🦈BTC Apex Predator! Everyone FOMOing - New ATH soon🚀

InvestAnswers
28 Feb 202439:15

Summary

TLDRThe video discusses the current bitcoin market, analyzing trends like the massive inflows into bitcoin ETFs which are correlating with future price increases. It highlights bitcoin achieving all-time highs in over 25 currencies as fiat currencies weaken globally. The host stresses being patient, avoiding trying to time the market during this period, and not listening to naysayers. Overall an extremely bullish analysis of bitcoin's price trajectory leading up to the 2024 halving event, predicting over $300k per bitcoin.

Takeaways

  • 😲 Justin Blackrock's Bitcoin ETF took in $520 million in a day, the 2nd biggest inflow ever for an ETF
  • 😎 Bitcoin is testing all-time highs before the halving for the first time in history
  • 💰 Bitcoin's market cap surpassed Canada and Australia's M1 money supply
  • 🚀 Bitcoin added $800 billion in market cap since early 2023
  • 👀 Evidence suggests Jeff Bezos may be diversifying into Bitcoin
  • 🔒 Arc Invest integrated proof of reserves for its Bitcoin ETF
  • 😠 Politicians like Elizabeth Warren try to limit investment choice
  • 📈 Bitcoin ETF volumes broke records, outpacing S&P 500 and QQQ ETFs
  • 🍌 Bitcoin is still early in the current cycle per on-chain metrics
  • 💡 MicroStrategy hitting $1,000 per share puts it on track to join S&P 500

Q & A

  • What was noteworthy about the inflows into the Bitcoin ETF?

    -The Bitcoin ETF received over $520 million in one day, making it the second largest inflow ever for any ETF.

  • How much Bitcoin do the new ETFs hold so far?

    -The nine new Bitcoin ETFs hold over 312,000 bitcoin already.

  • What happens with the money that flows into the ETFs?

    -The money that flows into the ETFs is used to purchase bitcoin the next day, due to the T+1 settlement time.

  • What was the impact of Coinbase having an outage?

    -When Coinbase went down, bitcoin price swung violently from $64,000 down to around $58,000 in minutes.

  • What is the market cap milestone that Bitcoin just reached?

    -Bitcoin surpassed $1.2 trillion in market capitalization.

  • How much has MicroStrategy stock increased recently?

    -MicroStrategy stock hit $1000, up massively as it closes in on a top 500 market cap ranking.

  • What was the previous monthly closing high for Bitcoin?

    -$61,357. Bitcoin is now above $61,500, ensuring a new monthly closing high.

  • Where are we on the Bitcoin 'banana' market cycle chart?

    -We are still very early, just peeling back the first tip of the banana.

  • What are the next key Bitcoin price levels indicated?

    -$71,000, just above the previous all time high, as the next target.

  • Why did some Bitcoin mining stocks fall sharply today?

    -Investors worried miners don't have enough modern rigs for after the halving caused the sell off.

Outlines

00:00

😄 Intro and disclaimer

Introduces the excitement and warnings around Bitcoin. Mentions reaching all time highs before the halving, the video will convince you it's a special time, and warns to be careful who you listen to regarding Bitcoin advice.

05:03

😲 Bitcoin price prediction was only off by 2 days

His Bitcoin price prediction to reach $62k in 11 days was off by only 2 days and $2k in price. The math works to predict Bitcoin's price. Other large buyers beyond ETFs are entering like Mr. 100 who makes large consistent purchases.

10:05

🤑 Bitcoin outpacing countries' money supply

Bitcoin's market cap has quickly surpassed the M1 money supply of both Canada and Australia. It's now in the top 10 assets globally. Also, Bitcoin is at all time highs measured in all global currencies as they weaken against Bitcoin.

15:06

😠 Don't listen to foolish Bitcoin price predictions

Shows Jim Kramer and Peter Schiff making foolish Bitcoin predictions. Explains why they are wrong and provides counter evidence. Stern warning not to listen to these Bitcoin liars.

20:07

😤 Politicians limiting Bitcoin investments

Calls out Elizabeth Warren and Gary Gensler for trying to limit public access and investments into Bitcoin. Bitcoin is up 175% in the last year, so the politicians are not representing retail investors.

25:08

📈 Bitcoin milestone metrics

Bitcoin added $800 billion in market cap since 2023 to reach $1.2 trillion total now. It's the 10th largest asset globally. MicroStrategy also hit $1,000 per share putting their market cap at $15 billion.

30:08

📊 On-chain data shows Bitcoin still early

On-chain data including MVRR shows Bitcoin is still early in its cycle. Explains the extreme importance of just being in Bitcoin for the short windows of top performing days versus trying to time entries and exits.

35:10

🍌 Bitcoin banana chart shows trajectory to $300k

Introduced first ever Bitcoin banana chart showing this bull cycle compared to past cycles, indicating a trajectory to $300k based on these patterns playing out similarly.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Bitcoin

Bitcoin is a decentralized digital currency and payment system. It is frequently discussed in the video as the main asset the host and guests are investing in and predicting major future growth for. Examples are the host saying they are only focused on Bitcoin and it being described as “hard money” and “digital gold”.

💡ETF

ETF stands for Exchange Traded Fund. Several Bitcoin ETFs launched recently are discussed, especially the BlackRock Bitcoin ETF which saw record investment inflows. Bitcoin ETFs allow more mainstream and institutional investment into Bitcoin.

💡Halving

The Bitcoin halvings, which occur every 4 years, cut the block rewards Bitcoin miners receive by 50%. This reduces Bitcoin's inflation rate over time. The next halving is predicted to drive major Bitcoin price increases. It is referenced multiple times, like the host saying there are only 49 days until the next halving.

💡On-chain data

On-chain data refers to metrics and indicators derived from activity recorded on the Bitcoin blockchain, like transactions, active addresses, exchange flows. The host frequently analyzes on-chain data to make bullish predictions and argue why this Bitcoin growth cycle is unlike previous ones.

💡Institutional investment

Institutional investment refers to large professional investors like hedge funds, banks, endowments investing in an asset class. The rapid growth of Bitcoin ETFs signals major new institutional investment entering Bitcoin.

💡Retail investors

Retail investors are everyday individuals investing their personal savings, versus institutions. Surging interest and volumes from retail investors is noted as a very bullish sign for Bitcoin, indicative of growing mainstream adoption.

💡FUD

FUD stands for fear, uncertainty and doubt. It refers to negative predictions or sentiment meant to create either fear of investing or doubt in Bitcoin's viability. The host strongly warns viewers not to listen to Bitcoin FUD.

💡Altcoins

Altcoins refer to the thousands of cryptocurrencies created after Bitcoin. The host says he ignores altcoins to only focus on Bitcoin, as he sees Bitcoin as the dominant cryptocurrency.

💡Have Nots

The Have Nots refers to the majority of people unaware of or unable to invest in Bitcoin. A map shows most of America falling into this category. The host urges viewers to tell the Have Nots that it's not too late to benefit from Bitcoin's rise.

💡FOMO

FOMO stands for fear of missing out. As Bitcoin reaches all-time highs, the host predicts increasing FOMO driving even faster price appreciation as mainstream investors rush to join the boom.

Highlights

Bitcoin ETF took in another $520 million yesterday, the second biggest inflow of any ETF ever in a day.

One person bought 700 Bitcoin, while only 900 daily Bitcoin are issued every day.

Bitcoin's market cap has now surpassed the M1 money supply of both Canada and Australia.

Rumor is Jeff Bezos split his stock into self-custody Bitcoin and BlackRock Bitcoin shares.

9 Bitcoin ETFs broke all-time high volume records already, with $2.6 billion traded.

There were more individual trades in Bitcoin ETFs yesterday than S&P 500 and QQQ ETFs.

Hedge funds are going heavy short on Bitcoin futures, jumping in front of the freight train.

In 6 weeks, S&P 500 is up 6% while one Bitcoin ETF is up 23%.

Bitcoin added $800 billion in market cap since start of 2023.

MicroStrategy stock hit $1000, nearing S&P 500 inclusion forcing buys.

We are following historical bull market banana pattern towards $300K+ Bitcoin.

Patience pays - those who waited after 2021 peak are doing very well now.

According to on-chain data, we are still early in Bitcoin bull market cycle.

Missing just 10 best days annually in Bitcoin can lead to huge opportunity cost.

When Jim Cramer talks Bitcoin, you know the Bitcoin moment has arrived.

Transcripts

play00:09

hello gang what a day what a day this is

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going to

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be it's going to be an exciting video

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but at the same time a warning all right

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out there this is a serious time money

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is

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serious and some people are not taking

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it seriously so let's not get Carri it

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away we're still very early and beware

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of who you listen to don't listen to

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fools and tools all right very important

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this will be the biggest Bitcoin video I

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think I've ever done because there's so

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much to understand so much to learn okay

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and the last 48 hours was completely

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insane so thank you all for coming let's

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go uh as usual this is a Bitcoin only

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pure Bitcoin remember we focus on where

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the action is at and shout out to

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everybody in patreon I got my patreon

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mug here Sandra katea says I'm a

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physician and now a patreon member

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almost one month now and I've never felt

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more comfortable in the last four years

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wow thank you thank you so much as well

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uh and remember to hide your surname uh

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keep everything private as well so let's

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go there's a playlist for all of these

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updated every day and remember only 49

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days to go to the having all right

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that's not a lot of time and we've seen

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how things move so fast and I did say on

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DCA on Monday it looks like we're

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definitely going to hit the all-time

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high before the having and wow what just

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happened this is some perspective here

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let this sink in Bitcoin is nearly

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testing all times alltime highs before

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the having this has never happened in

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history all right never happened in

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history this asset is hard the money

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flowing in is out of control oh God the

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Australians are up too hey Andy thank

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you for coming it's what I've been

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saying this time is different this time

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is nuts and I'm going to share with you

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so many data points that will convince

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you that is a special time so hold on

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tight first of all this is crazy and sad

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and I hate when people miss out shout

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out to Sanjay as well who shared this um

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his captions not mine but it is a huge

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swath of the United States of America

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missing out you can see

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the interest in the sub regions of the

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states and I'm sure we could do this for

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every part of the world but just this

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just shows you that very few know what's

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going on all right the top places right

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now New York New Jersey Connecticut

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Florida California Washington State

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Texas that's it the rest of the country

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is blissfully ignorant of what's

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happening right now your job is to tell

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them it's not too late all right this is

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a changing time and I will show you ex

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exactly why with the following let me

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see I don't even know how many slides we

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have today 54 nuggets it's a monster it

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took me all morning and I haven't slept

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in two days so if I screw up don't hate

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on me too much so first of all the fster

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is Justin black rocks Bitcoin ETF took

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in another $520 million yesterday one

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ETF the biggest inflow for a bit ETF

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ever the second biggest inflow of any

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ETF

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ever in a day you get that I'll repeat

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it the second biggest inflow of any ETF

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yesterday they now have 8 billion in

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assets and it's not top 5% among all

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ETFs and we're only 32 days in it's

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absolutely mindboggling way beyond my

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expectations and I was very bullish in

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addition remember everybody the t+1 I

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spent a lot of time talking about the t+

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one they take in the money people buy

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the shares and then at night time

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sometimes a day later they've got to buy

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the Bitcoin all right so what you see

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today happens

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tomorrow get that so it's it's almost

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too crazy so this is from pleb

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statistics uh done by a fund manager and

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they looked at the relationship the

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correlation between bitcoin price versus

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BT Bitcoin ETF buying and selling and

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you can see the correlation is 4692

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which is very very correlated but the

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point is if you look at the relationship

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between us spot Bitcoin ETFs and the

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Bitcoin price action it's different from

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what you expect and the bigger the

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inflow today the bigger the price

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increase tomorrow all right as I've been

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saying since the beginning t+ one is

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time plus one day all right remember

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that and there

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people people see huge volumes and stuff

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they think oh it's a top it's like no no

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you got to add a massive massive time

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factor in there too in addition my math

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works I was off by two days um we were

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stable for quite a while I made a video

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13 14 days ago that uh we would hit

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62,000 in 11 days if history repeats and

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we hit 64,000 today so I

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was 2,000 2,000 lower than expectations

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and two late so sorry about that but

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it's bloody good I was impressed anyway

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the math works okay the the stuff we do

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is we analyze all the data all the money

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flow all the onchain data all the

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scarcity and we come to conclusions like

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this okay very important in addition

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it's not just the ETFs buying I've been

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talking to Mr Mr Mr 100 and hle 15 for

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the longest time all right this guy goes

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into high gear all of a sudden you can

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can see he normally buys 100 Bitcoin

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three times a day but guess what he

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did today guess what he

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did anybody all right I'll repeat this

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this whoever this is we're not sure

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they've they're now the 15th maybe the

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14th biggest wallet now they buy 300

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Bitcoin every single day like clockwork

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no matter what the price it doesn't

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matter they don't care but while you

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were sleeping one person Mr 100 bought

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700 Bitcoin and only 900 daily Bitcoin

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are issued every day okay this one

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person bought seven nths of the daily

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Supply before the other ETFs even have a

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piece just the nine ETFs I'm talking

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about too it's insane and a reminder of

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the hardness everybody all right

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yesterday Bitcoin purchased by ETFs

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10,50 new Bitcoin produced by miners 900

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and we are 32 days in 32 days let that

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sink in So Exciting in addition is crazy

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too uh Bitcoin used to be called Magic

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internet money back in the day I thought

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it was kind of funny but if you look

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here never ever seen this Bitcoin versus

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country M1 money supply bitcoin's market

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cap has quickly surpassed the M1 now of

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both Canada and Australia and this magic

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internet money stuff called Bitcoin is

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now in the top 10 a new record everybody

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exciting times in addition uh all the

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Fiats are collapsing we're making you

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alltime highs every day in all countries

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of the world ding-dong Vietnamese Dong

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is now at an all-time high in terms of

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Bitcoin so um you know Viet I call this

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melting Ice Cube many people do as well

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because this is what's happening I talk

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about black holes all the time obsessed

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with them and there's the the the other

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black hole you know but there's another

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one there's one sucking in all the Fiat

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and that's the Bitcoin Fiat black hole

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and what a beautiful

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graphic

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it's and again going back to the tragedy

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all right going back to the tragedy one

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more time so you can remind your

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friends very few people are completely

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oblivious to what's happening that's

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just the United States and I'm

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sure there's a huge swath of the planet

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that's completely missing out on this

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black hole okay your job is to try help

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them and I know you may think it's too

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late but it's never too late to get into

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a hard asset and remember this time is

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very different in addition

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um people get annoyed when I say in

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addition but it's kind of it's like and

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there's more it's kind of part of the

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fun thing that I do anyhow uh breaking

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news Jeff Bezos is buying part two this

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is from Marty party and I did cover this

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about 10 days ago I said the funny

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feeling that Jeff basos is selling stock

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and he's investing in robots and he's

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also buying Bitcoin kind of diversifying

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his big amazon bag which is fair I think

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he sold $ billion doll worth of Amazon

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stock but the rumor is now from Marty

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party he split his book store stock into

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self- custody Bitcoin and black rock

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Bitcoin shares and he has followed the

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wallet and reported on its

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existence that Jeff sold his stock and

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the numbers match up okay great ride

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turn selling of books into digital gold

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but Amazon to to bitcoin 1.33 billion

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and Amazon to ibit about three billion

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and the other 100 million or so into

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robots interesting allocation and we're

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not saying it happened but it's a good

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conversation starter and Marty party is

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hunting evidence well Marty I got

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something special for you you ready

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check this out guess who's on boats

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together with sailor Je Jeff Bezos he's

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taking sexy selfies with the new fiance

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Lauren Sanchez I think is her name on a

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half a billion dollar super yacht so

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we'll see hang mean I mean sailors

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hanging out with David geffin Barry

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Diller Michael

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sailor and guess what they're talking

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about Bitcoin now uh Kathy Woods she is

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awesome um breaking news H and trust and

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we love trust here and we love truth and

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Trust the two T's but Kathy Woods Arc

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invest has integrated proof of reserves

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for its spot Bitcoin ETF so now you can

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verify exactly what is in that ETF at

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any given time which is awesome thank

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you coach Casey H so kind of

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you and I got to say it there's there's

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more there's a hell of a lot more we're

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not even we're not even a third of the

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way through this journey everybody

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breaking news as well shout out to the

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team in the UK sorry about this this is

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going to sound a little bit bad but it

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has to be said too because we did speak

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speak about this the Fiat black hole

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Bitcoin sucking it in now JVS James V

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Straton uh great follow on

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Twitter he says Bitcoin is on the cusp

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of breaking alltime highs in GB pesos

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GBP is the symbol for British pound and

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he calls them GB pesos uh and the key is

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as well this is all happening while one

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of the biggest UK financial service

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companies is imploding called St James's

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place again I'm sorry about all the

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chaos and the UK and in Europe and other

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places around the world but it's

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happening everywhere at the same time

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and again another fiat currency is about

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to be smoked in a new Bitcoin alltime

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High probably already has since I've

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been talking as well crazy actually

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while we're here let make sure we find

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out what Bitcoin is doing 61,500 there

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was a huge Interruption that interrupted

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the price action I'll talk about that in

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a minute too but that shouldn't derail

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you everybody always keep your head out

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the window look at what's going on in

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the real world now

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another piece of very exciting onchain

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news uh we are now

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already higher than the highest monthly

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close okay 61357 we're at 615 as I speak

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we are higher than this okay we just

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need to stay up here for guess how many

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more days tomorrow is the 21 29th

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everybody be safe some people are

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superstitious I believe the 29th on a

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leap year can result in dangers so be

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extra cautious tomorrow but be in the

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markets of course as well uh in addition

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uh we breaking new Bitcoin alltime highs

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and a whole bunch of currencies this is

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the top of the currency list over 20

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maybe 25 maybe 30 have already been

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Smoked by Bitcoin you got Japanese Yen

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here number three smoked Norwegian Crona

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smoked Turkish L smoked Swedish Kona

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smoked uh British pound about to be

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smoked um it's just happening so the

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all-time Highs are just fit fast and

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furious with to the stage and they're

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falling fast in addition we did hit

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$64,000 today briefly and then guess

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what happened coin base broke and here

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it is and I must say I had a mini heart

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attack I wanted to trade something went

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in to move some stuff around and Boom by

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the way I only keep a little bit on

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coinbase but it still is enough to give

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a little heart attack when you go in and

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you see your portfolio balance is

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zero with all the talks of people kind

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of been hacked and screwed it was enough

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just to always have that shock to the

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heart that nothing is safe or secure so

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everybody button up your security that

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is crazy now when Bitcoin broke the

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market broke too we saw a the most

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violent swing ever I was on the 30

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second chart watching bitcoin price go

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from 64 straight down to I think it hit

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58 I one say

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$6,000 in probably 2 minutes it was nuts

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anyway that's the type of stuff as well

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that messes people up too H especially

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leverage Longs they get completely

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crushed Joseph Samuel thank you so much

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for coming now um in let me see back to

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volumes very important smoking hot

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volumes out there this is Eric belunas

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we're only halfway through the trading

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day and nine Bitcoin ETFs have already

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broken their all-time highs 2.6 billion

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remember volume translates directly to

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buying okay I've been analyzing this for

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32 days actually built a predictive

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model that does it for me and when we

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look at the numbers and this is taken

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snapshot's taken about an hour ago we

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have 60 million I've never seen more

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than 42 million of volume for ibit we

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have 60 million today and that's only

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halfway through the day okay and

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remember t+ one yeah the money comes in

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they buy tomorrow or tonight so it could

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be another third miraculous night we

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could break a new alltime high tonight

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based on this volume data and remember

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this action this price action is

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triggering global fomo all around the

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world for those that are watching

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markets speaking of foolishness and

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fools uh this is a cool chart as well

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from um into the block I think or crypto

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Quant into the block it is uh anyway

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it's from Jesse Myers and you know wait

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this is you can look here look look

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focus on the right look at the black

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line they are hedge funds hedge funds

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are going heavy heavy short Bitcoin

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Futures all right they are shorting

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Bitcoin like

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idiots anybody who jumps in front of a

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freight train as I call it during this

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time cannot add two and two together and

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doesn't understand how markets work all

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right it's crazy people just looking for

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their heads to be hand handed to them

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literally and another wild statistic as

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well retail fomo has just landed this is

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a wild statistic and there were more

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individual trades yesterday in the

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Bitcoin ETFs than they were in the S&P

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500 ETF and the QQQ ETF and this is

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before they even have options or are

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available on many advisory platforms big

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retail component just came in all of a

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sudden they are experiencing fomo as

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well bigger than I estimated just so you

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can see as well it's the the gold is the

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sum of the nine new spot Bitcoin ETFs

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blue is the S&P 500 and green is the

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Invesco QQQ and it smoked them both also

play16:45

a new

play16:46

record can it get any better let's find

play16:49

out uh let's look at this as well this

play16:51

is what also getting attention from a

play16:53

lot of people is not only has the

play16:55

performance

play16:57

smoked uh the traditional assets like

play16:59

the I shares core S&P 500 ETF but I want

play17:03

you to cast your eyes on this the total

play17:05

asset Center Management in the S&P 500

play17:08

ETF just from Black Rock is $443

play17:13

billion I bit only has six billion right

play17:17

now so the question

play17:20

is is the six billion going to grow to

play17:22

400 billion and even if it did were

play17:24

there even be enough Bitcoin for them to

play17:25

buy I doubt it and that's just one ETF

play17:29

okay Futures bright in addition

play17:31

performance the other thing that's

play17:32

getting people's attention if you look

play17:34

at the last six weeks okay not bad we

play17:37

have the S&P 500 up 6% and anybody who

play17:41

bought ibid is up

play17:43

23% in six weeks that is that's like two

play17:47

years of Returns on traditional markets

play17:49

ladies and gentlemen and it's early days

play17:52

yet uh in addition breaking news Bitcoin

play17:56

added $800 billion market cap since 2023

play18:01

this is from Czech M at glass node and

play18:05

you probably won't believe it at first

play18:07

but the market cap was only 320 billion

play18:10

at the start of 2023 and since then it

play18:14

hit 1.2 trillion over that right now and

play18:17

it becomes of course the 10th largest

play18:19

asset on Earth and next in the box is

play18:22

meta and then silver and then up the

play18:26

chain and meta and silver will be smoked

play18:29

probably the next week or so I reckon in

play18:33

addition be careful of advice again it's

play18:36

very important to everybody in this

play18:37

stage of your life remove all toxicity

play18:40

from your world and remove negativity

play18:43

from your world okay this is again

play18:45

another Infamous tweet from Jim Kramer

play18:49

it's unlikely that Bitcoin Finds Its

play18:50

footing January

play18:52

22nd okay can you imagine all the

play18:55

people that he influenced to cell

play18:59

Bitcoin just imagine he has quite a bit

play19:02

of a

play19:02

reach and speaking of more delusion as

play19:05

well Peter Schiff the most likely

play19:08

explanation for the weakness in Gold

play19:09

stocks is that investors are selling

play19:12

them to buy Bitcoin ETFs

play19:14

instead by the way he's trying to make

play19:16

an excuse for why gold is so weak and

play19:18

why it sucks and that means Bitcoin has

play19:20

basically become a bet against gold so

play19:23

when gold inevitably breaks out the

play19:25

money will buy gold stocks

play19:28

to money to buy gold stocks will come

play19:30

from Bitcoin

play19:32

ETFs okay Peter you're a smart

play19:34

man talking to you very seriously now

play19:38

stop lying to people gold is dead it's

play19:42

been replaced by digital gold all right

play19:44

and the money going into ETFs will

play19:47

probably never come out okay so stop

play19:48

lying to people Stern words I'm tired

play19:52

tired of these Liars speaking of liars

play19:57

Elizabeth Warren chatted up by Metal Man

play20:01

never forget Senator Warren wants the

play20:03

government to decide for you which

play20:05

categories of assets you will be

play20:06

permitted to invest in and of course as

play20:09

a trained lawyer from ruers I think in

play20:12

Jersey the SCC go is wrong on the law

play20:15

and wrong on the policy with respect to

play20:17

bitcoin ETFs these are what they call

play20:20

lawm makers who don't understand the

play20:24

law again I'm tired of it tired so in

play20:28

heated moment this morning I spent about

play20:31

10 minutes trying to draw lines on a

play20:33

chart and it's a new

play20:35

indicator okay um remember the

play20:38

politicians you pay for shout out to

play20:40

Gary G and Elizabeth W for their

play20:42

tireless efforts to keep us poor and

play20:45

prevent us from grabbing onto the only

play20:47

life raft we have Bitcoin up by the way

play20:50

175% in less than a year so just

play20:53

remember the

play20:55

politicians okay they are not on your

play20:57

side despite the fact that you pay for

play20:59

them and they're supposed to represent

play21:01

you shout out to the upand comer the

play21:04

Challenger in Massachusetts whatever you

play21:06

need buddy I'm here for you um in

play21:08

addition the charts have been breaking

play21:11

my screen this is from Moon Meow in the

play21:14

community who sent this today at 8:17

play21:17

a.m. and somebody had to do it and

play21:20

literally I have to keep on adjusting my

play21:22

charts so they can fit the candles in

play21:25

and this is a good representation of

play21:27

what we're talking about here and now we

play21:30

are only 10% away from this new all-time

play21:32

high and we did nearly give or take a

play21:34

couple of hours $144,000 move from top

play21:37

to bottom in 48 hours I always say risk

play21:40

happens fast and this thing moves wow

play21:45

and there's a lot more move to come you

play21:48

know we've had we had A4

play21:51

$4,500 candle after two $3,000 candles

play21:56

all in three subsequent days

play21:58

Bingo OCTA a week ago I said four

play22:01

positive weeks in a row at this stage in

play22:03

the market before having is an extremely

play22:05

bullish sign and now we've got the ETFs

play22:09

too Madness and and we got people

play22:14

Muhammad delarian shout out to Muhammad

play22:16

very good microeconomist but when people

play22:18

like this start talking about biddy it's

play22:19

like huh on the back of another price

play22:22

surge this morning Bitcoin has reclaimed

play22:23

its November 2021 level of $60,000 again

play22:27

when guy like Muhammad posts about

play22:29

Bitcoin you know the Bitcoin moment has

play22:32

arrived

play22:34

everybody he now puts this asset on the

play22:38

radar of people that would never even

play22:40

consider it that's magical um and micro

play22:44

strategy hit $1,000 today hit actually

play22:47

$1,000 and8 bucks and the big rumors are

play22:51

coming because now they are ranked

play22:53

number 471 in terms of market cap right

play22:56

behind a company called William S n if

play22:58

you want to buy a $100 pepper grinder

play23:00

that's where you go by the way above

play23:02

Transunion and United Airlines Etc and

play23:05

that is a crazy move so the market cap

play23:08

now is nearly $15 billion therefore S&P

play23:11

500 has to welcome in micro strategy of

play23:15

course it takes time it took them years

play23:18

for them to do it for Tesla that's for

play23:20

other reasons um but this this will be

play23:24

big because this will force every single

play23:27

person on the plan planet that owns

play23:28

anything to do with the S&P 500 to buy

play23:31

indirectly micro strategy shares which

play23:33

of course will be part of that self

play23:35

fulfilling prophecy that I've been

play23:37

talking about for years right 1+ 1

play23:40

equals 2 it's very simple now we're

play23:42

going to get into the numbers and then

play23:43

I'm going to get into a whole bunch of

play23:44

charts afterward so I did tell you it's

play23:46

a big one today so bear with me it's

play23:48

just so much goodness going on this is

play23:50

uh day 32 row numbers again it's getting

play23:53

too small to see so you might not see

play23:54

this chart anymore but trust me I have

play23:56

all the numbers now let's look at the

play23:58

macro view of where we are we can see

play24:01

here ibit red biggest Day Ever probably

play24:06

a bigger day today and that's just

play24:08

what's happening also there was a lot of

play24:11

dumpage from gbtc but that didn't matter

play24:14

because Black Rock literally is taking

play24:19

in five or six times of grayscale can

play24:22

dish out just black rock okay that's

play24:25

important to remember and let's look at

play24:27

some more data we had the third best

play24:29

money flow day from 32 days not the best

play24:33

but the third best remember black Rock's

play24:35

big sometimes the other ETFs take a

play24:37

while to follow and we'll see in

play24:40

addition Total Money Flow is up and to

play24:43

the right that's the red line keeps on

play24:45

going up and cumulative sorry cumulative

play24:48

is red total is blue for the day and

play24:51

again another big day also $17 billion

play24:54

into new ETFs in 32 days you know this

play24:57

not a big big deal what I do want to

play24:58

point out though is these nine new ETFs

play25:00

have 312,000 Bitcoin already 312,000

play25:05

Bitcoin and they're growing very fast

play25:07

Black Rock has nearly 140,000 Fidelity

play25:10

has over 100,000 they have grown so fast

play25:14

and they will be at a million Bitcoin in

play25:16

a very short amount of time if they can

play25:20

get their hands on it though that's the

play25:21

caveat there and another view of the

play25:23

world as well I want you to bear in mind

play25:24

when you see this chart that as the

play25:26

price of Bitcoin goes from say 40,000 up

play25:29

to 57,000 up to

play25:33

64,000 the ETFs spend more money but

play25:37

they're not getting as much Bitcoin

play25:39

because the price has gone up by like 20

play25:42

30% so here despite this they still

play25:45

sucked 10,05 Bitcoin from the system

play25:48

remember it was easy to pull

play25:50

13,496 in the system when the price is

play25:53

40,000 it's different Kettle ofish right

play25:55

now ladies and gentlemen and that's

play25:57

important to bear in mind so welcome to

play25:59

the new part of this video is chart time

play26:02

people say they love the charts so let's

play26:05

go let's look at a couple of uh onchain

play26:07

ones first as well interesting Bitcoin

play26:10

has only spent 30 days above

play26:13

$61,000 and we're higher than that right

play26:15

now uh again that is 30 over 5,000 days

play26:20

approximately about 0.5 something perc

play26:25

again closing Above This level and I

play26:27

showed you before we've never had a

play26:29

monthly close this high as where we are

play26:31

now so it's basically a shoe in that

play26:34

we're going to make a new alltime high

play26:36

before the having pretty much guaranteed

play26:39

in case anybody was

play26:40

doubting it's crazy and

play26:43

mvrv still early days yet so people who

play26:47

think we're getting toppy no we're not

play26:50

not even close and remember you've I've

play26:53

made so many videos on being in the

play26:54

market for the top days these are are

play26:57

not times where you dabble or try to be

play27:00

extra cute or smart you know where the

play27:02

trajectory is going you be on the train

play27:05

you strap in and you sit patiently don't

play27:08

try and be cutesy with the market all

play27:11

right it'll hand your head to you again

play27:14

this shows you the impact of being in

play27:17

the best 10 days each year versus not

play27:21

all right so if we go back to 2013 it's

play27:23

700% versus 500% if we look at say 20

play27:28

uh

play27:29

2014 just being in the market for 10

play27:31

days you made 200 10 2011% if you

play27:34

weren't in the market for those 10 days

play27:35

you made minus 86% that is a tragic

play27:38

difference 2018 you made 180% by being

play27:42

in the market for 10 days you you lost

play27:46

91% for not being in those markets I.E

play27:49

if you're in the market for the other

play27:51

355 days you get your butt handed to you

play27:55

I said that like three times already

play27:56

today I want to Hammer at home so you

play27:58

don't screw up and you don't get cute

play28:01

and you don't listen to people who don't

play28:02

know what they're doing 2022 all right

play28:06

10 days you make 157% if you're not in

play28:08

if you're in the other 355 days you lose

play28:10

86% everybody so far this year top 10

play28:15

days you made 52% if you're not in for

play28:17

those 10 days you lost 15% all right let

play28:21

me know in the comments if I got that

play28:23

point across do not try and be cute at

play28:27

this stage of the game very serious I

play28:29

see people doing it all the time it's

play28:30

like no no no no no no no no don't now

play28:34

my first ever banana chart never done

play28:36

one of these before the B it's called

play28:38

the Bitcoin banana Zone uh one banana

play28:41

two banana three banana 4 adapted from

play28:44

betel Julian and you can see the yellow

play28:46

is the trajectory of where we're going

play28:48

which looks very much like a banana now

play28:51

the 2011 2012 cycle is on the left 2014

play28:55

2016 second from the left

play28:58

2018 2019 2020 is one from the right and

play29:03

currently where we are in the banana

play29:05

cycle which takes us north of

play29:08

$300,000 in 2024 we have only just begun

play29:14

remember the bananas and remember where

play29:16

we are we near the little brown little

play29:17

piece you peel back and in fact if

play29:20

you've ever saw a monkey opening a

play29:21

banana they do it from the other end the

play29:23

humans do it shows you they're smarter

play29:25

than us interesting tidbit anyhow um

play29:28

Bitcoin patience here we are shout out

play29:31

to everybody who is patient you can see

play29:33

that we are now at the level we were

play29:36

back in 2021 almost give or take and

play29:41

those who were able to just hang in

play29:43

there and wait they did very well

play29:46

remember it takes patience to be in this

play29:48

market don't try get cute all right now

play29:52

let's look at the Lio Target where we

play29:53

are today this is our layer in layer out

play29:55

model with has all the key level levels

play29:57

based on history and a whole bunch of

play29:59

other formula in there to calculate

play30:01

exactly where this puppy could go and

play30:03

right now level 10 is at $

play30:06

14,19 and this thing moves fast we're

play30:08

heading to level s which is

play30:10

$71,000 which is just above the all-time

play30:13

high level seven Could Happen very

play30:16

shortly very shortly and let's see

play30:18

what's happening at bitcoin price H

play30:20

61,000 again little bit of interruption

play30:23

but still a monster day okay people PE

play30:27

people forget we were at like 5756

play30:30

yesterday and I was like oh 61,000 is

play30:32

almost disappointing because it was at

play30:35

64,000 it's weird the way the human

play30:37

psyche works I'm still trying to figure

play30:39

that out final chart of the day

play30:41

everybody and I will take a couple of

play30:43

questions this is the uh top and bottom

play30:46

indicator shows you when we're hot and

play30:48

cool obviously blue you buy all you can

play30:51

light blue you buy all you can lime

play30:54

green you can still stack we' just gone

play30:56

into yellow where you kind of maybe slow

play30:58

down your DC a little bit let the late

play31:01

comers buy at this level but you can

play31:03

still buy of course but we just

play31:05

re-entered yellow again and we have a

play31:08

long way to go before orange and red but

play31:10

again shows you just like the mvrv we

play31:12

are still early everybody so um don't

play31:16

forget to subscribe I won't waste your

play31:18

time but I guarantee you every video

play31:20

you'll learn a lot and uh a big thank

play31:22

you to everybody for coming I'm going to

play31:24

take a couple of quick questions thank

play31:25

you as well to the mods in the chat team

play31:27

Tesla K8 and everybody here as well

play31:30

shout out to Joseph and Coach Casey and

play31:35

bman and Mike in Arizona and everybody

play31:38

so full disclosure now Jim Kramer is the

play31:40

only indicator that beats Z DSS bingo I

play31:43

love that actually it's very clever

play31:45

chaotic coder oh by the way that's a

play31:47

crazy chaotic coder

play31:51

has well you doing incredibly well for

play31:54

your years young man H any thoughts on

play31:58

if ETFs would ever just have paper

play32:00

Bitcoin just like gold ETFs and this

play32:02

allows naked shorts and control of price

play32:06

excellent question so we're going to

play32:08

have a lot more transparency and rigor

play32:10

than we do in Gold it's impossible to

play32:12

tell what gold exists what is there is

play32:15

it really backed by the ETFs but now

play32:18

after what I just showed let me pull

play32:19

that slide up one more time is the

play32:23

actual unencumbered proof of reserves

play32:26

from C Kathy Wood this ties directly

play32:29

into your question you can see here

play32:31

Kathy Woods Arc invest has integrated

play32:32

proof of reserves for its Bitcoin ETF

play32:35

this means it proves that they have it

play32:37

and it should be unencumbered as well so

play32:40

the it'll become like an arms race in

play32:43

order for an ETF to be trusted they're

play32:45

going to have to follow suit and we all

play32:47

can already see a couple of ones I think

play32:49

bitwise and Fidelity published their

play32:52

Bitcoin address so you can actually

play32:53

track the wallets yourself directly too

play32:56

great question k CER and congratulations

play32:58

on your message earlier today very proud

play33:00

of you I won't disclose what that is but

play33:03

people in Discord will know anyway Mark

play33:05

babasa do we need to worry about Mr 100

play33:07

has nefarious plans massive dumpage H

play33:11

for Bitcoin holders no this

play33:13

is this is either a sovereign wealth

play33:16

fund or a high net worth individual and

play33:18

they just said you know let's buy $100 a

play33:20

day they don't want to buy more than 100

play33:22

because they don't want to Rattle the

play33:23

market but they don't care what the

play33:24

price is they're buying it 35,000 30,000

play33:29

40,000 they bought today at 60,000 they

play33:32

don't care they just keep stacking 100

play33:35

at a time and they do that so they don't

play33:37

drive the spike up and they're buying in

play33:40

a way where it can be tracked it's not

play33:41

OTC as well so from that perspective

play33:45

it's super interesting and I would not

play33:46

worry Mark about Mr 100 again and there

play33:50

are probably many Mr 100s that we're not

play33:51

even tracking everybody is stacking as

play33:54

well okay a lot of questions today

play33:56

regarding miners all the miners are down

play34:00

and weak what's going on let me pull up

play34:03

uh the actual chart for the miners so

play34:06

you have some miners down hard today um

play34:10

in particular clean spark Iris energy

play34:12

bid Farms all down 10% so what's going

play34:16

on uh I did expect this question so I

play34:19

think it's a Confluence of factors like

play34:21

everything else in the world one um

play34:24

investors are worried now they've seen

play34:26

extraord ordinary gains we were buying

play34:28

clean spark at $6 3 weeks ago they shot

play34:31

to more than 22 it's nuts but at the

play34:35

same time everybody's now nervous that

play34:37

the miners don't have ample rigs uh

play34:40

modern rigs or enough hash to be able to

play34:43

compete post having so that's the first

play34:47

Factor so people are getting nervous and

play34:48

maybe they're allocating towards micro

play34:50

strategy because they know that's going

play34:52

to be add the S&P

play34:54

500 the bees hover around you know the

play34:57

score there second thing you have miners

play35:00

probably maybe diluting a little bit out

play35:04

there uh because they is quite a great

play35:07

time to raise money you don't want your

play35:09

stock diluting at six bucks but if

play35:13

they're getting $22 a share in that's

play35:16

the time to dilute okay three weeks ago

play35:19

$6 today 22 sell a bit of shares get

play35:23

some cash turn that into minting Mach

play35:27

that mint Bitcoin and again as I

play35:29

mentioned before with Bitcoin don't try

play35:31

get cute don't try time market we've

play35:33

made extra ordinary absolutely

play35:37

life-changing gains on cleanspark and

play35:40

other miners too um just sit and wait

play35:43

it'll come back and I'm I'm not even

play35:46

certain that they're selling shares I

play35:48

know some of them definitely are um I

play35:51

know that Riot spent $100 million in

play35:52

rigs yesterday so that's just what's

play35:55

what's happening out there um we just

play35:57

have to wait and it could be a rough

play36:00

time so the the beauty of the miners is

play36:02

they run counter to bitcoin sometimes

play36:05

they run up with Bitcoin sometimes they

play36:06

run opposite to it up to the having

play36:09

there'll be a lot of nervousness so hold

play36:11

tight maybe hedge a little bit is not

play36:15

Financial advice um and

play36:17

McDonald I've thanks to you accumulated

play36:19

a good amount of micro strategy and

play36:21

would you convert to Tesla and take

play36:23

advantage of the pricing um I think

play36:26

about this all the time H there will

play36:28

come a time for that but we're not quite

play36:30

there yet now Tesla could have their

play36:33

chat gbt moment and the stock could fly

play36:36

kind of like Nvidia does but I don't

play36:38

think we're there yet um I think we have

play36:41

some more time micro strategy Bitcoin is

play36:44

the place to be for now and then after

play36:47

the having see what miners survive

play36:49

that'll be the place to be and then

play36:51

we'll watch Tesla very very carefully

play36:53

for that chat gbt moment I know we're

play36:55

real close but I don't know if that's 2

play36:59

weeks 12 weeks 6 months or a year away

play37:03

but I do know as well they have a ton of

play37:06

margin coming they have nearly I've

play37:08

calculated nearly $4 billion in unac

play37:10

Creed revenue from things like

play37:12

warranties and energy business that they

play37:14

can at last recognize and that'll go

play37:16

straight to the bottom line and earnings

play37:18

I think will be better than expected

play37:19

this year and of course they got the

play37:22

bestselling car in the world they just

play37:23

launched uh prototypes of the Roadster

play37:27

which is going to be the most

play37:28

mind-blowing sports car ever made in the

play37:30

history of the planet bye-bye

play37:31

Lamborghini and Ferrari they're toast

play37:33

FSD is this close mega pack business is

play37:36

off the charts cybertruck 7.2 year

play37:40

waiting

play37:41

list model 2 is coming they're breaking

play37:43

ground in Mexico in about 3 days um for

play37:46

the model 2 and this talk of an India

play37:49

gigafactory 2 while every other car

play37:51

maker is retrenching this and remember

play37:53

this is not a car maker as well so

play37:55

McDonald hope hope that helps hold for

play37:57

now hold the micro strategy for now and

play38:00

from saabi at this at these prices is

play38:02

still early to make a salal

play38:07

portfolio I bought a salal today on a

play38:11

dip and I've been waiting weeks for it

play38:13

to hit and it hit literally probably

play38:15

during the coinbase outage I was

play38:17

dangling my little limit order uh on

play38:21

Jupiter J up. A and it filled so I'm

play38:25

buying

play38:27

not Financial advice so thank you Savi

play38:29

for the question and thank you miles in

play38:32

Arizona thank you all for coming I hope

play38:33

you like this show wow nearly 9,000

play38:37

people watching live never had that

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before for a Bitcoin video thanks

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everybody you take care stay healthy

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number one prior is stay healthy so you

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can enjoy the fruits of our packing

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during the bear thanks everybody and

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thank you again to the mods of chat and

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I'll see you

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all tomorrow

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not later today this was the the one

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video for today okay thank

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[Music]

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you