 🏢 The political system still has flaws, with many business elites holding positions in state institutions, leading to conflicts of interest and dissatisfaction among the populace.
• 🌱 The 2045 generation views the unity of the Indonesian state not out of historical romanticism but based on the benefits that regions receive from being part of the nation.
• 🏗️ The government strives to maintain the unity of the state by fulfilling regional aspirations, particularly for resource-rich areas, and prioritizing their development.
• 📊 The Indonesian economy by 2045 resembles a diamond shape, with a larger middle class and a significant manufacturing sector, contributing to a more equitable distribution of prosperity and social stability.
• 🌾 The government seriously implements technology in the agricultural sector and supports it with good infrastructure to balance the more advanced industrial sector.
• 🚀 Indonesia becomes one of the world's high-growth industrial nations, with regions interconnected and integrated into the ASEAN and Asia-Pacific economies.
• 📉 The government often lacks responsiveness to global economic cycles, leading to widespread recessions and challenges in oversight and governance.
• 🌳 Indonesia implements sustainable development goals by 2045, focusing on human development, infrastructure and environment, and a green economy to minimize carbon emissions and ensure energy and food security.

Q & A

What is the general perspective of the new generation in Indonesia by 2045 according to the script?

The new generation in 2045 is described as pragmatic and rational, highly educated, and proficient in IT. They have a deep belief in universal values, especially democracy and social justice.

How is the central government portrayed in the script for the year 2045?

The central government is depicted as transparent, efficient, and open to criticism. It is seen as more mature in its democratic practices.

What role do the courts and other oversight institutions play in the political scenario of 2045?

The courts and other oversight institutions minimize the pressure from the DPR on the government, indicating a more balanced system of checks and balances.

How does the script describe the societal participation in 2045?

Societal participation is described as a critical force that serves as the greatest form of control, not only for the government but also for all institutions, including the DPR.

What is the view of the 2045 generation on the unity of the NKRI (Unitary State of the Republic of Indonesia)?

The 2045 generation sees the unity of NKRI not based on historical romanticism but on the benefits that regions should feel from being part of the republic.

How does the government attempt to maintain the NKRI according to the script?

The government tries to maintain the NKRI by fulfilling the aspirations of the regions, especially those rich in natural resources, and by prioritizing their development.

What challenges does the central government face in terms of regional development?

The central government faces challenges such as the misuse of funds for development by regional leaders for political interests and maintaining power, and the lack of quality institutions and human resources in the regions.

What is the economic structure of Indonesia in 2045 as described in the script?

The economic structure is compared to a bell pepper, with a larger middle class and a larger manufacturing sector in the middle compared to the poor or large conglomerates and small sectors.

How does the government address the agricultural sector and support small and medium enterprises (SMEs)?

The government seriously applies technology to the agricultural sector and supports it with good infrastructure. It also empowers SMEs and limits the monopoly of large industries.

What is the impact of the government's economic policies on the Indonesian economy by 2045?

The policies have led to Indonesia becoming one of the world's high-growth industrial nations, with regions interconnected and a robust economy.

What are the challenges faced by the Indonesian government in terms of global economic cycles?

The government often lacks responsiveness to global economic cycles, leading to widespread recessions, difficulties in oversight, and issues such as land disputes, corruption, and poverty.

How does the script describe Indonesia's geopolitical situation in 2045?

Despite the challenges and issues, Indonesia's geopolitical situation is moving towards the desired direction, with sustainable development goals being implemented and a green economy being adopted.

What are the sustainable development goals mentioned in the script for 2045?

The goals include human development through education and health, the availability of infrastructure and environmental growth, and environmental development with good natural resources and environmental quality.

What is the script's view on the implementation of the green economy in Indonesia?

The script mentions the implementation of a low-carbon economy, which minimizes high-carbon energy use and encourages the transition from high-carbon non-renewable energy to lower-carbon renewable energy.

What conflicts arise from the implementation of sustainable development according to the script?

Conflicts arise from overlapping interests between the central government, regional governments, local communities, and investors, leading to a decrease in land quality and quantity.

How does the script address the issue of food security in Indonesia?

The script mentions that food security is still vulnerable due to the inability to be self-sufficient in food, with private sector participation through green banking and green fencing as a fresh approach to address the issue.

What is the script's final assessment of Indonesia's situation in 2045?

Despite various environmental and resource issues, the script concludes that the spirit and innovation of the people will continue to find solutions, even if they are not as simple as flipping a hand.