Trading Was Hard Until I Understood This ONE Concept

Lewis Kelly
12 May 202418:14

Summary

TLDRこのビデオスクリプトでは、90%のトレーダーが損失を被る理由として「スマートマネー」と「市場操作」について語られています。スマートマネーが非利益トレーダーを繰り返し罠にはめる5ステッププロセスを明かします。彼らは価格を一定範囲で動かすことで流動性を作り出し、その後には価格を意図した方向に動かすための操作を行います。トレーダーはこのプロセスを理解し、市場の動きを予測し、適切なタイミングでトレードに参入することが重要です。

Takeaways

  • 📊 大部分交易者亏损是因为不了解市场中的“聪明资金”如何操纵市场。
  • 🔑 聪明资金在进行大动作前会创建一个价格区间,这是操纵的第一步。
  • 🤔 价格区间是价格在一定时间内在高点和低点之间横向移动的现象。
  • 📈 聪明资金通过区间操作,诱导市场形成对价格走势的预期。
  • 💡 区间内的高点和低点分别创造了卖方和买方的流动性。
  • 💸 聪明资金通过诱导卖方和买方在特定价格区域设置止损单来积累流动性。
  • 🚫 第二步是清算阶段,聪明资金会通过卖出来打破支撑位,创造供应假象。
  • 📉 清算阶段的目的是清除市场中的流动性,为后续的价格上涨做准备。
  • 🤝 第三步是启动阶段,聪明资金在此阶段展示他们真正的交易意图。
  • 🔄 第四步是缓解阶段,聪明资金在此阶段通过价格回调来减少损失并重新积累订单。
  • 🏁 第五步是持续阶段,价格将继续按照聪明资金的意图移动,直到完成目标。
  • 👀 交易者应该识别出这些阶段,并在第四阶段进入市场,以期在第五阶段获得利润。
  • 📚 通过理解这些概念,交易者可以更好地识别市场操纵并据此制定交易策略。

Q & A

  • スマートマネーとは何ですか?

    -スマートマネーとは、市場を操作するために大口の投資家が使用する資金のことを指します。彼らは市場を分析し、小口投資家を罠にかける戦略を用いて利益を得ようとします。

  • スマートマネーが小口投資家を罠にかけるプロセスはどのようなステップを踏むのでしょうか?

    -スマートマネーは5つのステップを踏むプロセスで小口投資家を罠にかけます。それは、レンジの形成、流動性の形成、流動性の消却、真の意図の開始、そして継続です。

  • レンジとはどのような市場の動きを指しますか?

    -レンジは価格が高値と安値の間で行ったり来たりする横ばい移動を指します。これはスマートマネーが市場を操作するための第1段階です。

  • スマートマネーがレンジを形成する目的は何ですか?

    -レンジを形成することでスマートマネーは市場の両側に流動性を創出します。これは後で価格を動かすための準備として、売りと買いの注文を誘導する戦略です。

  • 流動性の消却とは何を意味していますか?

    -流動性の消却はスマートマネーが市場に対して売りまたは買いを強打し、小口投資家の注文を引き離すプロセスを指します。これにより、スマートマネーはより良い平均価格で自分の注文を実行できます。

  • スマートマネーの意図を示すために使用される市場構造の変化とは何ですか?

    -市場構造の変化はスマートマネーが価格を自分の望む方向に動かすために、買いまたは売りの意図を示すために使用されるシグナルです。これは価格が新しい高値または安値を記録することを意味します。

  • リスク管理の観点から、スマートマネーはどのように損失を軽減しようとしますか?

    -スマートマネーは価格を操作して損失を軽減し、利益を最大化します。彼らは市場に戻り、自分の売ポジションの損失を締めくくり、さらに注文を市場に戻して価格を継続的に動かします。

  • 小口投資家はスマートマネーの戦略を理解することによってどのように利益を得ることができますか?

    -小口投資家はスマートマネーの戦略を理解し、彼らの意図を読み取り、適切なタイミングで市場に参入することで利益を得ることができます。

  • スマートマネーが使用する誘導とはどのような手法ですか?

    -誘導はスマートマネーが価格を特定のレベルに押し上げたり押し下げたりして、小口投資家の注文を引き離す手法です。これにより、スマートマネーは市場に流動性を創出して自分の注文を実行します。

  • スマートマネーが価格を継続的に動かすために使用する戦略とは何ですか?

    -スマートマネーは価格を継続的に動かすために、市場に戻りながら注文を残し、価格が自然に戻るのを待ちながら、新たな注文を市場に入れることで流動性を維持します。

  • 実際の市場でスマートマネーの戦略を確認するためにはどのようなシグナルを見应该知道か?

    -実際の市場でスマートマネーの戦略を確認するためには、価格のレンジ、誘導による流動性の形成、意図の開始、そして価格の継続的な動きを監視する必要があります。

Outlines

00:00

📊 トレーダーの損失とスマートマネーの戦略

多くのトレーダーが損失を被る主な理由は、スマートマネーの操作手法に気づかず、彼らが小売トレーダーを繰り返し捕まえる5ステッププロセスを理解していないことにある。このビデオでは、そのプロセスを段階的に紹介し、それぞれの段階を解説していく。まず、スマートマネーは大きな動きを行う前に価格を一定範囲内で動かすことで市場を誘導する「レンジプロセス」を創造する。これは価格が高値と安値の間で横ばい移動をすることによって、多くのトレーダーが市場に対して異なる見解を持つように誘導される。スマートマネーはこのプロセスを通じて市場の両側に流動性を創造し、その後の大きな動きに備える。

05:00

💡 リキッドエーションとスマートマネーの真の意図

スマートマネーは市場を操作して、彼らが望む方向に価格を動かすために流動性を創造する。彼らが買いたいと思っても、市場に売り手が不足している場合、彼らは偽の供給を作り出し、売り手を引き寄せる必要がある。この「リキッドエーション」段階では、スマートマネーは価格を一定のレベルに押し下げ、買い手のStop Lossを引き起こし、売りの流動性を創造する。その後、彼らは「イニシエーション」段階で本当の意図を明らかにし、価格を彼らの望む方向に動かす。この段階では、スマートマネーが市場に示す手が真のトレードの方向を指し示す。

10:00

🔄 マニュピレーション後の価格のリターンとリスク管理

スマートマネーが価格を意図した方向に動かすために、彼らは「ミテーション」段階で価格を元の操作レベルに戻す。これは彼らが短期間の損失を減らし、さらに多くの注文を市場に入れるためのリスク管理戦略である。この段階では、スマートマネーは売りポジションの損失を回収し、価格が上昇する準備を整える。彼らは価格を元のレベルに戻すことで、より多くの注文を市場に入れ、最終的な目標を達成するプロセスを続ける。

15:00

🚀 価格の継続とトレードのチャンス

「コンティニュエーション」段階では、価格がスマートマネーの操作を経て継続的に動く。トレーダーはこの段階で市場に参加し、スマートマネーの操作を理解し、彼らの注文ブロックを特定する。この段階では、価格がスマートマネーの意図を示す新しい高値を突破し、市場構造が変化する。トレーダーはこの変化を確認し、適切なエントリーポイントとTake Profitレベルを設定して、スマートマネーの流れに乗る。このプロセスを通じて、トレーダーはスマートマネーの戦略を理解し、市場の動きに適応して成功を収める可能性がある。

Mindmap

Keywords

💡スマートマネー

スマートマネーとは、市場において大規模な資金を動かす投資家や投資機構のことを指します。このビデオでは、スマートマネーが小規模トレーダーを罠にはめる5ステッププロセスを明かし、彼らが市場を操作する方法について解説しています。例えば、「スマートマネートレーダー」は、価格のリキッドな範囲を作ることで市場の他のサイドを誘導し、その後にその範囲を突破して自らの意に沿う方向へ価格を動かそうとします。

💡レンジ

レンジとは、価格が一定の期間内に高値と安値の間で横ばい動く状態を指します。ビデオではレンジがスマートマネーが意図的に作り出し、市場の流動性を作り出すことができる場所であると説明しています。例えば、価格が高値と安値の間で動くことで、トレーダーはリジスタンスやサポートレベルを認識し、そこで売買注文を入れることになります。

💡流動性

流動性とは、市場で売買注文が迅速かつ容易に行える状態を指します。ビデオではスマートマネーがレンジ内で売買注文を入れることで流動性を作り出し、その後に価格を操作する際にその流動性を利用するプロセスが解説されています。例えば、スマートマネーはリジスタンスレベルやサポートレベルでの売買注文により、市場に流動性を注入し、価格を自らの意に沿う方向へ動かそうとします。

💡リキッドシフト

リキッドシフトとは、価格が長期にわたって形成されたレンジを突破することを指します。ビデオでは、スマートマネーがリキッドシフトを通じて市場に自分が価格をどのように動かす意図を持っているかを示すと説明しています。例えば、価格がレンジの高値を突破すると、スマートマネーが買い意図を持っている可能性があることを示すシグナルと見なすことができます。

💡誘導

誘導とは、スマートマネーが市場に流動性を作り出すために、価格を特定のレベルに持ち込む行為を指します。ビデオでは、誘導がスマートマネーがトレーダーをレンジ内で売買注文を入れるよう誘導することで、後で価格を大幅に動かす準備をすることに使われると解説しています。

💡清算

清算とは、スマートマネーが市場の流動性を利用して価格を大幅に動かす前の段階で、市場の反対サイドのポジションを解除することを指します。ビデオでは、清算がスマートマネーが自らの意に沿った方向へ価格を動かすために、市場の反対サイドのポジションを解除することで流動性を確保するプロセスと説明されています。

💡開始

開始とは、スマートマネーが市場に流動性を作り出し、清算を行った後、自らの意に沿った方向へ価格を大幅に動かすための操作を開始することを指します。ビデオでは、開始がスマートマネーの本当の意図を市場に示し、トレーダーがそのシグナルに従ってトレードを行うタイミングであると解説しています。

💡リスク管理

リスク管理とは、トレーダーが損失を最小限に抑えるために行う戦略的なプロセスを指します。ビデオでは、スマートマネーが価格を操作する際にリスク管理を行い、損失を最小化しながら利益を最大化しようと努力していることが強調されています。

💡引き上げ

引き上げとは、スマートマネーが価格を自らの意に沿った方向へ大幅に動かした後、市場に残っている自分のポジションを整理することを指します。ビデオでは、引き上げがスマートマネーが利益を確保し、市場の反対サイドのポジションを閉じるために行うプロセスであり、その後に価格をさらに動かすために新たな注文を入れ直すことが必要な時期であると解説しています。

💡継続

継続とは、スマートマネーが市場の流れを自らの意に沿って動かした後、その流れを維持し続けることを指します。ビデオでは、継続がスマートマネーが市場をより大きなスケールで操作し、トレーダーがその流れに乗る機会を得る時期であると解説しています。

Highlights

90%のトレーダーは損失を被る理由は、スマートマネーの存在と市場操作に気づかず。

スマートマネーが非利益を上げる小売トレーダーを繰り返し罠にはめる5ステッププロセスを明かす。

レンジプロセスの作成はスマートマネーが大きな動きを行う前に愛用する戦略。

レンジとは価格が高値と安値の間で横方向に動く状態。

レンジが意図的に形成されること、多くのトレーダーがそれに気づかず。

レンジ内で価格が流動性を創出する過程を解説。

スイング高値と安値でのリクイデイションは流動性の形成に寄与。

ブレイクアウトトレーダーとサポート・レジスタンストレーダーの戦略が流動性形成に関与。

スマートマネーがレンジを利用して市場の流れを操作する方法。

リクイデイションフェーズでのスマートマネーの戦略と価格操作。

スマートマネーが実際の買い意図を示すイニシエーションフェーズ。

ミットゲーションフェーズでの損失削減と買い注文の再投入。

フェーズ1から3を特定し、フェーズ4で市場に参入を待つ。

実際の市場での適用例と分析。

イニシエーションの確認とトレードの開始時期。

オーダーブロックの特定とエントリーポイントの選び方。

1分足でトレンドのシフトを確認し、エントリーの確認を行う。

ストップロスと利益確定の戦略。

実際のトレードの実行とターゲットの設定。

トレードアイデアの完了と結果の評価。

Transcripts

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90% of Traders lose money because they

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don't know about smart money

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manipulation in this video I will reveal

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the five-step process that big money

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uses to trap unprofitable retail Traders

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time and time again so here is the

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overall model that we're going to be

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depicting in this episode and I'm going

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to break it down step by step so let's

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go ahead and get into step number one

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now phase number one and what smart

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money love to create before they are

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going to make a very large move is going

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to be the range process now most of you

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guys should already know what a range is

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but pretty much range is when price gets

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caught between a high and a low and it's

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just moving sideways right some of you

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might think of it as sideways price

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action essentially you'll have some sort

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of Swing high and some sort of swing low

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and then what price will do is price

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will range in the middle of this and

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give you sideways price action and lots

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of Traders don't understand that this is

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actually done on purpose you see by

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doing this for an extended period of

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time what they're doing is they inducing

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the other side of each market into

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essentially forming an idea of what

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price is going to do and so when you

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look at this what I see as a smart money

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Trader is I see a liquidation of a high

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and a liquidation of a low so this is

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the model that we're going to be

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breaking down and each part of this has

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its own unique phase and so I'll walk

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you through phase one to five let's get

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into phase one phase one is is known as

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the range a range is simple it's when

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price gets caught between a high and a

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low now many Traders look at a range and

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they think that nothing is actually

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taking place but this is the first phase

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for a smart money manipulation because

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what price is actually doing when it's

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ranging is it's creating liquidity on

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both sides of the market you see there

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are millions of different Traders

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looking to trade long and short for a

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million different reasons and so when

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price ranges inside of a high and a low

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there are many different traders who are

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looking all at the same piece of price

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action and formulating different ideas

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and different plans right so you have

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one side of the market who may be

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looking at this these highs so we had

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one high we had another high that is

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ultimately respect and that creates

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liquidity right what does that how does

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that create liquidity well essentially

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you're looking at Short traders who are

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looking at this area as an area of

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resistance you see price TAPS in once

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trades away comes up again trades away

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comes up again and trades away right so

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now they're looking at this area that

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this is a key area and so maybe there

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are traders who want to initiate sell

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orders in these regions and where are

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they going to put their stop losses

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they're going to put their stop losses

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in here above this resistance level

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that's one side of liquidity what's the

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other side of liquidity that sits in

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this area well you'll be looking at your

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breakout Traders you see there are

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traders who are looking at this maybe

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they have some sort of pre-frame bias

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and they're waiting for some sort of

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price to come in here break this high

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and what will they do essentially what

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they will do is they will initiate buy

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positions in these areas and so they'll

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initiate those buy positions and again

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that is more buide liquidity that gets

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initiated into the market and a lot of

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them will put their stop losses in

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probably places like this right a safe

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area where we have a low and then if we

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look at the other side of the market we

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have something very similar we have the

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support traders who Maybe have a

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pre-formed bias to go long and they're

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looking at this area as a key level in

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which price has respected over and over

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again and so you have a bunch of traders

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who would look to get long from this

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area and they would put their liquidity

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right their orders and their stop losses

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at these levels and then again you have

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the same thing with breakout Traders

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there are lots of traders who would look

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at this and they're waiting for

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something to happen there are so many

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breakout traders that see a range occur

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and what they do is their whole strategy

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is wait for one side of the range to

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break and will enter with that break of

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that range well what that does is it

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induces liquidity right it induces buys

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sells and stop losses so what we want to

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do is we want to understand that

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characteristic so why is it that smart

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money uses this range well let's go into

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phase two and take a look at that so

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phase two of this smart money

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manipulation model is the liquidation

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phase you see what price will do before

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it wants to go into to its desired

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Direction let's say for example in this

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model you know smart money wanted to

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take price higher what they would first

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do is they would sell into an area of

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liquidity so they would take out these

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lows they would take out these internal

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lows because what they want to do is if

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smart money are buying they need to

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create a perceived supply of the said

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asset that they're trading why because

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they need that liquidity every buy

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transaction needs a sell transaction and

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smart money with a large amount of money

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that they have they first need to

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manipulate price to go in whatever

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Direction they want to go to for example

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smart money want to buy right but if

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they buy they may not have enough

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sellers who are willing to take the

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other side of that position at the price

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that they want because again they are

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moving billions and billions of dollars

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in transactions so what do they have to

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do they have to create the other side of

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the market that is what the manipulation

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is so if they want to buy they are first

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going to create a fake area of Supply

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they're going to create inducement right

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the process in which they will get short

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traders to look interested in the market

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so like we have in here they will first

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push price into this level right and it

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will liquidate lows and it will

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liquidate lows and ultimately it will

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induce so much liquidity we have buyers

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who are getting stops out of their

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position right buyers at these levels of

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price who are putting their stop losses

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down here well they're getting stops out

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of their positions and when a buyer gets

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stoploss that triggers sell-side

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liquidity right so liquidity on the sell

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side so they can create that much

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liquidity so much liquidity that they

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can use that to initiate their buy

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orders they will get a better average of

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their price so if they want to buy in

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here they'll first create sales in here

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so they can match their orders with the

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sellers and get a better average of

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price now let's move on to phase three

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so here we are in phase three and phase

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three is the initiation phase this is

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where smart money show you their real

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hand the direction that they really want

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to trade in you see we've created this

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range we've created sell-side liquidity

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buy side liquidity and then we've had

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the liquidation which was phase two

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right and the purpose of that

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liquidation was to create the opposite

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side of liquidity so they could get

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better averages in their orders and

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again smart money have more money than

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any participant in this market so if

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they want to move price to a certain

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area they need to create a perceived

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demand or Supply on the other side so

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that's what they do and then what you

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will do is you will wait for an

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initiation that is them initiating on

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their intention and it will look like

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this after we have this manipulation

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right the liquidation phase of price you

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will have a market structure shift in

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the opposite direction so we've just

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gone from something like this putting a

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series of lower lows in we've run into

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liquidity into liquidity and then you

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will see then they

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will look at taking price higher when

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this High breaks in here that is your

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sign that smart money has just initiated

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their true potential their true

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initiation so where do we go from here

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this takes us into phase four phase four

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is the mitigation phase this is

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essentially where their objective

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becomes mitigated once they've initiated

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price they've shown their hand you know

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the direction that they're going to

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trade in price will come into phase four

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which is the mitigation phase the

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mitigation phase is essentially

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returning back to the area that actually

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manipulated and then bought right so

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again smart money in their manipulation

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they are using their liquidity right

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their Capital to manipulate price so

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they will sell into this level to

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capture all of the liquidity to create

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so much Supply and then they will buy

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that Supply with all of their demand

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once they do that what they now need to

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do is two things number one they need to

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cut the losses from the short positions

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you see when they put these positions in

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here these are all short positions so

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for a short period of time they will be

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running in draw down these positions

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will be in a loss the higher that price

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trades so what they need to do before

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they take price to where they want to

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take price to they need to bring price

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back so they can close these orders at a

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better average right sometimes it's a

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break even sometimes it may be a small

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loss but that loss is nothing in

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compared to the amount of money they'll

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make in the process it's just risk

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management and the second phase is that

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ultimately

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smart money if they want to really

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initiate a position a long-term position

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what they need is a large amount of

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orders and they can't fill all of those

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orders in one so what they will do is

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after pushing price they will leave

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resting orders in this price l so when

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price comes back as it naturally will as

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sellers will enter back into the market

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price will return back to the area in

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which they can do two things close their

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losses from their sell positions and

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essentially put their orders back into

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the market to continue moving price so

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now they've got two sets of their orders

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in and this is a process that they will

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do continuously until eventually they

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have completed their objective and so if

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we come back full circle for a second

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phase one is where we identify the range

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phase two is we wait for the liquidation

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phase three is we wait for the

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initiation and phase four is where you

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are going to get into the Market which

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is right in here and then phase five is

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going to be the continuation again this

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is where price will continue and so what

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we want to do is we want to identify

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phase one through three and we want to

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get involved in phase four and out in

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Phase five let's go and take a look at

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what this looks like in the actual live

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markets okay so here we are on Euro USD

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just about to open up for the London

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session right and first of all what you

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can see is this blue box right here this

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is going to represent Asia right and

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again for many of you guys who know Asia

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is a large pool of liquidity it acts as

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the phase of the range right so we

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mapped out the high we've mapped out the

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low that is ultimately our range now

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what we want to do is we want to wait

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for a clear sign of manipulation or

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inducement so if we play price out what

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you'll see is that price actually before

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going right in into this level there is

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actually an aggressive buy out of this

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level now why do they do that they

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create this to what create inducement so

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that when price comes into here there is

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again more available liquidity at these

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levels because now what we have is a

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bunch of stop losses and more orders

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below this low and that is what they

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need they need that liquidity that sits

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under here so that they can trigger real

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move into their desired Direction the

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thing is is that there are a lot of

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traders in these levels you may be one

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of them yourself you may be that Trader

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who tries to buy this area of support

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you may be the trader who tries to sell

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on the breakout you may be the trader

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who tries to sell on the breakout and

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the retest level right so all of these

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different interaction levels have a

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bunch of different liquidity set in them

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but nothing from the liquidity that

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smart money actually want to initiate

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because they're trying to create create

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the opposite side of the liquidity so

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what we see is this as inducement we

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have relatively equal lows down here we

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have our Range High to our range low and

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then if we just play price out you'll

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see that again what happens price comes

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into the low has this rejection from it

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which tells what this tells the buyers

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in this level that this price is a level

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that is worth respecting because price

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comes into the level and has this

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reaction out of it that in of itself May

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create more

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liquidity and then we have a little bit

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of a push through that

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level and then we have an aggressive

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push through that level with a reaction

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out of it and so now if you look at this

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you'll see that we had our range right

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we had the inducement to create more

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liquidity on the cell side and now we've

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had our liquidation phase right great

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now if we wanted to get involved in some

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sort of order we would need to the

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initiation and so what we would want to

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see is this high in here that actually

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liquidated the lows we would want to see

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this get taken because if this level

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gets broken that tells us that smart

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money has initiated their game plan so

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if we play price out you'll see that

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price has now broke through this level

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that is going to give us essentially

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this Market structure shift right this

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level in which price has very obviously

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put in a low a high a lower low and

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higher high right all internal from

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there you can very clearly see that now

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they have initiated on their objective

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at higher prices so what you can do is

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you can identify your order block your

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order block is essentially going to be

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this area in here this sell to buy so

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the sell level that liquidates price and

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the buy momentum comes in all at once

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now why is it this level think about it

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logically for a second smart money had

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to manipulate into here and initiate

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buyers at the same time so essentially

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they had to sell to buy right so when

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price comes back they're going to want

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to bring it back to their level in which

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they had to sell into the liquidity that

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sat down here so they can close this at

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break even and additionally they can

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fill more orders from this level and so

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what we would do is we would wait for

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price to return back to this level and

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then drop down to a lower time frame to

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get confirmation that this level is

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truly going to be held so here we are

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now inside of this level now what we

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want to do is want to drop down to our

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one minute time frame so we can look at

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the fractal delivery of price and if we

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can see any sort of shift in Trend so if

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we look at things right now you can see

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that price is obviously in a downtrend

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we are in our point of Interest now we

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don't want to just buy from this level

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what we want to do is we want to wait

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for confirmation on a one minute time

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frame so that we can get number one a

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better entry but number two confirmation

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that this is an an actual area because

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the thing is is if this area is

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protected like we think it is then there

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should be orders that are about to be

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triggered and if there are orders that

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are about to be triggered then those

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orders should push price higher than

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some previous area of structure so if we

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just identify everything for a second

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you can see we have low high low high

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low high low high and low you can very

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obviously see that the order flow is

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Shifting to the downside it's very

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obvious right as approach as price

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approaches this level now our

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confirmation is going to be a shift of

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this high right in here so we'll wait

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and see what happens so what you'll

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notice is price goes puts in this low a

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new low price pulls back up and goes and

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puts in a new low once again now what we

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would need to see is a shift of this

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high so once you get the shift of that

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high now it is time to initiate your

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intention because this has just

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confirmed to you that smart money have

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just stepped back in with their

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initiation and so what we can do is the

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same thing again right we can identify

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this final area where price sold into

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this liquidity before the aggressive

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move out you can see that this is a very

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aggressive candle right it has a lot of

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momentum in it that is in of itself a

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Telltale sign that smart money's orders

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have just been initiated back into the

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market so we want to use this area right

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here we're want to take our long

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position want to put our entry on the

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top and our stops just about just below

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the level but you can see that this is

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such a small stop loss I personally

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would not like to have such a small stop

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loss so what I'll do is I'll add a

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little bit of spread on the buy side and

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I'll add a little bit of room to breathe

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on the cell side that still gives a very

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very nice size stop loss and then where

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do we want to look at taking the

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position if we understand that this is

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our phase four our phase five is the

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continuation so we literally just want

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to Target the next level of liquidity

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which is going to be this external high

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in here so we can just drag our take

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profit up to this level and you can see

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right in the order flow if we zoom out

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how price delivered itself we had our

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range had our inducement this right here

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is our manipulation right smart money

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bring price back into these areas are

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able to mitigate these levels in here

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and then here is our confirmation that

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this level is actually accurate and now

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it's time to go long and we look at

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taking out the next draw on liquidity so

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let's see how that plays out so at this

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point price is tagged in and broken the

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high this is a very nice level to be

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able to go break even so taking your

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stop loss taking your stop loss from

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here and put in your stop loss into this

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level right here just to make sure that

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if price does come back down for

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whatever reason you weren't actually

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taking in any losses and then we' wait

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for price to hopefully deliver back up

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to the high right the next draw on

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liquidity and that would essentially be

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your trade idea complete so there you

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have it there is the full take profit if

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you want to learn more about these

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Concepts and how to trade them at the

play18:09

moment we have a crazy offer on you can

play18:12

check the link down in the description

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